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استعمال السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بالارقام القياسية لايجارات الدور السكنية في العراق للسنوات 2018_2021
The Use of Time Series to Forecast the Index Numbers for Residential Housing Rentals in Iraq for the Years 2018_2021
اسم المؤلف:
احمد جودة ارشيد الخماسي
اسم المشرف:
فاطمة عبد الحميد جواد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2018
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل مؤشرات الفقر في العراق على ضوء المسح الاجتماعي والاقتصادي للاسرة 2007
Analysis of Poverty Indicators In Iraq Relevant To Economic & Social Survey of Household (2007)
اسم المؤلف:
زهرة عباس حسن الدليمي
اسم المشرف:
خلود يوسف خمو
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
There is Poverty because of the difference in capacity and material resources, Previously Poverty Known on the basis of disparity between incomes and inadequate income.We now in the Twenty - first century and Poverty still the most important problems and challenges the tops of the list problems that plague the world, because it affects the political and social stability and economic of the countries.To provide database of the poor it have been prepared document describes the features of poverty and the where a bout of the poor cooperation between provinces.Here the goal of the research is to identify the factors affecting the incidences of poverty in Iraq and because the poverty does not decent on factor but several factors in the amount of importance, we found that factor analysis is the appropriate technique and to support the results of factors analysis we use Cluster analysis an data of economic and social survey of families in Iraq an 2007, it camped out in Iraq in cooperation with world bank.In order to reach goals according to the comprehensive survey of the poor's policies have been proposed for various aspects of poverty, such as, education, health, spending - income, social security, work, housing and others. The first chapter include introduction and aim of research and some scientific terms for poverty, the second chapter with theoretical side and the third included the application an poverty data and finally the fourth chapter included the conclusions reached and recommendations that cane out of research.
👁 مشاهدة
العوامل المؤثرة على الاوضاع الصحية والتعليمية في العراق ضمن مسح شبكة معرفة العراق (IKN) لعام 2011 باستعمال التحليل العنقودي
Factors Affecting The Health And Educational Conditions In Iraq As Part of Iraq Knowledge Network Survy (IKN) 2011 By Using Cluster Analysis
اسم المؤلف:
وسن عبد الهادي كاظم الجبوري
اسم المشرف:
هاني عبد الله حسن
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعتبر دراسة مؤشرات الصحة والتعليم وتحليلها، من القضايا المهمة بالنسبة للعراق الذي يهدف الى تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاجتماعية بصورة اكثر واقعية.لذلك اختار الباحث هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات مسح شبكة معرفة العراق IKN للاسرة في العراق الذي نفذ خلال ال | The study of health and education indicators and analysis of important issues for Iraq, which aims to achieve economic and social development of more realistic.So chose researcher this search , using the scanning knowledge network Iraq IKN family in Iraq who carried out during the year 2011 from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the subsequent construction plans for health and education depending on the data of this survey, and using the bag statistical programs ready (SPSS) to reach the variables health and education have a direct impact on the level of the country.Showed signs of health and education in Iraq as follows : The number of households surveyed 29785 , while the number of families not responding has reached 910 families at a higher rate 3.9% , meaning that the response rate was % 96.9 , as the number of households responding 28875 Dynasty recorded the highest rates of response each of the provinces ( Qadisiyah , Diyala and Salah al - Din ) the lowest response rates were in the provinces ( Dohuk and Erbil ) as the average number of individuals in the family 6.4 persons.As has been the adoption of style cluster analysis and conversion data variables ten ( which is the health situation : - the difficulty in vision , difficulty hearing , difficulty in movement , difficulty remembering or concentrating, difficulty communicating with others, difficulties in self - care , assess the health of the individual, educational status, enrollment of individual educational institutions, the number of years its entirety individual successfully) to the formula normative and to get rid of the different units of measure these variables and thus ensure the health of the implementation phase of the process of data classification and determine the extent of the relationship between the elements in terms of similarity or difference and are in the final phase entry in clustering methods and analysis.The study includes four chapters of the first chapter includes the introduction and the goal of the research and the research methodology and the data source in addition to the historical background of the analysis of the cluster , Chapter II contains the theoretical side , which includes statistical analysis using the method of cluster analysis , while the third chapter goes out to analyze the data ( the practical side ) and using the bag statistical programs ready (version20) SPSS to get to the health and education indicators which have a direct impact on the country's development and health education , the fourth quarter from which to determine the conclusions that are accessible through this study also includes recommendations and sources.The results of the cluster analysis to health and education indicators that there is a convergence between neighboring provinces a bilateral clustering problem , linked to adjacent provinces , which demonstrates the striking similarity in patterns of health and education between these provinces.There are provinces have autonomy relative from other provinces and sometimes appear individually , such as conservative ( Erbil , Dohuk, Diyala) being characterized by the conditions of health and education are different from others, it is useful to recall that the Diyala province was experiencing exceptional circumstances during the period of the survey , and the provinces and in particular the province of Kurdistan Erbil so it passes through the economic growth phase sets it apart from the rest of the provinces.Characterized by the province of Baghdad ( urban) and ( rural ) Convergence the ( health and education ) with the Central provinces of Iraq in the late stage as moving away from clustering with its neighboring provinces in the early stages of being the capital.There are no general trend for the clustering of Maysan province , as we see Sometimes clustered with the central provinces , we see Sometimes clustered with the northern provinces, and sometimes we see other clustered with the province of Anbar , Diyala and reflects the instability of this poor province.In general , the central and southern governorates health and educational characteristics differ from the characteristics of the northern provinces. The results showed that there is a similarity between attended the provinces for health and education variables , and note the complete hierarchical cluster assembly reflecting the early stages of the provinces affected by the conditions of the country in general.Rural province of Sulaymaniyah as special - way found clustring the late stages , and along the tree line in the chart evidence of the lack of similarity of conditions of health and education from other provinces countryside. Sulaymaniyah also attended the same property
👁 مشاهدة
استخدام نظم المعلومات الجغرافية في التببؤ بمحصول الحنطة في جنوب العراق
The Use of Geographic Information Systems In The Prediction of The Wheat Crop In Southern Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
هلاء سعدون شكر
اسم المشرف:
محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
The wheat crop is considered one of the most important strategic food crops and takes the first place in some countries in the world. So this crop requires growth control began from the time of planting and until harvesting. The study focused on predicting the productivity of wheat crop in township Shihamia / Essaouira district / in Wasit province as a model adopted for the rest of Iraq's provinces by using technologies (Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Systems) in devising data independent of the factorsthat have affected the productivity of the crop using (Geostatistic) analysis through (kriging) tool in an environment (Arcgis), and visual satellite captured from satellite (landsat 8) is also used. The extraction of natural vegetative differences guide (NDVI), as evidence showed reflectivity values ranging between ( - 0.02 - 0.5) as the minimum value of the evidence which indicated that the production of wheat crop in these places is low. The upper limit indicated that the production of wheat crop is high density in thoseareas. The surface temperature extracted from the space visible as well as the natural vegetative differences guide. Results indicate that the month of March is one of the appropriate months to get to know the productivity of wheat crop. The results showed when conducting analysis in the SPSS program that factor relative humidity though influential in the expected output when using directory natural vegetative differences values (NDVI). The climatic factors and the surface temperature and salinity influential in expected production in Geostatistic analysis, as Geostatistic analysis in an environment (Arcgis) is better than in the SPSS statistical analysis software because it depends on the spatial relationships between the studied samples
👁 مشاهدة
المقارنة بين الطرائق الاحصائية المستخدمة في التنبؤ لاستيراد بعض المواد الغذائية في العراق
A Comparision of Statistical Methods That Using For Forcasting To Importing Som Material Foods In The Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
هديل محمد زكي مهدي
اسم المشرف:
سهيل نجم عبود
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2017
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد الاستيراد احد الظواهر الاقتصادية التي تساهم في تحقيق الامن الغذائي وسد الفجوة الغذائية، وللتمكن من دراسة التغيرات التي تحصل في الظواهر الاقتصادية في المستقبل وتحديد قيم هذه التغيرات لابد من الاعتماد على انشاء السلاسل الزمنية وتحليلها، ويعد اسلوب تحليل | The import of the economic phenomena that contribute to the achievement of food security and bridging the food gap, and to be able to study the changes that happen in the economic phenomena in the future and determine the values of these changes to be relying on the establishment of the time series and analyzed, as is the style of the time series of the most important statistical methods analysis used in the prediction of random phenomena in the future values based on what happened in the past, which helps in the development of sound future plans for economic development. In this research were compared between two methods to predict the import quantities of rice, wheat and sugar for the next five years (General Trend Methods, and the Method of Box - Jenkins), where he was relying on the criterion of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to compare the methods used to figure out the best way to predict. Proven method of Box - Jenkins superiority on the General Trend Methods while the best model of Box - Jenkins models to predict the quantities of imported rice is ARIMA(0,1,2), and the best model to predict the quantities of imported wheat was ARIMA(1, 1,1), either imported sugar amounts was the best model ARIMA(0,1,1), and based on the predicted values through the Box - Jenkins models, it was observed that there is an increase in imported quantities for each of rice and wheat in the next five years, either sugar amounts appeared there proven to import.
👁 مشاهدة
العوامل المؤثرة على انتاج بعض المحاصيل الحقلية في العراق
Factors Affecting The Production of Some Field Crops In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
نور كمال عبد الكريم
اسم المشرف:
انتصار عريبي فدعم الدوري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
نظرا لاهمية زراعة المحاصيل الحقلية في العراق لتوفير الغذاء وتحقيق الاكتفاء الذاتي وكانت محافظة كربلاء واحدة من محافظات العراق التي تمتاز بتوفير رقعة الاراضي الصالحة للزراعة ولخصوصية هذه المنطقة اذ تشكل الاراضي الرملية نسبة كبيرة من اراضيها لذا من الضرو
👁 مشاهدة
التنبؤ بانتاج التمور في الفرات الاوسط باستخدام السلاسل الزمنية
Forecasting Production of Dates In The Middle Euphrates Using Time Series
اسم المؤلف:
نعمة ساهون شنان
اسم المشرف:
رباب عبد الرضا صالح البكري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد العراق من اقدم مواطن النخيل في العالم وكان لاشجار النخيل ومنتجاتها وبساتينها اهمية بالغة في الحياة الاقتصادية والاجتماعية على مر العصور باعتبارها من اهم المصادر الغذائية والمعاشية، وان تحليل السلاسل الزمنية والتنبؤ بها من الاساليب الاحصائية المهمة في | Iraq is one of the oldest homes of palm in the world and was a palm trees and the products and orchards of extreme importance in the economic and social life throughout the ages as one of the most important food sources and living. The time - series analysis and forecasting it is of important statistical methods in the construction of the future plans of the phenomena of life in all directions and interpreted through certain periods of time. In this research was to predict the time series to date production in the provinces of the Middle Euphrates in Iraq, which included the provinces (Karbala, Babil, Najaf, Qadisiyah, Muthanna) using time - series models, including the general trend models, Exponential smoothing models, Box - Jenkins models in order to choose the best model of each of these models has been shown that the best model of the general trend models is the model the Quadratic trend and that the best model of exponential smoothing models is single exponential smoothing model and the model ARIMA (2,1,1) is the best Box - Jenkins models it gives accurate predictions through calculable Q account and compared ?², which shows the appropriateness of the model Has been predicted for the coming years, the use of the models above.
👁 مشاهدة
اسقاطات القوى العاملة، التعليم والصحة للتركيب العمري - النوعي لسكان العراق للمدة (1997 - 2017)
Projections of The Labor Force, Education And Health For Age Structure - Quality of The Iraqi Population For The Period (1997 - 2017)
اسم المؤلف:
ندى احمد امين
اسم المشرف:
قتيبة نبيل نايف القزاز
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
ان هدف معظم الاسقاطات السكانية هو ان تقدم تنبؤا مستقبليا بشكل تقريبي عن عدد السكان، ومثل هذه الاسقاطات تحسب على اساس افتراض الاستمرار المستقبلي المعقول للاتجاهات المؤثرة على المتغيرات الديموغرافية لحجم السكان التي على ضوء نتائجها يمكن مواجهة الاحتياجا | The goal of most population projections is to provide a predictable as it is approximation of the number of the population, and such projections are calculated on the basis of the presumption of continuing future reasonable trends affecting the demographic variables of population size, And that in the light of the results can meet human needs in various fields of economic, social and political issues related to. Years and the fact that the last census in Iraq was in 1997 for each of Iraq's provinces except the province of Kurdistan was necessary to address and correct the census data for the base year (1997), adopted Spectrum program is ready to get on the population projections for the period (1997 - 2017) and from Age projections - for each quality of the workforce - health and education to build a base Demographic data and broad adoption in many purposes such as planning and development. The research is divided into five chapters include the first (Introduction and objective of this research, studies and research The former) and II (the theoretical side, test and pave the data) and III (data Basic assumptions) The fourth chapter dealt with the practical side has included a chapter V presents conclusions that were reached and the most important recommendations that the researcher deems necessary
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل احصائي مقارن لانفاق الاسرة العراقية باستخدام المسح الاجتماعي والاقتصادي للاسرة (2007) ومسح شبكة معرفة العراق (2011)
Comparative Statistical Analysis of Family Spending In Iraqi Depending On Social And Economic Survey (2007) And Iraqi Knowledge Network Survey (2011)
اسم المؤلف:
نبيل صالح محمد رضا معله
اسم المشرف:
سهيل نجم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد الدراسات الخاصة بالانفاق والطلب على السلع والخدمات من اهم الدراسات الاقتصادية وذلك لاهمية الانفاق في عملية التخطيط الاقتصادي من جهة ولكونه يمثل جوانب مهمة من تفصيلات الحياة اليومية للمواطن من جهة ثانية. اختار الباحث هذا البحث بالاستعانة ببيانات المسح | The studies of spending and demand for goods and services is the most important economic studies, to the importance of spending in the process of economic planning on the one hand and because it represents important aspects of the details of daily life of the citizen on the other hand.Researcher selected this research, using data survey of social and economic status of families in Iraq who carried out during the year (2007) and the survey data of network knowledge of Iraq (IKN) for the year (2011), which were carried out by Central Bureau of Statistics. For comparison in the pattern of distribution of spending on various goods and services and using the ready software package Statistical (SPSS) to gain access to the results. Been tested nature of the distribution of variables tunnels and it emerged as natural distributing and studying differences of variables between the two surveys emerged that there are significant differences of the goods (beverages, clothing, health, communications, services) while no significant differences for goods (food, electricity, furniture, transportation , entertainment, education , hotels).this research has divided to four chapters. The first chapter touch on the natural of spending, previous studies and most important budget researches of the family, while the second chapter deal with the theoretical side, and some basic concepts of analysis the global and the cluster, while the third chapter deal with the practical side of the data obtained ,in Chapter four the most important conclusions and recommendations has been developed.
👁 مشاهدة
الخصوبة السكانية في العراق تطورها والعوامل المؤثرة عليها واثرها في تحديد حجم السكان مستقبلا
Population Fertility In Iraq, Its Improvement And Effect Factors Upon And Its Influence In Specified Size of Population In Future
اسم المؤلف:
مصطفى حبيب مهدي
اسم المشرف:
تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
The fertility represents most important variables in the population growth and determine the level of this growth and trends in Iraq is the countries with high rates of fertility compared to many countries of the world and the importance of this variable in the population growth and the fact that this variable influenced by demographic, social, economic and growth trends of these families and their development in society. The different methods to fertility measurements (direct and indirect ) in order to arrive actual fertility which matches with fact of Iraq based on data Censuses 1987 and 1997 and then an analysis or factors affecting them, which include as following : average of ages , and mortality and infant children , and the differences urban and rural education contribution of women in the workforce and uses contraceptives , religion wars that affect fertility behavior and reflected on the planning and development using style multiple regression adoption ready program ( SPSS ) , and was also study the effect of fertility in determining the size of population in the future adoption of the 1997 as base which exposes hypotheses which concerning with projections of (fertility, mortality and migration) and the results of these abortions during the period of 2022/1997 using ready program (spectrum) to build a database large dependent population for many purposes, such as planning, development and future population policy.The research divided into five chapters include first submitted and the aim of the research and previous studies and the second the theoretical side and the third (practical aspect) and fourth (population projections) and included Chapter fifth presents conclusions and recommendations that have been reached and the most important recommendations seen by the researcher ,are necessary
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال السلاسل الزمنية والشبكات العصبية الاصطناعية للتنبؤات المستقبلية لمستوى التضخم في العراق
The Use of Time Series And Neural Network Prediction Futurism Level Swelling In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
قصي عصام حميد الزبيدي
اسم المشرف:
قاسم محمد علي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
لقد شهد الاقتصاد العراقي ارتفاعات مستمرة ومتزايدة في معدلات التضخم والتي وصلت الى مستوى التضخم الجامح مما اثرت على نمط الانتاج والاستثمار والاستهلاك والادخار ونمط تخصيص الموارد وتوزيع الدخل، نتيجة للظروف القاسية التي مر بها العراق وقد استعملت وسائل احصائ | It is known that the most important countries of evolution is the process of planning and the detailed plans the future and this requires the adoption of advanced statistical methods.We discussed this adopts the first focus method of time series Box - Jenkins and which takes into account the temporal variations in the study of phenomena, analyze and identify the most important properties in the construction of appropriate models of the phenomenon being studied, as has been the adoption of key stages in building models of chains of time from diagnosis until the development of the form timely and predictable phenomenon studied.Second, neural networks and included the study of this simplified the basic concepts of neural networks He addressed the most important types of neural networks is a network deployment rear (Back Propagation) algorithms and their own learning.The practical side has been the use of real data to calculate the rate of inflation based on the indices for commodity groups for a period of five years by months(2007 - 2011) Based on the results of time series Box - Jenkins and neural networks shows that the method of artificial neural networks more flexible and higher efficiency in the analysis and forecasting
👁 مشاهدة
الاثار الاجتماعية والاقتصادية للفقر في العراق : دراسة مقارنة
The Social And Economic Impacts of Poverty In Iraq A Contrastive Study
اسم المؤلف:
قصي عبد الفتاح رؤوف
اسم المشرف:
مهدي محسن اسماعيل العلاق
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعتبر دراسة الفقر وتحليل مؤشراته ومحدداته، من القضايا المهمة بالنسبة للعراق الذي يهدف الى تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاجتماعية بصورة اكثر واقعية.لذلك اختار الباحث هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات المسح الاجتماعي والاقتصادي للاسرة في العراق الذي نفذ خلال الس | The present study deals with the most important issue which is of critical significance in Iraq - poverty - and its analysis, indications and determines since it tries to achieve the social and economic growth and development in a realistic way. The researcher selects this subject by depending on the social and economic data survey of the household in Iraq which is carried out in 2007 by the central organization of statistics and its subsequent building poverty line based on these data by using (spss) to arrive at the social and economic variables of direct impact on the poverty level. The indications of poverty in Iraq show that the poverty rate comes to 23% and this rate is centered in the rural increasingly than the urban since the poverty rate comes 39% and 16% respectively these indications also show that the size of poor household comes to 9.5 person and for other households 6.3 persons. The illiteracy ratio comes to (25 - 15) years among the poor - 27.1 %. The ratio of those primary school leavers or school - Not Joiners comes to 25 - 2% while other than poor households comes to 11 - 6% As for intermediate school poor - Joiners, the ratio comes to 79.5 % - the results show that 24% of those poor drink undrinkable water. The unemployment ratio for those adults whose age ranging from 15 and more 15% The Results also show that the Average of individuals, monthly Salary for those poor comes to 87 thousand Iraqi dinar while other's Salaries come to 149 thousand Iraqi dinars. The major differences between the a group of poor people and a group of Non - Poor people on the one hand, and on the other hand the main differences between poor people and non - poor people in cities and country sides for more than 20 variables by (T Test). The researcher comes to the fact that there are nine variable of different meaning - which are as follows : the Average of Household size, the ratio illiteracy, the ratio of non - advantage of health care during the period of pregnancy, the ratio of bachelorhood, the ratio of non - having drinkable water, the Average of individual's monthly salary, the Average of individual's monthly expenditure, the ratio of unemployment, Loans ratio to meet the needs of consuming families. The researcher uses the factor analysis to analyze the relationship among the nine Variables to come to the main factors that affect the level of poverty. The researcher also uses the cluster analysis and transferring the nine Variable data into the standard formula to eliminate the difference of measuring units of these Variables and consequently ensuring the Validity of carrying out the process of classifying the data and determining the relationship among factors in terms of similarity and differences and then going in to the clustering method and analyzation together with the way of comparison by means of Box plot which shows the symmetry of data inside the Variable
👁 مشاهدة
التحليل الاحصائي لفقر الاطفال وفقا لبيانات المسح الاجتماعي والاقتصادي للاسرة لسنة 2012م
The Statistical Analysis of Child Poverty According To The Socio - Economic Survey of The Family For The Year 2012
اسم المؤلف:
قاسم محمد صاحب
اسم المشرف:
ضياء عواد كاظم
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعتبر دراسة واقع الطفولة في العراق من القضايا المهمة نظرا لاهمية هذه الفئة في المجتمع , كونهم يعدون البذار الاول للمجتمع ومن خلالهم يحدد المسار الذي يتوجه اليه. تهتم الدراسة في اعطاء صورة واضحة عن واقع فقر الاطفال في العراق , من خلال ما يعانية الاطفال | Study reality of childhood in Iraq , one of the important issues of the importance of this category in the community , as they are consider the first seed to the community and through them determines the path that goes him. The study is interested in giving a clear picture of the of the reality of child poverty in Iraq , through the suffering of the child cases of deprivation of needs and basic services is saturated by appling Bristol indicators of severe deprivation for children in the calculation of depdeprivations suffred by the children and the severe poverty of children , and classification of children in accordance with the integrated sample poverty and socioeconomic survey of the family for the year 2012 scale , amounting to (25488) families wich included (87118) children , wich were obtained from the ministry of planning / central statistical , which included all the governorates. used in statistical data analysis software (stata version 12 , spss version 21) , as well as use of factor analysis as a way in multivariate statistical analysis of the data to find the most important factors affecting the phenomenon of the child poverty The researcher found through this study that (18.8%) of all children suffered from severe child poverty in 2012 , and the governorate of thi - qar top Iraqi governorates in the proportion of child poverty. It was also classified the children of Iraq in accordance with the integrated poverty measure , as shown through which (8.3%) of the total children suffered chronic poverty (they have suffered poverty according to the style of poverty and style UBN line ) , and (14.5%) suffered a newly poverty ( the have suffered poverty according to the style of the poverty line only ) , (10.2%) is the ratio of children who have suffered structural poverty (they suffered poverty according to the style of UBN only), the children who were classified according to the non - poor poverty measurement method was accounted for (66.9%) of the total children. By using factor analysis to find the most important factors affecting the phenomenon of Child poverty, it shows that there are five factors that control the fifteen variables on the level of Iraq and also on the urban level, either in terms of the rurel were six factors, The variable (severe deprivation of education) the greatest impact in the formation of the first factor on the level of Iraq, either at the urban level was variable (monetary poverty for the family) the greatest impact in the formation of the first factor, as was the rurel to the variable (severe deprivation of information) has the greatest impactin The first factor formation
👁 مشاهدة
تاثير الاوضاع السياسية على الطفولة في العراق خلال الفترة 2006 - 2010
The Impact of Political Status On The Childhood In Iraq During 2006 - 2010
اسم المؤلف:
فائز حامد سلمان السعدون الزيدي
اسم المشرف:
عمر عبد المحسن علي القيسي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تحاول الدراسة الحالية بحث وضع الطفولة في العراق واثر الاوضاع السياسية عليه.فلقد تم دراسة وضع الطفل تحت سن الخامسة باعتبارها الفئة العمرية الاساسية للطفل لفهم واقع الطفولة في العراق ولبناء توجيهات علمية تسلط الضوء على المشاكل العديدة التي تواجه الاطفال بغي | This study attempts to study the status of the childhood in Iraq and the impact of the political situations on it.It tries to study the status of the children under the age of five years for it is the essential age of the child to understand the reality of the childhood in Iraq and to build the scientific guidelines that highlight many problems facing the children in order to have the documented procedure to improve their living conditions. The present study focuses on four fundamental axes.The nutrition axis, health axis, Educational axis, and the social axis. The study has calculated the indicators of these four axes relying on real data of a sample whose size is (18144) families obtained from the Ministry of planning and Development Cooperation/Central Bureau of statistics and Information Technology Data.The Data has been analyzed by the statistical program (SPSS VERSION 12.0) using two methods of statistical tools the field of analyzing data of multilateral variables (Multilateral Analysis) namely, cluster analysis and factor analysis.In the light of the results of the data analysis some conclusions are worth observing : 1. The conclusions showed that 840 of the Iraqi children whose age is under five years suffer from the medium or server weight, and that fifth of the children undergo from being pygmy (their length does not suit their age).2. The conclusions also showed that the majority of death cases of the children under five years 85% occur in infants only.3. 3% of the age (36 - 59 months) joins the education like nursing or kindergarten.4. There are differences among provinces in Iraq with regards to the proportion of orphans among children. The higher average is found in AL - Muthana province 9%, in kerbala 9% and in Diyala 8%. This proportion is a result of the unstable circumstances in these provinces which has been shown by the cluster analysis of this indicator.5. The results of the factor analysis showed that the variables (health effects) have a great effect (impact) on forming the first factor on Iraq in general and on the countryside environments, whereas the nutrition variable have a great impact on forming the first factor on urban environment.
👁 مشاهدة
التنبــؤ بالارقام القياسية لاسعار المستهلك في العراق
Forecasting The Consumer Price Index Number In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
غادة مصطفى عطا
اسم المشرف:
احمد ذياب احمد العزاوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد الرقم القياسي لاسعار المستهلك واحدا من اكثر الادوات الاحصائية استعمالا لقياس التضخم في اقتصاد اي بلد، والهدف الرئيسي من احتساب هذا الرقم القياسي هو رصد التغيرات التي تطرا على اسعار السلع والخدمات وذلك لتقدير التغير في القوة الشرائية لوحدة النقود وم | The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most widely used statistical tools to measure inflation in a country’s economy, the main objective of calculating this index is to monitor changes in the prices of goods and services in order to estimate the change in the purchasing power of money and the subsequent amendment to the wages and the prices on some services to ensure the stability of their purchasing power.Iraq's economy has been suffering for a long time of continuous increase in most of goods and services prices in the local market due to internal and external many factors which led to the deterioration in economic development and have negative impact on economic and social life of consumers specially those who have fixed and limited income، therefore Knowledge of the movement and trends in prices of goods and services in the future will help the planners and decision - makers to put financial and productivity suitable policy to achieve stability in domestic prices.Whereas this research aims to forecasting of the consumer price index numbers in Iraq starting from (January 2015 - December 2016) and for the twelfth commodity groups according to “Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) " throughout using way of time series analysis based upon monthly data for the period (2009 - 2014) that are taken from Central Bureau of Statistical Organization considering year 2007 as the base year because this year is economically stable.Data has been analyzed by using time series cross by Box - Jenkins methodology (Identification, parameters estimation, diagnostic checking model, forecasting) reliance on statistical program ( Gretl - 1.1), the results of analysis showed that after comparison between Box - Jenkins models per each series based on Akaike Information Criterion(AIC), Schwartz Bayesian Criterion (SBC), The best forecasting model of consumer prices index numbers for commodity groups twelve are as follows :
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل واقع استخدام تكنولوجيا المعلومات في العراق (عدا اقليم كردستان) للعام 2008
Analysis of The Reality of The Use of Information Technology In Iraq (Except For The Kurdistan Region) In 2008
اسم المؤلف:
علياء اسماعيل عبيد
اسم المشرف:
عبد المنعم كاظم حمادي الشكري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد تكنولوجيا المعلومات من الجوانب المهمة في قياس تطور الدول في جانب التنمية البشرية.لذلك تم اختيار هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات مسح تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات الذي نفذ خلال عام 2008 من قبل الجهاز المركزي للاحصاء وتكنولوجيا المعلومات واعتماد بيانات | Information technology is an important aspect in measuring the development of states in the human development.Therefore this research were selected supporting by data and survey formation and communication technology which was implemented in2008 by the Central Bureau of Statistics and Information Technology and e adoption of this survey data by using of statistical programs bag ad}` (SPSS 19)To get to the variables of direct impact on information technology and communications to all governorates of (except Kurdistan region) using factor analysis and then ease cluster analysis to determine the extent f convergence among the provinces on this side... In first chapter of the research presented introduction human development and then the goal of research and a brief history of research and thesis of master and doctorate which dealt with one aspects of human development and then some important information about the survey information and communication technology.The second chapter is the theoretical aspect of the research has included four axes, the first axis referred to the measures of human development (education, health, income, a measure development related to gender , human poverty, the enabling of women) and how to calculate each scale...The second axis was included along with information technology and its importance in policy development, education and some applications of information technology, its importance in policy development and education, some technology information, at
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال انموذج الانحدار اللوجستي لدراسة ظاهرة البطالة عند الشباب في محافظة بغداد
Using The Logistic Regression For Study of The Phenomenon of Unemployment Among Young People In Baghdad Province - Study Analytic Statistical
اسم المؤلف:
علي يحيى عبد الرضا
اسم المشرف:
رباب عبد الرضا صالح البكري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد مشكلة البطاله من اخطرالمشكلات التي يواجهها مجتمعنا في الوقت الحاضر لكونها تشكل هدرا لعنصر العامل البشري ولاسيما فئه الشباب القادرة على العمل والعطاء ممايترتب على ذلك اثار سلبية تنبىء بمخاطر اقتصادية واجتماعية,فقد اصبحت ظاهرة البطالة قضية عامه يعاني م | The problem of unemployment of the most serious problems faced by our society at the present time because it constitutes a waste component of the human factor, especially young people capable of work and tender Mmaatertb on that negative effects lay hidden economic and social risks, the unemployment phenomenon has become a cause of public suffering from a lot of members of the community and especially the youth in various scientific levels, age and sex, which led to the high dependency burden in the community, which is reflected on the fabric of social life.The research aims to highlight the most important issue facing the community in time Alhazer a phenomenon of unemployment among young people as research aims to conduct a statistical study of the phenomenon of youth unemployment in the province of Baghdad and to consider the causes or identify the factors that affect them by building a model of logistic regression and find Category cases of the unemployed.The research sample included socio - economic survey of the family to the province of Baghdad and the results of a youth age group (15 - 29 years), according to the Ministry of Planning indicators - Central Bureau of Statistics.Has been used researcher statistical programs ready - made bag (SPSS20) in data and extracting results analysis, it has been the use of multivariate statistical analysis (model logistic regression binary response) to analyze the relationship between variables and access to the variables that actually affect the phenomenon of unemployment among young people in the province of Baghdad.As the researcher through the practical side to the results the following conclusions : - The moral variables included in the model are (sex, Higher Certificate completed by your father does not have a type, the type of environment and age) using the Wald test and the rest of the independent variables is a moral as well as showing that the percentage of correct classification for the views adopted variable after the entry of the independent variables (illustrations) of the model rose about the percentage of correct classification for the views of the model adopted containing the hard limit just as variable ratio increased from (82.5) to the percentag (88.3).
👁 مشاهدة
مستوى تعليم المراة في العراق وتاثيره في امراض الاطفال
The Level of Women'S Education In Iraq And Its Effect On Children'S Diseases
اسم المؤلف:
علي صبيح فرحان الطائي
اسم المشرف:
اسماء نجم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
ان الظاهرة الطبيعية لتعليم الام نجدها تسلك سلوكا غير خطي، ولتحليل تلك الظاهرة نستعمل النماذج اللاخطية لوصفها وتحليلها وانموذج الانحدار اللوجستي يعد واحد من اهم هذه النماذج الاحصائية التي تستعمل لوصف وتحليل تلك الظاهرة وتطبق هذه النماذج عندما تكون المتغي | The natural phenomenon for the education of the mother is found behave in a non - linear, and to analyze this phenomenon, we use non - linear models to describe, analyze and model logistic regression is one of the most important of these statistical models used to describe and analyze this phenomenon and apply these models when they are dependent variables (response) and descriptive and specific variables (Qualitative and limited dependent variables) that is, those that are expressed in a specific set of qualities or facts characteristic((The education of the parents, particularly the mother contributes to the development of public health, especially for children under the age of five and is working to raise the educational level of parents to improve the health and living level and contribute to the dissemination of health education that are part of the general cultureThe research sample included socio - economic survey of households in Iraq results (IHSES - 2012) and carried out by the Central Bureau of Statistics and the body count of the Kurdistan region and for the age group of five years or less.The research aims to use binary logistic regression method to determine the effect of mother's education on children's exposure to disease in Iraq as a whole, according to the environment (urban, rural) and by region (Baghdad, North, South and Central(Depending on the test (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test) show that the chosen model approved variable (Y exposure to the disease) for the whole of Iraq, as well as by region (Baghdad, North, Central and South) and the environment (urban, rural) significantly, meaning that there the effect of mother's education on disease susceptibility especially levels of education (mom, read only) it has been shown that the level of education (my mother (x1 (1) contribute to the increased susceptibility to disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y) at the level of (Iraq as a whole and the environment (urban), the northern region ), while (read only x1 (2)) contributes to reduce exposure to the disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y) at the level of (the environment (the countryside), Baghdad, Central) area, either at the level of the southern region, the (mom x1 (1)) contributes to reduce exposure to the disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y).
👁 مشاهدة
توقعات الطلب المستقبلي للسياحة الدينية فـي محافظتي النجف الاشرف وكربلاء المقدسة
Expectations of Future Demand For Religious Tourism In The Provinces of Najaf And Karbla
اسم المؤلف:
علي حمد الله احمد
اسم المشرف:
محمد جاسم محمد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
من الواضح ان من اهم عمليات تطور الدول هي عملية التخطيط ووضع الخطط المستقبلية وهذا يتطلب اعتماد الاساليب الاحصائية المتقدمة , ومن اهم هذه الاساليب هي طرائق تحليل السلاسل الزمنية والتي تاخذ بالحسبان التغيرات الزمنية في دراسة الظواهر وعليه تم استعمال الانوا | It's acknowledged that planning and setting of foreseen & detailed plans are from the important operations to countries development which requires advanced statistical methods adoption. One of the important methods are the way of time series analysis which depends on time changes in studying phenomena. According to that different types of time series patterns & it`s analysis undertaken , recognizing the most important specifications in build up suitable patterns for studied phenomenon where basic phases adopted in building up patterns related to time series and beginning with identification ,setting of suitable pattern & studied phenomenon forecasting. The true data used for four types of Variables of a number of hotels, number of rooms, number of guests the Iraqis, the number of guests for each of the Iraqi province of Najaf and Karbala province respectively and take the data to time series form 1981 - 2010، was diagnosed using a model AR (1) in the prediction for the years 2011 - 2015
👁 مشاهدة
دراسة احصائية عن العوامل المؤثرة على التضخم في العراق
A Statistical Study On The Factors Affecting Inflation In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
عطا كريم محمود العامري
اسم المشرف:
محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
ان هذا البحث يهدف الى اظهار اهم العوامل والمتغيرات المؤثرة على التضخم في العراق من خلال دراسة عدد من المتغيرات وتحليلها احصائيا باستعمال اسلوبين من التحليل حيث تم استعمال اسلوب التحليل العاملي من خلال استعمال (15) متغير اذ يعتبر هذا الاسلوب من اساليب الت | This research aims to show the most important factors and variables affecting inflation in Iraq through the study of a number of variables and analyzed statistically using the two methods of analysis where the use of the style factor analysis through the use of (15) variable, as is the technique of analysis methods of modern, in addition to using multiple regression approach for the purpose of formulating a model statistically appropriate to predict inflation rates and determine the most important variables affecting it. As it ensures Find four seasons, has included the first chapter the research methodology and previous studies, while the second chapter included the theoretical side of research and was Bembgesan, Section I T_khassalganb theoretical your style factor analysis and its importance and methods of factor analysis with a focus on how the major components, while the second section has included the theoretical regression to the style of its details. It included the third quarter the practical side was Bembgesan, specialty section first application of the style factor analysis and analysis of the structure of the links, either second section has included the use of style gradient to reach the best model regression expresses the relationship between the most important variables illustrations (Independent) and variable adopted, which represents inflation, in addition to the possibility of the use of the model in futureforecasts. .The fourth quarter has included the most important conclusions that have been reached, as well as ensure that the recommendations. Has been the most important conclusions that the average daily exports of crude oil is the most influential on the rates of inflation and this is what led to be one of the important recommendations in the research is to increase exports of crude oil at the present time for the purpose of reducing inflation as the inverse relationship between inflation and average daily crude oil exports, in addition to that it was important recommendations is the diversity of sources of revenue without relying on crude oil imports note that it requires a long period of time.
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال بعض نماذج السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بمحصول الرز في بعض مناطق الوسط والجنوب في العراق
Use Some Time - Series Models To Predict Rice Production In Some Middle And South Areas In Iraq For The Period (1969 - 2014
اسم المؤلف:
عدويه حسن يوسف الطائي
اسم المشرف:
غفران اسماعيل كمال
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
في هذا البحث تم ايجاد الانموذج الافضل لانتاجية محصول الرز للمحافظات ( ذي قار - النجف - القادسية - المثنى - ميسان ) خلال المدة ( 1969 - 2014 ) باستعمال نماذج بوكس جنكنز(Box - Jenkins) ومن ثم التنبؤ بانتاجية الرز, حيث تم فحص وتشخيص بيانات السلسلة الزمنية من | The research aims to find the best model the agricultural production of crop for some Iraqi governorates ( Najaf - Qadisiya - Maysan - DhiQar - Muthanna ) during the period ( 1969 - 2014 ) applying Statistical methods used in forecasting time series models as Box - Jenkins method, of tests to identify the existence of stationary,estimation has been studied and included the using of maximum likelihood estimation method, as well as studying the Diagnostic checking using a number of tests to define the scope of models relevancy that has been estimated for the data examined by depend on confidence interval test and Ljung and Box ,then forecasting for the production of rice crop for the years ( 2015 - 2025 ) , chosen for the province of Najaf and Qadisiya is ARIMA ( 1 , 1 , 1 ) , while the model chosen for the provinces ( DhiQar, Muthanna , Maysan ) is the AR ( 1 ) , by depend on Akaike information criterion (AIC), Hannan Quinn information criterion (H - Q),The significance of the estimated parameters of the model.
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال التحليل العنقودي لبيان تغير نمط الانفاق في العراق للسنوات (1971 - 2010)
اسم المؤلف:
عبير عباس ناصر
اسم المشرف:
لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد الانفاق احد اهم المتغيرات الاقتصادية الاساسية وذلك لارتباطه بمتغيرات اقتصادية اخرى كالانتاج والادخار والدخل والاستثمار حسب مفهوم النظرية الاقتصادية اذ ان ارتفاع مستوى الانفاق يؤدي الى انخفاض مستوى الادخار ومعدلات الاستثمار والانتاجية والدخل، وبحثنا | The spending one of the most important variables and that is related to other economic variables such as production, income, saving and investment rates, productivity and incomes , we discussed this chang shows the spending pattern of families on key goods and services during the period (1971 - 2010) in the years where date are available ,so touched on the reality of living standards for families in Iraq by offering stylish rates on good and services(nine variable according to the system of national accounts) and on the levels(both urban and rural, urban only, rural only)during the period for the purpose of knowing how spending patterns change up or down, have been analyzed on the basis of thes ratios homogeneity or convergence in spending between years using cluster analysis hierarchy in three different wayse (the way the middle, the way the closest ,how far)and clarification of thes percentages in the graph at the level of years each service key once (to see the change in the pattern of spending on the services each during the time period) and at the level of basic services per year again(to see the change in the spending on different services per year)which may help to develop future plans for the advancement of thes families to decent life for these families.
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التنبؤ بحركة الطرود البريدية الصادرة والواردة باستعمال نماذج بوكس وجينكنز
Forecasting The Movement of Incoming And Outcoming Postal Parcels Using Box - Jenkins Models
اسم المؤلف:
عباس دوين عنكوش
اسم المشرف:
اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
مما لاشك فيه ان للتنبؤ دورا مهما وبارزا في عملية اتخاذ القرارات التي ترسم مسار الادارات والهيئات لما له من نتائج ذات فاعلية لاحتوائه على مجموعة من الطرائق والاساليب الاحصائية ومنها طرائق تحليل السلاسل الزمنية واسلوب بوكس وجينكز احدها والذي يعتمد على ت | There is no doubt that prediction has an important and prominent role in the decision - making process, which charts the course departments and agencies, because of its effective results, which has it contains a set of methods and techniques (statistical and Mathematical), and one of this techniques is (Box - Jenkins) modes Postal parcels are stacked goods, its weight might be bigger than small packages. Postal parcels are specified in kilograms, and it doesn’t weight more than twenty - kilogram, and wrapped securely, its also doesn’t contain personal documents. This research aims to predict the movement of incoming and outcoming postal parcels through the modeling of the data used by using (Box - Jenkins) models, and for the time period from January (2009) to December (2014). This research, made a time - series analysis to the Weights and the numbers of sent and received postal parcels, therefore, the best model have been chosen depending on the appropriate trade - offs used standards, and the test results showed that the best model of the four series is ARIMA (0,1,1), depending on the trade - offs standards (MDL), (SBC), (HQ), and upon these results, the conclusions and recommendations were made
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التنبؤ باعداد طلبة المدارس في محافظة بغداد لغاية 2024
Forecasting Numbers of School Students In Baghdad Province Up To 2024
اسم المؤلف:
صهيب اسماعيل عبد اللطيف
اسم المشرف:
اسماء نجم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2017
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
جميعنا يعلم ان التعليم يبدا من خلال مراحل متعددة والتي تشكل سلسلة زمنية يمكن الاستفادة منها والتنبؤ بها من اجل تحسين وتطوير هذا القطاع المهم, مما لاشك فيه ان للتنبؤ دورا مهما وبارزا في عملية اتخاذ القرارات التي ترسم مسار الادارات والهيئات لما له من نتا | We all know that education starts through multiple stages, which constitute a time series that can be tapped and predictable in order to improve and develop this important sector.There is no doubt that to predict an important and prominent role in the decision - making process that paint departments and agencies track because of its ineffective results, because it contains a range of methods and statistical methods, including the methods, time series analysis and style Box and Jenkins, one of them, which depends on the time series of the phenomenon being studied analysis to provide the so - called autoregressive moving averages models characterized that methodology that can predict the data that appear in the future, based on time series data of interest in the past.The research aims to predict the numbers of school students, and educational supplies to the province of Baghdad, using the best model among the Box _ Jenkins models.The most research data numbers, primary and secondary school students in the province of Baghdad and for the period from 1969 until 2014, equivalent to (45) Show, which build a better model was to predict the numbers of students for both phases (primary, secondary), where the researcher found a better specimen prediction for primary school students was the specimen is ARIMA (1,1,3) the best specimen for secondary students is ARIMA (1,1,0) and through a table predictive values for each of the primary and secondary enables the researcher to assess the educational supplies by developments in the preparation of students increase according to the regulations and instructions of the Ministry of Education.Search was divided into four chapters shows the first chapter introduction research and objective of the research and review Reference The second chapter took the theoretical aspect of identifying the theoretical bases of Box_cengnz models in time - series analysis of either the third quarter included the practical side.Was estimated (the number of people to primary and secondary education, the number of primary and secondary schools, the number of teachers, number of teachers, the number of supervisors, the number of supervisors specialists, the number of school trips, the number of books for primary and secondary).The fourth chapter and the latter is for the conclusions and recommendations reached by the researcher that benefit the sound development of plans for the advancement of the educational sector
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تاثير تغير اسعار النفط على موازنة العراق العامة للفترة (2003 - 2014)
The Effect of Changes of Oil Prices By The General Budget For Iraq On Duration (2003 - 2014)
اسم المؤلف:
شيماء محمد احمد
اسم المشرف:
فارس طاھر حسن الكواز
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعتبر الايرادات النفطية والمتمثلة (بايرادات النفط الخام، ايرادات النفط المحلي ) والايرادات غير النفطية والمتمثلة (ايرادات الصناعة والزراعة والتجارة والضرائب وغيرها من الايرادات عدا الايرادات النفطية ) مصادر ممولة لايرادات الموازنة العامة في العراق, حيث ان | It considers oil revenues and of (crude oil revenues, domestic oil revenues) and non - oil revenues and of (industry, agriculture, trade, taxes and other revenue excluding oil revenues, revenues) funded sources of revenue for the general budget in Iraq, where the drop in oil prices has a major impact on oil revenues and therefore It affected the general budget revenues because it is almost entirely dependent on oil revenues. Using multiple linear regression was estimated statistical model for the general budget revenues practically using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (Spss( to see the spirits of each variable and finding the predicted values for the model of the general budget revenue estimates for the period) from 2003 to 2014 (where it was found by the estimates of the budget deficit revenue values public due to lower oil prices.
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دراسة تحليلية للعوامل البيئية المؤثرة على انتاج التمور في محافظة البصرة
An Analytical Study On The Effect of Environmental Elements On Dates Production In Basrah
اسم المؤلف:
سامر عادل عبد الله
اسم المشرف:
تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
اصبح المناخ اليوم من الموضوعات الرئيسية المهمة التي تحتل مرتبة الصدارة لدى جميع دول العالم المتقدمة والنامية، لاسيما بعد ان تبين بوضوح مدى التغيرات التي شهدها في العقود الاخيرة. والتي تحدث اما لاسباب طبيعية نتيجة اختلال في توازن النظام البيئي او لاسباب بش | Climate has become a key topic that occupies the forefront of all developed and developing countries around the world, especially after the climate change witnessed in recent decades, These changes occur due to either natural causes as a result of an imbalance in the ecosystem, or human causes such as human economic activities, these changes affected many aspects of life, one of which is the agriculture, including palm cultivation and dates productionThe aim of this research was to study the effect or the relationship between climate and dates production, which is considered one of the most important crops that can be relied upon economically. This research uses the method of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis to find out the climatic elements effecting the productivity of two types of dates (Helawi and Zehdi). The independent variables (climatic side) were the average of the yearly rates for (Maximum temperatures, Sunshine duration, Relative humidity, Wind speed and Suspended dust) in Basra city for the period (2005 - 2014), and the dependent variable was the average of the palm tree productivity measured in (kg), which represents the (agricultural side). The results showed that there are three factors (variables) affecting dates production of (Helawi), which are (sunshine duration, suspended dust and wind speed) because they were statistically significant. As for the (Zehdi), there were two statistically significant variables, which are (Sunshine and Maximum temperatures). The conclusions and recommendations were founded by using the Stepwise regression in statistical package (SPSS v19)
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استخدام التحليل الاحصائي في دراسة واقع البنى التحتية للاسرة العراقية لعام 2013
The Use of Statistical Analysis In The Study of The Reality of The Infrastructure of The Iraqi Was Captured In 2013
اسم المؤلف:
زهراء علي هاشم
اسم المشرف:
ابتسام كريم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2017
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد دراسة واقع البنى التحتية وتحليل مؤشراته ومحدداته من القضايا المهمة بالنسبة للعراق الذي يهدف الى تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاجتماعية بصورة اكثر واقعية. لذلك اختير هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات مسح خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات في العراق الذي نفذ خلال ال | The study of the reality of infrastructure and the analysis of indicators and determinants are important issues for Iraq, which aims to achieve economic and social development more realistically. Therefore, this research was selected using the data of the survey of the poverty map and maternal mortality in Iraq carried out during the year 2013 by the Central Statistical Organization and using the SPSS to reach the variables that have a direct impact on the level of the infrastructure of the Iraqi family. The analysis was used to analyze the relationship between the twelve variables to reach the factors that actually affect the level of infrastructure, which included housing, electricity, water, sewage system, basic services. The cluster analysis method was adopted and the data of the twelve variables were converted to the standard formula. To eliminate the difference of units of measurement of these variables and thus ensure the validity of the implementation of the stage related to the process of data classification and determine the extent of the relationship between the Iraqi provinces in terms of similarity or difference and in the last stage to enter the methods of analysis and analysis. Two main methods of analysis were used : the main vehicle method and the main axis method. It was obtained through the results of the main vehicles method that there were two factors (the value of the underlying root is greater or equal to the correct one) namely housing, electricity, water and basic services factor with an explanatory capacity of 85.469 (847.82%) of the total variance, and the remaining 17.153% of the total variance, and the remaining 14.531% Due to other factors. Thus, the cluster analysis used two methods of hierarchical analysis, ie, the single link and the total linkage. The results were close to some minor differences among them. Most of the aggregates' tables were close to a small difference in transactions. This difference depends on the methodology of each method.
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تحليل احصائي مقارن لواقع الصناعات الغذائية في العراق لسنة 2007
Comparative Statistical Analysis of The Reality of The Food Industry In Iraq For The Year 2007
اسم المؤلف:
رعد عبد الرزاق علي
اسم المشرف:
سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
‘تعد الصناعات الغذائية ركنا اساسيا من اركان الاقتصاد لما لها من قدرة وفاعلية على انعاش وتحريك مجمل العمليات الاقتصادية في البلاد. ولانجاز هذا البحث اعتمد الباحث على بيانات المسح الصناعي الزراعي الذي نفذ سنة 2007. استعمل الباحث اسلوب تحليل التباين ذي | Food industry is a cornerstone of the economy because of their ability and effectiveness in the rehabilitation and move the overall economic processes in the country. To accomplish this research the researcher depended on the agro - industrial survey data which was implemented in 2007. Researcher used the method of analysis of variance one - way, to make comparisons between the activities of different food. Was chosen for this purpose are five important variables : production, productivity, value added, fixed assets, number of employees. The results indicated the existence of significant differences between activities, in some provinces and the lack of significant differences in other provinces for these variables. As well as the researcher used the method of factor analysis, to study the problems faced by food establishments, to find out the problems that actually affect the performance level of the plant food. Has had problems related to exports the greatest weight in the composition of the Working President(I),namely : 1.Sellingpriceslow. 2.Externaldemand is not enough.3. Competitive exporters of the Middle East.4. Compete with Chinese products. 5. Compete with other exporters.6. The lack of information on foreign markets. 7. The existence of competition between the exporters and the Iraqis
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تحليل الاهداف الانمائية للالفية في العراق
Study The Statistical Analysis of The Millennium Development Goals In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
رسول هادي عبد المنعم
اسم المشرف:
تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
The goal of the Millennium Development Goals is to promote development by improving social and economic conditions in the poorest countries in Amah at The United Nations Declaration on the Millennium adopted by all Member States in September - September - 2000 of the most important decisions of the General Assembly taken at the end of the last century, as is in a number of commitments aimed at improving the lot of man at the beginning of the third millennium, to conclude that these goals a commitment to development and security, peace and gender equality and the elimination of the multiple dimensions of poverty and achieve sustainable development. It should be noted that most of the goals set by the announcement of the Millennium is not new but derived from the recommendations of global conferences held in the nineties and which was adopted rules and international laws over the past Considered as indicators of the Millennium Development multifaceted, as it contributes in the monitoring of economic and social changes, in addition to the preparation of development plans to improve the status of activities that suffer from a lack of performance at the state level, either at the level of the world are through the provision of indicators for international comparisons, which helps in making decisions on economic, trade and deal with external debt... Etc., and come to the donor countries to take decisions on aspects of assistance, especially emergency assistance and direct form of assistance with time and according to the monitoring of changes in society. And that the goals are the results rather than inputs, where that eating the Millennium Development Goals focuses mostly on the eight goals and objectives of digital and the time frame for achieving them to be a reference to evaluate and monitor the development goals in countries Almokhtlfahomen this sense Akhtaralbages this research and using the system of statistical programs ready SPSS to get to the adoption of analytical methodology using my style factor analysis and cluster analysis in the analysis of these indicators at the level of the provinces where the state acquires Find in the Millennium Development Goals in Iraq is particularly important because of the national decline in the indicators of social and economic development and seek to adopt policies that are in achieving those goals.The research includes five chapters include the first chapter Mekdmaaama and the idea of the Millennium Development Goals, data sources and target research and methodology, and backgrounds of study submitted for analysis of global and cluster analysis and research topic also included Chapter II Showing the Millennium Development Goals, targets and indicators with a brief description on the indicators that have been taken under consideration and an outline of the efforts made in the Arab region in achieving the Millennium Development Goals and the statement of its progress and achievements and its attention to these goals, the third chapter has included explaining factor analysis and cluster analysis used in the statistical analysis included the fourth quarter the interpretation of the results obtained through the study (Urban and Rural Areas), and attended, and Rural Areas [The fifth chapter has included the conclusions and recommendations
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استعمال نماذج بوكس وجينكنز للتنبؤ بكمية الانتاج لبعض المنتجات النباتية والحيوانية في محافظة بغداد
Using Box And Jenkins Models To Forecasting The Amount of Production of Some Plant And Animal Products In Baghdad Province
اسم المؤلف:
رباب علي عبد الرحمن السهيل
اسم المشرف:
ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد القطاع الزراعي المتمثل بالانتاج النباتي والحيواني في العراق من القطاعات الرئيسة في الاقتصاد العراقي اذ يساهم في تكوين الناتج القومي الاجمالي، ويعد اهمال القطاع الزراعي من المراحل الاولى لظهور بوادر الازمة الغذائية احد اهم العوامل الكامنة وراء تعميق ال | The agricultural sector of plant and animal production in Iraq is one of the key sectors of the Iraqi economy wich contributes to the formation GNP, the neglect of the agricultural sector from the early stages of the emergence of signs of food crisis. One of the main factors behind the deepening food shortages in addition to the lack of succes of agricultural policies in placet o reduce the dependency of food outside and achieve self - suffciency in the country and that any development strategy to achieve food security in the country must take a development in the agricultural sector. To be able to study the changes that happen in the economic phenomena in the future and determining the values of these changes has tob e set up to rely on time - series analysis and that the time series have some numerical values for a statistical index that reflects the change phenomenon for time, and there are some analysis for the series in time zone from the most important statistical methods that are used to predict the values of random phenomena in the future based on what happend in the past, wich helps in future plan for a peaceful economic development and the most important methods are the time series model developed by the Box - Jenkins methodology for a seasonal subseries plot or a spectral plot. The research aims to predict the amount of domestic production and import of all of the Tomato and Chicken, so using the best model of the Box - Jenkins models.And in the search data to quantity of domestic production and import of each tomato and chicken in Baghdad province - Iraq BI - monthly inputs for time zone between January 2012 until december 2014, at rate of 72, the data was obtained from the directorate of Agriculutral - Baghdad Al Reafa - Statistics department. It’s also has been updated into the gretl program. The study consisted of both the theoretical side of the identification of the theoretical foundations of the Box - Jenkins methodology of the time series and after that the applied to the side of the the best model to predict domestic production to quantity and import of each tomato and chicken, after all that the researcher have a some conclusions and recommendations that benefit the peaceful development and plans for the advancement of the agricultural sector and the most important thing is, that the imported Tomatoes and Chickens is more than the locally produced ones, which indicates that the country depends on the imported Tomatoes and Chickens more than the produced.
👁 مشاهدة
اثر عوامل الجذب والطرد لسكان المحافظات في العراق للفترة (1997م - 2011م) (عدا اقليم كوردستان) : دراسة احصائية
The Effect of Attraction And Expulsion Factors of Population In The Provinces of Iraq For Period (م 1997 - م2011) (Except Kurdistan) - Statistical Study
اسم المؤلف:
دري حميد جاسم السلامي
اسم المشرف:
سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد نظرية عوامل الجذب والطرد من اكثر النظريات شيوعا في تحليل الاسباب التي تدفع بالافراد الى الهجرة، وتقوم النظرية ببساطة على ان الناس تهاجر لان هناك عوامل طاردة لهم من موطنهم الاصلي، او ان هناك عوامل جاذبة لهم في المنطقة المضيفة.لهذا السبب اهتم هذا الب | The theory of attractions and expulsion are the most common theories in the analysis of the causes that drive individuals to immigration, the theory is simply that people migrate because there are factors expelling them from their place of origin, or there are factors attractive to them in the host region.For this reason interested in this research study this phenomenon aided statistical analysis (using multiple linear regression method), to determine the factors of attraction and expulsion and to identify the size of the migration of the population in the provinces of Iraq (Excluding the Kurdistan region), the currents and trends and any areas more attractive to residents, which is more parcels of the population, as well as knowledge of migrations and coming out of each of the five governorates century on the level of Iraq, according to the results of the general census of the population in 1997, And projections up to 2008, data and the results of the inventory and punctuation for the year 2009 and projections up to the year 2011, and the data that has been obtained from the concerned ministries official (Health, education, agriculture, electricity), study of the impact of health factors, And education, agriculture and services (electricity and water) on this migration.The researcher found that there are some factors have an impact in some provinces attractant as the number of schools in the province of Nineveh, unlike others with influence reverse as the number of faculty members in Basra province, and
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال اساليب السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بالتضخم الشهري في العراق للسنوات 2017 - 2021
Using Time Series Models To Forecasting The Monthly Inflation In Iraq For (2017 - 2021)
اسم المؤلف:
خوله جعفر احمد
اسم المشرف:
فارس طاھر حسن الكواز
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2017
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يشكل التضخم عائقا امام تنمية الدولة لما يقع عليه من اضرار اقتصادية واجتماعية لذا تحرص الدول على متابعة سلوكه احصائيا من اجل اخذ الحيطة والحذر والحيلولة دون ارتفاعه عن طريق اتخاذ القرارات السليمة ورسم السياسات الكفوءة.لذا يهدف البحث الى ايجاد افضل انموذ | Inflation forms an obstacle to the country's development because due to its influence on the economic and social damage, so the state is keen to follow up on its conduct statistically in order to take caution and prevent rising through sound decision - making and efficient fee policies.So research aims to forecast the inflation rates Through a series of inflation on the one hand and a series of indices on the other hand, for the period (Jan 2017 - Dec 2021) and reaching any strings best in the prediction by models (Box - Jenkins) and based on the indices data for the period (Jan 2009 - Dec 2015), through the modeling of the data in accordance with the methodology (Box - Jenkins) to build models starting from the diagnosis stage and the ending in the stage to predicting forecasting ,so several types of (ARIMA) models have been proposed, including choosing the most appropriate model specimen , according to the trade - off criteria (RMSE, MAPE , BIC, AIC, Schwarz, Hannan - Quinn), then used the possible greatest function in the estimation of the model specimen parameters, it has conducted tests (Ljung - Box, test my own confidence and Normal distribution of errors test) to determine the appropriateness of the model diagnosed, and then made a future forecasts according to the model, specimen It is better to get of the results based on the ready softwares (SPSS - 22) and the program (Gretl - 1.1) and the results that have been reached were, series of inflation rates stable in mean ,seires indices of consumer prices is'nt stable, where it has a general trend stabilized after taking the first difference and depending on the test (Augmented Dickey Fuller), and was reached that the best model for forecasting inflation of inflation series is a specimen ARIMA (0,0,2) (1,0,1)12 and using the indices series is a model ARIMA (0,1, 2) (1,0,0) 12 and if we make a comparison between the two models forecasting predictions concluded that the forecasting prediction by using a series of inflation gives better results than using the indices to predict a series where the average to smooth the predicted average inflation closer to the original series and therefore, the predictive values of rates inflation closer to the values of the original series viewing And that curve prediction of a series of inflation rates better than the curve predictions using the indces as he gave finer predictions and longer periods of time.
👁 مشاهدة
قياس الفقر متعدد الابعاد في العراق باستعمال مؤشرات اكسفورد OPHI
Measuring Multidimensional Poverty Using Oxford Indicators (OPHI)
اسم المؤلف:
حمدي محسن عليوي
اسم المشرف:
نبيلة عبد الهادي الشريف
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
ان الدراسات والبحوث التي تخص الفقر متعدد الابعاد لم تجد اهتماما الا في السنوات القليلة الماضية ولاسيما بعد ان اطلقت مبادرة اكسفورد التابعة لبرنامج الامم المتحده الانمائي تقرير التنمية البشرية لعام 2010، حينها اصبح الاتجاة بالتحول من نمط القياس الفردي الى | Studies and researches that concerned in multidimensional poverty did not find any attention, except for the last few years especially after the initiative of oxford - the report of human development of 2010, since then, the pattern changed from the single measurement to multi measurement, by describing poverty in many variables instead of one variable (income). According to the initiative of oxford - the report of human development, Multidimensional poverty on a national scale in Iraq contain five main dimensions dimension consists several indicators (education, basic services, level of living, feeding and health and employment), each dimension consists several indicators. This study came to measure multidimensional poverty and knowing the poor rate and the poverty severity, on a national scale in Iraq and its(18) governorates, and also on an Environmental Scale (rural, urban), and then using the analysis of multidimensional poverty (Principal component Method), to determine the variables causing in forming these elements which affect multidimensional poverty, on the other side, and the central statistical organization also can benefit from this study, because this method has been used in Iraq recently. The main conclusions of the research was that the multidimensional poverty has recorded differences in Poverty rates between the governorates, since that (Erbil) has recorded the lowest Poverty rate than other governorates, and when compared with (Wasit) which has recorded the highest Poverty rate, it will show that on each poor individual in (Erbil), on the other hand there is Five poor individuals in (Wasit), also the severity of poverty was high in all of the Governorates, even in governorates that has low poverty rates. On the Environmental scale (rural, urban), the multidimensional poverty in rural was four times bigger than urban. The results also shown that There are five main elements that affects multidimensional poverty on an Iraq scale, in another side, there were six elements effecting in (rural, urban) scale.
👁 مشاهدة
مقارنة احصائية للحالة الصحية لاطفال المحافظات الجنوبية دون الخمس سنوات بين عام 2006 و2011
Statistical Comparison of The Health Status of Children Under Five Southern Provinces Between The Years 2006 And 2011
اسم المؤلف:
حسين عيسى مسلم القريشي
اسم المشرف:
اسماء نجم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
العراق هو احد الدول التي عانى اطفاله من ظروف صعبة جدا , فواقع العراق السياسي جعل اجيال عدة تعيش في ظروف انسانية غير طبيعية لعقود من الزمن ان هذا البحث يهدف الى اجراء مقارنة للحالة الصحية للاطفال دون سن الخمس سنوات في المحافظات الجنوبية بين2006 و2011 اعتم | Iraq is one of the states that children suffering from very difficult circumstances, the reality of Iraq's political make several generations living in abnormal humane conditions for decades that this research is aimed at a comparison of the health status of children under five years of age in the southern provinces between 2006 and 2011, a researcher in the study approved the cluster survey data multi - third variables in the 2006 survey cluster multi - fourth variables in 2011, which Ajerthm the Ministry of planning / Central Bureau of Statistics, was taking the most important influences on children's health, including malnutrition, disease, diarrhea, respiratory infections, vaccines, drinking water, sanitation health, quality of feeding, social, educational and axis through the use of style analysis world by using Principal Component analysis to derive the most explanation of the health status of the children of Iraq in two years, factors and through the use of some software statistical shelf SPSS to show results concluded the researcher as shown by the results of the analysis the World in 2006 for the provinces as a whole that there are five significant factors that control the thirteen variables involved in the search on the southern provincial level either in the year 2011 for the provinces, the results showed the presence of four significant factors that control the three variables ten We note that the number of factors decrease between two and it conclude that health status in advance, either for the environment. in the year 2006 showed the results of factor analysis of the present, there were five significant factors that control the variables as a whole Lama in 2011 Veugd also five influential moral factors in health status and conclude that there is no difference in health status between the two for the present, As for the countryside were the results of the analysis the global him that he showed in 2006, there are five significant factors that control the thirteen variables involved in the search and in the year 2011, the results showed the presence of five moral factors controlling the variables and here we conclude that the lack of difference in the number of factors for the countryside between the two but there is an increase in the strong variables within the factors in the year 2006, which infer the existence of a very simple interest in rural health. the results also showed that the strongest variables influence the health aspect which vaccines variables making it one of the most important variables for the years 2006 and 2011 and we can call this component component health and that the strongest variables and rank second is the second component as included variables (diarrhea, coughing disease, the quality of the land housing, child's height, weight of the child, breastfeeding, the child's age, number of children under five years in the family) and we can call this vehicle as the (environment Child). It is the most important recommendations were are 1 - Give the subject of child health under five years of great interest by the state and the provision of supplies for all of it 2 - the need for attention and attendance routine vaccines to take the vaccines in a timely manner with the need to keep Bacart vaccines to know when the vaccine 3 - Increase health campaigns carried out by the Ministry of Health and for more than a vaccine as well as increased dropouts campaigns for all routine vaccines
👁 مشاهدة
واقع الخصوبة في العراق بالاعتماد على خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات لسنة 2013 : دراسة احصائية
The Reality of Fertility In Iraq Based On Poverty And Maternal Mortality Map For 2013 Statistical Study
اسم المؤلف:
بشرى نصيف جاسم
اسم المشرف:
ابتسام كريم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد الخصوبة احدى المكونات الرئيسة الثلاثة التي تقرر معدل النمو السكاني الى جانب الوفيات والهجرة. ومن ثم فهي تؤثر في مجمل البنية الديمغرافية والاقتصادية والاجتماعية للسكان وفي هجرتهم وتوزيعهم الجغرافي. وتعد الولادة عاملا بايولوجيا اكثر تعقيدا واصعب دراسة | Fertility is one of the three main components that determine the rate of population growth as well as mortality and migration. And thus it affects the overall demographic, economic and social structure of the population and in their migration and geographical distribution. Birth of biological factor is more complex and more difficult study of global deaths and migration due to the complexity and diversity of influences and volatility. fertility is calculated by the number of children born in a given year to the number of women in the age group (15 - 49) for the same year. And that the birth rate is controlled by several decisions about child - bearing or not.It has been estimated that fertility rates of direct and indirect ways by using the method (Brass and the way Cole - Trassel) In addition to identifying the most important factors that affect the total fertility rate by relying on survey data map of poverty and maternal mortality for the year 2013 for the purpose of calculating the total fertility rate for IraqI province (18 Province) direct method as well as the calculation of the independent variables, which is believed to have an impact on total fertility rates that have used one of the statistical packages which is Spss21 using multiple regression Stepwise factors method is a (family size, average per capita income, per capita spending on health, infant mortality rate, the proportion of poverty, the percentage of married - old (15 - 49), the percentage of illiterate women (15 - 49), the percentage of economically active women, the percentage of women in rural areas, the percentage of women with chronic diseases (15 - 49), change the place of residence (internal migration), the average age at marriage, percentage of the population under 15 years, the percentage of homes equipped with national electrolyte, the percentage of women (15 - 49) in addition to the use of the program (Spectrum) to estimate the total fertility and the preparation of the population and the rate of annual population growth and life expectancy of death as well as the median age for the period (2013 - 2050), according to fertility assumptions (high, medium and low level) for the purpose of population policy in the long run as well as the review of the most important demographic theories that are related to fertility and estimate a record number of fertility in Iraqi , and calculating the national fertility index for the year 2013 in Iraq, which amounted (14%) also were awarded a singles record (INP) of fertility on the basis of considering the 1997 base year
👁 مشاهدة
تقدير دالة الانتاج لبعض الصناعات التحويلية : دراسة تطبيقية
Estimating The Production Function For Some Manufacturing Industries (Application Study)
اسم المؤلف:
براء خليل ابراهيم
اسم المشرف:
احلام احمد جمعة
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد الصناعات التحويلية من الفروع الاساسية للقطاع الصناعي وهي احدى الانشطة الانتاجية التي ترتكز عليها الدول وتشغل موقعا مركزيا في اقتصاديات المجتمعات من حيث مساهمتها في دفع التنمية الاقتصادية, ومن المعروف ان زيادة الانتاج في اي منشاة صناعية يعتمد على مست | Transform manufacturing is one of the principle branches of the industrial sector which is one of the productive activities that countries emphasize and occupies a central position in the economies of the communities in terms of their contribution to economic development. It is well known that to increase production of any industrial facility depends on the level of productivity for each element of the production line. The goal of this research is; to find an estimate of the production function coefficients (Cobb - Douglas) for some manufacturing model, in a small industrial facilities in addition to the estimate of Multiple Linear Regression model to demonstrate the contribution of the factors of production to the number of employees and the value of input parameters (Independent Variables) on the value of production (Dependent Variables) by using the data that have been obtained from the annual reports issued by the Industrial Statistics Directorate of the Central Statistical Organization, for the period of (1990 - 2014) and thus address the research in theoretical side to a function (Cobb - Douglas) and their characteristics to the Multiple Linear Regression model. The results has shown that all the regression models were all true and statistically significant and satisfy the assumptions of the basic normals of the least squares. On the other hand the model for manufacturing of leather products suffered from the problem of Autocorrelation has been addressed, as (Cobb - Douglas) function estimates showed that industries with intensive use of labor as a reflection to a flexible working capital compared with the flexibility and facilities characterized by increasing returns to scale and characterized as labor intensive.
👁 مشاهدة
استخدام التحليل العنقودي في تصنيف القرى المنتجة للمحاصيل الشتوية في العراق للفترة من 2005 - 2014
The Use of Cluster Analysis To Classify Villages Producing Winter Crops In Iraq For The Period From 2005 - 2014
اسم المؤلف:
ايمان احمد ياسين
اسم المشرف:
لقاء علي محمد العلوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد القطاع الزراعي من القطاعات الاقتصادية المهمة والتي تسهم وبدور كبير في تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاكتفاء الذاتي في البلدان النامية والمتقدمة على حد سواء. كذلك تسهم في تكوين الناتج المحلي الاجمالي للبلدان النامية. لذا ولاهمية هذا القطاع الحيوي فقد تط | The agricultural sector of the important economic sectors that contribute to the large role in achieving economic development and self - sufficiency in developing and developed countries alike. As well as contribute to the formation of the gross domestic product of developing countries. So to the importance of this vital sector has dealt with the subject of classification producing provinces for wheat and barley crops, This research aims to study the problem of classification producing provinces for wheat and barley crops in Iraq except Kurdistan region for the year 2005 and 2014 and the statement of the most productive agricultural provinces of both crops winter The importance of this the problem is that to study the basic winter field crops in Iraq which are represented by wheat and barley, that occupy a prominent place for food security for both producers and consumers in Iraq I have been using cluster analysis and analysis of variance two way in data analysis and use as well as in the classification of producing provinces for wheat and barley crops based on clusters extracted from analysis and research found a number of results to reach a state of clustering between some provinces according to the homogeneity of winning them according to the average yields dunum of the total area and also depending on the style of the bilateral variation, which helps in the moral values and the test that caused this moral knowledge analysis for the period from 2005 - 2014. The software used is the statistical package SPSS program.
👁 مشاهدة
استخدام التحليل العنقودي في تصنيف الاسر حسب مستويات المعيشة في العراق للمدة 2006 - 2007
The Use of Cluster Analysis In The Classification of Households By Levels of Living In Iraq For The Period 2006 /2007
اسم المؤلف:
امجد سامي جوني
اسم المشرف:
فراس احمد محمد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعبر مستويات المعيشة عن حالة الاشباع والحرمان التي يعاني منها الفرد او الاسرة في مجال الخدمات الاساسية والحاجات الضرورية المقدمة من اجهزة الدولة كالمجال التعليمي والصحي والسكني والبنى التحتية والمجال الاقتصادي والمعيشي وغيرها من المجالات الخدمية الاساسية | Reflect the living standards on the state of satisfaction and deprivation suffered by the individual or household of basic services and necessities provided by the government concerning educational, health, housing, infrastructure and economic sphere, and livelihood and other areas of basic services that help households in their daily lives, governments therefore variables addressed through this research to view the reality of the living standards of households at the level of Iraq and the level of (18), which will be analyzed through the description and presentation, and then assembled on the basis of homogeneity or convergence located in the living standards of households among to get to the assembled in the cluster one at the level of Iraq, using cluster analysis and which you can reach to the description of levels of the rates of deprivation and lack of satisfaction experienced by these households in the level of services provided to them within these areas, helping to develop plans to ensure to address the vulnerability of existing and less time, effort and cost. For the purpose of the completion of this work has been divided this research into four chapters : In the first chapter touched on the importance and purpose of this study and previous studies, while the second chapter dealt with the theory and some basic concepts of clustering and the phenomenon of denial, while the third chapter dealt with the practical side of the data obtained, and in Chapter IV has been developed the most important conclusions and recommendations. In addition to that the study contains attachments to the development of the most important charts, tables, graphs and sources page
👁 مشاهدة
تقدير عجز الوحدات السكنية في العراق لعام 2010
Estimated Deficit of Housing Units In Iraq For 2010
اسم المؤلف:
اسامة عبد العزيز كاظم القريشي
اسم المشرف:
محمد جاسم محمد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
المحور الاول : تقدير العجز السكني لعام 2010 للعراق ماعدا اقليم كردستان. المحور الثاني : التنبؤ بالحاجة السكنية لغاية عام 2016 للعراق ماعدا اقليم كردستان. يتضح ان مشكلة السكن في العراق مشكلة متفاقمة ومعقدة اذ تحتاج الى تضافر جهود مؤسسات الدولة باكملها | The study can be summarized as the following : First : Estimate housing deficit for the year 2010 in Iraq , except Kurdistan region. Second : Prediction of need for housing up to the year 2016 in Iraq except Kurdistan region. It is clear that the housing problem in Iraq is a growing problem and complex which require efforts of whole institutions , and the private sector as it specify the country,s housing deficit for the year 2010 , except Kurdistan Estimated by (2093048 ) housing unit the residential housing deficit Estimated for households , while the Estimated value of the magor hit (3460840) housing units that represent the Estimated housing deficit of nuclear families , while residential future needed unil 2016 , except Kurdistan region , identified the two values , while Estimated (2797840) housing units while residential future need of households , Estimated magor hit (4704699) housing unit.
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل احصائي لواقع العمالة وتياراتها واتجاهاتها في محافظات مختارة من العراق
A Statistical Analysis of The Realy of Emeeployment And Trends In Selected Provinces of Lraq
اسم المؤلف:
احمد هادي عبد العزيز الذهب
اسم المشرف:
سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
The working class is the slide in the broader community and is the main pillar upon which all countries of the world in all Economic sectors and development is the basis for progress and development in all fields. The difference in employment between the provinces as well as the disparity in services led to the disparity in the size of labor between provinces that's why I'm interested in this research study this phenomenon Mstaan statistical analysis (use of linear regression multi), to determine the factors that affect the size of the labor for the three provinces of Iraq and any provinces over the size of the labor on the level of Iraq, according to results of the survey of employment in 1987, to the year 2001, and the data that have been obtained from the concerned ministries official (health, education, agriculture, electricity), and study the impact of the factors of health, education, agriculture and services (electricity and water) on a volume of employment. The researcher found that there are some factors have an impact extrusive (positive) in some provinces as the number of schools in the province of Nineveh, unlike others with the opposite effect as the number of faculty members in the province of Basra, for the lack of Quotient in the number of schools in that province.
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل احصائي لمؤشرات الثروة الحيوانية في العراق للسنوات 2001 - 2008
A Statistical Analysis of Indicators For Livestock In The Country For The Years 2001 - 2008
اسم المؤلف:
احمد كاظم حسن العصامي
اسم المشرف:
مهدي محمد البياع
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2011
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعيش الانسان بالاعتماد على الغذاء الذي وفر له من مختلف القنوات النباتية والحيوانية والمصنعة التي تساعده على انجاز متطلبات حياته وبذلك يعد الغذاء ثروة استراتيجية تقوم عليها البشرية ويتحقق من خلالها الامان والاستقرار. شهد في التاريخ القديم والحديث ا | Human lives, depending on the food provided to him from the various channels of plant, animal and manufactured to help him to accomplish the requirements of his life and so is the food wealth strategy underlying the human and through which security and stability. Seen in ancient and modern history many wars in which the main objective was to maintain food sources and increasing wealth in it. And the nation that meet the food security situation of up to a state of political and economic stability, financial and social well - being by increasing and reducing tensions. The food of animal forms and outputs (meat, milk and eggs... etc) of the most important sources of food and the highest in peace for the content of food materials according to the task of the human body. It is here specifically highlights the importance of livestock to the peoples and nations and try to increase it for the reasons contained in the above. And will take care of this thesis to study the reality of livestock in the country based on census data, which included indicators of animal production and conducted in a number of years where the trend in bringing about development in livestock production necessarily requires the provision of many of the requirements necessary to achieve this development The prediction of the most important influences statistical help his resolution to take the right decision and here the researcher using the regression models written multiple (Multiple Linear Regression) to identify the most important factors that help to increase the livestock in the country have also been using a number of important indicators in reading the reality of wealth animal with a growing population
👁 مشاهدة
اثر الاستثمار على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1970 - 2010) : دراسة تطبيقية باستخدام طريقة OLS وSURE والمقارنة بينهما
The Impact of Investment On Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (1970 - 2010) Empirical Study Using The Method of OLS And SURE And The Comparison Between Them
اسم المؤلف:
احمد جمال احمد
اسم المشرف:
فراس احمد محمد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يهدف البحث الى بناء انموذج اثر الاستثمار على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق من خلال استعمال طريقتي (OLS) الكلاسيكية وطريقة (SURE) لمعالجة مشكلة معادلات الانحدار غير المرتبطة ظاهريا بين الاخطاء والمقارنة بينهما.اذ تناول البحث في الفصل الاول المقدمة واهمية البح | The research aims to build a model of the impact of investment on economic growth in Iraq through the use of my way (OLS) and the classic way (SURE) to address the problem of regression equations between seemingly unrelated errors and the comparison between them.The discussion dealt with in the first chapter provided and the importance of research, and the aim of the research problem as well and then review the reference.RPR while the second chapter (theory) the relationship between investment and economic growth in economic theory, addressing the basic concepts and comprehensive definition of investment as well as the areas of investment and investment tools and then touched on the concept of economic growth and theories in economic growth.The third chapter (the theoretical economic) descriptive eat indicators of economic growth in Iraq and then touched on the spending of public investment (government) and then the investment budget and the efficiency of the implementation for the period (1990 - 2006) by virtue of the available data, as well as indicators of economic growth and we dealt with indicators study a GDP and gross capital formation has been divided into the length of time in order to decomposition economically and give a clearer picture of economic growth in Iraq's first period (1970 - 1990) and the second for the period (1990 - 2000) and the third for the period (2000 - 2010), then moved to the statistical methods Used in Chapter IV (the theoretical statistical) as we dealt with the topics following simple introduction about the time series, and we talked about the autocorrelation of the first class and scheduling data double all three, and the system of regression equations is associated with the ostensibly ", and the method of regression is associated with the surface (SURE), and measures of comparison, a competency , and the average absolute percentage error.The fifth chapter (the practical side) has dealt with an explanation of the analysis statistically for handling missing data and the method used in the analysis and assessment of the data by programs, statistical analysis (MATHLAB & SPSS) and interpret the results of the analysis as well as test the moral models both separately, then the conclusions and recommendations and finally "sources, tables and appendices.
👁 مشاهدة
دراسة احصائية عن واقع البطالة بين محافظات العراق
Statistical Paper “ Un Employment Reality Among Governorates In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
اثير محمد ناجي عزت
اسم المشرف:
سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2016
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
ان دراسة ظاهرة البطالة وتحليل اهم العوامل ذات الاثر الاكبر باتجاه سلوكها من الامور المهمة للعراق والذي يهدف الى التقليل من حدتها في المجتمع. ويعد مفهوم البطالة من المفاهيم التي اخذت اهمية كبرى في المجتمعات المعاصرة من حيث البحث والاستقصاء، لذا انصب ال | The study of unemployment phenomenon and analysis for the most important factors which has the most affected towards its conduct , is from the significant matters for Iraq that is aimed to reduce its solitude in society. The unemployment theory has taken a great importance at modern societies concerning research and examination , therefore we focus our importance mainly on unemployment by political decision makers. Perhaps the worse and highlighted features of economic crisis which is faced by each of Arabic and developed countries is aggravation of unemployment problem which is the extrusive increasing of members who have an ability and willing for work and researchers for work without finding it. Therefore the researcher chose making use of Iraqi Household of Social & Economical Survey data which performed during two years (2007, 2012) and by using the Package of SPSS v.20 in order to receive to social and economical variables which affects in prevalence of unemployment phenomenon and its classification among governorates. Based on factorial analyses manner in extraction the most important factors that affects in describing unemployment phenomenon conduct during matrix analyses for correlation among studying variables, it has chosen a group of variables for two years which explained the interaction method of these variables and the importance of each variable also making use of clustering analysis to classify it among governorates, and defining the convergence & divergence extent among governorates according to the studied variables and analyses clusterization stages for two years. The paper contains four chapters, chapter one : concludes introduction, objective, methodology, data source, referential review for collection of studies and researches concerned to the subject and analysis manner, chapter two : concludes the theoretical side that involves statistical analysis by using factorial and clustered analysis manner, chapter three contains the applicative side for research by applying the analyses for indicators which is concluded and knowing the important factors which has the great affection by defining the phenomenon conduct and the method of classification among governorates, chapter four contains conclusions we reached and sources and recommendations.The result of factorial analysis explains that the most exaggerate importance variables on unemployment is the hardness for getting a work and has appeared this affected for both two years 2007 &2012, its significance at governorates (Missan , Al Muthana , and Sulymania ) for 2012, (Missan , Al Muthana , and Erbil) for 2007, also the results explains clustered analysis that there is clusteralization of bordering and non bordering south governorates for studied variables for 2012, as well as north and middle governorates while at 2007 the clusteralization was for bordering & non bordering south governorates but not clusteralization for north governorate with south governorate, there was intimacy for Baghdad for these two years by regarding the clusteralization at the last stage with remainder of governorates as it regards the capital and the biggest governorate by it’ s population
👁 مشاهدة
العوامل المؤثرة في تسرب طلبة مدارس مدينة بغداد : دراسة احصائية
Factors Affecting Schools In The City of Baghdad Leak Students : A Statistical Study
اسم المؤلف:
ياسر كاظم حميد
اسم المشرف:
لقاء علي محمد العلوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد موضوع التسرب المدرسي من المواضيع المهمة والمشاكل الكبرى التي لا بد من الوقوف على اسبابها ونتائجها وطرق علاجها اذ ترتبط هذه المشكلة بمشاكل اجتماعية واقتصادية كبيرة لذلك سلطنا الضوء على هذه المشكلة وتداعياتها مستعينين بالبيانات المتوفرة في مؤسسات الدولة | is the subject of school dropout important topics of the major problems that must stand on its causes and consequences, and methods of treatment as the problem associated with significant social and economic problems so we highlighted this problem and its implications with the aid of data available in state institutions, especially in the Ministry of Education and were available to prepare students Registered in Baghdad and prepare dropouts students and also the Central Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data associated with this particular such as MICS 2006 Cluster Survey of socio - economic survey of the family 2007 survey unemployment 2008 survey see Iraq network 2011 and socio - economic survey of the family 2012 In order to reach the most important reasons that lead to school dropout has been the number of census form questionnaire and listed the reasons for the demographic, social and school drop - outs, where we then analyze the resulting data in a manner factor analysis to get to the inter results and interpretation, and also the use of contrast binary analysis to compare the effect of years and regions Baghdad to prepare students and dropouts also multiple comparison methods to determine the variables that caused the statistical differences, such as the moral differences between 2006 and 2007 for the preparation of students who drop out and moral differences between the departments Rusafa1 and Karkh3 And the programs that are used in the search Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) program and the program of geographic information systems (GIS) and software (Excel).
👁 مشاهدة
التنبؤ باعداد مرضى السكري في العراق مع دراسة لتحليل اهم اسبابه
Predict The Numbers Diabetics In Iraq With A Study To Analyze The Most Important Causes
اسم المؤلف:
حيدر حسن رحمة
اسم المشرف:
فاتن فاروق صالح البدري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يعد التنبؤ بالسلوك المستقبلي للسلاسل الزمنية من الموضوعات الهامة في العلوم الاحصائية ولذلك فان التنبؤ بعدد حالات الاصابة بداء السكري في العراق يحتل مكانة هامة باعتباره احد الامراض المزمنة والذي يتعلق بحياة الانسان مهما يكن عمره. في هذا البحث تم اختيار طري | The prediction of future behavior of the time series of important topics in statistical science, therefore, predict the number of cases of diabetes in Iraq occupies an important position as one of the chronic diseases that respect for human life no matter
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال نماذج بوكس وجنكنز للتنبؤ بعدد المرضى المصابين بمرض التهاب الكبد الفايروسي في العراق
Box And Jenkins Use Models To Predict The Numbers of Patients With Hepatitis Alvairose In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
جاسم محمد كاظم السلطاني
اسم المشرف:
ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
التهاب الكبد الفايروسي هو احد الامراض المعدية التي تسببها الفيروسات وتسبب الضرر لخلايا الكبد، قد يكون الضرر الناتج مؤقتا وقد يكون دائما والالتهاب الكبدي الفيروسي يصيب الجسم باليرقان jaundice (صفرة الجلد)، هناك خمسة انواع من الالتهاب الكبدي هم(A، B، C، D، | Hepatitis Alvairose is one of infectious diseases caused by viruses, which cause damage to the liver cells, it may be damage resulting temporarily has always been and viral hepatitis infects the body jaundice jaundice (yellow skin), there are five types o
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بغلة محصول الذرة الصفراء في محافظة واسط
Use Time Series To Predict The Yield of Maize Crop In Wasit Province
اسم المؤلف:
محمد حسنين عبد المنعم عبد الرضا الحكيم
اسم المشرف:
اسماء نجم عبد الله
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تطرقنا في هذا البحث عن دراسة غلة محصول الذرة الصفراء : الذرة الصفراء وتعتبر من المحاصيل الصيفية المهمة التي تستعمل على نطاق عالمي كعلف اخضر وحبوب كما تستعمل كغذاء للانسان ويستفاد منها في صناعة المنتجات الزراعية والصناعية ولاسيما الزيوت النباتية. ويزرع في | We discussed in this research study yields for maize crop : Popcorn is one of the important summer crops that are used on a global scale green fodder and grains are also used as food for humans and utilized in the agricultural and industrial products indu
👁 مشاهدة
التنبؤ بالتلوث البيئي باستعمال نماذج بوكس - جنكنز لمحطة الوزيرية
Environmental Pollution Prediction By Using Box - Jenkins Models For Al - Waziriya Station
اسم المؤلف:
منير شهاب احمد العكيدي
اسم المشرف:
سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد مشكلة التلوث البيئي من المشاكل المهمة والخطيرة التي تواجه الانسان في الوقت الراهن لما لها من اثر مباشر على صحة الانسان والكائنات الحية الاخرى، فقد لوحظ في السنوات الاخيرة حدوث زيادة بمعدلات التلوث البيئي، مما اثر بشكل كبير على صحة الانسان، وادى الى | The environmental pollution is considered one of the important and serious problems that facing the human in the current time, because of its direct impact on the human health and other organisms.It has been observed in recent years, there is an increasin
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال نظم المعلومات الجغرافية لتقييم توزيع مدارس مدينة بغداد : دراسة تحليلة
The Use of Geographic Information Systems To Evaluate The Distribution of The Baghdad City Schools : An Analytical Study
اسم المؤلف:
نور فارس عبود
اسم المشرف:
محمد جاسم محمد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد الخدمات التعليمية من الخدمات الاساسية التي تقع على عاتق الحكومة، والتي يجب ان تقدمها للموطن بافضل ما يمكن، ومن اجل التخطيط الامثل لهذه الخدمة لابد من استعمال الوسائل الحديثة في التخطيط، لذلك تهتم هذه الدراسة في تحليل واقع الخدمات التعليمية في المدارس | The educational services of basic services is the responsibility of the government, and that must be provided to the home of the best they could, and for optimal planning for this service has to be the use of modern means in the planning, so this study is
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دراسة تطبيقية لتقدير انموذج الانحدار اللوجستي على استمرار الحياة الزوجية في مدينة الكوت
اسم المؤلف:
احمد عبد الرضا كاظم السراي
اسم المشرف:
قاسم محمد علي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد الدالة اللوجستية اكثر الدوال ملاءمة لوصف البيانات التي تكون الاستجابة فيها ثنائية ويكون فيها المتغير التوضيحي ذا مستويات متعددة الا ان تقدير المربعات الصغرى والامكان الاعظم لمعلمات هذه الدالة يصطدم بعقبتين رئيسيتين هما : لا خطية العلاقة بين (x ,y) وعد | Logistic function is considered as the most appropriate function to describe the data in which the binary response and variable illustration have multiple levels , but the estimate of (little squares) and (the maximum likelihood parameters)of this functio
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل احصائي لانتاج التمور في محافظات العراق للمدة 2002 - 2013
A Statistical Analysis of The Production of Dates In The Iraqis Goverments For The Period 2002 - 2014
اسم المؤلف:
مريم جلال خزعل العتابي
اسم المشرف:
اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
ان التمور هوالمحصول الاقتصادي المهم من اشجار النخيل والذي يكون ذا قيمة غذائية عاليه تصلح للاستهلاك البشري.يعد التمر غذاء عظيما يسد العديد من احتياجات بني الانسان ويجب على الحكومة تشجيع وتكثيف الجهود في دعم التوسع في زراعة النخيل وتطويرها والتركيز على انت | The Dates considered as great meal that can fulfill the human needs…and the Government mustencourage the interest towards the dates and palms. the expansion in palms cultivation, development and to focus on its production in the country as of food securit
👁 مشاهدة
تطور المستوى المعاشي في العراق
اسم المؤلف:
وسام عبد الحسين بلاسم
اسم المشرف:
غفران اسماعيل كمال
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
يمكن تفسير مستوى المعيشة بانه يبنى على الاهداف التي يضعها الناس من متطلبات الحياة ويسعون لتحقيقها, فاذا اجتمع لديهم القدر الكافي من حاجاتهم بما يكفل رفاهيتهم وسعادتهم فانهم يكونون بذلك قد حققوا مستوى المعيشة المطلوب ويعبر عن مستويات المعيشة في مفاهيم اقتص
👁 مشاهدة
اثر الاحوال المعيشية على الحالة الصحية للاسرة العراقية
The impact of the living conditions on the health status of the Iraqi family
اسم المؤلف:
مهند حسين عذاب اليساري
اسم المشرف:
مهدي محسن اسماعيل العلاق
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2015
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
تحديد العوامل المؤثرة على المستوى المعاشي في العراق باستخدام التحليل العاملي وتقنية ال GIS
Specification Factor influencing on standard of living in Iraq employment Factor Analysis and GIS
اسم المؤلف:
وسام عبد الحسين بلاسم
اسم المشرف:
غفران اسماعيل كمال
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
دراسة العوامل المؤثرة في الخصائص الاجتماعية للاسرة في العراق
اسم المؤلف:
هديل معتز عبد الستار الدباس
اسم المشرف:
تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
تطور هيكل الانفاق والدخل : دراسة مقارنة احصائية 2007 - 2012
اسم المؤلف:
هبة عبد الله حسن
اسم المشرف:
اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
استخدام الاساليب غير المباشرة في تقدير عدد الولادات وبناء جداول الحياة في محافظة القادسية
اسم المؤلف:
نصير ابراهيم ناصر
اسم المشرف:
زينب عبد الوهاب الداهري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
التنبؤ بمقدار الطاقة الكهربائية الضائعة لمدينة بغداد
The prediction of electrical Energy losses for Baghdad city
اسم المؤلف:
مصعب عامر رجب
اسم المشرف:
محمود جواد ابو الشعير
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
التصنيف الاحصائي للاراضي الزراعية حسب المساحة وكمية الانتاج لبعض محاصيل الخضر في محافظات العراق لعامي (2005) و(2010)
Statistical Classification of agricultural land by area and the amount of production of some agricultural crops in the provinces of Iraq for the years (2005) and (2010(
اسم المؤلف:
محمد عبد الودود محمد
اسم المشرف:
اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
التنبؤ بكلفة وعدد الوحدات السكنية في العراق
اسم المؤلف:
محمد صبري محمود الزبيدي
اسم المشرف:
هاني عبد الله حسن
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
التحليل الاحصائي لمشكلة التسرب الطلابي في العراق لعام 2011
Statistical Analysis For School Dropout Problem In Iraq For Year 2011
اسم المؤلف:
محمد ثجيل مزبان
اسم المشرف:
اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل واقع الهجرة العائدة من الكفاءات الى العراق خلال الفترة 2003 - 2013
اسم المؤلف:
فوزي حسن حسين خزيم الزبيدي
اسم المشرف:
ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل احصائي للعلاقة بين اسعار الحقل واسعار المستهلك في المجال الزراعي
اسم المؤلف:
فؤاد احمد محسن العنبكي
اسم المشرف:
لمياء محمد علي حميد البدراني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
التحليل الاحصائي لاهم العوامل المؤثرة على الولادات المشوهة لعام 2012 في العراق
اسم المؤلف:
عمر محي محسن الرمضان
اسم المشرف:
خلود يوسف خمو
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
علاقة النمو الاقتصادي وتغير معدل البطالة السائدة : دراسة احصائية
Relation of Economy Development and the variability of prevailing unemployment Statistical Study
اسم المؤلف:
عمار احمد علي محمد
اسم المشرف:
ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
اثر التلوث البيئي على المستوى الصحي في العراق
Graduate The impact of environmental pollution on the level of health In Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
علي نعيم ناصر عباس الكرعاوي
اسم المشرف:
ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
تحليل بعض العوامل المؤثرة على الجانب التعليمي في العراق
Analysis of some of the factors affecting the educational aspect in Iraq
اسم المؤلف:
علي محمد عبيد السكماني
اسم المشرف:
تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
قياس التمركز والتنوع لمحصولي الحنطة والشعير في بعض محافظات العراق واثر العوامل الطبيعية على انتاجها : دراسة احصائية
Measure the concentration and diversity of wheat and barley crops in some provinces of iraq and the impact of natural factors on their production Statistical study
اسم المؤلف:
علي عبد الوهاب علي السلوم
اسم المشرف:
كمال علوان خلف المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
اثر الاستثمار في التعليم لتنمية الموارد البشرية : دراسة تطبيقية في وزارة المالية
The impact of investment in education for the development of human resources applied statistical study in the Ministry of Finance
اسم المؤلف:
عبير عبد الستار عبد الجبار
اسم المشرف:
لمياء محمد علي حميد البدراني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال الاساليب غير المباشرة في تقدير الوفيات وبناء جداول الحياة بالاعتماد على بيانات مسحي (mics4 2011 , mics3 2006)
Use indirect methods to estimate mortality and life tables building based on a survey data (mics4 2011, mics3 2006)
اسم المؤلف:
عادل محمد علي كاظم السراي
اسم المشرف:
صباح هادي عبود الجاسم
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
مقارنة الحالة التغذوية لاطفال العراق لعامي 2006 و2011 : دراسة احصائية
Compared the nutritional status of the children of Iraq For 2006 and 2011 statistical study
اسم المؤلف:
ظافر طارق محمد سعيد
اسم المشرف:
سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
استعمال الدوال التمييزية في تصنيف الاراضي الزراعية حسب كمية الاحتياجات المائية
اسم المؤلف:
سهير عواد ندة
اسم المشرف:
مهدي محسن اسماعيل العلاق
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
استخدام طرائق التمهيد الاسي في التنبؤ باسعار الصرف في العراق وقياس اثر التضخم ومعدلات الفائدة
Use of methods to predict the exponential boot exchange rates in Iraq and measure the impact of inflation and interest rates
اسم المؤلف:
سنا محمد شيت الدباغ
اسم المشرف:
لمياء محمد علي حميد البدراني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
دراسة احصائية حول اسباب الطلاق في محافظة بغداد لعام 2013 باستخدام التحليل العاملي
Statistical study on the reasons for divorce in the province of Baghdad for the year 2013 using factor analysis
اسم المؤلف:
دعاء كريم حسون
اسم المشرف:
خلود يوسف خمو
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2013
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
الطرق المختلفة لتقدير القيم المفقودة لاغراض احتساب الرقم القياسي لاسعار المستهلك
اسم المؤلف:
ختام سوادي كشمر
اسم المشرف:
انتصار عريبي فدعم الدوري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2012
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة:
دبلوم عالي
الجامعة:
جامعة بغداد
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
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