Share
استعمال انموذج الانحدار اللوجستي لدراسة ظاهرة البطالة عند الشباب في محافظة بغداد == Using The Logistic Regression For Study of The Phenomenon of Unemployment Among Young People In Baghdad Province - Study Analytic Statistical
Author name:
علي يحيى عبد الرضا
Supervisor name:
رباب عبد الرضا صالح البكري
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Applied Statistics
Degree:
Higher Diploma
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T3900 - p.pdf
Abstract:
تعد مشكلة البطاله من اخطرالمشكلات التي يواجهها مجتمعنا في الوقت الحاضر لكونها تشكل هدرا لعنصر العامل البشري ولاسيما فئه الشباب القادرة على العمل والعطاء ممايترتب على ذلك اثار سلبية تنبىء بمخاطر اقتصادية واجتماعية,فقد اصبحت ظاهرة البطالة قضية عامه يعاني م | The problem of unemployment of the most serious problems faced by our society at the present time because it constitutes a waste component of the human factor, especially young people capable of work and tender Mmaatertb on that negative effects lay hidden economic and social risks, the unemployment phenomenon has become a cause of public suffering from a lot of members of the community and especially the youth in various scientific levels, age and sex, which led to the high dependency burden in the community, which is reflected on the fabric of social life.The research aims to highlight the most important issue facing the community in time Alhazer a phenomenon of unemployment among young people as research aims to conduct a statistical study of the phenomenon of youth unemployment in the province of Baghdad and to consider the causes or identify the factors that affect them by building a model of logistic regression and find Category cases of the unemployed.The research sample included socio - economic survey of the family to the province of Baghdad and the results of a youth age group (15 - 29 years), according to the Ministry of Planning indicators - Central Bureau of Statistics.Has been used researcher statistical programs ready - made bag (SPSS20) in data and extracting results analysis, it has been the use of multivariate statistical analysis (model logistic regression binary response) to analyze the relationship between variables and access to the variables that actually affect the phenomenon of unemployment among young people in the province of Baghdad.As the researcher through the practical side to the results the following conclusions : - The moral variables included in the model are (sex, Higher Certificate completed by your father does not have a type, the type of environment and age) using the Wald test and the rest of the independent variables is a moral as well as showing that the percentage of correct classification for the views adopted variable after the entry of the independent variables (illustrations) of the model rose about the percentage of correct classification for the views of the model adopted containing the hard limit just as variable ratio increased from (82.5) to the percentag (88.3).
