Share
دراسة احصائية عن واقع البطالة بين محافظات العراق == Statistical Paper “ Un Employment Reality Among Governorates In Iraq
Author name:
اثير محمد ناجي عزت
Supervisor name:
سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Applied Statistics
Degree:
Higher Diploma
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T3374 - p.pdf
Abstract:
ان دراسة ظاهرة البطالة وتحليل اهم العوامل ذات الاثر الاكبر باتجاه سلوكها من الامور المهمة للعراق والذي يهدف الى التقليل من حدتها في المجتمع. ويعد مفهوم البطالة من المفاهيم التي اخذت اهمية كبرى في المجتمعات المعاصرة من حيث البحث والاستقصاء، لذا انصب ال | The study of unemployment phenomenon and analysis for the most important factors which has the most affected towards its conduct , is from the significant matters for Iraq that is aimed to reduce its solitude in society. The unemployment theory has taken a great importance at modern societies concerning research and examination , therefore we focus our importance mainly on unemployment by political decision makers. Perhaps the worse and highlighted features of economic crisis which is faced by each of Arabic and developed countries is aggravation of unemployment problem which is the extrusive increasing of members who have an ability and willing for work and researchers for work without finding it. Therefore the researcher chose making use of Iraqi Household of Social & Economical Survey data which performed during two years (2007, 2012) and by using the Package of SPSS v.20 in order to receive to social and economical variables which affects in prevalence of unemployment phenomenon and its classification among governorates. Based on factorial analyses manner in extraction the most important factors that affects in describing unemployment phenomenon conduct during matrix analyses for correlation among studying variables, it has chosen a group of variables for two years which explained the interaction method of these variables and the importance of each variable also making use of clustering analysis to classify it among governorates, and defining the convergence & divergence extent among governorates according to the studied variables and analyses clusterization stages for two years. The paper contains four chapters, chapter one : concludes introduction, objective, methodology, data source, referential review for collection of studies and researches concerned to the subject and analysis manner, chapter two : concludes the theoretical side that involves statistical analysis by using factorial and clustered analysis manner, chapter three contains the applicative side for research by applying the analyses for indicators which is concluded and knowing the important factors which has the great affection by defining the phenomenon conduct and the method of classification among governorates, chapter four contains conclusions we reached and sources and recommendations.The result of factorial analysis explains that the most exaggerate importance variables on unemployment is the hardness for getting a work and has appeared this affected for both two years 2007 &2012, its significance at governorates (Missan , Al Muthana , and Sulymania ) for 2012, (Missan , Al Muthana , and Erbil) for 2007, also the results explains clustered analysis that there is clusteralization of bordering and non bordering south governorates for studied variables for 2012, as well as north and middle governorates while at 2007 the clusteralization was for bordering & non bordering south governorates but not clusteralization for north governorate with south governorate, there was intimacy for Baghdad for these two years by regarding the clusteralization at the last stage with remainder of governorates as it regards the capital and the biggest governorate by it’ s population
