اعادة هيكلة المصارف التجارية في العراق واثرها في التحول نحو اقتصاد السوق للمدة (2003 - 2014 == Re - Structuring business banks in Iraq and its impact on the transition to market economy for the period (2003 - 2014)
دور تكنولوجيا المعلومات وتطوير راس المال البشري في تحقيق الابداع المنظمي : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء عينه من العاملين في الشركة العامة لصناعة السيارات == The role of information technology and the development of human capital to achieve Organizational innovation Exploratory Study in a sample of Workers in the Company for Automotive Industry
قياس وتحليل محددات الطاقة الضريبية في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2015) == Measure and analyze the determinants of Taxable Capacity in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2015
اثر تحرير تجارة الخدمات على اداء المصارف التجارية في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2014)
تاثير ادارة اللوجستك في تعزيز متطلبات ادارة الجودة الشاملة : دراسة استطلاعية تحليلية لاراء عينة من العاملين في معمل الالبسة الرجالية / النجف الاشرف == The Impact of Logistics Management in total quality management requirements An analytical survey of the views of a sample of workers in the men's clothing factory in Najaf
العلاقة بين عرض النقد والتضخم في الاقتصاد العراقي : دراسة قياسية للمدة 1990 - 2014 == The relationship between Money Supply and Inflation in the Iraqi Economy Econometric Study During 1990 - 2014
تحليل العلاقة بين ادارة الجودة الشاملة وتخطيط الموارد البشرية : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء المديرين في شركة الفرات العامة للصناعات الكيمياوية == The Relationship Analysis Between Total Quality Management And Human Resources Planning Exploratory study of The Views Of Managers In The Al - Furat Public Company For Chemical Industries
اثر نسب قرارات الاستثمار والتمويل في بعض مؤشرات الاداء المالي : دراسة تحليلية لعينة من الشركات الصناعية المساهمة المدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية == Effect Pedigree Decisions Finance For Investment In some Indicators the performance Financial a study Analytic Sample Industrial companies Listed shareholding In the market Iraq Exchange Finance
دور ممارسات ادارة الجودة الشاملة في تعزيز تنافسية الشركات الصناعية : دراسة تطبيقية في الشركة العامة لصناعة السمنت الجنوبية / معمل سمنت كربلاء == The Role of total quality management practices in the promotion of competitive industrial companies An Empirical Study of the General Company for the manufacture of cement South / Karbala Cement Plant
دور الاسواق المالية في جذب الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر : دراسة مقارنة في دول عربية مختارة (الامارات ، مصر ، العراق) == The role of Financial Markets in attracting Foreign Direct Investment compared study in Selected Countries (Emirates, Egypt , Iraq)
تحليل وقياس الرفاهية الاقتصادية في العراق للمدة (2000 - 2013) == Analysis and measurement of economic welfare in Iraq For the period (2000 - 2013)
تاثير تنمية الموارد البشرية في الاهداف الاستراتيجية لتحسين العمليات الانتاجية : دراسة مقارنة بين عينة من معامل انتاج الالبان في العراق == The effect of human resource development on the strategic objectives of improving production processes A comparative study among a sample of dairy production plants in Iraq
ادارة الاستثمار في المشاريع الصغيرة والمتوسطة ودورها في الاداء : دراسة تحليلية في القطاع الصناعي الخاص == Investment management in small and medium enterprises and its role in the performance (an analytical study in the private industrial sector)
تاثير التوجه نحو الزبون في تحديد الحصة السوقية : دراسة تحليلية للشركة العامة للصناعات الميكانيكية في الاسكندرية / بابل == The impact of orientation the customer in determining the market share
دور التخطيط الاستراتيجي في تحسين جودة الخدمات الصحية : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء عينة من العاملين في القطاع الصحي في محافظة بابل
استراتيجية الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء في الزام الوزارات والجهات غير المرتبطة بوزارة بتنفيذ القرارات الحكومية : بحث استطلاعي في بعض دوائر الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء == Strategy of the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers to oblige ministries and entities not affiliated with the Ministry to implement government decisions (Exploratory research in some departments of the Secretariat of the Council of Ministers)
قياس وتحليل محددات الانفاق العام في العراق وعمان للمدة (1990 - 2015) == The Determinants of Public Expenditure in Iraq and Oman for The Period (1990 - 2015).
اثر الصدمة النفطية في بعض مؤشرات الاقتصاد الكلي في العراق (1990 - 2015) == Impact of Oil shock in some macroeconomic variables in Iraq (1990 - 2015)
Author name:
هديل محمد سلمان الفتلاوي
Supervisor name:
جواد كاظم البكري
Abstract:
Since the discovery of oil in commercial quantities early in the fourth decade of the last century, and its plays a key role in the global arena, whether on the economic, political or social side, as the role of traditional energy sources, such as coal, began to decline in favor of mineral fuels (oil and gas). Industrial countries gradually began to rely on oil to run their industrial machine to increase the growth rates of their economies. On the other hand, by the oil exporting countries, the picture was not different, They also relied on oil revenues to increase the growth rates of their economies. However, what distinguishes the oil market is its instability. It is exposed from time to time to shocks, whether positive or negative, as a strategic commodity for both exporting and consuming countries. The instability in this market involves economic reasons related to the demand for oil And its supply, with geopolitical and security reasons in the nature of those shocks in many times. In a careful look at the world oil prices during the period (1990 - 2015), the duration of the study, we find that the prices ranged between (14 - 99) dollars per barrel, which confirms the depth of shocks to the global oil market in two and a half decades, Not to mention the price shocks that preceded this period, which began since the shock of 1973 and will not end with the shock of 2014. Since the oil is one of the lowest cost of energy resources, the reliability of the economies of the exporting countries remains large. These countries rely heavily on oil to finance their budgets, as well as their high contribution to the gross domestic product of these countries. The rate of contribution of oil revenues to GDP has not decreased in the best natural years, except for the years of the economic sanctions, it was (40%), while the Iraqi budgets were adopted In normal years (90%) at best. Of course that led to impact of fluctuations in oil prices on some of the macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy, including (GDP, inflation, unemployment and government expenditure), so this thesis was to analyze and measure the impact of oil price shocks on those macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy for the period (1990 - 2015) using quantitative methods (econometrics models) to support hypotheses that have been constructed. The importance of the research stems from the fact that it deals with the impact of oil price shocks on some of the macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy.The research aims to achieve the following objectives : - Trying to develop a theoretical and conceptual framework for shocks in the various economic schools starting with the classical and ending with rational expectations. - Explain the importance of oil in the Iraqi economy and the reliability of this economy on oil revenues. - Attempt to link between oil revenues and (GDP, unemployment, inflation and government spending) variables in the Iraqi economy. - Measuring the impact of oil price shocks, quantitatively, in some of macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy.research Hypothesis : Based on the importance of oil in the Iraqi economy, and the dependence of this economy on oil as a resource of great importance in its revenues, and due to the significant role in economic growth, we can offer the hypothesis of our research as follows : The negative shocks have affected the variables (GDP, unemployment, inflation, government expenditure) according to the logic of economic theory, that it leads to a decline in GDP and government spending, increase unemployment rates and reduce inflation rates . While positive shocks apply to the logic of economic theory for the variables of unemployment and inflation, but do not apply with the logic of economic theory for the variables of GDP and government spending
دور المصارف المتخصصة في تمويل تنمية قطاعاتها الاقتصادية في محافظ بابل للمدة من 2003 - 2015 == The role of specialized banks in financing the development of their economic sectors in the province of Babylon for the period(2003 - 2015)
سياسة الانفاق العام واثرها في بعض مؤشرات سوق العراق للاوراق المالية للمدة 2003 - 2015 == Impact of Government Spending Policy on some Iraq Stock Market Indicators for the Period (2003 - 2015)
تحليل كفاءة النشاط الاستثماري في العتبة العباسية المقدسة : شركة الكفيل للاستثمارات العامة (حالة دراسية) == Analyzing the efficiency of Investing Activity of Holy Abbasy Ataba Al - kafeel Co. for Investment as a sample
تاثير لوجستك التوزيع في تحقيق رضا الزبون : دراسة تحليلية لاراء عينة من الزبائن والعاملين في شركة توزيع المنتجات النفطية - هياة توزيع الفرات الاوسط فرع بابل == The Impact of Logistics Distribution in achieving customer satisfaction Analytical Study in Oil Products Distribution State Company Babylon Branch
اثر تقلبات سعر الصرف في الاستخدام في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (1990ـ2015) == Effect of Exchange Rate fluctuations on Employment on The Iraqi Economy for the period (1990 - 2015
قياس اثر صدمة الايرادات النفطية في متغيرات السياسة النقدية في العراق للمدة 1999 - 2015 == The Measurement of The Impact Of The Shock Of Oil Revenues In The Variables Of Monetary Policy In Iraq For The Period (1999 - 2015)