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انعكاس عمليات التدقيق الاستراتيجي على اداء المنظمات العامة : بحث تحليلي في امانة بغداد == A Reflection of The Strategic Audit Operations On The Performance of Public Organizations An Analytical Research At Mayoralty of Baghdad

Author name: اكرم سالم حسن الجنابي
Supervisor name: علي حسون فندي الطائي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى تحديد المضامين والدلالات النظرية والعملية لانعكاس عمليات التدقيق الاستراتيجي على الاداء المنظمي وتقييم مستوى وفاعلية كل من هذين المتغيرين وابعادهما من خلال دراسة تحليلية في امانة بغداد للتعرف على كيفية تعامل المنظمات مع اطر التدقيق الاســــ | The research aims to determine the contents of the theoretical and practical implications for strategic audit and organizational performance and the relationship and influence between them and assess the level and effectiveness of each of these two variables and dimensions through the analytical field study in Baghdad Municipality to clarify how public organizations dealing in particular, and therefore the business in general with frameworks and techniques and methods and tools for strategic audit organizations and investing them in sustaining its success to activate its performance. It was elucidate the hypotheses of the nature of the relationship and influence between strategic audit as an independent variable - dimensions "mission and strategic goals, implementation, information and communication system, scarce resources, governance " on Organizational performance as responsive variable - dimensions "learning and growth, internal operations , financial perspective, focus on customer, social and environmental responsibility "that make up the financial and non - financial perspectives , operational and environmental for balanced performance. The strategic audit through diagnostics and performance review is an important and strategic tool for the development of important strategic and organizational performance improvement, particularly municipal performance units and departments of the Municipality of Baghdad and the advancement of the level of services and projects submitted Baghdadi citizen, who is the ultimate and most important goal of the Municipality. The sample of 55 director and unit responsible at various levels of departments and sections , distributing a court questionnaire by 14 academically experts and consists of 50 fifty paragraph covers ten, five for each of the independent variable and responding variable included general information and test variables and dimensions of their answers are designed according to dimensions Quintet Likert scale. The questionnaire was distributed in a way intentional - quota sample according to ratio 1/2/3/4 , in addition to the use of personal interviews style bouquet comprised of 12 managers and officials in Baghdad Municipality at various levels in order to obtain data and information enriches research and enhance its methodology on the field in parallel with the questionnaire.The descriptive analytical method has been adopted which combined the description the situation analyze and draw conclusions from their own in determining the relationships between the strategic audit and organizational performance and their dimensions, and identify indicators in the surveyed organization in terms of the statistical correlation coefficient Pearson as well as statistical other means such as percentages, and the arithmetic mean, standard deviation and simple regression coefficient, with the use of advanced statistical software SPSS to test and analyze the hypotheses relationship and the impact between research variables. The research found a set of conclusions, notably that the strategic audit actively contributes to the strategic decision - making and performance evaluation and enable management to identify imbalances and to find the necessary solutions to them, and that the Municipality is rich with ready - made expertise to supplement its organs and the development of their overall performance on all the levels which requires direct and agitated by the leadership of the Municipality consciously with development projects, business and the delivery of services to the Baghdadi - citizen , where data confirmed that the management of the Municipality does not usually respond to emergency variables which negatively affect the stages of performance implementation, and doubles the risk and aggravate the emergence of crises , it also causes the curb and weaken the tendency to adaptation with environmental factors and circumstances.

نحو استراتيجية للارتقاء بتنفيذ المشاريع الاستثمارية في محافظة ديالى == Toward Strategy For Promoting The Implementation of Investment Projects In Diyala Governorate

Author name: افراح شاكر محمود العزاوي
Supervisor name: فضيلة سلمان داوود
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تناول هذا البحث دور التخطيط الاستراتيجي في تنفيذ المشاريع اذ يحظى موضوع التخطيط الاستراتيجي باهمية متزايدة في الوقت الحاضر، لكونه يعد من المواضيع المهمة في منظماتنا التي نعمل فيها، والذي له تاثير بالغ في نجاحها كما يهدف البحث الى وضع استراتيجية لتنفيذ الم | The current paper deals with the role of strategic planning in carrying out the projects; this subject is increasingly concerned over at the present time for being considered most important and essential subject in our organizations, this have a huge effect on succeeding it. The paper also aims at placing strategy for implementing the investment projects in Diyala's local administration, where it has been used" Description and Analytic" method. It has been chosen list of examination by analyzing the external an internal environment ( SWOT) for Diyala Governorate as to know strong and weak points for every project to specify most obstacles the projects face with. It has been gathered data from the main relevant sources directly. As a result, it has been indicated that there have been a weakness into applying the strategic planning owing to some obstacles. Most important conclusions are listed below : 1. The goals the plan includes (in Diyala) are modest and unambitious one , thus , the goals would be unqualified to carry out investment projects or to develop them in the governorate. It has been also noted that there has not been quality control and lab to test the substances that are used to implement the projects in the governorate aforesaid. This actually would motivate and impel most companies to go the private labs and universities for testing the materials. This, in return, being exposed to corruption for not being there quality control on these labs by the governorate. 2. There is not department of strategic planning in Diyala Governorate as to be responsible for putting the plans andcensorship on implementing the projects via measurements placed for this purpose.

ادارة مخاطر اسعار الصرف باستعمال ادوات التحوط المالي والتشغيلي : دراسة تحليلية لعدد من الشركات متعددة الجنسية مايكروسفت ونوكيا وتويوتا موتر وانتيل وكوكا كولا == Exchange Rate Risk Management By Financial And Operational Hedging An Applied Study

Author name: اعتصام جابر عبد الرضا الشكرجي
Supervisor name: محمد علي ابراهيم العامري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يسعى البحث الحالي الى تحقيق هدف رئيس يتمثل في اختبار اثر استخدام ادوات التحوط المالي والتشغيلي في تخفيض مخاطر اسعار الصرف او تحييدها، اذ تمثل هذه المخاطر معظلة فكرية شكلت محور اهتمام الباحثين في مجال المالية الدولية لصعوبة تحديد الاثر النهائي لتقلبات قيم | The chief purpose of this study is to investigate the ability to reduce the effect of exchange rate fluctuation on firm value , by employing appropriate hedging strategies to provide the firms force to adopted with complex and highly uncertainty conditions , characteristic of the most of the financial markets The simple of this study is the giant fife Multinational on the world ,as the last rating with unique and highly performance ,and by implementing many of financial and statistics models to computation the necessary features to measuring & managing exchange rate exposure and its effects on firm value. A practical analysis is provide the truth of all study's hypothesis , and it is reach to many of conclusion, the most important of them are : : 1.The change rate of real exchange rate is less than the change rate of nominal exchange rate ,cause the RER is offset by foreign and local relative prices f on long rune 2. Stem from unexpected fluctuation on nominal exchange rate , asymmetric transaction exposure 3. Stem from unexpected fluctuation on real exchange rate , Asymmetric operational exposure. 4. All of, even the Multinational with unique and highly performance, exposes to nominal and real exchange rate risk.5. Result from uses of currency derivative ,reduce of transaction exposure.6. Stem from increased of foreign actions ,the proxy is foreign sales to total sales, access on exchange rate exposure.7.Result from uses of operational hedging , decrease of operational risk of exchange rate.8. The integration of financial and operational hedging are reducing exchange rate risk effectively and increase the firm value. 9. There is significant and strong relation among financial and operational hedging and firm value.10. There is effect of Firm - specific characteristics ,as size , liquidity, profitability and Firm debt on exchange rate exposure and firm value.

تصميم وتقييم اداء انموذجي سلسلتي التجهيز الكفوءة والمستجيبة باستخدام المحاكاة : دراسة حالة لعينة من منتجات الشركة العامة لصناعة الزيوت النباتية == Designing And Evaluating The Performance of Efficient And Responsive Supply Chains By Using Simulation

Author name: اصفاد مرتضى سعيد الحديثي
Supervisor name: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تشير الدراسات الحديثة في مجال ادارة العمليات الى تزايد مستوى الاهتمام بسلسلة التجهيز مفهوما وادارة ومكونات مع دعوات مستمر لتبني مفهوم السلسلة في التعامل مع ادارة العمليات بشكل خاص ومنظمات الاعمال بشكل عام، وقد اثمر هذا الاهتمام عن ظهور العديد من نماذج سل | The recent study in the field of operation management indicate that there is increasing in interest level with the concept , management , and components of supply chain with continuously invitations to adopt the chain concept in dealing particularly with operation management and Generally with business organizations. this interest yielded a number of supply chain models , but the adoption of one model more than other relates with what competitive goals can this model achieves for the organization , and that is encourage the searcher to adopt efficient and responsive supply chain models to study them. The efficient chain aims to reduce the cost in every stage of its stages, and the responsive chain put fast delivery as a primary competitive goals for it. In according with that and through field cohabiting of supply chain processes in vegetarian public company particularly for detergents and soaps ( study sample) , the searcher pointed several problems in these two chains, the most important are the problem in supply processes and suppliers choice standards which based on political standards away from the competitive standards , and that is caused constant deficiency in raw materials because of the delay in supply processes , and also limited production capacity because of exhausted machines and equipments in facing high and increasing demand for study sample products. All these reason create problems in the distribution and sales processes because of the limited response for the demand and high stock out cost represent by sales loosing cost. For these reasons the study aims to design two models of supply chain, that are the efficient and responsive, and for each study sample products, and tests there performance , then choosing the best model. The searcher depended on case study approach to analyze and evaluate the performance of present supply chains and Monte Carlo simulation to design both chain models, using EXCEL software. By using the means of the five experiments results of the simulation for both models that relate with quantity of production, costs , sourcing intervals , and profits , responsive chain indicated clear superiority in its performance for detergents product, therefore the searcher recommend to adopting responsive supply chain model for this product. While for soaps product and although that the means of the production quantity , cost , and sourcing intervals indicated the distinction of the responsive chain , the profits assured the superiority of the efficient chain , so in this case the searcher recommends choosing the chain that appropriates for the company's strategy.

مدى فاعلية نظام التخطيط، البرمجة، الموازنة وانعكاسه على النظام المحاسبي الحكومي : دراسة تطبيقية في وزارة التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي == The Effeciency of Planning - Programming Budgeting System And Its Reflection On Governmental Accounting System

Author name: اشواق عبد الرحمن عبد الوهاب الشيخلي
Supervisor name: ماهر موسى العبيدي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Accounting
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Generally, it could be said that the development witnessed in the last decades of twentieth century has turned the budget from just a financial plan for expenses and resources through a limited time framework trying to coordinate between them, into other state the budget represents tool for planning, coordination, motivation, communication, control and performance evaluation.Budget planning and excution method; the participation of various managerial levels in this process; the necessary information in their nature and resources for this process; the required communications, and the purposes tried to be achieved of various budget process, all these form a framework to what is considered ((the used budget model)). Knowing the budget objectives by managers as (inputs) and the information about how much they are achieved (feedback) will give the managers a base representing in measuring efficiency and diagnozing difficulties. In additionto that reaching the budget objectives to the low levels willmake the employees of good awareness of what the management wants in one hand , and in other hand through reports handled from the low levels to other high levels , the employees achievements and their times will be known through the advanced planning and preparation process, and of knowing the achievements, the management can get an important tool in the field of employees motivation and encouragement.Political , economic and social development occurred in our country through the previous three decades could make one concludes that most economic managerial and financial issues that need to be handled lay in the budget; that is because of the background in the foundations of public budget planning and preparation which makes this tool (the budget) a routine method is no longer capable of contributing in developing the efficiency of governmental units (managements).Depending on what is previously mensioned, this study aims to state the range of the efficiency of budget, programming and planning system and its reflection on the governmental accounting system and testing by applying in the ministry of Higher Education & Scientific Research.The study consists of six chapters.The first devoted to show the research Methodlogy and the previous studies through its two sections.The second chapter is allocated to study the public budget and its techniques planning throhgh its three sections.The third is allocated to study the governmental accounting sty tem through its three sectious.The fourth is devoted to show.The reflection of the P.P.B.S on the governmental accounting through its three sections.The fifth is allocated to the practial side of the study through its three sections.The sixth chapter summarized the major conclusions and presented some recommendations that relate to the study area through its two sections.

برامج صحة العاملين وسلامتهم واثرها في راس المال البشري : دراسة ميدانية في الشركة العامة لصناعة البطاريات

Author name: اشواق جاسم جعفر السلامي
Supervisor name: صلاح محمود عبد الكريم الرحيم
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد المورد البشري من اهم الموارد في كل قطاعات الدولة لما له من اثر بارز في تقديم الخدمات سواء اكانت انتاجية ام خدمية لابناء المجتمع، لذا فان موضوع الاهتمام بصحة وسلامة هذا المورد يجب ان يلقى الاهتمام المميز للحفاظ عليه والتقليل قدر الامكان من حوادث واصاب | Human resource is considered as one of the most important resource in all state sectors as it has aprominent effect in introducing services wether productive or sericeable for society, therefore , the interest in the subject of this sources safety and health must reseine aunique attention tomainainit and reduce the possibility of work accidents and casualties. Accordingly the concept of safety and health emerged with the beginning of man evolution oremergence on ground , that the ancient man viewd Safety and healh according to his special perspective concrning his self protection against risks facjhim and this simple perspective expresses really the importance of maintaining individuals safety and health , and despite this interest , many books indicate the occurence of incidents and casualties at that time and till the time of industrial revolution which witnessed the increasing of these incidents as aresult of machine used in alot of industrial works and which needed in reture , the provision of means that aim at reducing the workincidents and casualties represented by the professional Safely and health programs. Depending on thesaying man is the precious capital that requires the provision of all condition and circum stances suitable to his profection and taking care there of and raising his age auerage to the level that grants what he can of renewed and permenent giving ,to maintain human capital which is considened as the instrument of growth and its end. Inspide of the importance of safety and health programs they didnt get thein terest that enable them to perform their works completely although what have been issued in this regard of legislations, laws, and instructions here just an ink on paper , due to the tack of specialists and thenon dependence on adequate laws in this area , the lack of financial amounts or allocations that expensed to achiene the bases and rules concerning the professional safety or the supplies of examination , measurement and prevention. Safety and health and their relation with human capital according to these variables. The sample of study involved divisions and subsidiary heads and managers and the skilled labour in the general establish ment of bateries industny ,and aquestionnaire is used that contained 38 items as amethod to gather data,ther the form is distributed on asample consisted of 64 individuals,in addition to the conducting of personal interview with the majority of te study sample to support the questionnane some of statistical methods in analyzing the questionnaine results were used to identify the most importants factors influencing the lack of interest in professional safety and health and their effect on human capital and the most depended methods in this field (meas,sd,corelation ,deviation coefficient). The most importantconclusions of the study show that the company hasno law and it doesnt conduct periodical examination to its employee to identify theirhealth level to prevent the aggravation of their casualties in future and among them , examinations and survey tests inaddition to the non - availability of the medicinces required to treat the casualties whatever their simplicity was, the non availability of the specialized staff in diseases that cam happen inside the company that the available staff is not enough to meet the requirements of the company in addition to the lack of medical equipments required by the medical staff,the matter that aggravates the situation and the occurence of difficiency and the non - availability of the staff of the first aid required in special cases The most prominent recommend are the serious interest in perducal examinations of the employee to discover any early professional casualty to treatit quickly ,the availability of preventive equipments like prevntive glasses and shoes and others , organizing aspecial register for the employee to organize their health information from thear appointment to their retirement,subjecting the employee to the punish ments because of their contraverce to standards of safety and health. Itis worthwile that there must be alaw of professional safety and health in Araq

بناء توزيع احتمالي لوقت الفشل المستغرق باستعمال تحويل انتروبي لتوزيع Burr Type - XII == Building Probabilistic Distribution of The Failure Time Spent Using Entropy Transformation

Author name: اسيل نوري صالح
Supervisor name: اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The research aims to find a probability distribution for the times of failure through function Entropy transformation using function reliability and cumulative distribution function, and after test data and found it follows the distribution of Burr TypeXII and experiencing volatility, were derived formula probability distribution of the new transfer application Entropy the probability distribution continuous Burr Type - XII and tested a new function and have found it to function probability Were derived SMA have found function probabilistic aggregate in order to adopt to generate data for the purpose of implementation of simulation experiments and research aims to compare estimate parameters probability distribution that has been extracted from the distribution formula using the methods of estimating possible Azam and the way White and estimation method proposed (appreciation mixed) and compare their adoption Metrology statistical mean square error and mean absolute error , has been using simulation for comparison between preference estimators and sizes different samples was conducted practical application to data from the General Company for electrical Industries was selected sample size (67) include electric motors until get failure in this setups.

اسقاطات السكان والقوى العاملة في محافظة نينوى للفترة (1997 - 2027) حسـب التعداد العام للسكان عام 1997 == The Population And Labor Force Projection of Ninawa For The Period (1997 - 2027)

Author name: اسيل محمود شاكر السهيل
Supervisor name: بشرى علي يعقوب الجعفري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: لقد اتجه اهتمام المفكرين والعلماء منذ عقد الثمانينات او حواليه لينصب على قضايا التشغيل ودخل الاسرة والاستهلاك، وفي ذلك دعوة واضحة للتركيز على المدخل الاجتماعي في عملية التخطيط للتنمية وعلى جانب العرض في عملية تخطيط القوى العاملة باعتبار ان هذا الجانب يشكل | In the eighties, scientists and thinkers concerned in family income, job issues, and consumption.This concern directs the attention towards the importance of social field in the development plan, and towards offer field in labor force design which is a case needs a special concern by itself since it requires the exploitation of all of the existing economical abilities to offer jobs and to manage the perfect use of national employment.The main basics of social and economical development plan are the analysis of humanity resources, the study of supply and demand field in size and structure for the available labor force in a certain country, and the predication of labor force according to the economical activities and occupation in the future.Hence, this study aims to estimate the numbers of future labor force in Nainawa governorate for the period (1997 - 2027) according to the census of (1997) which is considered as a basic year in building a future data base that depends upon true scientific facts.The aim of this study requires the estimation of the averages of economical activity for (1992) using Linear Extrapolation Method and Indirect Extrapolation Method redaction by Durand Coefficient to estimate the average of economical activity for the period (2002 - 2027).The number of people was projected by using Component Method which requires hypothesizing people variables including fertility, mortality and migration.The first step to reach the aim of this study is evaluating and adjusting the faults of data in age and qualitative structure in Nainawa governorate by using United Nation Secretariat Standard and Reduction of Effects of Age Heaping Method using unfamiliar age groups for evaluating and adjusting

تقدير معولية الانظمة باستعمال مقدرات بيز اللامعلمية وشبه المعلمية مع تطبيق عملي == System’s Reliability Using Nonparametric And Semi Parametric Bayesian Estimators With Practical Application

Author name: اسيل محمود شاكر السهيل
Supervisor name: قتيبة نبيل نايف القزاز
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعتبر المعولية اداة لتقييم الاداء الوظيفي لاي منتج خلال فترة حياته وتعتمد على ظروف عمل ووقت وبيئة محددة وهي من المستلزمات الاساسية في العملية الانتاجية، وتنبع الاهمية الكبيرة للمعولية كونها تلائم اغلب التطبيقات العملية والمتمثلة بالمعدات والاجهزة العا | The reliability as tool to estimate the work performance of any product during its life cycle, it depends on restricted conditions of work and the time and environment of work, also it considers as essential requirement in the production, the most significant important of reliability represented of being fit for the most of practical applications such as equipment and invalid devices which can fix and get maintenance in case it stopped of work then return it to work again. These devices and equipment consider as correlation between a group of parts or components to form what it is called “system” , there are any kinds of systems classified according to the way that components are connected such as k - out of - n which is ready to work if at least one of k components is working, and “Series system” which is ready to work if all of its components are working , also there is another kind of system its work just in case one of its components is working and this called “Parallel System”. Therefore , the aim of thesis focuses on estimating the reliability of systems (k - out of - n, series and parallel system ) by nonparametric and semi parametric methods using Dirichlet process prior and compare it with reliability of system values by classical methods which is represented by Kernel estimator method , Kaplan - meier estimator method and product limit estimator method to illustrate the quality using statistical indicator Integral Mean Square Error (IMSE) , in additional modified methods. So the simulation procedures to create using different sizes of samples , then applying the best method for Series system on the real data which collected in Al - Mamon factory which belong to general company for plant oil production - Aluminum department the results showed that the reliability function values start decreasing with increasing time in relation to the estimated nonparametric and semi parametric , this means that machines has many invalid because the more invalid in machines cusses to decreasing it reliability

مقارنة بين طرائق تحليل وتنبؤ السلاسل الزمنية وتطبيقها على مبيعات الشركة العامة لتوزيع كهرباء بغداد == Comparative Studies Among The Methods of Analysis And Forecasting Time Series With Application On Electricity Sales In Baghdad City

Author name: اسيل سمير محمد محمود
Supervisor name: عبد المجيد حمزة الناصر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد التنبؤ بالسلوك المستقبلي للسلاسل الزمنية من الموضوعات الهامة في العلوم الاحصائية، وذلك للحاجة اليه في مجالات الحياة جميعا، مثل التنبؤ بالحالة الجوية ودرجات الحرارة، حالة السوق والاسعار، تدفق المياه، واستهلاك الطاقة الكهربائية. وقد تزايد الاهتم | Forecasting of future behavior of time series is one of the important subjects in statistical science, because of its need in the different fields of life, like forecasting of weather state and air temperature market state and price water flow consumption electrical power, in the recent years there is an increased interesting in forecasting, and some new techniques like Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Trend Sets. These techniques are able for learning and self - adaptation with any model, and don’t need assumption on the natural of time series. On the other side, the classical forecasting methods like Box - Jenkins method, exponential smoothing and adaptive filtering need certain conditions. A condensed study was done to compare between ordinary methods, namely; Box & Jenkins, ES, and Adaptive Filtering with modern methods namely; ANN, and Fuzzy Trend Set, where some new results are obtained and new method was proposed. A raw data electrical power in Baghdad city is used to perform this comparison through the application of the two programs Statistica and Matlab. From the practical application it found that proposed method gives better and more efficient results than others.

ايجاد التوزيع الثنائي المشترك باعتماد دوال رابطة مختلفة مع تطبيق في المجال الحيوي == Finding Bivirate Distribution By Using Different Copula'S Functions With Application In Biotical Field

Author name: اسماعيل هادي جلوب
Supervisor name: ضوية سلمان حسن الجنابي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تتلخص الدراسة على كيفية ايجاد التوزيع الثنائي الاسي المشترك من خلال دالة الرابطة وقد طبق ذلك على رابطة plackett حيث تم اقتراح رابطة جديدة من التعديل الرياضي الذي تم على تلك الرابطة , حيث تم اجراء المقارنات بين رابطة plackett والرابطة المقترحة والمقدر المع | The limit of our the research we choosing the copula function to finding probability joint distribution and application it on plackett copula to finding exponential joint bivariate distribution. The research introduce the method for obtaining a modified plackett's copula ,and also modification for the estimator of proposed copula function, also using simulation for different values of sample size , all the result and comparison using BAISE,RMSE,AIC,BIC are explained through special tables we show that the results in the suggest copula is better for all cases, We do the practical on suggest copula for the data obtained from central child hospital - ministry of Iraqi health which consist the data about Total Serum Bilrubn (T.S.B) and Park Cell Volume (P.C.V).

العلاقة بين الترويج الصحي والتسويق الصيدلاني : دراسة ميدانية في الشركة العامة لتسويق الادوية والمستلزمات الطبية

Author name: اسماعيل كاظم هادي
Supervisor name: فليح عبد الزهرة الزبيدي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى تقويم النشاط التسويقي في الشركة العامة لتسويق الادوية والمستلزمات الطبية من خلال نشاط الترويج ومدى تحقيقه لاهداف التسويق الصيدلاني.اعتمد الباحث المعايشة الميدانية في موقع الشركة، اذ تم جمع البيانات والمعلومات اللازمة في مكتب الاعلام الدوا

تاثير كل من العدالة والثقة المنظمية في الاحتراق النفسي للعاملين : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء لعينة من العاملين في وزارة التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي == The Effect of Organizational Justice &Trust On Employees Burnout : Applied Study For Opinions Sample of Employees In Ministry of Higher Education And Scientific Research

Author name: اسماء طه نوري الشكرجي
Supervisor name: عبد الرزاق ابراهيم عباس الشيخلي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Not hidden to any one the problems that the employees in the public sector sustain and threaten which they face, that affected in form or another on their personal and practical life in addition to work environment conditions and their characteristics which have direct or indirect effect on the employees psyche and abilities on the performing of the task invested there with and thus, Not hidden to any one the problems that the employees in the public sector sustain and the threats which they faces, that affects in form or another on their personal and practical life in addition to work environment conditions and its characteristics which have direct or indirect effect on the employees psychology and there abilities to perform the task that they given it, The present study concerns with knowing the relationship between three basic variables, two of them are independent (Organizational Justice and Organizational Trust), and the third variable (Employees Burnout) which was dependent variable, to diagnose the effect level that the first practices one the second. The study depends on five main hypotheses and other branch hypotheses, tested by nonparametric analytic, statistic methods and it uses the questionnaire method o gather data from a sample consists of (140) professionals who are working in Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research center. The study reaches to a group of results, the important one was decreasing of study variables levels, and this is a Goode indication regarding the dependent variable (employees Burnout) in comparison with the two independent variables (Organizational Justice and Organizational Trust) which their level retreating has clear effect absolutely on the employees and the Organization under study, as well as the result’s emphasizing of significant relationship between tem, the matter that increases their size but what lessens the severity of these results is the non existence of any significant effect on employees burnout whose dimensions indicators are weak between the affiliates of the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research. The study has many recommendations concerning the Ministry under study as wall as a number of suggestions in the hope of contributing in illuminating he rood of researchers concerned wit the subject and developing the study about it.

المفاضلة بين خيارات الخصخصة لشركات المقاولات العامه باستعمال التحليل الاستراتيجي للبيئة الخارجية : دراسة استطلاعية == The Trade - Off Between Privatization Options General Contracting Firms Using The Strategic Analysis of The External Environment

Author name: اسماء حبيب نعمة الناصري
Supervisor name: احمد نزار جميل
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ناقش البحث متغيرين مهمين وهما خيارات الخصخصة والتحليل الاستراتيجي للبيئة الخارجية , وان الغرض من البحث هو المفاضلة بين خيارات الخصخصة واختيار البديل الانسب بما يتناسب مع البيئة الخارجية, ويهدف البحث الى تحديد خيار الخصخصة الانسب لشركات المقاولات العامة , | Discussed the research variables are important, privatization options and strategic analysis of the external environment, and that the purpose of the research is the trade - off between privatization options and choose the most appropriate alternative in proportion to the external environment, the research aims to determine the privatization the most appropriate option for companies and public contracting, showing the importance of the study provide the privatization of general state companies as a strategy can all its way public sector organizations from the transfer of work practices or private sector organizations and mechanisms to it as contributing to improving the level of skills Develop the current and future level of performance, the study involved comparing three views internalized experts, investors and managers sample (87) individuals and ensures head of research , including five sub - hypotheses were subject to statistical hypothesis tests. And it used statistical methods such as arithmetic mean weighted one sample and the use of analysis of variance table (ANOVA Test) and the most important results the Private sale is best suited choice between privatization options turned out that the sample went from various specializations and macro - level environmental factors ,by Go toward privatization optimal choice and decision - makers in the Iraqi state taking done to rescue What can be saved from public companie.

مفهوم الانصاف في المحاسبة واثره في عملية الابلاغ المالي : دراسة تحليلية وميدانية لانموذج ومستخدمي التقارير المالية بالعراق == Fairness Concept In Accounting & Its Effect On Discloser Process An Analytical & Empirical Study For Model & Users of Iraqi'S Financial Reports

Author name: اسكوهي اوانيس اوهانيس بدروسيان
Supervisor name: عامر محمد سلمان الجنابي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Accounting
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Accounting literature divided into two basic schools, the first one normative school concern with normative concepts such as ethics & social concepts, and concentrate on value implications statements so determining objectives became its core by determining and interpretation the needs of accounting information users. While positive school concentrate on empirical continuity for accounting being a discipline of formal education with concentrating on neutral presentation of accounting events and its discloser.It become clear that those accounting information users are the essences of both schools, by fulfilling there information needs under value standards in the first school, and by reflecting practical reality for them in neutral way without preferring some users over the others.Accounting is a social science because it is an art needs skills like law and medicine, as well as it is a science verify the credibility of the objective like law and economics. Therefore accounting is a social science in being interacting with the environment and in being part of it via inducing actual study and formulating generalizations about observed phenomena, and relating accounting procedures used to create accounting information with social principles to produce accounting principles such as fairness which support objectivity (principle) through being unbiased (procedure) as well as serving most of financial reports users. This was suggested by D. R. Scott, he is one of the first who call for fairness in 1941 : “accounting rules, procedures and techniques must be fair and unbiased and must not serve special purposes”, through this it became “value statement”.Fairness concept started to take its place in accounting literature orderly via professionals and academics studies. The monograph published in 1960 by Arthur Anderson & Co. about fairness mention that “fairness is basic accounting postulate that underlay accounting principles, fairness to all society segments, management, employees, shareholders, creditors, customers, and the public so that it is unified and measured under economic and political environment, conceptual pattern and norms of all segments to reach the target that accounting principles based on this postulate will produce financial accounting for economical rights and stakes legitimately established which it is fair to all segments.” Later Patillo positioned fairness as the basic standard used to evaluate other standards because it is the only standard that implies ethical considerations, when Patillo wanted to relate ideas such as justice, real, and fair with the objectives of financial reporting results which concentrate on the stakes of different parties in economy. According to Cowan that Patillo's opinion represents the American concept for fairness and the British sees fairness as distinguished, obvious, unequivocal, representation of facts.In return others like S. C. Yu & Harold Arnett called for impossibility of making fairness a measure or a framework to accounting principles for different reasons such as the disagreement on a clear concept for fairness idiom by the accountants, and the difference in the meaning of fairness concept among the reacceptances, as well as the difficulty to measure fairness effect. Between supporters and opponents ethical concepts including fairness still have clear effect in accounting, that researcher can not determine their subject, methodology, postulates and experimental means without implying value concepts.This study based on idea aims to clarify the meaning of fairness concept to become easier to include it within accounting standard and rules, and studying the effect of the ethical concept over some of the international and local financial disclosure applications.The most important theoretical conclusion is that fairness considered value concept means unbiased and objectivity in dealing with the company stakeholders specially the externals, via fulfilling useful, reliable, relevance accounting information. Fairness means the same as justice and different from just, because the latter means the abstract application to laws and rules without taking into considerations the circumstances relating to the subject of study.

تاثير التضخم المستهدف والناتج المحتمل في السياسة النقدية للعراق == Impact of Inflation And Potential Output In The Monetary Policy In Iraq

Author name: اسراء عبد فرحان
Supervisor name: محمود محمد محمود داغر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تهتم السياسة النقدية اهتماما كبيرا بتحقيق الاستقرار النقدي، من خلال رسم السياسة المؤثرة والمسيطرة على كمية النقود، والهادفة الى تحقيق الاستقرار في المستوى العام للاسعار وتحقيق التشغيل عند المستوى المحتمل للناتج وتحقيق النمو الاقتصادي، وصولا الى ادنى فج | Recent years monetary policy more focused on monetary stability goal , through the drawing influencing policy and controlling the quantity of money and aimed at achieving stability in the general level of prices and achievement of operating when the potential level of output and economic growth, reach the lowest output gap as well as with cross - target cash economy minimization of inflation gap.This study deals with the relationship between inflation and economic growth and estimating product gap of the Iraqi economy duration (1990 - 2014).Iraq's economy is suffering from an approximately complete separation between the monetary sector and the real sector, because of the absence of control mechanism after transmission of monetary policy to the real economy through controlling inflation at its target with a nominal anchor of monetary policy.Monetary policy is working in the Iraqi economy in the absence of the actual use of this potential output in the case that has been estimated, as well as attempting to estimate gap (inflation and output) and analysis of their direction and their impact on monetary policy. The researcher attempt to measure the relationship between the two gap and the nominal anchor.For checking which nominal anchor more accurate we used a model of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Estimate ARDL and test the Bound test to test the joint integration and the relationship of long and short - term between the variables under study, as well as induced response to test the relationship between the variables that measure the impact of the trauma suffered by the internal variable in the VAR model on the current and future values of other internal variables in the model function analysis conclusions reached the ineffectiveness of interest rate anchor nominal monetary policy to target inflation and the output of the Iraqi economy during the period of study, as well as the effectiveness of the exchange rate in effect at the gap (inflation and output).

قياس وتحليل دالة الطلب على الواردات الزراعية في العراق للمدة 1980 - 2010 == Measuring And Analyzing The Demand Function For Agricultural Imports In Iraq For The Period 1980 - 2010

Author name: اسراء سليم كاطع الربحاوي
Supervisor name: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الموضوعات المتعلقة بالتجارة الخارجية مجالا واسعا للمناقشات واهتمام الاقتصاديين وذلك لاسهامها الفاعل في عملية التنمية الاقتصادية في اقتصاديات الدول لاسيما النامية منها. ويشكل جانب الواردات من السلع والخدمات في التجارة الخارجية جزءا مهما للاقتصاد المح | Foreign trade captures the interest of economists for its contribution to the process of economic development, especially in developing countries. In addition, imports of goods and services constitute an important section in foreign trade by which a country gets what local economy cannot produce because of the incompetent base of production. Hence, the measurement and analysis of the demand function of agricultural imports in Iraq gain special significance due to the reliance of the Iraqi economy on foreign trade to secure many agricultural products.In this work, the demand function for agricultural imports in Iraq has been estimated through the technique of auto - regressive distributed lag (ARDL) and the bounds test to measure and analyze the co - integration for long and short - run relationships among the demand for agricultural imports, relative prices, GDP, and foreign reserves. In addition, the relationship between the variables has been tested through the technique of impulse response function (IRF), which measures the impact of a shock on an internal variable on the current and future values of the other internal variables in the VAR model.This thesis includes three chapters, each containing several studies, in addition to a preface, the goal of the study, and a literature review. Chapter 1 introduces an economic framework of the theory of demand in two sections, one about the concept of demand and the factors influencing it and the other on international trade and its relationship to demand in different economic systems. Chapter 2 dicusses the reality and evolution of agricultural foreign trade in Iraq for the period 1980 - 2010. Finally, Chapter 3 introduces the econometric analysis for the demand on agricultural imports and their determinants using the ARDL model and the IRF. The statistical analysis has been performed using EViews 8 and Microfit 5.It has been found that the increase of total and agricultural imports for the interval 1980 - 2010, especially after the year 2003. It has also been found that the average compound annual growth of total and agricultural imports for the same interval is positive with an amount of 5.4% for total imports and 3.6% for agricultural imports. The relative importance of food imports has been found to constitute 99% of total agricultural imports, whereas that for the means of production is very small ranging from 4.4% in 1980 to 0.3% in 2010. On the other hand, short - term elasticity shows an increment of 1% in relative prices causes a decrease in the demand on agricultural imports by 24%. In addition, an increase of 1% in GDP and foreign reserve leads to an increase in the demand on agricultural imports by 19.16%. Furthermore, long - term elasticity that a relative price increment of 1% leads to a reduced demand on agricultural imports by 42%. The IRF shows that a change in relative prices of 1% leads to reducing the demand on agricultural imports by 20% in the second year then it increase to reach 36% in the tenth year, while a change in GDP of 1% leads to an increase in the demand on agricultural imports by 3% in the second year then it decreases to 5% in the tenth year. And, a change of 1% in foreign reserve increases the demand on agricultural import by 9% starting from the third year, reaching up to 17% in the tenth year. Accordingly, it is concluded that the relative prices play an important role in determining the demand on agricultural imports.This study recommends the necessity of setting forth agricultural policies to protect and develop the national product through the support of prices and the means of production, and limiting the impact of agricultural imports on national products in terms of quality and price. Furthermore, it is recommended to activate imports - related trade policies such as customs tariff, for the sake of supporting the national product and increasing the contribution of the agricultural sector in the making of the GDP

قياس وتحليل تاثير صدمات السياسة المالية على بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية في العراق للمدة 1990 - 2014 == Measure And Analyze The Impact of Fiscal Policy Shocks On Some Macroeconomic Variables In Iraq For The Period 1990 - 2014

Author name: اسراء سعيد صالح العبيدي
Supervisor name: محمد صالح سلمان الكبيسي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تؤثر الصدمات الاقتصادية الخارجية بشكل مباشر على المتغيرات المالية في الدول المصدرة للسلع الاساسية الاولية لاسيما الدول النفطية منها، ويرجع ذلك الى وجود ارتباط قوي بين الموازنة العامة والتجارة الخارجية في هذه الدول، فتستجيب السياسة المالية عبر ادواتها الان | External economic shocks directly affect the financial variables in developing countries, especially those related to oil, due to the existence of a strong correlation between the general budget and foreign trade in these countries, fiscal policy responds through public spending and public revenue is a concurrence or counter to the trend of economic shock, and reflected that response macroeconomic variables relevant in unexpected changes can be expressed in fiscal policy shocks.This study, in your hands I have focused on the measurement and analysis of the impact of shocks, fiscal policy on some macro - economic variables in Iraq, came to focus on this aspect of faith researcher believing absolutely that fiscal policy plays a key role in the national economy, In terms of its ability to allocate resources between economic sectors, or through its Impact on the use of resources, and therefore its impact on aggregate demand levels, moreover, its impact on incomes Through government - provided social grants and expenses which increase in frequency during the exposure to economic shocks, if the affected fiscal policy, both on the side of public expenditures and / or the public revenues to external economic shocks will be reflected in all economic sectors, so the study will try to build a standard model for measuring the impact of Fiscal policy shocks in Some of macroeconomic variables.

مقارنة بين طريقتي SIMEX وLLS لتقدير دالة الانحدار اللامعلمية باستخدام المحاكاة == Comparison Between SIMEX & LLS Methods To Estimation Nonparametric Regression Function Using Simulation

Author name: اسراء سعدون علوان
Supervisor name: دجلة ابراهيم مهدي العزاوي | نذير عباس الشمري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: لقد كان من ثمار الانتشار الكبير للحاسوب الالكتروني ولا سيما في العقدين الاخيرين شيوع استخدام الاساليب البيانية في المجالات شتى, ويستعرض هذا البحث اسلوب بياني في التقدير الاحصائي يدعى بتقديرSIMEX باستخدام اسلوب kernel.وتعنــي SIMEX (Simulation - Extrapol | One of the products of large using of computers specially in the last two century is the large using of graphic method in every field, this study consider one of the graphic method in statistical estimation called SIMEX (Simulation - Extrapolation) by using kernel method.With any regression model, three steps then fine the SIMEX estimator : (a) select a finite set of ?’s such as ?={0,0.5,1.0,1.5,2.0} and compute ;(b)fined the average ;(c)extrapolate this estimator back to ?= - 1 ,resulting ,using simulation we compare between SIMEX and LLS (Local linear smoother).And from the simulation’s results we found that the best method is SIMEX when (n<60) specially with Epanchnicov function.

استخدام توزيعي بيتا والاسي في تقدير معالمات انموذج الانحدار الخطي == Use of Beta & Exponential Distributions To Estimate The Parameters of The Linear Regression Model

Author name: اسامة محمد جاسم القصاب
Supervisor name: اموري هادي كاظم الحسناوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تبقى عملية التقدير لمعلمات انموذج الانحدار من المواضيع المهمة رغم كثرة ما كتب عنها من خلال البحوث والدراسات وهذه الدراسات تختلف باختلاف الاساليب المتبعة في عملية التقدير سواء كان هذا الاسلوب تقليدي او بيزي او تبعا للتوزيعات التي يتم توظيفها في عملية التق | the process of estimating the parameters of regression model , is still still one of the important subjects despite of the large number of papers and studies written in this subject , these studies are differ in techniques followed in the process of estimation , whether they are classic or baysian , or according to the distributions applied in the estimation , and which are available about some of the parameters of regression model.In this thesis , two different distributions are applied ( Beta , Exponential )in estimating different sample sizes and then making a comparison among the classic estimation techniques represented by (OLS) method , and the method of applying one distribution or two (u.d) , and the baysian methods by providing the distributions themselves.By using the simulation technique , results has been obtained to provide the researcher with the image to clarify the best method in the estimation technique.This thesis come in four chapters : The first chapter contains the introduction and the background of the subject.The second chapter contains the theoretical basis of the estimation methods, when one or two distribution are applied in estimation technique whether is the classic or baysian method, it also contains all that related to derivation process to obtains the estimation style.The third chapter contains , a display of the practical side and also a display of the results of the simulation process used to reach to the best techniques of estimation.Finally, the forth chapter contains the conclusions and recommendation as well as future studies.

تقدير عجز الوحدات السكنية في العراق لعام 2010 == Estimated Deficit of Housing Units In Iraq For 2010

Author name: اسامة عبد العزيز كاظم القريشي
Supervisor name: محمد جاسم محمد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: المحور الاول : تقدير العجز السكني لعام 2010 للعراق ماعدا اقليم كردستان. المحور الثاني : التنبؤ بالحاجة السكنية لغاية عام 2016 للعراق ماعدا اقليم كردستان. يتضح ان مشكلة السكن في العراق مشكلة متفاقمة ومعقدة اذ تحتاج الى تضافر جهود مؤسسات الدولة باكملها | The study can be summarized as the following : First : Estimate housing deficit for the year 2010 in Iraq , except Kurdistan region. Second : Prediction of need for housing up to the year 2016 in Iraq except Kurdistan region. It is clear that the housing problem in Iraq is a growing problem and complex which require efforts of whole institutions , and the private sector as it specify the country,s housing deficit for the year 2010 , except Kurdistan Estimated by (2093048 ) housing unit the residential housing deficit Estimated for households , while the Estimated value of the magor hit (3460840) housing units that represent the Estimated housing deficit of nuclear families , while residential future needed unil 2016 , except Kurdistan region , identified the two values , while Estimated (2797840) housing units while residential future need of households , Estimated magor hit (4704699) housing unit.

المعرفة الضمنية وانعكاسها على جودة الخدمة الصحية في دائرة صحة الرصافة == Tacit Knowledge And Its Reflection On Health Service Quality In Alresafa Health Sector

Author name: اسامة عبد الرحيم داود السامرائي
Supervisor name: اياد طاهر محمد الجبوري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الائتمان المصرفي بين تحديات المخاطر وسبل المعالجة : دراسة تحليلية للمصارف التجارية الخاصة في العراق

Author name: ازهار حسن علي ابونايلة
Supervisor name: ثريا عبد الرحيم علي الخزرجي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ن المؤكد ان للائمان المصرفي دورا مهما جدا في دعم عملية التنمية الاقتصادية، بعده وسيط مالي بين المدخرين والمستثمرين، ويعد الدور الكبير للائتمان المصرفي في توجيه النشاط الاقتصادي صوب المشاريع الاستثمارية المهمة ذات الاستغلال الامثل للموارد المتوافرة والد | IT is certain that bank credit has an essential part in supporting the economic development process as a financial intermediary between savers and inverters. Beside the essential role of bank credit in directing the economic activity towards the important investment projects that best make use of available resources and supporting the economic development process, therefore, bank credit represents the economic activity mainstay.Banks are liable to financial and bank risks such as; interest rate risks, exchange rate risks, market risks, rubbery and bankruptcy risks, investment risks, national risks, liquidity risks, inflation risks, globalization risks, and merging risks, In addition to, credit risks. Accordingly, suitable means must be found to overcome these risks. Private Commercial banks in Iraq were allowed to practice their work in 1992 in unnatural conditions such as the embargo, high average of inflation, and changing from of government; so, these banks are liable to many financial and risks besides the influence of general conditions, such as the unstable economic and political condition on these banks.The economic problem of research (bank credit risks and credit problems increase and happen together with the unstable economic and political condition).The study came from a theory has significance (the bank credit process as any financial process is liable to many risks and challenges).The study implies three chapters; each chapter contains three fields of researches, conclusions, and recommendation. The first chapter refers to the bank credit impractical framework. The second chapter refers to bank credit risks between Basel committee decision and bank reform. While the third chapter refers to bank credit analytic study and its risks on private commercial banks in Iraq and their quitted for reform.

دور القطاع الخاص في التطور الاقتصادي لمجموعة من الدول النامية مع اشارة خاصة للتجربة العراقية للمدة من 1970 - 2004 : تحليل وقياس == The Role of The Private Sector In Development of Group of Devloping Countries With Special Reference To Iraqi Experience For The Period 1970 - 2004. Measurement And Analysis

Author name: ازاد احمد سعدون الدوسكي
Supervisor name: يحيى غني جاسم النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: This thesis studies the role of the private sector in economic development in a number of under - developed countries ,with a special reference to Iraqi experience for the period 1970 - 2004.The purpose of the study is to show the positive role of the private sector in economic development in a number of developed countries specifically after their adoption of their own privatization policies ,and the possibility of adopting the positive aspects of those policies in Iraqi economic development in the future. To achieve this goal we would have follow the comparative economic analysis approach together with some statistical and experimental methods by using regression analysis to estimate the parameters of selected models. The study falls into three chapters.Capter one reviewes the phelosophy and the main ideas of the private sector in theory and practice in Europe, starting from Marcantylian school to the Supply approach school, and the re - adpoption of Privatisation policies at the late seventies of the last century with reference to some international experiences in Privatisation in both developed and underdeveloped countries. Chapter two is devoted to the analysis and measurement of the private sector activities in a number of underdeveloped countries, such as Turky and Egypt. Chapter three deals with the analysis and measurement of the private sector activities in Iraq from 1970 to 2004 by studying some economic indications in Iraqi economy.

تقييم دور ثقافة المنظمة ونجاح ادارة المعرفة في تطوير الميزة التنافسية المستدامة : دراسة تطبيقية في شركات الاتصال الخلوي العاملة في العراق == Evaluating Role The Organizational Culture And Knowledge Management Success In Developing Sustainable Competitive Advantage Analytical Study In Mobile Phone Telecommunication Companies In Iraq

Author name: اريج سعيد خليل العاني
Supervisor name: سعد علي حمود عباس العنزي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تفاعلت ثلاثة متغيرات لتشكيل الاطار الفكري والفلسفي لهذه الدراسة، وهي (ثقافة المنظمة وادارة المعرفة والميزة التنافسية المستدامة)، وقد انطلقت الدراسة من مشكلة معبر عنها بعدد من التساؤلات الفكرية والتطبيقية، استهدف من الاجابة عنها استجلاء الفلسفة النظرية وا | Three Variables interacted to from the ideological and philosophic frame of this study which are (Organizational Culture, Knowledge Management and Sustainable Competitive Advantage), this study started from a problem expressed by of applied and ideological wonderments to answer these question in order to illustrate the philosophy theory and ideological functions of these variables because they are a new subjects at Arabic environment in general and Iraqi environment in special and testing relationship coloration and effect and ability of using it at application environment which formed from a sample from Iraqna and MTC - Atheer Mobile Phone Telecommunication Companies in Iraq, The Sample of study was determined by (72) manager.Important the study in ideological and philosophic origin for study variables depend on application afford for actuality of organizational culture and Knowledge Management in developing sustainable competitive advantage, In order to get this aim six main hypothesis has been formulated, branch all and tested by some non parametric statistical processes, the questionnaires used as a basic elements to collect data and information from the study simple.The study conducted to ideological theory and applied conclusions which determine actual of organizational culture found at application environment, The most outstanding was the integration of organization culture role and knowledge management success in developing the sustainable competitive advantage, but the variable of organization culture role dominates in developing the sustainable competitive advantage, which indicates the importance of recommendations, the most outstanding among them are the companies researched simulation of the international companies and drawing scenarios in meeting future as well as the consolidating of the knowledge existed through the developing of site workshop and putting specified strategies and policies followed by companies to get the learning and the knowledge. And suggestions such as orientation study knowledge workers management of advancing the human resource and knowledge culture simultaneously.

تقدير التكاليف الاقتصادية لتدهور الاراضي الزراعية في العراق عبر محصول الحنطة كسلعة استراتيجية للمدة 2005 - 2012 == Estimation of The Economic Costs of Degradation of Land In Iraq Through The Wheat Crop As A Strategic Commodity For The Period 2005 - 2012

Author name: اريج ابراهيم احمد القره غولي
Supervisor name: قتيبة نبيل نايف القزاز
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Environmental Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تاثر القطاع الزراعي في العراق بالتغيرات السياسية والاقتصادية والتشريعية التي شهدها العراق على مايقارب عقدا من الزمان والذي انعكس سلبا على فعالية مساهمته من الناتج المحلي الاجمالي وبالتالي على الاقتصاد, اذ يشير التقرير الاقتصادي السنوي لعام 2012 للبنك ال | The agricultural sector in Iraq has been affected by the political, economic and legislative changes that witnessed it Iraq at last decade which reflected negatively on the effectiveness of its contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) and then on the economy. The annual economic report of the Central Bank of Iraq indicates that the agricultural sector constitutes about 4.1% of GDP for 2012. However, the agricultural sector faces multiple problems that add negative impact on the agriculture development trends in Iraq. The Global warming which is the most prominent problem and shortage of rain have caused desertification phenomenon. The decrease of levels of Tigris and Euphrates rivers, due to many reasons, as well as the decrease of the quantities of the underground water and incompetent use of resources by farmers have increased the soil saline, degraded it and decreased land fertility. All these factors have led to decrease of the arable lands and fast growing number of population added more pressure on the land to increase productivity to meet people’s growing needs which, at the end, caused degradation of the arable lands. Therefore, it is important to discuss these problems and find out the root causes of the decrease of the arable lands and devise proper solutions. This study has been developed to assess the change of wheat production between 2005 and 2012, through analyzing the relation between production quantities and the cultivated lands as well as the quantities of water that have been provided. Further, the impact of supplied water and used lands were measured through line graphs in this study. The increase and decrease of arable lands and the lands that can be used for agriculture in comparison to the size of the whole land explain clearly the benefit of agricultural activities.Land degradation leads to damage of environmental elements including water, air, and soil. The relation between environment and economy is strong and reciprocal and form the basis of the sustainable work of each one where economy protects environment and nature elements through typical distribution of resources provided by environment to boost economy. Further, through economic activities funding is being allocated to fix degradation and damage. Protecting environment will protect economy as well and achieves its mission to meet people’s unlimited needs and increase development rates which boosts people’s welfare in each community. The aforementioned relation has encouraged people concerned with environmental economy to look for cash indicator called Cost of Environmental Degradation (COED) which recognized as an important indicator for decision makers to identify the loss of economy in cash that has been caused by environmental degradation and lack of environment protection. The economic costs of agricultural land degradation for the period (2005 - 2012), where estimated a lowest costs in 2010 about (3,437,884,583) IQD and a highest costs in 2012 which amounted to (589,579,870,614) IQD. Conclude from that the cost of the alternative opportunity for these costs has been exceeded on the rights of subsequent generations in natural resources as well as environmental assets so it recommend to do a strategy to promote the agricultural sector through diagnosis its main problems. The desertification, the poor management of water resources, and the financial and technological weakness represent the almost important of these problems must be diagnosed, as well as setting a time limit to treatment these problems which cause a heavy losses in cultivated arena and production, in additional to monitoring a large sums of money to reduce or treat the deterioration in order to increase agricultural development, which is reflected positively on the economy of the country.

مقارنة مقدرات بيز القياسية لمعلمة توزيع باريتو باستعمال دوال خسارة مختلفة == A Comparison of Standard Bayes Estimators For Parameter of Paretodistribution Using Different Loss Function

Author name: اخلاص علي حمودي الحديثي
Supervisor name: صباح هادي عبود الجاسم
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هذا البحث تم دراسة مقدرات بيز القياسية لمعلمة توزيع باريتو لاربعة دوال خسارة هي : 1. دالة الخسارة التربيعية Squared Error Loss Function 2. دالة الخسارة التربيعية المعدلة Modified Squared Error Loss Function 3. دالة الخسارة الاسية الخطية Linerar E | In this research was studied the standard Bayes estimators for parameter of Pareto Distribution for the following four loss function : 1 - Squared Error Loss Function. 2 - Modified Squared Error Loss Function. 3 - Linear Exponential Loss Function. 4 - Modified Exponential Loss Function. In the theoretical part of this research was derived two standard Bayes Estimators for the second and the third function As for the standard Bayes estimators for the first and the fourth function it were available in the research on the subject. In the experimental part in this research A simulation approach By Monte - Carlo method is used to comparisons between preference of the fourth estimators for parameter of Pareto Distribution taking in to consideration the two statistical indicators Mean Squared error (MSE) and Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) for different samples sizes and under certain conditions demonstrated preference of standard Bayes estimator for each function of these functions also was the verification of the theoretical part on the research in experimental and under certain condition of two standard Bayes estimators for the squared error loss function and Modified linear exponential loss function

تطبيقات (ISO 9001,CMM,TQM) لقياس جودة الاداء الكلي : دراسة حالة في الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية == The Applications of (ISO 9001,CMM,TQM) In Measuring Total Performance Quality Case Study At The General Company For Leather Industries

Author name: اخلاص زكي فرج الجبوري
Supervisor name: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تتمحور مشكلة البحث بوجود فجوة بين نماذج الجودة ( ISO 9001,CMM, TQM) والبيئة الداخلية للمنظمة وقدراتها ومواردها. ان معظم نماذج الجودة تفترض بانها تقدم افضل الحلول لمشاكل الجودة وهذا ما لم يتم اثباته بشكل قاطع. فضلا عن ذلك فان البحوث الاكاديمية التي اجريت ف | The problem of this research represents in the gap existent among quality models (ISO 9001, TQM, CMM) and the internal and external environment of an organization, it’s abilities and resources, Most quality models assume that they provide the best solution to the quality problems but that wasn’t proved absolutely. In addition, the academic research work conducted in Iraq, since the 1990’s, has only measured the gap between the requirements of ISO 9001 and the current quality system at the researched organizations and has urged the organizations to bridge the gap to achieve the ISO certificate.It is noticeable that all the researches written about quality management systems and environment in Iraq have recommended the ISO as the best alternative in solving quality problems; but at same time the company environment, internal resources, self - ability have been forgotten in these researches. Moreover these researches haven’t mention the test for ability of quality models integration in achieving the organization objectives representing in quality problems solving and improving its total performance.So, this study handled the effect of the integration among (ISO 9001, TQM, CMM) in improving the total performance quality; evaluating the reality of quality in General Company for Leather Industries (GCLI) (research sample) and determining the quality model that corresponds with the sample environment, resources, and needs.The research is trying to achieve a number of aims ,and it is depending on hypothesis, while the required data and information are gathered from the company registers, structural interviews are made by using checklists, personal observation, and reviewing documents to analyze and evaluate quality system. In addition to that the researcher has made a field living to complete some aspects which lack documented data in the company registers to check the correctness answers in the checklists. These lists have shown a fluctuation in the company performance quality and weaknesses in its performance, also the studied effected factors haven’t get high evaluation and this denote that the company is suffering from problems.Questionnaire is used in gathering data and information related to integration in research sample, and many statistical methods are used in handling data which are multiple and simple regression, and path analysis. These methods have come out with many results, the most important of them have shown that total - effect of integration among (ISO 9001, TQM, CMM) in total performance quality is more than the effect of each model alone, it is also shown that the use of ISO 9001 alone is not sufficient for improving the company total performance quality.In discussing the results, the study assured the importance of integration among the models in achieving quality requirements and has recommends the necessity of depending on integration elements in improving the total performance quality of company.

تحديد خطط الانتاج الكفوءة لشركة الشهيد العامة في ظل ظروف المخاطرة واللايقين == Determination of Efficient Production'S Plans For Al - Shaheed Public Company Under Risk And Uncertainty

Author name: احمد وهيب حسين محمد
Supervisor name: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Conventional linear programming models are usually used in determination of optimum production which either maximizing gross margins or minimizing to total costs under definite constraints. The main deficit in such models is their neglecting risk which exit in production process. Hazell at (1971) succeeded to improve the conventional linear programming to linear models take in consideration risk and uncertainty. The new models are based on the assumption, that decision mater could choose between optimum plans on the basis of expected income (E) from each plan and the absolute total deviation (A) ; thus this invented model which includes the above mentioned variables as a measure for risk in any plan is called MOTAD (Minimization of Total Absolute Deviation). By using this model minimum total absolute deviation is obtained , which means that an efficient plan is fulfilled with gross margin (E) and minimum total absolute deviation (A). A linear alternative mathematical programming model introduced by Loren W. tauer at (1981) computationally efficient and generates solutions meeting the second - degree stochastic dominance (SSD) test. MOTAD does not do this. The model is a modification of MOTAD called Target MOTAD. It's two attribute risk and return model. Which generates a subset of feasible SSD ( second degree stochastic dominance) solutions where stochastic dominance techniques are appealing theoretically because they require only function properties ,rather specific forms be specified. The thesis aims to derive the efficient industrial plans for Al - shaheed general company under risk by using MOTAD and target MOTAD as a linear alternatives models for the quadratic programming models. The results showed that there had been a sort of (trade - off) between risk and the expected gross margins. And if the studied company strives to get high gross margin , it should tolerate risk and vice versa. Beside that , target MOTAD appears to be more plausible approach for examining risk - return trade - offs , and in addition it's more consistent with recent economical literature. Finally the contents of this research divided into six chapters : - The first dealt with the foundmental concepts , previous studies and theoretical sides related to the subject of the research. The second chapter involved models that expressed about risk and deal with. The third chapter contains risk efficiency criterions and stochastic dominance analysis. The fourth chapter involved a technical , financial analysis and building the primary model of linear programming for the target company. The fifth chapter an empirical study on data of Al - shaheed company by using MOTAD and target MOTAD. Then conclusions and recommendations had been showed in the sixth chapter. The essential of them were mentioned above. So the management of Al - Shaheed Company to be invited to apply the suitable procedures in the production process , in order to get efficient plans that improves it's performance.

تحليل احصائي لواقع العمالة وتياراتها واتجاهاتها في محافظات مختارة من العراق == A Statistical Analysis of The Realy of Emeeployment And Trends In Selected Provinces of Lraq

Author name: احمد هادي عبد العزيز الذهب
Supervisor name: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The working class is the slide in the broader community and is the main pillar upon which all countries of the world in all Economic sectors and development is the basis for progress and development in all fields. The difference in employment between the provinces as well as the disparity in services led to the disparity in the size of labor between provinces that's why I'm interested in this research study this phenomenon Mstaan statistical analysis (use of linear regression multi), to determine the factors that affect the size of the labor for the three provinces of Iraq and any provinces over the size of the labor on the level of Iraq, according to results of the survey of employment in 1987, to the year 2001, and the data that have been obtained from the concerned ministries official (health, education, agriculture, electricity), and study the impact of the factors of health, education, agriculture and services (electricity and water) on a volume of employment. The researcher found that there are some factors have an impact extrusive (positive) in some provinces as the number of schools in the province of Nineveh, unlike others with the opposite effect as the number of faculty members in the province of Basra, for the lack of Quotient in the number of schools in that province.

تحليل احصائي لمؤشرات الثروة الحيوانية في العراق للسنوات 2001 - 2008 == A Statistical Analysis of Indicators For Livestock In The Country For The Years 2001 - 2008

Author name: احمد كاظم حسن العصامي
Supervisor name: مهدي محمد البياع
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعيش الانسان بالاعتماد على الغذاء الذي وفر له من مختلف القنوات النباتية والحيوانية والمصنعة التي تساعده على انجاز متطلبات حياته وبذلك يعد الغذاء ثروة استراتيجية تقوم عليها البشرية ويتحقق من خلالها الامان والاستقرار. شهد في التاريخ القديم والحديث ا | Human lives, depending on the food provided to him from the various channels of plant, animal and manufactured to help him to accomplish the requirements of his life and so is the food wealth strategy underlying the human and through which security and stability. Seen in ancient and modern history many wars in which the main objective was to maintain food sources and increasing wealth in it. And the nation that meet the food security situation of up to a state of political and economic stability, financial and social well - being by increasing and reducing tensions. The food of animal forms and outputs (meat, milk and eggs... etc) of the most important sources of food and the highest in peace for the content of food materials according to the task of the human body. It is here specifically highlights the importance of livestock to the peoples and nations and try to increase it for the reasons contained in the above. And will take care of this thesis to study the reality of livestock in the country based on census data, which included indicators of animal production and conducted in a number of years where the trend in bringing about development in livestock production necessarily requires the provision of many of the requirements necessary to achieve this development The prediction of the most important influences statistical help his resolution to take the right decision and here the researcher using the regression models written multiple (Multiple Linear Regression) to identify the most important factors that help to increase the livestock in the country have also been using a number of important indicators in reading the reality of wealth animal with a growing population

طرائق تقدير دالة المخاطرة لتوزيع Quasi Lindely : بحث مقارن مع تطبيق عملي == Comparison of Some Methods For Estimation of Hazard Function of Distribution Quasi Lindley With Application

Author name: احمد علوان صالح
Supervisor name: صباح هادي عبود الجاسم
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان البحوث المتعلقة بامراض الاطفال ومنها امراض الدم تكتسب اهمية بالغة لما تسببه هذه الامراض من زيادة في نسب الوفيات بين الاطفال مما يؤثر سلبا في نمو المجتمعات لان هذه الامراض تستهدف قاعدتها الاساسية والمتمثلة بالطفولة. من المعلوم ان التوزيعات الاحتمالية | The researches on the diseases, including children and the blood diseases is of paramount importance to what caused these diseases from an increase in mortality rates among children, which negatively affects the growth of the communities, because these diseases targeted base of basic and childhood.It is known that the probability distributions is the statistical tool that deal with times of life for patients with diseases that cause of death, and that the issue of determining the statistical distribution of the most flexible in the good compatibility with the data on life times of of people affect the accuracy of the results and specifically estimates for both parameters or a Hazard function , which provides hospital and its staff of doctors, nurses, research centers , important evidence in the medical analysis of these diseases in order to develop methods of treatment and related drugs and medical devices to other medical supplies.In this research was study the of blood leukemia disease problem in the children what caused the disease in the increase in the number of deaths for children with this disease.In this research , review the distribution of properties (Quasi Lindely - QL - ) for the proper matching the practical side data and estimate a risk function using five methods to estimate Maximum Likelihood Method , method of moments, method of L - moment Method of Percentiles Estimators and Standard Bayes Method using Squared Error Loss Function and Logarithmic Loss Function and joint prior distribution noninformative prior using (Jeffrey's formula) also used the method of Lindley Approximation to solving integrals resulting from the use Bayes way to estimate the Hazard function for this distribution.In order to find the best methods of judgment for the purpose of use in the practical side in this research were employed style simulation way (Monte Carlo) and using the Mean squared error (MSE) and the Integral. Mean square Error (IMSE) in order to compare the efficiency of the estimators to function risk was reached through implementation of simulation experiments that Bayes estimator to a Hazard function of distribution (QL) using a logarithmic function loss is the most efficient for small and medium volumes of samples while Maximum Likelihood Method and Method of Percentiles Estimators are better for large samples and at the same efficiency.Finally, in the practical side was used a sample size of data (n = 42) of the children of the deceased because of the disease leukemia blood have been employed estimator Bayes using to estimate the Hazard function loss logarithmic function to these patients. The results showed that the Hazard function of death among children in Iraq function values because of this disease are higher values than necessary health institution looks at this phenomenon and develop sophisticated prevention and treatment and to provide various medical supplies to minimize the seriousness of this disease, which leads to the depletion of human and financial resources, which negatively affects the process of progress of society as well as scientific methods should health institutions raise community awareness of the reasons this the disease for the purpose of avoiding these reasons and by employing various media, particularly newsletters that you know the reasons of the disease and treatment modalities.

الضرورة والركائز الاساسية للانتقال من الاسلوب المخطط الى الاسلوب التلقائي للنمو : العراق حالة دراسية

Author name: احمد عبد الله سلمان الوائلي
Supervisor name: ميسر قاسم محمد غزال
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اضحت ظاهرة التحول الى اقتصاد السوق مثار جدل كبير على المسرح الاقتصادي العالمي،فقد اتجهت اليها الدول الاشتراكيه السابقة بعد انهيار منظومتها في بداية تسعينات القرن الماضي واتبعت تلك الدول الوصفات المقدمه اليها من المنظمات الداعية للتحول (الصندوق والبنك الدو

استخدام نماذج القياس الاقتصادي في نظرية الالعاب لتحديد سياسات تعظيم الارباح لشركتي بيبسي كولا وكوكا كولا في محافظة بغداد == Use of Models of Econometrics In Game Theory In Determining The Policies To Maximize Profits For The Pepsi Cola And Coca - Cola In The Province of Baghdad

Author name: احمد عبد العزيز سوادي
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Operations Research
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: نظرا لاهمية نظرية الالعاب وخاصة نظريات احتكار القلة في دراسة واقع التنافس بين الشركات او الحكومات وغيرها، قام الباحث بربط القياس الاقتصادي بهذه النظريات لتشمل كافة السياسات المتعددة المستعملة من تلك الشركات بعد ان كانت تعتمد على الكمية والسعر فقط وتم تطب | Due to the importance of the theory of games especially theories of oligopoly in the study of the reality of competition aming companies or governments and others the researcher linked theories of oligopoly to Econometrics to include all the policies used by companies after these theories were based on price and quantity only the researcher applied these theories to data taken from Pepsi Cola and Coca - Cola In Baghdad Steps of the solution where stated for the models proposed and solutions where found to be balance points is for the two companies according to the principle of Nash.The theory of Cournot is based on the assumption that the total amount sold is fixed and is shared among the parties of monopoly (Companies). Aggregate supply is supposed to be determined and the price is set and supply meets demand. It also assumes that the relationship between price and quantity is linear : Quantity is inversely proportional to the price. the researcher has developed a proposed model for the expansion of the model to include all the policies used by oligopoly companies such as advertising and others.The model of von Staklberg is applied when there is a market leader and the rest of the companies are subsidiaries It takes the same relationship between price and quantity in the theory of Cournot that is the second company determines. the quantity that it wants to produce which will be restricted to the first company. This will be the first company the leader, and the second company to be its subsidiary. The researcher also to included all the policies used by oligopoly companies after linking the model to theories of econometrics.The Bertrand model depends mainly on determining the prices not quantities, as in the models of Cournot and von Staklberg. It is supposed that the price of competing companies in some way affects the price of a single company. The researcher also included all the policies used by oligopoly companies after the model was based on the price, quantity and sale price of the competing company only by linking the model to theories of econometrics

تاثير توقيت الافصاح المحاسبي للشركات العراقية في الاتجار الداخلي بالمعلومات المحاسبية - الية مقترحة == The Impact of The Timing Accounting Disclosure For Iraqi Companies In The Insider Trading of Accounting Information - Proposed Mechanism

Author name: احمد طاهر كاظم العنبكي
Supervisor name: ضياء عبد الحسين القاموسي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Accounting
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف هذا البحث الى بيان تاثير توقيت الافصاح المحاسبي المقدم من الشركات المحلية ولاسيما الشركات المساهمة المدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية في ظهور وتنامي انشطة الاتجار الداخلي بالمعلومات المحاسبية وبما ينعكس سلبا على نزاهة الاسواق المالية وكفاءتها. فض | This research aims to release the impact of the timeliness of accounting disclosure provided by local companies, especially shareholding companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange in appearance and growing insider trading activities of accounting information which are reflected negatively on the integrity and efficiency of financial markets As well as discuss deficiencies in laws and regulations related to disclosure of accounting and insider trading of accounting information And the rules of professional conduct that influenced the growth of insider trading of accounting information activities. The research was based on two major assumptions It represented the existence of several areas of deficiencies in laws and regulations governing the work of shareholding companies in Iraq as well as the rules of professional conduct that guide the professional conduct, particularly accountants them, especially those linked to the activities of insider trading of accounting information, as well as there is a significant correlation between the timing of the disclosure accounting submitted by the companies listed in the Iraq Stock Exchange to stakeholders, particularly investors, companies and between insider trading of accounting information activities. The present research suggests the following mechanism to avoid the phenomenon of insider trading of accounting information : (developing of the local laws and regulations related to disclosure of accounting, and improve the local laws and regulations on the insider trading , and update and activate the rules of conduct for professionals, especially accountants and auditors of them The research has come to a set of conclusions represented the most important of the growing importance of accounting disclosure submitted by the companies in a timely manner because it is the main source for users to provide them with information, as well as it sometimes may be sacrificing reliability appropriate timing to produce information quickly and present them to users in general and investors in particular , The insider trading activities of the accounting information to a constraint key to the efficiency and integrity of financial markets, as it works to undermine investor confidence in addition, it is one of the behaviors unethical because achieving insiders investors on unusual profits or avoid losses on other investors who are not familiar account. There are weaknesses in attention of local laws and regulations on the treatments insider trading accounting information compared to other developed countries , As well as the existence of an insider trading activities of accounting information in the Iraq Stock Exchange. These conclusions paved the way for group of recommendations : represented the most important improvement of accounting disclosure provided by local companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange in terms of content and timeliness of disclosure Through the development of local laws and regulations to the regulatory authorities of the desire to achieve a level of disclosure which is appropriate and adequate and fair submit to all users, The possibility of adopting international accounting standards (IFRS / IAS) to meet the information needs of users in general and investors in particular, as well as the benefits that could be achieved and that is the most important in the reduction of insider trading activities of accounting information in the case of the adoption of these standards, the development of local laws and regulations on the to address the phenomenon of internal trafficking of accounting information, so as to enhance investor confidence in the Iraq Stock Exchange and so by taking advantage of the experience of other developed countries in the formulation of the anti - insider trading laws

نجاح منظمات الاعمال على وفق التوجه الريادي لتكنولوجيا المعلومات بحث ميداني لعينة من المصارف العراقية الخاصة == The Success of Business Organizations According To The Entrepreneurial Orientation For Information Technology An Field Research At Iraqi Private Banks

Author name: احمد ضياء الدين صلاح الدين الطائي
Supervisor name: صلاح الدين عواد كريم الكبيسي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • التوجه الريادي لتكنولوجيا المعلومات
  • النجاح المنظمي
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف الباحث من خلال هذا البحث الى تشخيص وتفسير طبيعة علاقات الارتباط والتاثير بين التوجه الريادي لتكنولوجيا المعلومات ونجاح المصارف العراقية الخاصة مجتمع البحث وعلى مستوى الابعاد، ولقد اختبر هذا البحث في القطاع المصرفي الخاص ممثلا ب(10) مصارف عراقية خاصة | bjective researcher through this research to diagnosis and interpretation of the nature of the correlations and effect between the Entrepreneurial orientation for information technology and the success of the Iraqi private banks, the research community and the level dimensions, and I've tested this research in the private banking sector represented by (10), especially in Baghdad, Iraqi banks, and applied research on sample consisting of 80 distributors in several administrative levels Director (Director, Director of the department, branch manager), and use the search questionnaire Head to collect data and information tool, as well as personal interviews Program and some private banks annual reports, has sought research to test a number of hypotheses main and branch on the relationships of the link and relationships influence between research variables, and to answer all questions related to the problem of search, in particular questioning the basic (Is that the direction of the Iraqi private banks, the research community Entrepreneurial orientation in information technology will be led to strengthen further the chances of success?), has reached search to a group of conclusions was most important that the Iraqi private banks go approach leading information technology and this trend reverberate back to the attention of these banks (innovation technology and offensive competitive technology and proactive technology and Risk - takin technology and Autonomy technology), as well as the existence of interdependence and integration of the dimensions of Entrepreneurial orientation for information technology and the success of the business organizations reflected role larger style collective than if used individually to achieve successes organizational in its banking system, as these banks were able to use changes in the dimensions of orientation pioneering changes to the information technology together in bringing about more changes in the greater your chances of success with more than used to influence a solo. Based on the findings of the research results of a set of recommendations was the most important of which has developed the need to recruit Iraqi private banks departments Entrepreneurial orientation for information technology in creating more chances of success, and the necessity of the Iraqi private banks to take advantage of good interest in the success Organizational and strengthen that interest through work to develop her creative work as well as other proactive in reaching the technological opportunities presented as well as the practice of decentralization in taking crucial decisions and also accept high risk to increase revenues and follow policies that increase competitive successes

استعمال انموذج تجميعي عام لمعلمات الشكل والموقع والقياس في بناء منحنى نمو معياري للاطفال في العراق == Using Generalized Additive Models For Location Scale And Shape To Construct Standardized Growth Curve For Iraq Children

Author name: احمد شهاب احمد
Supervisor name: خلود يوسف خمو
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد منحنيات النمو المعيارية اداة مهمة في تقييم سلوك النمو البشري خاصة في السنوات المبكرة من عمر الطفل، ويجب ان تبنى بشكل يلبي الهدف منها، وهو تحديد الكيفية التي يجب ان ينمو بها الطفل اذ ان اي انحراف للقياسات البشرية للطفل عن مسار منحنيات النمو نحو الادنى | The growth curves standard is an important tool in the evaluation of the behavior of human growth, especially in the early years of the child's age, and must built to meet the goal of which, Determine how the child must should grow, because any deviation of anthropometric for the child from the path of growth curves towards the minimum or Top necessitates a review of health centers interested in child care because of this change in the behavior of growth is an indication of the possibility of a health problem for the child have a far - reaching impact on his life, and also that the it reflect the level of the general welfare of the community posed as a result of human needs nutrition, health and development of this society, and all the developed countries of the world has its own growth curves commensurate with the ethnic diversity and its population, and Iraq , similar to these countries need independent growth curves achieve their desired purpose and it puts a step in the path of these countries. This was the goal of research is building growth curves standard for the children of Iraq under sixth to indicator of weight, height and body mass index against age to each sex in order to take advantage of child - care institutions and adopt them to assess the growth path of the child right in the most important stages of the growth of an early childhood. The growth curves consists of percentiles line called (Centiles) reflect different levels of growth represent the behavior of a specific and accurate so they need to statistical methods and data in order to achieve this requirement , so it was chosen as a model statistical claims GAMLSS from a wide range of statistical methods characterized by the allowed a wide group of distributions treated skew and kurtosis of growth data, in addition to the flexible methods of smoothing Treat the unstationary in the data, it based on building a model special for each standard growth using criteria to choose as the first step by choosing the appropriate distribution of the data to impose the parameters represent a nonparametric smooth functions of independent variable often takes age, the second step is to choose the appropriate degree of smoothing to this functions.That the building of growth curves based on a sample taken from MICS4 from the survey of children under the age of six who are subject matter and carried out by the Central Statistics organization in 2011, and after processing the data removed cases of children who were exposed to health conditions or nutritional possible affect the potential genetic growth Physiological and thus give wrong

اعادة تصميم الوظائف في شعبة خدمات نقل الدم لدائرة صحة بغداد الرصافة : دراسة حالة

Author name: احمد شاكر محمود
Supervisor name: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

المقارنة بين بعض طرائق تقدير انموذج انحدار اللوجستك والطرائـق الحصـينـة للتجارب الحياتية ذات الاستجابة الثنائية باستخدام اسلوب المحاكاة == Al - Comparison Between Some Estimated Methods of Logistic Regression Models And Robust Methods For The Bioassays of The Quantal Response By Using Simulation Procedure

Author name: احمد ذياب احمد العزاوي
Supervisor name: دجلة ابراهيم مهدي العزاوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: الحمد لله والصلاة والسلام على رسول الله سيدنا محمد (صلى الله عليه وسلم) وعلى اله وصحبه وسلم اما بعد... تناول البحث استخدام انموذج انحدار اللوجستك في التجارب الحياتية باعتباره موضوعا على قدر من الاهمية , وان هناك شروط يجب ان تتوفر لغرض اجراء التحليل بال | This study deals with using the logistic regression model in the bioassay which is considered an important topic and there must be assumption which should be satisfied in order to carry out analysis in the classical methods ( Weighted least squares method and Maximum likelihood method ) as success normal distribution assumption for errors , when one assumption of normal distribution is fail or outlier in data this lead to taking the fail decision concerning the problem needed so be studied.Here lies the importance of applying robust methods (M method and R method ) in the bioassay of the quantal response because the Robust estimated has little response and little effects of outlier.To state the contents of this thesis it was divided into four chapters. The first chapter included the introduction and the aim of this research work. The second chapter included the theoretical part where we stated the estimated methods for the logistic regression model and the Robust methods. The third chapter went through the practical part of this research work. Finally Chapter four went through the conclusions and recommendations of this research work. As well as the future studies, which have been proposed regarding this research. of the most important results the study reached is the efficient M method and R1 method for two robust in estimator the parameters dose model of the quantal response

اثر الاستثمار على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1970 - 2010) : دراسة تطبيقية باستخدام طريقة OLS وSURE والمقارنة بينهما == The Impact of Investment On Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (1970 - 2010) Empirical Study Using The Method of OLS And SURE And The Comparison Between Them

Author name: احمد جمال احمد
Supervisor name: فراس احمد محمد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى بناء انموذج اثر الاستثمار على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق من خلال استعمال طريقتي (OLS) الكلاسيكية وطريقة (SURE) لمعالجة مشكلة معادلات الانحدار غير المرتبطة ظاهريا بين الاخطاء والمقارنة بينهما.اذ تناول البحث في الفصل الاول المقدمة واهمية البح | The research aims to build a model of the impact of investment on economic growth in Iraq through the use of my way (OLS) and the classic way (SURE) to address the problem of regression equations between seemingly unrelated errors and the comparison between them.The discussion dealt with in the first chapter provided and the importance of research, and the aim of the research problem as well and then review the reference.RPR while the second chapter (theory) the relationship between investment and economic growth in economic theory, addressing the basic concepts and comprehensive definition of investment as well as the areas of investment and investment tools and then touched on the concept of economic growth and theories in economic growth.The third chapter (the theoretical economic) descriptive eat indicators of economic growth in Iraq and then touched on the spending of public investment (government) and then the investment budget and the efficiency of the implementation for the period (1990 - 2006) by virtue of the available data, as well as indicators of economic growth and we dealt with indicators study a GDP and gross capital formation has been divided into the length of time in order to decomposition economically and give a clearer picture of economic growth in Iraq's first period (1970 - 1990) and the second for the period (1990 - 2000) and the third for the period (2000 - 2010), then moved to the statistical methods Used in Chapter IV (the theoretical statistical) as we dealt with the topics following simple introduction about the time series, and we talked about the autocorrelation of the first class and scheduling data double all three, and the system of regression equations is associated with the ostensibly ", and the method of regression is associated with the surface (SURE), and measures of comparison, a competency , and the average absolute percentage error.The fifth chapter (the practical side) has dealt with an explanation of the analysis statistically for handling missing data and the method used in the analysis and assessment of the data by programs, statistical analysis (MATHLAB & SPSS) and interpret the results of the analysis as well as test the moral models both separately, then the conclusions and recommendations and finally "sources, tables and appendices.

دراسة تحليلية لاستراتيجيات مواجهة السكن العشوائي في محافظة كربلاء المقدسة == Analytical Study of Strategies For Facing The Random Residence In Governorate of Holy Karbala

Author name: احمد جبار راهي ال سلمان الكريطي
Supervisor name: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: قد تبدو ظاهرة السكن العشوائي مشكلة عمرانية بحتة لكنها في الحقيقة نتاج لمجموعة من الاسباب والعوامل التي يمكن تصنيفها الى اسباب سياسية واقتصادية وتخطيطية وحتى اسباب اجتماعية وعلى الرغم من التشابه الواضح في معظم خصائصها العمرانية والاجتماعية والقانونية عا | It seems to be that the phenomenon of The Random Residence is a pure problem, but in fact it is a result of a range of reasons and factors that can be classified into political, economic or planning or even social reasons and in spite of the clear similarity in most urban, social and legal characteristics globally, they differ in some characteristics from region to another and from time to time.The study aims to shed light on this Random Residence phenomenon and to identify the causes, consequences and implications of them and the attempt to gain access to the strategies contribute to face, address ,and reduce this phenomenon inside the cities as well as to enrich the scientific and service institutions with these studies, which would contribute to the improvement and development of the performance of Municipal enterprises and offers many solutions to this problem to move flexibly within the urban and constructional fabric of the cities.The problem of the study represented in the spread of construction and random housing resulting from the violations and abuses in the territory of the State and agricultural lands, orchards and building violations, which were estimated at about 30% of the area of the holy governor of Karbala, and its manifestation of the negative on the urban and civilized fabric although there are a number of laws and regulations that prevent the spread of this phenomenon, but to no avail, so the problem of the study can be summarized by type of strategies which can be used to face the Random Residence in the holy governorate of Karbala.The study uses an analytical approach to view the data connected by the research through the view and what the researcher gained of documented data which were held by the municipal offices in the governorate of holy Karbala in addition to the collected data through using the form of survey, and the study of the reasons behind the emergence of this problem, depending upon the display of the previous studies and experiences of Arab and foreign countries in addition to Iraq, regarding how to deal with the Random Residence in their cities and what are the strategies used in treating them. The study found a number of findings and recommendations which would contribute to providing a key database to the municipal offices in governorate of holy Karbala, that are concerned with the implementation of the design foundation for the governorate and gives clear results for the reality of the abuses of housing for the extent of the suitability of urban life, and to identify the case of abuses of residential, over - stepping's and the level of services through information gathered from the sample under study of (100) family within the limits of municipal institutions. The most prominent result is the inability of the residential areas to provide the basic functions (educational, commercial, recreation, roads & services) to serve the residents due to their regularity of buildings and its violence to the standards of planning, or as a result of an imbalance in the providing the space required for these activities, and that a high proportion of buildings are in bad condition as the status of urban poor do not provide a suitable climate to live and the great variation in areas of land resulting from the random and illegal isolation for the region. Which requires the adoption of several strategies to solve these problems, and the possible dissemination of these treatments on all Iraqi cities because of the correlation of the majority of the relevant departments in the same legislation, taking into consideration the attractions of the cities and sincere intention for treatment.

تسويق الخدمات المحاسبية. فحصها وتقويمها في المكاتب المحاسبية القانونية : دراسة حالة عن مجموعة طلال ابو غزالة - الاردن == The Marketing of Accounting Services Checking Evaluating In Law Accounting Offices (Case Study) In Group of Talal Abu - Gazala (Jordan)

Author name: احمد احمد احمد الرحومي
Supervisor name: ثامر ياسر البكري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اصبحت الخدمات اليوم باشكالها المختلفة والمتنوعة ونموها المتسارع تشكل الجزء الاكبر في اشباع حاجات ورغبات المنظمات والافراد على حد سواء، ومنها الخدمات المحاسبية التي تقدمها الشركات والمكاتب المحاسبية القانونية. بما تتصف به من خصائص وتنوع مثل خدمات التدقيق و| The services in various and different types and hurrying development be formed the biggest part in fulfill the needs and desires of organizations and individuals, such as accounting services which are submitted by law and accounting companies and offices in what have from service of checking with following up services, also the administrative and industrial consultations and informational techniques and others… etc, also become a great importance for continuous and stability works environment, this importance need to marketing these services, by actioninng marketing activities and their different tools of producer, pricing, distribution, spreading … etc. to show the importance of accounting and its effect on economic and social level. The study declared for specialists in this vital important accounting sector, that the companies and accounting offices in great number of advanced countries, become marketing procedures with its sides and activities are of daily works, and it’s obligated on Arabic accounting companies and offices to overcome these imposed difficulties and obstacles towards work by concepts and marketing procedures because what have from active and positive effects ways in support accounting companies and offices.In fact, these concepts and marketing dimensions were represented a main problems in past, which the research tried to distinguished their importance features for the benefit of specialists and professionals together, especially in Yamanian and Iraqi environment, and generally in Arabic environment by the study of researcher on (Talal Abu Gazala Law Accountant in Jordan), after elected it by Association of Jordanian Accounting because its good reputation and high position in accounting marketing, in addition, of wide abilities so it submitted various accounting services for wide classes of peoples of customers by net of branches cover about all main countries in Arab Land. This study contained six chapters.Chapter One : including the basic background of services in its first section and economic importance in section two, to distinguishing services importance and its development and advance procedures, and today formed high rate of economic activity outcome and great contribution in total national production.Chapter Two : section one showed the basic concepts of accounting marketing services, second section dealt with philosophical frame in its various dimensions, and they are really the basic strong rules to build effective activity marketing, it is the point for accounting companies to achieve their future ambitions.Chapter Three : including the elements of the mix of accounting marketing services in its two parts traditional and additional, containing in first and second section sequencely, these element represented the most important tools of marketing activity, which enable companies and accounting offices to build strong base of relations with customers and develop the image and position in society classes. These elements represented the most important tools of marketing activity which enable companies and accounting offices to built strong base of relations with customers and improve the image and position in society.Chapter Four : Concentrated on research’s procedure which contains on the problem of the study and the importance role of marketing activity containing accounting companies, research targets and them means of data collecting with its determiners by the procedure of study the state. Part Two : dealt with the studies of former references which reflected various marketing activities.Chapter Five : Is analysis for the reality of application accounting rules and the elements of marketing mixture of accounting services in group by three sections first one is descriptive the reality of group and its submitted activities, which reflected the variety and numbering the accounting activities and implementing fields, section two concentrated on amendment the accounting rules of marketing accounting services, which is know by its results that a group achieved great successes. Part three : dealt with the lists of checking of elements the marketing mixture, which can from its results clear that the group direct towards building active marketing opposite of what existence in accounting companies and offices which are still far away from this field.Six and Last Chapter : contained the most important conclusions in section one, but in section two included the practical and future recommendations.

مقارنة دوال كثافة الطيف للسلاسل الزمنية غير المستقرة لحجوم عينات غير متساوية مع تطبيق عملي == Comparing Spectral Densities of Non - Stationary of Time Series With Unequal Sample Sizes

Author name: احلام حنش كاطع
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هذه الاطروحة تم تقدير المسافة بين اي دالتي كثافة طيف لسلسلتين زمنيتين غير متساويتين في الطول مع ادخال عامل الزمن والتردد ومن ثم اختبار التشابه والاختلاف وفق الاختبار الاحصائي (Nievau - ?) من خلال المقارنة بين دوال كثافة الطيف لسلاسل زمنية شبه مستقرة ال | In this thesis the distance between any two spectrum density functions not equals in the length estimated with interring time and frequency factor then testing the similarity and difference according to statistical test (Nievau - ?) through the comparison among spectrum density functions for non - stationary time series and have a diffirent length (sizes). There are many methods for estimating spectral density functions for non - stationary time series, Therefore we study three different methods which are an important methods where every method holds more characteristics of spectral density functions which are : Evolutionary spectrum method, Wigner - Ville spectrum method and Short - time periodogram method. A forth method suggested depends on shrinkage principle called Shrinkage method which is combines the characteristics of these methods and with a deferent weights p_(1 ,) p_2 where the mathematical derivation for computing weights to the past methods and finding the best weights that gives the smallest MSE has been done.Then a comparison among these four methods to select the best method for applicant it in Oral part using (MAPE)criteria. A simulation experiment conducted on a semi - stationary time series which is a special case of non - stationary time series that follows elated process with the from : x(t)=c(t)x_t^0 Where : C(t) is a function depends on t only, x(t) is a stationary time series follows ARMA(p,q) models with different parameters and different sample size, The result of simulation shows that suggested method (shrinkage method) for spectral density is the best in all of models and sample sizetherefore the best method in estimation is used in oral part to estimating the spectral density concentration of airborne particles (TSP) of three stations (Jaderyah, Andalus, Al - Alawi ) in Baghdad province contains the interval ( 2005 - 2011) measured monthly and this series are different in length, the distance between any tow series are estimated then tested The result show that there are no convergence between density function for the spectrums of these three series that’s mean there are a different in air pollution for the three regions according to its nature

اختبارات التكامل الكسري في نماذج ARIMA == Tests of Fractional Integration In Models ARIMA

Author name: احلام حنش كاطع
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: توجد انواع من العمليات العشوائية المستقرة لا نستطيع ان نعدها كنماذج من الاوساط المتحركة او الانحدار الذاتي اذ انها تحتوي عل خصائص هذين النوعين (انحدار ذاتي - اوساط متحركة) فمثل هــذه العمليات تسمـى بالنماذج المختلطة ويرمز لها بـ (ARMA(p, q)) ولكي تتوفر ال | There are many types of stationary stochastic processes that can’t be considered as models of moving average or autoregressive, because they have the characteristics of these two kinds : (Autoregressive - Moving average). These processes are called mixed models and referred to as (ARMA (p, q)). In order that these models have the stability, the roots of equation must equal zero , outside the unit circle and also for the Inevitability, the roots of equation must equal zero , outside the unit circle. These models may be non - stationary in themselves but they will be stationary after many transformations or differences, so the models which explains this process will be different from the original, because it must contain those differences that have been done on the original models. These stationary models are called ARIMA, and the differences may be inter numbers or fractional numbers, then, the differences will be fractional numbers ranged between [0.5 , - 0.5] , and the model is called ARFIMA or what is called as fractional integration, and (d) represents the parameter of the fractional differences. In this study, three methods have been applied to test the non stationary models of the fractional integration (ARFIMA). One of the common test used is that which is based on the periodogram regression suggested by GPH, whereas LO suggests another test modified from the classical test which is known as modified rescaled range (MRR). A third test has been presented which adopts the idea of lagrang multiple which is known as : (LM). These tests have been applied in four models; AR, MA, ARCH and ARFIMA. The way of simulation and building programs using Visual basic (V. B) has been employed the percentages of the times of rejection have been gained out of 1000 frequencies for each method of the test, for each parameter and for more then one sample. The fractional integration parameter of the first test GPH has been compared with table (t), because variance is unknown, as to the second test MRR, the value (R/S) is compared with table LO, the third test LM is compared with table Z.

ادراة السياسة النقدية ودورها في تحقيق الاستقرار والنمو الاقتصاديين في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2011)م

Author name: احسان جبر عاشور
Supervisor name: محمود محمد محمود داغر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: the research is Interested in studying and analysis of the role of monetary policy in achieving economic stability and growth Inside the Iraqi economy during the period (1990 - 2011) , That period represent two separate phases Characterized each and every one of them of particular economic system And the philosophy and management of different economic, As well as the different circumstances And the data economic and political internal and external , Which left its impact on The effectiveness of monetary policy In each of these phases That policy could not exercise Stability role through the first period (1990 - 2003) In economic activity , Due to loss of independence from the political decision And the dominance of the expansionary fiscal policy on its decisions and tools , In addition to poor Economic and political conditions Epitomized by wars and severe international sanctions On the economy As well as the lack of efficient economic management , Which led to the loss of control of the increase in money supply and rise Prices of significant levels Causing a number of imbalances which Adversely affecting in economic stability, In these unstable economic environment other economic policies, particularly fiscal policy Could not achieve Any real economic growth , On the contrary, monetary policy has been able in the second phase (2011 - 2003) After gaining independence in the decision, plans and objectives and instruments To achieve relative stability in the general level of prices Through the use of new tools and the most important tool exchange rate , But the availability of this relative stability has not stimulate other economic policies, particularly fiscal policy To achieving acceptable rates of growth In the real sectors of the economy's non - oil Able to repair the deteriorating economic reality of Iraq. The results found that the goals of stability and growth did not meet and did not go in one direction throughout the years of research , Which reflected negatively on the country's economic progress, According to the, Objective of this research focuses To clarify the necessity and the possibility of the central bank's contribution In achieving economic growth As well as the need for coordination between him and the rest of the policies for the success of that contribution.

اثر اتفاقية حقوق الملكية الفكرية في تسيير الانشطة الصناعية عالميا وعربيا في اطار منظمة التجارة العالمية مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == The Impact of The Intellectual Property Rights Convention On The Conduct of Arabic And Worldwide Industrials Activities Within The Framework of WTO With Special Sign To Iraq

Author name: اثير ناطق محمد نجيب
Supervisor name: ثائر محمود رشيد العاني
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The problem of this study raised from the point of cosmic separation through the attempt of the industrial countries to spreading the industry to the south accompanied with several simultaneous measures appeared during the question drawers of intellectual property where that this droits took the monopolistic form and alternatives in restriction the commerce instead of the striving for freedom of spreading, because of the industrial countries attemps to use the intellectuals property in monopolistic form under the framework of WTO which controlled in - stream appeared in the worldwide commerce after establishing the [TRIPS] agreement, and which from during her the control in - stream is complete the industry worldwide and walk of the activities hindered industrial in the third world, resulting thereon altogether results performs in end to consolidation the investments foreign direct and technological, keeping the universality gap between the north and the propelling sides restricted the developing countries to a narrow corner, where the distinction and the authorization within range the huge companies As only way to the transfusion, faced with the increased cost of the imports commodities accompanied with the disability of take the high cost of developing and researches in the developing countries, because of the weakness of this matter. the structure deformity which most of the third world industries suffering from, as in Iraq, faced unconsidrebelity about the intellectuals property matter, while its well regarded by the industrial countries by made well programmed plan , eventually the hazard bell voice alarmed us that the arrival of the WTO at the front gate is became real that attract our attention to this matter.

توجه البرنامج الحكومـي في العراق نحو القـطاع الصناعي الخاص في ظل التحديات الاقتصادية == Government Program And Its Orientation Towards The Private Industrial Sector In Iraq Under The Economics Challenges

Author name: اثير ناطق محمد نجيب
Supervisor name: فارس كريم بريهي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان عملية تطور الاقتصاد الصناعي كانت مرتبطة مع النظرية الاقتصادية في ظل نشوء الدول القومية, حيث تمت عملية التحول من الصناعة الحرفية البسيطة الى المشاغل التي يديرها الافراد ضمن القطاع العائلى ضمن اطار القطاع الخاص في اطار اقتصاد السوق, ولم تبرز اهمية الصناع | The creation and development of the industrial sector related with economic theory along ages, and the transition from the domestic industries toward the man factors came under the market economy frame work, and the rule of this sector became obvious for a long time till the industrial mercantilism which the merchants ruled and managed the industries along the production phases, then by the government in order to serve the nation interest sector. the private industry sector has the importance rule in the planning of the economic political within its development degree. The industry developed in the advanced countries under the activities of the private industry sector which raised under the patronage of the state till the recent time while its raised down in most of the devolvement countries under the sovereignty of the public sector.but late wakens became after the faller rule of the industrial public sector makes these countries tried to re framed its politics under the dependency of their debts which put them under the a critical position. Never the less, many countries experiment success other was scrambled, but in Iraq the importance of the private sector increased in the recent time after the contraction of the internal variables also the needs of these variables which represented by the cosmic tools which leads by the international institutions.thus its became vitally to re analyze to maximize the success opportunity under the recent challenges and to focus on the most threats which face this sector.

دراسة احصائية عن واقع البطالة بين محافظات العراق == Statistical Paper “ Un Employment Reality Among Governorates In Iraq

Author name: اثير محمد ناجي عزت
Supervisor name: سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان دراسة ظاهرة البطالة وتحليل اهم العوامل ذات الاثر الاكبر باتجاه سلوكها من الامور المهمة للعراق والذي يهدف الى التقليل من حدتها في المجتمع. ويعد مفهوم البطالة من المفاهيم التي اخذت اهمية كبرى في المجتمعات المعاصرة من حيث البحث والاستقصاء، لذا انصب ال | The study of unemployment phenomenon and analysis for the most important factors which has the most affected towards its conduct , is from the significant matters for Iraq that is aimed to reduce its solitude in society. The unemployment theory has taken a great importance at modern societies concerning research and examination , therefore we focus our importance mainly on unemployment by political decision makers. Perhaps the worse and highlighted features of economic crisis which is faced by each of Arabic and developed countries is aggravation of unemployment problem which is the extrusive increasing of members who have an ability and willing for work and researchers for work without finding it. Therefore the researcher chose making use of Iraqi Household of Social & Economical Survey data which performed during two years (2007, 2012) and by using the Package of SPSS v.20 in order to receive to social and economical variables which affects in prevalence of unemployment phenomenon and its classification among governorates. Based on factorial analyses manner in extraction the most important factors that affects in describing unemployment phenomenon conduct during matrix analyses for correlation among studying variables, it has chosen a group of variables for two years which explained the interaction method of these variables and the importance of each variable also making use of clustering analysis to classify it among governorates, and defining the convergence & divergence extent among governorates according to the studied variables and analyses clusterization stages for two years. The paper contains four chapters, chapter one : concludes introduction, objective, methodology, data source, referential review for collection of studies and researches concerned to the subject and analysis manner, chapter two : concludes the theoretical side that involves statistical analysis by using factorial and clustered analysis manner, chapter three contains the applicative side for research by applying the analyses for indicators which is concluded and knowing the important factors which has the great affection by defining the phenomenon conduct and the method of classification among governorates, chapter four contains conclusions we reached and sources and recommendations.The result of factorial analysis explains that the most exaggerate importance variables on unemployment is the hardness for getting a work and has appeared this affected for both two years 2007 &2012, its significance at governorates (Missan , Al Muthana , and Sulymania ) for 2012, (Missan , Al Muthana , and Erbil) for 2007, also the results explains clustered analysis that there is clusteralization of bordering and non bordering south governorates for studied variables for 2012, as well as north and middle governorates while at 2007 the clusteralization was for bordering & non bordering south governorates but not clusteralization for north governorate with south governorate, there was intimacy for Baghdad for these two years by regarding the clusteralization at the last stage with remainder of governorates as it regards the capital and the biggest governorate by it’ s population

تاثير تصميم العمل في تحسين جودة المنتج : دراسة استطلاعية في الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية

Author name: اثير عبد الله محمد السوداني
Supervisor name: غسان قاسم داود سلمان اللامي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Industrial Management
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان الظروف الصعبة التي تعيشها المنظمات بصورة عامة ولاسيما الصناعية منها والتحديات التي تواجهها في ظل الاسواق العالمية والمنافسة الدولية الشديدة في الماضي ادى الى ازدياد الانتاج جراء انتاج وحدات اكثر وبالتركيز على الانتاج حسب الطلب، في حين تغيرت القواعد م

العولمـة الاقتصادية واثرها على القطاع الزراعي في دول عربية مختارة (مصر والاردن وسوريا) == The Economic Globalization And The Effect On Agricultural Sector In Selecte Arabic Countries (Egypt & Jordan & Syria)

Author name: اثير عباس عبادي
Supervisor name: محمد رضا عبد العظيم
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يتناول البحث احد اهم المواضيع الاقتصادية في الوقت الحاضر الا وهو العولمة الاقتصادية واثرها على القطاع الزراعي في الدول العربية ولان الحديث عن العولمة الاقتصادية لابد ان يقترن بدور الياتها الاقتصادية المتمثلة بصندوق النقد الدولي وسياسات الاصلاح الاقتصادي ا | The research take up one of the more important economic subjects at the present time that is economic globalization and the effect on agricultural sector in Arabic countries and the talking about the economic globalization should to be coupled with the H’s mechanical economic role which by representative international monetary fund (IMF) and the policies of economic reform which has adopted at the developing countries and that of them Arabic countries also the international bank for reconstruction and development (IBRD) and the policies of the structural adaption also the role to activity the mechanical market and to go under the government’s role in economics activity also the role of the multi - national companies through the foreign direct investment (IFD) also the role of the world trade organization (WTO) to have a free international trading in the agriculturing goods from here the study important is coming to analysis the actual the Arabic agricultural sector under these variable which companion with the economic globalization and it’s mechanical through the actual Arabic agricultural sector analysis under the economic reform processes and the structural Adjustment adaptation and analysis the free international trading for the agriculturing goods within hold from the effects on the Arabic food and agriculture trading and analysis the policies free schedule for the (FDI) which Arabic countries are followed in agricultural sector. The study has aimed confirm that the economic globalization has come the result of the economic interest fight and to have control on the international economic through to control on the economic sides the finical side through the (IMF) and financial side through the (IBRF) and the trading side and investment through the (WTO) and the multi - national companies and this side have very important effects on the agricultural sector through the policies and mechanical application of the economic globalization so that should be to stop long on this effects to analysis the potential reflection for this effects and the present status of the agricultural ability exists in the form which less from the unit of the negative reflection for it and increase and consolidation for the positive effects for it in the shape which serve the development instructions in it and supported the role of the agricultural sector and the research has been depended on to study the state ( Egypt & Jordan & Syria ) in order to Egypt and Jordan are from the countries which have been depended on economic policies repair on the international Establishment and they are enjoined in (WTO) but the stud state of Syria because it has policies repair economic depended on them self and the research has been depended on the to attain this study effects application the policies of economic globalization in these countries through to showing the indications of economic before to application these policies and through in it. The more important which this study has reached the results is to application the economic globalization policies has on the positive effects and negative on the agricultural sector in the countries subjective study.And the study recommend to complain the Arabic economic to consolidation the benefit from the trading and the investment opportunities which the globalization and to faced it’s challenges and to encourage the Arabic trading among them and the international trading and to less the depend on the broad sources to in sure them food
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