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المحددات التنظيمية وتاثيرها في ادارة التغيير : دراسة تحليلية في المديرية العامة لتربية بغداد الرصافة الثانية == Organizational Determinates And Their Impact On The Management of Change Analytical Study In The Directorate General For Education /Rusafa 2

اسم المؤلف: ستار لملوم منيخر الخزعلي
اسم المشرف: شهناز فاضل احمد النجار
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: الجامعة المستنصرية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم ادارة الاعمال
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: هدفت الدراسة الحالية الى التعرف على واقع متغيري الدراسة في المنظمة المبحوثة والتعرف على العلاقة والاثر بين (المحددات التنظيمية وادارة التغيير),اذ طبقت هذه الدراسة في المديرية العامة لتربية بغداد الرصافة الثانية حيث شملت عينة من المديرين بلغ عددهم(80) مدي | The present study has aimed to identify the reality of changeable study in the surveyed organization and find out the relationship and impact between (organizational detriments and the change management). This study was applicated in the General Directorate of Education Baghdad \Rusafa 2. About (80) directors from various levels (director of department, director of division ? unit official) were involved as samples to gather information.Questionnaire was depended as a main method for getting information Concerning this study. The statistical program (spss) was used to analyze the final results of the answers to the questionnaire. Interviewing a number of directors of the surveyed organization was to enhance the questions of the questionnaire and clarify its sections as well. the study was produced by testing a number of main and sub hypotheses. The results have produced a relationship of connection and impact of organizational detriments of its dimensions (organizational structure communication, organizational culture, Information Technology) to manage change in the surveyed organization. The study also has produced a number of recommendations, the most prominent of which was emphasis on developing and enhancing the process of technological change in the surveyed organization. This was achieved by using work techniques systems and equipment of new mechanism as well as using various new technology methods to diagnose and resolve problems faced and the need to focus the attention of the surveyed organizations in organizational structure and make it more flexible in order to be in response to the requirements of change as well as to enhance the role of communications in the surveyed organization because of its impact in coordination processes between the various departments at all levels in order to achieve the goals of the organization

معوقات تطبيق مفاهيم ادارة الجودة الشاملة في اطار التحليل الاستراتيجي : دراسة تحليلية في المركز التخصصي للطب النووي والعلاج الاشعاعي

اسم المؤلف: رنا علي هادي
اسم المشرف: سمية عباس مجيد الربيعي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: الجامعة المستنصرية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم ادارة الاعمال
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: جاء البحث من ضرورة الاهتمام بالمعوقات التي تقف امام تطبيق مفاهيم ادارة الجودة الشاملة من خلال اطار التحليل الاستراتيجي الذي يهدف الى تزويد المعنيين بالمعلومات المهمة بقطاع المشاريع الانشائية وتوضح لهم الانحرافات الحالية والمحتملة التي تحدث في اثناء عملية | The research comes to focus on constraints which face the application of total quality management concepts within the framework of the strategic analysis, which aims to provide stakeholders with important information related to construction projects sector and illustrate current and potential deviations which occur during the design process, implementation, and the works in order to overcome them, and correct the ways and minimized the threats which challenge the work of the projects department office.The theoretical side for the research problem outlined that construction organizations is going toward avoiding the delay problems which occur in construction projects as well as to reduce the cost for maintenance, rehabilitation and the cost for spare parts requests due to errors in the design or implementation, or the weakness of the executed company.The aim of the research is to identify the most fundamental obstacleswhich face the application of total quality management.The research tackles the importance of strategic analysis for the construction sector and its role in identifying the obstacles which prevent to carry out the aims" TQM" such as reducing of cost and time too, as well as achieving high quality.The research outlined two theoretical assumptions which had been tested via statistical tools for example , the arithmetic mean, and the relative importance.The office of projects department had been chosen, which is represented by the party responsible for the implementation of the project (specialist center for nuclear treatment and radiotherapy ).The research has relied on scales which were used in previous studies after they have been adapted to suit The objectives of the research and the nature of the Iraqi environment.The researcher concluded multi results as the most important of them is the lack of interest of the office ,under the study, with external threats which surround the organization which lead to hinder the application of total quality management requirements" TQM. The researcher suggested to pay the attention by the surveyed office with the total quality management requirements to create a state of balance between what is planned for and what is actually achieved on the ground, follow - up the implementation for the purpose of correcting the ways in its times, and the occurred errors shouldn’t be allowed to be accumulated as it would be too difficult to be controlled in the future.

اثر التدريب المستمر في تدعيم الاداء الاستراتيجي المنظمي دراسة تحليلية في الكلية العسكرية الثالثة - السليمانية == The Impact of Training In The Performa Strategic Organizational Analysis Study At The Third Military College/ Alsulaimaniya Introduction Study To

اسم المؤلف: ثامر زيدان خلف
اسم المشرف: رفاء فرج سموعي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: الجامعة المستنصرية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم ادارة الاعمال
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تسعى الدراسة الـــــــى بيان اثر التدريب المستمر( كمتغير مستقل ) في تدعيم الاداء الاستراتيجي المنظمي (كمتغير معتمد) عن طريق ابعاد التدريب المستمر المتمثلة بــ (المعرفة التخصصية، المعرفة العامة , حالة الترابط) مع ابعاد الاداء الاستراتيجي المنظمي التي يفتر | The study is seeking a statement of the impact of ongoing training (variable continuous) in the strengthening of performance strategic organizational (variable certified) through the dimensions of ongoing training represented by (specialized knowledge, public knowledge, the case of bonding) with the dimensions of performance strategic organizational which assumes of state devices attention marked by (field of performance , performance done) And the problem of the study was to answer the following questions ;..(is there a relationship with a link between the total dimensions of ongoing training and overall dimensions of performance strategic organizational ?)(is there a relationship with the effect of significant correlation between the total dimensions of ongoing training and overall dimensions of strategic organizational ?)And this study adopted on the curriculum descriptive analytical processing variables , depending on the gauges agree with the objectives of the nature of environment organization related category(the third military college ) and this study began of the hypothesis that the ongoing training leads to strengthen the performance of strategic organizational.The study application been in the third military college of the distribution of the identification composed 34 questions to sample the study is made up 65 officer by the college commander and deputy commander of the college and suite physical training commander and the second regiment commander deputy suite teaching commander and commander of the second and the first regiment commander and other officers in college , and then collected data taken from the sample that underwent to the analysis of the descriptive and statistical using the software statistical (spss - ver10)And the study found a group of conclusions and it was the most important ;..(there associated significantly relationship with the specialized knowledge and performance strategic , and therefore any change in the continuous training combined about to change the same direction performance strategic).( there is clear effect non - significance for continuous training its dimensions combined on the performance strategic , and therefore can be used ongoing training its dimensions combined forecasting the level of performance strategic dimensions combined).

ابعاد تقنيات اتمتة المكاتب وتاثيرها في اعادة هندسة الاعمال المكتبية : دراسة تحليلية في وزارة الصحة والبيئة == Office Automation Technologies Dimensions And Their Impact On Re - Engineering Business Office Analytical Study In The Ministry of Health And The Environment

اسم المؤلف: امين محمد مال الله الموسوي
اسم المشرف: فؤاد يوسف عبد الرحمن
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة عامة
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: This study was based on the idea that the techniques do offices of equipment and software, systems and workers see a clear role in the re - engineering paperwork and arrange them in a way contribute to the programming (the design of the office - the rehabilitation of workers - Position design) and up to facilitate the work and simplify procedures to keep pace with global change movement the business world and taking into account the work environment variables under environmental Instability to achieve an increase in labor productivity and save time and reduce effort accuracy and speed of completion of work and taking into account the cost reduction, And the suffering of the population of the study of the fluctuations of the traditional measures at work and neglect in the promotion offices and business came study a problem to address and analyze the impact of these technologies in business re - engineering and build an electronic programs that help to simplify the procedures and make radical changes in the administrative applications. To illustrate this, the researcher used the style of the adoption of the exploratory study a questionnaire form for lacking scientific value and its dependence of non - parametric values within the standards drawn up for this purpose using Likert scales Quintet, Questionnaire was contained (50) items distributed to the variables of the study to answer them by the sample of respondents is composed of (50) samples between the director and head of the Department of the Division, and the researcher suggested some of the conclusions of the most important ((a correlation and the effect of office automation and business re - engineering relationship office.

اعتماد اساليب التدريب الذكية لتحسين اداء المراسم : دراسة تحليلية في مجلس الوزراء العراقي == Adoption The Smart Training Methods To Improve Performance of The Ceremony Analytical Study In Iraqi Council of Ministers

اسم المؤلف: امير فاضل عبد الرحمن
اسم المشرف: لمياء سلمان عبد علي الزبيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد الاساليب التدريبية الذكية من المؤشرات والعناصر المهمة في عملية رفع وتحسين الاداء المراسيمي في نظم الادارة الحديثة، وبذلك تتحدد مشكلة البحث في ضعف الاداء المراسيمي لمجلس الوزراء العراقي ومعرفة الاسباب وراء هذا الضعف او الخلل واليات معالجته اذ يهدف الب | Considered the smart training methods one of indicators and important elements in process of raise and improve performance of Ceremony in modern management systems, and thus determined by the research problem in weakness of Ceremony performance of Iraqi Council of Ministers. and the knowledge of Causes behind this weakness or imbalance and the mechanisms for handling, where the researcher aims through this research to how improve, develop, and raise the level of performance of government Ceremony according to adoption of smart training methods, modern, and sophisticated, and rehabilitation the ceremony cadres of Council of Ministers for the purpose of obtaining a quick and effective results in vision of the current reality and the requirements of administrative reform campaign provided for in the general framework of the government's program for Prime Ministers. The researcher reached to set of conclusions that diagnosed the reality of Ceremony performance, from the most important, interesting of leadership and management of the organization in training element as an active ingredient in supplement staff expertise, skill, and knowledge through the use of smart training methods that designed to increase the level of Ceremony performance for staff, which leads to reducing the financial burden on the organization's budget as a result of efficiency in the utilization of available resources, and the keenness of employees to gain Ceremony skills through specialized training programs in the ceremony and Protocol, local and foreign, the futility of the use of traditional training methods lead to a reluctance of staff for training and low morale to achieve and improve performance now and in the future. Based on the conclusions, researcher presented a set of recommendations from the most important, the interest in exploiting the optimization of the resources of the organization in achieving Ceremony tasks and improve performance Ceremony and searching for new ways to raise that level through the radical handling or alternative scenarios for facing the obstacles or challenges the Organization, and Invest the International methods to enhance the Ceremony performance aim processors upgrading its level commensurate with the work of our organizations and putting mechanisms within the strategic framework with focus on the function of planning and plans for improving the Ceremony performance strategically that must be analyzed and tested before being applied.

تاثير استراتيجية العــمل الفـرقي في فاعـلية الانجاز : دراسة تحليلية في الوكالة الادارية والمالية لوزارة الداخلية == Effect of The Teamwork Strategy On The Effectiveness of Achievement : An Analytical Study In The Administrative And Financial Agency of The Ministry of Interior

اسم المؤلف: احمد جابر محسن اللامي
اسم المشرف: سرمد حمزة جاسم الشمري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يركز موضوع الدراسة على دراسة متغيرين رئيسين ضمن عمل الوكالة الادارية والمالية في وزارة الداخلية العراقية,وهما (العمل الفرقي وفاعلية الانجاز) وتمحورت هذه الدراسة على معرفة طبيعة علاقة وتاثير العمل الفرقي بوصفه المتغير الرئيسي من خلال ابعاده, (العمل الفرقي | The subject of studying focuses on the two main variables study within the administrative and financial functioning of the Agency in the Iraqi Ministry of Interior, they are (teamwork and effective achievements of work) and this study focused on the knowledge of the nature of the relationship and the impact and dimensions of teamwork as the main variable through its dimensions (functional workteam, working multiplifunctional teams and cross work) on the effectiveness of achievement as responsive variable and the primary goal is to state the role of teamwork to achieve effective achievement of the researched organization, it is worth noting that the importance of the subject as result from the subjects which it limited interest of studies teamwork and its types in the administrative and financial agency, in order to test the research hypotheses were accommodate its variables in the form of a questionnaire prepared by depending on the number of metrics related to the search topic was distributed to 126 officers for many levels (manager , head of the Department, principles' Division, and principles' units) and the research conducted on the administrative and financial agency and its branches the questionnaire was main way for gathering the information which Adopted by the researcher and used many statistical methods to treat the required information, as he introduced a researcher in the field - side analysis of the (alpha Cronbach) way to the stability and addresses a researcher for the statement that the paragraphs of the fortieth questionnaire represent a studied phenomenon as best representation through the test of the facts in two ways exterior facts and structural exploration facts through factor analysis exploratory, followed by an analysis of the level of importance of the paragraphs of the questionnaire with its secondary and primary variables, using the arithmetic mean weighted and standard deviations and the relative importance of each paragraph of the questionnaire and all secondary variables which expressing for the study of b variables (types of work Alvrgi and effective achievement), where he used a researcher in data collection analysis statistical methods and standards developed up to the objectives of the study, by statistical analysis program Amos version twenty third.One of the main conclusions reached by the study is : - ? Multidisciplinary committees in the administrative and financial agency have a high capacity to develop recommendations and make decisions and thus can make the organization effective.The study also recommended a number of recommendations including : - ? Work to stimulate multi - tasking committees in the administrative and financial agency by the heads of these committees to increase their ability to overcome the difficulties and challenges faced

المقارنة بين الطرائق الاحصائية المستخدمة في التنبؤ لاستيراد بعض المواد الغذائية في العراق == A Comparision of Statistical Methods That Using For Forcasting To Importing Som Material Foods In The Iraq

اسم المؤلف: هديل محمد زكي مهدي
اسم المشرف: سهيل نجم عبود
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد الاستيراد احد الظواهر الاقتصادية التي تساهم في تحقيق الامن الغذائي وسد الفجوة الغذائية، وللتمكن من دراسة التغيرات التي تحصل في الظواهر الاقتصادية في المستقبل وتحديد قيم هذه التغيرات لابد من الاعتماد على انشاء السلاسل الزمنية وتحليلها، ويعد اسلوب تحليل | The import of the economic phenomena that contribute to the achievement of food security and bridging the food gap, and to be able to study the changes that happen in the economic phenomena in the future and determine the values of these changes to be relying on the establishment of the time series and analyzed, as is the style of the time series of the most important statistical methods analysis used in the prediction of random phenomena in the future values based on what happened in the past, which helps in the development of sound future plans for economic development. In this research were compared between two methods to predict the import quantities of rice, wheat and sugar for the next five years (General Trend Methods, and the Method of Box - Jenkins), where he was relying on the criterion of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to compare the methods used to figure out the best way to predict. Proven method of Box - Jenkins superiority on the General Trend Methods while the best model of Box - Jenkins models to predict the quantities of imported rice is ARIMA(0,1,2), and the best model to predict the quantities of imported wheat was ARIMA(1, 1,1), either imported sugar amounts was the best model ARIMA(0,1,1), and based on the predicted values through the Box - Jenkins models, it was observed that there is an increase in imported quantities for each of rice and wheat in the next five years, either sugar amounts appeared there proven to import.

واقع وفرص الاستثمار في الادارات المحلية : دراسة حالة في مجلس محافظة بغداد == The Reality of Investment Opportunities In Local Managers Case Study In Baghdad Governorate

اسم المؤلف: قتيبة ناجي عباس
اسم المشرف: عبد الناصر علك حافظ
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة محلية
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان للاستثمار دورا مهما في تمويل التنمية الاقتصادية في محافظة بغداد وكانت اهدافها هي تحديد الامكانيات المتاحة للاستثمار في محافظة بغداد وكذلك عرض واقعها الاستثماري وتوضيح التحديات التي تواجه الاستثمار في المحافظة وسبل معالجتها. وتم التوصل الى ان محافظة | The investment has very important role in supplying economical development for Baghdad governorate, and its aims were to define the possible chances of investment in Baghdad governorate and display the virtual investment status and clarify challenges in investment that is the governorate is suffering from and its treatment. We found that Baghdad is still suffering from low level of production in the productive sectors and low level of it’s infra structure and management sector as well as in services. The real status of investment in Baghdad is not helpful in building economical and social development for many reasons, and in order to solve these problems we have to understand the important of the following points 1 - Highlights the investment importance and its growth of local section and economical targets. And this includes Baghdad Provincial council.2 - Produce the main important investment chances and evaluate it with Baghdad level.The research aim depend on that the progress in investment of Baghdad city because it’s the capital of Iraq and that cause the improvement in local institutions in many governorates.The aim of this research is to study Baghdad governorate and most important chances in investment depending on the available sectors to produce the special priorities in investment sectors as well as to study reality, and advertising about these chances that is compatible with development aims.The researcher reached to two conclusions : 1. The investment is still (locally) and suffering weakness as a result of dependence of local sectors on the central governorates in foundation and that is because of failure of transferring independency to governorates.2. Despite the importance of the investment process in Baghdad the support didn’t reach to acceptable level because of lack of facilities, and also there are no guarantees for the investors

استعمال بعض الاساليب الاحصائية للتنبؤ بانتاج محصول الشلب في العراق للمدة (2025 - 2016) == Some Use Statistical Methods To Predict The Yield of Rice Production In Iraq (2016 - 2025)

اسم المؤلف: عبير محمود جاسم
اسم المشرف: احمد ذياب احمد العزاوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد القطاع الزراعي من القطاعات المهمة في عملية البناء الاقتصادي والاجتماعي في بلدان العالم المختلفة وان على الزراعة ان تسد حاجة السكان من الغذاء حتى يتحقق الامن الغذائي.ويعد محصول الشلب من المحاصيل الصيفية المهمة التي تزرع في المناطق المروية من وسط وجنوب | The agricultural sector of the important sectors in the process of economic and social reconstruction in the different countries of the world and on agriculture to meet the needs of the population of food so food security is achieved. The rice crop of the important summer crops grown in irrigated areas of central and southern Iraq, one of the important crops in food intake in Iraq depends upon the Iraqi individual in the food and meals. This research aims to predict the production of rice crop in Iraq for the period (from 2016 to 2025) through the time - series models using the Box and Jenkins models, which requires diagnosing the appropriate model and appropriate grade for this model to represent the phenomenon studied and based on annual data for the period analyzed (from 1975 to 2015), which was obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. After analyzing the data using statistical software gretl and address some of the problems that could have exposed the data and obtain the appropriate models to represent the production of rice, and in the model of the time series were tested stability of the chain in terms of both the contrast and the Mediterranean have shown results of the analysis after the trade - offs between Box and Jenkins models for series production of rice the adoption of standard Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the standard Schwartz Bayesian Criterion (SBC) and standard Hannan - Quinn (H - Q) to be after that model representative for the production of rice crop in Iraq is ARIMA (2,1,2) and test the independence of the wrong paradigm and then predict for the years (2016 - 2025).

التنبؤ باعداد طلبة المدارس في محافظة بغداد لغاية 2024 == Forecasting Numbers of School Students In Baghdad Province Up To 2024

اسم المؤلف: صهيب اسماعيل عبد اللطيف
اسم المشرف: اسماء نجم عبد الله
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: جميعنا يعلم ان التعليم يبدا من خلال مراحل متعددة والتي تشكل سلسلة زمنية يمكن الاستفادة منها والتنبؤ بها من اجل تحسين وتطوير هذا القطاع المهم, مما لاشك فيه ان للتنبؤ دورا مهما وبارزا في عملية اتخاذ القرارات التي ترسم مسار الادارات والهيئات لما له من نتا | We all know that education starts through multiple stages, which constitute a time series that can be tapped and predictable in order to improve and develop this important sector.There is no doubt that to predict an important and prominent role in the decision - making process that paint departments and agencies track because of its ineffective results, because it contains a range of methods and statistical methods, including the methods, time series analysis and style Box and Jenkins, one of them, which depends on the time series of the phenomenon being studied analysis to provide the so - called autoregressive moving averages models characterized that methodology that can predict the data that appear in the future, based on time series data of interest in the past.The research aims to predict the numbers of school students, and educational supplies to the province of Baghdad, using the best model among the Box _ Jenkins models.The most research data numbers, primary and secondary school students in the province of Baghdad and for the period from 1969 until 2014, equivalent to (45) Show, which build a better model was to predict the numbers of students for both phases (primary, secondary), where the researcher found a better specimen prediction for primary school students was the specimen is ARIMA (1,1,3) the best specimen for secondary students is ARIMA (1,1,0) and through a table predictive values for each of the primary and secondary enables the researcher to assess the educational supplies by developments in the preparation of students increase according to the regulations and instructions of the Ministry of Education.Search was divided into four chapters shows the first chapter introduction research and objective of the research and review Reference The second chapter took the theoretical aspect of identifying the theoretical bases of Box_cengnz models in time - series analysis of either the third quarter included the practical side.Was estimated (the number of people to primary and secondary education, the number of primary and secondary schools, the number of teachers, number of teachers, the number of supervisors, the number of supervisors specialists, the number of school trips, the number of books for primary and secondary).The fourth chapter and the latter is for the conclusions and recommendations reached by the researcher that benefit the sound development of plans for the advancement of the educational sector

استخدام التحليل الاحصائي في دراسة واقع البنى التحتية للاسرة العراقية لعام 2013 == The Use of Statistical Analysis In The Study of The Reality of The Infrastructure of The Iraqi Was Captured In 2013

اسم المؤلف: زهراء علي هاشم
اسم المشرف: ابتسام كريم عبد الله
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد دراسة واقع البنى التحتية وتحليل مؤشراته ومحدداته من القضايا المهمة بالنسبة للعراق الذي يهدف الى تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاجتماعية بصورة اكثر واقعية. لذلك اختير هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات مسح خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات في العراق الذي نفذ خلال ال | The study of the reality of infrastructure and the analysis of indicators and determinants are important issues for Iraq, which aims to achieve economic and social development more realistically. Therefore, this research was selected using the data of the survey of the poverty map and maternal mortality in Iraq carried out during the year 2013 by the Central Statistical Organization and using the SPSS to reach the variables that have a direct impact on the level of the infrastructure of the Iraqi family. The analysis was used to analyze the relationship between the twelve variables to reach the factors that actually affect the level of infrastructure, which included housing, electricity, water, sewage system, basic services. The cluster analysis method was adopted and the data of the twelve variables were converted to the standard formula. To eliminate the difference of units of measurement of these variables and thus ensure the validity of the implementation of the stage related to the process of data classification and determine the extent of the relationship between the Iraqi provinces in terms of similarity or difference and in the last stage to enter the methods of analysis and analysis. Two main methods of analysis were used : the main vehicle method and the main axis method. It was obtained through the results of the main vehicles method that there were two factors (the value of the underlying root is greater or equal to the correct one) namely housing, electricity, water and basic services factor with an explanatory capacity of 85.469 (847.82%) of the total variance, and the remaining 17.153% of the total variance, and the remaining 14.531% Due to other factors. Thus, the cluster analysis used two methods of hierarchical analysis, ie, the single link and the total linkage. The results were close to some minor differences among them. Most of the aggregates' tables were close to a small difference in transactions. This difference depends on the methodology of each method.

ثقافة الطفل العراقي في ظل الارهاب رؤية مستقبلية == The Culture of The Iraq Child Under The Shadow of Terrorism : An Outlook

اسم المؤلف: رشا اسماعيل ابراهيم
اسم المشرف: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يهدف البحث الى معرفة واقع ثقافة الطفل العراقي في ظل الارهاب، لاستيعاب سلبيات هذا الواقع من اجل الحفاظ على ثقافة الطفل وتنميتها وتطويرها بما يخدم الطفل والمجتمع، وقد قام الباحث بزيارة الى موقع دار ثقافة الاطفال وبعد عقد مقابلات مع المسؤولين تم جمع المعلوم | This research paper aims to understand the current reality of the culture of the Iraqi child in the shadow of terrorism; to comprehend the negative aspects of such reality in order to protect and develop the culture of the child in ways that will be beneficial for both the child and society. The researcher has visited the Children’s Culture House and met with the appropriate staff as to collect information and reports regarding the strategy, activities, and the works of the house. The researcher has also visited the Center for Psychological Studies that is affiliated with the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research to obtain specialized knowledge about the terrorism phenomenon and the extent to which it affects the culture of the child. Moreover; the researcher has been in contact with representatives of United Nations Children's Fund - UNICEF and the International Organization for Migration - IOM in order to obtain reports detailing the current status and situation of children in Iraq.A descriptive statistical approach is used by the researcher; acheived by closely following the situation in Iraq - a country which has become a field for various terrorist attacks - and how that situation affects and alters the culture of the child in a manner that threatens the future of the country as a whole. Percentages are used to quantitatively depict and describe some of the data that is utilized.The most significant conclusion of this research paper is that the culture of the child falls within the circle of terrorism in Iraq; and it does so in two ways : 1. Field Terrorism : Examples of which include explosions, bombing of cities, gorilla war, assassinations, and kidnaps. 2. Media - Driven Terrorism : Embodied by the plethora of television programs, cartoon shows; and electronic games played on consoles, personal computers, cell phones… etc. These various manifestations of terrorism have caused many problems suffered by the Iraqi child and have adversely affected the cultural level thereof. Developing and nurturing the culture of children is a strategic and evolutionary goal for any society for children are the future of the nation and the holders of its heritage and identity; they also are the nation’s present that reflects where it stands among others.

تاثير الغام الحروب على الرقع النفطية باستخدام نظم المعلومات الجغرافية : دراسة حالة - محافظة البصرة == The War Mines Effectet In The Oil Spots By Using Geographic Information Systems /Wasit Governorate - Case Study

اسم المؤلف: دعاء يوسف عبد الرحمن
اسم المشرف: محمد جاسم محمد
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: نتيجة للحروب التي مر بها العراق على حدوده الشرقية ,والقصف الذي تعرض له خلال حرب الخليج (1980 - 2003) اصبحت العديد من الاراضي تحتوي على الالغام والمخلفات الحربية ,مما ادى الى ظهور مشكلة عدم استثمار الرقع النفطية التي تقع تحت المساحات الملغومة ,حيث تم استعم | The wars rate that Iraq pass it at the eastern borders, And the bombing he faced during the gulf war (2003 - 1980 ) many areas became contain Mines and remnants of the war. Causing a problem of not investing the oil spot which fall under mined areas , Geographic information systems was used in spatial analysis of the mines problem in Basra through natural distribution standard.After identifying the areas of mines presence calculated the cost by the government due to the presence of mines and remnants of war inside the oil field ( Sindbad ) and the ninth spot which are located nearby the Iraqi - Iranian border the reason for planting of many minefields by the Iraqi government and the Iranian government was that the wars which took a place in this area , And the study showed that the presence of mines and remnants wars within the oil spots the government must have a financial obligations to clear these areas from mines and make it safe for the extraction of crude oil.Although the study showed that the geographical distribution pattern of mines at the study area ( Basra ) it is close to the pattern of massed because the gathering of dangerous areas at the middle of Basra due to the proliferation of remnants of wars as a result from the air and ground bombardment to vital facilities inside the governorate. From this above we conclude not to leave and neglect any oil spot containing mines and wars remnants and conducting surveys and removals for the purpose of clearing them from the wars remnants and make it safe for the purpose of investment to benefit from oil imports , especially that the world oil price will decline over time , And to provide full protection of oil fields and wells from terrorist and military operations In spite of they are frequently locked to sabotage as arson operations by ISIS

استعمال اساليب السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بالتضخم الشهري في العراق للسنوات 2017 - 2021 == Using Time Series Models To Forecasting The Monthly Inflation In Iraq For (2017 - 2021)

اسم المؤلف: خوله جعفر احمد
اسم المشرف: فارس طاھر حسن الكواز
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يشكل التضخم عائقا امام تنمية الدولة لما يقع عليه من اضرار اقتصادية واجتماعية لذا تحرص الدول على متابعة سلوكه احصائيا من اجل اخذ الحيطة والحذر والحيلولة دون ارتفاعه عن طريق اتخاذ القرارات السليمة ورسم السياسات الكفوءة.لذا يهدف البحث الى ايجاد افضل انموذ | Inflation forms an obstacle to the country's development because due to its influence on the economic and social damage, so the state is keen to follow up on its conduct statistically in order to take caution and prevent rising through sound decision - making and efficient fee policies.So research aims to forecast the inflation rates Through a series of inflation on the one hand and a series of indices on the other hand, for the period (Jan 2017 - Dec 2021) and reaching any strings best in the prediction by models (Box - Jenkins) and based on the indices data for the period (Jan 2009 - Dec 2015), through the modeling of the data in accordance with the methodology (Box - Jenkins) to build models starting from the diagnosis stage and the ending in the stage to predicting forecasting ,so several types of (ARIMA) models have been proposed, including choosing the most appropriate model specimen , according to the trade - off criteria (RMSE, MAPE , BIC, AIC, Schwarz, Hannan - Quinn), then used the possible greatest function in the estimation of the model specimen parameters, it has conducted tests (Ljung - Box, test my own confidence and Normal distribution of errors test) to determine the appropriateness of the model diagnosed, and then made a future forecasts according to the model, specimen It is better to get of the results based on the ready softwares (SPSS - 22) and the program (Gretl - 1.1) and the results that have been reached were, series of inflation rates stable in mean ,seires indices of consumer prices is'nt stable, where it has a general trend stabilized after taking the first difference and depending on the test (Augmented Dickey Fuller), and was reached that the best model for forecasting inflation of inflation series is a specimen ARIMA (0,0,2) (1,0,1)12 and using the indices series is a model ARIMA (0,1, 2) (1,0,0) 12 and if we make a comparison between the two models forecasting predictions concluded that the forecasting prediction by using a series of inflation gives better results than using the indices to predict a series where the average to smooth the predicted average inflation closer to the original series and therefore, the predictive values of rates inflation closer to the values of the original series viewing And that curve prediction of a series of inflation rates better than the curve predictions using the indces as he gave finer predictions and longer periods of time.

تقدير التكاليف الاقتصادية لتدهور الاراضي الزراعية في العراق عبر محصول الحنطة كسلعة استراتيجية للمدة 2005 - 2012 == Estimation of The Economic Costs of Degradation of Land In Iraq Through The Wheat Crop As A Strategic Commodity For The Period 2005 - 2012

اسم المؤلف: اريج ابراهيم احمد القره غولي
اسم المشرف: قتيبة نبيل نايف القزاز
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء البيئي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تاثر القطاع الزراعي في العراق بالتغيرات السياسية والاقتصادية والتشريعية التي شهدها العراق على مايقارب عقدا من الزمان والذي انعكس سلبا على فعالية مساهمته من الناتج المحلي الاجمالي وبالتالي على الاقتصاد, اذ يشير التقرير الاقتصادي السنوي لعام 2012 للبنك ال | The agricultural sector in Iraq has been affected by the political, economic and legislative changes that witnessed it Iraq at last decade which reflected negatively on the effectiveness of its contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) and then on the economy. The annual economic report of the Central Bank of Iraq indicates that the agricultural sector constitutes about 4.1% of GDP for 2012. However, the agricultural sector faces multiple problems that add negative impact on the agriculture development trends in Iraq. The Global warming which is the most prominent problem and shortage of rain have caused desertification phenomenon. The decrease of levels of Tigris and Euphrates rivers, due to many reasons, as well as the decrease of the quantities of the underground water and incompetent use of resources by farmers have increased the soil saline, degraded it and decreased land fertility. All these factors have led to decrease of the arable lands and fast growing number of population added more pressure on the land to increase productivity to meet people’s growing needs which, at the end, caused degradation of the arable lands. Therefore, it is important to discuss these problems and find out the root causes of the decrease of the arable lands and devise proper solutions. This study has been developed to assess the change of wheat production between 2005 and 2012, through analyzing the relation between production quantities and the cultivated lands as well as the quantities of water that have been provided. Further, the impact of supplied water and used lands were measured through line graphs in this study. The increase and decrease of arable lands and the lands that can be used for agriculture in comparison to the size of the whole land explain clearly the benefit of agricultural activities.Land degradation leads to damage of environmental elements including water, air, and soil. The relation between environment and economy is strong and reciprocal and form the basis of the sustainable work of each one where economy protects environment and nature elements through typical distribution of resources provided by environment to boost economy. Further, through economic activities funding is being allocated to fix degradation and damage. Protecting environment will protect economy as well and achieves its mission to meet people’s unlimited needs and increase development rates which boosts people’s welfare in each community. The aforementioned relation has encouraged people concerned with environmental economy to look for cash indicator called Cost of Environmental Degradation (COED) which recognized as an important indicator for decision makers to identify the loss of economy in cash that has been caused by environmental degradation and lack of environment protection. The economic costs of agricultural land degradation for the period (2005 - 2012), where estimated a lowest costs in 2010 about (3,437,884,583) IQD and a highest costs in 2012 which amounted to (589,579,870,614) IQD. Conclude from that the cost of the alternative opportunity for these costs has been exceeded on the rights of subsequent generations in natural resources as well as environmental assets so it recommend to do a strategy to promote the agricultural sector through diagnosis its main problems. The desertification, the poor management of water resources, and the financial and technological weakness represent the almost important of these problems must be diagnosed, as well as setting a time limit to treatment these problems which cause a heavy losses in cultivated arena and production, in additional to monitoring a large sums of money to reduce or treat the deterioration in order to increase agricultural development, which is reflected positively on the economy of the country.

التنبؤ بحجم الصادرات والواردات في الميزان التجاري السلعي للعراق لغاية 2020

اسم المؤلف: محمود بشار سالم
اسم المشرف: فاتن فاروق صالح البدري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

السيناريوهات المحتملة للتعامل مع عقود التراخيص : دراسة تطبيقية في وزارة النفط العراقية == The Possible Scenarios of dealing with Licensing Contracts A practical Study in Iraqi Oil Ministry

اسم المؤلف: جواد كاظم عبد الزهرة
اسم المشرف: محمد حسين منهل العيساوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
المستخلص: The objective of the research is to promote the reality of the oil sector in Iraq by reviewing the options available to achieve this.The research focuses on building strategic scenarios for the future situations that could be the future of the oil industries in Iraq and how to deal with these situations depending on the main influencing forces and this is a session that represents an initial readiness for the virtual future, which provides the opportunity to know the strengths and weaknesses of each future, thus avoiding threats and investing opportunities as much as possible.This research also helps decision makers in the Iraqi Ministry of Oil to take the correct procedures and measures to deal with future situations and expand the prospects of strategic vision from the researcher's perspective. The researcher relied on the checklist as an initial diagnosis of the views of a sample of the senior management managers (directors and divisions in the Southern Oil Company mainly and some other places such as the center and the north and inside the ministry) regarding the technical, economic and legal aspects of licensing contracts as well as the role of scenarios in keeping with the future conditions of the company.The questionnaire (the five - degree Likert scale) was then used to estimate the responses of the sample. The results showed that the strategic scenario plays a major role in how to deal with future situations in the future. Given that, the scenarios address almost all future situations, making them semi - deterministic to predict what might happen. The researcher presented a number of results, the most important of which was that the strategic scenario is a useful approach to deal with oil licensing contracts due to the broad considerations of the different future prospects and not to focus on the likely ones only. Moreover, that it takes into account as much of the interests of internal and external stakeholders, so that the scenario reduces the blind areas that abound in the traditional formal plans. And the recommendations for each of those strategic scenarios and most important of the preparation, development, training and rehabilitation of Iraqi oil cadres scientifically and practically, and provide material and moral support in all its forms of the Iraqi oil academies and institutes so that the Iraqi side to take over the affairs and have the upper hand in the management of licensing contracts

تاثير ادارة الجودة الشاملة في تحسين اداء المؤسسه الخدمية - دراسة حالة في ديوان محافظة ديالى == The impact of the application of the requirements Of Total Quality Management in improving institutional performance ( A case study in diyala governorate office

اسم المؤلف: نورة سهيل محمد
اسم المشرف: نادية لطفي عبد الوهاب الجنابي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The research aims to measure the impact of the application of total quality to improve the performance of the Office of Diyala province management requirements in addition to identifying the nature of the relationship between the requirements of comprehensive quality management and institutional performance of the Court of Diyala province. The problem of research is that there is a weakness in the implementation of the requirements of Total Quality Management which reflected negatively on the quality of services provided to citizens and the lack of infrastructure in some areas of the province and the delay in the completion of many important projects such as road projects and school buildings, as well as the administrative procedures and mechanisms within the Diwan still largely routine weighing on citizens and causing delays in the completion of transactions In order to achieve the objective of the research, a questionnaire was adopted which consists of (the main variable) which is the requirements of TQM and the sub - variable of (improving performance) and distributed in the Diyala Diyala Governorate the research community to the managers and their assistants and heads of departments and their meanings and heads of the people and their assistants and a number of employees and the number of questionnaires distributed 189 Questionnaire 186 was recovered, including a questionnaire, while the rest was considered damaged, was tested two major research hypotheses which, one assumes the existence of a positive relationship between the application of quality and performance improvement and other management requirements assumed the existence of the Tathirlttbaiq administration requirements Improve the quality of the performance of the Office of the province, and some of the assumptions made were rejected sub - hypothesis concerning the existence of a positive relationship between the support of senior management and performance improvement sub - hypothesis concerning the existence of a positive relationship between continuous improvement and performance improvemen . The research found that the concern of officials of the security implications of the province has had a significant impact in the delay of projects and the deterioration of services provided to citizens as well as the senior management have a great desire to mobilize financial resources and the necessary support to implement this methodology was to start forming a quality team to take on The researcher recommended the need to develop a comprehensive strategic plan for the Diwan of the province, which is shared by the directors of the service departments associated with the ministry. It also recommended the assignment of responsibilities and powers in accordance with the qualifications and experience of the ministry. Assigned to him so that there is no loss of resources

التنبؤ باعداد الولادات الحية وبناء جداول الحياة لمحافظة ديالى == Forecasting Numbers of live births and Build life tables for Diyala province

اسم المؤلف: عباس مهدي صالح اللامي
اسم المشرف: غفران اسماعيل كمال
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تتاثر المجتمعات السكانية بالعوامل الحيوية ، فهي تزداد بعامل الولادات وتتناقص بعامل الوفيات ، كما يؤثر عامل الهجرة في حجم السكان في اتجاهين مختلفين اذ يزداد السكان بتاثير الهجرة الداخلة الى البلد ويتناقص بتاثير الهجرة الخارجة من البلد .ان العوامل الثلاث الولادات ، الوفيات ، والهجرة بنوعيها هي الاسباب الوحيدة لتغير حجم السكان في العالم في بقاعه ومناطقه المختلفة. ان ارتفاع عدد الولادات بصورة متزايدة مقارنة مع عدد الوفيات يؤدي الى حصول الزيادة الطبيعية الصافية . كما ان بناء جداول الحياة تعتمد على مبدا فرضية اخضاع فوج كامل لنفس احتمالات الوفيات (للسنة المعتمدة) ، تعتبر جداول الحياة وتطبيقاتها احد ابرز الموضوعات الديموغرافية والدراسات الصحية ، اذ تعطي صورة موجزة عن مستوى الوفيات في المجتمع واثرها على الفئات العمرية المختلفة في ذلك المجتمع وتوقع حياة الفرد لحظة ولادته او عند اي عمر ، ويمكن بناء جداول الحياة عند تحديد اعداد الوفيات والموجودة في وزارة الصحة والبيئة ومنها يتـم حساب احتمالات الوفاة ، ولهذه الجداول استعمالات كثيرة في مجال التامين وكذلك في بناء النماذج السكانية الافتراضية . وتعد السلاسل الزمنية من بين اهم الاساليب الاحصائية التي يمكن من خلالها معرفة طبيعة التغيرات التي تطرا على قيم الظاهرة مع الزمن والتنبؤ بما سيحدث من تغير على قيم الظاهرة في المستقبل على ضوء ما حدث لها في الماضي وهناك عدد من الاساليب في السلاسل الزمنية منها اسلوب السلاسل الزمنية التقليدية (معادلة الاتجاه العام الخطية والتربيعية والاسية) واسلوب السلاسل الزمنية الحديثة واشهرها نماذج (Box - Jenkins) وانموذج الانحدار الذاتي بوجود متغير اضافي (ARX) والتي تعد نقلة نوعية في تحليل نمذجة البيانات والمدخل الحديث لتحليل السلاسل الزمنية والتنبؤ بها ولكل اسلوب من هذه الاساليب ميزاته ومساؤه . تناول البحث السلاسل الزمنية ومكونات السلسلة ومراحل بناء النماذج وكذلك تطرق الى نماذج الاتجاه العام ونماذج Box - Jenkins وانموذج الانحدار الذاتي بمتغير اضافي (ARX) ومعايير المفاضلة بين النماذج وكذلك التطرق الى مفهوم جداول الحياة وافتراضاتها وانواعها واشكالها واستعمالاتها وبنائها . وتم اجراء مقارنة بين نماذج الاتجاه العام ونماذج بوكس جنكينز وانموذج الانحدار الذاتي بمتغير اضافي واختير افضل انموذج بالاعتماد على معايير المفاضلة (متوسط الخطا المطلق MAE والمتوسط المطلق للخطا النسبي MAPE) واتضح ان افضل انموذج من بين النماذج هو الانموذج المختلط ARIMA(3,2,3) للتنبؤ باعداد الولادات الحية حيث تكون قيم معايير المفاضلة اقل مقارنة بالنماذج الاخرى ويتوقع ان تصل اعداد الولادات الحية الى 44294 و44125 في العامين 2017 و2018 على التوالي . اما جداول الحياة فقد كان توقع الحياة عند الولادة للذكور هو 69.07 سنة وهو اقل من توقع الحياة للاناث والبالغ 76.49 سنة . | Populations affected vital factors, they increased by a factor of births and deaths are decreasing by a factor, as the migration factor affecting the size of the population in two different directions as the population on the impact of migration within the country to increase and decrease the impact of emerging from the country of migration. The three factors of births, deaths, and migration of both types is the only reason to change the size of the population in the world in (parts of) the different regions. The number of births is increasingly high compared with the number of deaths lead to a net natural increase. The time series of the most important statistical methods by which to know the nature of the changes in the phenomenon values over time and predict what will happen to change the apparent values in the future in the light of what happened to her in the past and there are a number of styles in the time series, including time - series method traditional (offset the general trend linear, quadratic and exponential) and style of modern time series and most famous models (Box - Jenkins) and a specimen autoregressive existence of an additional variable (ARX), which is a quantum leap in data modeling and the entrance to the modern time series analysis and forecasting and for each of these methods features analysis And its tragedy. As the construction of tables life depends on the principle of hypothesis subdue Regiment full same chances of deaths (year - based), is the tables life and their applications one of the most prominent topics demographic and studies of health, as it gives a picture of a brief the level of deaths in the community and their impact on the age groups of various the community predicted the life of the individual moment his birth or at any age, and can be building tables life when you select the preparation of deaths and located in the Ministry of health and environment such is the expense of the prospects of death, for these tables uses many in the field of insurance as well as in the construction of models population virtualization. The statistic of birth element a key in the statistics of vital and in estimate of the population growth rates of population so it is important in construction of the best model is used to predict the preparation of live births, as well as the construction of tables of life in order to provide accurate indicators of the scheme to make it able to put future plans. The research of the time series and the components of the series and stages of building models and also touched on the general trend models and models () and a specimen autoregressive variable extra (ARX) and criteria for differentiation between models and also touched on the concept of life tables, projections, kinds and forms and uses and build. It was a comparison between the general trend models and models of Box and Jenkins specimen autoregressive variable extra and was named best specimen using ready - made programs (Gretl 1.9.11 , Minitab 17 , Matlab 2013) and relying on the trade - off standards (the average absolute error ... and the average absolute relative error ...) and it turned out that the best specimen of the models is mixed specimen (3,2,3) ARIMA forecasting numbers of live births where the criteria for awarding the lowest values compared to other models and is expected to reach to the preparation of live births (44,294) and (44,125) in the two years (2017) and (2018) respectively. The life tables was a life expectancy at birth for males is (69.07) a year, which is less than life expectancy for females and adult (76.49) years.

البيئة الاستثمارية على وفق مؤشر ممارسة الاعمال : تحليل ستراتيجية الهيئة الوطنية للاستثمار في العراق == Investment Environment according to the Index of Business practicing - An Analysis of the Strategy of the National Body for Investment in Iraq

اسم المؤلف: بسمة مؤيد رشيد
اسم المشرف: ثائر محمود رشيد العاني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The progress of attracting Investment basically depends on availability of good investment climate because the climate represents an important role in the decisions of investors and in the movement of Capital generally, many of political, Economic, legal, administrative, cultural considerations, the investor is preferring the country that provides to him the proper climate to invest his funds in it, for this he prefers the country which characterized with the political, economical, legal and safe stability, he prefers to invest in the country which has the basic determines to attract investment, the open market and the provided the main structure and the clarity of the legal system and its stability and balance, the low cost of production represent the most important attracting determines, and from the desire of Iraq in the economical reform basing on modern economic bases which guarantee full investing for its sources and the variety of the sources and encouraging the private sector and developing and supporting the operation of establishing investing projects and expanding them and developing them on the different economical levels and granting privileges and exemptions for these projects, the Iraqi investment law No. 13 for the year 2016 was legislated, though the Iraqi law of investment didn’t participate only in a limited limits in attracting the work sector and the investment still within a very low levels due to many obstacles which reflect on many indicators especially the indicator of practicing work activities, which mean that the investing environment in Iraq needs a proper environment and effective rule for the state to secure a competitive environment which supports the law of investment.As a result the study deals with the reality of investment in Iraq and its obstacles and its location in determining the work activities, and the requirements of creating an attracting environment for both national and international private investment.

دور القيادة الستراتيجية في ادارة فرق العمل التنظيمية : دراسة حالة في الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء == THE ROLE OF STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP IN MANIGING ORGANIZATIONALTeam work

اسم المؤلف: اوان محمد امين محمد علي
اسم المشرف: انتصار عباس حمادي الدليمي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يهدف البحث الى معرفة العلاقة بين (القيادة الاستراتيجية وفرق العمل التنظيمية) للمنظمة المبحوثة (الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء) ومن اجل معرفة ذلك فقد طبق البحث على المجتمع المتمثل بالقيادات الادارية والمكون من (67) فردا واعتمدت الباحثه اختيار العينة القصدية ضم (المدراء العامين ، معاونين ، مدراء اقسام، مدراء شعب وخبراء) وبنسبة 35% من مجتمع البحث ، وتم استعمال (الاستبانة) كاداة رئيسة لجمع البيانات والمعلومات مضافا اليها المقابلات الشخصية باستطلاع اراء القيادات عن بعض فقرات الاستبانة، وقد تم اختبار الفرضيات الرئيسة والفرعية التي قام عليها البحث والمتعلقة بعلاقات الارتباط والتاثير وقد تم استعمال عدد من الاساليب الاحصائية مثل (الوسط الحسابي، الانحراف المعياري، التحليل العاملي، ومعامل الارتباط كندال ووالانحدار البسيط) ، والافادة منها من خلال تعميم نتائج البحث على الميدان المبحوث حيث توصل البحث الى مجموعة من النتائج كان من بينها ان هناك علاقة ارتباط طردية ذات دلالة معنوية بين متغيرات البحث القيادة الستراتيجية وفرق العمل ووجودتاثير ايجابي للقيادة الستراتيجية على فرق العمل وبالاخص بعد الرؤية ، اضافة الى التاثير الايجابي للقيادة الستراتيجية على بعد الجودة ، والاستنتاجات كانت ان القيادة مهتمه بوضع رؤية لتطوير عملها وتعزيز قدرات راس المال البشري في حين تراجع في المقدرات الجوهرية والثقافة التنظيمية وجاءت التوصيات التاكيد على القيادة الستراتيجية بدور العمل الفرقي واهمية بناء قاعدة بيانات دقيقة بالمعلومات اللازمة لمتخذي القرار ووضع نظام لتحفيز عمل الفريق والاهتمام بدعم الافكار الجديده والثقافة التنظيمية بين افراد فريق العمل وتوزيع متوازن للصلاحيات. | This research aim to show the relationship between the main variables (Strategic leadership and its role in managing organizational team work) of the surveyed organization (Council of ministries : The Secritorate ) and in order to knowledge that, this research has been applied on the society of administrative leadership, consisting of 67 member distributors by The organizational structure (general managers and their assistants, Department managers, Director of the Division and experts), approximately 41% from the community is changing continuously. The researchers adopted choosing intentional sample by using a number of statistical methods to demonstrate the relationship between research variables and the levels of engagement and influence to take the benefit from that by dissemination the results on the research fields. (The questionnaire) used as the main tool to collect data and information as well as the personal interviews by exploring views on some of the questionnaire paragraph , the main and branched hypotheses of the research has been tested on which is related to the relationships of the engagement and influence and a number of statistical methods such as (Range, Mediam, Factor Analysis ,Kendal Correlation Coefficient, Alpha - Cronbach), in addition of using a number of shapes and diagrams to illustrate the relationship between the research Sub dimensions and variables.This search led to a set of conclusions, among them was that there is a positive correlation relationship of moral meaning between the variables of the study with a moral effect between the variables of the study, and this confirms that the results are accepted with that assumed assumptions of the research.From the obtained results, the correlation relationship showed a positive relationship of high moral meaning between the strategic leadership and teamwork, in addition there is decline in the core capabilities except the capital, and the recommendations emphasize the importance of formation of an accurate data base of necessary information for decision - makers and development a stimulate system for teamwork and have interest of supporting the new ideas among team members.

انعكاسات العوامل الداخلية والخارجية على السياسة النفطية في العراق : دراسة تحليلية للمدة 1995 - 2014 == Reflections of the internal and external factors on the oil policy in Iraq (An analytical study for period 1995 - 2014)

اسم المؤلف: اكرم جاسب عبود
اسم المشرف: بشير هادي الطائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد - الطاقة
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: It is clear to all, that crud oil is fundamental in all levels : nationally, locally &internationally. And so in economic and political levels from other point of view.The study has displayed a subject considered to be the most economic subject, namely the international oil markets. That is due to the importance which the oil composed on the all economic, political and social forms. The circumstances by which Iraqi oil sector go through in regards to step - wise increments in level of production, hence its position in OPEC organization, keeping in mind its own rich capabilities requires the use of new tools of analysis in order to get right final decisions in this sector.It also taking into consideration the economic theory for the oil markets that facing this sector, and then the external factors that affect them. And then it has been discussed putting on an Iraqi oil policy.This study aims to : 1. analysis of concurrent & future of international oil market.Thence, the resultant properties regarding OPEC generally and Iraqi oil sector.2. Showing of Iraqi oil sector capabilities & the policies governed by.3. clarification and evaluation auctions of bids.4. Standardization that the stat of Iraq depends on in sharing with - or quit from OPEC.5. Clarification of general concepts and technical analysis's of game theory.

سلامة الاجراءات وكفاءة اداء خدمة المسافرين في مطار بغداد الدولي : دراسة حالة == Safety Procedures and Travelers Service Performance Efficiency at Baghdad International Airport / Case Study

اسم المؤلف: اسيل عباس قاسم العبادي
اسم المشرف: كامل كاظم بشير الكناني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The researcher presents a study of the safety procedures , efficiency and performance effectiveness of travelers service at Baghdad International Airport / Ministry of Transport .The research problem lies in an identifying the services presented by Baghdad International Airport to the travellers in addition to the safety procedures , how the airport applies thestandards of International Civil Aviation Organization and what are the significant troubles and failure that the airport administration faced . The research aims at submitting a realistic analysis of Baghdad International Airport and determining the capacity of applying the safety International requirements through determine the gap between (ICAO) International organization requirements and Airport reality . The research's importance talk about the most importance airports and the essential and important axis in the air navigation movement as well as that there are not enough studies deal with the safety procedures and performance efficiency in the airports . The research in the scientific aspect relies on the standards studyof ICAO , regarding the requirements of International safety and its relation with work in Baghdad International Airport .The researcher evaluated the service that is presented to the travellers and the efficiency of its staff performance according to the Check list which the researcher filed it , calculated the gap and determined it , as well as adopted SWOT analysis to know the reasons of gaps appeared and clarified the followed procedures to close it . The results of research appeared that Baghdad International Airport has several standards of safety and procedures , present most best services to the travellers and the performance level and apply the international safety of ICAO are good . Moreover, the application of international standards that are imposed by ICAO will have great impact to achieve the goals of Baghdad international airport with great efficiency and effectiveness for reaching to Global Aviation Refineries , the airport's adoption of procedures safety and service performance efficiency system based on ICAO standards requirements as a strategy decision of the supreme administration , in addition to promote the continuous development of workers who worked in the General Establishment of Civil Aviation and Aviation Companies in the Baghdad international airport and the organization culture by publishing the instructions and requirements of International Aviation Organizations .

التحليل الاستراتيجي لواقع تطبيق الحكومة الالكترونية في الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء : دراسة حالة == Strategic analysis of the of e - government Implementation at the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers Case study

اسم المؤلف: اريج مهدي صالح العبيدي
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يركز البحث على موضوع حديث في الادارة العامة الا وهو (الحكومة الالكترونية) الذي يحظى باهتمام دولي واسع من قبل الدول المتقدمة والدول النامية على حد سواء ، بهدف الاستفادة من مخرجات الثورة الرقمية والتطور التكنولوجي لتحسين اداء الاعمال الادارية الحكومية لغرض تقديم الخدمات للمواطنين وقطاع الاعمال وسائر المؤسسات الحكومية الكترونيا وبواقع (24) ساعة في اليوم وعلى مدار (7) ايام في الاسبوع وتحت شعار (ادارة بلا ورق وبلا مكان وبلزامان). اتخذ الباحث من تجربة الحكومة العراقية في التحول الالكتروني ومعوقات تطبيقها مشكلة لبحثه، مع عرض اسباب تاخر العراق من التصنيف العالمي في التحول الالكتروني ، وتضمن الجانب العملي تحليل الواقع الاستراتيجي لعمل لجنة (الحكومة الالكترونية) التي تتراسها الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء فضلا عن عمل اللجنة السابقة التي تشكلت بموجب الامر الوزاري رقم (46) لسنة 2009، مرورا بتجربة برنامج حكومة المواطن الالكترونية التابع لدائرة شؤون المواطنين والعلاقات العامة في الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء . في حين تضمن الجانب النظري للبحث عرضا وافيا لمفهوم الحكومة الالكترونية وفوائد تطبيقها، ومراحل تنفيذها مع تحديد المتطلبات الضرورية لتطبيقها وتشخيص اهم التحديات التي تواجهها. فضلا عن عرض معايير ومؤشرات منظمة الامم المتحدة لتقييم الدول عن الجاهزية الالكترونية وتوفير الخدمات عن بعد باعتبارها المرجعية الدولية لهذا الموضوع ، واستعراض تجربة الامارات العربية المتحدة كتجربة عربية ناجحة . ومن ثم ينهي الباحث بمجموعة استنتاجات اهمها ان التحول الالكتروني يحتاج الى ارادة وطنية ذات رؤية واضحة فضلا عن توفير الدعم المالي اللازم ، وان الفساد الاداري والامية المعلوماتية هما اكبر معوقات التحول الالكتروني، وجاء في اهم التوصيات تسمية هيئة وطنية للمعلوماتية تهدف الى بناء نظام يتعامل مع البيانات والوثائق الالكترونية . | This research focuses on a modern topic in Public Administration that is (E - Government). That topic has received considerable international attention from both the developed and the developing countries which seek to gain the fruits of the digital revolution and technological advancements in order to provide e - services to people, businesses and all the state institutions on 24/7 basis under the theme of (no paper, place or time - administration). The researcher took the experience of the Iraqi government in the electronic transformation and the obstacles of its application as a problem to his research, with a presentation of the reasons for Iraq's delay in the global classification in the electronic transformation, The practical side include the strategic analysis of the work of the (e - government) chaired by the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers, Formed by Ministerial Order No. (46) - 2009, through the experience of the e - citizen Government program of the Citizens Affairs and Public Relations Department in the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers However, The research provides a thorough presentation to the E - Government concept and advantages and necessary requirements of its applications in addition to diagnosing the challenges that it faces. It also presents the UN standards and indicators of assessing E - readiness of countries and the provision of remote services as UN is regarded the international authority on this subject with a reviews The United Arab Emirates model as a successful Arab practice. Then the searcher end his search by number of conclusions and recommendations ,The most important of conclusions ; The electronic transformation needs to a National will with a clear vision as well as providing the necessary financial support and Administrative corruption and Information illiteracy are the biggest obstacles to electronic transformation. The most important of recommendations ; named a national body for information that deals with data and electronic documents

التنبؤ بانتاج محصولي البطاطا والطماطة في العراق باستعمال السلاسل الزمنية == Forecasting producing crops of potatoes and tomatoes in Iraq by using time series

اسم المؤلف: زينب محمد امين عبد الحسن
اسم المشرف: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعاني الزراعة في العراق من وضع متدهور فان نقص المياه وارتفاع مستويات الملوحة والتصحر له اثر كبير وسلبي على الانتاج الزراعي، وكذلك اصبحت ايرادات النفط في العراق مصدرا اساسيا لمالية الدولة الداخلية والخارجية لذلك اتجه القطاع الزراعي نحو الاعتماد عليها من جانبين اولهما استيراد الادوات المختلفة اللازمة للانتاج، وثانيهما استيراد المواد الغذائية الجاهزة للاستهلاك المحلي فكلمزاادت هذه الايرادات ارتفعت المقدرة على استيراد الادوات الانتاجية والمواد الاستهلاكية والعكس بالعكس. لكن تحت تاثير العوامل السياسية استخدمت العوائد النفطية بالمقام الاول لتمويل الانفاق العسكري كما اسهمت بفعل السياسات الاقتصادية المتبعة منذ عدة عقود مساهمة فاعلة في تحويل الاقتصاد العراقي الى استهلاكي، وان اي استراتيجية تنموية لتحقيق الامن الغذائي في الوطن لابد ان تتخذ من التنمية الزراعية المستديمة غاية لها. وللتمكن من دراسة التغيرات التي تحصل في الظواهر الاقتصادية في المستقبل وتحديد قيم هذه التغيرات لابد من الاعتماد على انشاء السلاسل الزمنية وتحليلها وان السلسلة الزمنية هي سلسلة من القيم العددية لمؤشر احصائي يعكس تغير الظاهرة بالنسبة للزمن ، اذ يعد اسلوب تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من اهم الطرائق الاحصائية التي تستعمل في التنبؤ بقيم الظواهر العشوائية في المستقبل استنادا الى ما حدث لها في الماضي والذي يساعد في وضع الخطط المستقبلية السليمة للتنمية الاقتصادية ، ومن اهم اساليب السلاسل الزمنية النماذج التي وضعها العالمين بوكس - جنكنز. يهدف البحث الى التنبؤ بكمية الانتاج المحلي لكل من البطاطا والطماطة وذلك باستعمال افضل انموذج من بين نماذج بوكس - جنكنز، وذلك للفترة الزمنية من سنة (1975) الى سنة (2015). وقد جرى اختيار الانموذج الملائم واعتمادا على معايير المفاضلة المستخدمة واختبار معنوية الانموذج الملائم واظهرت النتائج ان افضل انموذج للسلسلة الاولى (انتاج البطاطا) هو الانموذج (0,1,1) ARIMA وافضل انموذج للسلسلة الثانية (انتاج الطماطة) هو الانموذج (0,1,1)ARIMA واعتمادا على معايير المفاضلة (ACI) (SBC) (H - Q) وجرى التوصل الى ان السلاسل المذكورة غير مستقرة ففي سلسلة البطاطا هنالك عدم استقراريه بالتباين والمتوسط وتحققت الاستقرارية بعد اخذ اللوغاريتم والفرق الاول وفي سلسلة الطماطة هنالك عدم استقرارية بالمتوسط وتحققت الاستقرارية بعد اخذ الفرق الاول واعتمادا على نتائج اختبار (ديكي - فولر) (Dickey and Fuller) واستعمال النماذج في التنبؤ | Agriculture suffers in Iraq from deteriorating situation, the lack of water and high levels of salinity and desertification have a significant and a negative impact on agricultural production, as well as oil revenues in Iraq has became a main source of financial internal and external state so the agricultural sector went towards accreditation from both sides, firstly import of various tools production and, secondly, to import already - made food for domestic consumption. The more these revenues increase their ability to import productivity tools and consumables, and vice versa. But under the influence of political factors used oil revenues the first place to finance military spending, also it contributed by economic policies pursued since several effective contribution in transforming the Iraqi economy into a consumer contract, and that any development strategy to achieve food security in the country must be taken of sustainable agricultural development until her .To be able to study the changes that happen in the economic phenomena in the future and determine the values of these changes you have to be rely on the establishment of time series analysis and time series is a series of numerical values for the index statistical reflects the changing phenomenon for the time, if is the manner of the time series of the most important statistical methods analysis used in the prediction of random phenomena in the future values based on what happened in the past, which helps in the development of sound future plans for economic development, and the most important methods of time - series models developed worlds Box - Jenkins. The research aims to predict the amount of domestic production of both tomatoes and potatoes, so using the best model among the models Box - Jenkins for the time period (from 1975 to 2015).the appropriate model has been selected depending on the trade - offs using standards and test moral model appropriate and the results showed that the best model for the first series (the production of potatoes) is a model (0,1,1) ARIMA and the best model for the second series (the production of tomato) is a model (0.1, 1) ARIMA and depending on the tradeoff criteria (ACI) (SBC) (HQ) was reached that the chains mentioned unstable. In the potato chain they are not stabilizing the contrast and average realized preprocessing after taking Natural logarithm and the first difference. in the tomato chain there is a lack of stability of the average achieved preprocessing after taking the first difference and depending on the results of test (Dickey - Fuller) (Dickey and Fuller) and the use of models in the prediction.
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