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تحليل تكاليف التضخم واثرها على مستويات المعيشة بالعراق للمدة 1990 - 2012 == Analysis of The Cost of Inflation And Its Impact On The Living Standards In Iraq For The Period (1990 - 2012)

Author name: نجله شمعون شليمون الجلبي
Supervisor name: نضال شاكر جودت الهاشمي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Inflation is always a challenge for most of the economies of countries in the world, because of its undesirable effects are costs borne by society, and Iraq is one of the countries which suffered from inflationary pressures for several decades. These inflationary pressures borne by members of the Iraqi community in the form of costs, without knowing the amount, size, and in this paper we appreciate using the long - term equilibrium relationship between real cash balance as a percentage of real income (GDP at constant prices), and the price policy rate over time 1990 - 2012, and then we use the estimates derived from the interest rate flexibility, by estimating the long - term equilibrium monetary demand function in the Iraqi economy to derive inflation costs through the use of consumer surplus approach for Bailey (1956), using the econometric technique (method of least squares (OLS) after conducting stationary method, to the variables of money demand function and using the statistical software developer( Eviews 0.3), The total cost value reaches (30.24%) for the annual average inflation and (71.4%). In order to achieve the objectives of the research indicators of living standards in real terms were estimated after testing the stability of the costs of inflation data series, and the average per capita GDP, private consumption spending (family) ,line of absolute poverty, before and after deducting the cost of the ration card, and verify the existence of a common integration relationship. The Research included three chapters. The first chapter discusses the theoretical framework of inflation and costs of living standards, while the second included inflationary environment analysis and indicators of living standards in the Iraqi economy, and divided into two periods the first on since 1990 - 2002,and the second period since 2003 - 2012, and then measuring and estimating the costs of inflation in the Iraqi economy for the period 1990 - 2012. the third chapter also included an analytical framework to measure the impact of inflation on the cost of selected variables to the standard of living in Iraq for the period 1990 - 2012. The measure included the impact of inflation on the cost of living standards formulation variables four equations as living standards adopted in this study using the least squares method, (OLS) ,and using the statistical program (Eviews7. 2012). The research included the most important conclusions that have been reached in addition to the recommendations. The most important conclusions by measuring the costs of inflation in Iraq for the period 1990 - 2012 that the money in the Iraqi economy, in addition to being a necessary commodity for the purposes of the transaction, it is a political commodity as a result of oil export, affected by political situations experienced by, Iraq since 1990 - 2012 and that the annual rate of in inflated costs by (30.24%) ,led to a decline in living standards in the Iraqi economy by (0.164%)&(0.171%) for the period from 1990 to 2012 and this is what led to be the most important recommendations in the search. The money, mainly from oil, in the Iraqi economy, must have a diversity of sources by stimulating economic sectors, so that Iraq becomes a source of goods and services, increased by close to the amount of oil commodity, export and the state has to achieve the security and political stability, because it is the direct cause of the decline in the rate of inflation, and its costs, and thus a rise in the living levels of society, through the transition impact on standards of living variables, and hard work by the state to reduce violence for the purpose of continuing the development process, so that we can improve the lives of Iraqi society level, while the continuation of the Iraqi Central Bank to tackle inflation target (3% - 4%) to remove its the costs imposed on society, through transmissions price used in this direction ,and the need for coordination with macroeconomic policies to ensure an environment conducive to stability and growth.

اليات البنك المركزي العراقي في الحفاظ على استقرار سعر الصرف مع اشارة خاصة لمزاد العملة == Mechanisms of Iraqi Central Bank In Maintaining The Stability of The Exchange Rate With A Special Reference To Currency Auction

Author name: منى جابر حايط الشهيلي
Supervisor name: وحيدة جبر خلف المنشد
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Iraq's economy has seen a year later (2003), both the monetary and real, a new phase where changes have occurred, the most important of them the Central Bank of Iraq got for its independence, according to the law (56) for the year (2004) in the formulation of monetary policy, and determine the appropriate tools in the implementation of the objectives of that policy, particularly price stability and raise the value of the Iraqi dinar.Indeed, the Central Bank of Iraq, a year later (2003), introduced window for sale and purchase of foreign currency. Thus, it has harnessed the accumulated foreign reserves, as the currency auction is an indirect monetary tool aimed at the withdrawal of excess liquidity and maintain the value of the Iraqi dinar, so the study runs from the hypothesis that the central bank can stabilize the dinar exchange rate, and that any limitation on daily sales of the dollar, it will reflect negatively on that stability.Therefore, the purpose of this study, in the process testing the hypothesis, is to evaluate the role of the new established mechanisms by the Iraqi Central Bank to raise the value of the Iraqi dinar, and maintain its stability, especially auction currency, and then review the options before the Central Bank under the low foreign reserves as a result of lower oil prices.For the purpose of the detailed explaining of the whole aspects of the study, it was divided into three chapters, followed by conclusions and recommendations. Chapter one discusses the theoretical framework of the exchange rate and the Central Bank of Iraq, and chapter two offers the objectives, functions and independence of the Central Bank of Iraq in the framework of the law (56), and the chapter three highlights the role of the auction in the stability of exchange rate, and the options under a decline in foreign reserves.

تحليل العلاقة بين النفقات العامة والنمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2013) باستعمال دالة الاستجابة المستحثة == Analyzing The Relationship Between Public Expenditures And Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (1990 - 2013) By Using Impulse Response Function

Author name: قيس انيس جحيل العقابي
Supervisor name: عبد الكريم عبد الله محمد المشهداني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد موضوعة العلاقة بين النفقات العامة الحقيقية والنمو الاقتصادي من المواضيع المهمة والتي كثر بها الجدل والتحليل والنقاش بين علماء الاقتصاد على مدى عقود من الزمن.وفي الجانب النظري ورد هناك منهجين مختلفين في الادبيات الاقتصادية المتعلقة بالعلاقة بين هذين | The relationship between public expenditure and economic growth has been an important subject of analysis and debate among economists for decades. There are mainly two different approaches in the literature concerning the relationship between these economic magnitudes. These two well - known approaches are “Wagner’s law “ and “Keynesian hypothesis. Therefore, Wagnerian and Keynesian approaches represent two alternative viewpoints in explaining the causality between government expenditure and economic growth. While Wagnerian approach states that, the causality runs from economic growth to public expenditure, according to the Keynesian approach, the direction of causality runs in the opposite side. The purpose of this study is to analyses the causality relationship between government expenditure and economic growth in Iraq over the period (1990 - 2013) using time series data , and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Impulse responses trace out the responsiveness of the dependent variables in the VAR to shocks to the error term. The impulse responses of economic growth and public expenditure are normalized to have a contemporaneous impact of one - percent by dividing each shock by the standard deviation of the respective fiscal shock. These impulse responses are then divided by the ratio of the shocked fiscal variable and the responding variable, where the ratio is evaluated at the sample mean. Therefore, the rescaled impulses for the responses of economic growth to the public expenditure shocks can be interpreted as giving the reaction of the responding variable, in percent of economic growth, to a fiscal shock of size 1% percent of economic growth. This study differs from the other studies aiming to test these relation in Iraq in some ways. First this study attempts to analysis the relationship between economic growth and total public expenditures and Public expenditures for health and education in order to search for evidence supporting relation between them , Second, this study investigates the two sub - time series ( 1990 - 2002 ) and (2003 - 2013). Data analysis revealed that a Double causal relationship (two way) from a real public expenditure to economic growth and economic growth to the real public expenditure for period(1990 - 2013), which supports (Turan Yay, Huseyin T., 2009), and that the relationship with the economic growth of public expenditure on Health and education are related to one - way from economic growth to public expenditure on health and education which supports the Wagner law. Economic growth response to unexpected shocks incident in real public expenditure reflects the negative impact (Exp) response to the economic growth have a positive impact on most of the ten periods from the study but had negative levels for the second period. The expenditure on health and education in response to shocks in the rate of economic growth have the opposite effect in the ten periods, but had the lowest levels of negative periods (fifth, sixth, seventh, and eighth) Economic growth rate in response to the shock in the total health and education expenses are non - existent, and negative at the beginning of the first period of the year, but it takes continuous decline to reach the lowest value in the second quarter and the negative trend continues to the end of the last period The real public expenditure in response to a positive shock in real GDP are non - existent at the beginning with a bullish trend to end up in the second period. Then begin to fluctuate, starting from the third period to reach the lowest level in this period. GDP in response to a positive shock in real public expenditure be positive and influential impact on the error of the variable interpretation (GDP) in the first period and then begin to decline and negatively in the second period and then take swings between positive and negative for the rest of the study periods. The study concluded with a number of recommendations

العلاقات التجارية بين العراق وايران بعد عام 2003 التحديات وسبل التطوير == Trade Relations Between Iraq And Iran After The 2003... Challenges And Ways of Development

Author name: قاسم محمد لعيبي
Supervisor name: مظفر حسني علي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد التجارة الدولية المحرك الاساسي لعملية النمو الاقتصادي للبلدان لما تقدمه من مساهمة فعالة في عملية التنمية الاقتصادية , ونتيجة لذلك تسعى الدول الى اقامة علاقات تجارية جيدة متكافئة مستفيدة من المكاسب الممكن تحقيقها على اساس الميزة النسبية. وتزداد المكاسب | International trade is the main engine of the economic growth of countries for its effective contribution to the economic development process. As a result, countries seeking to establish good and equal business relations to benefitfrom the gains that can be achieved on the basis of comparative advantage. The potential gains from trade increase between neighboring countries, where geographical proximity helps to reduce transportation costs, and develop areas of cooperation or economic integration between them, in addition to many other factors. As is the case in trade relations between Iraq and Iran, where trade between the two countries allows the possibility of developing their relationship in order to serve the interests of both countries, especially after the changes that took place after 2003. The data showed that the nature of the business relationship between the two countries experiencing disproportionate levels of trade exchange, where the Iranian goods accounting for a large relative importance of the total Iraqi imports, so Iraq is a market for them, making the Iraqi economy suffers from a heavy reliance on Iranian products, because of the open border policy front the foreign goods, and the absence of local competition of Iranian production. At the time the Iraqi merchandise exports to Iran it did not represent animportant proportion, making the business relationship between the two countries is unequal, and tend to the economic dependency. The study aims to explore the trends in international trade between Iraq and Iran, and the impact of this trade on the reality of the development of the Iraqi economy, and these trends are based on many factors, such as geographical proximity, social and ethnic ties between the two countries,in addition to the joint economic ties, such as water and oilfields.The study found a number of fconclusions and recommendations.

قياس وتحليل العلاقة بين تحرير التجارة الخارجية والنمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2014) باستخدام نموذج ARDL == Measuring And Analyzing The Relationship Between International Trade Liberalization And Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (2003 - 2014) By Using (Ardl) Model

Author name: عمار نعيم زغير الجناني
Supervisor name: عبد الكريم عبد الله محمد المشهداني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف هذا البحث الى قياس وتحليل العلاقة بين تحرير التجارة الخارجية والنمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (2014 - 2003) باستعمال نموذج (ARDL), وينطلق من فرضية مفادها ان النمو الاقتصادي في العراق يستفيد من الصادرات والاستيرادات, ولغرض التحقق من هذه الفرضية تم تحو | This research aims to measure and analyze the relationship between The liberalization of international trade and economic growth in Iraq. The period (2003 - 2014) using ARDL model , This research is derived from a main - hypothesis adopted in this paper is that economic growth in Iraq will benefit from the exports and imports , To achieve this hypothesis ,Annual data is converted to quarterly data; as well as the use of augmented Dickey - Fuller Test , applying ARDL model and tests for the second order tests , applying and error correction model (ECM) , in addition to The Test for Granger causality. The research concluded that there is a long - run equilibrium relationship between GDP and exports and Imports, We also can see a quick response in the GDP when exports and Imports are changing. It also shows that exports have the largest proportion; And exports account for the largest Proportion , The estimated Model Reflects A very high level of quality assessment; This also illustrate the value of the coefficient of determination amounting to (%92) , as well as the fact that the estimated model does not suffer from the problem of autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity , as well as parameters stability as reflected in CUSUM test. The assessment results refered that a(%10) change in exports on the long - run will lead to a(%3.42) change in GDP , ceteris paribus. It also refered that a(%10) change in imports will leads to a decreas in GDP by (% - 0.08) , ceteris paribus and this is insignificant because P - value is more than more (%5). This is emphasize by the hypothesis states that “export - lead - growth”.

البيئة واهميتها الاقتصادية في ضوء نظرية الاستخلاف الاسلامية == The Environment And It'S Economical Importance In The Light of The Theory of The Islamic Successor Appointment

Author name: عماد خليل عيدان الشجيري
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The subject of environment protection has acquired a special importance because it did not restricted on limited part, but it expand to include the economical, social and political dimensions. The world senses the threaten dangerous for the surrounding environment where he live, so the laws enacted to beat on the frivolous hands to restrict the gained deterioration, the effort did not limited to the single effort, but, the state community seeked through his different establishments like the united nations and their subsidiaries to gather the international efforts to protect the environment, our only boat.The Muslims inattentive that their Immortal Islamic law (Sharia) where it is the seal of missions, had surrounded with all the sides concerning the human life, it exploit the universe starting from the environment, then made him a successor on the glob, necessitated on him the restrictions and limitation for his dealing with this land (environment) to ensure his and her safety.This thesis aim to explore the role of the Islamic law (Sharia) in protecting the environment through the principle of theccessor appointment, to achieve that, the thesis had to be divided into three chapters. Chapter one dealt with the subject of protecting environment in the light of the international laws, where , section one reviewed the international efforts for some advanced states and Arabic countries, section two reviewed the efforts of the united nations in protecting the environment, where section three dealt with economical importance of the environment.Chapter two dealt the subject of the successor appointment in the light of the Islamic law (Sharia) where section one took the concept of the successor appointment and their kinds, section two dealt with the laws of successor appointment and section three dealt with the limitations of the successor appointment.Chapter three specialized for the successor appointment and environment through three sections, section one dealt with the purpose of the Islamic law (Sharia) and her role in protecting environment, section two dealt with practical procedures for the Islamic law (Sharia) in protecting the environment, and section three the role of the successor appointment in protecting the environment, it also include the conclusions, recommendation and summery.

فائض السيولة في المصارف التجارية وامكانيات الاستثمار مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == Liquidity Surpluse In Commercial Banks & Possibility of Their Use , With Special Reference To Iraq

Author name: عدنان عودة صالح الصفار
Supervisor name: وحيدة جبر خلف المنشد
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تؤدي المصارف التجارية دورا كبيرا في اقتصاديات البلدان كافة وعلى الرغم من ذلك، لكننا لم نجد لنظيرتها في اقتصاديات البلدان النامية الدور ذاته ومنها العراق، وذلك بسبب عدم مقدرة هذه المصارف على تقدير مستوى السيولة المصرفية التي يتوجب الاحتفاظ بها ـ ومن ثم | Despite the important role that commercial banks can play in the economies of the 1 we cannot feel that role for the developing countries ineluding Iraq. The main cause of that is unability of banks to estimate the needed liquidity that has to be kept. Thus, these banks have no distinguished role to support economic development of their countries due to keeping very high liquidity without invest that liquidity to finance development projects. - For explaining this problem and finding suitable solutions for it, this rseach is seeking to analyze the concept of banking liquidity and its elements with determining the liquidity surplus in Iraqi commercioal banks and the role of central Bank of Iraq to absorb the largest amount of that liquidity for using it in different aspects of economic development. - The study begins with a hypothesis saying that the surplus of banking liquidity within commercial banks can play an effective role in affecting the economic activity if it be used correctly to finance projects of infrastructure, - The study has been divided into three chapters. The first chapter deals with defining the problem of liquidity through the gap between financial resources and their uses by commercial banks.The second chapter explains the meaning and sources of banking liquidity with its measurement indicators.The third one addresses the possible ways to invest liquidity surplus under the reality of Iraqi commercial banks.The research concludes that Iraqi commercial banks are suffering from surplus in banking liquidity which amounted to (%54) in 2012. This percentage is higher than the standard percentage which amounted (%30). This difference means that there is financial resources have not been invested to achieve earnings and benefits for the society. Also, the ratio of aggregate investment to GDP in public banks was (%2,9) in 2011 which is much less than standard ratio (% 15 - 20) and this indicates a weakness in achieving the goals of economic development.The study recommends that the monetary authority in Iraq has to benefit from experiments of another countries which invested that surpluses in financing infrastructure projects instead of borrowing from abroad, especially in housing sector which leads also to employ many young people and thus reducing the unemployment problem.P950

فاعلية قناة الائتمان المصرفي في السياسة النقدية في العراق للمدة 2004 - 2014 == The Effectiveness of Credit Channel In The Monetary Policy of Iraqi For The Period (2004 - 2014)

Author name: صادق وهاب فرحان
Supervisor name: عبد الرسول علي حسين
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تستطيع السلطات النقدية تحقيق اهدافها النهائية من خلال قناتين , هما قناة سعر الفائدة التي تسمى القناة التقليدية , وقناة الائتمان المصرفي. وقد اقتصرت هذه الدراسة على تناول قناة الائتمان المصرفي حصرا. ان هذه الدراسة تحاول تسليط الضوء على العلاقة بين السيا | The monetary Authorities can achieve it is final goals and targets through two channels. the first is the interest rate channel , which is known also as the conventional channel. the second one is the credit channel. this theses is devoted to deal with the latter.This study to shed light upon the nexus between the monetary policy and the banking sector in Iraq for the period 2004 - 2014. it importance stems from addressing the credit channel in details and from stating the impact of the banking sector’s characteristics on the Effeciency of credit channel.The Hypothesis of the theses as following : " The characteristics of Iraqi banking sector during the period 2004 - 2014 , set the stage for the credit channel to work Effeciently. The study lies into three sectors. the first one is devoted to give a theoretical framework of the credit channel and the factors that the researcher considers as a determinants of the credit channel Effeciency. The second chapter displays the characteristics of the Iraqi banking sector for the period 2004 - 2014 , while the third one represents an attempt to measure the Effeciency of credit channel in Iraq for the period a mentioned above by using two model , the first is a simple regression , while in the other , we used the weights or the range Approach , after that , the study listed some conclusions and recommendations.

قياس المحتوى الاقتصادي للامن الانساني في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2007) == Measurment of Economic Content of Human Security In Iraq For The Years (1990 - 2007)

Author name: سهيلة عبد الزهرة مستور جبار الحجيمي
Supervisor name: نضال شاكر جودت الهاشمي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

تحليل جودة النمو في العراق في ضوء الاداء الاقتصادي والاجتماعي بعد عام 2003 == Analysis The Growth Quality In Iraqi Economy After 2003

Author name: سرور علي عبد الحسين السوداني
Supervisor name: فلاح خلف علي الربيعي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The Iraqi economy enable to achieve high growth rates after the political change in 2003, , but the rise in those rates did not positively reflected on the economic performance in general, as a result of synchronization of those rates with the increase in oil revenues, and did not come as a result of improvement in the performance macroeconomic variables, as it has not seen an improvement in the performance of economic and social variables that reflect the quality of economic growth.This research relying on a quality of growth index which proposed by the international Monetary Fund experts which include economic dimension which include growth strength and inflation, the structure of the demand and the sectoral composition as economic variables, and social dimension of health, education.This study emphasizes that good growth is the growth, which includes the economic and social dimensions. On one hand, the focus on the economic dimension contributes the disclosure of the nature of economic growth and its trends to judge the sustainability of growth and the degree of its stability, and find out the extent to which this growth contributes in correcting structural imbalances, through a sub - indicators, which is represented by strong economic growth and economic stability, as well as the structure of the demand. While the focus on the social dimensions sect oral includes the dimensions of health, education, where it cannot achieve good growth without taking into account the economic and social dimensions, that is, mobilize material and human efforts to improve macroeconomic variables performance and the productive and social sectors of this index's. The research found one numeric value which reflected the weak quality of economic growth level in Iraq because of the weak performance of most economic and social indicators, this value is consistent with the site that filled Iraq's most international indicators for assessing the developmental quality of performance, which often comes in. Iraq ranks last with economies, which characterized by weak performance. The first one is the birth of a consumer pattern meets the wars and economic sanctions requirements, both together, and the second is the oil revenues and their relation with the general budget, which was transformed from a war consumer pattern into a consumer pattern reflected the deterioration of the economic efficiency and confiscation of real development with trends in which the Iraqi economy being dependent upon the consumer trade and regional developments. As a result of that, the study recommended to the advancement of the Iraqi economy and develop their abilities through three connected and continuous operations : the accumulation of capital, technology and structural change of the Iraqi economy

ميزان الخدمات في العراق : رؤية تقويمية في الابعاد التنموية والدولية للمدة 1990 - 2012 == The Balance of Services In Iraq : Evaluation Vision On The Developmental And International Dimensions For The Period 1990 - 2012

Author name: سرمد جاسم حمودي ناصر
Supervisor name: هناء عبد الغفار حمود السامرائي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: سعت هذه الدراسة الى تحليل ميزان الخدمات للمدة 1990 - 2012 , وذلك لغرض الوقوف على مدى تطور تجارة الخدمات , وقياس الكفاءة والقدرة التنافسية لقطاع الخدمات من جهة , فضلا عن تحديد نسبة اسهامه في عجز الحساب الجاري كاحد اهم مكونات ميزان المدفوعات من جهة اخرى. | This study sought to analyze the balance of services, for the period1990 - 2012, and for the purpose of standing on the evolution of trade in services, and measuring the efficiency and competitiveness of the services sector on the one hand, as well as to determine the percentage of its contribution to the current account deficit, as one of the most important the balance of payments components on the other hand. The motivation for the choice of the subject of the study is the suffering of the Iraqi services balance from a sustainable deficit is financed by oil revenues.The study also focused on the analysis of the local development dimension and the international dimension of the situation of the Iraqi balance of services, through the adoption of definitions and classifications of evidence of the balance of payments with the local approach of the International Monetary Fund and the analysis of their consistency with statistical and macroeconomic indicators, and the study of the relationship between the conditions the balance of services and distribution and service sectors, and in the international dimension, there was the application of international indicators on trade in services and measure the real exchange ratein accordance with the PPP and determining the impact of Balasa - Samuelson effect.The rentier culture in Iraq, which represents the major features of the Iraqi economy effects are reflected in changes in the structure of production of other strategic sectors of the non - oil sector, including the service sector, which led to the weakening of the structure of thesesectors exposed to the international competition, and weaken the productive capacity, as a result of directing most of the allocations of production factors towards the oil sector on the one hand, and on the other hand, the increase in the oil sector financing led to the increase of wealth generated by the sector, as a result of increased export of crude oil, which was reflected in a positive evolution in the GDP values, and this has led to a new balance of income and consumption higher than the previous, These new balances in turn created more pressure towards increasing imports of goods and services to meet the growing need for local goods and services, which led to increase the deficit in the balance of services.shipping, insurance and financial services represented more than 80% of the total balance of services deficit, which emphasizes that these sectors are the leading sectors of the deficit in the balance of services, as a result of its association with the commodity imports.It alsofound that thepercentage contribution oftechnology servicesimportsaccounts for onlya small percentage ofthe balance ofservicespaymentsfor the yearspost - 2005, but that thesesmallpercentagesof theseimportshave had a significantimpactin creatinga positivedevelopmentalevolutionat the level of macroeconomics of Iraq.Despiteattempts2010 - 2014development planto develop a strategyto correctthe imbalance in theservice sectorsdirectly related totheservices balancein a series ofvital projectsto compare betweenwhatthe reality ofthe eventandwhat isa target, but it met withthe institutionalforkeddistribution ofonthe state budgetleveldoes not matchwith thestrategyof national developmentplan.

خصوصية دراسات الجدوى الاقتصادية للمشروعات الزراعية : دراسة تطبيقية لمشروع مقترح لمنظومات الري الحديثة في العراق == Privacy Economic Feasibility Studies For Agricultural Projects An Empirical Study of The Draft Proposal For A Modern Irrigation Systems In Iraq

Author name: سامر صبري نجم اللامي
Supervisor name: هناء عبد الغفار حمود السامرائي | عبد الحسين نوري مهدي الحكيم
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: سعت هذه الدراسة وبالتعاون مع وزارة الزراعة الى محاولة لتبيان خصوصية دراسات الجدوى الاقتصادية للمشروعات الزراعية وذلك لاختلاف طبيعة نشاط القطاع الزراعي عن باقي القطاعات وخصوصية المشاكل والتحديات التي تواجه هذا القطاع , اخذين الظروف الطبيعية والمناخية وغيره | This study is trying to explain Cooperating with agriculture ministry , The relevance and Evaluation of Feasibility Studies Related to Agriculture Projects as a Result of Different Nature , Problems And Challenges of Agriculture Sector Comparing With the Other Sectors and Taking Into Account The Conditions of Nature and Climate Through Analysing and Applying Economic , Marketing , Technical And Environmental Standards for Studying Weaknesses and Strength Points of Project Internal Environment and External Environment Opportunities and Challenges The Agricultural Sector in Iraq Suffers From Many Problems and Challenges and This Study Is Addressing Them With A Concentration on Water Shortage Problem Which Became A Crisis Facing Iraq Now And in The Future Which Means That Water Resources And Sustainable Developments of Agriculture Is At Risk. The Irrigated Agriculture in Iraq Requires A Huge Quantities of Water Resources.This Way of Irrigation Causes Many Negative Effects on Agriculture Sects Such As Water Resources Pollution , Poor Quantity of Ground Water , Water High Salinity And Decreasing Appropriate Lands for Growing Different Crops. The Importance of The Study Comes from The Need of Agricultural Policies for Balancing among Water Security , Food Security and Sustainable Development by Developing Feasibility Studies and Evaluating Existing and Suggested Projects in Different Architectural Activities to Help in Determining The Economic and Financial Values of Costs and Revenues in The Agricultural Projects. In the Applied Aspect , Technical and Economic Feasibility Study Has been Prepared for A Project of grawing With Which Uses Mechanical Irrigation System At Maysan Province. The Study Concludes That There are A Positive Effects of Using modern irrigation system in increasing Efficiency of Agricultural Projects , Not Only With Respect to National Economy Level , But Also for Farmers and Investors Through More Production and Less Costs Which Mean More Profits.These Results Will Encourage Farmers To Use Developed Technologies In Agriculture Without Waiting For Government Support And Thus Leading to Increase Living Standard of Farmers Developing Rural Areas And Decreasing Immigration To Urban Areas.The Study Recommends The Following : - The Development of Agriculture Sector Needs to Depends Not Only on Government Initiatives , But Also on Private Sector , Local Farmers and Other Parties, Especially With Respect to Using Modern Irrigation Systems. - Achieving Self - Sufficiency and Water Security Long Term Strategies and Policies Related to Social , Economic and Political Aspects With The Support of Different Ministries.

خيارات الشراكة بين القطاعين العام والخاص واطر التنفيذ : دراسة لتجارب دول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى العراق == Partnership Choices Between Public And Private Sectors And Implementation Frameworks : A Study For The Experiences of Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq

Author name: زينب علي جمعة
Supervisor name: منى يونس حسين
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The economic circles of governments, research centers and specialize dorganizations and others focused on the subject of the partnership between the public and private sectors, especially after the global crisis (mortgage crisis) 2008 - 2009, and the perception of both capitalism and socialism, and thus to the role of the state in economic life, and then to the role of public and private sector in the process of the burdens of the development process from thecornerof rallying all the possibilities in the community of the energies, resources and expertise in each of the sectors, and represents a partnership between the sectors from the viewpoint of its supporters, and the means of financing local projects, especially with the growing burden of the general budget in accordance with the constant changes in world prices for countries that rely their budget on oil, and for countries already suffering from a lack of resources,and states went out of the central towards fiscal decentralization, while some believe that the partnership is not always the best choices to provide a service or commodity or implement a project, so the government agencies to be cautious and scrutinize all the economic factors and effects when making arrangements partnership.There are different types of partnership distribute the risks and responsibilities in different ways, and the government should not think that the partnership provide it easy solutions to the difficulttopics,so it must expect the highestresults, in return, from the partner, and perhaps legal and financialrestrictions and consequences, and others.The theme of partnership between the public and private sectorsis a new one in the economic literature, and is still in the early stages to put the standardized principles, rules andsystems to it, control and regulate various forms of partnership between the two sectors to include all sectors, despite the fact that its beginnings in the eighties and nineties of the last century, but it was not readily visible only in this period, so it is necessary to study and analyze itto know its advantages and disadvantages, and the extent of his contribution to the solution of economic problems.Because the subject of the partnership between the public and private sectors is still in its early stages, although his beginnings in the eighties and nineties of the last century,so it is necessary to study of the concept of partnership,its types, justifications, objectives, laws, and elaborated and classified it to put it in the specific rules and frameworks, and understand the degree of risk associated with a partnership or benefits from it. The structure of the researchis distributed between three chapters, where the first chapter examines the theoretical aspect of the partnership between the public and private sectors, which is divided into two sections.The first one examines the concept of partnership, itstypes, justifications, objectives and benefits in general, and the second studying the theoretical debate of the role of the state and the private sector in economic activity, while the second chapter is divided into three sections. It examines the experiences of countries in the world in the partnership between the public and private sectors, the first section of it for the international, Arab and Islamic views about the partnership between the two sectors, occur while the second offers the Egypt's experience in partnership, explaining its legal framework and applied partas collectives and ventures.The third section was studying the experience of Morocco in partnership under the same pattern in its legal framework and applied part as collectives and ventures.The third chapter devoted to the partnership in Iraq and distributed among the three sections, the first : legislative framework for partnership in Iraq, and explain the development of public and private sector, and the relationship between them, while the second section analyzes the partnership databetween the public and private sectors in Iraq after 2003, and the third section went for the study of the most important caveats or risk, not forgetting the benefits of the partnership between the public and private sectors to get to a set of conclusions, the most important of them the true hypothesis of the research, where it can find a partnership between the public and private sectors, however, such a partnership could lead to the pros and caveats or risks, the most serious of these caveats are not tighten the legal partnership, which means a legal port or a legal loophole for a partner to get the gains, which leads us to recommend the creation of a dedicated and efficient staff to study the contracts and legal provisions.

كفاءة الانفاق الحكومي في تحقيق الاهداف الانمائية للالفية في الاقتصاد العراقي بعد عام 2003 == The Efficiency of Government Expenditure In Achieving The Millennium Development Goals In The Iraqi Economy After 2003

Author name: رنين يونس جاسم الخزرجي
Supervisor name: قصي عبود فرج الجابري
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تلعب السياسة المالية دورا هاما في الاقتصاد الوطني ككـل مـن حيـث قـدرتها علـى تخصـيص المـوارد بـين القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفـة. حيث يتوقـف نجاح السياسـة الماليـة فـي تحقيـق اهـدافها التنمويــة علــى عاملين اساســيين هما المــوارد المالية المتوفر (والممث | Fiscal policy plays an important role in the national economy as a whole in terms of its ability to allocate resources among the various economic sectors, where fiscal policy success in achieving their development goals depends on two factors : the financial resources available (as represented by the government spending) and how they are using these resources, in order to achieve the goals, i.e., focus attention on the management of public expenditure, on the one hand, and, on the preparation of the budget, and the extent of transparency enjoyed by, on the other.From this point, we can discuss the evolution of public spending in Iraq and its analysis orientations, regionally and sectorally, and its role in achieving the objectives assigned to it, and that due to the induced effects on social services, as well as operating levels... and other effects. From here to discuss the idea of determining, the optimal size of public spending that achieves these goals.This depends on the nature of the economic and social conditions prevailing. The spending problems do not only arise, as a result of inadequate spending level and its structure, but also as a result of administrative problems in controlling spending, which requires the government to determine how to spend limited resources with the greatest efficiency and effectiveness in the areas that need to intervention the public. From this point to discuss the idea of improving the efficiency and effectiveness of public expenditure, through the new approach of the budget that includes targets to achieve sustainable development

الموازنة المستجيبة للنوع الاجتماعي والتنمية المستدامة تجارب مختارة مع امكانية التطبيق في العراق == Gender Responsive Budget And Sustainable Development Selected Experiences With The Possibility of Application In Iraq

Author name: رشا خالد شهيب
Supervisor name: وفاء جعفر المهداوي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تمثل الموازنة العامة اداة رئيسة لتنفيذ السياسات الاقتصادية العامة، وهي تجمع بين تنفيذ السياسات العامة الفعالة والموارد المالية المتوفرة. وعليه فهي اداة ضرورية لتعزيز المساواة بين الجنسين وتهيئة البرامج اللازمة لتحقيق هذا الهدف. وينبغي ان تعكس الموازنات ا | represent the Balance of the Chairperson of the tool for the implementation of the general economic policies, combine the implementation of policies and effective public financial resources available. Accordingly, it is a necessary tool for the promotion of equality between the sexes and the creation of the necessary programs to achieve this goal. It should reflect the Balance of the requirements and the needs of the individuals by type social security, so the development budgets of the gender - sensitive represented the best means to meet the aspirations and the needs of the majority of the men and women so the importance of the study of sensitive budget social type and that these budgets are not meant to put the budgets of separate women's, but rather are intended to prepare the general budget, in accordance with the requirements of social type with consideration of gender relations in society and the roles of access to and control over resources. Therefore, the main goal of this kind of budgets is to take account of the specific issues and to ensure their integration into all national policies, plans and programs, they represent the tools to provide the necessary financial support to meet the needs of women and men are attempts to dismantle or the separation of a pattern of general budgets commonly according to its impact on social type. The study came to light on all global experiences and Arabic, which claimed responsibility for the topic of integrating type social development contexts in order to understand the true reality of lessons learned, and ways to apply in Iraq serious attempts in the application of the sensitive budget social type.The problem that there were gaps between social type of roles and obligations and rights and duties and never from a bridge those gaps through the application of sensitive budget social type so came the hypothesis consistent with the problem and that the application of the sensitive budget social type that would bridge those gaps, according to the plans of the Court informed in advance the objectives of the search came to clarify the meaning of the sensitive budget type social objectives as well as the means to depend on in the direct impact on the needs of social type and then follow - up to the heavy impact researcher on the basis of the Indicative curriculum through the study of global experiences and Arabic Sensitive balance social type and then read results obtained from exhumations into his investigative through the use of applied to Iraq came the study limits the duration (2003 - 2015) through reliance on The available data within the reports of international organizations and magazines and adoption of scientific analysis and structural included search four main chapters each chapter contained three subsidiary investigation was divided into the demands and paragraphs in order to understand more than the subject of the study researcher to a set of conclusions, the most important is : - 1. Sensitive budget type social policy instrument for effective financial application of social justice and a clear understanding of the requirements and needs of the social type bridging the gaps quality. And benefit all global experiences and that there is a clear success in those tests on the one hand a bridge the gaps through the reorientation of public expenditure toward the expenditures that have a direct impact on the needs of social type.2. The application of sensitive budget social type the government adopted a comprehensive plan involving each of the government and individuals and civil society organizations with the cooperation of international organizations to build a joint plan to work to ensure the success of that experience.

المناطق الحرة وتاثيراتها الممكنة في الاقتصاد العراقي في ضوء تجارب بلدان مختارة

Author name: دينا طلال صبيح شوقي
Supervisor name: مظفر حسني علي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الامن الغذائي في العراق وافاقه المستقبلية في ظل المتغيرات الاقتصادية المحلية والدولية == Food Security In Iraq And Its Future Prospects In The Light of Economical Local And International Variables

Author name: خالد قحطان عبود
Supervisor name: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد تحقيق الامن الغذائي من المواضيع التي تحظى باولوية في مختلف الدول سواء كانت متقدمة ام نامية وكذلك فان المنظمات الدولية الزراعية المتخصصة قد اعطتها اهمية خاصة من خلال جعل اول اهداف الالفية الثالثة للامم المتحدة هو "القضاء على الفقر المدقع والجوع" وتسعى | Food Security is considered one of the significant subjects that has the priority in various countries whether these countries are advanced or developed one. It is worthy to say that the Specialized International and Agricultural States had supported Food Security great and private interests by making the first aims of the third thousand era for UNITED NATIONS is " Destruction the Poverty and Hunger".These Countries , including Iraq , look forward , within their economic resources to achieve that aim , but there are actually economic local variables that influence on the local agricultural production and to stop its achievement.On other hand , there are International Economic Variables that participate to impact in Economic Activity for its various and different sectors , including the Agricultural Sector , especially Iraq meets its Food Requirements for the main foods through import.This Thesis aims to study and deal with the concept of Food security in many Local and International aspects , as well as , to benefit from Advanced International States ' Experiences I this field (European Union as a Sample) , besides several Food and Social Protection Programs in some Developed Countries (Brazil as a Sample) and to recognize the reality of Agricultural and Food Abilities for Iraq and knowing the challenges ¬¬¬¬¬¬¬¬that may be faced , and to concentrate on the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables that influence on Food Security for Iraq and to plan forthcoming future horizons for Food Security by expecting the size of Food Gap for the most important strategic Food products , with concentrating on the most significant schedules during the period (2003 - 2014).Thesis has divided into four chapters , each Chapter is subdivided into three topics.Chapter One has dealt with , as a Conceptual Framework for Food Security , Food Security and the problem of Substitution , as well as , the most important and Effective Internal and International Economic Variables on Food Security.Chapter Two has concerned with Agricultural Policies and Social and Food Protection Programs in Advance and Developed Countries altogether (As Selected Samples) through studying Joint Agricultural Policy for European Union with concerning with the essence of Food and Social Security Schedules in Developed Countries and to mention to Food and Social Protection schedules in Brazil as a Sample.Chapter Three had dealt with the reality of Food and Agriculture in Iraq for the period (2003 - 2014) as well as the Agricultural Potentials in addition to the Food Situation in and the challenges that may be faced.Chapter Four has concerned with the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables in Food Security for Iraq and its forthcoming horizons.Last , many conclusions and recommendations were achieved. The most important conclusions are that food security levels in Iraq during the duration (2003 - 2014) are to fluctuate for various reasons, despite a slight improvement in agricultural production, especially total food grain, but he does not keep pace with domestic demand are to cover the food deficit through imports cover, and therefore the impact on the self - sufficiency ratios and the size of the gap nutrients, either the most important recommendations, it must rely on agricultural policies aimed to develop the agricultural sector based on the first two pillars reliance on the private sector, whether individuals or agricultural companies under the guidance of the state and the second increase in agricultural support and expansion of presenting the different kinds and forms of various started to talk a distortion in the economy, taking into consideration the suit in the case of Iraq,s accession to the World Trade Organization.

الدور التنموي لصناديق الثروة السيادية في بلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى صندوق تنمية العراق == The Developmental Role of Sovereign Wealth Funds In A Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq Development Fund

Author name: خالد شامي ناشور العطواني
Supervisor name: فلاح حسن ثويني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) become, By Controlling a Huge Financial Assets and Increased Impact Within International Financial Markets, a Fundamental Pillar of Investment Through The World and One of The Most Important Indicators of Financialability of counties that owned themBecause They Can , BY(SWFs) , Converting The Financial Surpluses Coming From Natural Resources Into Productive Assets That Lead to Diversifying Income Sources , Achieving Fair Wealth Distribution Among Generations, Reducing Economic Shocks Effect, Stabilizing The Economy and Enhancing The Development. This Thesis Deals With The Problem of Countries That Depend on Revenues Coming From Natural Resources (Especially Iraq and other Developing Countries). As most of these Revenues are coming from Oil which its Prices and Revenues are Unstable, so those Countries are Exposed to Negative shocks and Structural imbalances that deepening because inefficient investment of oil revenues. Thus, the idea of establishing a (SWF) is a vital solution for the problems mentioned above and also to manage effectively the revenues coming from natural resources (non - renewable) in achieving economic stability and development. This study assumes that (SWFs) can be an important financial instrument for stabilizing the economy and for supporting the development. To Explain that, the study discusses experiments of U.A.E, Kuwait and Norway with (SWFs) and evaluates the performance of Development Fund of Iraq (DFI) in achieving different goals of the development with a perspective to adopt the idea of establishing a (SWF) consistent with the conditions of Iraq economy. The study concludes that an independent and qualified management with clear and transparent strategy are the main requirements for a (SWF) to be effective and productive in its role to achieve stability and development that can be seen by experiment of Norway. For Iraq, the study concludes that although (DFI) has successes in financing some economic sectors, but it suffers from major weaknesses like unclear strategy, inefficient management, unqualified control and unavailable data. Thus, (DFI) was unable to perform an effective role in supporting stability and sustainable development. The research suggest that Iraq needs to establish its own (SWF) with independent and qualified management to protect its natural resources, especially oil, and to direct financial surpluses coming from oil reasonably to assure sustainability for development and generations.

العمالة الوافدة في سوق العمل لبلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق : المنافع والكلف

Author name: حيدر عبد الامير جاسم
Supervisor name: جمال عزيز فرحان العاني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان العراق بعد عام 2003 شهد عصرا جديدا وتحولا سياسيا واقتصادية يهدف الى اعادة ما دمرته الحروب المتعاقبة , وفق اليات الانتقال الى السوق بموجب الدستور الجديد الى فتح الابواب امام الاستثمارات الاجنبية والسماح للمستثمرين في استخدام عمالة غير عراقية كما سمح | Iraq after 2003 witnessed a new era and a political and economic shift aims to restore what was destroyed by successive wars, according to the mechanisms of transition to the market under the new constitution to opening the doors to foreign investment, and allowing investors in the use of non - Iraqi labor,as also allowed for foreign workers to enter Iraq and conduct business in various economic activities. The study aims to analyze the reality of foreign workers in Iraq, and the statement of the most important of these labor attractions in Iraq to discern the most important economic benefits and costs of such employment accruing to the Iraqi economy after 2003. In order to achieve these objectives, the study was divided into three chapters. The first chapter discusses the conceptual framework for expatriate labour and the labor market, Chapter II took the most important policies adopted in order to regulate the introduction of foreign workers in Iraq, and selected receiving countriesmodels for foreignemployment, and that these different countries in terms of economic progress, and the reasons for bringing in foreign workers, while the third quarter focused on tracing the evolution of workforce operating in Iraq and the reality of expatriate labor in Iraq.The study concluded that a set of conclusions, the most important of them is that the labor expatriate phenomenonin Iraq did not get an attention by the makers of the economic policies, and to shed light on the implications of such employment on the Iraqi economy and Iraqi labour market, and the statistical departments have been neglected statistics such employment, and its classifying, making this unknown phenomenon in terms of its reality in Iraq and its usage patterns and trends, although that Iraq has become of the countries that have a lot of economic factors that attract these expatriate labor, as well as that of foreign workers has become part of the workforce operatingin Iraq, and that foreign workers in Iraq have benefits and cost return on the Iraqi economy, as are benefits in the role of labor in the design, implementation and development of a lot of infrastructure projects and production projects, and raising the skills of the national workforce, through the commitment of foreign companies bringing with them foreign labor from the training and qualification of the national workforce, while the costs incurred by the Iraqi economy are the workers' remittances, which are considered a real income eleakagede nominated in hard currency, and the other cost is the competition of foreign labour to the Iraqi worker in getting the workingopportunities, especially in the private sector. The study recommended in the light of the conclusions, to amend the laws on the use of foreign workers in Iraq, and conduct annualand detailed statistics for economic policies on expatriate labor and make a pattern to use for this category of employment in the situation in Iraq complies with the requirements of economic development, and the reduction of unwantedcategories in the Iraqilabor market.

التاثيرات التنموية لمصادر التمويل في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 2004 - 2013 == The Developmental Effects of Financing Sources In Iraqi Economy For The Period 2004 - 2013

Author name: حافظ عبد الامير امين
Supervisor name: فلاح حسن ثويني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The financing of Development plays an essential and important role in directing the internal sources of finance through the domestic credit, which includes the savings and how to improve and mobilize it for the credit purpose by multiple expansion in all the payments instruments which are used by deferent institutions dealing in both money and stock market. Besides the internal financing, there is the external finance which includes the direct foreign investment ,Loans, Grants, and Subsidies.The lack of developed money and stock markets, Limitations in marketing the bonds, Limitations of financial channels through which savings are collected and mobilized, Weak banking sector which lack the trust of Public, and the Accumulation of debt and it is service, All of these flaws are the characters of developing countries which produce negative consequences in these countries, and Iraq is not an exception.According to the economic logic, every developing country cannot achieve an accelerating development, unless making accumulation through some time horizon, and this Accumulation achieved through three connected stages. The first one the existence of savings, the second is the improving of these savings to assure the flow of investments without relying on foreign lending, and the latter represented by directing these savings to the productive investments, such as industrial and agricultural ones. That is to say, the possibility of achieving accumulation after making a coincidence between the supply and demand of savings through the intermediate financial institutions and financial markets, to develop the national economy, in condition that there is an economic visionAbstract coincide with the developmental abilities to achieve the targeted economic development.The study lies into three sectors, the first one deals with the intellectual and economic fundamentals of the finance sources, and this sector subdivided to three articles, which survey the fundamentals of internal and external finance, the relation between the developmental finance and the public expenditures, invention and poverty, and the nature of finance source and it is developmental consequences, respectively.The second chapter which is contains three articles, is about the finance in selected countries. The first one surveys the most important the world - wide developmental consequences of finance sources, while the two later chapters the developmental finance in south Korea and Algeria respectively. The third chapter consists of four articles, is dealing with the development finance in Iraq. The first article devoted to the development and conditions in Iraqi economy during the period 2004 - 2013. The second and third articles are about the internal and external finance in Iraq respectively, while the last one deals with how to correct the finance path and the available alternatives in Iraqi economy. Finally, the study contains some conclusions and recommendations.

استعمال نموذج قياسي للتنبؤ بالطلب العالمي للنفط الخام في ظل الازمات مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == The Use of A Standard Model To Predict The Global Demand For Crude Oil In The Light of The Crisis (With Particular Reference To Iraq)

Author name: حاتم كريم بلحاوي القريشي
Supervisor name: جواد كاظم الموسوي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد النفط الخام من السلع الاستراتيجية المهمة التي تتوقف عليها جميع نشاطات القطاعات الاقتصادية على المستوى العالمي لما تتمتع به من مزايا كثيرة بوصفها مصدرا مهما للطاقة , لذا ازدادت اهمية الطلب العالمي على النفط الخام ولهذا جاءت اهمية دراسة التنبؤ بالطلب | The crude oil from the strategic goods the task which depends upon all the activities of the economic sectors at the global level with the many advantages as an important source of energy so increased the importance of global demand for crude oil and this came the importance of forecasting the global demand for oil are the topics of interest of the many researchers and academics as well as international organizations and institutions of what the predictability of giving a clear picture of decision makers in the oil policies at the national and international level and applied side (standard) into the study through the use of several statistical models (the model of linear, model gray boot model sorrow, the model of the steep self - moving averages) and use a researcher of the statistical program EASBRIG(statgraph) was not limited to the study of the world oil market only But shed light on an important aspect of the reality of the Iraqi oil sector where based problem that there are multiple factors affect in determining the quantities required presented in global markets crude oil does not summarize the specific factors in accordance with the logic of economic theory that require a lot of other factors affecting the balance of the world oil market, the most important oil crises and international cuisine during the term (1970 - 2015) and to find an appropriate way to predict the global demand for crude oil until the year (2030) there were also many justifications in choosing the subject of the research, including with respect to the needs of many identifies the most important factors affecting the world demand for oil and the impact of the oil crises and international on world oil markets as well as confirms the assumption that studies of predictive would give a clear picture of the The owners of the economic decision for the future of the world oil market in order to take all necessary and appropriate measures adopted, a researcher of the SNF first research approach (descriptive using inductive reasoning) which explain the foundations of the logic of economic on both sides of the world oil market and focus on the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in global demand for crude oil with reliance on data, indicators and international organization of international energy and OPEC and other data and the second approach (quantifiable) which clarified the statistically the validity of economic theory through showing results and interpretation and analysis based on statistical curriculum adopted the methodology included research questions, including what are the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in defining the balance of international oil market? What is the impact of price fluctuations of crude oil on the economic growth rates of the exporting countries and the importer of crude oil? What is the impact of global crises in determining the balance of the world oil market? In terms of the limits of the study was on two sections of the border is temporal duration (1970 - 2015) the spatial border it includes the balance of the world oil market and balance of the world oil market and the reality of the oil market and the structure of the Iraqi search included four main chapters each chapter contained three detectives and requests the divided into the demands and to give a detailed picture of the subject of the study study concluded a set of conclusions and recommendations is the most important. 1 - There are several factors that determine the required amounts presented of crude oil which applies with the logic of economic including what was outside the logic of economic theory such as geopolitical oil crises and international cuisine. 2 - Forecasting is the global demand of crude oil from the important topics which gives a clear reference to decision makers and the resolution of the Economic Future action suitable for nappy the balance of both sides of the world oil market. 3 - The coordination of oil policies at the level of the OPEC countries and senior oil producers in the world for Diaper rash to export quotas and oil policies appropriate the stability of crude oil prices and thus the stability of the world oil market

دور تمكين الشباب في التنمية البشرية المستدامة في العراق بعد عام 2003 == The Role of Youth Empowerment Is Sustainable Human Development In Iraq After 2003

Author name: تغريد قاسم رحمة الكعبي
Supervisor name: نضال شاكر جودت الهاشمي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد فئة الشباب من الفئات المهمة في المجتمع اذ يمثل الشباب المستقبل الواعد والمساهم في بناء مجتمعاتهم على كافة الاصعدة , فهم يتمتعون بقدرات ومهارات لا تتوفر عند الفئات العمرية الاخرى كالديناميكية والفاعلية والاستجابة والانسجام والطاقة الفياضة , ولاهمية هذه | The youth is of the important groups in society as a young is the promising future and contributor in building their communities at all levels, they have the skills and capabilities, which are not available at other age levels, such as dynamics effectiveness, responsiveness, harmony and abundant energy age groups. Because of importance of this category in the community, the need has appeared for attention and cares by what appeared to be an important and a large role played in servicing the society and its development.From this standpoint, the development of capacities of young people is an important step for the advancement of developing countries to achieve the goals of sustainable development.The study shed light on the reality of the Iraqi youth. and reached the extent of exclusion and marginalization experienced by the different economic , social and political levels, despite the fact that Iraq on the verge of entering the gift demographic stage, where the young is 20% of Iraq's population at the moment, and this means increasing population in working age, which is reflected in the increase in the gross domestic product, and what is known as the demographic returns.The study was launched from the hypothesis that the absence of policies and programs that enable the rehabilitation of the Iraqi youth would affect negatively on the chances of their participation in the development process and also increases the imbalances in the Iraqi labor market.For the purpose of proving the study hypothesis, the research was divided into three chapters.The first chapter dealt with the conceptual and theoretical implications of concept of youth empowerment ,while the second chapter explained the reality of young people in Iraq, what are the major challenges facing youth empowerment, and what are the economic consequences of the lack of opportunities to enable young people of Iraq.While Chapter three presented a national program proposal, with economic perspectives ,objectives, mechanisms and implications, intended mainly to enable the youth of Iraq in order to sustain the development.The study found that the youth of Iraq faces a range of challenges at the various economic, political and social fronts, which formed ,as a whole ,obstacle to enable the Iraqi youth, and activating their role in the developmental process, which requires the following of development by participation approach ,through the activation of the role of government, the private sector and civil society organizations in order to achieve the optimal investment in the youth group, and to positively affect the development and progress paths at the national level

الامن المائي وتاثيره في التنمية الزراعية في العراق == Water Security And Its Effect Upon Agricultural Development In Iraq

Author name: بثينة حسيب سلمان الشريفي
Supervisor name: مهدي صالح محمد العاني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد المياه من العوامل الطبيعية الضرورية في عملية التنمية الاقتصادية بشكل عام والزراعية بشكل خاص، الا ان هذه الموارد تعاني من جملة من المشاكل منها التغيرات المناخية وما ينتج عنها من تغيرات في الهطول المطري والثلوج اذ تشكل تلك الظاهرة تاثيرا مباشرا في ا | Water resources in Iraq face many challenges such as meeting basic needs, security the food and governing water wisely. This would require the preparation of a detailed strategic plan and assessment of the current state of water security in order to identify the handicaps.The aim of this thesis is to build water budget in Iraq until 2025 to show the relationship between supply and demand of water.The thesis provides a discussion of the many items of the budget, together with some possible costs. The discussion is mostly descriptive, but quantitative estimates are included for one aspect of the problem : the effect of water surplus upon economics and agriculture growth.The hypothesis adopted in this thesis is that Iraq will never face water deficit in the Long - term. The thesis divided into three chapters. The first of which considers water security in Iraq, and the impact of the policies adopted by neighboring countries (Turkey, Iran and Syria).An effort was made to show the handicaps which hinder the growth of agriculture by using indices in order to reach some suggestions to overcome them.The second chapter, studies the effective factors in agricultural development through the national plans and investment programs for the period (1951 - 2025).In the third chapter, the future water budget was constructed until 2025. The items of input and output of water were determined in such budget.The results of the analysis showed that Iraq will not suffer from water deficit in current and future period.Finally, some conclusions and recommendations were reached. Most of them show the necessity of the contribution of water resources in economic and agricultural development and increasing the benefits of water surplus.

فاعلية الادوار الوظيفية للضرائب في الاقتصادات الريعية : العراق حالة دراسية للمدة 2003 - 2012 == The Effectiveness of The Functional Roles of The Taxes In Rentier Economies (Case Study of Iraq For The Period 2003 - 2012)

Author name: زيد حبيب حسين المحياوي
Supervisor name: وفاء جعفر المهداوي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The target of taxes is no longer ( in light of intervening State ) to obtain the fiscal revenue only (as they were under the Guardian State ), but became other important roles and targets for tax used by the state to intervene in economic activity and make through which changes intended at the macroeconomic level, and these roles ( in addition to financial role as abasic objective for the tax ), refer to the economic role, social role and the of environmental role and other roles (political, religious and cultural role... ).Developed countries were able to do these roles on the ground successfully, while the developing countries have not been able, or that the effectiveness of these roles is very limited. Iraq is resemble in its circumstances with rentier developing countries, (the case of Iraq may be the worst among these countries, because it suffered from the past which is no secret to anyone, and sad present which will affect the future ).Its oil wealth impacted negatively on other its revenues , and Iraqi economy has become the hostage to the foreign factors and conditions which is not about them nor force. The protective role of the protective tax has not gone in the minds of the Iraqi legislature , however, that the high degree of economic exposure and rising marginal propensity to consume , which resulted in a high marginal propensity to import to meet the growing consumer demand - under the conditions of the bad local production - and other factors was able to put together that negatively affected this role, and the state was not able to do the social role of taxes, for the same reasons about the limited this role in developing countries, and adopted the public expenditures.The environmental taxes did not apply at all in the Iraqi economy , and there were fines imposed on the polluting activities, and this issimple fine, so its revenue (proceeds) does not fit with the size of pollution from such activities , and this proves the inverse relationship between the size of the state and the proceeds of its revenue from environmental taxes.

تقويم كفاءة الاداء للشركة العامة لصناعة الاسمدة الشمالية المدة 1995 - 2002

Author name: صباح نويف رحيمة العقابي
Supervisor name: هناء عبد الغفار حمود السامرائي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
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