تحليل جودة النمو في العراق في ضوء الاداء الاقتصادي والاجتماعي بعد عام 2003 == Analysis The Growth Quality In Iraqi Economy After 2003
Author name:
سرور علي عبد الحسين السوداني
Supervisor name:
فلاح خلف علي الربيعي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Master
University:
Mustansiriyah University
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T4247 - p.pdf
Abstract:
The Iraqi economy enable to achieve high growth rates after the political change in 2003, , but the rise in those rates did not positively reflected on the economic performance in general, as a result of synchronization of those rates with the increase in oil revenues, and did not come as a result of improvement in the performance macroeconomic variables, as it has not seen an improvement in the performance of economic and social variables that reflect the quality of economic growth.This research relying on a quality of growth index which proposed by the international Monetary Fund experts which include economic dimension which include growth strength and inflation, the structure of the demand and the sectoral composition as economic variables, and social dimension of health, education.This study emphasizes that good growth is the growth, which includes the economic and social dimensions. On one hand, the focus on the economic dimension contributes the disclosure of the nature of economic growth and its trends to judge the sustainability of growth and the degree of its stability, and find out the extent to which this growth contributes in correcting structural imbalances, through a sub - indicators, which is represented by strong economic growth and economic stability, as well as the structure of the demand. While the focus on the social dimensions sect oral includes the dimensions of health, education, where it cannot achieve good growth without taking into account the economic and social dimensions, that is, mobilize material and human efforts to improve macroeconomic variables performance and the productive and social sectors of this index's. The research found one numeric value which reflected the weak quality of economic growth level in Iraq because of the weak performance of most economic and social indicators, this value is consistent with the site that filled Iraq's most international indicators for assessing the developmental quality of performance, which often comes in. Iraq ranks last with economies, which characterized by weak performance. The first one is the birth of a consumer pattern meets the wars and economic sanctions requirements, both together, and the second is the oil revenues and their relation with the general budget, which was transformed from a war consumer pattern into a consumer pattern reflected the deterioration of the economic efficiency and confiscation of real development with trends in which the Iraqi economy being dependent upon the consumer trade and regional developments. As a result of that, the study recommended to the advancement of the Iraqi economy and develop their abilities through three connected and continuous operations : the accumulation of capital, technology and structural change of the Iraqi economy
