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قياس وتحليل اثر السياسة النقدية في بعض متغيرات الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 1995 - 2013 == Measure And Analysis The Effect of Monetary Policy In Some Variables of The Iraqi Economy For The Period 1995 - 2013

اسم المؤلف: علي صبيح حسون
اسم المشرف: هناء عبد الحسين محيميد الطائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The analyses of monetary policy according to various developments which required the analyses the course and curriculum of monetary theory and through the role of money in the economy.Some see that money is influence and causative element in economic development and economic activity in general and on the long term.Others see that there is a relation between money offer and economic development but it is not causative relation but it is complimentary relation.Occurrence of the change in the monetary amounts is not considered the basic elements that cause economic development but it is the necessary condition.As the monetary policy is one of the total economic instruments which could have a role in in achieving the economic stability in Iraq.Thus the Central Bank of Iraq must Activate its monetary instruments.This research started from the theory that " there is a dynamic positive relation between the influence of the monetary policy and some of economic variables represented by ( exchange price ,inflation rate, gross national production ,interest price ,money of supply , general price indicator ).This may be interchangeable influence and each one direct towards the other ".The importance of the this research comes from the analyses of features and direction of monetary policy in Iraq before and after 2003 and analyses and study the monetary policy with some economic variables in Iraq in the light of Central Bank independency as well as tin measure the influence of monetary of economic changes in Iraq in the period1995 - 2013.The most important conclusions we found in the study is that the central Bank has made many amendments on the interest rate (policy rate) for the purpose of reforming, development of the financial institution in particular, and to add a state of economic stability in general and to fight deflation and confronting the stock speculation. In addition to that and through the quantitative aspect the degree of responding to the general level of prices to the changes is (0.807) which means that the changes resulted in the GDP in percentage of %100 leading to a change in the general level of prices in rate of (%80.7). the general level response of the interest rate is (2.27) which means that the changes in the interest rate is (%100) leading to a change in the general level of price of percentage (%227.,) while the degree of response to the general rate of changes in the monetary supply is (1.080) which means that the change in the monetary supply is (%100) leading to changes in the general level of prices in percentage of (%108). That indicates the fact that the exchange rate has a role in effecting the general level of prices and the less important thing is that monetary supply influence the general level of prices which marks the weakness of the real sectors of the Iraqi economy. The most important recommendations are the Central Bank daily interference in the exchange rate for the purpose of maintaining the stability of the Iraqi dinar rate to confront the expectations of deflation. If the Central Bank does not interfere, then sever deviations will occur on the general level of prices and deflator pressures occur

كفاءة الانفاق الحكومي وفق معايير العدالة التوزيعية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2013 == The Efficiency of Government Spending According To The Distributive Justice Standards In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: علاء حسين سعيد الزيدي
اسم المشرف: حمدية شاكر مسلم الايدامي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تؤدي السياسة المالية دورا مهما في الاقتصاد القومي من خلال العمل على تخصيص واستخدام الموارد الاقتصادية وتوزيعها على مجمل الانشطة باختلاف انواعها والتاثير في حجم الطلب الكلي, وتمثل السياسة المالية ذراع الدولة المهم في تنفيذ سياستها الهادفة الى تحسين المست | Financial policy practices an important and big impact in the national economy through the Work on the allocation and use of total resources and distribut it on the the overall activities of different kinds and the effect in the size of the total demand and the Income policy of support and social expenditures, The financial policy represents the Important arm of the state In the implementation of its policy which is aimed to improve Standard of living and raise the level of social care.Achieving these goals depends directly on the effeciency of the financial management of the govermantal expenditure which representes one of the most important tools of the financial policies and the most influential in achieving goals Which should take into account social dimensions as well as economic dimensions, Market failures in providing public services and the private sector inability to provide it, made the state infront of main tasks to provide these services and And work to correct the imbalances and the advancement of their improvement in order to achieve the desired goals, thus the improvment of the living standards came through the elimination of unemployment and reduce its levels povrety reduction and reducing the number of poor by providing and improving projects and increase support towards the poorer classes Advancement of social care and increase the quantity and quality of inclusiveness for the disadvantaged and raise the level of education and the advancement of Its reality and raise its efficiency and work to develop it is the most important and the most prominent targets of government spending.The government seeks to achieve a high efficiency of government spending depends on the provision and the allocation and implementation of government programs optimally and efficiently to ensure the achievement of the efficiency of financial inputs and its technical outputs based on which the efficiency of government spending and the quest to achieve economic, social and political goals are judged.The government spending in Iraq and what it witnessed from changes and developments, especially after 2003, which it outweighed consumption expenditure at the expense of capital expenditure and the increasing support and diversity of its trends towards improving the living coditions for members of the society by seeking to achieve a fair distribution of income and improving the standards of living and reducing the poverty and unemployment and raise the level of education and the advancement of its reality did not achieved its goals in raising the standard of living, and achieving a high and advanced level to the distributive justice in Iraq, where it produced us a high levels and rates of unemployment, at all its levels and categories, as well as unproductive underemployment which dominates most of the state institutions which result in a high situations and levels of poverty and deprivation in a large segment of society so the incomes and the ration card and the social care as the most important mean of support directed towards the poor was not with high efficiency and importance to achieve its goals, it has seen a decline and a decrease in the levels of customization, implementation, and optimization of resources, To reflect negatively on education in achieving its objectives and the advancement of its low in terms reality as the government expenditures that directed toward this vital and important sector away from the desired level of ambition in making fundamental radical changes to improve its performance in terms of financial allocations and level of education desired.The researcher reached a major conclusion that requires the necessity of reconsidering allocations and raise the levels and restructured in the way that will ensure its orientation towards the main goals of achieving a high level of distributive justice and implementing and exploiting of expenses allocated optimally efficient and without any deviation from the planning and governmental programs established path, This is because the elements of allocation and implementation are two essential and important standards to achieve efficiency, because there is no point of allocation of funds without a good and efficient implementation, as well you can not achieve a good and efficient implementation of government programs and plans without the presence of an appropriate financial allocation that is sufficient to achieve the drawn goals and plans and that the state is seeking to achieve

تحليل موضوعية مؤشرات التنمية البشرية في ظل العوائد النفطية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2014 == Objective Analysis of Human Development Indicators In The Light of Oil Revenues In Iraq For The Period 2003 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: عقيل مكي كاظم
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان الاستثمار بالبشر عبر التنمية البشرية, لهو واحد من افضل واهم الاستثمارات نظرا لقابلية هذا المورد البشري على التجدد والتطور بمرور الزمن بالمقارنة مع نظيره المورد المادي الناضب بمرور الزمن, خصوصا اذا ما اتيحت لهذا للمورد البشري مستويات متقدمة على صعيد ا | That investing in human beings through human development, and one fun of the best and most important investments due to the ability of this human resource regeneration and development over time compared with his material supplier depleted over time, especially if they are given to the human resource advanced levels on the health front, education, level of living.. these three important elements which are indispensable for any people of the peoples of the world with him, they are the basics and requirements of the modern life of the States in search of better standard of living under the formed human development umbrella originally from these three elements, which was hoped for was promoted by the sense that guaranteed to be reflected actually not digitally on the ground reality in Iraq, which is in dire need of such development in the light of the challenges that have suffered and suffered since for quite some time, especially after 2003, after this year, Iraq has got the oil revenues growing annually on the grounds that revenues that finance the annual budgets overshadowed by oil revenues primarily, but despite this growing revenue, the actual impact on human development indicators have not Iike objective level when our analysis with a way that parallels the increase in financial returns, although digital increase is taking place at the level of indicators of the three aspects of human development, this increase the digital non - objective is far from reality, which suffers in most cases, many of the phenomena and the negative effects that disappeared behind this digital increase to the extent that is possible to be described when we have the a non - objectivity in comparison with the size of the growing annual revenue on the one hand and in comparison with Turkey states and the United Arab Emirates On the other hand

اهمية الرقابة على مشروعية العقود الحكومية في محافظة ميسان == The Importance of Control On Government Contracts Legality In Maissan Province

اسم المؤلف: عبد الزهره حسين نجم العطواني
اسم المشرف: فضيلة سلمان داوود
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد الرقابة على مشروعية العقود الحكومية احدى الوظائف التي تمارسها الادارة والتي ترتبط ارتباطا وثيق الصلة بالعملية الادارية وتعد في الوقت نفسه الاداة الفعالة لتحقيق الاهداف التي تسعى المؤسسات الحكومية لتحقيقها والمتمثلة في اشباع الحاجات العامة، كما ان نظ | Control system on government contracts is considered as one of the most important functions conducted by the management, which is tightly linked to supervising on the management processes in away helps the government corporate achieve its strategic objectives. Control system on the management processes is considered as well as a reflective mirror to the quality of the work done by the management.The control system on the government contracts points out any defected or legally breached actions which helps the management to modify it through uncovering the deviations happening away from the path of the corporate strategic or operational plans and sheds light on the causes and proposes solutions to deal with them. The control system helps in making sure that the financial actions match the valid authorities, regulations and instructions and ensures that the authorities granted to the management are not used negatively or unfairly. It makes sure are as well that that management is not overriding the individuals rights and freedoms because the main purpose of these authorities is helping the management conducts its tasks and functions smoothly. Based on the above, the researcher chose - through the practical side of the research sample - to study everything related to the government contracting activity administratively, technically and legally in order to : • Determine the supervisory role on the legality of the government contracts. • Identify control system's ability to cease the administrative and financial corruption phenomenon. • The direct impact of the control system in guiding the management decisions to be within the framework drawn to it by the law and the constitutionThe researcher relied on a set of reports and resources that helped him to a bunch of important conclusions and recommendations, such as : • The poor performance of the internal control devices of the government corporate may cause in a lot of financial mistakes. • The poor performance of the internal control devices of the government corporate may result in the emergence of corruption, which leads to a lack of accountability means which is related to the financial irregularities.• Inaccuracy in preparing projects' cost estimation which leads to the public money waste. • Accuracy should be considered as much as possible in order to achieve the targeted objectives. • The justice in distributing the financial allocations among the administrative units enhances trust in the control system devices.

كفاية السياسة المالية في تحمل العبء المالي الحكومي في العراق للمدة 2004 - 2014 مع اشارة لتجارب مختارة == Fiscal Policy Efficiency In Shouldering The Financial Burden of Government In Iraq For The Period 2004 - 2014 With A Reference To The Experience of States

اسم المؤلف: عامر عبد الله مجيد الشيخاني
اسم المشرف: عماد محمد علي عبد اللطيف العاني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تزايد الجدل حول الدور الذي تؤديه السياسة المالية ومدى كفايتها في تحمل العبء المالي والمعبر عنها بالنفقات الجارية التشغيلية التي تتحملها حكومات البلدان المختلفة من اجل تقديم الخدمات العامة للمجتمع مهما اختلفت السياسات الاقتصادية للحكومة، بعد ما تزايد حجم | There has been a heated controversy over the role the financial policy plays and how sufficient it is in affording the financial burden. This burden is known as the operational current expenses which the governments of various countries mainly afford, despite the discrepancy in the government’s economic policy. After the deterioration and deficit in the state budget in all countries nowadays, it was necessary to find an appropriate mechanism so as to achieve the interaction and appropriateness between the main instruments of the financial policy on the realistic level with regard to their economy.This research aims to analyses the relationship between the main instruments of theState policy to encounter the increasing financial burden on the government, where the developing countries’ economy in general and Iraq’s in particular suffers from the financial policy’s inefficacy and feebleness due to the fluctuation of these governments’ policies. In addition, there is a lack of credibility for these governments to achieve a noticeable improvement that could create economic stability; especially most of the decisions made regarding the financial policy tend to be under the influence of policy makers.The study concludes that Iraq has been partially able to afford its operational expenses in spite of the economic, political, social, and security challenges he faced. Further, there was no active financial policy and a clear vision for attempting to diversify the revenue resources to depend on instead of depending on oil as the main source for taking the financial burden. In addition, Iraq economy suffers from a structural imbalance that negatively affects its capacity to diversify the revenues resources, while the financial policy has a significant place among other policies because it can play the major role in achieving the various aims due to its tools. These tools are considered as the most important economic administration tools in achieving economic stability and overcoming the problems of structural imbalance and weak economic diversification. As well as, the inveterate paralysis whirlpool in which the Iraqi economy has fallen into at the beginning of 2104 as a consequence of the heavy expenses of war on terror, not to mention the sharp decline of oil prices. The study provides a number of recommendations in which the most significant entails the necessity on working on diversifying the revenue resources for the Iraqi economy and to avoid depending heavily on oil and its derivatives. Also, there is a necessity of activating the non - oil revenue resources and working on their durability. For this purpose, rationalizing expenses strategy should be in accordance with the requirements of the Iraqi economy

ضرورات التخطيط والتخطيط الستراتيجي للتحول الاقتصادي لبلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == The Necessity For Planning And The Strategic Planning For Economic Change In Some Chosen Countries (With Aspecial Reference To Iraq)

اسم المؤلف: زينة مؤيد محمود
اسم المشرف: عبد الجبار محمود فتاح العبيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: جاء البحث لمعالجة مشكلة اختلال الهيكل الاقتصادي المتسم بريعيته من خلال اعتماد التخطيط لتنويع مصادر الدخل القومي. لذا جاء البحث مستندا? ?لى اعتماد التخطيط كاسلوب لاحداث التحولات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية من خلال تشخيص المشكلات وتحديد الموارد والامكانات اللازم | The study is to handle the problem of distribution of economical structure that depend on the governmental income related to the natural resources through depending on variation the sources of natural income. So this study depends on the hypothesis of planning as a method to make social and economic changes through specifying the problems and identifying the resources and needed capabilities to overcome these problems.To test the hypothesis, this study includes showing the importance of planning to make changes in the previous union of sovite socialist republic (VSSR) and employing the capitalism to keep it?s continuance on, and then comparing.The experiments of the planning and strategy planning for developing countries like Egypt and Malaysia with Iraq to show the role of planning in make the economic and social changes and the achieved results of the experiments of these countries and comparing it with the experiments of Iraq.The study shows the importance of planning through a futuristic vision to define the distribution of economic changes of the Malaysian experiment.This study recommends the necessity of the government intervention through applying the strategic and making plans (at the ministries and institutional level ) in the direction of market mechanisms and beginning with specifying the economic and social activities to make the aimed changes economically and socially.

مستقبل الصناعة النفطية لدول الاوبك في ظل ظاهرة الاحتباس الحراري == The Future of The Oil Industry To OPEC Countries In Light of Global Warming

اسم المؤلف: زيد عبد الكريم محمود الزهيري
اسم المشرف: ايمان عبد خضير الغريباوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد ظاهرة الاحتباس الحراري من اهم الاحداث البيئية, التي لاقت اهتماما واسعا من قبل الدول الكبرى والمنظمات الدولية, لما لها من اثار اقتصادية وبيئية على كافة الدول, لذلك سعت الدول الكبرى وعلى راسها دول وكالة الطاقة, الى الوقوف بوجه هذه الظاهرة والحد منها وبا | The global warming of the most important environmental events, which received wide attention by the major countries and international organizations, because of their economic and environmental implications for all countries, so the major powers sought, led by the IEA countries, the emphasis of this phenomenon stand reduction and simultaneously used to achieve other economic and political goals at the expense of OPEC countries, as it took up the search and the international energy agency and its relationship to global warming, and how the impact of these policies on the oil industry for the OPEC countries, by influencing the investment of oil demand in the oil industry for the countries of OPEC policies, eating Search also the duplication of the international energy agency countries in their dealings with crudes OPEC and reduce their consumption, despite an increase in output of shale oil and sand as well as shale gas, which is more polluting than oil, as adopted by searching on the premise that the international energy agency policies will negatively affect the oil industry to states OPEC, and the results of the economic analysis, said the international energy agency's policies of imposing a carbon tax on oil, increasing trend towards alternative energy sources, negatively affected and will cause in the future at the request of crudes, OPEC, and then the impact on oil revenues, which in turn supports the oil industry in these countries , and then accept the alternative hypothesis and reject the null, either the results of benchmark analysis that took the United States a model to study during the period (1995 - 2014), she stated that the lack of long - term causal relationship between the demand for crudes OPEC and taxes carbon emissions of carbon there is no causal relationship in term short, too, as there are no long - term causal relationship between carbon taxes and demand for crudes, OPEC and the emission of carbon, in addition to the absence of a causal relationship in the short term between the model variables, but there are no long causal relationship term, emissions of carbon and demand for oil and tax carbon, as well as no causal relationship going from short - term oil demand and carbon taxes toward carbon emissions.

دور السياسة النقدية في جذب الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر لدول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى اقليم كوردستان العراق

اسم المؤلف: ريسان حاتم كاطع العفلوكي
اسم المشرف: ثريا عبد الرحيم علي الخزرجي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: حاولت الدراسة قياس وتحليل اثر مؤشرات السياسة النقدية على الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر لدول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى اقليم كوردستان العراق وقد استخدمت الدراسة اساليب التحليل الوصفي والكمي في البحث لاجل تحديد مدى اثر السياسة النقدية على الاستثمار الاجنبي المبا | AbstractWitness the current international environment major shifts and unprecedented, which is the result of the phenomena of globalization and economic reform as well as the information and communications revolution that has made the world a small village where all barriers have been removed in front the transfer of money, labor, goods and services, capital, and in this framework intensified international competition to attract foreign funds and companies' capital Multinational through the removal of barriers and obstacles that hinder their way and give them incentives and guarantees that facilitate the arrival and entry to the local market in view of the role played by foreign direct investment in the provision of savings (funding) needed to establish productive projects and the transfer of technology and contribute to the improvement of skills, experience and drive economic growth.From here come the great importance of foreign investment in the economy of any state and is seen as a form Lease alternative to the indebtedness of foreign loans and is seeking states promoted and stimulated a climate conducive to creating his all its components, and if the foreign investment flows is endemic by 70% in the major industrialized countries, that what with its attractive in all aspects of the investment climate, and this was the duty of all especially the developing countries than you want to catch up with the evolution and development that is working hard to bring this type of investment to the best of effort and means, to the important role of foreign investments in development projects Economic host countries if these countries are well done and the choice of projects to choose its foreign partners.Monetary policy is one of the investment climate and one of the most important determinants of FDI aspects and is done through indicators included exchange rates, interest rates, inflation, and the question that arises here is what is the way to make monetary policy tools as a catalyst to attract foreign direct investment and this is what we will try to answer it In this study.It is the exchange rate one of the key policy variables in the economic openness while affect macroeconomic variables such as trade, capital flows, foreign direct investment, inflation, global reserves, and GDP as well as financial transfers, while the longer inflation indicator of the stability of the domestic economy in the host countries, Changes in rates of inflation in the domestic or foreign countries expect a change in net returns as well as investment decisions idealism and then is expected to have a negative impact on foreign direct investment, and the interest rate, the rise in the mother country would make it attractive to foreign capital and will cause the rate of the exchange rate rise and this will lead to increasing the supply of foreign currency, on the other hand, if interest rates were high in other countries, investments will leave and it produces diminishing supply of foreign currency rates, which is heading the exchange rate to decline.China, Egypt, was one of the most important countries that have worked to restore economic structure and enact legislation giving attractive incentives to the flow of foreign investments as well as monetary and fiscal economic policies that contribute to achieving this purpose, taking into account the difference between the above - mentioned two countries in terms of the degree of advancement and development and economic growth.With regard to Iraq, and because of the important role of expected foreign direct investment in Iraq, part of this study care diagnosis climate Iraqi investment environment and reality and identify obstacles to actively carry out an investment actor in the Iraqi economy and work hard to create an environment and conditions appropriate Iraqi investment environment that can help to motivate and attract domestic savings or foreign investment through various mechanisms, including monetary policy in Iraq and Kurdistan Iraq Study experience an attractive environment for investment to some extent for foreign direct investment.The study concluded that both exchange rate and inflation play significant, positive and negative role on consecutive in attract foreign capital flows, but the interest rate was non - significant perhaps this is due to the institutions finances and Banking in Iraq generally undeveloped.Also, this study prove that are multifactor (Security, Economy, Political, Managemental and Society) negatively effect on the investment environment in Iraq making it a rejecter environment.Also, the study found that the amount of foreign direct investment is small which is only about, (5.7) billion dollars from (2006 till 2014), as well as, the distribution of investments varied amongst the various sectors or on the levels of the three governorates in Kurdistan province.

تحليل العلاقة بين تطور البنية المالية التحتية والاستثمارات الاجنبية نماذج مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == Analysis of The Relationship Between The Financial Infrastructure Development And Foreign Investments Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: رفل جميل عزيز
اسم المشرف: عمار حمد خلف
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: هدف البحث الى تحليل تاثير البنية المالية التحتية على تدفقات الاستثمارات الاجنبية في ثلاث دول هي العراق وماليزيا واندونيسيا خلال المدة 1990 - 2013. حيث تم قياس البنية المالية التحتية باستخدام مؤشرات مختلفة مثل البيئة المؤسسية، والبيئة التنظيمية والحصول على | This thesis aims to analysis the effect of financial infrastructure on the foreign investments inflows in three countries namely Iraq, Malaysia and Indonesia during the period 1990 - 2013. The financial infrastructure measured by using different indicators such as institutional environment, regulatory environment and access to finance. The thesis found that the development of financial infrastructure is varied among the selected countries. It was highly developed in Malaysia where it was less developed in both other countries. The applied econometric model (Granger Causality) proved the thesis’s hypothesis which stated that the sophisticated financial infrastructure directly and indirectly leads to more inflows of foreign investments for Iraq, Malaysia and Indonesia. The thesis divided into three chapters in order to achieve its objectives and tackle its problem as well as approve the hypothesis. The first chapter includes the theoretical and conceptual framework of both the foreign investment and financial infrastructure. The second chapter analyzed the role of financial infrastructure in attraction more of foreign investments in the three mentioned countries. The third chapter measured the causality nexus between the financial infrastructure and foreign investments. In addition, the thesis also listed the major conclusions and policy implications especially for Iraqi policy maker.

تاثير اختلال الميزان التجاري في النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2013) == The Impact of The Trade Imbalance On Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (2003 - 2013)S

اسم المؤلف: رافد قيس فرحان
اسم المشرف: وليد عبد المنعم عباس الدركزلي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: اهتمت الدراسة بالقاء الضوء على واقع التجارة السلعية غير النفطية، وزيادة درجة الانكشاف الاقتصادي على دول العالم الخارجي، اذ تسيطر على تجارة العراق الخارجية سلعة رئيسة وهي النفط، وبالتالي عدم قدرة العراق من التحكم بايراداته المالية نتيجة التذبذب وعدم الاس | The study cared is shedding light on the reality of the non - oil commodity trade, and increase of the degree of economic exposure on the external world states. Oil dominates the external trade of Iraq. Thus, Iraqi is incapable of controlling its revenues due to the instability of the world oil prices which effect negatively on the achieved economic revenues due to the continuous deficit of the non - oil commodity trade. We notice that during the period of study (1994 - 2003) the accumulated deficit will lead to the decrease of the capital accumulation, and thus, to the decrease of investment in all of the economic sectors associated with the oil revenues. Each decrease in the oil pirces would lead to a derease in the employments levels and the use of the available of productive sopurces on the domestic level. Consequently, that is relfetec in he achieving of high growth rates. The oil revenues dominate the greatest share of the total edxports of the country. The average of the period of study attained (%96.37). Hence the risk of depending on the oil revenues with the fluctuations on the economic relations. The exportation sector of Iraq suffers from internal and external obstacles like the backwardness of the production sectors which are incapable of meeting the domestic demands and the bad condition of the agricultural and service sectors. That opened the door for the importing of goods from the world. Consequently, that would lead to the paying of hard currency to cover the importations which include almost all the consumptive products. This makes the non - oil trade balance in a state of continues deficit until the economic sectors

قياس وتحليل دالة الطلب على النقود في العراق في الامد الطويل والقصير في اطار التكامل المشترك == Measuring And Analyzing The Demand Function For Money In Iraq For Long - Term And Short - Term Under The Co - Integration Framework

اسم المؤلف: خليل اسماعيل عزيز
اسم المشرف: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد الطلب على النقود احد طرفي التوازن النقدي الذي يشكل عرض النقود طرفه الاخر من المتغيرات النقدية الاساسية التي تم التركيز عليها في النظريات النقدية , وتكتسب دراسة وتحليل دالة الطلب على النقود اهمية خاصة سواء في الاقتصاديات المتقدمة ام النامية, وتساهم هذ | The demand for cash as one of the main variables in the cash theory is one of the two sides of money equilibrium which the supply for cash is the other side. The demand for cash model has special importance in the developed and developing countries equally. This dissertation aims to study and estimating the demand for cash and the effecting factors in Iraq for the period from 1990 - 2014. The cash for demand model was estimated by using (ARDL) and bound test to test the Cointegration and the long - run and short - run between the demand for cash in Iraq as a depended variable which is determined by bunch explanatory variables i.e. Gross Domestic Product in fixed prices(GDP), nominal interest rate, inflation rate and Iraqi Dinar rate of Exchange. The relationship among the variables was examined by Impulse Response Function (IRF) through which the internal variable shock impact will be measured in VAR model on the present and future values. The Johansen test results came out to confirm integrated direction relationship of one of the study variables whether using Trace Test or Maximum Eigenvalue test , as the estimated value was found to be greater than the critical value for both the cases at the significant level (p=0.007) for Trace Test and (p=0.018) for Maximum test, which indicates the long - run equilibrium relationship among the study variables and subsequently indicates integrated direction relationship between the real demand for money as a dependent variable and the other explanatory variables. The study is also confirms a short - run equilibrium among the study variables in direction of long - run equilibrium according to the error rectification model and the short - run relationship under ARDL model. The results of the long - run relationship between of the demand for money and its limitations came out to confirm the short - run relationship, and in other side the estimated value of ARDL test according to (SUSUMSQ) and (CUSUM) as it's within the critical area, therefore, the variables are stable for both the short - run and the long - run.

بدائل الطاقة وانعكاساتها على التنمية المستدامة في دول نفطية مختارة اشارة للعراق == Energy Alternatives And Impacts On Sustainable Development In Selected Oil Countries With Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: حيدر ظاهر محمد القره لوسي
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان تحقيق التنمية المستدامة في الدول النفطية واجهها العديد من التحديات الدولية والمحلية التي انعكست على هذه الدول في مسيرة التنمية, من جهة تواجه الدول النفطية صعود بدائل الطاقة التي قد تحد وتؤثر سلبا على عوائدها النفطية في المستقبل, ولاسيما مع زيادة الاهت | The achievement of sustainable development in the oil - producing countries faced many international and domestic challenges that are reflected on these countries in the development process, from the point of oil - producing countries facing the rise of energy which may limit the negative impact on oil revenues in the future, especially with the increased attention to environmental problems and the need to dismiss sources of alternatives pollution and that of the most important sources of fossil fuels, which will contribute to reducing the importance of depleted resource in the future, on the other hand, the oil - producing countries to get rid of dependence on non - renewable resources in the financing sources of income and finding sources of income more sustainable for the future, so that follow sustainable development in the oil - producing countries in the exploit their own resources to finance the sustainable economic development of all dimensions (economic, social and environmental) and achieve a sustainable balanced development of all dimensions and areas, which will ensure dismiss rely on depleted supplier and find a variety of sources of income and more sustainable Pat things to be achieved in these countries, as well as to save the generations rights next in natural resources, so the oil - producing countries, especially Iraq, the optimal strategy to exploit the depleted supplier that achieve the highest possible return first, and to achieve sustainable development of economic sectors all Secondly, the development of human resources and convenient output mode to suit the sustainable economic development requirements Third, to achieve the three goals above in oil - producing countries to achieve sustainable economic returns to enable them to get rid of the one - sided economy and diversify sources of income, such as well as ensuring the rights of future generations in the future.

اثر سعر الصرف الاجنبي على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1990ـ2015) == The Impact of Foreign Exchange Rate On Economic Growth In Iraq (1990 - 2015)

اسم المؤلف: حوراء عبد الزهرة جواد السلطاني
اسم المشرف: احمد خليل الحسيني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بابل
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: هدف البحث الى ايضاح الاثار الاقتصادية لتقلبات سعر الصرف الاجنبي امام الدينار العراقي في معدلات النمو الاقتصادي خلال المدة (1990 - 2015)، وتحديد اتجاه تلك الاثار وطبيعة تاثيرها على الاقتصاد العراقي، كما ان الاقتصاد العراقي شانه شان جميع البلدان النامية تع | The study aimed to clarify the economic effects of the Iraqi dinar exchange fluctuations in economic growth rates during the period price (1990 - 2015), and to determine the direction of these effects and the nature of their impact on the Iraqi economy. The Iraqi economy, like all developing countries exposed to many of the economic imbalances and even more sharply since the early nineties and until now, which led to the loss of the factors of economic stability, and then the absence of an enabling environment for economic growth, due to wars and blockades Iraq experieuced, the weakness of domestic resource mobilization, and the increased reliance on external financing, in addition to the external debt problem. However these are the wrong economic decisions which had an influential role in most of the distortions and crises the Iraqi economy suffers from. Thus the importance of the study lies in the role that could be played by the exchange rate in effect on economic growth rates in Iraq and the advancement to overcome the problems. The study starts from the premise that " The fluctuations of the Iraqi dinar exchange rate has a negative impact on economic growth variables and their impact more pronounced as compared to the stability of the exchange rate; a neutral effect". To achieve the objectives of the study, there are three chapters, the introduction and conclusion.Chapter One : the theoretical and conceptual framework of the exchange rate and economic growth.Chapter TWO : The indices measure the exchange rate trends and economic growth in Iraq.Chapter Three : Measuring the impact of exchange rate in the economic growth of the Iraqi economy. The current study used a form of analysis record (VAR) and through a standard program (E - views), that depending on the stability of the time series as preprocessing results indicate. all model variables as stable at the level of the moral level of 1% and the level of significance of 5%, and then tested joint integration, that proved the existence of a long - term equilibrium relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variable, then the estimate vector autoregressive (VAR) to the variables of the study.

التاثيرات المتبادلة بين السياستين النقدية والمالية وامكانية التنسيق بينهما لتحقيق الاستقرار في الاسعار : العراق حالة دراسية == Mutual Influences Between Monetary And Fiscal Policy And Possibility of Coordination Between Them To Achieve Stability In The Prices (Iraq Case Study)

اسم المؤلف: حسين خالد حسين الصميدعي
اسم المشرف: نهاد عبد الكريم احمد العبيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The research assumes that the lack of coordination in the economy between monetary and fiscal policy will make the general level of prices in an unstable state.The research aims to clarify the objectives of coordination between monetary and fiscal policy, particularly since there are reciprocal influences between them this as well as the implications of the lack of coordination, In addition to the damages that may result in the economy, especially in developing countries such as Iraq as a case study.In order to briefing the subject of research, it has been divided into three chapters. Cares the first chapter of the theoretical framework for both monetary and fiscal policy and the interaction between them, and the second chapter dealt coordination and mutual influences for both policies, The third chapter addresses the coordination between monetary and fiscal policy in Iraq, Finally came the conclusions and recommendations reached by the researcher.The research concluded that the stability in the general level of prices, which is currently in Iraq was continuing because daily interventions of the Central Bank through currency auction. In addition Iraq has suffered since 2004 from weakness in the coordination process and until 2014, where a clear program is not available or formal framework for coordination in Iraq. But because of lower oil prices, the start of coordination between the central bank and the government to plug the budget deficit.Research has recommended that it should be both authorities agree on a common goal to achieve specific objectives for both the two policies and selecting the optimal mix that achieves this goal. Increase the credibility and transparency of the two policies through the increase in the effectiveness of the Central Bureau of Statistics, as well as the announcement of all important economic indicators. Continued the modern economy that every action taken by fiscal authority has implications on the monetary policy operations, And vice versa. Especially since the monetary and fiscal authorities have different targets led to the appearance of a conflict in the application of monetary and fiscal policy which would disappoint policies to achieve their objectives. So the modern economy cares very attention for coordination issues between monetary and fiscal policy where the need to effective coordination requires a sustainable and credible policies. So the modern economy cares very attention for coordination issues between monetary and fiscal policy where the need to effective coordination requires a sustainable and credible policies. In addition to the presence of another condition you must be met in coordination called the institutional and legal arrangements for coordination.Iraq needs to coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities and institutional arrangements for this coordination more than other countries, especially after the modern trends pursued by the monetary and fiscal policy after 2003. Where both the two policies taken opposite directions, monetary policy has taken a deflationary policy but fiscal policy, it has taken an expansionary policy, which reduced the expansionary fiscal policy success rates and cost of monetary policy many financial costs. The importance of this research from the benefits to the economy of the coordination process, as it will make the two policies agree on common goals, which soften or eliminate current and future conflicts between the central bank and the government.In relation to the research problem is that the weakness in the coordination process creates a state of imbalance and economic instability, as both the two policies become incapable of achieving their objectives as required, in particular the stability in the general level of prices

العلاقة بين مكونات الطلب الكلي وتوزيع الدخل في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2014) == The Relationship Between The Aggregate Demandcomponents And Income Distribution In Iraq For The Period (1990 - 2014)

اسم المؤلف: حسن خلف راضي
اسم المشرف: فارس كريم بريهي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تهدف هذه الدراسة الى اختبار العلاقة بين مكونات الطلب الكلي،وتوزيع الدخل في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2014) باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية بالاسعار الجارية وبالصيغة اللوغاريتمية، وامكانية الاجابة عن الاسئلة، هل انعكس توزيع الدخل في النمو الاقتصادي على واقع ا | This study aimed at testing the relationship between the components of aggregate demand and income distribution in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2014) using time series data at current prices and as logarithmic. It also aimed to answer the following questions : was the income distribution reflected on the reality of the rentier Iraqi economy? Were the aggregate demand components able to achieve the fair distribution of the income in the Iraqi economy? And was the growth achieved first or the distribution and the response exchange between them when tracking the time and quantitative path of the study variables? for the purpose of proving the study hypothesis which states that the relationship between the aggregate demand components and the income distribution in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2014) is weak. In addition, the study aimed at testing the relationship between the components of aggregate demand and economic growth in Iraq. The study also measures and analyzes the relationship between the expenditure and the economic growth and Gini index to measure the inequality in the distribution of income according to a family survey of the year 2012. Determining the reality of the of the aggregate demand components and the distribution of the growth benefits and their effect on the inequality in the incomes distribution in the Iraqi economy which is described as a rentier economy. The distribution of delay model (ARDL) was used. All the variables of the study were shown to be stable at first difference or at the level of some variables. The long and short - term equilibrium relationship (co - integration) between variables and test the causality of these variables was tested. Tests showed that governmental spending has positive impact in the short term and negative impact through long - term in the model that measures the relationship between aggregate demand components and economic growth. The individual spending was found to have a positive impact on the average income of the individuals for the short term because increasing spending leads to an increase in the economic growth. Negative impact in the average spending was found over the long term for economic growth. The Gini index for measuring the disparity in income distribution had no significant impact in the long term on the growth in the provinces of Iraq. The remaining variables included in the study were found to have no effect in the short - term economic growth, where the parameters of these variables were low and has no impact on the growth. The study recommended the diversification of income sources in Iraq

معوقات التنمية الاقتصادية في العراق بعد عام 2003 بحث تحليلي مقارن في ضوء معطيات التجربة الماليزية == Impediments of Economic Development In Iraq After 2003, A Comparative Analysis of The Malaysian Experience

اسم المؤلف: حامد رحيم جناني
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان الاقتصاد يشكل حجر الاساس في بناء كيان الدولة، وعامل اساس في صناعة الاستقرار العام كونه يمثل بنية تحتية يساهم في صناعة القيم الاجتماعية السائدة وشكل الدولة السياسي،وبذات الوقت ان الاصلاح الاقتصادي وتحقيق التنمية هو نتيجة طبيعية للدولة المتماسكة الحديثة | Economy is the foundation stone of the state and an important factor in the stability of the state. It is an essential factor in the formation of the prevailing social values and the policy of the state At the same time, economic reform is the product of a cohesive modern state.That means that economy is a cause and an effect. Economy plays a major role in Iraq, which is suffering from a difficult and exceptional circumstances because of the lack of balance between the elements of economic development and its economy. The necessary condition to achieve development is the diagnosis of the obstacles that prevent the development and study of international experience in a country has achieved development. This requires a study of the concept of economic development and take advantage of intellectual development at the level of modernity. Then the Obstacles of the development are analyzed comprehensively. After that the ways to achieve the development of the Iraqi economy are showed because the Iraqi economy has important ingredients and opportunities that make it capable of achieving development. In order to achieve the above, we should follow the induction in Iraq and the elicitation to clarify the experience of Malaysia for achieving economic development The Malaysian circumstances before development were similar to the current Iraqi circumstances. Consensual democracy is the reason of the political struggles in Iraq as well as the reality of the situation explains there is an inverse relationship between oil's revenues and achieving development in Iraq because of the dominance of government on the economy and the emergence of Dutch disease The decision - makers' will and ability should be available at the level of development that coupled with the strategic economic planning

تحليل ازمة التخطيط في العراق في ظل التحول نحو اقتصاد السوق للمدة (2003 - 2013)م == Analysis of The Planning Crisis In Iraq Within The Transformation Toward Market Economy For The Period (2003 - 2013)

اسم المؤلف: بان خليل ابراهيم الموسوي
اسم المشرف: يحيى غني جاسم النجار
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يقدم هذا البحث عددا من التحليلات والشواهد النظرية والدلائل العلمية التي توضح مدى تاثير التغيرات والتحولات الاقتصادية العالمية على الاقتصاد العراقي الذي شهد التوجه نحوها منذ عام 2003م بعــــــد عقــــود من سيــــطرة الاقتصاد الموجه، مستعرضا ابرز مظاهر ال | This research presents many of theoretical analyzes and attestations, and scientific evidences showing the impact of global changes and economic transformations on the Iraqi economy, which is witnessing orientation towards it since 2003 after decades of domination - oriented economy, presenting the most prominent manifestations of economic transformation towards market economy (the advanced capitalist) of programs and policies strategy brought by global organizations of capitalism, which affected the planning trends and economic development objectives. We have been discussing many of the core issues such as advanced capitalism, market economy, liberalization and integration, privatization and direct foreign investment. In the midst of Iraq's transition towards market economy and to try to apply the trends mentioned above, the Iraqi economy bumped into crisis of tends applications. So it has become the achievement of development objectives necessarily requires a certain policies and procedures, which in turn requires the employment of means to achieve them within range of a specific time and through a scientific approach in the implementation of optimization in allocation of available resources, and this is what can not be automatically achieved. In other words, it is impossible to rely on the market mechanism in optimizing the best use of national resources, it has proven experiences of advanced capitalism itself that the market economy is unable to achieve the optimal allocation of resources without government intervention by means of formats and procedures include long - term economic plans. From this perspective highlights the role of meaningful economic planning as a scientific method is capable of running the economic development process safely, and that serve their goals in society as a whole service, along with the market economy form that makes their relationship become complementary, more precisely, to achieve coexistence between the private and public sector, with a greater role for the public sector. And within the activities of the public sector across the way planning levels is (preparation, implementation and follow - up implementation) many of the problems and obstacles that are crises appear, may be incurred and clarified a way that allows educate track and treatment to upgrade the Iraqi economy. Iraq remains important, like other developing countries is the (search for an economic system that takes advantages of the stylistic planning and the market mechanism, and excludes the negative impacts in line with global economic changes).

فاعلية سياسة التمويل الزراعي في تحفيز الاستثمار : المبادرة الزراعية في العراق عام 2008 انموذجا == The Effectiveness of Agricultural Financing Policy In Stimulating Investment (In 2008 Model Agricultural Initiative In Iraq)

اسم المؤلف: اياد كاظم عيدان البولاني
اسم المشرف: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد سياسة التمويل الزراعي احد اهم السياسات الزراعية والتي يتم من خلالها تحديد الاجراءات والقواعد الخاصة بالتمويل بعد ان تقوم الحكومة بتوفير رؤوس الاموال اللازمة لتحفيز الاستثمار والنهوض بالقطاع الزراعي وتنميته.نطلقت الدراسة من مشكلة مفادها (( ان عدم التز | The procedures and rules for funding after that the government will provide the necessary capital to stimulate investment and the promotion of the agricultural sector and development, centered research problem through the following (The lack of commitment to agricultural finance some of the bases for the right financing and rules Policy represented by (having hand specialist paint financing policy, the existence of a full credit plan depends accurate statistics for the agricultural sector, setting priorities and realistic targets, provide agricultural finance policy, one of the most important agricultural policies and by which to determine the guarantees...), as well as the lack of compatibility and coordination between them and the economic and agricultural policies It leads to weakening its effectiveness in stimulating agricultural investment and achieve its development goals. that seeks to achieve, has tested the hypothesis that there is a positive relationship between agricultural finance and stimulate investment, but conditional on the availability of rules and conditions for the proper funding the study, the study is aimed at several objectives the most important study of the effectiveness of the financing of the agricultural initiative launched by the Iraqi government, after which the policy in 2008 to stimulate agricultural investment, and that characterized previous funding policies as including not only agricultural loans, but they include the provision of additional funds in the budget to support infrastructure projects to the ministries of agriculture and water resources, and to support activities and projects chock agricultural sector through the Executive Office of the agricultural initiative, the descriptive approach to adopt in the theoretical side, and drop the study on the ground through the analysis and measurement of some economic indicators (local agricultural output, capital formation agricultural hard money, the total area under cultivation, production, productivity and space for crop strategic wheat), and some of the lending and finance indicators, where it was compared to the time that the agricultural initiative worked out a period of study (2008 - 2015) with the previous period of time (1995 - 2007), indicating the impact of disbursements on the agricultural sector on the economic indicators mentioned above. the researcher found to a number of the most important conclusions lack the initiative to plan credit when marque shares and clearly in the disparity in the size of loans and the number of beneficiaries from one province to another and from one year to another, and the funding of the initiative is directly dependent on the general budget, which is completely dependent on oil revenues affected and directly on the annual allocations which saw fluctuation and lower after falling oil prices after 2014, as the initiative has seen weakness in the follow - up and monitoring of loans and coincided with a deterioration of the security situation in some provinces, the study made several recommendations, the most important limitation of agricultural finance policy agricultural cooperative bank after the restructuring, and to link lending to savings, and the trend towards targeted loans that serve the agricultural sector, and activating the monitoring and follow - up of loans granted to a system that granted exclusively for those working in the agricultural sector who own agricultural land after confirmation of their qualifications, including their merit and credit reputations of literary and historical

تاثير التضخم المستهدف والناتج المحتمل في السياسة النقدية للعراق == Impact of Inflation And Potential Output In The Monetary Policy In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: اسراء عبد فرحان
اسم المشرف: محمود محمد محمود داغر
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تهتم السياسة النقدية اهتماما كبيرا بتحقيق الاستقرار النقدي، من خلال رسم السياسة المؤثرة والمسيطرة على كمية النقود، والهادفة الى تحقيق الاستقرار في المستوى العام للاسعار وتحقيق التشغيل عند المستوى المحتمل للناتج وتحقيق النمو الاقتصادي، وصولا الى ادنى فج | Recent years monetary policy more focused on monetary stability goal , through the drawing influencing policy and controlling the quantity of money and aimed at achieving stability in the general level of prices and achievement of operating when the potential level of output and economic growth, reach the lowest output gap as well as with cross - target cash economy minimization of inflation gap.This study deals with the relationship between inflation and economic growth and estimating product gap of the Iraqi economy duration (1990 - 2014).Iraq's economy is suffering from an approximately complete separation between the monetary sector and the real sector, because of the absence of control mechanism after transmission of monetary policy to the real economy through controlling inflation at its target with a nominal anchor of monetary policy.Monetary policy is working in the Iraqi economy in the absence of the actual use of this potential output in the case that has been estimated, as well as attempting to estimate gap (inflation and output) and analysis of their direction and their impact on monetary policy. The researcher attempt to measure the relationship between the two gap and the nominal anchor.For checking which nominal anchor more accurate we used a model of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Estimate ARDL and test the Bound test to test the joint integration and the relationship of long and short - term between the variables under study, as well as induced response to test the relationship between the variables that measure the impact of the trauma suffered by the internal variable in the VAR model on the current and future values of other internal variables in the model function analysis conclusions reached the ineffectiveness of interest rate anchor nominal monetary policy to target inflation and the output of the Iraqi economy during the period of study, as well as the effectiveness of the exchange rate in effect at the gap (inflation and output).

قياس وتحليل تاثير صدمات السياسة المالية على بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية في العراق للمدة 1990 - 2014 == Measure And Analyze The Impact of Fiscal Policy Shocks On Some Macroeconomic Variables In Iraq For The Period 1990 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: اسراء سعيد صالح العبيدي
اسم المشرف: محمد صالح سلمان الكبيسي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تؤثر الصدمات الاقتصادية الخارجية بشكل مباشر على المتغيرات المالية في الدول المصدرة للسلع الاساسية الاولية لاسيما الدول النفطية منها، ويرجع ذلك الى وجود ارتباط قوي بين الموازنة العامة والتجارة الخارجية في هذه الدول، فتستجيب السياسة المالية عبر ادواتها الان | External economic shocks directly affect the financial variables in developing countries, especially those related to oil, due to the existence of a strong correlation between the general budget and foreign trade in these countries, fiscal policy responds through public spending and public revenue is a concurrence or counter to the trend of economic shock, and reflected that response macroeconomic variables relevant in unexpected changes can be expressed in fiscal policy shocks.This study, in your hands I have focused on the measurement and analysis of the impact of shocks, fiscal policy on some macro - economic variables in Iraq, came to focus on this aspect of faith researcher believing absolutely that fiscal policy plays a key role in the national economy, In terms of its ability to allocate resources between economic sectors, or through its Impact on the use of resources, and therefore its impact on aggregate demand levels, moreover, its impact on incomes Through government - provided social grants and expenses which increase in frequency during the exposure to economic shocks, if the affected fiscal policy, both on the side of public expenditures and / or the public revenues to external economic shocks will be reflected in all economic sectors, so the study will try to build a standard model for measuring the impact of Fiscal policy shocks in Some of macroeconomic variables.

توجه البرنامج الحكومـي في العراق نحو القـطاع الصناعي الخاص في ظل التحديات الاقتصادية == Government Program And Its Orientation Towards The Private Industrial Sector In Iraq Under The Economics Challenges

اسم المؤلف: اثير ناطق محمد نجيب
اسم المشرف: فارس كريم بريهي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان عملية تطور الاقتصاد الصناعي كانت مرتبطة مع النظرية الاقتصادية في ظل نشوء الدول القومية, حيث تمت عملية التحول من الصناعة الحرفية البسيطة الى المشاغل التي يديرها الافراد ضمن القطاع العائلى ضمن اطار القطاع الخاص في اطار اقتصاد السوق, ولم تبرز اهمية الصناع | The creation and development of the industrial sector related with economic theory along ages, and the transition from the domestic industries toward the man factors came under the market economy frame work, and the rule of this sector became obvious for a long time till the industrial mercantilism which the merchants ruled and managed the industries along the production phases, then by the government in order to serve the nation interest sector. the private industry sector has the importance rule in the planning of the economic political within its development degree. The industry developed in the advanced countries under the activities of the private industry sector which raised under the patronage of the state till the recent time while its raised down in most of the devolvement countries under the sovereignty of the public sector.but late wakens became after the faller rule of the industrial public sector makes these countries tried to re framed its politics under the dependency of their debts which put them under the a critical position. Never the less, many countries experiment success other was scrambled, but in Iraq the importance of the private sector increased in the recent time after the contraction of the internal variables also the needs of these variables which represented by the cosmic tools which leads by the international institutions.thus its became vitally to re analyze to maximize the success opportunity under the recent challenges and to focus on the most threats which face this sector.

قياس اثر الانفاق العام في التشغيل للمدة (2003 - 2014) العراق : حالة دراسية == Measuring Impact of public expenditure on Employment in Iraq for the period (2003 - 2014).

اسم المؤلف: علي هادي حميد الدلفي
اسم المشرف: عبد الكريم عبد الله محمد المشهداني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد سياسة الانفاق العام ركنا اساسيا من اركان السياسة المالية, ذلك لما لها من اهمية في التاثير على الاقتصاد الكلي, لذلك تعد من ابرز الادوات الفاعلة التي تستعملها السياسة المالية في التاثير على الطلب الكلي فضلا عن انها تعد احد وسائل السياسة المالية التي تعتمدها الحكومة لتوليد فرص عمل, والحد من ظاهرة البطالة, ومن ثم تحفيز النمو للاقتصاد الكلي للبلد.ومن هذا المنطلق يهدف البحث الى بيان اثر الانفاق العام في التشغيل في العراق اثناء مدة البحث, ومن ثم قياس وتحليل الانفاق الجاري والانفاق الاستثماري في التشغيل في العراق, باستعمال الاساليب القياسية المتقدمة بالاعتماد على انموذج (ARDL), وعلى وفق البرنامج الاحصائي (Eviews9) المتطور, والتحقق من مدى فاعلية السياسة المالية التوسعية في توليد فرص عمل مضافة في الاقتصاد العراقي. ان دراستنا تفترق عن الدراسات السابقة كونها لجات الى بيان اثر الانفاق العام (الجاري والاستثماري) في التشغيل اثناء السنوات السابقة التي مرت على العراق للمدة (2003 - 2014) اي من حيث المدة والمكان, كما ان الباحث تطرق الى ابرز السياسات المولدة للتشغيل .وتوصل البحث الى ان المتغيرات ساكنة عند الفرق الاول, وذلك على وفق اختبار جذر الوحدة, مما يعني رفض فرضية العدم, بسبب عدم وجود اتجاه في تحليل البيانات, كما ان النموذج لا يعاني من مشكلة الارتباط الذاتي ومشكلة اختلاف التباين, كما ان البواقي موزعة توزيعا طبيعيا وان النموذج ساكن هيكليا, ووجود علاقة طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات, اذ ان الانفاق الجاري(LX2) اكثر تاثيرا في التشغيل في الاجل الطويل والتي بلغت (0.33%) عند تغيره((1%, بينما نجد ان الانفاق الاستثماري(LX3) عند تغيره ((1% يؤدي الى تغير التشغيل بمقدار (0.0011%) اي انه (الانفاق الاستثماري) لم يكن تاثير في التشغيل في الاجل الطويل, مما يعني وجود ضعف في العلاقة(المرونة) في هذا الانفاق الاستثماري, كما ان سببية كرانجر(Granger) اوضحت وجود علاقة سببية بين الانفاق (الجاري) وتشغيل القوة العاملة وباتجاه واحد. | Publie expenditure policy is a corneston of fisical policy because of it,s importance in influencing the macroeconomic, So it considers one of the most effective tools used by financial policy to Influence aggregate demand, and therefore regards as a means of fisical policy which is adopted py state to creat jobs and reducing unemployment and thus stimulate growth in the country. The aim of this paper is to Show the impact of the public expenditure on employmentin Iraq during the period undercosideration and there fore, measuring and analyzing the influerce of operational and Investment expenditure upon employment in Iraq py using ARDL model . In addition, the paper odentified the log ran relation ship between employment and operational pinvestment expenditure. The reseache shows that if we increase investment expenditure by 1% this will lead to in creas employment by 0.33%, ceteris paribus, while if we increase investment expenditure by 1%, this will Lead to decreate employment - by(0.0011%),Ceterisparibus. . This result means that there is a Leakage in this expenditure. The paoer, alos, reveal,s that there is a causal relation ship between operational investment and employment,According Granger - Causaility.

قياس العلاقة بين التغيرات السكانية وبعض مؤشراث النمو الاقتصادي العراق : دراسة حالة للمدة 1990 - 2013 == Measuring the relationship between demographic changes and some growth indicators the economy (Iraq case study)for the period(1990 - 2013)

اسم المؤلف: ايمان مظفر يوسف الشمري
اسم المشرف: احمد عبد الله سلمان الوائلي | باسم شليبة مسلم
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: واسط
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The study of the phenomena of demographic changes and economic growth are important both at international conferences level or at the level of academic research, especially at the present time after he became world population growth is increasing significantly, and the owner of the increase of the conditions may be in many cases conditions are unsatisfactory, particularly for developing countries, which taken it upon themselves to the issue of economic development high paces and exposed their development programs and plans to stumble at times and failures at other times, population growth may be a pressure factor to the implementation of its development programs and plans and related it to the availability of material and human resources available that invest to translate these development programs and plans into reality on land, population growth may be a positive variable in the deltoid relationship between population and economic growth when the material and human resources are available and in stocks is an investor has the ability to contribute effectively to the development plan and in all economic and social sectors, then it will increase the size of the population is a positive factor in the growth process economic. And it reflected the importance of research to clarify the relationship between the variables fall within the science and economics of population demographics and economic growth indicators, which gives a real expression of the different factors in the overall effect between each other on the relationship between population change and economic growth thread impression. The research problem suffer developing countries continues to increase in the rates of population growth and what is not commensurate with the growth rates of economic growth, which creates a real problem for those economies to provide the requirements of life and economic development of those countries, and this may make the demographic changes, particularly with the increasing growth rates with effect mixed between state and whether other offers or delays in those countries factor, so that the problem liesIIin how to direct demographic changes to give a positive impetus to economic growth, not negative. While stressful search is assumed that the demographic changes exert a driving force for economic growth toward the rise times, and Guo downward at other times, according to the type of offering economic system and degree, and how to deal with these demographic changes and demographics him. The research aims to measure the relationship between demographic changes on some of the indicators of economic growth using standard relations clarify the relationship and interdependence of values and how to deal with these demographic changes. In order to achieve the premise of research and achieve its objective researcher adopted the technique of using the analytical description of economic relations, according to data and indicators for the variables and the statement of the relationship between a digital manner record for achieving the goal of the research, and based on the Arabic and English sources and a range of research to complete the search, in addition to official data published by the Chambers and institutions with regional and international relationship. He concluded research show that the impact of demographic changes become more efficient and clearly, and in a positive way in the same production setups flexible advanced economies when it is in the developing countries with setups productivity is flexible, including Iraq, where the negative impact of population growth and the inability to be exploited in a positive way, because of the weakness preparation and training, efficiency, and it is compatible with the requirements of development, the numbers are good and interest in investing in human capital gives greater efficiency and impact on economic growth, especially with the economically active category. Standard study showed there were no significant relationship between population dynamics, with economic growth indicators the subject of study and different rates and in proportion to the theoretical analysis of this relationship but because of abnormal conditions of the Iraqi economy and the large number of variables in it and the instability has been the impact ofIIIdemographic variables is less than some places appeared that it was a The moral effect. It recommends Find more attention to research and development and the studies that are population estimates, and the statement of its impact on the overall economy, in order to determine a clear relationship between population and economic and political policy, and the development of programs and policies for coordinating away the negative effects of changes in the population and to activate the positive effects of it, and increased government spending on education health and tackling unemployment, and to provide safe conditions for the community to keep the birthrate and reduce mortality and reduce immigration to preserve the society and the exploitation of technical and scientific energies and available in which to make them the foundation element in achieving economic growth and development, as the investment in the human element is the basis for the process of progress and growth.

اثر الصدمات النقدية في الاستقرار الاقتصادي تجارب دول مختارة == The Impact of Monetary Shocks in the Economic Stability of the Experiences of Select Countries

اسم المؤلف: ايمان عبد الرحيم كاظم
اسم المشرف: هاشم مرزوك علي الشمري | مناضل عباس الجواري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: كربلاء
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد الصدمات النقدية مؤشرا مهما لتقييم اداء السياسة النقدية(monetary policy) في اي دولة فكلما قل تعرض الاقتصاد الوطني للدولة الى صدمات نقدية , كلما دل ذلك على وضوح الرؤى المستقبلية لصناع السياسة النقدية ودراسة ومعرفة حالة الاقتصاد , ويستطيع متخذو القرار النقدي التدخل من خلال التحكم بالعديد من المتغيرات النقدية وتحقيق الاستقرار النقدي , الا ان الاخفاق في الاستقرار النقدي يتسبب في حدوث الصدمات النقدية ومالذلك من اثارعلى الناتج والاسعار والاستخدام , وتشمل الصدمات النقدية على انواع عدة منها صدمات عرض نقد وصدمات الطلب على النقود وصدمات اسعار فائدة وصدمات اسعار صرف , وينعكس تاثير الصدمات النقدية في الاسواق فقد يقوم بعض المشاركين بتعديل ارصدتهم النقدية من خلال اسواق السلع والخدمات , في حين يعدل اخرون ارصدتهم من خـلال الاسـهم والسنـدات في سوق الاوراق المالية , ويتباين تاثير تلك الصدمات على الناتج والاسعار والاستخدام لكون هذه المتغيرات تتاثر بشكل غير متكافيء بالصدمة النقدية وحسب الوقت الذي تحدث فيه الصدمة النقدية من العام وكذلك عـلى مـدى استقلالية السياسة النقدية . وقد تعرضت الدراسة الى ابرز المشاكل النقدية في اقتصادات دول العينة ( اليابان , كوريا , العراق ) الاوهي الصدمات النقدية واثرها على الناتج المحلي الاجمالي وقد توصلت الدراسة الى ان صدمات عرض النقد وسعر الفائدة وسعر الصرف تحدث تقلبات في الناتج المحلي الاجمالي في اليابان , واما في كوريا , فقد اتضح ان صدمات سعر الصرف تحدث تقلبات في التضخم , وصدمات سعر الفائدة تحدث تقلبات في البطالة , وصدمات عرض النقد تحدث تقلبات في النمو الاقتصادي . بينما اتضح في العراق بان صدمات الطلب على النقود تحدث تقلبات في النمو الاقتصادي والناتج المحلي الاجمالي , وصدمات اسعار الفائدة تحدث تقلبات في النمو الاقتصادي | The monetary shocks is an important indicator of the quality of performance of monetary policy in any country, the smaller the exposure of the national economy of the state to shocks cash whenever indicates that the clarity of future visions for the makers of monetary policy and to study and know the state of the economy, and can decision - makers monetary intervention by many monetary variables and achieve control monetary stability, but the failure to monetary stability cause monetary shocks and therefore the effects on output and prices and use. It includes monetary shocks on several types of shocks, including shocks offer cash and demand shocks cash and interest and exchange rates of price shocks. This reflects the impact of monetary shocks on the market has some of the participants to amend the cash their funds through the markets of goods and services, while others amended their assets through stocks and bonds in the stock market. The contrasting impact of these shocks on output and prices and use of the fact that these variables are affected disproportionately by monetary shock and a time when the monetary shock from the public speaking as well as on the independence of monetary policy. The study came to the main monetary problems in the economies of the sample countries (Japan, Korea, Iraq) is a monetary shock and its impact on GDP The study concluded that shocks the money supply and interest rate and exchange rate occurring fluctuations in GDP in Japan. But in Korea, it was clear that the exchange rate shocks occur fluctuations in inflation, interest rate shocks occur fluctuations in unemployment, money supply shocks occur fluctuations in economic growth. While in Iraq turned out that the demand shocks occur Monetary fluctuations in economic and GDP growth, shocks and interest rates occur fluctuations in economic growth