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تاثير اختلال الميزان التجاري في النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2013) == The Impact of The Trade Imbalance On Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (2003 - 2013)S
Author name:
رافد قيس فرحان
Supervisor name:
وليد عبد المنعم عباس الدركزلي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T3637 - p.pdf
Abstract:
اهتمت الدراسة بالقاء الضوء على واقع التجارة السلعية غير النفطية، وزيادة درجة الانكشاف الاقتصادي على دول العالم الخارجي، اذ تسيطر على تجارة العراق الخارجية سلعة رئيسة وهي النفط، وبالتالي عدم قدرة العراق من التحكم بايراداته المالية نتيجة التذبذب وعدم الاس | The study cared is shedding light on the reality of the non - oil commodity trade, and increase of the degree of economic exposure on the external world states. Oil dominates the external trade of Iraq. Thus, Iraqi is incapable of controlling its revenues due to the instability of the world oil prices which effect negatively on the achieved economic revenues due to the continuous deficit of the non - oil commodity trade. We notice that during the period of study (1994 - 2003) the accumulated deficit will lead to the decrease of the capital accumulation, and thus, to the decrease of investment in all of the economic sectors associated with the oil revenues. Each decrease in the oil pirces would lead to a derease in the employments levels and the use of the available of productive sopurces on the domestic level. Consequently, that is relfetec in he achieving of high growth rates. The oil revenues dominate the greatest share of the total edxports of the country. The average of the period of study attained (%96.37). Hence the risk of depending on the oil revenues with the fluctuations on the economic relations. The exportation sector of Iraq suffers from internal and external obstacles like the backwardness of the production sectors which are incapable of meeting the domestic demands and the bad condition of the agricultural and service sectors. That opened the door for the importing of goods from the world. Consequently, that would lead to the paying of hard currency to cover the importations which include almost all the consumptive products. This makes the non - oil trade balance in a state of continues deficit until the economic sectors
