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قياس العلاقة بين التغيرات السكانية وبعض مؤشراث النمو الاقتصادي العراق : دراسة حالة للمدة 1990 - 2013 == Measuring the relationship between demographic changes and some growth indicators the economy (Iraq case study)for the period(1990 - 2013)
Author name:
ايمان مظفر يوسف الشمري
Supervisor name:
احمد عبد الله سلمان الوائلي | باسم شليبة مسلم
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Master
University:
Wasit University - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Economics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Wasit
First pages:
07T4772 - p.pdf
Abstract:
The study of the phenomena of demographic changes and economic growth are important both at international conferences level or at the level of academic research, especially at the present time after he became world population growth is increasing significantly, and the owner of the increase of the conditions may be in many cases conditions are unsatisfactory, particularly for developing countries, which taken it upon themselves to the issue of economic development high paces and exposed their development programs and plans to stumble at times and failures at other times, population growth may be a pressure factor to the implementation of its development programs and plans and related it to the availability of material and human resources available that invest to translate these development programs and plans into reality on land, population growth may be a positive variable in the deltoid relationship between population and economic growth when the material and human resources are available and in stocks is an investor has the ability to contribute effectively to the development plan and in all economic and social sectors, then it will increase the size of the population is a positive factor in the growth process economic. And it reflected the importance of research to clarify the relationship between the variables fall within the science and economics of population demographics and economic growth indicators, which gives a real expression of the different factors in the overall effect between each other on the relationship between population change and economic growth thread impression. The research problem suffer developing countries continues to increase in the rates of population growth and what is not commensurate with the growth rates of economic growth, which creates a real problem for those economies to provide the requirements of life and economic development of those countries, and this may make the demographic changes, particularly with the increasing growth rates with effect mixed between state and whether other offers or delays in those countries factor, so that the problem liesIIin how to direct demographic changes to give a positive impetus to economic growth, not negative. While stressful search is assumed that the demographic changes exert a driving force for economic growth toward the rise times, and Guo downward at other times, according to the type of offering economic system and degree, and how to deal with these demographic changes and demographics him. The research aims to measure the relationship between demographic changes on some of the indicators of economic growth using standard relations clarify the relationship and interdependence of values and how to deal with these demographic changes. In order to achieve the premise of research and achieve its objective researcher adopted the technique of using the analytical description of economic relations, according to data and indicators for the variables and the statement of the relationship between a digital manner record for achieving the goal of the research, and based on the Arabic and English sources and a range of research to complete the search, in addition to official data published by the Chambers and institutions with regional and international relationship. He concluded research show that the impact of demographic changes become more efficient and clearly, and in a positive way in the same production setups flexible advanced economies when it is in the developing countries with setups productivity is flexible, including Iraq, where the negative impact of population growth and the inability to be exploited in a positive way, because of the weakness preparation and training, efficiency, and it is compatible with the requirements of development, the numbers are good and interest in investing in human capital gives greater efficiency and impact on economic growth, especially with the economically active category. Standard study showed there were no significant relationship between population dynamics, with economic growth indicators the subject of study and different rates and in proportion to the theoretical analysis of this relationship but because of abnormal conditions of the Iraqi economy and the large number of variables in it and the instability has been the impact ofIIIdemographic variables is less than some places appeared that it was a The moral effect. It recommends Find more attention to research and development and the studies that are population estimates, and the statement of its impact on the overall economy, in order to determine a clear relationship between population and economic and political policy, and the development of programs and policies for coordinating away the negative effects of changes in the population and to activate the positive effects of it, and increased government spending on education health and tackling unemployment, and to provide safe conditions for the community to keep the birthrate and reduce mortality and reduce immigration to preserve the society and the exploitation of technical and scientific energies and available in which to make them the foundation element in achieving economic growth and development, as the investment in the human element is the basis for the process of progress and growth.
