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مقارنة بين اسلوب بيز وطريقة الامكان الاعظم لتقدير دالة المعولية للنظام المتسلسل والنظام المتوازي مع تطبيق عملي == A Comparison Between Bayes Approach And Maximum Likelihood Method To Estimate Reliability Function For Series System And Parallel System With Application

Author name: علي حميد يوسف السراي
Supervisor name: صباح هادي عبود الجاسم
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: نتيجة لتطور التقنية العالية والمنافسة الشديدة في القطاع الصناعي فان دراسة المعولية كانت الموضوع لدى الخبراء الاحصائيين بالاضافة الى مهندسو المعولية، لما لها من جانب كبير من الاهمية في حياتنا العملية، وحيث ان معرفة حالات عطل او فشل الانظمة شانه تقليل كلفة | In the theoretical part of this thesis, estimators of reliability function were derived for (series system) and estimators of reliability function for (Parallel system) as well as assumption that the life times of the components form every system is independent and is distributed into exponential distribution with different ` and independent parameters it can be shown as : First : Maximum Likelihood Estimator Second : Bayes Estimator By using squared error loss function and suggested loss function with taking into consideration finding common Prior probability function for random parameters according to researcher Jeffry also density Prior probability that is natural Conjugate that was not discussed in the references of the subject matter of the research. It is very important to refer that the derivation of Bayes estimators to reliability of parallel system were done by the researcher himself for the derivation could not be found in the references of the research which the researcher consulted for making comparison between the suitability of the estimations Monte Carlo stimulation style was used with two statistic measures (MSE) and(MAPE) for determination of the suitable estimator it is concluded that Best estimator by using suggested loss function and Prior density probability function natural Conjugate and so Best estimator using suggested loss function and non informative Prior probability Function.Finally in the practical part of the thesis the results of the theoretical part are wed to estimate reliability of Series System and parallel system in the AL - Kut Texture Factory which is belongs to the general company of texture industry is Wassit

توقعات الطلب المستقبلي للسياحة الدينية فـي محافظتي النجف الاشرف وكربلاء المقدسة == Expectations of Future Demand For Religious Tourism In The Provinces of Najaf And Karbla

Author name: علي حمد الله احمد
Supervisor name: محمد جاسم محمد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: من الواضح ان من اهم عمليات تطور الدول هي عملية التخطيط ووضع الخطط المستقبلية وهذا يتطلب اعتماد الاساليب الاحصائية المتقدمة , ومن اهم هذه الاساليب هي طرائق تحليل السلاسل الزمنية والتي تاخذ بالحسبان التغيرات الزمنية في دراسة الظواهر وعليه تم استعمال الانوا | It's acknowledged that planning and setting of foreseen & detailed plans are from the important operations to countries development which requires advanced statistical methods adoption. One of the important methods are the way of time series analysis which depends on time changes in studying phenomena. According to that different types of time series patterns & it`s analysis undertaken , recognizing the most important specifications in build up suitable patterns for studied phenomenon where basic phases adopted in building up patterns related to time series and beginning with identification ,setting of suitable pattern & studied phenomenon forecasting. The true data used for four types of Variables of a number of hotels, number of rooms, number of guests the Iraqis, the number of guests for each of the Iraqi province of Najaf and Karbala province respectively and take the data to time series form 1981 - 2010، was diagnosed using a model AR (1) in the prediction for the years 2011 - 2015

استعمال طريقتي انحدار الحرف والمركبات الرئيسية في تقدير معلمات انموذج اللوجستك في حالة وجود مشكلة التعدد الخطي مع تطبيق عملي == Use The Methods of Ridge Regression And Principle Components To Estimate The Parameters of Logistic Model Under Multicollinearity With Practical Application

Author name: علي حسين فلوح
Supervisor name: سهيل نجم عبود
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان اكثر الدراسات في انموذج انحدار اللوجستيك تاخذ طابعا اكثر تقدما في عملية التحليل الاحصائي الدقيق الذي يمكن من خلاله الحصول على مقدرات عالية الكفاءة.ان مشكلة التعدد الخطي يمكن ان تظهر في انموذج درجة الميل (Propensity Score Model) عند تقدير متوسط تاثير | More studies on the topic of logistics regression model takes a more advanced in the process of careful statistical analysis which aims to get estimators with a high level of efficiency.The problem of Multicollinearity can appear in the model of propensity scores (PS) when estimating the average treatment effects (ATEs). In this thesis, using the methods of logistic ridge regression, logistic principle components regression an alternative to the maximum likelihood estimates in the propensity scores model. The average treatment effects (ATEs) estimators adopted the method of inverse probability weighted (IPW). logistic ridge regression (LRR), principle components logistical regression (PCLR), and maximum likelihood (ML) used to estimate the propensity scores (PS), The logistics regression model and the variable (W_i) and the Bernoulli distribution in depended variables then probability (?_i) and then estimate the average treatment effects (ATEs), where the use of simulations (Monte Carlo) to generate tracking data model of logistic regression and Multicollinearity problem depending on various factors, from simple correlation coefficient values and sample size and the number of independent variables and the constant value plus the adoption of different designs of propensity score in simulation study, this is due to the fact that estimates the average treatment effects (ATEs) her strengths and different accounts. And we use Bias and the mean squares error (MSE) as criteria for comparing methods of estimation.The results that have been obtained using a simulation study indicates that the Bias and the mean square error (MSE) depend on the sample size and the degree of the correlation as well as the design propensity score model. I have observed that the estimation method of logistic ridge regression (LRR) and principle component logistic regression (PCLR) was the best of the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE).In addition to the simulation study, has been applied method of logistic ridge regression (depending on(2 - 16)) on the data of the fact disease, kidney failure, which was obtained from the (Al_Emamyn city hospital) for different models to estimate the propensity scores and then estimate average treatment effect (ATE).

تقويم فاعلية ادارة علاقات الزبون باستعمال بطاقة الدرجات الموزونة : مدخل استراتيجي : دراسة حالة في شركة زين (العراق) == Evaluation The Effectiveness of Crm Using The Balanced Scorecard A Strategic Approach A Case Study In Zain Company - Iraq

Author name: علي ثامر علي العبادي
Supervisor name: سناء عبد الرحيم سعيد العبادي
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تناولت هذه الدراسة عملية تصميم نموذج لتقويم فاعلية ادارة علاقات الزبون (CRM ) للشركة زين للاتصالات المتنقلة العاملة في العراق وباستعمال بطاقة الدرجات الموزونة (BSC) كاداة لتقويم استراتيجيه ادارة علاقات الزبون بوصفها استراتيجيه اعمال. حيث تم تغير المنظورات | this study dealt with the Process of Designing a Model For Evaluating the Effectiveness of Customer Relationship Management (CRM) to Zain Company of Mobile Communications in Iraq , and Balanced Scorecard (BSC) is Used as a Tool to Evaluate the Strategy of Customer Relations Management as a Business Strategy. The Traditional Systems of Balanced Scorecard is Changed into Four Systems Fit With Evaluating Customer Relationship Management That are (Customer Knowledge , Vale , Interaction and Satisfaction ), All of Them Form a New Card Created to Customer Relationship Management and Depend on the Opinions of a Number of Specialists in the Company to Determine the Relative Importance of the Four Dimensions of Customer Relationship Management Scorecard. Integrated Theoretical Framework is Presented to Customer Relationship Management and its Effectiveness and How the Balanced Scorecard is used in Evaluating the Effectiveness of Customer Relationship Management With Stating the Previous Models of Measuring the Effectiveness of Customer Relationship Management and How to Overcome Previous Models Failure in the Present Model. The Study Depends on Case Study Method to Study the Present Fact of Mobile Communications Sector to Zain Company as it is Regarded the Owner of a Highest Marketing Ration , and in Order to Determine its Effectiveness in Customer Relationship Management , a Radom Sample is Chosen Consists of (200) Company Customer , and a Questionnaire is Designed and Distributed to This Sample (200 Questionnaires are Received ). Accordingly , the Researcher has Analyzed the Data By Using Statistical Techniques and has Come into the Most Important Conclusions That are The Company has a Achieved a Good Effectiveness in its Customer Relationship Management Denoted of the Sample Answers, However, there is a Disorder in Achieving its Strategy Related to Customer.The Effectiveness of Customer Relationship Management is a Measure For Organization Success and Failure in Treating Well With its Customers and Area Developments, and the Importance of Getting into the Right Planning and Importation of Customer Relationship Management is a Sign For the Successful Organizations in the New Millennium. Balance Scorecard Represents an Integrated System to Evaluate Customer Relationship Management Effectiveness, it Consists of Financial and Infinancial Measurements Which Reflect the Results of Implementing the Activities and Processes of Customers Relationship Management and Linking them With Organization Mission and Strategy , By a number of Systems Determined According to Customer Relationship Management Objective and Mission. The Present Model Determines the Mains Success Factors to Customer Relationship Management Represented in (enhancing Customer Profitability and Loyalty , Achieving a Value For Business, Designing Effective Channels, and Constructing Data Base ), and they are Considered a Part of Customer Relationship Management Process. The Study has Come into Suggesting a Number of Recommendations, the Most Important of Them are Using the Suggestive Model to Evaluate the Effectiveness of Customer Relationship Management to the Company as it Involves a Number of Financial and Infinancial Measurement Contain a Number of Indices Contributing in Determining the Effectiveness According to Objective and Determining Results.The Application of Customer Relationship Management as the Highest Purpose of This Strategy is the Right Application and Tangable and Intangable Benefits Implementation, and the Previous Studies and Statistics Refer to a High Percentage of Failure to (CRM) Projects Because of the Wrong Vision.The Company Intention to Make Independent Managerial Unit For (CRM) , Determine its Long and Short Term Objectives and Plans Clearly to Reach these Purposes, and Achieve the Successful Application is Considered a Necessity For its Strategy.The Mobile Communication Services Sector Witness a Competition to Gain Customers and Keep the Current Customers , and That is Aim of (CRM). So, the Organizations Have to Depend on Customer Relationship Management Strategy as a Base to Get Into the Competitive Advantage Against the Current Competitors.

تقدير دوال الفشل للتوزيع الناتج من دمج توزيع بواسون ليندلي مع توزيعات اخرى == Estimating The Functions Failure Which Gains From Compound Poisson Lindley Distribution With Other Distributions

Author name: علي بندر نعيمة
Supervisor name: عماد حازم عبودي
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: In this thesis we studied to find the way for choosing the best distribution depending on initial distribution for the real sample size via deriving two new distributions such as (Fréchet distribution with Poisson Lindely and Rayleigh distribution with Poisson Lindely) and comparisons between them which is Poisson Lindely with another group of standard distributions by using some of standard measures. The real data recorded from the earthquake (1994 - 2014) in the Badraah city - Waste Governorate from the Iraqi Metrological and seismology. Furthermore, by using Easy fit software program to determine the primary distribution (represents the number of days occurs around a couple of two earthquakes have been done sequenced). Hence, the new distribution is Fréchet distribution which the most popular distribution represented the sample size of real data. On the other hand, two estimations were done the failure functions and reliability functions to find the best fitting distributions. Then the result shows that the failure function is increasing with time while, the reliability functions are decreasing with time. Consequently, after we obtain the best distributions we estimate the parameters of this new distribution (Fréchet Poisson Lindely) by using two methods DLS and MLS. Finally, the results indicate that DLS is the best rather than MLS to estimate these parameters via using Matlab software code which is written by researcher

اثر التحدي الاخلاقي للمحاسبة الابداعية في تحديد الدخل الخاضع للضريبة : دراسة تطبيقية في الهيئة العامة للضرائب في العراق == The Effect of Ethical Challenge For Creative Accounting In Determining Taxable Income Applied Study In The General Commission For Taxes In Iraq

Author name: علاء فريد عبد الاحد يوسف بطو
Supervisor name: ماهر موسى العبيدي
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Taxes become as an important financial tool which finance the state's Budget.Taxpayer should be comply in political Taxes process to lead the state to achieve economical , social , political , and financial goals. moreover Accountants and Auditors whose responsible for Taxpayer accounts should reflect the real financial position and profits & losses account when their preparation the financial statement for determining taxable income.Accounting as a system reflect the real company's transactions and the facts depend on the ethical science , so the accounting should be related to ethical science , far away from variance. But the appearance of creative Accounting in eightieth lead the concerneds take care for it's practicing specially those which not reflect the real image of Creative concept , because it's represents a big challenge to accounting through accountant practicing whose using their knowledge in accounting roles to bias in the financial statement to avoid or reduce the tax burden of companies.In order to solve the Creative Accounting problems the researcher determine eight hypotheses trying through it to limited the variables which can be limited those practicing , reaching to the financial statement which reflects the reality and justices of company activities to fixing the taxable income which reflect the level of compliance , consciousness , tax culture , and the ethical values of taxpayer. The study consists of five chapters , ending with the conclusions , and recommendations to come over this problem

نحو تعزيز دور التعليم المهني في العراق == Towards Strengthening The Role of Vocational Education In Iraq

Author name: علاء صباح كاظم
Supervisor name: محمد احمد حمد
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

مقارنة بعض طرائق تقدير المعلمات الهيكلية لمنظومة المعادلات الانية الخطية في القياس الاقتصادي مع تطبيق عملي == A Comparison of Some Methods of Estimating The Structural Parameters of The Linear Simultaneous Equations System In Econometrics With A Practical Application

Author name: علاء حسين صبري
Supervisor name: ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هذا البحث حاولنا تسليط الضوء على البعض من طرائق تقدير المعلمات الهيكلية لمنظومة معادلات انية مقترحة من الباحث والتي تخص العلاقة السببية بين الصادرات والنمو الاقتصادي في العراق، واستنادا على طبيعة البيانات وخصائص المقدرات تم استعمال معيار المفاضلة الحص | In this research we tried to shed light on some of the methods of estimating the structural parameters of simultaneous equations system proposed by the researcher, which was about the causal relationship between exports and economic growth in Iraq , Based on the nature of the data and characteristics of the estimators we used the robust MEDAE to compare between the methods used , which include methods used for the first time in the Arab countries and carried out the first time using real data (to the knowledge of the researcher) , which translated in Jackknife Instrumental Variables Estimation (JIVE) using an instrument that is independent of disturbances even in finite samples.Independence is achieved by using a `leave - one - out' jackknife - type fitted value in place of the usual first stage equation in 2SLS It seems that these methods gives useful alternatives when there is concern to the increase in the degree of over identify for the structural equation under consideration.As well as the researcher used the method of the LIML - LVR which had not previously also be used according to the real data (to the knowledge of the researcher) depending on the general formula K - CLASS

كفاءة الانفاق الحكومي وفق معايير العدالة التوزيعية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2013 == The Efficiency of Government Spending According To The Distributive Justice Standards In Iraq

Author name: علاء حسين سعيد الزيدي
Supervisor name: حمدية شاكر مسلم الايدامي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تؤدي السياسة المالية دورا مهما في الاقتصاد القومي من خلال العمل على تخصيص واستخدام الموارد الاقتصادية وتوزيعها على مجمل الانشطة باختلاف انواعها والتاثير في حجم الطلب الكلي, وتمثل السياسة المالية ذراع الدولة المهم في تنفيذ سياستها الهادفة الى تحسين المست | Financial policy practices an important and big impact in the national economy through the Work on the allocation and use of total resources and distribut it on the the overall activities of different kinds and the effect in the size of the total demand and the Income policy of support and social expenditures, The financial policy represents the Important arm of the state In the implementation of its policy which is aimed to improve Standard of living and raise the level of social care.Achieving these goals depends directly on the effeciency of the financial management of the govermantal expenditure which representes one of the most important tools of the financial policies and the most influential in achieving goals Which should take into account social dimensions as well as economic dimensions, Market failures in providing public services and the private sector inability to provide it, made the state infront of main tasks to provide these services and And work to correct the imbalances and the advancement of their improvement in order to achieve the desired goals, thus the improvment of the living standards came through the elimination of unemployment and reduce its levels povrety reduction and reducing the number of poor by providing and improving projects and increase support towards the poorer classes Advancement of social care and increase the quantity and quality of inclusiveness for the disadvantaged and raise the level of education and the advancement of Its reality and raise its efficiency and work to develop it is the most important and the most prominent targets of government spending.The government seeks to achieve a high efficiency of government spending depends on the provision and the allocation and implementation of government programs optimally and efficiently to ensure the achievement of the efficiency of financial inputs and its technical outputs based on which the efficiency of government spending and the quest to achieve economic, social and political goals are judged.The government spending in Iraq and what it witnessed from changes and developments, especially after 2003, which it outweighed consumption expenditure at the expense of capital expenditure and the increasing support and diversity of its trends towards improving the living coditions for members of the society by seeking to achieve a fair distribution of income and improving the standards of living and reducing the poverty and unemployment and raise the level of education and the advancement of its reality did not achieved its goals in raising the standard of living, and achieving a high and advanced level to the distributive justice in Iraq, where it produced us a high levels and rates of unemployment, at all its levels and categories, as well as unproductive underemployment which dominates most of the state institutions which result in a high situations and levels of poverty and deprivation in a large segment of society so the incomes and the ration card and the social care as the most important mean of support directed towards the poor was not with high efficiency and importance to achieve its goals, it has seen a decline and a decrease in the levels of customization, implementation, and optimization of resources, To reflect negatively on education in achieving its objectives and the advancement of its low in terms reality as the government expenditures that directed toward this vital and important sector away from the desired level of ambition in making fundamental radical changes to improve its performance in terms of financial allocations and level of education desired.The researcher reached a major conclusion that requires the necessity of reconsidering allocations and raise the levels and restructured in the way that will ensure its orientation towards the main goals of achieving a high level of distributive justice and implementing and exploiting of expenses allocated optimally efficient and without any deviation from the planning and governmental programs established path, This is because the elements of allocation and implementation are two essential and important standards to achieve efficiency, because there is no point of allocation of funds without a good and efficient implementation, as well you can not achieve a good and efficient implementation of government programs and plans without the presence of an appropriate financial allocation that is sufficient to achieve the drawn goals and plans and that the state is seeking to achieve

دراسة اسباب عزوف المواطنين من اجراء العمليات في المستشفيات الحكومية والتوجه الى القطاع الخاص == A Study On The Reluctance of Citizens To Conduct Operations In Governmental Hospitals And Conducting Them In The Private Sector

Author name: علاء حبيب عبد الرحمن
Supervisor name: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى دراسة اسباب عزوف المواطنين من اجراء العمليات جراحية في المستشفيات الحكومية والتوجه الى المستشفيات في القطاع الخاص ولغرض معرفة الاسباب وتشخيصها وتحليلها فقد تم اختيار عدد من المستشفيات الخاصة العاملة في بغداد وبجانبي الكرخ والرصافة وبالشكل ا | This research aims to study the reasons for the reluctance of citizens from having surgical operations in governmental hospitals and their desire to go to hospitals in the private sector. To know the causes and their analysis, a number of private hospitals operating in Baghdad in both Karkh and Rusafa has been selected as follows : • Rusafa : Jarrah Hospital, Hayat Al Rahibat Hospital, Mostanserya Hospital. Bunuk Hospital, Rahibat Hospital, Dijlah Hospital, Firdos Rahibat Hospital, Baghdad Hospital.• Karkh : Meserra Hospital, Dhergham Hospital, Kadhumya Hospital. Patients who had various surgeries were interviewed, and their views and opinions were taken via a checklist which has been prepared for this purpose. 65 patients were reached, statistical data were processed through calculation frequencies, means, and percentages to know the answers of the sample of patients about the reasons of their reluctance. A set of conclusions were reached, among which : The citizens felt weakness in the performance and responsiveness of staffs in governmental hospitals, the surgeons behavior in private hospitals was more appropriate, respectful, and humane than that in governmental hospitals, the private hospital staff can better handle the patients' emotions.

عوامل التمكين الاداري وتاثيرها في اداء المنظمات : بحث تحليلي لاراء عينة من الضباط العاملين في مديرية المرور العامة == Empowerment Managerial Factors And Its Impact On Performance of The Organizations A Analytic Research At The General Directorate of Traffic

Author name: علاء الدين برع جواد العامري
Supervisor name: ايثار عبد الهادي ال فيحان المعموري
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تضمن البحث التمكين الاداري كمتغير مستقل بابعاده الفرعية ( التدريب والتطوير , الحوافز ,المشاركة بالمعلومات, الثقة, التفويض) واداء المنظمة الخدمية كمتغير تابع بابعاده الفرعية تحسين كفاءة العمل , بناء المقدرات الجوهرية , التركيز على المستفيد من الخدمة , زياد | The research study about the empowerment as an independent variable, in which details include (training and improvement, incentives, information sharing, trust, and delegation), has also focused on the performance of the service organization as a dependent variable in all dimensions which include (improve work efficiency, building the core competencies, focus on the beneficiary of the service, increasing the feeling of satisfaction of the employees, and the organizational support commitment). The research has been based on the opinions of a chosen sample of 75 service officers of the Ministry of Interior who work at the General Directorate of Traffic. The research problem has been identified by the researcher through the field of commensalism with service officers at this directorate. The researcher found that the weak points in the performance of the General Directorate of Traffic came from the lack of knowledge of the empowerment and its relation to the directorate performance at the directorate administration. The research has tried to pursue the following goals : describe the dimensions of administration empowerment and the performance of the service organization as well as the contribution of the empowerment factors in the improvement of the service organization performance, and test the correlation between them in the directorate. The research has used the Descriptive Analytical Approach in order to achieve the goals above. In the practical part of the research survey, interviews and field commensalism has been conducted by the researcher while in the theoretical part previous studies and researches has been used as well as the Statistical Package for the Social Science program (SPSS) to test the correlation between the different research variables. The research found out from the test and analysis of the assumptions on which the study is based, show that The General Directorate of Traffic performance could improve significantly if it follows the recommendation that is suggested in this research.

الطرائق المعلمية واللامعلمية لاختبارات عدم تجانس التباين مع تطبيق عملي == Methods Parametric And Nonparametric Tests For Heterogeneity of Variance With Practical Application

Author name: علا هادي صادق الوائلي
Supervisor name: محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تم في هذه الرسالة دراسة بعض من طرائق اختبارات تجانس التباين المعلمية والاختبارات اللامعلمية والمقارنة فيما بينهم في ظل انتهاك واحد او اكثر من الافتراضات الاساسية لتحليل التباين اذ تم استعمال الطرائق المعلمية الخاصة باختبارات تجانس التباين مثل (اختباركوكرا | Been in this Search the study of some of the methods of the homogeneity of variance parametric tests and nonparametric tests as well as the comparison among them under one or more violation of the basic assumptions for analysing the variance, by using the methods of parametric tests which they especialist to the homogeneity of variance such as ( Cochran test , Hartley test, Bartlett test, Levene test, Fisher test) and by using the nonparametric tests which they were expected to be more reliable in the case of one or more violation that related to the special analysis of variance assumptions such as (Ansari - Bradly test, Mood test, Klotz test, test Seigel - Tukey) as the comparison was done among the tests above are based on the possibility of The type I error, as well as relying on standard power of the test. The comparison was made between the estimation methods parametric and nonparametric using simulations and by generating symmetric distributions such as the normal distribution and the uniform distribution and nonsymmetric distributions (twisted) such as the gama distribution. Has been reached in this search that Cochran test may superiority the rest of the tests parametric based on the type I error and power of the test was followed by tests (Hartley test, Bartlett test, Fisher test , Levene test), as for nonparametric tests the Ansari - Bradley test has superiority the rest of the nonparametric tests based on the type I error and power of the test then followed by standard tests (Mood test , Klotz test , seigel - Tukey test). The search also included a practical application of the data taken from the Medical College of Technology of the University of Baghdad for all stages and all sections to calculate body mass (bmi)

محددات الرشاقة الاستراتيجية وتكييفها في منظمات الاعمال : بحث ميداني في شركتي زين العراق واسياسيل للاتصالات المتنقلة == Strategic Agility Determinants And Adapted In Business Organizations / Zain And Asia Telecom As A Case Study

Author name: علا فاضل علوان الانباري
Supervisor name: سناء عبد الرحيم سعيد العبادي
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: انطلاقا من اسس ومفاهيم الرشاقة الاستراتيجية والتي وضعت لمعالجة العديد من مشكلات منظمات الاعمال بوصفها الاسلوب الاستراتيجي الذي يتلائم مع جميع المستويات التنظيمية والادارية داخل الهيكل التنظيمي، يمكن ان يكون ذلك من المسوغات لصياغة المشكلة الجوهرية للبحث | Based on the foundations and concepts of strategic agility and designed to address many of the business organizations problems as a strategic approach which fits with all organizational and administrative levels within the organizational structure, it could be that of justification for the formulation of the fundamental problem of research and centered to wonder about (the possibility of the application of strategic agility in Zain Iraq Asiacell and mobile communications operating in Iraq ? Also, the main objective of the research is to test the strategic agility based on the determinants interact with each other to form a conceptual framework for strategic agility, and these determinants are Clarity of vision, Selected Strategic Targets, Core capacities , Shared responsibility ,Taking action , Empowerment , Organic Structure , Planning Strategy , Organizational learning , Information technology , Human resourse management , Organized) ) In order to achieve the objectives of the research designed questionnaire consists of (86) items to collect preliminary information from individuals research sample, has been the questionnaire distributed to a random sample of (110) of managers and officialsof the people of both companies, it was received (99) questionnaire, and in light of this data was analyzed and the use of styles Statistical adopted Likert scale as well as the five - year standard deviations, and coefficients difference , The research found to a number of statistical results was the most important is having the consistency and harmony answers and within the standard answer ranged between high and very high as well as having some of the statistical results characterized by moderation, and this indicates that both companies enjoy the existence and application of determinants research, The most important conclusions derived from research is a possibility for the application of determinants strategic agility, meaning that both companies Zain Iraq, Asiacell enjoy the application of the principles of strategic agility, it can also Tahlan be called upon them (the graceful Organization), including enjoying its efficiency or response or speed or flexibility, and so agile Organization of attributes, Moreover, the most important of what is recommended by the search companies need attention projects and entrepreneurial development in the field of display products and services for their actions and work to improve their image from the perspective of their customers are different in order to get to the case of the strategic agility and the possibility of the application of determinants.

تاثير ابعاد نوعية حياة العمل في الاغتراب التنظيمي : بحث ميداني لعينة من كليات جامعة الانبار == The Effect of The Dimensions of The Quality of Working Life In The Organizational Alienation Search Field For A Sample of Colleges of The University of Anbar

Author name: علا باسم هاشم
Supervisor name: سهير عادل الجادر
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى معرفة وقياس تاثير نوعية حياة العمل في الاغتراب التنظيمي لدى عينة من تدريسي جامعة الانبار في مركز بغداد. اذ تشكل نوعية حياة العمل احد المصادر الرئيسية لتمكين المنظمات من التميز في ظل البيئة المضطربة، كما يعد الاغتراب التنظيمي احد الظواهر الت | The goal of this research is to know the quality of working life and its impact on the level of the organizational sense of alienation among a sample of teaching Anbar University in the center of Baghdad. Find and seek to achieve a number of cognitive and practical goals.Where the quality of work life constitutes one of the main sources to enable organizations of excellence in light of the volatile environment, as is one of alienation regulatory organizations avoid the phenomena that occur because of their negative effects on performance and thus achieve their goals. The most research problem in question the existence of the main deficiencies in the application of the concepts of organizational alienation and attention to the quality of work life and their role in the omission of the surveyed University To clarify the relationship between research key variables was drafted mainly by two assumptions branched (10) subset.Tool resolution has been adopted in data and information relating to research collection, it has been prepared based to a number of standards ready to use the runway (Likret) Quintet, was subjected to a test validity and reliability.And distributed to a sample of (75) teaching in Anbar, Baghdad University Center and data analysis research used statistical program Ready (SPSS) and program (EXCELL) One of the most used statistical tools in the analysis are : the percentage of recurrence, and the arithmetic mean and standard deviation, and coefficient of variation, and the coefficient Pearson correlation and simple linear regression.The study produced a number of conclusions Perhaps the most prominent of a correlation relationship between the dimensions of the quality of work life and organizational alienation, as it emerged that there are significant effect between the dimensions of the quality of work life and organizational alienation.And no statistically significant differences between the responses of the respondents about the impact of Aavadnoaah working life in the organizational alienation attributable personal and functional variables (gender, age, educational qualification, marital status, years of career service).In the framework of the discussion of research results made a number of recommendations including : 1 - The need to pay greater attention to improving the quality of working life and regarded as the key to creating the right conditions for the University surveyed.2 - . Application improve the quality of working life and make it the reality of working with organizations that suffer from low level of work programs.3 - comprehensive studies to identify the problems of the displaced universities and try to find appropriate solutions

تحليل موضوعية مؤشرات التنمية البشرية في ظل العوائد النفطية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2014 == Objective Analysis of Human Development Indicators In The Light of Oil Revenues In Iraq For The Period 2003 - 2014

Author name: عقيل مكي كاظم
Supervisor name: لورنس يحيى صالح
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان الاستثمار بالبشر عبر التنمية البشرية, لهو واحد من افضل واهم الاستثمارات نظرا لقابلية هذا المورد البشري على التجدد والتطور بمرور الزمن بالمقارنة مع نظيره المورد المادي الناضب بمرور الزمن, خصوصا اذا ما اتيحت لهذا للمورد البشري مستويات متقدمة على صعيد ا | That investing in human beings through human development, and one fun of the best and most important investments due to the ability of this human resource regeneration and development over time compared with his material supplier depleted over time, especially if they are given to the human resource advanced levels on the health front, education, level of living.. these three important elements which are indispensable for any people of the peoples of the world with him, they are the basics and requirements of the modern life of the States in search of better standard of living under the formed human development umbrella originally from these three elements, which was hoped for was promoted by the sense that guaranteed to be reflected actually not digitally on the ground reality in Iraq, which is in dire need of such development in the light of the challenges that have suffered and suffered since for quite some time, especially after 2003, after this year, Iraq has got the oil revenues growing annually on the grounds that revenues that finance the annual budgets overshadowed by oil revenues primarily, but despite this growing revenue, the actual impact on human development indicators have not Iike objective level when our analysis with a way that parallels the increase in financial returns, although digital increase is taking place at the level of indicators of the three aspects of human development, this increase the digital non - objective is far from reality, which suffers in most cases, many of the phenomena and the negative effects that disappeared behind this digital increase to the extent that is possible to be described when we have the a non - objectivity in comparison with the size of the growing annual revenue on the one hand and in comparison with Turkey states and the United Arab Emirates On the other hand

تحليل تصميم العبور بفترتين ودراسة التاثير المتبقي == The Analysis of The Two Period Cross - Over Design And Study of The Residual Effect

Author name: عقيل اكرم علي الزبيدي
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في تجارب العبور كل وحدة تجريبية تستقبل اثنين من المعالجات او اكثر خلال الزمن.في ابسط الحالات تستقبل اثنين في المعالجات الوحدة التجريبية تعطي اولا واحدة من المعالجات ثم (تعبر) لتستقبل المعالجة الثانية.تصميم العبور بفترتين كثيرا ما يستخدم في التجارب الطبية | In crossover trials each experimental unit receives two or more treatments through time ; in the simplest case of two treatments , the subject is first given one of the treatments and then crosses over to the other treatment.The tow - period cross - over design is rather often used in medical trials ,especially with chronic diseases or in drug experiments with volunteers.With this design the error variance is reduced by applying both treatments to the same subjects ;and to exclude time (period)effects ,one group of subjects receive the treatments in the sequence AB and the other group receives the treatments in the sequence BA The disadvantage of this design is that in the second period there may be a residual effect of the treatments given in the first period.When the assumption of normal distribution and homogenous of variances are hold the perfect procedure to analysis (TPCOD) is F test and t test but when the assumptions are not hold or the data are pure ordinal like scores , since sums or differences of such data or not reasonable, therefore, A nonparametric model for cross over design is best.We select three experiments to compare between the parametric and nonparametric procedures.we proposal a nonparametric procedure to estimate and test the (TPCOD) that is adopt the nonparametric procedure against the parametric in the case of violation of assumptions

البنك المركزي والاقتراض الحكومي

Author name: عفراء هادي سعيد
Supervisor name: عوض فاضل اسماعيل الدليمي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The common thoughts among the economists until the 1970’s decade, were that the financial policy had important expanding influences on the real total product development, and according to this opinion, the increase in the size of government agreement could participate in increasing the rate of economic growth, and a complained with the thoughts on increase in requesting the government to interfere in the economic activities to face the negative traces (results) which were by the monetary and financial which also threatened the international economy, in spite of the negative wan traces. With the expansion of the governmental interference , the growth of its need for the financial resources to cover it’s increasing growth expenditures facing the lack in it’s normal financial resources , which resulted in a continuos lack in the general budget , which also motivated the countries to search for ways that could participate in enhancing this lack.In order to assure obtaining these resources locally , the countries went towards expanding it’s law and administrative relation ships with the central banks in order to influence on tasks of these banks in a way that could facilitate it’s obtaining for credits and depts and facing the governmental lack first and constituting the central banks in the countries that miss these banks secondly.But , this interference by the government in the economic activity did not stop the down rise in the economic situation , cause the negative results were reflected on the national economy through an increase in the monetary establishment and the upraise in the cash flow size , these results were expanding just on the value of the general governmental dept in one hand , and on the nature of the relation between the government and the central bank in the other hand , which caused an uprisal in the aims resisting it , and that was also just in time with the developments witnessed by the economical thinking attempting to bring back the classical libralic thoughts which went through the world in the two centuries the 18th and 19th , and after noticing the government interference to stop and limit the expansion of the economic disasters , this interference was under great disappointment from the new classic libralic thinkers.Thus , the economical developments witnessed by the advanced countries were associated with the emerge of the globalization phenomena and the regression of the government economic role , and the limiting the negative results for the governmental dept and to demand the avoidance for the central banks from the government influence and it’s effects on determining the monetary policy , these changes were accompanied by determining functions at the central bank in order to minimize the inflation.These developments anticipated in limiting the governmental volume because of the law constrains which were included in the law of central bank and to limit and stop the negative results and effects resulting from the governmental dept process from these banks, specially in the industrials advanced countries Study assumption The central bank has a role in supplying and financing the government, but the increased depending on this source and what comes with it of bad results , like increase in the inflation rates and affecting negatively on the monetary policy, that explained the attempt especially in the advanced industrial countries, to independence from the government influence in order to minimize the negative results. The study goal1. Determining the central bank’s links and it’s relation with the government and the nature of the logical relation with the government. 2. Determining the financial relation between the central bank and the government ,and determining the explaining factors for having the government willing to obtain the credit from it.3. Studying the effectiveness of central bank independence in determining and limit the inflation and financing the government in the industrial and growing countries.The Study (Progress) In order to reach the study goals , the research was divided to three chapters, each one of them contains several metho - dolagies and theories. in addition to the confusion and recommendations as follows : The first chapter was concerned with the initial establishment of the central banks and its relation with the government through four searches, the first was specialized in studding the historical development for the birth of central banks , while the second search was with what were the central banks and the development it witnessed , while the third search handled the central banks tasks and it’s great relation with the monetary and financial inventories for the government , finally , the fourth search was concerned with the logical nature of the central banks relation with the government. The second chapter came with the address of the financial relation between the central bank and the government, and it was covered through five searches, the first handled defining the general dept and it’s laws, and the second focused on the establishment of internal general dept, while the third factors came with an address of the explaining factors for having the government lend the loons from the central bank. The third chapter was concerned with the central bank independence and it’s reflections on the government dept. And that was through three searches , the first was defining the central bank independence , the second focused on the effect of the relation between the central banks and the government historically ,the third specialized in studying the economic reflections for the central bank dependency. Finally the study was sent with set of conclusions and recommendations were related with the search assumption and nature of the central bank’s independence in a general way

حل مشكلة النقل في ظل قيود ميزانية الشركة مع تطبيق عملي == To Solve The Transportation Problem In Light of The Company'S Budget Restrictions With Practical Application

Author name: عفراء عباس حمادة
Supervisor name: سميرة خليل ابراهيم
Specific topic: Operations Research
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعتبر مشكلة النقل احد الاساليب الرياضية المهمة التي تساهم في عملية اتخاذ القرار المناسب في نقل السلع من مصدر انتاجها او تجهيزها الى مراكز طلبها المتعددة باقل التكاليف الممكنة, وضمن حدود العرض والطلب في كافة المنشات الصناعية, الاقتصادية والانتاجية. وفي ه | The problem of transportation is one of the important sports methods that contribute to the decision - making process in the transfer of goods from the source of production or processing to the centers of multiple demand at the lowest possible costs, and within the supply and demand in all industrial, economic and productivity. In this thesis, a model was presented for the problem of unbalanced transportation within budget constraints and demand for specific periods with a lower limit and an upper limit. This model was solved using the Interval point method to find the optimal solution to the problem of transportation with budgetary constraints. Which contributed to the selection of suitable solution for administrative and economic decision makers according to their potential and financial availability, as well as the use of the zero - point method to solve the linear model of the problem of transportation proved to be efficient and easy to apply. The simplex programming method was used to solve the transportation problem For. This method has proven to transportation larger volumes and lower transportation costs for Lower and Upper demand but exceeded the budget allocated by the company to transportation the product. The total transportation cost of the black oil (fuel oil) in the way of the Interval point method to the lower limit (187700000) and the cost of the upper limit (247600000) and did not exceed the budget allocated for transportation from the company (225500000), but reduced the cost of transportation to (22557808) (9,705.47) tons. The general linear programming method (Simplex) was the lower limit cost (180280000) and the cost of the upper limit (240000000) and the total cost of transportation was (233097.76) exceeded the budget allocated for transport by the company by (7597.76) and quantities transferred (10004.09) tons.

دراسة احصائية عن العوامل المؤثرة على التضخم في العراق == A Statistical Study On The Factors Affecting Inflation In Iraq

Author name: عطا كريم محمود العامري
Supervisor name: محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان هذا البحث يهدف الى اظهار اهم العوامل والمتغيرات المؤثرة على التضخم في العراق من خلال دراسة عدد من المتغيرات وتحليلها احصائيا باستعمال اسلوبين من التحليل حيث تم استعمال اسلوب التحليل العاملي من خلال استعمال (15) متغير اذ يعتبر هذا الاسلوب من اساليب الت | This research aims to show the most important factors and variables affecting inflation in Iraq through the study of a number of variables and analyzed statistically using the two methods of analysis where the use of the style factor analysis through the use of (15) variable, as is the technique of analysis methods of modern, in addition to using multiple regression approach for the purpose of formulating a model statistically appropriate to predict inflation rates and determine the most important variables affecting it. As it ensures Find four seasons, has included the first chapter the research methodology and previous studies, while the second chapter included the theoretical side of research and was Bembgesan, Section I T_khassalganb theoretical your style factor analysis and its importance and methods of factor analysis with a focus on how the major components, while the second section has included the theoretical regression to the style of its details. It included the third quarter the practical side was Bembgesan, specialty section first application of the style factor analysis and analysis of the structure of the links, either second section has included the use of style gradient to reach the best model regression expresses the relationship between the most important variables illustrations (Independent) and variable adopted, which represents inflation, in addition to the possibility of the use of the model in futureforecasts. .The fourth quarter has included the most important conclusions that have been reached, as well as ensure that the recommendations. Has been the most important conclusions that the average daily exports of crude oil is the most influential on the rates of inflation and this is what led to be one of the important recommendations in the research is to increase exports of crude oil at the present time for the purpose of reducing inflation as the inverse relationship between inflation and average daily crude oil exports, in addition to that it was important recommendations is the diversity of sources of revenue without relying on crude oil imports note that it requires a long period of time.

تطوير العلاقة الستراتيجية بين الجهات المختصة في مكافحة الفساد

Author name: عصام صادق عبود
Supervisor name: سناء عبد الرحيم سعيد العبادي
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اتجهت العديد من الدول في العالم العصري الى بناء وانشاء اجهزة متخصصة في مكافحة الفساد الى جانب دورها الذي لا يقل اهمية وهو تنفيذ حملات توعية عامة ليتمكن من تثقيف المجتمع ويجنبه الوقوع في الفساد وكذلك في الابلاغ عن الفاسدين الذين يسعون دائما الى تطوير امكان

تطوير المنتج على وفق منهجيتي الهندسة المتزامنة والحيود السداسية المرنة : بحث تطبيقي في الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية == Product Development According To Methodology Concurrent Engineering And Lean Six Sigma : Applied Research In General Company For Electrical Industries

Author name: عزام عبد الوهاب عبد الكريم الصباغ
Supervisor name: غسان قاسم داود سلمان اللامي
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The product is one of the challenges faced by companies developing, With growing competition has become the introduction of new products and the ability to develop and increase the quality consistently a major reason for the success of companies and this is what drives these companies to develop and employ different methodologies and software in one or more aspects of the development and design of the product and the process and these methodologies : Concurrent engineering , Six Sigma ,and Lean System.Despite the widespread use of these methodologies in the design and development in the industrial and service companies, it has noted researcher and through review of the literature as focused on product development using one or two of those methodologies found no study or research dealt with the subject of product development according to methodology concurrent engineering and Lean Six Sigma (Integration methodology diffraction Six Sigma and Lean system), and from this standpoint, the problem of the study identified as the following : What reflection of product development according to the integration methodology concurrent engineering and Lean Six Sigma to increase access to the market faster, reduce development costs, reduce the standard damage ratios, reduce defects. This research represents a cognitive process and attempts to activate and apply the proposed approach to product development and the integration of concurrent engineering tools (design for manufacturing, design for assembly and design for excellence) with Lean Six Sigma and applicability of the proposed framework in the Iraqi business environment.This research was conducted at the General Company for Electrical Industries adopted a product (Water cooling device Salsabil three taps) as a sample to search. Especially since the company surveyed suffer from the reluctance of customers to buy the product sample. Researcher adopted the design cycle (define, measure, analyze, design and verify) as a methodology for the collection of concurrent engineering tools and Lean Six Sigma in the development and design of the product and used so multiple techniques (Pareto chart, scheme of cause and effect and the dissemination of job quality) in addition to the use of statistical methods and percentages.The research found a set of conclusions, including the existence of significant differences in time develop process and the time of arrival of the product developer to the market, the process that the use of concurrent engineering is where the Lean Six Sigma, the process, which do not use those methodologies, as recommended research into the the use of the design cycle (DMADV ) in product development because it provides a roadmap to get to the best development and design.

تحديد المزيج الانتاجي الامثل في شركة واسط العامة للصناعات النسيجية باستخدام اسلوب البرمجة الخطية == Determination of The Optimal Product - MIX In General Wasit Company For Textile Industries By Using The Method of Linear Programming

Author name: عرفان جليل كريم الشمري
Supervisor name: صلاح مهدي عباس البيرماني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The importance of planning increased in general and production planning in particular and its role maximized over years, being the basic pillar that are depended in planning the branch activities concerned, and a method for organizing economic in different countries and it has its basic rules and methods the matter that motivates us to study it in details.The men who are responsible for production planning face the problem of choice between the number of available possibilities and all these problems are solved according to the personal approbation and practical experience, but when the choice problems become complex, it becomes difficult to depend on experience and experiment only to reach to the right choice ( the ideal ) and then the new mathematical methods mush be used to solve these problems.Accordingly, the idea of focus on linear programming is originated which became one of the methods that are most used in the field of different establishments production planning by showing the effectiveness and efficiency of this method in expressing the production plans with quantitative method, and if me look deeply and in auditing way to the different production processes if me find that it is possible in many situation, to get certain product in many technical methods by using varied production methods, that in the industrial applications, there are a large number of industries that allowing to substitute certain types of items with others.the deep analysis of production methods shows that the production methods that use the same methods cannot be of one or similar characteristic or descriptions but They one Different from each other in one characteristic or other, and thus, the research find that in spite the first and quick view of production process may lean an impression that for each product a defined method for its production or it requires the using of certain resources, but the fact that there are a large number of solutions that are possible for each production question beginning from choosing the items that are necessary for production and ending with the method of products transforming and distributing, and practically, the persons who are responsible for production planning in the establishment face different production problems that require the ideal and suitable solution within the group of possible solution that the best possible solution when the production resources are limited is the solution that secures the larger possible result from exploiting these resources.The process of finding the ideal solution is very complex, as the quantity of possible solutions is very cage, the matter which makes the process of choosing the ideal solution among them by comparisons need along time and a big effort and then the work becomes impossible practically and here the vole of mathematical programming came which provide the men who are responsible on production planning in the establishment with mathematical method, especially the method of linear programming which allows the finding of ideal solution for production and economic questions without the resourcing to the studying of all possible solutions and their comparison.

تقييم نشاط العلاقات العامة في المجالس المحلية : دراسة ميدانية في مجلس محافظة بغداد == Assess The Activity of Public Relations In Local Councils A Field Study In The Baghdad Provincial Council

Author name: عذراء كامل ولي
Supervisor name: علي حسون فندي الطائي
Specific topic: Local Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: عرضت هذه الدراسة (( تقييم نشاط العلاقات العامة في المجالس المحلية )) وظيفة حيوية وظاهرة ادارية معاصرة وهي العلاقات العامة، والتي لها دور كبير في تحسين الخدمات المقدمة للجمهور المحلي، واعتمدت على المنهج الاستطلاعي والبيانات المالية في مجلس محافظة بغداد و| Offered this study ((assess the activity of public relations in local councils)) function vital administrative and the phenomenon of contemporary, a public relations, which have a significant role in improving the services provided to local audiences, and adopted the curriculum exploratory financial statements in the Baghdad provincial council and the most important administrative decisions in the field of activity public relations for the years 2012, 2013.2014, because of the importance in creating an atmosphere of communication between senior management and internal audience (employees) and external (the beneficiaries of its services within the geographical area), where there are weak and limited in public relations activities in the local councils and Activity public relations at the Baghdad Provincial Council as a study environment need to be evaluated and audited because of the importance in creating an atmosphere of communication and contact between the administration and the public, and derive the importance of research through the role played by the local councils in Iraq in general and Baghdad Provincial Council, in particular, because of its of the life of the community impact in addition to the importance of the study by providing scientific breakthrough for senior management in Baghdad Provincial Council, the problems of the management of public relations and the prospects for development.The research has come to a set of recommendations including : 1. There are no specialized department takes on the responsibility for the basic functions of public relations and the preparation of plans and its impact negatively on the ongoing efforts of the Council in this area.2. There are no pre - action plans prepared by the Division of Public Relations take upon themselves the responsibility to identify aspects of the work towards achieving the objectives of this vital and important activity in the Baghdad Provincial Council in the light of available resources.3. financial allocations granted to the public relations work in the Council's budget distributed is not commensurate with what the Council of the vital role of multiple activities, one of the difficulties facing the work of the Committee on Relations and Media in the Council.Was reached a set of recommendations including the establishment of the Department of Public Relations Specialist actively takes upon himself all the administrative, scientific and information functions and the allocation of the necessary funds consists of people covering all public relations activities have been integrated organizational structure proposal to him

استعمال بعض نماذج السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بمحصول الرز في بعض مناطق الوسط والجنوب في العراق == Use Some Time - Series Models To Predict Rice Production In Some Middle And South Areas In Iraq For The Period (1969 - 2014

Author name: عدويه حسن يوسف الطائي
Supervisor name: غفران اسماعيل كمال
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هذا البحث تم ايجاد الانموذج الافضل لانتاجية محصول الرز للمحافظات ( ذي قار - النجف - القادسية - المثنى - ميسان ) خلال المدة ( 1969 - 2014 ) باستعمال نماذج بوكس جنكنز(Box - Jenkins) ومن ثم التنبؤ بانتاجية الرز, حيث تم فحص وتشخيص بيانات السلسلة الزمنية من | The research aims to find the best model the agricultural production of crop for some Iraqi governorates ( Najaf - Qadisiya - Maysan - DhiQar - Muthanna ) during the period ( 1969 - 2014 ) applying Statistical methods used in forecasting time series models as Box - Jenkins method, of tests to identify the existence of stationary,estimation has been studied and included the using of maximum likelihood estimation method, as well as studying the Diagnostic checking using a number of tests to define the scope of models relevancy that has been estimated for the data examined by depend on confidence interval test and Ljung and Box ,then forecasting for the production of rice crop for the years ( 2015 - 2025 ) , chosen for the province of Najaf and Qadisiya is ARIMA ( 1 , 1 , 1 ) , while the model chosen for the provinces ( DhiQar, Muthanna , Maysan ) is the AR ( 1 ) , by depend on Akaike information criterion (AIC), Hannan Quinn information criterion (H - Q),The significance of the estimated parameters of the model.

القدرة التنافسية لبعض الاقتصادات العربية مع اشارة خاصة للعراق للمدة 2004 - 2007 == Competitiveness For Some Arabian Economies With Special Reference To Iraq For Period (2004 - 2007)

Author name: عدنان فرحان عبد الحسين الجوارين
Supervisor name: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي | زهرة حسن عباس التميمي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
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