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بناء توزيع احتمالي لوقت الفشل المستغرق باستعمال تحويل انتروبي لتوزيع Burr Type - XII == Building Probabilistic Distribution of The Failure Time Spent Using Entropy Transformation

Author name: اسيل نوري صالح

Supervisor name: اسماء غالب جابر الراوي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

اسقاطات السكان والقوى العاملة في محافظة نينوى للفترة (1997 - 2027) حسـب التعداد العام للسكان عام 1997 == The Population And Labor Force Projection of Ninawa For The Period (1997 - 2027)

Author name: اسيل محمود شاكر السهيل

Supervisor name: بشرى علي يعقوب الجعفري

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: لقد اتجه اهتمام المفكرين والعلماء منذ عقد الثمانينات او حواليه لينصب على قضايا التشغيل ودخل الاسرة والاستهلاك، وفي ذلك دعوة واضحة للتركيز على المدخل الاجتماعي في عملية التخطيط للتنمية وعلى جانب العرض في عملية تخطيط القوى العاملة باعتبار ان هذا الجانب يشكل | In the eighties, scientists and thinkers concerned in family income, job issues, and consumption.This concern directs the attention towards the importance of social field in the development plan, and towards offer field in labor force design which is a case needs a special concern by itself since it requires the exploitation of all of the existing economical abilities to offer jobs and to manage the perfect use of national employment.The main basics of social and economical development plan are the analysis of humanity resources, the study of supply and demand field in size and structure for the available labor force in a certain country, and the predication of labor force according to the economical activities and occupation in the future.Hence, this study aims to estimate the numbers of future labor force in Nainawa governorate for the period (1997 - 2027) according to the census of (1997) which is considered as a basic year in building a future data base that depends upon true scientific facts.The aim of this study requires the estimation of the averages of economical activity for (1992) using Linear Extrapolation Method and Indirect Extrapolation Method redaction by Durand Coefficient to estimate the average of economical activity for the period (2002 - 2027).The number of people was projected by using Component Method which requires hypothesizing people variables including fertility, mortality and migration.The first step to reach the aim of this study is evaluating and adjusting the faults of data in age and qualitative structure in Nainawa governorate by using United Nation Secretariat Standard and Reduction of Effects of Age Heaping Method using unfamiliar age groups for evaluating and adjusting

تقدير معولية الانظمة باستعمال مقدرات بيز اللامعلمية وشبه المعلمية مع تطبيق عملي == System’s Reliability Using Nonparametric And Semi Parametric Bayesian Estimators With Practical Application

Author name: اسيل محمود شاكر السهيل

Supervisor name: قتيبة نبيل نايف القزاز

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تعتبر المعولية اداة لتقييم الاداء الوظيفي لاي منتج خلال فترة حياته وتعتمد على ظروف عمل ووقت وبيئة محددة وهي من المستلزمات الاساسية في العملية الانتاجية، وتنبع الاهمية الكبيرة للمعولية كونها تلائم اغلب التطبيقات العملية والمتمثلة بالمعدات والاجهزة العا | The reliability as tool to estimate the work performance of any product during its life cycle, it depends on restricted conditions of work and the time and environment of work, also it considers as essential requirement in the production, the most significant important of reliability represented of being fit for the most of practical applications such as equipment and invalid devices which can fix and get maintenance in case it stopped of work then return it to work again. These devices and equipment consider as correlation between a group of parts or components to form what it is called “system” , there are any kinds of systems classified according to the way that components are connected such as k - out of - n which is ready to work if at least one of k components is working, and “Series system” which is ready to work if all of its components are working , also there is another kind of system its work just in case one of its components is working and this called “Parallel System”. Therefore , the aim of thesis focuses on estimating the reliability of systems (k - out of - n, series and parallel system ) by nonparametric and semi parametric methods using Dirichlet process prior and compare it with reliability of system values by classical methods which is represented by Kernel estimator method , Kaplan - meier estimator method and product limit estimator method to illustrate the quality using statistical indicator Integral Mean Square Error (IMSE) , in additional modified methods. So the simulation procedures to create using different sizes of samples , then applying the best method for Series system on the real data which collected in Al - Mamon factory which belong to general company for plant oil production - Aluminum department the results showed that the reliability function values start decreasing with increasing time in relation to the estimated nonparametric and semi parametric , this means that machines has many invalid because the more invalid in machines cusses to decreasing it reliability

مقارنة بين طرائق تحليل وتنبؤ السلاسل الزمنية وتطبيقها على مبيعات الشركة العامة لتوزيع كهرباء بغداد == Comparative Studies Among The Methods of Analysis And Forecasting Time Series With Application On Electricity Sales In Baghdad City

Author name: اسيل سمير محمد محمود

Supervisor name: عبد المجيد حمزة الناصر

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

ايجاد التوزيع الثنائي المشترك باعتماد دوال رابطة مختلفة مع تطبيق في المجال الحيوي == Finding Bivirate Distribution By Using Different Copula'S Functions With Application In Biotical Field

Author name: اسماعيل هادي جلوب

Supervisor name: ضوية سلمان حسن الجنابي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

العلاقة بين الترويج الصحي والتسويق الصيدلاني : دراسة ميدانية في الشركة العامة لتسويق الادوية والمستلزمات الطبية

Author name: اسماعيل كاظم هادي

Supervisor name: فليح عبد الزهرة الزبيدي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Hospital Management

Degree: Higher Diploma

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

تاثير كل من العدالة والثقة المنظمية في الاحتراق النفسي للعاملين : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء لعينة من العاملين في وزارة التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي == The Effect of Organizational Justice &Trust On Employees Burnout : Applied Study For Opinions Sample of Employees In Ministry of Higher Education And Scientific Research

Author name: اسماء طه نوري الشكرجي

Supervisor name: عبد الرزاق ابراهيم عباس الشيخلي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: General Administration

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: Not hidden to any one the problems that the employees in the public sector sustain and threaten which they face, that affected in form or another on their personal and practical life in addition to work environment conditions and their characteristics which have direct or indirect effect on the employees psyche and abilities on the performing of the task invested there with and thus, Not hidden to any one the problems that the employees in the public sector sustain and the threats which they faces, that affects in form or another on their personal and practical life in addition to work environment conditions and its characteristics which have direct or indirect effect on the employees psychology and there abilities to perform the task that they given it, The present study concerns with knowing the relationship between three basic variables, two of them are independent (Organizational Justice and Organizational Trust), and the third variable (Employees Burnout) which was dependent variable, to diagnose the effect level that the first practices one the second. The study depends on five main hypotheses and other branch hypotheses, tested by nonparametric analytic, statistic methods and it uses the questionnaire method o gather data from a sample consists of (140) professionals who are working in Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research center. The study reaches to a group of results, the important one was decreasing of study variables levels, and this is a Goode indication regarding the dependent variable (employees Burnout) in comparison with the two independent variables (Organizational Justice and Organizational Trust) which their level retreating has clear effect absolutely on the employees and the Organization under study, as well as the result’s emphasizing of significant relationship between tem, the matter that increases their size but what lessens the severity of these results is the non existence of any significant effect on employees burnout whose dimensions indicators are weak between the affiliates of the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research. The study has many recommendations concerning the Ministry under study as wall as a number of suggestions in the hope of contributing in illuminating he rood of researchers concerned wit the subject and developing the study about it.

المفاضلة بين خيارات الخصخصة لشركات المقاولات العامه باستعمال التحليل الاستراتيجي للبيئة الخارجية : دراسة استطلاعية == The Trade - Off Between Privatization Options General Contracting Firms Using The Strategic Analysis of The External Environment

Author name: اسماء حبيب نعمة الناصري

Supervisor name: احمد نزار جميل

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Business Administration

Degree: Master

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: ناقش البحث متغيرين مهمين وهما خيارات الخصخصة والتحليل الاستراتيجي للبيئة الخارجية , وان الغرض من البحث هو المفاضلة بين خيارات الخصخصة واختيار البديل الانسب بما يتناسب مع البيئة الخارجية, ويهدف البحث الى تحديد خيار الخصخصة الانسب لشركات المقاولات العامة , | Discussed the research variables are important, privatization options and strategic analysis of the external environment, and that the purpose of the research is the trade - off between privatization options and choose the most appropriate alternative in proportion to the external environment, the research aims to determine the privatization the most appropriate option for companies and public contracting, showing the importance of the study provide the privatization of general state companies as a strategy can all its way public sector organizations from the transfer of work practices or private sector organizations and mechanisms to it as contributing to improving the level of skills Develop the current and future level of performance, the study involved comparing three views internalized experts, investors and managers sample (87) individuals and ensures head of research , including five sub - hypotheses were subject to statistical hypothesis tests. And it used statistical methods such as arithmetic mean weighted one sample and the use of analysis of variance table (ANOVA Test) and the most important results the Private sale is best suited choice between privatization options turned out that the sample went from various specializations and macro - level environmental factors ,by Go toward privatization optimal choice and decision - makers in the Iraqi state taking done to rescue What can be saved from public companie.

مفهوم الانصاف في المحاسبة واثره في عملية الابلاغ المالي : دراسة تحليلية وميدانية لانموذج ومستخدمي التقارير المالية بالعراق == Fairness Concept In Accounting & Its Effect On Discloser Process An Analytical & Empirical Study For Model & Users of Iraqi'S Financial Reports

Author name: اسكوهي اوانيس اوهانيس بدروسيان

Supervisor name: عامر محمد سلمان الجنابي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Accounting

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Accounting

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: Accounting literature divided into two basic schools, the first one normative school concern with normative concepts such as ethics & social concepts, and concentrate on value implications statements so determining objectives became its core by determining and interpretation the needs of accounting information users. While positive school concentrate on empirical continuity for accounting being a discipline of formal education with concentrating on neutral presentation of accounting events and its discloser.It become clear that those accounting information users are the essences of both schools, by fulfilling there information needs under value standards in the first school, and by reflecting practical reality for them in neutral way without preferring some users over the others.Accounting is a social science because it is an art needs skills like law and medicine, as well as it is a science verify the credibility of the objective like law and economics. Therefore accounting is a social science in being interacting with the environment and in being part of it via inducing actual study and formulating generalizations about observed phenomena, and relating accounting procedures used to create accounting information with social principles to produce accounting principles such as fairness which support objectivity (principle) through being unbiased (procedure) as well as serving most of financial reports users. This was suggested by D. R. Scott, he is one of the first who call for fairness in 1941 : “accounting rules, procedures and techniques must be fair and unbiased and must not serve special purposes”, through this it became “value statement”.Fairness concept started to take its place in accounting literature orderly via professionals and academics studies. The monograph published in 1960 by Arthur Anderson & Co. about fairness mention that “fairness is basic accounting postulate that underlay accounting principles, fairness to all society segments, management, employees, shareholders, creditors, customers, and the public so that it is unified and measured under economic and political environment, conceptual pattern and norms of all segments to reach the target that accounting principles based on this postulate will produce financial accounting for economical rights and stakes legitimately established which it is fair to all segments.” Later Patillo positioned fairness as the basic standard used to evaluate other standards because it is the only standard that implies ethical considerations, when Patillo wanted to relate ideas such as justice, real, and fair with the objectives of financial reporting results which concentrate on the stakes of different parties in economy. According to Cowan that Patillo's opinion represents the American concept for fairness and the British sees fairness as distinguished, obvious, unequivocal, representation of facts.In return others like S. C. Yu & Harold Arnett called for impossibility of making fairness a measure or a framework to accounting principles for different reasons such as the disagreement on a clear concept for fairness idiom by the accountants, and the difference in the meaning of fairness concept among the reacceptances, as well as the difficulty to measure fairness effect. Between supporters and opponents ethical concepts including fairness still have clear effect in accounting, that researcher can not determine their subject, methodology, postulates and experimental means without implying value concepts.This study based on idea aims to clarify the meaning of fairness concept to become easier to include it within accounting standard and rules, and studying the effect of the ethical concept over some of the international and local financial disclosure applications.The most important theoretical conclusion is that fairness considered value concept means unbiased and objectivity in dealing with the company stakeholders specially the externals, via fulfilling useful, reliable, relevance accounting information. Fairness means the same as justice and different from just, because the latter means the abstract application to laws and rules without taking into considerations the circumstances relating to the subject of study.

تاثير التضخم المستهدف والناتج المحتمل في السياسة النقدية للعراق == Impact of Inflation And Potential Output In The Monetary Policy In Iraq

Author name: اسراء عبد فرحان

Supervisor name: محمود محمد محمود داغر

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Economy

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تهتم السياسة النقدية اهتماما كبيرا بتحقيق الاستقرار النقدي، من خلال رسم السياسة المؤثرة والمسيطرة على كمية النقود، والهادفة الى تحقيق الاستقرار في المستوى العام للاسعار وتحقيق التشغيل عند المستوى المحتمل للناتج وتحقيق النمو الاقتصادي، وصولا الى ادنى فج | Recent years monetary policy more focused on monetary stability goal , through the drawing influencing policy and controlling the quantity of money and aimed at achieving stability in the general level of prices and achievement of operating when the potential level of output and economic growth, reach the lowest output gap as well as with cross - target cash economy minimization of inflation gap.This study deals with the relationship between inflation and economic growth and estimating product gap of the Iraqi economy duration (1990 - 2014).Iraq's economy is suffering from an approximately complete separation between the monetary sector and the real sector, because of the absence of control mechanism after transmission of monetary policy to the real economy through controlling inflation at its target with a nominal anchor of monetary policy.Monetary policy is working in the Iraqi economy in the absence of the actual use of this potential output in the case that has been estimated, as well as attempting to estimate gap (inflation and output) and analysis of their direction and their impact on monetary policy. The researcher attempt to measure the relationship between the two gap and the nominal anchor.For checking which nominal anchor more accurate we used a model of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Estimate ARDL and test the Bound test to test the joint integration and the relationship of long and short - term between the variables under study, as well as induced response to test the relationship between the variables that measure the impact of the trauma suffered by the internal variable in the VAR model on the current and future values of other internal variables in the model function analysis conclusions reached the ineffectiveness of interest rate anchor nominal monetary policy to target inflation and the output of the Iraqi economy during the period of study, as well as the effectiveness of the exchange rate in effect at the gap (inflation and output).

قياس وتحليل دالة الطلب على الواردات الزراعية في العراق للمدة 1980 - 2010 == Measuring And Analyzing The Demand Function For Agricultural Imports In Iraq For The Period 1980 - 2010

Author name: اسراء سليم كاطع الربحاوي

Supervisor name: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Economy

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تعد الموضوعات المتعلقة بالتجارة الخارجية مجالا واسعا للمناقشات واهتمام الاقتصاديين وذلك لاسهامها الفاعل في عملية التنمية الاقتصادية في اقتصاديات الدول لاسيما النامية منها. ويشكل جانب الواردات من السلع والخدمات في التجارة الخارجية جزءا مهما للاقتصاد المح | Foreign trade captures the interest of economists for its contribution to the process of economic development, especially in developing countries. In addition, imports of goods and services constitute an important section in foreign trade by which a country gets what local economy cannot produce because of the incompetent base of production. Hence, the measurement and analysis of the demand function of agricultural imports in Iraq gain special significance due to the reliance of the Iraqi economy on foreign trade to secure many agricultural products.In this work, the demand function for agricultural imports in Iraq has been estimated through the technique of auto - regressive distributed lag (ARDL) and the bounds test to measure and analyze the co - integration for long and short - run relationships among the demand for agricultural imports, relative prices, GDP, and foreign reserves. In addition, the relationship between the variables has been tested through the technique of impulse response function (IRF), which measures the impact of a shock on an internal variable on the current and future values of the other internal variables in the VAR model.This thesis includes three chapters, each containing several studies, in addition to a preface, the goal of the study, and a literature review. Chapter 1 introduces an economic framework of the theory of demand in two sections, one about the concept of demand and the factors influencing it and the other on international trade and its relationship to demand in different economic systems. Chapter 2 dicusses the reality and evolution of agricultural foreign trade in Iraq for the period 1980 - 2010. Finally, Chapter 3 introduces the econometric analysis for the demand on agricultural imports and their determinants using the ARDL model and the IRF. The statistical analysis has been performed using EViews 8 and Microfit 5.It has been found that the increase of total and agricultural imports for the interval 1980 - 2010, especially after the year 2003. It has also been found that the average compound annual growth of total and agricultural imports for the same interval is positive with an amount of 5.4% for total imports and 3.6% for agricultural imports. The relative importance of food imports has been found to constitute 99% of total agricultural imports, whereas that for the means of production is very small ranging from 4.4% in 1980 to 0.3% in 2010. On the other hand, short - term elasticity shows an increment of 1% in relative prices causes a decrease in the demand on agricultural imports by 24%. In addition, an increase of 1% in GDP and foreign reserve leads to an increase in the demand on agricultural imports by 19.16%. Furthermore, long - term elasticity that a relative price increment of 1% leads to a reduced demand on agricultural imports by 42%. The IRF shows that a change in relative prices of 1% leads to reducing the demand on agricultural imports by 20% in the second year then it increase to reach 36% in the tenth year, while a change in GDP of 1% leads to an increase in the demand on agricultural imports by 3% in the second year then it decreases to 5% in the tenth year. And, a change of 1% in foreign reserve increases the demand on agricultural import by 9% starting from the third year, reaching up to 17% in the tenth year. Accordingly, it is concluded that the relative prices play an important role in determining the demand on agricultural imports.This study recommends the necessity of setting forth agricultural policies to protect and develop the national product through the support of prices and the means of production, and limiting the impact of agricultural imports on national products in terms of quality and price. Furthermore, it is recommended to activate imports - related trade policies such as customs tariff, for the sake of supporting the national product and increasing the contribution of the agricultural sector in the making of the GDP

قياس وتحليل تاثير صدمات السياسة المالية على بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية في العراق للمدة 1990 - 2014 == Measure And Analyze The Impact of Fiscal Policy Shocks On Some Macroeconomic Variables In Iraq For The Period 1990 - 2014

Author name: اسراء سعيد صالح العبيدي

Supervisor name: محمد صالح سلمان الكبيسي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Economy

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تؤثر الصدمات الاقتصادية الخارجية بشكل مباشر على المتغيرات المالية في الدول المصدرة للسلع الاساسية الاولية لاسيما الدول النفطية منها، ويرجع ذلك الى وجود ارتباط قوي بين الموازنة العامة والتجارة الخارجية في هذه الدول، فتستجيب السياسة المالية عبر ادواتها الان | External economic shocks directly affect the financial variables in developing countries, especially those related to oil, due to the existence of a strong correlation between the general budget and foreign trade in these countries, fiscal policy responds through public spending and public revenue is a concurrence or counter to the trend of economic shock, and reflected that response macroeconomic variables relevant in unexpected changes can be expressed in fiscal policy shocks.This study, in your hands I have focused on the measurement and analysis of the impact of shocks, fiscal policy on some macro - economic variables in Iraq, came to focus on this aspect of faith researcher believing absolutely that fiscal policy plays a key role in the national economy, In terms of its ability to allocate resources between economic sectors, or through its Impact on the use of resources, and therefore its impact on aggregate demand levels, moreover, its impact on incomes Through government - provided social grants and expenses which increase in frequency during the exposure to economic shocks, if the affected fiscal policy, both on the side of public expenditures and / or the public revenues to external economic shocks will be reflected in all economic sectors, so the study will try to build a standard model for measuring the impact of Fiscal policy shocks in Some of macroeconomic variables.

مقارنة بين طريقتي SIMEX وLLS لتقدير دالة الانحدار اللامعلمية باستخدام المحاكاة == Comparison Between SIMEX & LLS Methods To Estimation Nonparametric Regression Function Using Simulation

Author name: اسراء سعدون علوان

Supervisor name: دجلة ابراهيم مهدي العزاوي | نذير عباس الشمري

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

استخدام توزيعي بيتا والاسي في تقدير معالمات انموذج الانحدار الخطي == Use of Beta & Exponential Distributions To Estimate The Parameters of The Linear Regression Model

Author name: اسامة محمد جاسم القصاب

Supervisor name: اموري هادي كاظم الحسناوي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تبقى عملية التقدير لمعلمات انموذج الانحدار من المواضيع المهمة رغم كثرة ما كتب عنها من خلال البحوث والدراسات وهذه الدراسات تختلف باختلاف الاساليب المتبعة في عملية التقدير سواء كان هذا الاسلوب تقليدي او بيزي او تبعا للتوزيعات التي يتم توظيفها في عملية التق | the process of estimating the parameters of regression model , is still still one of the important subjects despite of the large number of papers and studies written in this subject , these studies are differ in techniques followed in the process of estimation , whether they are classic or baysian , or according to the distributions applied in the estimation , and which are available about some of the parameters of regression model.In this thesis , two different distributions are applied ( Beta , Exponential )in estimating different sample sizes and then making a comparison among the classic estimation techniques represented by (OLS) method , and the method of applying one distribution or two (u.d) , and the baysian methods by providing the distributions themselves.By using the simulation technique , results has been obtained to provide the researcher with the image to clarify the best method in the estimation technique.This thesis come in four chapters : The first chapter contains the introduction and the background of the subject.The second chapter contains the theoretical basis of the estimation methods, when one or two distribution are applied in estimation technique whether is the classic or baysian method, it also contains all that related to derivation process to obtains the estimation style.The third chapter contains , a display of the practical side and also a display of the results of the simulation process used to reach to the best techniques of estimation.Finally, the forth chapter contains the conclusions and recommendation as well as future studies.

تقدير عجز الوحدات السكنية في العراق لعام 2010 == Estimated Deficit of Housing Units In Iraq For 2010

Author name: اسامة عبد العزيز كاظم القريشي

Supervisor name: محمد جاسم محمد

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Applied Statistics

Degree: Higher Diploma

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

المعرفة الضمنية وانعكاسها على جودة الخدمة الصحية في دائرة صحة الرصافة == Tacit Knowledge And Its Reflection On Health Service Quality In Alresafa Health Sector

Author name: اسامة عبد الرحيم داود السامرائي

Supervisor name: اياد طاهر محمد الجبوري

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Hospital Management

Degree: Higher Diploma

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

الائتمان المصرفي بين تحديات المخاطر وسبل المعالجة : دراسة تحليلية للمصارف التجارية الخاصة في العراق

Author name: ازهار حسن علي ابونايلة

Supervisor name: ثريا عبد الرحيم علي الخزرجي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Economy

Degree: Master

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: ن المؤكد ان للائمان المصرفي دورا مهما جدا في دعم عملية التنمية الاقتصادية، بعده وسيط مالي بين المدخرين والمستثمرين، ويعد الدور الكبير للائتمان المصرفي في توجيه النشاط الاقتصادي صوب المشاريع الاستثمارية المهمة ذات الاستغلال الامثل للموارد المتوافرة والد | IT is certain that bank credit has an essential part in supporting the economic development process as a financial intermediary between savers and inverters. Beside the essential role of bank credit in directing the economic activity towards the important investment projects that best make use of available resources and supporting the economic development process, therefore, bank credit represents the economic activity mainstay.Banks are liable to financial and bank risks such as; interest rate risks, exchange rate risks, market risks, rubbery and bankruptcy risks, investment risks, national risks, liquidity risks, inflation risks, globalization risks, and merging risks, In addition to, credit risks. Accordingly, suitable means must be found to overcome these risks. Private Commercial banks in Iraq were allowed to practice their work in 1992 in unnatural conditions such as the embargo, high average of inflation, and changing from of government; so, these banks are liable to many financial and risks besides the influence of general conditions, such as the unstable economic and political condition on these banks.The economic problem of research (bank credit risks and credit problems increase and happen together with the unstable economic and political condition).The study came from a theory has significance (the bank credit process as any financial process is liable to many risks and challenges).The study implies three chapters; each chapter contains three fields of researches, conclusions, and recommendation. The first chapter refers to the bank credit impractical framework. The second chapter refers to bank credit risks between Basel committee decision and bank reform. While the third chapter refers to bank credit analytic study and its risks on private commercial banks in Iraq and their quitted for reform.

دور القطاع الخاص في التطور الاقتصادي لمجموعة من الدول النامية مع اشارة خاصة للتجربة العراقية للمدة من 1970 - 2004 : تحليل وقياس == The Role of The Private Sector In Development of Group of Devloping Countries With Special Reference To Iraqi Experience For The Period 1970 - 2004. Measurement And Analysis

Author name: ازاد احمد سعدون الدوسكي

Supervisor name: يحيى غني جاسم النجار

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Economy

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

تقييم دور ثقافة المنظمة ونجاح ادارة المعرفة في تطوير الميزة التنافسية المستدامة : دراسة تطبيقية في شركات الاتصال الخلوي العاملة في العراق == Evaluating Role The Organizational Culture And Knowledge Management Success In Developing Sustainable Competitive Advantage Analytical Study In Mobile Phone Telecommunication Companies In Iraq

Author name: اريج سعيد خليل العاني

Supervisor name: سعد علي حمود عباس العنزي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Business Administration

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تفاعلت ثلاثة متغيرات لتشكيل الاطار الفكري والفلسفي لهذه الدراسة، وهي (ثقافة المنظمة وادارة المعرفة والميزة التنافسية المستدامة)، وقد انطلقت الدراسة من مشكلة معبر عنها بعدد من التساؤلات الفكرية والتطبيقية، استهدف من الاجابة عنها استجلاء الفلسفة النظرية وا | Three Variables interacted to from the ideological and philosophic frame of this study which are (Organizational Culture, Knowledge Management and Sustainable Competitive Advantage), this study started from a problem expressed by of applied and ideological wonderments to answer these question in order to illustrate the philosophy theory and ideological functions of these variables because they are a new subjects at Arabic environment in general and Iraqi environment in special and testing relationship coloration and effect and ability of using it at application environment which formed from a sample from Iraqna and MTC - Atheer Mobile Phone Telecommunication Companies in Iraq, The Sample of study was determined by (72) manager.Important the study in ideological and philosophic origin for study variables depend on application afford for actuality of organizational culture and Knowledge Management in developing sustainable competitive advantage, In order to get this aim six main hypothesis has been formulated, branch all and tested by some non parametric statistical processes, the questionnaires used as a basic elements to collect data and information from the study simple.The study conducted to ideological theory and applied conclusions which determine actual of organizational culture found at application environment, The most outstanding was the integration of organization culture role and knowledge management success in developing the sustainable competitive advantage, but the variable of organization culture role dominates in developing the sustainable competitive advantage, which indicates the importance of recommendations, the most outstanding among them are the companies researched simulation of the international companies and drawing scenarios in meeting future as well as the consolidating of the knowledge existed through the developing of site workshop and putting specified strategies and policies followed by companies to get the learning and the knowledge. And suggestions such as orientation study knowledge workers management of advancing the human resource and knowledge culture simultaneously.

تقدير التكاليف الاقتصادية لتدهور الاراضي الزراعية في العراق عبر محصول الحنطة كسلعة استراتيجية للمدة 2005 - 2012 == Estimation of The Economic Costs of Degradation of Land In Iraq Through The Wheat Crop As A Strategic Commodity For The Period 2005 - 2012

Author name: اريج ابراهيم احمد القره غولي

Supervisor name: قتيبة نبيل نايف القزاز

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Environmental Statistics

Degree: Higher Diploma

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تاثر القطاع الزراعي في العراق بالتغيرات السياسية والاقتصادية والتشريعية التي شهدها العراق على مايقارب عقدا من الزمان والذي انعكس سلبا على فعالية مساهمته من الناتج المحلي الاجمالي وبالتالي على الاقتصاد, اذ يشير التقرير الاقتصادي السنوي لعام 2012 للبنك ال | The agricultural sector in Iraq has been affected by the political, economic and legislative changes that witnessed it Iraq at last decade which reflected negatively on the effectiveness of its contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) and then on the economy. The annual economic report of the Central Bank of Iraq indicates that the agricultural sector constitutes about 4.1% of GDP for 2012. However, the agricultural sector faces multiple problems that add negative impact on the agriculture development trends in Iraq. The Global warming which is the most prominent problem and shortage of rain have caused desertification phenomenon. The decrease of levels of Tigris and Euphrates rivers, due to many reasons, as well as the decrease of the quantities of the underground water and incompetent use of resources by farmers have increased the soil saline, degraded it and decreased land fertility. All these factors have led to decrease of the arable lands and fast growing number of population added more pressure on the land to increase productivity to meet people’s growing needs which, at the end, caused degradation of the arable lands. Therefore, it is important to discuss these problems and find out the root causes of the decrease of the arable lands and devise proper solutions. This study has been developed to assess the change of wheat production between 2005 and 2012, through analyzing the relation between production quantities and the cultivated lands as well as the quantities of water that have been provided. Further, the impact of supplied water and used lands were measured through line graphs in this study. The increase and decrease of arable lands and the lands that can be used for agriculture in comparison to the size of the whole land explain clearly the benefit of agricultural activities.Land degradation leads to damage of environmental elements including water, air, and soil. The relation between environment and economy is strong and reciprocal and form the basis of the sustainable work of each one where economy protects environment and nature elements through typical distribution of resources provided by environment to boost economy. Further, through economic activities funding is being allocated to fix degradation and damage. Protecting environment will protect economy as well and achieves its mission to meet people’s unlimited needs and increase development rates which boosts people’s welfare in each community. The aforementioned relation has encouraged people concerned with environmental economy to look for cash indicator called Cost of Environmental Degradation (COED) which recognized as an important indicator for decision makers to identify the loss of economy in cash that has been caused by environmental degradation and lack of environment protection. The economic costs of agricultural land degradation for the period (2005 - 2012), where estimated a lowest costs in 2010 about (3,437,884,583) IQD and a highest costs in 2012 which amounted to (589,579,870,614) IQD. Conclude from that the cost of the alternative opportunity for these costs has been exceeded on the rights of subsequent generations in natural resources as well as environmental assets so it recommend to do a strategy to promote the agricultural sector through diagnosis its main problems. The desertification, the poor management of water resources, and the financial and technological weakness represent the almost important of these problems must be diagnosed, as well as setting a time limit to treatment these problems which cause a heavy losses in cultivated arena and production, in additional to monitoring a large sums of money to reduce or treat the deterioration in order to increase agricultural development, which is reflected positively on the economy of the country.

مقارنة مقدرات بيز القياسية لمعلمة توزيع باريتو باستعمال دوال خسارة مختلفة == A Comparison of Standard Bayes Estimators For Parameter of Paretodistribution Using Different Loss Function

Author name: اخلاص علي حمودي الحديثي

Supervisor name: صباح هادي عبود الجاسم

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

تطبيقات (ISO 9001,CMM,TQM) لقياس جودة الاداء الكلي : دراسة حالة في الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية == The Applications of (ISO 9001,CMM,TQM) In Measuring Total Performance Quality Case Study At The General Company For Leather Industries

Author name: اخلاص زكي فرج الجبوري

Supervisor name: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Business Administration

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: تتمحور مشكلة البحث بوجود فجوة بين نماذج الجودة ( ISO 9001,CMM, TQM) والبيئة الداخلية للمنظمة وقدراتها ومواردها. ان معظم نماذج الجودة تفترض بانها تقدم افضل الحلول لمشاكل الجودة وهذا ما لم يتم اثباته بشكل قاطع. فضلا عن ذلك فان البحوث الاكاديمية التي اجريت ف | The problem of this research represents in the gap existent among quality models (ISO 9001, TQM, CMM) and the internal and external environment of an organization, it’s abilities and resources, Most quality models assume that they provide the best solution to the quality problems but that wasn’t proved absolutely. In addition, the academic research work conducted in Iraq, since the 1990’s, has only measured the gap between the requirements of ISO 9001 and the current quality system at the researched organizations and has urged the organizations to bridge the gap to achieve the ISO certificate.It is noticeable that all the researches written about quality management systems and environment in Iraq have recommended the ISO as the best alternative in solving quality problems; but at same time the company environment, internal resources, self - ability have been forgotten in these researches. Moreover these researches haven’t mention the test for ability of quality models integration in achieving the organization objectives representing in quality problems solving and improving its total performance.So, this study handled the effect of the integration among (ISO 9001, TQM, CMM) in improving the total performance quality; evaluating the reality of quality in General Company for Leather Industries (GCLI) (research sample) and determining the quality model that corresponds with the sample environment, resources, and needs.The research is trying to achieve a number of aims ,and it is depending on hypothesis, while the required data and information are gathered from the company registers, structural interviews are made by using checklists, personal observation, and reviewing documents to analyze and evaluate quality system. In addition to that the researcher has made a field living to complete some aspects which lack documented data in the company registers to check the correctness answers in the checklists. These lists have shown a fluctuation in the company performance quality and weaknesses in its performance, also the studied effected factors haven’t get high evaluation and this denote that the company is suffering from problems.Questionnaire is used in gathering data and information related to integration in research sample, and many statistical methods are used in handling data which are multiple and simple regression, and path analysis. These methods have come out with many results, the most important of them have shown that total - effect of integration among (ISO 9001, TQM, CMM) in total performance quality is more than the effect of each model alone, it is also shown that the use of ISO 9001 alone is not sufficient for improving the company total performance quality.In discussing the results, the study assured the importance of integration among the models in achieving quality requirements and has recommends the necessity of depending on integration elements in improving the total performance quality of company.

تحديد خطط الانتاج الكفوءة لشركة الشهيد العامة في ظل ظروف المخاطرة واللايقين == Determination of Efficient Production'S Plans For Al - Shaheed Public Company Under Risk And Uncertainty

Author name: احمد وهيب حسين محمد

Supervisor name: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Economy

Degree: Doctorate

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: Conventional linear programming models are usually used in determination of optimum production which either maximizing gross margins or minimizing to total costs under definite constraints. The main deficit in such models is their neglecting risk which exit in production process. Hazell at (1971) succeeded to improve the conventional linear programming to linear models take in consideration risk and uncertainty. The new models are based on the assumption, that decision mater could choose between optimum plans on the basis of expected income (E) from each plan and the absolute total deviation (A) ; thus this invented model which includes the above mentioned variables as a measure for risk in any plan is called MOTAD (Minimization of Total Absolute Deviation). By using this model minimum total absolute deviation is obtained , which means that an efficient plan is fulfilled with gross margin (E) and minimum total absolute deviation (A). A linear alternative mathematical programming model introduced by Loren W. tauer at (1981) computationally efficient and generates solutions meeting the second - degree stochastic dominance (SSD) test. MOTAD does not do this. The model is a modification of MOTAD called Target MOTAD. It's two attribute risk and return model. Which generates a subset of feasible SSD ( second degree stochastic dominance) solutions where stochastic dominance techniques are appealing theoretically because they require only function properties ,rather specific forms be specified. The thesis aims to derive the efficient industrial plans for Al - shaheed general company under risk by using MOTAD and target MOTAD as a linear alternatives models for the quadratic programming models. The results showed that there had been a sort of (trade - off) between risk and the expected gross margins. And if the studied company strives to get high gross margin , it should tolerate risk and vice versa. Beside that , target MOTAD appears to be more plausible approach for examining risk - return trade - offs , and in addition it's more consistent with recent economical literature. Finally the contents of this research divided into six chapters : - The first dealt with the foundmental concepts , previous studies and theoretical sides related to the subject of the research. The second chapter involved models that expressed about risk and deal with. The third chapter contains risk efficiency criterions and stochastic dominance analysis. The fourth chapter involved a technical , financial analysis and building the primary model of linear programming for the target company. The fifth chapter an empirical study on data of Al - shaheed company by using MOTAD and target MOTAD. Then conclusions and recommendations had been showed in the sixth chapter. The essential of them were mentioned above. So the management of Al - Shaheed Company to be invited to apply the suitable procedures in the production process , in order to get efficient plans that improves it's performance.

تحليل احصائي لواقع العمالة وتياراتها واتجاهاتها في محافظات مختارة من العراق == A Statistical Analysis of The Realy of Emeeployment And Trends In Selected Provinces of Lraq

Author name: احمد هادي عبد العزيز الذهب

Supervisor name: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Applied Statistics

Degree: Higher Diploma

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

تحليل احصائي لمؤشرات الثروة الحيوانية في العراق للسنوات 2001 - 2008 == A Statistical Analysis of Indicators For Livestock In The Country For The Years 2001 - 2008

Author name: احمد كاظم حسن العصامي

Supervisor name: مهدي محمد البياع

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Applied Statistics

Degree: Higher Diploma

University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

Abstract: يعيش الانسان بالاعتماد على الغذاء الذي وفر له من مختلف القنوات النباتية والحيوانية والمصنعة التي تساعده على انجاز متطلبات حياته وبذلك يعد الغذاء ثروة استراتيجية تقوم عليها البشرية ويتحقق من خلالها الامان والاستقرار. شهد في التاريخ القديم والحديث ا | Human lives, depending on the food provided to him from the various channels of plant, animal and manufactured to help him to accomplish the requirements of his life and so is the food wealth strategy underlying the human and through which security and stability. Seen in ancient and modern history many wars in which the main objective was to maintain food sources and increasing wealth in it. And the nation that meet the food security situation of up to a state of political and economic stability, financial and social well - being by increasing and reducing tensions. The food of animal forms and outputs (meat, milk and eggs... etc) of the most important sources of food and the highest in peace for the content of food materials according to the task of the human body. It is here specifically highlights the importance of livestock to the peoples and nations and try to increase it for the reasons contained in the above. And will take care of this thesis to study the reality of livestock in the country based on census data, which included indicators of animal production and conducted in a number of years where the trend in bringing about development in livestock production necessarily requires the provision of many of the requirements necessary to achieve this development The prediction of the most important influences statistical help his resolution to take the right decision and here the researcher using the regression models written multiple (Multiple Linear Regression) to identify the most important factors that help to increase the livestock in the country have also been using a number of important indicators in reading the reality of wealth animal with a growing population