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دور محافظة بابل في تحسين الواقع البيئي : دراسة حالة في مديرية بيئة بابل == The Role of Babil Province On Improving Environmental Reality A Case Study In , Environment Directorate of Babil

Author name: طارق مجيد محمد
Supervisor name: علي حسون فندي الطائي
Specific topic: Local Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: الباحث المهندس طارق مجيد محمد , عنوان بحثي هو دور محافظة بابل في تحسين الواقع البيئي / دراسة حالة في مديرية بيئة بابل , لنيل شهادة الدبلوم العالي في الادارة المحلية , جامعة بغداد , كلية الادارة والاقتصاد.تطرق البحث بداية الى موقع محافظة بابل في وسط العر | First, the research dealt with the site of Babel province in the middle of Iraq that makes it the joint between Sothern provinces and northern provinces via land roads and its influence on the environment of the governorate, flowing of Euphrates within Babel province makes it commercial, agricultural industrial city, increasing of population and its causes that resulted in apparent increase in the social, service and commercial activities and etc., plus to its negative increasing influences against the environment of Babel province and consequently the contamination resulted from different activities. In spite of many rules and instructions that limit the environmental contamination but rates of pollution is in a continuous increasing and for many reasons, to specify these reasons, we have started to study the most environmental problems that Babel province suffers from via detailed arena study to the mechanism of the work of Babel environment directorate included all its sections and departments , and role of each section and its units, then tackled with some troubles and hitches that confront some of these sections and its departments that concern with watching the environmental reality of Babel province and breaches happen by governmental destination or by citizens and punishing the offenders and preventing them from damaging the environment, also making a comparison between these sections and their activities during specific period of this research to specify the reasons behind that contrast, making a list of what have been done of these activities, rules and instructions also how big the gab is in the application of these mechanism of sections and departments and reasons of creation that gap and how to diminish it, the role of the public government in Babel province by its both divisions legislative and implementing via creating a board of protection and improvement the environment to settle these problems through issuing important rules and instructions to protect and maintain environment plus coordinating with Iraqi ministry of health and central government to issue rules and instructions that are out of the authority of Babel environment directorate. The researcher has come up with a bunch of conclusions and recommendations , most important are : 1 - Correlation between Babel environment directorate with Iraqi ministry of health makes the first as a weak watching destination and its rules and instructions are vulnerable, so it's better to disconnect its correlation with the ministry and connect it with the Iraqi council of ministers. 2 - Repeating some topics were discussed in the board of protecting and improvement the environment during the same year and same period of the research and didn’t get solved and stayed unsettled and that requires the support of the local government to the directorate of environment through following up the decisions that being adopted in the sessions of the council of protecting and improvement the environment and settle all related issues which help in the service of the government and environment. 3 - The spreading out of the phenomena of breaches against environmental limits, rules and instructions via publishing variant and numerous rules didn’t have environmental acceptances as that required applying a real study shows reasons behind this phenomena and how to remedy that, considering curing methods and avoid relations and mediations and parties via applying procedures on all individuals without any exceptions. 4 - No serious attempts to find real remedies to the subject of recycling hard and liquid garbage, heading to create recycling and separation factories and make use of these wastes same as third world countries not only like progressed countries. 5 - Don’t neglect sites with biological variety and necessity of coordination with ministry of health to include these sites within natures reserve because it is an environmental wealth, curing the phenomena of desertification through increasing the green lands.

مقارنة بعض الطرائق الحصينة في تحليل الارتباط القويم الخطي باستخدام المحاكاة مع تطبيق عملي == Comparison of Some Robust Methods In Linear Canonical Correlation Analysis of Simulation Used With Practical Application

Author name: طارق عزيز صالح
Supervisor name: لقاء علي محمد العلوي
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تبرز اهمية الحاجة الى طرائق تقدير كفء والتي تسمى بالطرائق الحصينة (Robust Methods) عندما تكون بيانات الظاهرة المدروسة ملوثة، او وجود شواذ في المشاهدات، والتي ينتج بسببها مقدرات تؤدي الى زيادة او نقصان في متوسط مربعات الخطا (MSE) مما يؤدي الى استدلال احص | The important of the necessity to my efficient estimation methods, which are called the robust methods, appears when the data of the studied phenomenon are contaminated, it means the observations contains outliers,which may produce estimators which result in increasing (decreasing) in the (MSE), That would leads to an inaccurate statistical inference. From this point was the good behind this research in reaching robust estimators of canonical correlation analysis that can be achieved through the study of some robust methods such as (estimators - M, estimators - MVE, estimators - MCD and estimators - S).for the failure of the classical methods of estimation of canonical correlation analysis at containing data on the ratio contamination (outliers), that leads to the derivation of incorrect covariance matrix consequently to correlation matrix and a series of relations between the incorrect variables. Therefore the robust methods were used in the calculate of covariance matrix which would lead to robust matrices to robust canonical correlation analysis.In order to achieve the objectives of the research, it was divided into four chapters.The first chapter included the introduction, purpose of search and review of literature, the second chapter tackled the theoretical aspect of the robust methods in canonical correlation analysis as well as some of the important concepts, the third chapters deals with the application aspect in which tow types of applied studies were made, The first one uses the simulation method to compare among the studied methods of estimation in canonical correlation analysis and detect the best of the estimator depending on the two statistical measurements bias mean and mean square error which renders the minimum MSE of canonical correlation analysis, the second study uses the truthful data to verity the performance in a practical actuality.Finally, the fourth chapter included the conclusion, recommendations to which the researcher has arrived. In general it is regarded that MCD estimator is the best in the estimation of canonical correlation analysis in comparison with the other studied methods of estimation.

مسؤولية المدقق الداخلي في تقييم ادارة المخاصر المصرفية == Responsibility of Internal Auditor In Evaluation Banking Risk Management

Author name: ضمياء محمد جواد الشذر الامارة
Supervisor name: جليلة عيدان حليحل الذهبي
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Risk refers to the uncertainty about the events and results which has a material influence on the objectives and activities of the economic entities. It regards a chain of challenges which should face it to a chive their objectives. So the matter needs to establish a management to administrate it by put some relevant procedures to identify all the risks may face these entities, and how to treat with them, beside the control to reduce or prevent it.Banks deal with risks which have two sides the first relates with probability of occurring, while the other belongs to the size of the results.The internal audit is one of the major elements in the internal control system which have had a wide role covers all the activities (financial & operational) beside it regards a council and guide resource to the risk management.The major objective of this study is to show the role of internal audit in evaluation of risk managements performance. By identifying kinds of bank risks, rules & procedures to manage it, by depending audit based on risks as a methodology in the action.This study based on the main assumption followed by some secondary assumption to achieve the objectives of the study and to test its assumption, the present study has been divided into six chapters : the first is for the methodology and previous studies.the second is for the theoretical background control& internal audit.the third chapter deals with evaluation and management of banking risk.the fourth chapter focuses on the concept & requirement of audit based on risks beside show its contribution in evaluation of risks management by two sections.The fifths chapter is allocated to test the study assumptions by using the statically analysis and methods.The sixth (last) chapter introduced some conclusions and recommendations in the light of the theoretical and practical study.

مدخل قياس التكاليف على اساس المواصفات بهدف تخفيض التكاليف == Attribute Based Costing Measure Approach To Reduction Costs

Author name: ضرغام احمد عبد الرضا الجادري
Supervisor name: منال جبار سرور السامرائي
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعاني معظم الشركات العراقية من ارتفاع تكاليف منتجاتها وانها تفتقر الى تطبيق الاساليب الحديثة في قياس وتحديد التكلفة وافتقارها الى استخدام التقنيات الكلفوية المعاصرة التي من شانها ان تخفض تكاليف المنتجات وتحسن الوضع التنافسي للوحدات الاقتصادية. ان تخفيض ال | Most Iraqi companies suffer from high costs of their products as they lack the application of modern methods to measure and determine the cost and lack of use of contemporary cost technologies that will reduce product costs and improve the competitive position of economic units. The cost reduction is one of the most important strategies adopted by the economic units to achieve a competitive advantage and the need for an integrated framework for managing the cost, from here should be reviewed to rely on traditional systems in the process of measuring the costs, Therefore, the present study has worked to adopt the use of modern methods to measure the cost, namely the approach Attribute based costing in response to the need of economic units to modern methods fit in with the modern environment changes.The current study tagged (Attribute based costing measure approach to reduction cost) methodology was designed to identify the fundamental problem of that there a lack of traditional systems to measure costs and their inability to meet the needs and requirements of customers to quality and the right price, Thus, the present study aims to address the knowledge foundations to attribute based costing approach and indicate reasons and justifications for the use attribute based costing approach and requirements and implementation steps And its role in reducing product costs in the company's research sample.The current study has gained importance from the fact that the entrance to the Attribute based costing provides the required information through cost measurement on the basis of specifications desired by the customer, which helps management economic units to improve the value of products and reduce costs, This approach also helps in providing products Attributes that add value to customers and meet their requirements as shows the value of attribute through the integration between the value engineering and attribute based costing.This present study helped to make some scientific additions in relation to the attribute based costing approach and the connection between this approach and value engineering technique so it is an intellectual contribution and the value of knowledge.

تحديد التوجهات الاستراتيجية لعينة من قائممقاميات محافظة بغداد

Author name: ضحى محمد حميد
Supervisor name: هناء عبد الحسين محيميد الطائي
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يتوقف نجاح او فشل المنظمة على مدى قدرتها على تحقيق رسالتها وغاياتها واهدافها، وهذا يتطلب وضع استراتيجية معينة والسعي لتنفيذها في ظل التغيرات المختلفة المحيطة بالمنظمة.لذا جاءت هذه الدراسة والخاصة بتحديد التوجهات الاستراتيجية لعينة من قائممقاميات محافظة | The success or failure of the organization to the extent of its ability to achieve its mission , goals and objectives , and this requires a certain strategy and seek to implement them under various changes surrounding the organization.So this study and for determining the strategic direction of a sample of Qa?mqamyat governor of Baghdad through the diagnosis and study of reality Alqa?mqamih for a selected sample and diagnosis of strategic directions.The researcher has chosen four Qa?mqamyat in Baghdad province to sample distributed on (18) a person within Alqa?mqamyat were distributed list of polled respondents surveyed about the basic components of the strategic management and strategic analysis of the environment, both internal and external to form a clear picture about the strategic planning process of the sample surveyed.The most important conclusion that was reached : 1 - The lack of a strategy document for the sample surveyed.2 - to execute the business is unplanned and only applications that are offered by the citizens.The most important recommendations that have been reached : 1 - The need to adopt a strategic approach in administrative work through raising awareness of those who work in the existing Mqamih.2 - Study of Strategic Analysis and its components and the degree of influence of each of the elements toward deepening awareness of the practice and the formation of a realistic perception for the sample surveyed is based on scientific grounds

تاثير الانماط القيادية في ادارة الازمات بتوسيط التخطيط الاستراتيجي : بحث ميداني في مقر وزارة الكهرباء == The Impact of Leadership Styles In Crises Management By The Strategic Planning Field Research In The Headquarters of Ministry of Electricity

Author name: ضحى باسل مظفر
Supervisor name: هديل كاظم سعيد
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: سعى هذا البحث الى تناول تاثير الانماط القيادية (المتغير المستقل) بابعادها (الاوتوقراطي, والديمقراطي) في ادارة الازمات (المتغير المعتمد) بابعادها (اتخاذ قرار الاستجابة, والاتصالات وتدفق المعلومات, وحشد وتعبئة الموارد) من خلال التخطيط الاستراتيجي (المتغير ا | The current research aims at testing the impact of leadership styles (autocratic, democratic) in crises management (Making decision response, communications and flow of information , Mobilization of resources) through strategic planning (Mission, objectives, and environmental analysis, and strategic choice) among managers of the Iraqi Ministry of electricity, there can be no doubt that these topics important for organizations, as it won a study leadership styles attention of many researchers and scholars , Crises management is also vital function and essential for the management, and strategic planning is the keystone underlying the crises management, as the problem with the current research, including experienced public organization of the dynamic change left traces in the activities and objectives, generating pressure about the importance of having leadership styles capable of crises management through strategic planning as one of the basic - tools for dealing with crises, based on this problem and objectives was to clarify the relationship between the main and subsidiary research variables through some of the basic assumptions and formulation subset hypotheses. Questionnaire has been adopted as a tool in data and information collection relating to research, as it had been prepared on the basis of a number of standards - based and using the runway Likert quintet, which has been subjected to standards of validity and reliability and distributed to a sample consisting of (96) managers at the three departments of Ministry of electricity , research data were analyzed using the Ready statistical programs (SPSS) and (Excel), the most important statistical tools used in the analysis are : "the percentage of recurrence, the arithmetic mean, standard deviation coefficient of variation, the correlation coefficient of Spearman, simple linear regression, T - test, and Anova - test ".Statistical methods have produced number of conclusions, perhaps most notably : there was a significant correlation and effect between (leadership styles and strategic planning) and (leadership styles and crises management) and (strategic planning and crises management), and the level of impact of the leadership styles in crises management is increasing the presence of strategic planning, as for the most important recommendations, it is necessary to strengthen administrative leaders in the Ministry surveyed for crises management and strategic planning by participating in training courses to increase their experience and knowledge in the use of modern and effective methods, And access to the experiences of developed countries and benefit from the best possible way

التنبؤ باعداد طلبة المدارس في محافظة بغداد لغاية 2024 == Forecasting Numbers of School Students In Baghdad Province Up To 2024

Author name: صهيب اسماعيل عبد اللطيف
Supervisor name: اسماء نجم عبد الله
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: جميعنا يعلم ان التعليم يبدا من خلال مراحل متعددة والتي تشكل سلسلة زمنية يمكن الاستفادة منها والتنبؤ بها من اجل تحسين وتطوير هذا القطاع المهم, مما لاشك فيه ان للتنبؤ دورا مهما وبارزا في عملية اتخاذ القرارات التي ترسم مسار الادارات والهيئات لما له من نتا | We all know that education starts through multiple stages, which constitute a time series that can be tapped and predictable in order to improve and develop this important sector.There is no doubt that to predict an important and prominent role in the decision - making process that paint departments and agencies track because of its ineffective results, because it contains a range of methods and statistical methods, including the methods, time series analysis and style Box and Jenkins, one of them, which depends on the time series of the phenomenon being studied analysis to provide the so - called autoregressive moving averages models characterized that methodology that can predict the data that appear in the future, based on time series data of interest in the past.The research aims to predict the numbers of school students, and educational supplies to the province of Baghdad, using the best model among the Box _ Jenkins models.The most research data numbers, primary and secondary school students in the province of Baghdad and for the period from 1969 until 2014, equivalent to (45) Show, which build a better model was to predict the numbers of students for both phases (primary, secondary), where the researcher found a better specimen prediction for primary school students was the specimen is ARIMA (1,1,3) the best specimen for secondary students is ARIMA (1,1,0) and through a table predictive values for each of the primary and secondary enables the researcher to assess the educational supplies by developments in the preparation of students increase according to the regulations and instructions of the Ministry of Education.Search was divided into four chapters shows the first chapter introduction research and objective of the research and review Reference The second chapter took the theoretical aspect of identifying the theoretical bases of Box_cengnz models in time - series analysis of either the third quarter included the practical side.Was estimated (the number of people to primary and secondary education, the number of primary and secondary schools, the number of teachers, number of teachers, the number of supervisors, the number of supervisors specialists, the number of school trips, the number of books for primary and secondary).The fourth chapter and the latter is for the conclusions and recommendations reached by the researcher that benefit the sound development of plans for the advancement of the educational sector

استخدام القيمة العادلة في تقييم الاصول الاحيائية وتاثيرها في تعزيز جودة الابلاغ المالي لشركات القطاع الزراعي في العراق == Usage Fair Value In Evaluating Biological Assets And Its Affects In Enhancing The Quality of Financial Reporting of The Companies In Agricultural Sector In Iraq

Author name: صهباء عبد القادر احمد الصفاوي
Supervisor name: عامر محمد سلمان الجنابي
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تمثل الاصول الاحيائية عناصر الانتاج الاساسية في الشركات الزراعية، وتتميز تلك الاصول بطبيعتها الحية وقابليتها على التكاثر والنمو والاضمحلال مما يؤثر في قيمتها، وبهدف الابلاغ عنها بشكل سليم، اثير جدل حول مدخل القياس الاكثر ملاءمة لطبيعتها الحية، وقد اه | The biological assets represent the basic elements of production in agricultural companies they are characterized by their living nature and their ability to reproduction , growth and decay which affect their values and to reporting about them properly , there was an argument about the measurement approach which is the most suitable for their living nature.The professional organizations interested in this subject. In the local environment The Accounting Rule (11) (The Accounting In Agricultural Activity ) issued to provide the accounting knowledge for various agricultural activities and to clarify the basis that should be used in evaluating those assets concentrating on the historical cost's approach. The International Standards Board has issued the International Accounting Standard (41) "Agriculture " which obligated using of fair value in evaluating the biological assets when it is possible.The research aims to explain the biological assets Concept and the ability of the fair value application in evaluating the assets in the Iraqi agricultural companies , and to explain their influence in the enhancing the financial reporting quality.The research has reached to some conclution's , they are : - There is more than one approach which is permitted to be used in evaluating the biological assets in agricultural companies , but the importance of evaluating according to the fair value approach, which allows to measure the growth changes and biological transformation according the current values and over the life - time of the biological assets and recognizing in the financial statements.The financial reporting Model about the biological assets which is prepared according to the international standard's requirements provide information more quality in measurement and discoursing and presenting from the financial reporting Model that prepared according to the local Accounting Rule (11).In local environment there are active markets available for deliberating the biological assets for sale and the agricultural crops, but the markets are not very active in deliberating the non - current biological assets for each age - stages and with the existence of governmental entity supervising the markets concerning with documenting prices continuously.The research represents several recommendations, the most important are Developing the local Accounting Rule (11) "Accounting In Agricultural Activity " , assimilating the international accounting standard requirements (41) according to the local environments data.• Setting up a website by the Ministry of Agriculture to publish the prices of current and non - current biological assets as well as the agricultural crop's prices continuely according to the markets changes.• Improving the presentation of biological asset's in balance sheet by presenting it independently of the other non - current asset 's items and should be marked that it was be measured according to the fair value as well as the current biological assets to present independently of other stock items with reference to the basis that was used in measuring and to give privacy on the statements of agricultural companies and to distinguish them from the statements of other sectors.

استخدام نظام ال (ABC) في تخصيص وتوزيع التكاليف التسويقية وترشيد قرارات التسعير : دراسة تطبيقية في الشركة العامة لتوزيع المنتجات النفطية الوسطى == Using ABC System For Assigning And Allocating Marketing Costs And Directing Pricing Decisions An Applied Study In Oil Products Distribution Company (State Co.) /The Middle

Author name: صلاح هادي محمد الخالدي
Supervisor name: فائز نعيم يوسف
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد نظام الـ ABC من احدث نظم التكاليف في الوقت الحاضر واكثرها دقة في تحديد تكاليف المنتجات، وبذلك يتطرق هذا البحث الى اهمية وضرورة استخدام نظام الـ ABC في تخصيص التكاليف التسويقية لغرض ترشيد القرارات الادارية المهمة مثل قرارات التسعير. اذ ان زيادة التكا | ABC system is considered the most modern and accurate system in determining products costs at present time. So this research deals with the importance and necessity of using ABC system in assigning marketing costs to direct the significant managerial decisions such as pricing decisions. The increase in marketing costs have increased their importance, and this requires to assign them to products in making pricing decisions, and not only assign production costs; as the traditional systems information have become misleading & confused, and the management can’t depend on them in making the significant decisions such as pricing decisions and products profitability valuation decisions.In addition to that the allocation of marketing costs to cost objectives (product, customer) must be done in a logical accurate way to get the most accurate costs of products, and to support the management with the more objective information. Hence, ABC system is used to assign those costs and this study aims to show the possibility of using ABC system in assigning marketing costs and the importance of that in directing pricing decisions.This research consists of four chapters; the first one in title “marketing costs and pricing decisions” includes three parts. The first one contains the concept of marketing and marketing costs, their characteristics, and importance at present time. The second one deals with the main purposes of classifying costs. Whereas the third part includes one of the previous purposes which is making managerial decisions represented in pricing decisions, it contains pricing concepts, its importance, objectives, and the essential methods of pricing, with advantage and disadvantage of each method.The second chapter in title “The concept and importance of ABC system and its designing steps”, deals with ABC system in two parts. The first one includes ABC system concept, the reasons of its emergence, the philosophy of ABC system, the essential indicators dependent in applying this system, and the benefits achieved of applying it. The second one shows the essential steps of designing ABC system in marketing companies and the role of this system in directing pricing decisions. The third chapter represent the practical part of this research which titled “Applying ABC system in Oil Products Distribution Company (State Co.) / The Middle”. This chapter contains four parts , the first one includes a historical and acknowledging summary about the company, the sample of this research (Oil Products Distribution Company (State Co.) / The Middle) , the second one shows the steps of applying ABC system in that company. The third one is about operating ABC system in the company to determine the products costs, and how much it is important in directing pricing decisions. Whereas the fourth one includes the determinations of mechanism dependent in pricing products for the distributing company, and determining the suggestive prices by depending on cost informations that provided the ABC system.Finally the fourth chapter which is “ The conclusions and recommendations”. It is of two parts, the first one is about the conclusions, and the second one is about the recommendations

التقييم الاقتصادي - المالي للشركة العامة لصناعة البطاريات للمدة (1992 - 2002) == Economic - Financial Evaluation of The General Establishment of Batteries Industry For The Period (1992 - 2002)

Author name: صفوان محمد شوقي حسام الدين البكري
Supervisor name: هاشم علوان السامرائي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد عملية التقييم الاقتصادي - المالي احد المراحل المهمة التي يمر بها المشروع للارتقاء بمستوى كفاءة اداءه. اذ يتم من خلال هذه العملية مساعدة متخذي القرار لتحديد البديل الافضل، الذي يحقق اكبر ربحية من بين الاستثمارات المتعددة. وان الحاجة لعملية التقييم | Economic evaluation is considered as one of the important stages to towards reaching efficiency. By this evaluation decision’s makers can decide alternatives for their investments, which make them most lucrative. Also, economic evaluation stems from the fact that economic resources that are invested in projects are scarce. The hypothesis of this research is that the general establishment of the batteries industry suffers from low efficiency of performance, and therefore the goal is to alleviate such inefficiency.The chemical industry sector is consider an important economic sector in the national economy, because of its high contribution to national income formation, and plays an important role in economic development.The products of the general establishment are considered important goods because they include (21) products. Therefore, the title of this research became ‘economic - financial evaluation of the establishment of batteries industry (1992 - 2002)’.The application of several suitable economic evaluation criteria was used. Future plan for the establishment for the period (2005 - 2014) was built by the use of economic feasibility schedule and then this schedule has been tested by sensitivity analysis. This study covered four chapters. The first one the actual performance of the chemical sector and batteries industry in Iraq through the development of some economic - financial indicators for the period (1992 - 2002). The second one introduced the theoretical framework of the study with different economic evaluation criteria, which were used in the study. Also, the relative importance of this company in comparison to the chemical industry sector was shown.The third chapter dealt with the same application of economic criteria mentioned in the theoretical framework.for the period (1992 - 2002) using the actual data mentioned in the first chapter.The fourth chapter introduced the future plan for the period (2005 - 2014) by the use of economic feasibility schedule, with sensitivity analysis for the establishment.Finally, several conclusions and recommendations were mentioned about the establishment.

قياس وتحليل استجابات السياسة المالية لصدمات معدل التبادل التجاري في دول مختارة للمدة (1990 - 2012) == Measuring And Analyzing The Responses of Fiscal Policy To The Terms of Trade Shocks In Selected Countries For The Period 1990 - 2012

Author name: صفاء علي حسين البكري
Supervisor name: هناء عبد الحسين محيميد الطائي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The Fiscal Policy is considered an important instrument of the Macroeconomic policy , because it provides tools and mechanisms that response to many shocks that face the national economy such as the Terms of Trade Shocks.Since the fiscal policy may take the procycle or countercycle path , that depends on the nature of the country and/or the type of shock.The hypothesis of this study as follows " The response of fiscal policy to the Terms of Trade Shocks leads to take Expansionary or Contractionary fiscal policy According to the shock?s type , which may be negative or positive , and it is effects on the level of economic activity ".This study aims at , firstly , the analyzing of the mechanism of fiscal policy response to the Terms of Trade Shocks in selected countries , and secondly , the measuring the scope of fiscal policy response to Terms of Trade Shocks in these countries , using Time Series for the period (1990 - 2012).The study consist of three chapters , the first one is devoted to the fiscal policy and terms of trade shocks as a theoretical framework. while the second chapter analysis the response of fiscal policy to these shocks (selected countries). the third one contains the measurement of fiscal policy response to the Terms of Trade shocks in these countries for the period (1990 - 2012).The study concluded that the fiscal policy response in Developed Countries (United States and Australia ) was countercyclical , while it was procyclical in Developing Countries , special those Oil - introducing (Ecuador and Iraq).And the researcher recommended that there is insist need to separates the relationship between the terms of trade and oil sector to avoid the terms of trade shocks that could be resulting from oil price fluctuations.

ادارة الازمة في محافظة صلاح الدين من وجهة نظر استراتيجية : دراسة حالة

Author name: صفاء احمد محمد الجبوري
Supervisor name: علي حسون فندي الطائي
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تضمن البحث التعريف بمفهوم الازمة مراحلها واهم متطلبات ادارتها لغرض تجسيد هذا الاطار النظري ستراتيجيا على ارض الواقع عن طريق وضع ستراتيجية ملائمة لادارة ازمة النزوح في محافظة صلاح الدين لوقف نمو الازمة وتقليل نتائجها السلبية وذلك باعتماد المناهج والاسس | The research includes definition of the concept of crisis stages and the most important management requirements for the purpose of the embodiment of this theoretical framework strategically on the ground by placing the appropriate strategy for the management of the displacement crisis in Salahuddin province to stop the growth of the crisis and minimize the negative consequences and that the adoption of curricula and scientific bases and administrative that limit damage financial crisis, psychological, and social, if not eliminate, and thus the success of the government institution in the performance of their duties and responsibilities towards the community. And highlight the importance of research by shedding light on the administrative aspects plaguing Salahuddin province in the face of the current crisis in order to provide an idea about the two main aspects first : respect of basic services in the province, and the second is linked to the displaced people and returning them, and it was the most important objectives of the study analysis and study the number of displaced as places of displacement and provide visualization on the priorities of their return, as well as determine the budgets required for each sector of the service sectors to promote the reality service as the aim of the research to provide a simplified model for the plan managing the crisis in the province and providing a model for the development of strategies and programs to manage the crisis.

دور ادارة الاداء في تحقيق النجاح المنظمي : بحث تحليلي في الشركة العامة للصناعات القطنية == The Role of Performance Management In Achieving Organizational Success Analytical Research In The General Company of Cotton Industries

Author name: صفا محمد ابراهيم شهاب
Supervisor name: فاضل حمد سلمان القيسي
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: عانت الشركات والمؤسسات الصناعية العراقية خلال السنوات الماضية من تراجع في اداءها وبصورة واضحة من ما ادى الى تراجع في مستويات نجاحها, وباعتبار الاداء مؤشر رئيسي يعبر عن نجاح تلك الشركات والمؤسسات ومنها الشركة العامة للصناعات القطنية بغداد_ الكاظمية, لذا جا | The Iraqi companies and industrial institutions have suffered during the last years of decline in performance clearly which led to a decline in the levels of success. As the performance is a key main indicator reflects the success of these companies and institutions, including the General Company for Cotton Industries Baghdad_ Al - Kadhimiya. The idea of this research is the basis of the role exercised by the dimensions of performance management (Performance Planning - performance evaluation - improve the performance and development - feedback - Review and Performance Monitor) In order to achieve the success Organizational Is through the (strategic vision - the operational activity - development of the company - selection of personnel - the company's culture - Leadership and Management - Personal Development - Assessment and Review) And research aims to identify the extent of the responsibility of performance management in achieving success Organizational through main hypotheses branched out by the sub - hypotheses to knowing out the relationship between research and impact variables through the use of a number of statistical methods.. And researcher used Purposive sample style and personal interviews and field homeliness and to questionnaire a tool for measuring and data on the sample in the collection of the practical side. And so to answer questions on the problem of research. And it may be distributed to the 66 members of their (Director - assistant Director) and have been relying on the program (spss) statistical and some statistical measures such as the arithmetic mean. standard deviation, The coefficient of variation, Simple deviation coefficient, as well as leveraged subjected to sincerity and stability to ensure the validity of statistical result have also been relying on researches and studies concerning the researches in the theoretical side.And in the light of the statistical results Find reach a number of conclusions was the most important of a correlation relationship and the impact of significant differences between the performance management and success Organizational addition to a set of recommendations by the researcher believes that it may contribute to addressing some of the problems and constraints faced by the company surveyed, The most important was the need to build a system of the performance management in the company and work on its success because it contributes to the improvement and development of performance And provide real information about staff performance Besides that performance management is a continuous and integrated process contribute significantly in achieving company objectives in the present time and the future and reach success and to provide efficient and effective human resource.

انعكاس راس المال النفسي الايجابي في تطوير السلوك الابداعي للعاملين بتوسيط دافع الانجاز بحث ميداني في عينة من تشكيلات وزارة الاعمار والاسكان == Reflection of Positive Psychological Capital In Development An Innovation Behavior Employee’s By Mediation The Achievement Motive Field Research In A Sample of The Formations And The Ministry of Construction And Housing

Author name: صفا عبد الجبار مهدي الشماع
Supervisor name: غني دحام تناي الزبيدي
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • راس المال النفسي الايجابي
  • دافع الانجاز، السلوك الابداعي
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الحالي الى تحديد دور راس المال النفسي الايجابي في تطوير السلوك الابداعي بتوسيط دافع الانجاز، وكذلك تشخيص وتفسير طبيعة هذه المتغيرات وابعادها، ولقد اختبر هذا البحث في شركات تابعة لوزارة الاعمار والاسكان العراقية في بغداد، وطبق البحث على عينة مكو | The research aims to determining role of positive psychological capital in the development of the employee’s innovative behavior. As well as the diagnosis and interpretation of the nature of these variables and dimensions, I have tested the search in the some companies the Ministry of Construction and housing, with total sample of (190) managers of departments and division. The questionnaire used as a major tool to collecting the data and information as well as conducting personal interviews in order to get some corporate data.The Research aimed to test a number of hypotheses concerning the correlation and impact, relations between the variables and the dimensions and test the significant differences between the companies. The research problem is represented by many questions; the most distinguished one is what is the level of awareness of the research sample to positive psychological capital, achievement motive, and innovation behavior? What are the nature of the correlation and impact, relations between these variables? Is positive psychological capital increasing impact in the development of innovative behavior through the mediation of achievement motive?The research concluded a set of conclusions the most important the positive acceptance of the sample individuals towards positive psychological capital variable through their conscious of Self - efficacy and characterized by the spirit of optimism and hope, and possessing sufficient Resilience and the ability to keep up with reality and adaptation. As well as the interest in strengthening the innovative capacities in order to bring about necessary developments for the conduct of business in the projects that belong to the surveyed companies. The main recommendation was the need for the companies to take advantage of the positive psychological capital Based on a focus on mental health characteristics of employees in the surveyed companies, which contribute in the development of innovative behavio

استعمال التحليل المالي لقائمة التدفق النقدي كوسيلة لتقييم مصادر النقد واستعمالاته في منشات الاعمال : دراسة تطبيقية في شركة المنسوجات الصوفية في الناصرية == Uses of Financial Analysis For Cash Flow Statement As Amean For Evaluating The Sources And Uses of Cash In Business Enterprises Applied Study At The Textil Company In Nassiriyah

Author name: صبيحة برزان فرهود
Supervisor name: اسماعيل خليل اسماعيل
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: This research aims to appear Cash Flow Statement as article or mean to assessment sources and uses the cash in the textile company in Nassiriyah through , using the financial analysis ( financial Ratios ) to results of cash flow statement for the year 2002 , so the application studies of the research showed that pure of Cash Flow From financing and employing activities were negative as a result of increasing of cash uses to it sources , while the Cash Flow of investment activities was positive causing that a reason of increasing the cash in 2002 for this company ( research sample ) is a result of investment activities.Through of using financial analysis ( financial ratios ) appears to upper in a company management ( research sample ) many of financial indictors that will be a basic to get many of discussions to repeat of view in evaluation of uses and sources cash in the company , on the basis of achievement a balance between the sources and uses of cash in all of the three activities ( operating - investing - financing ), then a balance among sharing of all of these activities in yearly cash increasing for the company.To realize the aims of this research ,therefor , we divide it into four chapters. The first specifies to the theoretical side of Cash Flow Statement , while the second chapter specifies to the financial analysis and the role of accounting information in financial analysis, the third specializes to application side and analysis of the results. The fourth chapter obtained the conclusions of a theoretical and Application sides , recommendation.

تقنيات ادارة الكلفة الستراتيجية ودورها في تنفيذ وتقويم الستراتيجيات الوظيفية في بيئة الاعمال المعاصرة : دراسة تطبيقية في الشركة العامة لصناعة الزيوت النباتيه == Strategic Cost Management Techniques And Its Role In Implementation And Evaluation The Functional Strategies In Contemporary Business Environment

Author name: صباح عبد الوهاب عبد الرزاق النعيمي
Supervisor name: ثائر صبري محمود الغبان
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The contemporary business environment is surrounded by different challenges and pressures such as globalization , competitive advantage , continuous improvement , information technology etc, These should be taken in consideration if the business wanted to be able to complete with others and to achieve its objectives by attaining a clear success.A strategy, in general, is the plan of the higher management in the long - run, to achieve the results which coincide with the mission of the entities and its goals, this depends on what the management can do as to elements of strength and weaknesses, and how it should do to face the threats and opportunities.Strategy cannot be implemented without a strategic management; because it represents the ideas the management wishes to apply in a strategic approach in the management of economic entities.Strategic management can be on three levels, the level of the whole economic entity, or it can be on the level of each unit of activity, or it can be of the level of each functions level.The application of these strategies this should be coordinated and implemented, it must be noted that the functional strategy is very essential for the success of any secondary system in the economic entity, in order to reach the objectives. To be a successful strategy, the economic entity must take into consideration continuously, the needs of its customers, and to consider the changing of the environment and successful Factors, this is done by the use of certain techniques, vize, cost management which is a term used to describe the practices and action of management to reduce costs and to control it, in order to satisfy the customers. So this study aims at showing the role of cost management strategies techniques in the execution and evaluation of functional strategies through the guidance by strategies approach of cost management system.In order to complete this study, it was divided into six chapters to cover the theoretical and practical sides. The first chapter deals with cost management information and the contemporary business environment.The second chapter is about strategic management and functional strategies.While the third chapter take the study of cost management information and functional strategies.The fourth chapter is confined to the study of the present performance of the company in finance, production and costing.The fifth chapter displays the test of the proposed methodology to apply some cost management techniques to implemented and evaluate functional strategies.The last chapter is related to show the conclusions and recommendation which are arrived at through the theoretical and practical study.This study shows that the use of cost management techniques which helps the economic entity to ensure the basic factors of success, through data concerning external facts, rivals to rivals and customers, in addition to financial and non - financial data which are connected with these factors, in the fields of implementation and evaluating functional strategies, which are related to the success of the entity and reaching its gools and objectives.

اشكال تمويل الخدمات الصحية العامة في العراق : دراسة تحليلية == Financing Fors For Governmental Health Services In Iraq Analytic Study

Author name: صباح صاحب المستوفي
Supervisor name: محمد علي ابراهيم العامري
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تناولت هذه الدراسة خيارات تمويل الخدمات الصحية في العراق، اذ بحث الجزء النظري منها الخلفية التاريخية لواقع الخدمات الصحية حيث كان العراق من الدول التي شهدت تحسن في مستوى خدماتها الصحية الا ان هذه الخدمات تدهورت واحد اسباب تدهورها هو شحة التمويل، ولم يستطع | The study discuss financing forms for Iraqi's Health Sector, the 1st part review the main features of the current health situation, during the last period there has been a disastrous decline in people's health because of the shortage of finance.Both the central budget and self - financing (auto - financing) can not improve the level of health financing to increase the health expenditure per capita to the same level in the surrounding countries.The 2nd part of the study analyse the financial data and compare the results with some health statistics as indicators for the level of health services, the result of analysis indicate the need for repair of the health financing system in addition to search for new health financing forms.The main option to raise money for health is to charge patients for health care, charges were the main sources to improve the health system and make users aware of the real costs of health care.To increase the financial risk protection, a high percentage of funding should be prepayment rather than coming from out - of - pocket sources at the point of using health services, so that it is important to ensure that appropriate levels of financing for health sector are included when ever the government prepares it's budgets.Islamic aids as an alternative can contribute to social health insurance funds, a tax on tobacco could be introduced and the proceeds allocated to the health budget on the ground that smoking cause ill health and impose extra costs on the health services

دور القوة التنظيمية في تحديد استراتيجيات ادارة الموارد البشرية : بحث ميداني في مجلس محافظة كركوك == The Role of Organizational Power In Determine Human Resources Management Strategies Field Research At Kirkuk Province Council

Author name: صبا مناور عبد المحمدي
Supervisor name: اثير انور شريف
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: سعى البحث الحالي بعنوان دور القوة التنظيمية في تحديد استراتيجيات ادارة الموارد البشرية الى تناول القوة التنظيمية(المتغير المؤثر) بابعادها(قوة الخبرة, القوة الهيكلية, قوة المنزلة) في استراتيجيات ادارة الموارد البشرية(المتغير المعتمد) بابعادها(استراتيجية ال | Sought current research entitled The role of organizational power in determine human resources management strategies to address organizational power (influential variable) dimensions (expert power, structure power, prestige power ) in human resources management strategies (adopted) dimensions variable (staffing strategy, training strategy , Incentives strategy, performance appraisal strategy ) among the staff in the provincial council in Kirkuk strategy, which is no doubt that this is an important topic for organizations as the problem with the current research, including experienced by public organizations from the challenges and changes rapidly left traces on the activities and objectives and to provide services to its citizens, generating pressure about the importance the existence able to identify any of the strategies, organizational power, and build on this problem were to clarify the relationship between research main and branch variables by formulating hypotheses major research first hypothesis : is to make sure there is a linkage between organizational power administration and human resources management strategies dimensions administration, second hypothesis : It is to determine the nature of significant positive moral effect relationship between two variables that I found. To ensure the validity of the assumptions the research was applied on an intentional sample of (72 ) employees at Kirkuk province council who have posts (consil member, department heads,units responsibles, and emplyees),and we used questionair as main tool to measure the research variables and to deal with the data, we used number of the statistical means which the most important were (the ration and the repeatition, mathematical means, standard deviation, correlation sample, simple linear Regression sample) by using spss. The research reached to number of inferences and recommendations the most important were that the sample individuals responses were all directed toward the agreement for the existance of the variables of the organizational power and humane resources management stratigies, in addition the research identified the existance of connection relation and affect between the organizational power and humane resource management strategies ingeneral in addition to the existance of connection and effect between the sub variables between the dimensions of the organizational power and humane resources management strategies in their axes, so all the main the sub research assumption were acceted, the research was concluded with anamber of recommendation which the most important were : taking care to the types of the organizational power especially the individuals who consist the source of experience power for the importance in developing the reality of humane resources management strategies in the competitive environment in addition to the nessisaty for the council to take care to appointing and employing strategies for their importance that is reflocting on the other strategies and identify its success or failing.

مقارنة بعض طرائق تقدير المعلمة والمعولية لانموذج ريلي للفشل لبيانات تامة وبيانات تحت المراقبة من النوع الاول باستخدام المحاكاة == A Comparison of Some Estimation Methods of Parameter And Reliability of Rayleigh Failure Model For A Complete Data And Type One Censored Data By Using Simulation

Author name: صبا صباح احمد الجميلي
Supervisor name: عبد المجيد حمزة الناصر
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعرض الكثير من الباحثين الى انموذج ويبل للفشل (Weibull Failure Model) وتطبيقاته المختلفة كونه احد نماذج الفشل الشائعة الى جانب اهميته في حقل المعولية واختبارات الحياة. فـي هـذا البحث تـم تقديـر معلمــة القياس ودالـة المعوليـة لانموذج ريلـي للفشـل (Rayle | Weibull Failure Model and its different applications have been studied by many researchers, since it is one of the well known failure models in addition to its importance in the reliability field and life tests.This research estimated the scale parameter and reliability function for Rayleigh Failure Model, which is one of the well known failure model in the reliability field and life tests and the signal analysis.The research focused on the comparison between some of the well known estimation methods (classical and Bayesian) for the scale parameter and reliability function of this model by using the Maximum likelihood, Moments, White and Standard Bayes estimation methods.The methodology of the research depends on theoretical study, the methods of classical and Bayesian estimation has been determined elaborately to arrive to the estimations forms of reliability.Also this research depends on an experimental study by designing number of simulation experiments using various values of parameters and sample sizes, this experiment replicated to get high homogeny for the comparison among the estimation methods.Two kinds of data are used in the research : 1 - Complete Data.2 - Time - Censored Data. The researcher suggested two Bayesian methods for estimation in case of complete data; the first is a loss function obtained by compressing the well known square loss function which called it (The Compressed Bayes Method), and the second is a prior function which is called (The Developed Bayes Method). The comparison between the two proposed methods is done to show the effect of Bayesian estimator, then a comparison done between the best proposed methods with the best well known methods to show which estimator is the more accurate to be used for estimation the scale parameter and reliability function for Rayleigh failure model.The results of these experiments show that White method is the best from the other methods which are used in this research in estimating the scale parameter and reliability function, and the results show that the proposed Compressed Bayes method is better than the Standard Bayes and the Maximum Likelihood methods, while the proposed Developed Bayes method verified that it is better than the Moment method in estimating the scale parameter and the reliability function; and better than the Maximum Likelihood estimation method in estimating the reliability function, and using any of the proposed methods (Compressed Bayes, Developed Bayes) is better than the Standard Bayes method. In case of censored data the simulation experiments proved that the Maximum Likelihood estimation method is better than the Standard Bayes estimation method. A comparison of preference estimation methods is done by using the two standards; Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).

كيفية اعداد خطة استراتيجية لمجلس محافظة الديوانية == How To Prepare A Strategy For The Council of Diwaniyah Plan

Author name: صادق شمخي عبود الزبيدي
Supervisor name: علي حسون فندي الطائي
Specific topic: Local Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان الغرض من البحث هو التعرف على كيفية اعداد خطة استراتيجية لمجلس محافظة الديوانية ومدى تطبيق المنهج العلمي الذي يشتمل على التحليل الاستراتيجي للبيئة الخارجية والداخلية ووضع رؤية رسالة واهداف واختيار الاستراتيجيات المناسبة، وقد تمحورت مشكلة البحث في اثارة | The purpose of the research is to recognize the reality of strategic planning in the province of Diwaniyah and the extent of the application of the scientific method, which includes the strategic analysis of the external and internal environment and develop a vision mission and objectives and selection of appropriate strategies. The scientific value is to look at it helps to provide an integrated and coordinated strategy for the provincial council in accordance with the plan on sound scientific grounds. The researcher used in the current research method descriptive and analytical depending on the checklist to see the reality of strategic planning in the province of Diwaniyah, which were distributed to the 24 members have been using statistical methods to analyze the data collected in the light of the answers to the study sample, including the mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation as well as highlighting the findings of a researcher is that there tarry in strategic projects adopted by the province and the failure of many of them and in the absence of development. Has been to reach a set of conclusions was the most important of which turned out to be the province of Diwaniyah Council would draft a letter to him explain the unique characteristics and attributes that characterize the rest of the other provincial councils. In the light of the conclusions drafted a set of recommendations, notably should the provincial council set up a strategic information system the task of analyzing the external and internal environment, environment variables as well as he should be on the provincial council promote the positive aspects of the culture and emphasis on the acceptance of a stable change in the board structure to prepare for those changes form in which it contributes in the development of an effective strategy for the Council plan.

تاثير تـدفق القـروض الخارجـية في تحقيق التحولات الهيكلية لاقتصادات بعض دول الاسكوا للمدة (1990 - 2002) == The Effect of External Loans Flow Through Achieving Structural Transformation For The Economy of Some of The Escwa Countries (1990 - 2002)

Author name: صادق زوير لجلاج السعيدي
Supervisor name: راوية عبد الرحيم ياس
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: This Study Concerns itself with shedding some Lights on the size of External Loans flow of some Escwa Countries (Jordan, Egypt, Lebanon, and Yemen), the burden such Loans make and the ability of such Loans to make some desired Structural transformations in the economy of such countries.To achieve the above aim, an evaluation model was used (Chenery - Taylor) after making some modifications on that model. Then, the independent variables and Structural Indicators were specified. Such Structural Indicators are : 1 - Yagr : Represents share of the Agriculture sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP. 2 - Yind : Represents share of the Industrial sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP.3 - Yser : Represents share of the Service sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP.4 - Yaem : Represents share of the labor force in Agriculture sector as a percentage from the total labor force.5 - Yiem : Represents share of the labor force in Industrial sector as a percentage from the total labor force.6 - Ysem : Represents share of the labor force in Service sector as a percentage from the total labor force.The independent variables were : X1 : Total loans as a percentage from GNP. X2 : Total Investment as a percentage from GNP.X3 : Population.X4 : Gross domestic product per capita.X5 : Total exports of goods and service as a percentage from GNP.X6 : Total Imports of goods and service as a percentage fromGNP.This Study also depends on analytical quantity model in research for building economic model and estimate parameter in regression by (OLS) then tests the power of these models through statistical testing. The Study ends in some conclusions related to the results of analyzing the economic measurement model for the effect of some independent variables on chosen structural Indicators. Such structural transformation, which happened in nearly all the countries in the sample of this study. This study doesn’t take the transformation from agricultural sector to industrial and service sector, except (Egypt), the external loans has effect on desired structural transformation in its economy, this belongs to political causes..

تاثير تغير اسعار النفط على موازنة العراق العامة للفترة (2003 - 2014) == The Effect of Changes of Oil Prices By The General Budget For Iraq On Duration (2003 - 2014)

Author name: شيماء محمد احمد
Supervisor name: فارس طاھر حسن الكواز
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعتبر الايرادات النفطية والمتمثلة (بايرادات النفط الخام، ايرادات النفط المحلي ) والايرادات غير النفطية والمتمثلة (ايرادات الصناعة والزراعة والتجارة والضرائب وغيرها من الايرادات عدا الايرادات النفطية ) مصادر ممولة لايرادات الموازنة العامة في العراق, حيث ان | It considers oil revenues and of (crude oil revenues, domestic oil revenues) and non - oil revenues and of (industry, agriculture, trade, taxes and other revenue excluding oil revenues, revenues) funded sources of revenue for the general budget in Iraq, where the drop in oil prices has a major impact on oil revenues and therefore It affected the general budget revenues because it is almost entirely dependent on oil revenues. Using multiple linear regression was estimated statistical model for the general budget revenues practically using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (Spss( to see the spirits of each variable and finding the predicted values for the model of the general budget revenue estimates for the period) from 2003 to 2014 (where it was found by the estimates of the budget deficit revenue values public due to lower oil prices.

تقييم استراتيجية اختيار العاملين وانعكاسها على تعزيز راس المال البشري : بحث ميداني مقارن بين جامعة بغداد وجامعة كربلاء == Evaluating The Selection of Employee'S Strategy And There Reflection To Enhance Human Capital Comparative Research Between The University of Baghdad And The University of Karbala

Author name: شيماء رياض خليفة
Supervisor name: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف هذا البحث الى تقييم استراتيجية اختيار العاملين بابعادها (تقييم معايير استراتيجية اختيار العاملين, تقييم اجراءات استراتيجية اختيار العاملين, تقييم كفاءة القائمين على استراتيجية اختيار العاملين ) وانعكاسها على تعزيز راس المال البشري (تعزيز المعرفة, تع | This research aims to evaluate the selection of employee's to dimensionsstrategy (evaluate selection employee's strategy criteria, evaluateselection of employee's strategic Procedures, evaluate the efficiency ofthose in charge of the selection of employees) and its impacts on theEnhance of human capital (Enhance knowledge, Enhance skills,Enhance abilities) in a sample of professors (Deans and assistants andheads of departments) in (Baghdad University, and the University ofKarbala) as total sample size (99), which represent 50% of the totalcommunity to look deep (199) were distributed at (116 BaghdadUniversity ,83 in Karbala University.Has been used in the light of the objectives of the research descriptiveanalytical method, it has been a resolution tool key for data collection aswell as a personal interview, and using a number of statistical methodsfrequency distribution, and the arithmetic mean, percentages, to describethe research sample answers. Standard deviation to measure the absolutedispersion values Answers to the middle of the arithmetic.The coefficient of variation to measure the relative dispersion of thevalues of the answers to the middle of the arithmetic. The correlationcoefficient (Pearson) to measure the type and degree of the relationshipbetween research variables. The method of multiple regression analysis totest the impact of a number of variables. The Cronbach's alpha to test thevalidity and reliability. and test (ANOVA) to determine the differences inthe samples answers about the search variables. Global and assertiveanalysis and structural equation modeling SEM.The researcher reach a set of results the most important of a correlationrelationship is a direct and positive impact of the strategy selection ofprofessionals in the promotion of human capital in Iraqi universitiessurveyed came out Find the finding of a key is that the selection ofprofessionals Iraqi universities surveyed strategy evaluation (BaghdadUniversity, the University of Karbala) Good in all its dimensions(evaluate selection employee's strategy criteria, evaluate selection ofemployee's strategic Procedures, evaluate the efficiency of those incharge of the selection of employees) and they pay good attention to thepromotion of human capital.

استعمال بعض نماذج السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ باعداد التلاميذ المقبولين في الصف الاول الابتدائي في العراق للفترة (1969 - 2012) == Use Some Time - Series Models To Predict The Numbers of Pupils Admitted To The First - Grader In Iraq For The Period (1969 - 2012)

Author name: شيماء ابراهيم خليل
Supervisor name: هاني عبد الله حسن
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد التنبؤ بالسلوك المستقبلي للسلاسل الزمنية من الموضوعات الهامة في العلوم الاحصائية ولذلك فان التنبؤ بعدد التلاميذ المقبولين في الصف الاول الابتدائي في العراق يحتل مكانة هامة باعتبار الاتاحة الشاملة للتعليم الابتدائي لاطفال العالم تعد واحدة من الاهداف ال | The prediction of future behavior of the time series of important topics in science statistical therefore predict the number of students admitted to the first grade in Iraq occupies an important position as universal access to primary education for the children of the world is one of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG'S) and goals of " A World Fit Children's " (WFFC).Data were collected for research, which represents the number of students admitted to the first - grader in Iraq for the period (1969 - 2012) of the Ministry of Planning and Development Cooperation - Central Bureau of Statistics has been introduced into the statistical program spss version 18.In this research was the comparison between the two methods to predict which way each of the Box and Jenkins methods Exponential Smoothing to know the best way to predict based on the criteria (MAPE and BIC) where the method has proved its superiority to Exponential Smoothing way box - Jenkins

مقدرات الامكان الاعظم الموزونة الحصينة ومقارنتها مع طرائق اخرى لانموذج اللوجستك مع تطبيق عملي == Robust Weighted Maximum Likelihood Estimates And Their Comparsion With Other Methods of Logistic Model With Practical Application

Author name: شرين علي حسين
Supervisor name: نزار مصطفى جواد الصراف
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان معظم الدراسات في موضوع انموذج انحدار اللوجستك تاخذ طابعا اكثر تقدما في عملية التحليل الاحصائي الدقيق الذي يهدف الى الحصول على مقدرات ذات مستوى عال من الكفاءة. وتاتي اهمية الحاجة الى تطبيق الطرائق الحصينة عندما تكون بيانات الظاهرة المدروسة ملوثة , | In most of studies about the logistic regression model take in it's nature more progness in the procedure of acurate statistical analysis which aim getting estimators of a high level of efficiency , and importance of it's necessity to applicate of the robust methods, appears when the data of the studied phenomenon are contaminated , it means some of the observations vareit clearly from other observations called outliers which may produce estimators untrustworthy and so the decision will be false about the problem that we are trying to study it.From this point was the goal of this research in reaching robust estimators to estimate parameters of binary response logistic regression model through study some of theis estimators (method (WMLE) , method( M ) and method (Lp) ) and that by supposing three levels of contamination (0%,10%,30%). Also we use simulation in this study to compete between methods of studied estimator for all levels of the contaminated studies.In this thesis the researcher concluded the success of the method (WMLE (w1)) in estimate parameters of binary response logistic regression model, in comparsion with studied estimate methods by depending on statistical measures : Bias, Mean Square Error for parameters and model.Also the researcher specified a chapter for applying and using method WMLE (w1) on real data of angina pectoris patients which taking from Ibn - al - Nafees hospital for the purpose of estimate parameters of binary logistic regression model.
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