قياس وتحليل استجابات السياسة المالية لصدمات معدل التبادل التجاري في دول مختارة للمدة (1990 - 2012) == Measuring And Analyzing The Responses of Fiscal Policy To The Terms of Trade Shocks In Selected Countries For The Period 1990 - 2012
Author name:
صفاء علي حسين البكري
Supervisor name:
هناء عبد الحسين محيميد الطائي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Doctorate
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T3790 - p.pdf
Abstract:
The Fiscal Policy is considered an important instrument of the Macroeconomic policy , because it provides tools and mechanisms that response to many shocks that face the national economy such as the Terms of Trade Shocks.Since the fiscal policy may take the procycle or countercycle path , that depends on the nature of the country and/or the type of shock.The hypothesis of this study as follows " The response of fiscal policy to the Terms of Trade Shocks leads to take Expansionary or Contractionary fiscal policy According to the shock?s type , which may be negative or positive , and it is effects on the level of economic activity ".This study aims at , firstly , the analyzing of the mechanism of fiscal policy response to the Terms of Trade Shocks in selected countries , and secondly , the measuring the scope of fiscal policy response to Terms of Trade Shocks in these countries , using Time Series for the period (1990 - 2012).The study consist of three chapters , the first one is devoted to the fiscal policy and terms of trade shocks as a theoretical framework. while the second chapter analysis the response of fiscal policy to these shocks (selected countries). the third one contains the measurement of fiscal policy response to the Terms of Trade shocks in these countries for the period (1990 - 2012).The study concluded that the fiscal policy response in Developed Countries (United States and Australia ) was countercyclical , while it was procyclical in Developing Countries , special those Oil - introducing (Ecuador and Iraq).And the researcher recommended that there is insist need to separates the relationship between the terms of trade and oil sector to avoid the terms of trade shocks that could be resulting from oil price fluctuations.
