تاثير تـدفق القـروض الخارجـية في تحقيق التحولات الهيكلية لاقتصادات بعض دول الاسكوا للمدة (1990 - 2002) == The Effect of External Loans Flow Through Achieving Structural Transformation For The Economy of Some of The Escwa Countries (1990 - 2002)
Author name:
صادق زوير لجلاج السعيدي
Supervisor name:
راوية عبد الرحيم ياس
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T3779 - p.pdf
Abstract:
This Study Concerns itself with shedding some Lights on the size of External Loans flow of some Escwa Countries (Jordan, Egypt, Lebanon, and Yemen), the burden such Loans make and the ability of such Loans to make some desired Structural transformations in the economy of such countries.To achieve the above aim, an evaluation model was used (Chenery - Taylor) after making some modifications on that model. Then, the independent variables and Structural Indicators were specified. Such Structural Indicators are : 1 - Yagr : Represents share of the Agriculture sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP. 2 - Yind : Represents share of the Industrial sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP.3 - Yser : Represents share of the Service sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP.4 - Yaem : Represents share of the labor force in Agriculture sector as a percentage from the total labor force.5 - Yiem : Represents share of the labor force in Industrial sector as a percentage from the total labor force.6 - Ysem : Represents share of the labor force in Service sector as a percentage from the total labor force.The independent variables were : X1 : Total loans as a percentage from GNP. X2 : Total Investment as a percentage from GNP.X3 : Population.X4 : Gross domestic product per capita.X5 : Total exports of goods and service as a percentage from GNP.X6 : Total Imports of goods and service as a percentage fromGNP.This Study also depends on analytical quantity model in research for building economic model and estimate parameter in regression by (OLS) then tests the power of these models through statistical testing. The Study ends in some conclusions related to the results of analyzing the economic measurement model for the effect of some independent variables on chosen structural Indicators. Such structural transformation, which happened in nearly all the countries in the sample of this study. This study doesn’t take the transformation from agricultural sector to industrial and service sector, except (Egypt), the external loans has effect on desired structural transformation in its economy, this belongs to political causes..
