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بعض المقدرات الحصينة لقدرة الطيف وفق الانموذج المختلط ARMA مع تطبيق عملي == Some Robust Estimators For Power Spectrum According To The Arma Models With Application

Author name: سحر طارق محمود الرحيم
Supervisor name: عبد المجيد حمزة الناصر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تهدف الاطروحة ايجاد افضل مقدر(التقدير الامثل) لدرجة ارتداد الانموذج المختلط ARMA ذي الدرجات المتدنية لقدرة الطيف Power Spectrum والحصول على امثلية التنبؤ، اذ ان مشكلة الاطروحة تكمن في خطا اعتماد اساليب تقدير درجة الارتداد قبل اطفاء اثر الشواذ التجميعية ( | The Aim of The thesis is finding the best estimator (optimal estimate) the degree of rebound mixed model ARMA with low scores to Power Spectrum and get optimizing forecasting, As the problem of the thesis lies the mistake of adopting methods of estimating rebound degree before extinguishing (AO) Outliers (additives Values) in an estimate operation based on data series without getting rid of the effect of the presence of Outliers. According to This thesis addressing the Existence of the Outliers, in particular, (AO) Outliers after addressing the existence of Outliers, then starting estimate the optimization for a rebound.When interest in Robust estimates we must identify the time series contaminated Outliers with a certain probability models is defined due to lack of stability in addition to the difficulty of knowing specimen probabilistic it appears at first paragraph leap suddenly are called stereotypes Bahawaz Innovation Outlier, late to be the behavior of independent gay behavior values the other called Bahawaz aggregate Additive Outliers.When interest in estimates fortified must identify the time series contaminated Outliers with a certain probability models Unlimited Parameters is defined due to lack of Stationarity in addition to the difficulty of knowing probabilistic model ,it appears at first paragraph sudden leap are called Innovation Outlier, or be an independent behavior of other values called Additive Outliers.Shows the experimental side of the Thiess through a standard MSE, MAPE preference of Robust method on the Unrobes for all sample sizes and for all primary parameters assumed values, as well as for all default frequencies values (Wi), have an adverse impact in terms of efficiency when models ARMA (0,1), ARMA ( 0.2), and very slight variation when the model ARMA (1,1) the impact of outliers and the supposed frequencies (w) = [1/4, 1 / 3.3, 1 / 2.5, ½] small.The nature of the electrical signal surveyed of heart (ECG - Electrocardiogram) a vital signal , unstable and the form of Signal spectrum reflects the Performance of the human heart muscle and its health.is random changes sharp and irregular in time series represents the work of the heart of a natural person (without straining) include what is known Outliers caused by its actual nature not the result of errors in the measurement or the register, which makes them do not follow a particular distribution, led to the difficulty of conducting Assessments for Power spectrum according to the traditional methods of estimation that assumes distributed statistically,In addition to that the data generation processes require the availability of basic assumptions is inconsistent with the nature of the Heart signal ECG, and to minimize or reduce these assumptions adopted by the simulation approach often leads to unrealistic and far from the real system results and establishes a breakthrough for good properties of these estimates that we have made it necessary to adopt the idea of Robust estimates (M - estimate) in accordance with the Robust functions (Huber, Hample, Tukey, Andrew) in addition to the method of maximum likelihood Mle according to restricted simulations in the practical side, which serves as a purification process or soften the Estimators resulting from follow of statistical estimation methods on real data to determine the best estimators of Power spectrum and the search for the best Model and section distribution , and then apply the result of a trade - offs in according to indicator the indirect transition of the speed of the signal (?/S2) between the Estimation functions and Distributions on eight of combinations of Mixed model ARMA (p, q) and estimating MSE, RMSE and selecting the optimum combination which is ARMA (2,2) with Extreem value distribution and with Hampel function at section 200, which amounted to (MSE = 0.000109).

الاتساق الذاتي وتحليل المكونات الرئيسة == The Self - Consistency And Principal Component'S Analysis

Author name: سحر طارق محمود الرحيم
Supervisor name: رفعت لازم مشعل الخميسي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعني عبارة " الاتساق - الذاتي " اختبارا لمحور المكونات الرئيسة عندما يرتكز التوزيع على المحور الذي يعطي تقريبا بسيطا للتوزيع الاصلي متعدد المتغيرات.جرت عملية الاختبار بفحص نقص المطابقة Lack of Fit Test في ضوء طريقة البوتستراب (Bootstrap ) اي ( تكرار ا | The term " Self - Consistency " means ; examine the Self - consistency of a principal components axis : when a distribution is centered on a principal component axis, which provides a simple straight line approximation to a multivariate distribution.A principal component axis of a random vector X; is self - consistent if each point on the axis corresponds to the mean of X given that X projects orthogonally on to that point.this examination is done by " Bootstrap - Lack of fit " test applied on to two kinds of data set (real and simulation) with different samples (small, medium, large),depending on the probability values for getting levels of significance (to assess the self - consistency of principal component axis) which is based on the frame work of the data set, whether it will be true (towards to the elliptical form for the multivariate normal distribution) or generated data set using the restrictive simulation ( towards to the asymptotic spherical form for multivariate normal distribution ) that's for estimating the self - consistency by the hypothesis ;Hk : Yk is self - consistent for Xprincipal component analysis for factor analysis is use with the aim of analyzing the large number of variables and their effective factors by the factor rotation procedure which is assumes also the multivariate normal distribution, with proposed technique, based on the smallest column on X for different sizes of samples ( small " 5 - 20 " , medium " 25 - 50 ", and large " 60 - 100 ").High level of fit, is the result of " Bootstrap - Lack of fit" test in all sample size for all research variable's; with little difference and the best for male group of the results for female group on the size ( 5 - 35 ) , conversely for another size's.and also we saw highest level of self - consistency in the small sample size ( 5 - 20 ) for true data set using direct oblimin rotation method for male group, in the medium sample size ( 25 - 50) using the same method with direct method( None) for female group.In generated data set by normal restricted simulation technique, also high level of fit is the result of " Bootstrap - Lack of fit " test in all sample size's and for all sample Size's (small, medium, large) and for tow group's (male, female), which indicate to the usefulness of using the restricted simulation technique to take pure data set, and the model with high level of stationary.also we saw highest level of self - consistency in the different sample size's, using the varimax rotation method for tow Group's (male, female), the two method's ( none, direct oblimin rotation) in some of sample size's which refers to corresponding the normal stat with varimax rotation method ,that is well known of its object for simplified explaining the factor matrix by maximization the loading variance

مقارنة بعض الطرائق المعلمية واللامعلمية لبعض تصاميم القياسات المكررة == A Comparisoin of Some Parametric And Nonparametric Methods For Some Repeated Measures Designs

Author name: سجى محمد حسين علي الهاشمي
Supervisor name: ظافر حسين رشيد النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في الكثيرمن الدراسات الطبية والتربوية والسيكولوجية (علم النفس)وعلم الاجتماع نشاهد بان المفردات (subjects) تتكرر تحت مختلف الشروط التجريبية((conditions والتي تسمى بالمعالجات (treatments) وان البيانات المتجمعة من مختلف الوحدات التجريبية تفترض لان تكون مستقل | In many medical , educational , psychology and sociology studies we find that the same subjects repeated under different experimental conditions which called treatments. The collected data from different experimental units suppose to be independent while the observation for the same experimental units will be dependent. The term repeated measures designs is called for this type of data in which the response for every experimental units or subjects is tested or measured under a number of different experimental conditions. Our attention will be on the case of a univariate response variable. There are many procedures for testing the null hypothesis that there is no treatments effects, depends on the number of treatments. either the same subjects are tested under two treatments or tested under three treatments or more. The aim of this study is comparing the tests for nonparametric and parametric methods of repeated measures designs for two treatments through applying the tests on true experiments data. and comparing the tests for nonparametric and parametric methods for three treatments or more, which included two designs which are the complete randomize block design when the ANOVA conditions are satisfied. And the One - way generalized repeated measures model when does not assume specified form of the variance - covariance matrix.Simulation procedures are used in order to compare probability of type one error and power of the test for all methods. In addition , the researcher presented the suggested methods and analyzing the results by comparing them with the other methods for the mentioned designs.

تقييم نظام ادارة استمرارية الاعمال على وفق المواصفة الدولية (ISO 22301 : 2012) : بحث تحليلي في مصفى الدورة == Assessment Business Continuity Management System According To International Standard (ISO 22301 : 2012)_Search Analytical In Daura Refinery Company

Author name: سجى علي عبد الباقي
Supervisor name: ايثار عبد الهادي ال فيحان المعموري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Industrial Management
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تضمن البحث الحالي ] تقييم نظام ادارة استمرارية الاعمال على وفق المواصفة الدولية (ISO 22301 : 2012) _ بحث تحليلي في شركة مصفى الدورة [ , اذ يعد وضع نظام اداري لاستمرارية الاعمال من الاولويات في وقتنا الحاضر, وفي ظل اعتماد المنظمات على الحواسيب وتقنية المعلو | The current research included "Assessment Business Continuity Management System According to International Standard (ISO 22301 : 2012) Search Analytical in Daura Refinery Company" , for development of an administrative system for Business Continuity is considered a priority in the present day, and in the light of the organizations dependence on computers and information technology in work and communication with others. the international legitimacy (represented by the international organization for standardization (ISO)) remains the basis for matching and commitment , and the importance of the application of Business Continuity Management System According to International Standard (ISO 22301 : 2012) In protecting organizations from business interruption risk and exposure to accidents and crises.research problem is personified in the non - having of the Midland Refineries Company(Daura Refinery) Plan to prepare for crisis , and non - adoption of a management system for Business Continuity as provided by the standard (ISO 22301 : 2012).Business stop after crisis and incidents which requires the existence of a system for the management of business continuity, which is central aim of the research. But this research is not complete without the level of preparedness to face crisis and diagnosis of crisis management at the refinery, This research dealt with in order to be integrated theme, therefore research targeted first disclosure of crisis preparedness level and diagnosis of Crisis Management , for this purpose used a questionnaire to diagnose prepare for business interruption in the event of crises and questionnaire for the diagnosis of crisis management, and then evaluating between the Business Continuity Management System that currently exists in Daura Refinery ( sit of conducting the research ) and the Business Continuity Management System according to the international standard (ISO 22301 : 2012) by using examining checklist in order to diagnose non - conformity gaps with the international standard.Was reached to a set of conclusions, including : _ The refinery does not include the function of an independent and specialized primary role to prepare for business interruption in the event of crises faced by the refinery when the implementation of its activities , namely, there is a specialized unit in which crisis management._ Despite the poor training at the refinery on how to deal with business interruption in the event of crises, and with regard to policy and procedures for management practices and unsustainable, Realizes the refinery need for technical skills in crisis management._ Administrative system for business continuity practice lacks the refinery and despite the adoption of contingency plans and prevent the necessary its activities stopped and the angel efficient to good documentation and the application of many of the requirements that came in the International Standard (ISO 22301 : 2012), and it needs to rebuild the administrative structure and functions consistent with the requirements of the specification.The research concluded, among the most important recommendations : _ The need to develop a new section entitled (crisis management) be the primary activity of various crisis management as an effective and better able to anticipate fluctuations and rapid changes in the surrounding environment and ensure business continuity after crises._ The formation of a working group adopts create application specification requirements (ISO 22301 : 2012), and works to meet its

ادارة المعرفة واثرها في عملية التنشيط الاستراتيجي : دراسة ميدانية في ديوان وزارة التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي == Knowledge Management And It’s Effect In Strategic Activation Process Field Study In The Center of Ministry of Higher Education And Scientific Reasearch

Author name: سجى عبد الجبار ابراهيم الشمري
Supervisor name: جاسم محمد الذهبي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: هدفت هذه الدراسة الى التعرف على اثر ادارة المعرفة في عملية التنشيط الاستراتيجي في ديوان وزارة التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي وقد تحددت مشكلة الدراسة في عدد من التساؤلات اهمها : ما مدى تاثير ادارة المعرفة بنوعيها (الصريحة والضمنية) في عملية التنشيط الاستراتيج | KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT IS CONSIDERED AS ONE of THE NEW AND CONTEMPORARY THOUGHT. ITS ROLE BECAME CRUCIAL TO MEET THE NEW COMPETITION, ESPECIALLY IN RELATION TO INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL ASSETS. ALSO, STRATEGIC ACTIVATION HAS PROVED TO BE AN IMPORTANT PILLAR IN FACING SEVER COMPETITION. KNOWLEDGE BY ITS OWN IS NO of REAL USE UNLESS IT IS TARGETED TOWARDS CERTAIN OBJECTIVES THROUGH THE ADJUSTMENT of HUMAN RESOURCES BEHAVIOR IN ORDER TO MOTIVATE INNOVATIONAL CREATIVENESS. THE AIM of THIS DISSERTATION IS TO RESEARCH AND MEASURE EFFECT of KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT ON STRATEGIC ACTIVATION. THE RESEARCH SAMPLE INCLUDES THE TOP MANAGEMENT of (120) PERSON IN THE CENTER of MINISTRY of HIGHER EDUCATION AND SCIENTIFIC REASEARCH. THE RESEARCH PROVED THAT TYPES of KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT HAS SIGNIFICANT EFFECTS WITH STRATEGIC ACTIVATION

مقارنة اسلوب بيز مع طرائق اخرى لتقدير دالة المعولية لتوزيع باريتو من النوع الاول == A Comparison of Bayesian Approach With Another Methods To Estimate Reliability Function For Pareto Distribution of The First Kind

Author name: ستار محمد صالح
Supervisor name: صباح هادي عبود الجاسم
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هذه الرسالة تم تقدير دالة المعولية لتوزيع باريتو من النوع الاول (Pareto Distribution of the First Kind) في حالة توافر معلومات اولية عن المعلمات وفي حالة عدم توافرها وتم توظيف اسلوب المحاكاة (Simulation) بطريقة مونت كارلو (Mont - Carlo) للمقارنة بين طرا | In this dissertation, an estimation of reliability function for the Pareto Distribution of the First Kind has been done in the case of exists a prior information and not exists. A simulation approach by Mont - Carlo method is used to comparisons between the methods of estimation to find the best method of estimation this function. To realizes the object of search, the search is divided into four chapters. The first chapter contain an introduction, object of search and the review of literature. The second chapter contain the theoretical part. The third chapter include the experimental part, and finally the fourth chapter include the conclusions that researcher find they and recommendations suggested from him about the search. The researcher find that the Bayes approach is the best in estimation of reliability function comparing with the other method of estimation through depending on the two statistical measurements integral Mean Squared error (IMSE), and integral Mean Absolute percentage error (IMAPE).

تاثير التلوث البيئي على التنمية الصحية في العراق == The Impact of The Environmental Pollution On Developing Human’s Health In Iraq

Author name: ساهرة دريول كاظم
Supervisor name: علي عبد محمد سعيد الراوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The vivid health was and still an aim and goal seeked by a human kind by all media , though that media is firstly connected with the survival instinct and avoiding pain and suffering of sickness, it wasn’t far or detached from its part to keep human being able to practice his daily activities in the first place the economical activity.Basing on that we can say that the need for health is as an essential necessity as an important and necessary element for human’s survival and later for the development , growth and productivity as well as enjoying life.Some of the environment problems face health , some are modern such as pollution caused by development activities for some of the economical fields which may participate by may or another to effect negatively on the environment health , and some are traditional such as polluted water ill drainage and treating local garbage.As environment is very important for human and economical development and its effect on the sort of life and the continuity of development so, the modern development attitudes faxed on returning human to his natural position.After the steps of the traditional development had hindered in most of underdeveloped countries which tried to apply developed samples succeeded in other countries despite the stander or the actual fact of its economics and societies. This had made the interest of economists at the beginning of the nineties fall on the human race and the necessity of increasing the human investment continuously (Knitting development around human considering him its aim and media at the same time) and this makes (health) of the human as a base for the nature of the mutual relation between him and the environment from a side and environment and economical development from the other side.Development is connected by away or another with the increasing of tasks on environment with its different parts, also it was necessary that quickness in development should be consider with supporting the health of the environment and to make the conjunction between health and environment , social, economical development more effective , this demands coordination between the efforts of all the sections that may participate in the prosperity of people , besides that the look at the health should be as inseparable part of development.Health and human rights also should prevailed or any economical , political norms because human’s life in it’s pest form is the ultimate goal of development to achieve happiness for human’s kind and their prosperity without causing any harm for their land, air or water.The evaluation of the impact on the health of the environment should represent an inseparable part of all the development activities to ensure decreasing the possible bad effects of the industrial , agricultural , transport developments , and the new methods of conserving water and the health of the environment to the least possible minimum. Iraq is one of countries that tried participating in these fields through adopting the concept of the sustainable development and through the emphasis on the necessity of taking care of the different sides of the environment in an attempt to set the bases of the political environment for the country and conserving the health of Iraqi citizen , yet , there is a lot of obstacles that face this policy especially wars , economical embargo imposed at the beginning of the nineties and the influence of its negative results on all the economical and serving sections which increased the problem of pollution reflecting its negative effects on health as the average of deeds , rate of infectious diseases and bad tumors which it’s effect will last clearly on the health of Iraqi citizen for several coming years reflecting that in the down of the average of the expected age of any person and here is the importance of the research.The research’s problem’s appear as follows : The Iraqi country had suffered during the previous decades from the problem of getting rid of pollutions which reflects in hindering the achievement of development for health and human beings, which also will be reflected negatively on the economical performance and the future of the economical and social development.Therefore , the research is intending to present analysis to the faces of polluted environment and explaining the nature of pollutions in the Iraqi environment as well as the relation and the direct and indirect influence on human’s health also, the research presents suggestions to decrease the negative effects of pollutions on both human’s and environment health.So far, the research is based on hypothecy its theme is that the continuity of throwing pollutions to environment without radical and compromise treatment leads to hindering the process of human’s health development and also the whole economical , social development.The research had depended on the descriptive analysis to prove its theory that is based on specialized sources and modern published studies concerned with environment and development , besides some other studies and related conferences through the internet and some schedules obtunded from the concerned ministries (ministry of health, planning transport and communications) also the direct interviews with the specialists doctors , engineers of environment.As for covering the sides of the research (the impact of the environmental pollution on developing human's health in Iraq) and to get its goal the research is divided into four sections the first one is the concepts collection which shows and tackles some concepts in environment and pollution which is showed through two parts, the first is the concept of environment and its elements and its main problems while the second is the nature of pollution and the consequences.The second section searches the mutual relation between environment health , and human development and it includes two parts , the first is the conceptual birth and growth for human development , while the second explains the essential relations between environment health , and development.The third section tackles the most important effects of development for the economical fields in Iraq and its influence on the health of the environment and this was done through three parts : 1 - The role of the industrial section in polluting the environment elements , and the results caused by.2 - Explains the role of the agricultural section in polluting environment and its deformed and the most important results caused by.3 - Deals with the role of transportation in polluting environment and the results caused by too.The fourth and the last section tackles covering the essential needs for the health of the environment and its reflections on health in Iraq. The fourth section is of two parts , the first explains the economical , and social effects to supply the essential needs for the environment health , while the second explains the down in trend of health in Iraq and in unhealthy , unsaved environment the Iraqi country lived and lives it the long years of wars , economical embargo as well as the average of deeds and rate of spreading diseases.The research writer had come to conclusions and recommendations through the research as these recommendations were molded basing on the research’s results, hoping it will be useful for the concerned sides.At last I hope I achieved what I am longing to.Thanking God for enabling me to finish my research as best as it could be and my efforts to be well appreciated.

تاثير استراتيجيات ادارة الموارد البشرية في استراتيجية العمليات : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء عينة من المدراء في الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية == The Relationship Between Human Resources Management Strategy And Operations Strategy An Analytical Study To The Openions of A Sample of Managers In The Puplic Company of Electrical Industries

Author name: ساهر عبد الكاظم الاحمر
Supervisor name: محمد محمد حسن ال ياسين | سناء عبد الرحيم العبادي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Industrial Management
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: This study "The Relationship Between Human Resources Management Strategy And Operations Strategy" an Reconnaissance study of the actual views of a specimen of administrators of the public company for Electrical Industries is linked between the two knowledge links of human resources management and operations management to prove the general hypothesis for research, namely "the existence of a relationship and influence of moral significance between the strategies of human resources management,(selection strategy, incentive strategy, training& development strategy) and operations strategy (process focus , intermediate focus and production focus). An intentional specimen inside the Enterprise comprised of board of directors members, director general, his assistants, department directors, some factory directors and some production line directors is selected. This study had a group of targets which strive for its realization. Some of the most important targets are : 1 - Demonstration of the role of strategies of human resources management at facilitating the implementation of any of the afore - cited operations strategies.2 - Reconnaissance opinion of study simple about the range effect of human resources management strategy on operation strategy. 3 - Determination of the relationship and effect between the strategies of human resources management and operations strategy. To achieve the goals of the study, I derived from the general supposition for research six main suppositions, three of which to satisfy the relationships, while the other three to clarify the influence between selection of incentive of training& development with operations strategy encompassing the strategy of positioning and its types (process focus , intermediate focus and production focus) There is availability fit and agree marked between human resources management and operations strategy (study variable) inside administrators of the public company for Electrical Industries.The study is appeared that achievement of results of positive relationship / influence and extent of success of strategies of human resources management plays a great role at realizing the success of implementation of operations strategy with very high flexibility. This has a great impact at boosting the level of progress and success at the organization performance

واقع الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر ومحدداته في دول مجلس التعاون الخليجي 1990 - 2003 == The Status And Determination of Foreign Direct Investment In The Gulf Cooperation Council 1990 - 2003

Author name: سامي هاشم فالح الساعدي
Supervisor name: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

طرائـــق بيــز فــي تحليــل نمــوذج القياس الاقتصادي المكاني مع تطبيق عملي == Bayes Methods In Analyzing Spatial Econometrics Model With Practical Application

Author name: سامي غني خضير عطره
Supervisor name: خالد ضاري عباس الطائي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان الخاصية الاساسية لتمييز البيانات المكانية عن بيانات السلاسل الزمنية هي الترتيب المكاني للمشاهدات , وعينات البيانات المكانية تمثل مشاهدات ترتبط بنقاط او مواقع وتتميز هذه البيانات بان ارتباطها يضعف كلما بعدت المسافة وكذلك تتميز بتدرج المكان (( المناطقية | The main property to differentiate the spatial data from time series data is the spatial arrangement of observations and the samples of spatial data represent observations related to points or locations these data are distinguished with the weakness of their connection each time the distance getting far away and the place graduation (location)on the spatial relations of observations are represented in matrix named spatial weights matrix. The spatial econometrics is used in following up the spatial effects like the spatial dependence of observations in different points of place, and spatial heterogeneity arising from relations or parameters model that change with sample data in each time we move within the place , those two points have been neglected in traditional econometrics because of their sinconsistency of statistical assumptions and when taking those spatial effects into consideration ,the statistical influence will be of high efficiency. On the contrary, ignoring these effects will lead to loss the information and will not be as efficient as the dependant sample.Because of the difficulty of deriving the posterior function (on which the Bayesian inference depends) up on applying the Bayesian methods especially in cases that the number of probable models is very large as computing the posterior functions for all these samples requires integration for large dimensions functions which is very difficult Mathematically or inapplicable that requires proper methods can deal with such cases like Gibbs and Metropolis - Hastings sampling by analyzing the posterior distribution to number of conditional distributions for each parameter in the model and then the simplicity of inference for each parameter in the model.The matrix of spatial weights is built by registering the contiguity relations for each location with others in a matrix row (w?) and given (1) if there is a relation between two locations (wij=1) and zero, if it doesn’t (wij=0)as i and j refer to the rows and columns in sequence. For making the summation of each row in the matrix w? equal to 1 , the elements of matrix will be calculated according to the proportion : wij/ ?wij and i=1,2…,n j=1 Consequently, we will get the adjusted matrix W.The practical side was focused on the counting of spatial autoregressive model parameters, and these parameters is the vector ? and it is an ordinary regression parameters vector, and error variance parameter (?2) , and the most important of them is a countig of the parameter (?) which is represent spatial dependance parameter.In order to show the role of the spatial, the practical side included taking the real population for childrens between(1 - 19) year, that had iron deficiency anemia (due to from iron deficiency) that admitted to children’s hospitals in Kurkh district of Baghdad (which had been divided into five geographic regions) for 2010. We have suggested that computing the elements in the adjusted matrix to be on basis of the actual length proportion of the joint borders among different locations that lead to get the accurate estimated value of spatial dependence parameter، where value result of spatial dependence parameter (?) was (0.43) when use Metropolis - Hastings sampling method while value of this parameter when use spatial outoregressive function and by using the adjusted matrix was( 0.57) and value of this parameter when use the same regression function but by using the suggested matrix was (0.85).

دراسة تحليلية للعوامل البيئية المؤثرة على انتاج التمور في محافظة البصرة == An Analytical Study On The Effect of Environmental Elements On Dates Production In Basrah

Author name: سامر عادل عبد الله
Supervisor name: تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اصبح المناخ اليوم من الموضوعات الرئيسية المهمة التي تحتل مرتبة الصدارة لدى جميع دول العالم المتقدمة والنامية، لاسيما بعد ان تبين بوضوح مدى التغيرات التي شهدها في العقود الاخيرة. والتي تحدث اما لاسباب طبيعية نتيجة اختلال في توازن النظام البيئي او لاسباب بش | Climate has become a key topic that occupies the forefront of all developed and developing countries around the world, especially after the climate change witnessed in recent decades, These changes occur due to either natural causes as a result of an imbalance in the ecosystem, or human causes such as human economic activities, these changes affected many aspects of life, one of which is the agriculture, including palm cultivation and dates productionThe aim of this research was to study the effect or the relationship between climate and dates production, which is considered one of the most important crops that can be relied upon economically. This research uses the method of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis to find out the climatic elements effecting the productivity of two types of dates (Helawi and Zehdi). The independent variables (climatic side) were the average of the yearly rates for (Maximum temperatures, Sunshine duration, Relative humidity, Wind speed and Suspended dust) in Basra city for the period (2005 - 2014), and the dependent variable was the average of the palm tree productivity measured in (kg), which represents the (agricultural side). The results showed that there are three factors (variables) affecting dates production of (Helawi), which are (sunshine duration, suspended dust and wind speed) because they were statistically significant. As for the (Zehdi), there were two statistically significant variables, which are (Sunshine and Maximum temperatures). The conclusions and recommendations were founded by using the Stepwise regression in statistical package (SPSS v19)

الانفاق العام واثره في النمو الاقتصادي : العراق والامارات انموذجا للمدة (1997 - 2014) == And The Impact of Public Spending To Economic Growth - Iraq And The UAE A Model For The Period (1997 - 2014)

Author name: سارة منعم مهدي المرزوك
Supervisor name: عياد محمد علي باش
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Banking & Finance Science
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى تحليل وقياس اثر الانفاق العام في النمو الاقتصادي في العراق والامارات للمدة (2014 - 1997) , وتم استخدام نموذج متجه الانحدار الذاتي او متجه تصحيح الخطا , فقد تم تقسيم البحث الى ثلاثة فصول لغرض تحقيق فرضيته واهدافه , ولغرض الوصول الى هذه المنه | The research aims to analyze and measure the impact of public spending in the economic growth in Iraq and the United Arab Emirates for the period (2014 - 1997), was used vector autoregressive or vector error correction model, it has been divided into three chapters for the purpose of achieving its premise and its objectives, and the purpose of access to the methodology used researcher statistical programs (Excel, E views7) for the purpose of the standard model to estimate the impact that the knowledge of public spending to economic growth in both countries.The researcher concluded that public spending affect the economic growth in my sample and its impact was uneven in them, and Research Hypothesis achieved in a positive relationship between public spending and GDP growth rate in my sample, and clarified the statistical results using preprocessing tests contain time - series variables public spending (current spending and investment spending) and gross domestic product growth in the (Iraq and the United Arab Emirates) on the root of the unit, where the GDP and investment spending in the general level of growth rate, settled in while current expenditure has stabilized in the second difference. As well as the search reached several conclusions and recommendations

فاعلية الموارد البشرية في اطار توظيف تكنلوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات : دراسة حالة في دار الكتب والوثائق الوطنية العراقية == The Effectiveness of Human Resources In Framework of Empamet Information Technology : Case Study In Iraq National Library & Archive

Author name: سارة محمد كاظم عبد الامير
Supervisor name: اياد طاهر محمد الجبوري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يكمن التوجه الاساسي للدراسة في تحديد فاعلية الموارد البشرية في اطار توظيف تكنلوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات دراسة حالة في دار الكتب والوثائق الوطنية العراقية، اذ تحظى تكنولوجيا المعلومات باهمية كبيرة لدورها في تغير انماط العمل وتاثيرها في مستقبل المنظمات , ا | The basic thrust of the study is to determine the effectiveness of using information and human resources technology for Iraqi National Library and National documents, as are IT great importance to its role in the changing patterns of work relativity and its impact on the future of the organization, while the human resources it has promised on according to many researchers of the most important resources in any organization.The study aims to identify the extent of the attention of Library and Archives concepts of information technology and the effectiveness of human resources management, to identify the level of use of information technology in the organization under study, as well as to identify it on the level of effectiveness of human resources management in the surveyed organization.For this purpose, formulated the hypothesis of the study ((there is a positive correlation with positive moral significance of information technology and the effectiveness of Human Resource Management)) and branching out of which four hypotheses, as targeted hypothesis determine the relationship between the information technology in the effectiveness of human resources in the surveyed organization. To test the hypotheses of the study were applied to study in a number of sections, namely Information Technology and Human Resources and the Office of Director General of the Department, as the study population was (75) The sample of the study was (40) For the purpose of completing the data collection were employed personal interviews and observations have been using a number of statistical methods for data processing of the arithmetic center - aligned, and standard deviation, and coefficient of variation, and answer the intensity of the sample for the purpose of description and analysis, simple linear correlation coefficient (Spearman) to test the validity of the link hypothesis.The study showed significant results for the majority of the dimensions of information technology networks, with the exception of the Iraqi National Library does not include Extranet network, and Intranet, as the study showed significant results for most of the dimensions of the effectiveness of human resources.The conclusion of the study, a set of recommendations highlighted the need for the library's interest in developing an internal network of Intranet and network between them and the ministry or other, represented Extranet or other modern means as well as increased training and development of staff in various areas if the library aimed to provide excellent services to the beneficiaries.

تاثير سماع صوت الزبون في تحقيق التفوق التنافسي : بحث تحليلي مقارن بين شركتي اسيا سيل للاتصالات وزين للاتصالات == The Impact of Listening To The Voice of The Customer In Achieving Competitive Superiority Search A Comparative Analysis Between The Two Asia - Cell Telecom And Zain Telecom

Author name: سارة علي سعيد العامري
Supervisor name: سعدون حمود جثير الربيعاوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The basic orientation of the study to determine the impact of listen the voice of the customer in achieving competitive superiority for companies operating in the industry to provide mobile telephone service, enjoy topic listen to the voice of the customer and competitive superiority of great importance to the relative modernity and its impact on the future of organizations.The study aimed to determine the extent of listen voice of the customer in the companies researched, as if listen voice of the customer is qualified to lead the companies researched to achieve the competitive superiority, for this purpose, formulated hypotheses of the study in three hypotheses, the first major hypothesis "there is a correlation with significance to listen to the voice of the customer in achieving competitive superiority. "while the second major hypothesis, "there is a significant moral influence to listen to the voice of the customer in achieving the competitive superiority" these hypotheses targeting to determine the role played by listen to the voice of the customer in the leadership of companies researched to achieve superiority over its competitors, while the hypothesis major third "there are significant differences between Zain telecommunications company, Asia - Cell telecom in the level of listen the voice of the customer to achieve a competitive superiority".To test the hypotheses of the study were applied in two sections in the Asia - Cell telecom and two in the Zain telecom, the total study sample (109) by (60) for the Asia - Cell telecommunications and (49) of Zain telecom for the purpose of completion of data collection were employed personal interviews and observation, and used a number of statistical tools for data processing like mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation for the purpose of description and analysis of the sample, the simple linear correlation coefficient (Spearman) to test the validity of the hypothesis correlation, and simple linear regression to testthe validity of the hypothesis impact, as well as test (Mann Whitney) to test the validity of hypothesis of the moral differences between the two companies researched.And the study showed significant results for most stages of hearing the voice of the customer to achieve competitive superiority, as well as the study reached the existence of significant differences between the companies researched the level of listen the voice of the customer and to achieve competitive superiority, and led the results of the practical side of the study on a number of conclusions was the most prominent of which contribute to listen to voice of the customer to make the organization more able to achieve competitive superiority and dominating the target markets, as well as the existence of significant differences between the two companies researched the level of listen to voice of the customer and the achievement of competitive superiority.The end of the study a set of recommendations highlighted the necessity for attention Zain telecom to develop most recent methods to capture the voice of the customer such as the use of the model Campa and the model of Kano or other of modern methods as well as activate new ways of interpreting and translation and publication of voice of the customer in the company as a function of deployment quality if they target continue to ascend the site is superior to competitors, and the necessity for Asia - Cell telecom to listen the voice of the customer a higher level if they target the achievement site is superior to competitors.

دور الموازنات التخطيطية الاستثمارية في تقويم اداء الادارة المحلية : بحث تطبيقي في الادارة المحلية لمحافظة واسط == The Role of The Planning Budget In Evaluating The Performance of The Local Administration

Author name: سارة جبار عبدعلي
Supervisor name: عباس حميد يحيى التميمي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Local Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان نظام التخطيط هو من البدائل الاساسية لمعالجة وتجنب الظواهر والنتائج غير المرغوب فيها، فهو يشمل جميع الانشطة ولفترة زمنية محددة او لفترات طويلة وحسب طبيعة النشاط وحاجة الادارة اذ تقوم ادارة الوحدات الحكومية غير الهادفة للربح بتخطيط نفقاتها وايراداتها ال | The planning system is one of the basic alternatives to address to avoid phenomena and unwanted results, it includes all activities and for a specific time or for long periods, according to the nature of the activity and the need for administration where the units management planning expenditures expected for future periods, and here comes the role of the budget (Budget) Finance a translation of this the plan that helps management in the performance of their activities in the field of planning, control and performance evaluation and authorization powers and motivate employees and others.The matter of the adoption of planning budgets is to find solutions to management problems solutions in how to control the completion of projects under internal and external circumstances, through the planning of these projects and control, while the practical side represents the study sample (Wasit Provincial Council) through the definition of the organizational structure and how preparation and adoption of budgets and evaluation of performance, implementation and researcher concluded that there are deviations rates high during the period studied by more than 90% cause is the lack of enough customization, leading to non - payment of dues, as well as the misuse of planning for the purpose of completion of projects

مقدرات بيز لدالة المعولية الضبابية للتوزيع الاسي باستخدام المحاكاة مع تطبيقها على الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية == The Fuzzy Reliability Function Bayes Estimators For Exponential Distribution Using The Simulation With It Is Application On The State Company For Elictrical Industeries

Author name: زينة ياوز عبد القادر اوجي
Supervisor name: عماد حازم عبودي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يدرس البحث الضبابية والتي مفهومها ان كل قيمة تقع ضمن فترة معينة،ونعتمد في تحديد حدود هذه الفترة على الخبرات السابقة حول موضوع الظاهرة المدروسة.وفي بعض الاحيان يصعب تحديد هذه الفترة ونتعامل مع القيمة الضبابية وما حولها من القيم القريبة دون الاعتماد على ا | This paper concerned with studying the fuzzy which means that each value is within specific period and to determinate the limits of this period depends on previous expertises about the studies phenomena subject.Some times it is difficult to determine this stage or period ,in this case we deal with the fuzzy values and other proximate ones without depending on previous expertises ,because they are not available or because of te differences in points of researches,view about the determination of minimum and maxmum restriction for there values.Through this research we will treat fuzzy lifetime data that each value does not have minimum and maximum limitation which enable us to appoint the sutable belonging degrees but all lifetime data have minimum restriction which represent the begininning life time , and maximum one that represents the end of lifetime And by using membership function of Ching to determing a membership function for those data , This paper discussed two procedures to estimate the fuzzy reliability ,Bayes procedure that includes the following : 1 - Sample data are fuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes an unfuzzy parameter.2 - Sample data are unfuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes an unfuzzy parameter. 3 - Sample data are fuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes a fuzzy parameter. 4 - Sample data are unfuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes an unfuzzy parameter And FRDP (Fuzzy Reliability Definition Procedure) that uses component trapezium method,to find numerical integration ,by using the Exponential distribution form for sample data,and Gama distribution for the prier distribution for the parameter of Exponential distribution ,and four value for sample size.And depending on the results that have been conducted in the experimental side ,it is shown that bayes is the best in estimating the fuzzy reliability when the fuzzy sample data have membership degree equal to 0.1for samples of small sizes. When the failure times average value is bigger than one ,so Bayes is the best in estimating the fuzzy reliability for small samples sizes,and FRDP is the best in estimating the fuzzy reliability for sizes of big samples The data which have been taken from the state company for electrical industries of foundation machine Toshiba are used as well after bayes method and FRDP method are applied to estimate the fuzzy reliability,it is noticed that results of both the applied and experimental side are th

مقارنة الاساليب المستخدمة في تحديد عدد المركبات الرئيسة مع جانب تطبيقي == The Comparison of Methods Used In Determining The Principal Components Number With An Applied Aspect

Author name: زينة ياوز عبد القادر
Supervisor name: دجلة ابراهيم مهدي العزاوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: استخدم تحليل المركبات الرئيسة في تحليل الكثير من الظواهر الاجتماعية والاقتصادية، ومن هذه الظواهر اخترنا ظاهرة تخص شريحة واسعة من مجتمعنا الا وهي ظاهرة تاخر حصول التدريسي الجامعي على اللقب العلمي التالي، ولان تحديد عدد المركبات الرئيسة الداخلة في تحليل ا | The principal components analysis is used in analyzing many economic and social phenomena; and one of them is related to a large group in our society who are the university instructors. This phenomenon is the delay occurred in getting university instructor to his next scientific title. And as the determination of the principal components number inside the principal components depends on using many methods, we have compared between three of these methods that are : (BARTLETT, SCREE DIAGRAM, JOLLIFFE). We concluded that JOLLIFFE method was the best one in analyzing the studying phenomenon data among these three methods, we found the most distinguishing factors effecting on the phenomenon was (the number of the lectures the university instructor has, the administrative routine, the entertainment activities, family situation, shortage in academic staff, pages number, the use of the internet and the political attitude). So , we should begin with treating these factors as a first step for motivating university instructor to develop his thinking capabilities.

ضرورات التخطيط والتخطيط الستراتيجي للتحول الاقتصادي لبلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == The Necessity For Planning And The Strategic Planning For Economic Change In Some Chosen Countries (With Aspecial Reference To Iraq)

Author name: زينة مؤيد محمود
Supervisor name: عبد الجبار محمود فتاح العبيدي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: جاء البحث لمعالجة مشكلة اختلال الهيكل الاقتصادي المتسم بريعيته من خلال اعتماد التخطيط لتنويع مصادر الدخل القومي. لذا جاء البحث مستندا? ?لى اعتماد التخطيط كاسلوب لاحداث التحولات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية من خلال تشخيص المشكلات وتحديد الموارد والامكانات اللازم | The study is to handle the problem of distribution of economical structure that depend on the governmental income related to the natural resources through depending on variation the sources of natural income. So this study depends on the hypothesis of planning as a method to make social and economic changes through specifying the problems and identifying the resources and needed capabilities to overcome these problems.To test the hypothesis, this study includes showing the importance of planning to make changes in the previous union of sovite socialist republic (VSSR) and employing the capitalism to keep it?s continuance on, and then comparing.The experiments of the planning and strategy planning for developing countries like Egypt and Malaysia with Iraq to show the role of planning in make the economic and social changes and the achieved results of the experiments of these countries and comparing it with the experiments of Iraq.The study shows the importance of planning through a futuristic vision to define the distribution of economic changes of the Malaysian experiment.This study recommends the necessity of the government intervention through applying the strategic and making plans (at the ministries and institutional level ) in the direction of market mechanisms and beginning with specifying the economic and social activities to make the aimed changes economically and socially.

تحليل التجارب ثنائية العوامل المتزنة وغير المتزنة لبيان اثر عاملين على بعض صفات محصول الشلب في العراق

Author name: زينة ابراهيم حسن رشيد
Supervisor name: كمال علوان خلف المشهداني | احمد شهاب احمد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: مما لاشك فيه ان التجربة العاملية (التي تهتم في وقت واحد وتجربة واحدة بدراسة عاملين فاكثر ),اذ ان لكل عامل مستويات ,وبتوافيق مستويات العوامل تتشكل المعالجات العاملية , هذه التجربة لها اهمية كبيرة في الجوانب التطبيقية وتتسم بالمزايا : - 1انها تسهم في تقلي | 1. It contributes to reduce the cost, time, efforts, and experimental units as a result of the implementation of a single experiment, rather than two or more experiments.2. Provide us by information of the main effects of factors and the effects of interactions of these factors.3. The possibility to compare all different combinations of two or factors to be studied.4. These experiments provide an opportunity to compare the levels of each factor separately, as if the experiment was devoted to him alone.Therefore, the information that we get from factorial experiments always be more perfect and realistic than those we get from single - factor experiments.The factorial experiments held by adopting equilibrium that is oriented common and natural , it might generated cases of unbalance ( what is allocated of the number of plots for each uneven factorial treatment), which may be done on purpose by the researcher (performing the experiment) or it may be due to lack of materials or resources, which leads to identify groups of processing that will be dealt with, or for other reasons like damage or loss pieces or results of experimental subject to certain processing. Such situations cause them a problem of how to analysis it, so the goal of this message is to research deeper theoretically to contribute in find solutions for the research problem and the vast knowing of the analysis methods of the balanced and unbalanced factorial experiments, with discussing the possibility of propose a method or technique to analysis this case. since been in separate theoretical aspect of this message addressed to several ways in addition to provide a proposed way for analysis. The theoretical beside the practical aspects has been improved (Chapter three) to take an advantage of a realistic data experiments (not analyzed) carried out with the Public Board for Agricultural Research (the party was made contract with) where the experiment has been analyzed (balanced and unbalanced factorials) to study the impact of the rice verities factor and also the distances of planting the rice for many characters of the rice crops, as well as study the impact factor rice varieties and planting dates factor on some of the qualities of the rice crop has implemented in Mashkhab station in the province of Najaf, and we used the methods of the analysis presented in addition to the proposed method. The conclusions have been reached regarding the moral of these factors and their interactions and to the possibilities that are available to use each method of analysis and the proposed method. The conclusions have been reached regarding the significant of these factors and their interactions and to the possibilities that are made available to use all method of methods of analysis and the suggested method was as as follows : 1 - perferred to use method frequencies the expected cell in the case of that the data is unbalanced and semi - proportional.2 - perferred to use method un weighted means in the case of that the data is unbalanced and disproportional.3 - perferred to use method of harmonic mean in the case of that the data is unbalanced and two case proportional and disproportional.4 - prefer to using the suggested method (median method ) in the event that the data is is unbalanced and disproportional.5 - prefer to data analysis unbalanced without trying to estimate missing values.

دور اسلوبي (CPM/PERT) في تعزيز اداء المشاريع الانشائية : بحث تطبيقي في محافظة بغداد == The Role of Stylistic CPM & PERT In Enhancing The Performance of Construction Projects - Technology Applied Research In The Province of Baghdad

Author name: زينب هادي حسين المواشي
Supervisor name: فضيلة سلمان داوود
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Industrial Management
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: جاء هذا البحث لبيان اهمية واثراستخدام بعض اساليب التخطيط العلمية ومنها اساليب التخطيط الشبكي في تخطيط ومتابعة المشاريع الانشائية الحيوية في محافظة بغداد, بهدف تحقيق الوقت الامثل لانهاء المشروع في ظل الموارد المتاحة والميزانية المحددة له, وقياس مستوى الادا | This study was to demonstrate the importance and the impact of the use of some scientific planning methods including network planning methods in the planning and follow - up construction of vital projects in the province of Baghdad, in order to achieve the optimal time to finish the project in light of the resources available and the budget set for it, and measure the level of performance of the project through a measurement tool associated with these methods a planning tool (earned Value) , In the current search has been used the most prominent network planning methods and two stylistic (CPM / PERT), was the application of the critical path method on standard - design school project (traditional) to draw Action Network according to confirmed times for the activities of the project and calculate the time Altjeela him, it was Bert technique applied to the project hematology center in dignity Teaching Hospital - Baghdad, draw action Network according to the "three times (optimistic, pessimistic and most likely") technology as a result of the special circumstances surrounding the uncertain conditions of the project implementation time, And calculating the ratio of the probability of completion of the project, and measure project performance level by measuring the cost / schedule for the project performance level values in the three time stations, it was used ready - made computer programs in ways that networking planning to process the data and get the results and draw retinas projects respondents, and the programs that were used (MS Project, Win - QSB). The study found a range of results, including the following : - 1. The application of the critical path method (CPM) Dorkber in providing the most important project resources, a "time" and Maatertb on it from the rationalization of costs, while providing alternatives and provide the perfect solution for trade - off between time and cost through the application of accelerated phase of the project process, which complete the project for less than the planned duration for Using the web for planning (35) days and less than the period granted to the company by executing (50) days, with the provision of approximately (22.000.000) million Iraqi dinars.2. The application assessment and review of the program (PERT) role in assessing the total time of the project hematology center where they were determining the total duration of the completion (533) on total cost (9.195.398.000) Iraqi dinars, according to "Three Times technology Bert, the period granted to the company executing (700) day.3. The application of network analysis techniques and the use of supervisory tool "earned value" impact in detecting deviation of time and deviation cost and determine the cost / schedule performance index value for the project Hematology Center and in three time stations and the values ranging (0.08, 0.50, 0.87) and this indicator helps directing the focus towards the reasons for the deviation and take corrective action in a timely manner.

استخدام سلاسل ماركوف في التعرف على تعاقبات الحامض النووي DNA

Author name: زينب هاتف عباس الركابي
Supervisor name: ضوية سلمان حسن الجنابي | علي عبد الرحمن الزعاك
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Operations Research
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان للحمض النووي الدنا DNA اهمية كبيرة وبالغة لكونه حاملا للمعلومات الوراثية وبالتالي فان دراسة تعاقبات الحمض النووي DNA سوف تعطينا انطباعا عن الصفات الوراثية للكائن الحي.وبالنظر لاهمية سلاسل ماركوف في تفسير وتحليل الكثير من الظواهر من حيث حيز التكرار، ول | The DNA has great importance because it is a hereditary information carrier. In view of the importance of markove's chains in explaining, and analyzing many of the phenomenae through succession, our research incentive has therefore came to represent markov chains applications on the DNA and considering the conditional transitional probabilities of these chains elements for its great importance in finding the hereditary genetics from DNA compositions. Markov chains has been implemented for the probable alignment of the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth orders. Three means depending on these alignments have been used. Experimentation on four of DNA chains was carried out for human growth hormone and relied on DNA succession for comparison between the three ways that nominate the chain of the greater probability to represent the gene.In addition, a program was created to code and translate the three models of the ORF for the DNA succession and the chains for the three models which start with the start code and end with the stop code. The program was written by Visual basic language to carry out these operations and to yeild sequence alignment between the human growth hormone gene and other chains.The program implemented DNA chains in which the nucleotide number is less than 3000 bases examplified by the human growth's hormone, mouse and chicken growth hormone.As well, entrotoxins produced by E.coli, salmonella , shigella representing prokaryotes were also included one of the most significant conclusion reached is that markov assessment method of calculated weights by means of Chi Square is the best mean for identifying genes from DNA sequences.

قياس مدى تاهيل الموارد البشرية للنهوض بمتطلبات تطبيق الادارة الالكترونية في وزارة العلوم والتكنولوجيا == Measure The Extent of Rehabilitation of Human Resources For The Advancement of The Requirement of Electronic Management Application In The Ministry of Science And Technology

Author name: زينب مصطفى خليل
Supervisor name: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد موضوع الادارة الالكترونية احد المواضيع المهمة والحيوية بوصفه مرحلة متقدمة من تطور الفكر الاداري, اذ انه مفهوم جديد ظهر نتيجة تطورات وتحديات يشهدها العالم نحو مرحلة العمل الالكتروني, ويهدف البحث الى تسليط الضوء على واقع عملية تاهيل الموارد البشرية للنه | Electronic management is one of the important topics and critical as advanced stage of evolution of the management thought, that a new concept has appeared as a result of the developments and challenges in the world to stage work Web, This research aims to shed light on the reality of the process of rehabilitation of human resources For the advancement of the implementation of electronic management practice in the ministry, and availability requirements of the application of electronic management and diagnosis of the most important stages and steps that can be followed in the process of transition towards electronic management to keep abreast of developments in the field of information technology, one of the most important problems is organizations Impairment having qualified human resources to adapt and use modern technological applications , has been the application of this research in the Ministry of science and technology on a group of heads of departments and directors of the people in the departments of the Ministry through the use of case study method, which includes cohabitation field interviews and gather information by asking questions to officials and employees in the departments of the Ministry, and access to official documents and records and take advantage of them, and used the checklist as a key tool been reliable in gathering information which was divided into two main axis ensures electronic management and the requirements of their application (support of senior management, financial resources, technical resources, administrative organization, knowledge and information) The main axis of the second guarantees the questions about the qualification of human resources and tactics (education, training, empowerment, job descriptions and practical experience, administrative development), while the methods of data analysis Vtm use the arithmetic mean weighted percentage to get to know the availability of all of the requirements of the application of electronic management styles and qualification of human resources, the coefficient of variation to identify the extent of heterogeneity in the answers of respondents, the test t - sample. One was the use of this test is to see whether there is an application for themes, compatibility test answers with the scale (test Z two - way street) to identify the extent to which the answers with the scale, and through data collection and analysis was reached a set of conclusions and recommendations which were the most important that the ministry is available has applied the requirements of electronic management well but suffered weakness with respect to tactics used for the rehabilitation of human resources for the implementation of electronic administration. The ministry continued interest in providing electronic management requirements with greater attention to the rehabilitation of human resources and that the importance of this subject at the present time

استعمال سلاسل ماركوف وشبكات بيز الديناميكية لاحتساب معولية شبكة ماء الاعظمية == Use of Markov Chains And Dynamic Bayesian Network To Calculate The Reliability of Water Network Adhamiya

Author name: زينب مجبل ابراهيم
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Operations Research
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اهتم الباحثين في دراسة المعولية والاتاحية لاستخدامها في مجالات عدة ومنها الطبية والهندسية والميكانيكية وفي علوم الحياة الخ. وهنالك اساليب وطرق مختلفة لدراستنا منها الطرائق المعلمية واخرى لامعلمية في معرفة التوزيع لاوقات الفشل وفي حالة فشل الباحث في التو | Researchers interested in the reliability and availability, to be used as a study in several areas, including medical, engineering, mechanical, and in the life sciences etc. There are different methods and ways to study such methods parametric and another for non - parametric to know the distribution of the times of failure in the case of a researcher failed to reach an appropriate distribution of one of these methods non - parametric is the style of Markov chains and dynamic Bayesian networks where the use of Markov chains to calculate the reliability and availability, and then draw a transitional scheme of the system consisting of these five units and the formation of differential equations governing the system and then solving these equations to find the probability that the network status assigned to be in time t was also a possibility account of the situation balanced when t is very large, and through it is calculated reliability and availability. But the style dynamic Bayesian networks as it has been translated dynamic fault tree to Bayesian networks, dynamic and has been the possibilities for calculating each phase of the network and calculating reliability through MATLAB software (2015a) and writing for each gate equations as the value of each of the gate static AND gate dynamic calculation WSP, a gate warm and the integration of the two preceding gates gate static OR after calculating the value of this gate is calculated reliability can be observed reliability decreasing values with increasing time as the reliability value when t = 0 is 0.999 that is, they are not equal to 1 because there are repairs to the network and value when t = 8640 is 0.023, and decreasing the reliability of the system with time and close to zero after 20 years from now

دراسة تحليلية لتصاميم تجارب القطع المنشقة SPED والقطاعات المنشقة SBED مع تطبيق عملي == Analytic Study For Split Plot Experimental Design (SPED) And Split Block Experimental Design (SBED) With Practical Application

Author name: زينب فالح حمزة
Supervisor name: كمال علوان خلف المشهداني
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان فكرة القطع المنشقة كانت قد وجدت لتضيف الى مزايا ومواصفات التجارب العاملية فوائد تطبيقية تصب في تركيز وتحسين دقة واهمية دراسة تاثيرات العوامل والتفاعلات بينها كونها تحوي اكثر من مصدر للخطا العشوائي ونظرا لما نالته هذه الفكرة من توسع واضافات كثيرة في الج | The idea of split - plot had been found to add to the advantages of factorial experiments and specification of practical interest is in the focus and improving the accuracy and the importance of studying the effects of factors and interactions between them. they contain more than one source of random error because of the indiscriminate earned by the idea of expansion and additions in many theoretical and practical contribution to the diversity and evolution with approved design and since we have observed that the practical uses in our country , though many of it's but limited to the adoption of the idea of split - plot design or split - split only, and purpose of contributing to clarify and depend the understanding and importance in the practical aspects of these additions which has focused the aim of this research (thesis) to provide in depth analytical study of some of the designs , practiculary designs of split - plot and desins of split - Block and what could be concluded from the ideas of the designs that has practical benefits , especially in the agricultural field was taken as the theoretical aspects (models , plans , analysis ) to design of ,split - plots , split - plots systematic arrangement whole plots, split - plot in time & and analysis of Covariance and the design of split - Blokes and the designs of split - split plots & the design of combination between split - plots & split Block then the practical application had been don using The experiments in agricultural (including rice crop ,and crop of peas) Resulted modern & variety data for the year 2008 in the rice research station in Mashkhab in ALnajaf governorate in addition to data for chick pea crop obtained from the station of Rabiaa where the data were analyzed using (SAS - stetictical analysis system). the results of analysis showed that the variety Anbar 33 is the best compared to other varieties for rice crop , and the age 27 day is the best compared to other ages. The designs that have not been able to conducted, which is also not present previously in our country has been adopting the idea of simulation usin visual basic Program, as shown in the appendices ( program 1,2) done by the researcher deals the design of combination between the split _ plots and split Blocks compare it with _the design split _split plot - and the program no(2) that concerned designing split Blocks. The analysis Results for both designs performed to be used in agricultural experiment as it provides high accuracy.

استعمال البرمجة اللاخطية في بناء نموذج رياضي لتخطيط الانتاج وفق قيود الخصم على الكمية المشتراة == Usage of Non - Linear Programming In Building A Mathematical Model For Production Planning According To Discount Constraints Put On Bought Amount

Author name: زينب علاء حميد
Supervisor name: عبد الرحيم خلف راهي الحارثي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Operations Research
Degree: Master
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هــذه الرسالة تـم بناء انمـوذج تخطـيط الانتاج (على المـدى المتوسـط) في الشـركة العامـة لصناعة الزيـوت النباتيـة باستعمال اسـلوب البرمجـة اللاخطـية بسـبب قـيود الخصـم على المواد الاولية الداخـلة في المنتجات الرئيسـية للشـركة ودراسـة حالة الخصـم على ثلا | In this thesis was to build a model of production in the medium term planning in the general company for the manufacture of vegetable oils using nonlinear programming method due to the discount restrictions on raw materials involved in the company’s main products and study the opponent case of the only three products among the six products because they require intense mathematical calculations lead to a significant expansion of the research was to focus on that piecewise makes the target function is not linear because they contain a series of line segments included breakpoints that earn the target function form sporadic presence intermittent developments[2][43] , application of the style of programming integers on a linear model using the program Win Qsb plan earnings productivity (3,640,000,000) billion dinars the method algorithm simulated annealing on the nonlinear model using Matlab software profits of productivity amounted (7,556,100,000) billion dinars a difference (3,916,100,000) billion dinars note that the algorithm method of simulated annealing give the best of programming integers method results as the company achieved the fullest extent of the profits according to the opponent while programming the numbers in a manner correct, which in turn destroys the rebate check cases a small percentage of the profits. This means that the results that have been reached in a manner simulated annealing algorithm is better than the programming method of integers.
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