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تحليل موضوعية مؤشرات التنمية البشرية في ظل العوائد النفطية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2014 Objective Analysis of Human Development Indicators In The Light of Oil Revenues In Iraq For The Period 2003 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: عقيل مكي كاظم
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان الاستثمار بالبشر عبر التنمية البشرية, لهو واحد من افضل واهم الاستثمارات نظرا لقابلية هذا المورد البشري على التجدد والتطور بمرور الزمن بالمقارنة مع نظيره المورد المادي الناضب بمرور الزمن, خصوصا اذا ما اتيحت لهذا للمورد البشري مستويات متقدمة على صعيد ا | That investing in human beings through human development, and one fun of the best and most important investments due to the ability of this human resource regeneration and development over time compared with his material supplier depleted over time, especially if they are given to the human resource advanced levels on the health front, education, level of living.. these three important elements which are indispensable for any people of the peoples of the world with him, they are the basics and requirements of the modern life of the States in search of better standard of living under the formed human development umbrella originally from these three elements, which was hoped for was promoted by the sense that guaranteed to be reflected actually not digitally on the ground reality in Iraq, which is in dire need of such development in the light of the challenges that have suffered and suffered since for quite some time, especially after 2003, after this year, Iraq has got the oil revenues growing annually on the grounds that revenues that finance the annual budgets overshadowed by oil revenues primarily, but despite this growing revenue, the actual impact on human development indicators have not Iike objective level when our analysis with a way that parallels the increase in financial returns, although digital increase is taking place at the level of indicators of the three aspects of human development, this increase the digital non - objective is far from reality, which suffers in most cases, many of the phenomena and the negative effects that disappeared behind this digital increase to the extent that is possible to be described when we have the a non - objectivity in comparison with the size of the growing annual revenue on the one hand and in comparison with Turkey states and the United Arab Emirates On the other hand

تحديد المزيج الانتاجي الامثل في شركة واسط العامة للصناعات النسيجية باستخدام اسلوب البرمجة الخطية Determination of The Optimal Product - MIX In General Wasit Company For Textile Industries By Using The Method of Linear Programming

اسم المؤلف: عرفان جليل كريم الشمري
اسم المشرف: صلاح مهدي عباس البيرماني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2009
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The importance of planning increased in general and production planning in particular and its role maximized over years, being the basic pillar that are depended in planning the branch activities concerned, and a method for organizing economic in different countries and it has its basic rules and methods the matter that motivates us to study it in details.The men who are responsible for production planning face the problem of choice between the number of available possibilities and all these problems are solved according to the personal approbation and practical experience, but when the choice problems become complex, it becomes difficult to depend on experience and experiment only to reach to the right choice ( the ideal ) and then the new mathematical methods mush be used to solve these problems.Accordingly, the idea of focus on linear programming is originated which became one of the methods that are most used in the field of different establishments production planning by showing the effectiveness and efficiency of this method in expressing the production plans with quantitative method, and if me look deeply and in auditing way to the different production processes if me find that it is possible in many situation, to get certain product in many technical methods by using varied production methods, that in the industrial applications, there are a large number of industries that allowing to substitute certain types of items with others.the deep analysis of production methods shows that the production methods that use the same methods cannot be of one or similar characteristic or descriptions but They one Different from each other in one characteristic or other, and thus, the research find that in spite the first and quick view of production process may lean an impression that for each product a defined method for its production or it requires the using of certain resources, but the fact that there are a large number of solutions that are possible for each production question beginning from choosing the items that are necessary for production and ending with the method of products transforming and distributing, and practically, the persons who are responsible for production planning in the establishment face different production problems that require the ideal and suitable solution within the group of possible solution that the best possible solution when the production resources are limited is the solution that secures the larger possible result from exploiting these resources.The process of finding the ideal solution is very complex, as the quantity of possible solutions is very cage, the matter which makes the process of choosing the ideal solution among them by comparisons need along time and a big effort and then the work becomes impossible practically and here the vole of mathematical programming came which provide the men who are responsible on production planning in the establishment with mathematical method, especially the method of linear programming which allows the finding of ideal solution for production and economic questions without the resourcing to the studying of all possible solutions and their comparison.

تقويم اثار برامج التصحيح الاقتصادي في المملكة المغربية

اسم المؤلف: عبد الجبار هاني عبد الجبار السامرائي
اسم المشرف: علي عبد محمد سعيد الراوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2004
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

تحليل وقياس العلاقة السببية بين عرض النقود والناتج المحلي الاجمالي في بلدان مختارة (السعودية ومصر) للمدة (1980 - 2006) Analysis of The Measurement of Causality Relationship Between Money Supply And Gross Domestic Product In Countries Selected (Saudi Arabia & Egypt) For The Period (1980 - 2006)

اسم المؤلف: عامر عبد الله مجيد
اسم المشرف: محمد صالح سلمان الكبيسي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2008
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد الدارسة القياسية التي تناول العلاقة المتبادلة ما بين المعروض النقدي والناتج المحلي الاجمالي ذات اهمية كبيرة لدول المنطقة للاسباب التالية : 1 - تعد هذه الدراسة محاولة اولية لوضع الملامح الرئيسية للعلاقة السببية بين كمية النقود والنشاط الاقتصادي.2 - افت | This econometric study which deals with an inter - relationship between money supply and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is of great significance for the countries under consideration for the following reasons : 1. The study is considered an initial attempt to place the main characteristics for the causal relationship between quantity of money and economic activity.2. Lack of Arab library, in general and Iraqi library in particular, of comprehensive research and information in such areas that make this topic difficult and time - consuming; even lacking total understanding of its elements and the requirements of the subject matter and its accuracy.This study is, therefore, intended to achieve the following objectives : 1. Studying development of money supply and GDP in Saudi Arabia and Egypt.2. Use of Hsiao and Granger econometric tests to find out the causal relationship between money supply and GDP for countries under study.The study is based on the hypothesis : existence of a significant, bilateral, causal and functional relationship between money supply and GDP in the economy of Saudi Arabia, on the one hand; and a unilateral, causal relationship between the two variables in the Egyptian economy, on the other.The research arrived at the following conclusions : 1. Strength of the relationship between money supply as a dependent variable and GDP as an independent variable and vice - versa; that there is a bilateral, causal relationship in the Saudi Arabian economy.2. Strength of the effect of the relationship between GDP on the money supply - and not otherwise - that is; there is a unilateral relationship concerning Egyptian economy. According to the results of causal test, we conclude that changes in the quantity of money do not help in explaining changes in the GDP; while changes in the GDP does help in explaining changes in the quantity of money. Therefore, quantity of money cannot be used as a tool for economic policy to affect real economic variable in the Egyptian economy.3. What characterizes Saudi economy is its dependence on petroleum resources that reinforce various petroleum - related and non - related economic activities. While Egyptian economy is distinguished by the diversification of various productive and service sectors but because of the many impediments that faced Egyptian economy as of late the country could not achieve its prosperity as Saudi Arabia did.Finally the researcher recommends : 1. Saudi Arabia should diversify its economic structures to avoid the effect of shocks as a result of its reliance on one resource; oil for example, or as a result of international economic and political problems that are more severe on one - sided economies.2. Despite tangible achievements of Egyptian economy, particularly after the nineties of the past century, there still is dire need for diversification especially in more vital sectors which contribute effectively in the accumulation of money supply in export, financial and banking sectors besides tourism that help promote balance of trade accounts.3. The necessity of taking advantage of globalization by both countries in attracting foreign investments and revitalizing Arab Economic Union Agreement and draw on financial surpluses from rich Arab countries for investment purposes.

التقييم الاقتصادي - المالي للشركة العامة لصناعة البطاريات للمدة (1992 - 2002) Economic - Financial Evaluation of The General Establishment of Batteries Industry For The Period (1992 - 2002)

اسم المؤلف: صفوان محمد شوقي حسام الدين البكري
اسم المشرف: هاشم علوان السامرائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2004
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد عملية التقييم الاقتصادي - المالي احد المراحل المهمة التي يمر بها المشروع للارتقاء بمستوى كفاءة اداءه. اذ يتم من خلال هذه العملية مساعدة متخذي القرار لتحديد البديل الافضل، الذي يحقق اكبر ربحية من بين الاستثمارات المتعددة. وان الحاجة لعملية التقييم | Economic evaluation is considered as one of the important stages to towards reaching efficiency. By this evaluation decision’s makers can decide alternatives for their investments, which make them most lucrative. Also, economic evaluation stems from the fact that economic resources that are invested in projects are scarce. The hypothesis of this research is that the general establishment of the batteries industry suffers from low efficiency of performance, and therefore the goal is to alleviate such inefficiency.The chemical industry sector is consider an important economic sector in the national economy, because of its high contribution to national income formation, and plays an important role in economic development.The products of the general establishment are considered important goods because they include (21) products. Therefore, the title of this research became ‘economic - financial evaluation of the establishment of batteries industry (1992 - 2002)’.The application of several suitable economic evaluation criteria was used. Future plan for the establishment for the period (2005 - 2014) was built by the use of economic feasibility schedule and then this schedule has been tested by sensitivity analysis. This study covered four chapters. The first one the actual performance of the chemical sector and batteries industry in Iraq through the development of some economic - financial indicators for the period (1992 - 2002). The second one introduced the theoretical framework of the study with different economic evaluation criteria, which were used in the study. Also, the relative importance of this company in comparison to the chemical industry sector was shown.The third chapter dealt with the same application of economic criteria mentioned in the theoretical framework.for the period (1992 - 2002) using the actual data mentioned in the first chapter.The fourth chapter introduced the future plan for the period (2005 - 2014) by the use of economic feasibility schedule, with sensitivity analysis for the establishment.Finally, several conclusions and recommendations were mentioned about the establishment.

تاثير تـدفق القـروض الخارجـية في تحقيق التحولات الهيكلية لاقتصادات بعض دول الاسكوا للمدة (1990 - 2002) The Effect of External Loans Flow Through Achieving Structural Transformation For The Economy of Some of The Escwa Countries (1990 - 2002)

اسم المؤلف: صادق زوير لجلاج السعيدي
اسم المشرف: راوية عبد الرحيم ياس
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2005
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: This Study Concerns itself with shedding some Lights on the size of External Loans flow of some Escwa Countries (Jordan, Egypt, Lebanon, and Yemen), the burden such Loans make and the ability of such Loans to make some desired Structural transformations in the economy of such countries.To achieve the above aim, an evaluation model was used (Chenery - Taylor) after making some modifications on that model. Then, the independent variables and Structural Indicators were specified. Such Structural Indicators are : 1 - Yagr : Represents share of the Agriculture sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP. 2 - Yind : Represents share of the Industrial sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP.3 - Yser : Represents share of the Service sector in GDP as a percentage from GDP.4 - Yaem : Represents share of the labor force in Agriculture sector as a percentage from the total labor force.5 - Yiem : Represents share of the labor force in Industrial sector as a percentage from the total labor force.6 - Ysem : Represents share of the labor force in Service sector as a percentage from the total labor force.The independent variables were : X1 : Total loans as a percentage from GNP. X2 : Total Investment as a percentage from GNP.X3 : Population.X4 : Gross domestic product per capita.X5 : Total exports of goods and service as a percentage from GNP.X6 : Total Imports of goods and service as a percentage fromGNP.This Study also depends on analytical quantity model in research for building economic model and estimate parameter in regression by (OLS) then tests the power of these models through statistical testing. The Study ends in some conclusions related to the results of analyzing the economic measurement model for the effect of some independent variables on chosen structural Indicators. Such structural transformation, which happened in nearly all the countries in the sample of this study. This study doesn’t take the transformation from agricultural sector to industrial and service sector, except (Egypt), the external loans has effect on desired structural transformation in its economy, this belongs to political causes..

تحليل وتقييم ستراتيجية التنمية الوطنية في العراق للمدة 2005 - 2007 مع اشارة خاصة لستراتيجية التنمية المحلية لمحافظة البصرة The Analysis And Evaluation of The National Development Strategy In Iraq For The Period 2005 - 2007 " With Special Concentration On The Local Development Strategy In Basra Governorate

اسم المؤلف: سونيا ارزروني وارتان
اسم المشرف: مانع حبش الطعمة
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2008
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The most aspect which is concerned Iraq is the complexity of it conditions and the destruction that comprised its economy, as a result of wars and dictatorship besides the economic siege which has followed that.The looting and stealing after 9 - 4 - 2003 destroyed what was staying of economic and civil on aspect, besides rumor of terrorism, security and stability due to many factors. Therefore, the occupation s authority and the two international organizations ( fiscal and monetary) starting to put policies in order to reconstruction and reform the conditions.According ally, a commiss ion has been established called Strategic commission to reconstruction Iraq in 25 - 12 - 2003.The purpose of this commission is to remove the debts of Iraq by 80%, that would be done through three stages and for eight years.According to the totally absence of Iraq government, it was started to put fiscal porgramme called " evaluation of Iraq needs to reconstruction", It was announced in November 2003 in Paris and through Madrid conference for donors countries.During the period 2005 - 2007, the two international organizations have issued a strategy called " National development strategy in Iraq for the year 2005 - 2007" which was included numbers of objectives and policies.It was said , that those strategy didin ’ t taking the status of Iraq after changing into consideration. During that period and as a part of Iraq policies which have already put by the external sides and according to the decentralization in management, that suggested to develop the Governorates of Iraq , it was tried to discuss that with concentrating on Basra governorate as a model for study, therefore the hypothesis of the study Said " The un cleared determation for the National development strategy in Iraq for their objectives and policies and without taking into consideration for the security conditions, these of course will course will hinder the development process and reconstruction of Iraq. To fulfill this it was discussed through four chapter, and finally the suggestions and findings.

فاعلية السياسة النقدية في ظل تحرير اسعار الفائدة : نماذج لدول مختارة للفترة 1990 - 2008 Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Within The Context of Liberalization of Interest Rates : Chosen States Protoypes - For The Period 1990 - 2008

اسم المؤلف: سلام هامل بريغش الجوراني
اسم المشرف: ثريا عبد الرحيم علي الخزرجي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2011
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تشغل اسعار الفائدة دورا كبيرا في النشاط الاقتصادي حيث تعتبر من اهم المؤشرات التي تستخدم في تحليل حركة الاقتصاد الكلي بحيث تستخدم كاداة لتحقيق التاثير في النشاط الاقتصادي عن طريق السياسة النقدية، وكثيرا ما يفترض في النظرية الاقتصادية ان سعر الفائدة يؤث | The importance of the role played by the interest rates in the national economy stems from the nature of using it as one tool of the used tools by the critical policy in achieving the objects that is targeting them, the change in the interest rates generating discrepancy reactions for the public including those (saving and investors) , also influence in distributing the available funds for investment for the most income projects through effecting in extent of utility of the same project.Using the interest rates by the monetary policy stems from using them as a tool or an mediator or final object and due to nature of the system under which this monetary policy functioning.The interest rates which was assigned administratively in Iraq before 2003 till the prime 2004 , now it has become buoyant and free and assigned within the context of the market powers, the monetary authority at that time used the interest rates as direct monetary tool restricted to cash and monetary imbalance in economy, the interest rates has characterized by prevalent stagnation and not taking in to consideration the continuous increase in general level in prices that made the banking system infertile in attracting the local saving because of the existence of negative genuine interest rates , and after giving the central bank its independence in running its monetary tools to achieve its objectives according to its new law and after releasing the freedom of assigning interest rates for the market powers, the interest rates has become used as one of mediator tools or the functionary of monetary policy and path of monetary policy in implementing and achieving the final object began to pass - through the interest rates as mediator aim , this procedure has succeeded in implementation and achieving the monetary policy objectives such as limitation of inflation and to confront its increasing rates and to cause its decrease , also reaching to relative stability state in general level of prices , in addition to improvement of local currency value, the process of releasing the interest rates also led to generate positive genuine interest rates through going in line with increasing of general level of prices that enhance the increase in saving and attracting the funds from the commercial banks that leads to activate the banking system function which serve the Iraqi economy.

تاثير التلوث البيئي على التنمية الصحية في العراق The Impact of The Environmental Pollution On Developing Human’s Health In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: ساهرة دريول كاظم
اسم المشرف: علي عبد محمد سعيد الراوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2003
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The vivid health was and still an aim and goal seeked by a human kind by all media , though that media is firstly connected with the survival instinct and avoiding pain and suffering of sickness, it wasn’t far or detached from its part to keep human being able to practice his daily activities in the first place the economical activity.Basing on that we can say that the need for health is as an essential necessity as an important and necessary element for human’s survival and later for the development , growth and productivity as well as enjoying life.Some of the environment problems face health , some are modern such as pollution caused by development activities for some of the economical fields which may participate by may or another to effect negatively on the environment health , and some are traditional such as polluted water ill drainage and treating local garbage.As environment is very important for human and economical development and its effect on the sort of life and the continuity of development so, the modern development attitudes faxed on returning human to his natural position.After the steps of the traditional development had hindered in most of underdeveloped countries which tried to apply developed samples succeeded in other countries despite the stander or the actual fact of its economics and societies. This had made the interest of economists at the beginning of the nineties fall on the human race and the necessity of increasing the human investment continuously (Knitting development around human considering him its aim and media at the same time) and this makes (health) of the human as a base for the nature of the mutual relation between him and the environment from a side and environment and economical development from the other side.Development is connected by away or another with the increasing of tasks on environment with its different parts, also it was necessary that quickness in development should be consider with supporting the health of the environment and to make the conjunction between health and environment , social, economical development more effective , this demands coordination between the efforts of all the sections that may participate in the prosperity of people , besides that the look at the health should be as inseparable part of development.Health and human rights also should prevailed or any economical , political norms because human’s life in it’s pest form is the ultimate goal of development to achieve happiness for human’s kind and their prosperity without causing any harm for their land, air or water.The evaluation of the impact on the health of the environment should represent an inseparable part of all the development activities to ensure decreasing the possible bad effects of the industrial , agricultural , transport developments , and the new methods of conserving water and the health of the environment to the least possible minimum. Iraq is one of countries that tried participating in these fields through adopting the concept of the sustainable development and through the emphasis on the necessity of taking care of the different sides of the environment in an attempt to set the bases of the political environment for the country and conserving the health of Iraqi citizen , yet , there is a lot of obstacles that face this policy especially wars , economical embargo imposed at the beginning of the nineties and the influence of its negative results on all the economical and serving sections which increased the problem of pollution reflecting its negative effects on health as the average of deeds , rate of infectious diseases and bad tumors which it’s effect will last clearly on the health of Iraqi citizen for several coming years reflecting that in the down of the average of the expected age of any person and here is the importance of the research.The research’s problem’s appear as follows : The Iraqi country had suffered during the previous decades from the problem of getting rid of pollutions which reflects in hindering the achievement of development for health and human beings, which also will be reflected negatively on the economical performance and the future of the economical and social development.Therefore , the research is intending to present analysis to the faces of polluted environment and explaining the nature of pollutions in the Iraqi environment as well as the relation and the direct and indirect influence on human’s health also, the research presents suggestions to decrease the negative effects of pollutions on both human’s and environment health.So far, the research is based on hypothecy its theme is that the continuity of throwing pollutions to environment without radical and compromise treatment leads to hindering the process of human’s health development and also the whole economical , social development.The research had depended on the descriptive analysis to prove its theory that is based on specialized sources and modern published studies concerned with environment and development , besides some other studies and related conferences through the internet and some schedules obtunded from the concerned ministries (ministry of health, planning transport and communications) also the direct interviews with the specialists doctors , engineers of environment.As for covering the sides of the research (the impact of the environmental pollution on developing human's health in Iraq) and to get its goal the research is divided into four sections the first one is the concepts collection which shows and tackles some concepts in environment and pollution which is showed through two parts, the first is the concept of environment and its elements and its main problems while the second is the nature of pollution and the consequences.The second section searches the mutual relation between environment health , and human development and it includes two parts , the first is the conceptual birth and growth for human development , while the second explains the essential relations between environment health , and development.The third section tackles the most important effects of development for the economical fields in Iraq and its influence on the health of the environment and this was done through three parts : 1 - The role of the industrial section in polluting the environment elements , and the results caused by.2 - Explains the role of the agricultural section in polluting environment and its deformed and the most important results caused by.3 - Deals with the role of transportation in polluting environment and the results caused by too.The fourth and the last section tackles covering the essential needs for the health of the environment and its reflections on health in Iraq. The fourth section is of two parts , the first explains the economical , and social effects to supply the essential needs for the environment health , while the second explains the down in trend of health in Iraq and in unhealthy , unsaved environment the Iraqi country lived and lives it the long years of wars , economical embargo as well as the average of deeds and rate of spreading diseases.The research writer had come to conclusions and recommendations through the research as these recommendations were molded basing on the research’s results, hoping it will be useful for the concerned sides.At last I hope I achieved what I am longing to.Thanking God for enabling me to finish my research as best as it could be and my efforts to be well appreciated.

واقع الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر ومحدداته في دول مجلس التعاون الخليجي 1990 - 2003 The Status And Determination of Foreign Direct Investment In The Gulf Cooperation Council 1990 - 2003

اسم المؤلف: سامي هاشم فالح الساعدي
اسم المشرف: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2006
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

ضرورات التخطيط والتخطيط الستراتيجي للتحول الاقتصادي لبلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق The Necessity For Planning And The Strategic Planning For Economic Change In Some Chosen Countries (With Aspecial Reference To Iraq)

اسم المؤلف: زينة مؤيد محمود
اسم المشرف: عبد الجبار محمود فتاح العبيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: جاء البحث لمعالجة مشكلة اختلال الهيكل الاقتصادي المتسم بريعيته من خلال اعتماد التخطيط لتنويع مصادر الدخل القومي. لذا جاء البحث مستندا? ?لى اعتماد التخطيط كاسلوب لاحداث التحولات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية من خلال تشخيص المشكلات وتحديد الموارد والامكانات اللازم | The study is to handle the problem of distribution of economical structure that depend on the governmental income related to the natural resources through depending on variation the sources of natural income. So this study depends on the hypothesis of planning as a method to make social and economic changes through specifying the problems and identifying the resources and needed capabilities to overcome these problems.To test the hypothesis, this study includes showing the importance of planning to make changes in the previous union of sovite socialist republic (VSSR) and employing the capitalism to keep it?s continuance on, and then comparing.The experiments of the planning and strategy planning for developing countries like Egypt and Malaysia with Iraq to show the role of planning in make the economic and social changes and the achieved results of the experiments of these countries and comparing it with the experiments of Iraq.The study shows the importance of planning through a futuristic vision to define the distribution of economic changes of the Malaysian experiment.This study recommends the necessity of the government intervention through applying the strategic and making plans (at the ministries and institutional level ) in the direction of market mechanisms and beginning with specifying the economic and social activities to make the aimed changes economically and socially.

مستقبل الصناعة النفطية لدول الاوبك في ظل ظاهرة الاحتباس الحراري The Future of The Oil Industry To OPEC Countries In Light of Global Warming

اسم المؤلف: زيد عبد الكريم محمود الزهيري
اسم المشرف: ايمان عبد خضير الغريباوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد ظاهرة الاحتباس الحراري من اهم الاحداث البيئية, التي لاقت اهتماما واسعا من قبل الدول الكبرى والمنظمات الدولية, لما لها من اثار اقتصادية وبيئية على كافة الدول, لذلك سعت الدول الكبرى وعلى راسها دول وكالة الطاقة, الى الوقوف بوجه هذه الظاهرة والحد منها وبا | The global warming of the most important environmental events, which received wide attention by the major countries and international organizations, because of their economic and environmental implications for all countries, so the major powers sought, led by the IEA countries, the emphasis of this phenomenon stand reduction and simultaneously used to achieve other economic and political goals at the expense of OPEC countries, as it took up the search and the international energy agency and its relationship to global warming, and how the impact of these policies on the oil industry for the OPEC countries, by influencing the investment of oil demand in the oil industry for the countries of OPEC policies, eating Search also the duplication of the international energy agency countries in their dealings with crudes OPEC and reduce their consumption, despite an increase in output of shale oil and sand as well as shale gas, which is more polluting than oil, as adopted by searching on the premise that the international energy agency policies will negatively affect the oil industry to states OPEC, and the results of the economic analysis, said the international energy agency's policies of imposing a carbon tax on oil, increasing trend towards alternative energy sources, negatively affected and will cause in the future at the request of crudes, OPEC, and then the impact on oil revenues, which in turn supports the oil industry in these countries , and then accept the alternative hypothesis and reject the null, either the results of benchmark analysis that took the United States a model to study during the period (1995 - 2014), she stated that the lack of long - term causal relationship between the demand for crudes OPEC and taxes carbon emissions of carbon there is no causal relationship in term short, too, as there are no long - term causal relationship between carbon taxes and demand for crudes, OPEC and the emission of carbon, in addition to the absence of a causal relationship in the short term between the model variables, but there are no long causal relationship term, emissions of carbon and demand for oil and tax carbon, as well as no causal relationship going from short - term oil demand and carbon taxes toward carbon emissions.

العولمة الاقتصادية وتاثيرها في اسواق العمل مع التركيز على البطالة في دول مختارة : مصر والاردن حالة دراسية

اسم المؤلف: زهير حامد سلمان السعدون الزيدي
اسم المشرف: ايمان عبد خضير الغريباوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2009
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

تحليل العلاقة بين تطور البنية المالية التحتية والاستثمارات الاجنبية نماذج مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق Analysis of The Relationship Between The Financial Infrastructure Development And Foreign Investments Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: رفل جميل عزيز
اسم المشرف: عمار حمد خلف
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: هدف البحث الى تحليل تاثير البنية المالية التحتية على تدفقات الاستثمارات الاجنبية في ثلاث دول هي العراق وماليزيا واندونيسيا خلال المدة 1990 - 2013. حيث تم قياس البنية المالية التحتية باستخدام مؤشرات مختلفة مثل البيئة المؤسسية، والبيئة التنظيمية والحصول على | This thesis aims to analysis the effect of financial infrastructure on the foreign investments inflows in three countries namely Iraq, Malaysia and Indonesia during the period 1990 - 2013. The financial infrastructure measured by using different indicators such as institutional environment, regulatory environment and access to finance. The thesis found that the development of financial infrastructure is varied among the selected countries. It was highly developed in Malaysia where it was less developed in both other countries. The applied econometric model (Granger Causality) proved the thesis’s hypothesis which stated that the sophisticated financial infrastructure directly and indirectly leads to more inflows of foreign investments for Iraq, Malaysia and Indonesia. The thesis divided into three chapters in order to achieve its objectives and tackle its problem as well as approve the hypothesis. The first chapter includes the theoretical and conceptual framework of both the foreign investment and financial infrastructure. The second chapter analyzed the role of financial infrastructure in attraction more of foreign investments in the three mentioned countries. The third chapter measured the causality nexus between the financial infrastructure and foreign investments. In addition, the thesis also listed the major conclusions and policy implications especially for Iraqi policy maker.

التخصيصية ودورها في تطوير السوق المالية مع اشارة خاصة لتجربة (مصر والاردن)

اسم المؤلف: رجاء فاضل عبود اللامي
اسم المشرف: عماد محمد علي عبد اللطيف العاني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2006
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

تاثير اختلال الميزان التجاري في النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2013) The Impact of The Trade Imbalance On Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (2003 - 2013)S

اسم المؤلف: رافد قيس فرحان
اسم المشرف: وليد عبد المنعم عباس الدركزلي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: اهتمت الدراسة بالقاء الضوء على واقع التجارة السلعية غير النفطية، وزيادة درجة الانكشاف الاقتصادي على دول العالم الخارجي، اذ تسيطر على تجارة العراق الخارجية سلعة رئيسة وهي النفط، وبالتالي عدم قدرة العراق من التحكم بايراداته المالية نتيجة التذبذب وعدم الاس | The study cared is shedding light on the reality of the non - oil commodity trade, and increase of the degree of economic exposure on the external world states. Oil dominates the external trade of Iraq. Thus, Iraqi is incapable of controlling its revenues due to the instability of the world oil prices which effect negatively on the achieved economic revenues due to the continuous deficit of the non - oil commodity trade. We notice that during the period of study (1994 - 2003) the accumulated deficit will lead to the decrease of the capital accumulation, and thus, to the decrease of investment in all of the economic sectors associated with the oil revenues. Each decrease in the oil pirces would lead to a derease in the employments levels and the use of the available of productive sopurces on the domestic level. Consequently, that is relfetec in he achieving of high growth rates. The oil revenues dominate the greatest share of the total edxports of the country. The average of the period of study attained (%96.37). Hence the risk of depending on the oil revenues with the fluctuations on the economic relations. The exportation sector of Iraq suffers from internal and external obstacles like the backwardness of the production sectors which are incapable of meeting the domestic demands and the bad condition of the agricultural and service sectors. That opened the door for the importing of goods from the world. Consequently, that would lead to the paying of hard currency to cover the importations which include almost all the consumptive products. This makes the non - oil trade balance in a state of continues deficit until the economic sectors

تقويم كفاءة الاداء لشركة المنصور العامة للمدة (1989 - 2001) Performance Efficiency Evaluation of Al - Mansour General Company For The Period (1989 - 2001)

اسم المؤلف: رافد علي عبد الله الزوري
اسم المشرف: هاشم علوان السامرائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2003
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تقويم كفاءة الاداء يقصد به التعرف على العلاقات الاقتصادية التي تربط بين الموارد (المادية, البشرية ,المالية ) المتاحة وكيفية استخدامها في الوحدة الانتاجية ,ان اهمية العملية ترجع الى ندرة الموارد الاقتصادية وبشكل خاص راس المال 0ان الصناعات الهندسية تعتبر م | The evaluation of performance efficiency means the knowledge of economic relationships between available resources and their economic use in the firm. The need to economic evaluation stems from the fact that the economic resources are scarce, especially capital.The hypothesis of this research is that the Al - Mansour General Company suffer from low efficiency of performance , and therefore the goal is alleviate such inefficiency. The engineering industry is considered an important economic sector in the national economy, because of its high contribution to national income formation, and plays an important role in economic development.The products of Al - Mansour General Company are considered an important part of engineering industry, because it includes such products as Oxygen for medical purposes, distilled and drinking water.Therefore, the title of this research became (Performance Efficiency Evaluation of Al - Mansour General Company for the period (1989 - 2001)The application of several suitable economic evaluation criteria was used. Future plan for the company for the period (2004 - 2013) was schemed by the use of economic feasibility schedule and then this schedule has been tested by sensitivity analysis. This study covered four chapters, the first introduced the theoretical framework of the study with different economic evaluation criteria which were used in the study. The second chapter introduced the actual performance of the company for the period (1989 - 2001).Also, the relative importance of this company in comparison to the engineering industry sector was shown. The third chapter dealt with the same application of economic criteria mentioned in the theoretical framework, for the period (1989 - 2001) using the actual data mentioned in the second chapter.The fourth chapter introduced the future plan for the period (2004 - 2013) by the use of economic feasibility schedule, with sensitivity analysis. Finally, several conclusions and recommendations were mentioned about the company and the study.

مستقبل الدولة الريعية في العراق Future of Revenue State In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: خالد مطر مشاري
اسم المشرف: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2008
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The Iraq Oil occupies a big strategic importance in both , external and internal levels. However on the external level , Iraq possesses a huge oil reserve for this reason , it is classified in the place after both Saudi Arabia and Iran.Moreover it is expected that Iraq shall be the main financer of the global oil Market and the oil experts expect that many oil field will be discovered.especially in wide areas of Iraqi lands. These areas are undiscovered lands ,which have not been excreted or searched. Thus the period of the Iraqi oil production will last longer theirs expected.The strategic importance of the Iraqi oil increased hugely because of increasing global need that accompanies the continuous economic growth this is on one hand. On there other hand the decreasing of reserve oil as well as there have not been discovered a new oil field.On the internal level the oil imports enjoys with great importance in the total production and the oil exports dominate on the total exports form as well as it is considered the main foreign currencies and the general imports.Consequently it plays a vital role as the most important source of the economic development in Iraq and identify the different effects.Since the oil incomes in Iraq economics , Iraq has got the feature of the revenue state. Thus it is naturally the state can control and run this sector.The state developed it is role to run oil revenues and the methods of investment. Iraq find itself however facing a lot of external and internal challenges through the ability of income sources variety and attempt to reduce the rate of independence on oil incomes because source and the external challenges representive by how the state running the oil sector in order to reduce the effects of different external impacts on Iraqi economy.Although the Iraqi oil has a strategic importance in Iraqi economy but rather it has social and economical costs that the Iraqi society as well as economy and the revenue state has a vital role to stabilize and deepen it is tracks. The future of Iraqi economy depends to a great rang on how the state runs the oil worth , whether it was through production joint contracts in Iraq or through the state control remain on oil sector.

بدائل الطاقة وانعكاساتها على التنمية المستدامة في دول نفطية مختارة اشارة للعراق Energy Alternatives And Impacts On Sustainable Development In Selected Oil Countries With Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: حيدر ظاهر محمد القره لوسي
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان تحقيق التنمية المستدامة في الدول النفطية واجهها العديد من التحديات الدولية والمحلية التي انعكست على هذه الدول في مسيرة التنمية, من جهة تواجه الدول النفطية صعود بدائل الطاقة التي قد تحد وتؤثر سلبا على عوائدها النفطية في المستقبل, ولاسيما مع زيادة الاهت | The achievement of sustainable development in the oil - producing countries faced many international and domestic challenges that are reflected on these countries in the development process, from the point of oil - producing countries facing the rise of energy which may limit the negative impact on oil revenues in the future, especially with the increased attention to environmental problems and the need to dismiss sources of alternatives pollution and that of the most important sources of fossil fuels, which will contribute to reducing the importance of depleted resource in the future, on the other hand, the oil - producing countries to get rid of dependence on non - renewable resources in the financing sources of income and finding sources of income more sustainable for the future, so that follow sustainable development in the oil - producing countries in the exploit their own resources to finance the sustainable economic development of all dimensions (economic, social and environmental) and achieve a sustainable balanced development of all dimensions and areas, which will ensure dismiss rely on depleted supplier and find a variety of sources of income and more sustainable Pat things to be achieved in these countries, as well as to save the generations rights next in natural resources, so the oil - producing countries, especially Iraq, the optimal strategy to exploit the depleted supplier that achieve the highest possible return first, and to achieve sustainable development of economic sectors all Secondly, the development of human resources and convenient output mode to suit the sustainable economic development requirements Third, to achieve the three goals above in oil - producing countries to achieve sustainable economic returns to enable them to get rid of the one - sided economy and diversify sources of income, such as well as ensuring the rights of future generations in the future.

تحليل العوامل المؤثرة فـي اداء سوق الاوراق المالية : مصر حالة دراسية للمدة (1991 - 2005) Analysis of The Influencing Factors In The Performance of The Security Market (Egypt As A Study Case For 1991 - 2005)

اسم المؤلف: حيدر حسين احمد محمد ال طعمة
اسم المشرف: يسرى مهدي حسن السامرائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2007
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: the Security market by its different systems constitutes a basic element of the financing structure components in an economic systems which are relaid first of to all on private sector as the important role of these markets to mobilize domestic savings and steering them in an investment channels working to support the national economy and increasing the welfare rates for its individual. The study dealt with the security market in Egypt. It was aiming to Diagnose the important factors affecting in the market performance rather then discovering the effects which are Left by economic variables; money Supply, economic activity, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation, describing them as an independent variables. And, the important performance indicators of security market ; stock price index, market value, volume traded, describing them as a dependent variables. This is by using the multiple - linear Regression technique. The analysis relaid on yearly data for the period 1991 - 2005. The study fall into four basic chapters. The first one devoted to examine the study framework and included two basic section. The second chapter dealt with the concept and development of the security market and included three basic sections. The third chapter was devoted to the more important factors; both internal and external, which affecting in the security market and included two section. And the forth chapter was devoted to the emergence and development of the Egypt security market and the influencing factors and included two basic sections. The study ended with several conclusions and recommendations.

محـددات الميزة التنافسية للقطاع الصناعي في الصين والعراق : دراسة تحليلية Determinants of Competitive Advantage In The Industrial Sector In China & Iraq Analytic Study

اسم المؤلف: حسين غازي رشيد
اسم المشرف: فوزي حسين محمد الحديثي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2010
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The determinant of competitive advantage is one of the most important topics of the international economics because of the fierce competition at the national markets ,and so many studies have been conducted to answer the question - why some countries succeeded in creating and keeping its competitive advantage while others failed in this achieve this goal.The study goes off from the following hypothesis to adopt the determinants as a package plays a major role in gaining a foothold at the international markets. The aim of the study is to find out the nature of the determinants of competitive advantage of the industrial sector in Chinas economy.To test the hypothesis ,the study included three chapters ,the first was dedicated for the conceptual aspects ,while the second was devoted to the determinants of competitive advantage in the Chinese economy.the third studied the Iraqi industrial sector and its opportunities in the lights of determinants of competitive advantage. The study reached the following conclusions1 - the abundance of the production factors that embodied in the comparative theory is not anymore able to explain success at the international markets.2 - The new concepts of competitive advantage focuses on the productivity of the production factors.3 - China did not rely on its low - wage labor only but also tried every thing possible to keep its competitive advantage through building modern infra - structure, spending more entraining labor force, and allowing foreign investment.4 - The industrial sector in Iraq is very weak because the makers of economic policy neglected all determinants of competitive advantage

التاثيرات المتبادلة بين السياستين النقدية والمالية وامكانية التنسيق بينهما لتحقيق الاستقرار في الاسعار : العراق حالة دراسية Mutual Influences Between Monetary And Fiscal Policy And Possibility of Coordination Between Them To Achieve Stability In The Prices (Iraq Case Study)

اسم المؤلف: حسين خالد حسين الصميدعي
اسم المشرف: نهاد عبد الكريم احمد العبيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The research assumes that the lack of coordination in the economy between monetary and fiscal policy will make the general level of prices in an unstable state.The research aims to clarify the objectives of coordination between monetary and fiscal policy, particularly since there are reciprocal influences between them this as well as the implications of the lack of coordination, In addition to the damages that may result in the economy, especially in developing countries such as Iraq as a case study.In order to briefing the subject of research, it has been divided into three chapters. Cares the first chapter of the theoretical framework for both monetary and fiscal policy and the interaction between them, and the second chapter dealt coordination and mutual influences for both policies, The third chapter addresses the coordination between monetary and fiscal policy in Iraq, Finally came the conclusions and recommendations reached by the researcher.The research concluded that the stability in the general level of prices, which is currently in Iraq was continuing because daily interventions of the Central Bank through currency auction. In addition Iraq has suffered since 2004 from weakness in the coordination process and until 2014, where a clear program is not available or formal framework for coordination in Iraq. But because of lower oil prices, the start of coordination between the central bank and the government to plug the budget deficit.Research has recommended that it should be both authorities agree on a common goal to achieve specific objectives for both the two policies and selecting the optimal mix that achieves this goal. Increase the credibility and transparency of the two policies through the increase in the effectiveness of the Central Bureau of Statistics, as well as the announcement of all important economic indicators. Continued the modern economy that every action taken by fiscal authority has implications on the monetary policy operations, And vice versa. Especially since the monetary and fiscal authorities have different targets led to the appearance of a conflict in the application of monetary and fiscal policy which would disappoint policies to achieve their objectives. So the modern economy cares very attention for coordination issues between monetary and fiscal policy where the need to effective coordination requires a sustainable and credible policies. So the modern economy cares very attention for coordination issues between monetary and fiscal policy where the need to effective coordination requires a sustainable and credible policies. In addition to the presence of another condition you must be met in coordination called the institutional and legal arrangements for coordination.Iraq needs to coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities and institutional arrangements for this coordination more than other countries, especially after the modern trends pursued by the monetary and fiscal policy after 2003. Where both the two policies taken opposite directions, monetary policy has taken a deflationary policy but fiscal policy, it has taken an expansionary policy, which reduced the expansionary fiscal policy success rates and cost of monetary policy many financial costs. The importance of this research from the benefits to the economy of the coordination process, as it will make the two policies agree on common goals, which soften or eliminate current and future conflicts between the central bank and the government.In relation to the research problem is that the weakness in the coordination process creates a state of imbalance and economic instability, as both the two policies become incapable of achieving their objectives as required, in particular the stability in the general level of prices

تحليل وقياس العلاقة بين اسعار النفط واسعار الصرف في دولة مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق Analyze And Measure The Relationship Between Oil Prices And Exchange Rates In Selected Countries With Special Mention To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: حسين حسب الله علوان
اسم المشرف: ايمان عبد خضير الغريباوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2014
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The relationship between oil price and exchange rate is important, especially in oil exporting countries. Because the fluctuations in oil price lead to instability of the revenue of oil exports, which leads to an improvement or decline in the net trade balance, as well as international reserves. In countries that adopted floating exchange rate regime, the improvement or decline in the net trade balance cause appreciation or depreciation in their currencies, while countries that depend fixed (or managed floating) exchange rate regime, the rise or fall in international reserves (as expected) lead to appreciation or depreciation in their currencies.This research discussed and analyzed the relationship between the oil prices and U.S. dollar exchange rate, as well as the relationship between the oil price and exchange rate in three oil - exporting countries (Algeria, Norway and Iraq), which adopts different exchange rate regimes. The unit root test, co - integration test, vector error correction model and Granger causality test have been adopted in this research to check the existence and direction of this relationship. The results were as follow : there is long run relationship between U.S. dollar exchange rate and oil price. The VECM and Granger causality test refer to dollar as ‎the explanatory variable (i.e. the dollar fluctuations lead the changes in oil price). Whereas there is no relationship between oil price and Algerian dinar exchange rate. but in Norway there is long run relationship between oil price and krone exchange rate, according to VECM and Granger causality test the oil price is the explanatory variable (i.e. the changes in oil price lead the fluctuations in krone exchange rate). In Iraq there is long run relationship between oil price and Iraqi dinar, Granger causality test refer to one direction causality run from oil price to Iraq dinar exchange rate (i.e. the changes in oil price lead the fluctuations in exchange rate). On other hand, VECM refer to two causality long run relationship (i.e. both oil price and exchange rate cause each other), the latter result is not accepted by the economic logic, because it is not possible the IQD affect the crude oil prices

معوقات التنمية الاقتصادية في العراق بعد عام 2003 بحث تحليلي مقارن في ضوء معطيات التجربة الماليزية Impediments of Economic Development In Iraq After 2003, A Comparative Analysis of The Malaysian Experience

اسم المؤلف: حامد رحيم جناني
اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان الاقتصاد يشكل حجر الاساس في بناء كيان الدولة، وعامل اساس في صناعة الاستقرار العام كونه يمثل بنية تحتية يساهم في صناعة القيم الاجتماعية السائدة وشكل الدولة السياسي،وبذات الوقت ان الاصلاح الاقتصادي وتحقيق التنمية هو نتيجة طبيعية للدولة المتماسكة الحديثة | Economy is the foundation stone of the state and an important factor in the stability of the state. It is an essential factor in the formation of the prevailing social values and the policy of the state At the same time, economic reform is the product of a cohesive modern state.That means that economy is a cause and an effect. Economy plays a major role in Iraq, which is suffering from a difficult and exceptional circumstances because of the lack of balance between the elements of economic development and its economy. The necessary condition to achieve development is the diagnosis of the obstacles that prevent the development and study of international experience in a country has achieved development. This requires a study of the concept of economic development and take advantage of intellectual development at the level of modernity. Then the Obstacles of the development are analyzed comprehensively. After that the ways to achieve the development of the Iraqi economy are showed because the Iraqi economy has important ingredients and opportunities that make it capable of achieving development. In order to achieve the above, we should follow the induction in Iraq and the elicitation to clarify the experience of Malaysia for achieving economic development The Malaysian circumstances before development were similar to the current Iraqi circumstances. Consensual democracy is the reason of the political struggles in Iraq as well as the reality of the situation explains there is an inverse relationship between oil's revenues and achieving development in Iraq because of the dominance of government on the economy and the emergence of Dutch disease The decision - makers' will and ability should be available at the level of development that coupled with the strategic economic planning

قياس تاثير نافذة بيع العملة على التغيرات في سعر الصرف وعرض النقود في العراق Measure The Impact of Currency Auction On The Variability of The Exchange Rate & Money Supply In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: بلال قاسم محمد حسن
اسم المشرف: محمود محمد محمود داغر
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان الحالة الانتقالية التي عاشها الاقتصاد العراقي بعد 2003، والتحول في اتجاهات السياسة النقدية حديثا اثر حصول البنك المركزي على استقلاليته استنادا الى قانون 56 لعام 2004، ادت الى استخدام السلطة النقدية ادوات حديثة وبما يتناسب مع متطلبات التوجه نحو نظام السوق من جهة، والخصوصية التي يتصف بها الاقتصاد العراقي في ظل الاختلال الهيكلي الذي يعاني منه فضلا عن تخلف النظام المالي والمصرفي من جهة اخرى.اتبعت السلطة النقدية سياسة استهداف التضخم من اجل الحفاظ على الاستقرار النقدي في البلد وعده حاضنة للنمو المستقبلي ، واستخدمت من اجل تحقيق هدفها سعر الصرف مثبتا اسميا Nominal Anchor ، بسبب ريعية الاقتصاد والهشاشة المالية Shallowness وانفصال القطاع الحقيقي عن النقدي مما يجعل القنوات التقليدية لانتقال اثر السياسة النقدية (معدل الفائدة) غير فاعلة بنسبة كبيرة . واستخدمت السلطة النقدية نافذة بيع العملة الية للسيطرة على سعر الصرف والتحكم به (في ظل نظام صرف معلن de Jure نظام تعويم مدار ، ونظام صرفي حقيقي de facto ينقسم لمرحلتين الاولى 2004 - 2009 نظام تعويم مدار والثانية 2009 - 2015 نظام سعر صرف ثابت)، وبما يحقق هدف استقرار الاسعار. نجحت السلطة النقدية من خلال استعمال نافذة بيع العملة في السيطرة على سعر الصرف وتقليص فجوة الصرف بين السعر الرسمي والسعر الموازي، ومن ثم الحفاظ على سعر صرف مستقر نسبيا للمدة 2004 - 2015 وبالتالي استقرار الاسعار والقوة الشرائية في الاقتصاد .الا ان نجاح هذه الاداة كان على حساب الضغط على الاحتياطيات الدولية لدى البنك المركزي في ظل الانفاق الاستهلاكي الكبير من قبل الحكومة، مقابل تناقص عائدات النفط التي تمثل المصدر الوحيد لعرض العملة الاجنبية . مما يجعل سعر الصرف مستقبلا هو الاخر غير قادر على الحفاظ على استقرار الاسعار وخفض التضخم، بالتالي تصبح العملة العراقية مهددة بالانهيار . ولكنها تبقى الاداة الفاعلة الوحيده لدى السلطة النقدية في ظل الظروف الخاصة التي يعيشها الاقتصاد العراقي. | The transition states that Iraq economy lived it after 2003. And the change in tools used by monetary policy based on C.B.I law 56 in 2004, under the especially situation for the economy (structural imbalances and the weakness of banking & financial sector).The monetary policy followed the inflation target policy to keep the monetary stability in the economy and considered it an incubator for future growth. It used the exchange rate as a nominal anchor to achieve the goal (because the rentier of economy, finance Shallowness & separation between real sector and finance sector, all this cause the normal channel to transfer the effect of monetary policy (interest rate) ineffective.For all that the monetary policy used the Auction as a mechanism to effect on exchange rate. And it’s succeed to controls the exchange rate and reduce the gap between the official price and real price to keep the exchange rate relatively stable for period 2004 - 2015 down to the stability of prices & purchasing power.But the succeed of Auction caused pressure on international Reserves in the C.B.I under the big government expenditure (especially the consumption expenditure) compared to a decrease of oil return, which represent the only source to supply the foreign currency. That makes exchange rate in the future inactive to keep the stability in the price and decrease the inflation.But the Auction still the only active tool used by the monetary policy under the especially situation the Iraqi economies lived.
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