البحث — المستودع الرقمي العراقي

نتائج البحث: 19 من أصل 19

التنبؤ بكميات الانتاج لمحصول القمح في العراق باستعمال السلاسل الزمنية للفترة من 1970 - 2014 Forecasting Production Quantities of wheat crop in Iraq for the Period from 1980 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: وليد خالد عباس

اسم المشرف: بيداء اسماعيل عبد الوهاب

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

العوامل الاقتصادية والاجتماعية المؤثرة في الهجرة الداخلية في العراق Economic and social factors affecting the internal migration in Iraq

اسم المؤلف: رقية توفيق عبد الستار

اسم المشرف: ايمان محمد عبد الله

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

استخدام نظم المعلومات الجغرافية في التببؤ بمحصول الحنطة في جنوب العراق The Use of Geographic Information Systems In The Prediction of The Wheat Crop In Southern Iraq

اسم المؤلف: هلاء سعدون شكر

اسم المشرف: محمود مهدي حسن البياتي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

العوامل المؤثرة على انتاج بعض المحاصيل الحقلية في العراق Factors Affecting The Production of Some Field Crops In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: نور كمال عبد الكريم

اسم المشرف: انتصار عريبي فدعم الدوري

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

التنبؤ بانتاج التمور في الفرات الاوسط باستخدام السلاسل الزمنية Forecasting Production of Dates In The Middle Euphrates Using Time Series

اسم المؤلف: نعمة ساهون شنان

اسم المشرف: رباب عبد الرضا صالح البكري

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

التحليل الاحصائي لفقر الاطفال وفقا لبيانات المسح الاجتماعي والاقتصادي للاسرة لسنة 2012م The Statistical Analysis of Child Poverty According To The Socio - Economic Survey of The Family For The Year 2012

اسم المؤلف: قاسم محمد صاحب

اسم المشرف: ضياء عواد كاظم

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: تعتبر دراسة واقع الطفولة في العراق من القضايا المهمة نظرا لاهمية هذه الفئة في المجتمع , كونهم يعدون البذار الاول للمجتمع ومن خلالهم يحدد المسار الذي يتوجه اليه. تهتم الدراسة في اعطاء صورة واضحة عن واقع فقر الاطفال في العراق , من خلال ما يعانية الاطفال | Study reality of childhood in Iraq , one of the important issues of the importance of this category in the community , as they are consider the first seed to the community and through them determines the path that goes him. The study is interested in giving a clear picture of the of the reality of child poverty in Iraq , through the suffering of the child cases of deprivation of needs and basic services is saturated by appling Bristol indicators of severe deprivation for children in the calculation of depdeprivations suffred by the children and the severe poverty of children , and classification of children in accordance with the integrated sample poverty and socioeconomic survey of the family for the year 2012 scale , amounting to (25488) families wich included (87118) children , wich were obtained from the ministry of planning / central statistical , which included all the governorates. used in statistical data analysis software (stata version 12 , spss version 21) , as well as use of factor analysis as a way in multivariate statistical analysis of the data to find the most important factors affecting the phenomenon of the child poverty The researcher found through this study that (18.8%) of all children suffered from severe child poverty in 2012 , and the governorate of thi - qar top Iraqi governorates in the proportion of child poverty. It was also classified the children of Iraq in accordance with the integrated poverty measure , as shown through which (8.3%) of the total children suffered chronic poverty (they have suffered poverty according to the style of poverty and style UBN line ) , and (14.5%) suffered a newly poverty ( the have suffered poverty according to the style of the poverty line only ) , (10.2%) is the ratio of children who have suffered structural poverty (they suffered poverty according to the style of UBN only), the children who were classified according to the non - poor poverty measurement method was accounted for (66.9%) of the total children. By using factor analysis to find the most important factors affecting the phenomenon of Child poverty, it shows that there are five factors that control the fifteen variables on the level of Iraq and also on the urban level, either in terms of the rurel were six factors, The variable (severe deprivation of education) the greatest impact in the formation of the first factor on the level of Iraq, either at the urban level was variable (monetary poverty for the family) the greatest impact in the formation of the first factor, as was the rurel to the variable (severe deprivation of information) has the greatest impactin The first factor formation

التنبــؤ بالارقام القياسية لاسعار المستهلك في العراق Forecasting The Consumer Price Index Number In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: غادة مصطفى عطا

اسم المشرف: احمد ذياب احمد العزاوي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: يعد الرقم القياسي لاسعار المستهلك واحدا من اكثر الادوات الاحصائية استعمالا لقياس التضخم في اقتصاد اي بلد، والهدف الرئيسي من احتساب هذا الرقم القياسي هو رصد التغيرات التي تطرا على اسعار السلع والخدمات وذلك لتقدير التغير في القوة الشرائية لوحدة النقود وم | The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most widely used statistical tools to measure inflation in a country’s economy, the main objective of calculating this index is to monitor changes in the prices of goods and services in order to estimate the change in the purchasing power of money and the subsequent amendment to the wages and the prices on some services to ensure the stability of their purchasing power.Iraq's economy has been suffering for a long time of continuous increase in most of goods and services prices in the local market due to internal and external many factors which led to the deterioration in economic development and have negative impact on economic and social life of consumers specially those who have fixed and limited income، therefore Knowledge of the movement and trends in prices of goods and services in the future will help the planners and decision - makers to put financial and productivity suitable policy to achieve stability in domestic prices.Whereas this research aims to forecasting of the consumer price index numbers in Iraq starting from (January 2015 - December 2016) and for the twelfth commodity groups according to “Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) " throughout using way of time series analysis based upon monthly data for the period (2009 - 2014) that are taken from Central Bureau of Statistical Organization considering year 2007 as the base year because this year is economically stable.Data has been analyzed by using time series cross by Box - Jenkins methodology (Identification, parameters estimation, diagnostic checking model, forecasting) reliance on statistical program ( Gretl - 1.1), the results of analysis showed that after comparison between Box - Jenkins models per each series based on Akaike Information Criterion(AIC), Schwartz Bayesian Criterion (SBC), The best forecasting model of consumer prices index numbers for commodity groups twelve are as follows :

مستوى تعليم المراة في العراق وتاثيره في امراض الاطفال The Level of Women'S Education In Iraq And Its Effect On Children'S Diseases

اسم المؤلف: علي صبيح فرحان الطائي

اسم المشرف: اسماء نجم عبد الله

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: ان الظاهرة الطبيعية لتعليم الام نجدها تسلك سلوكا غير خطي، ولتحليل تلك الظاهرة نستعمل النماذج اللاخطية لوصفها وتحليلها وانموذج الانحدار اللوجستي يعد واحد من اهم هذه النماذج الاحصائية التي تستعمل لوصف وتحليل تلك الظاهرة وتطبق هذه النماذج عندما تكون المتغي | The natural phenomenon for the education of the mother is found behave in a non - linear, and to analyze this phenomenon, we use non - linear models to describe, analyze and model logistic regression is one of the most important of these statistical models used to describe and analyze this phenomenon and apply these models when they are dependent variables (response) and descriptive and specific variables (Qualitative and limited dependent variables) that is, those that are expressed in a specific set of qualities or facts characteristic((The education of the parents, particularly the mother contributes to the development of public health, especially for children under the age of five and is working to raise the educational level of parents to improve the health and living level and contribute to the dissemination of health education that are part of the general cultureThe research sample included socio - economic survey of households in Iraq results (IHSES - 2012) and carried out by the Central Bureau of Statistics and the body count of the Kurdistan region and for the age group of five years or less.The research aims to use binary logistic regression method to determine the effect of mother's education on children's exposure to disease in Iraq as a whole, according to the environment (urban, rural) and by region (Baghdad, North, South and Central(Depending on the test (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test) show that the chosen model approved variable (Y exposure to the disease) for the whole of Iraq, as well as by region (Baghdad, North, Central and South) and the environment (urban, rural) significantly, meaning that there the effect of mother's education on disease susceptibility especially levels of education (mom, read only) it has been shown that the level of education (my mother (x1 (1) contribute to the increased susceptibility to disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y) at the level of (Iraq as a whole and the environment (urban), the northern region ), while (read only x1 (2)) contributes to reduce exposure to the disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y) at the level of (the environment (the countryside), Baghdad, Central) area, either at the level of the southern region, the (mom x1 (1)) contributes to reduce exposure to the disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y).

استعمال بعض نماذج السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بمحصول الرز في بعض مناطق الوسط والجنوب في العراق Use Some Time - Series Models To Predict Rice Production In Some Middle And South Areas In Iraq For The Period (1969 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: عدويه حسن يوسف الطائي

اسم المشرف: غفران اسماعيل كمال

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

التنبؤ بحركة الطرود البريدية الصادرة والواردة باستعمال نماذج بوكس وجينكنز Forecasting The Movement of Incoming And Outcoming Postal Parcels Using Box - Jenkins Models

اسم المؤلف: عباس دوين عنكوش

اسم المشرف: اسماء غالب جابر الراوي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

تاثير تغير اسعار النفط على موازنة العراق العامة للفترة (2003 - 2014) The Effect of Changes of Oil Prices By The General Budget For Iraq On Duration (2003 - 2014)

اسم المؤلف: شيماء محمد احمد

اسم المشرف: فارس طاھر حسن الكواز

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

دراسة تحليلية للعوامل البيئية المؤثرة على انتاج التمور في محافظة البصرة An Analytical Study On The Effect of Environmental Elements On Dates Production In Basrah

اسم المؤلف: سامر عادل عبد الله

اسم المشرف: تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: اصبح المناخ اليوم من الموضوعات الرئيسية المهمة التي تحتل مرتبة الصدارة لدى جميع دول العالم المتقدمة والنامية، لاسيما بعد ان تبين بوضوح مدى التغيرات التي شهدها في العقود الاخيرة. والتي تحدث اما لاسباب طبيعية نتيجة اختلال في توازن النظام البيئي او لاسباب بش | Climate has become a key topic that occupies the forefront of all developed and developing countries around the world, especially after the climate change witnessed in recent decades, These changes occur due to either natural causes as a result of an imbalance in the ecosystem, or human causes such as human economic activities, these changes affected many aspects of life, one of which is the agriculture, including palm cultivation and dates productionThe aim of this research was to study the effect or the relationship between climate and dates production, which is considered one of the most important crops that can be relied upon economically. This research uses the method of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis to find out the climatic elements effecting the productivity of two types of dates (Helawi and Zehdi). The independent variables (climatic side) were the average of the yearly rates for (Maximum temperatures, Sunshine duration, Relative humidity, Wind speed and Suspended dust) in Basra city for the period (2005 - 2014), and the dependent variable was the average of the palm tree productivity measured in (kg), which represents the (agricultural side). The results showed that there are three factors (variables) affecting dates production of (Helawi), which are (sunshine duration, suspended dust and wind speed) because they were statistically significant. As for the (Zehdi), there were two statistically significant variables, which are (Sunshine and Maximum temperatures). The conclusions and recommendations were founded by using the Stepwise regression in statistical package (SPSS v19)

استعمال نماذج بوكس وجينكنز للتنبؤ بكمية الانتاج لبعض المنتجات النباتية والحيوانية في محافظة بغداد Using Box And Jenkins Models To Forecasting The Amount of Production of Some Plant And Animal Products In Baghdad Province

اسم المؤلف: رباب علي عبد الرحمن السهيل

اسم المشرف: ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: يعد القطاع الزراعي المتمثل بالانتاج النباتي والحيواني في العراق من القطاعات الرئيسة في الاقتصاد العراقي اذ يساهم في تكوين الناتج القومي الاجمالي، ويعد اهمال القطاع الزراعي من المراحل الاولى لظهور بوادر الازمة الغذائية احد اهم العوامل الكامنة وراء تعميق ال | The agricultural sector of plant and animal production in Iraq is one of the key sectors of the Iraqi economy wich contributes to the formation GNP, the neglect of the agricultural sector from the early stages of the emergence of signs of food crisis. One of the main factors behind the deepening food shortages in addition to the lack of succes of agricultural policies in placet o reduce the dependency of food outside and achieve self - suffciency in the country and that any development strategy to achieve food security in the country must take a development in the agricultural sector. To be able to study the changes that happen in the economic phenomena in the future and determining the values of these changes has tob e set up to rely on time - series analysis and that the time series have some numerical values for a statistical index that reflects the change phenomenon for time, and there are some analysis for the series in time zone from the most important statistical methods that are used to predict the values of random phenomena in the future based on what happend in the past, wich helps in future plan for a peaceful economic development and the most important methods are the time series model developed by the Box - Jenkins methodology for a seasonal subseries plot or a spectral plot. The research aims to predict the amount of domestic production and import of all of the Tomato and Chicken, so using the best model of the Box - Jenkins models.And in the search data to quantity of domestic production and import of each tomato and chicken in Baghdad province - Iraq BI - monthly inputs for time zone between January 2012 until december 2014, at rate of 72, the data was obtained from the directorate of Agriculutral - Baghdad Al Reafa - Statistics department. It’s also has been updated into the gretl program. The study consisted of both the theoretical side of the identification of the theoretical foundations of the Box - Jenkins methodology of the time series and after that the applied to the side of the the best model to predict domestic production to quantity and import of each tomato and chicken, after all that the researcher have a some conclusions and recommendations that benefit the peaceful development and plans for the advancement of the agricultural sector and the most important thing is, that the imported Tomatoes and Chickens is more than the locally produced ones, which indicates that the country depends on the imported Tomatoes and Chickens more than the produced.

قياس الفقر متعدد الابعاد في العراق باستعمال مؤشرات اكسفورد OPHI Measuring Multidimensional Poverty Using Oxford Indicators (OPHI)

اسم المؤلف: حمدي محسن عليوي

اسم المشرف: نبيلة عبد الهادي الشريف

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: ان الدراسات والبحوث التي تخص الفقر متعدد الابعاد لم تجد اهتماما الا في السنوات القليلة الماضية ولاسيما بعد ان اطلقت مبادرة اكسفورد التابعة لبرنامج الامم المتحده الانمائي تقرير التنمية البشرية لعام 2010، حينها اصبح الاتجاة بالتحول من نمط القياس الفردي الى | Studies and researches that concerned in multidimensional poverty did not find any attention, except for the last few years especially after the initiative of oxford - the report of human development of 2010, since then, the pattern changed from the single measurement to multi measurement, by describing poverty in many variables instead of one variable (income). According to the initiative of oxford - the report of human development, Multidimensional poverty on a national scale in Iraq contain five main dimensions dimension consists several indicators (education, basic services, level of living, feeding and health and employment), each dimension consists several indicators. This study came to measure multidimensional poverty and knowing the poor rate and the poverty severity, on a national scale in Iraq and its(18) governorates, and also on an Environmental Scale (rural, urban), and then using the analysis of multidimensional poverty (Principal component Method), to determine the variables causing in forming these elements which affect multidimensional poverty, on the other side, and the central statistical organization also can benefit from this study, because this method has been used in Iraq recently. The main conclusions of the research was that the multidimensional poverty has recorded differences in Poverty rates between the governorates, since that (Erbil) has recorded the lowest Poverty rate than other governorates, and when compared with (Wasit) which has recorded the highest Poverty rate, it will show that on each poor individual in (Erbil), on the other hand there is Five poor individuals in (Wasit), also the severity of poverty was high in all of the Governorates, even in governorates that has low poverty rates. On the Environmental scale (rural, urban), the multidimensional poverty in rural was four times bigger than urban. The results also shown that There are five main elements that affects multidimensional poverty on an Iraq scale, in another side, there were six elements effecting in (rural, urban) scale.

مقارنة احصائية للحالة الصحية لاطفال المحافظات الجنوبية دون الخمس سنوات بين عام 2006 و2011 Statistical Comparison of The Health Status of Children Under Five Southern Provinces Between The Years 2006 And 2011

اسم المؤلف: حسين عيسى مسلم القريشي

اسم المشرف: اسماء نجم عبد الله

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: العراق هو احد الدول التي عانى اطفاله من ظروف صعبة جدا , فواقع العراق السياسي جعل اجيال عدة تعيش في ظروف انسانية غير طبيعية لعقود من الزمن ان هذا البحث يهدف الى اجراء مقارنة للحالة الصحية للاطفال دون سن الخمس سنوات في المحافظات الجنوبية بين2006 و2011 اعتم | Iraq is one of the states that children suffering from very difficult circumstances, the reality of Iraq's political make several generations living in abnormal humane conditions for decades that this research is aimed at a comparison of the health status of children under five years of age in the southern provinces between 2006 and 2011, a researcher in the study approved the cluster survey data multi - third variables in the 2006 survey cluster multi - fourth variables in 2011, which Ajerthm the Ministry of planning / Central Bureau of Statistics, was taking the most important influences on children's health, including malnutrition, disease, diarrhea, respiratory infections, vaccines, drinking water, sanitation health, quality of feeding, social, educational and axis through the use of style analysis world by using Principal Component analysis to derive the most explanation of the health status of the children of Iraq in two years, factors and through the use of some software statistical shelf SPSS to show results concluded the researcher as shown by the results of the analysis the World in 2006 for the provinces as a whole that there are five significant factors that control the thirteen variables involved in the search on the southern provincial level either in the year 2011 for the provinces, the results showed the presence of four significant factors that control the three variables ten We note that the number of factors decrease between two and it conclude that health status in advance, either for the environment. in the year 2006 showed the results of factor analysis of the present, there were five significant factors that control the variables as a whole Lama in 2011 Veugd also five influential moral factors in health status and conclude that there is no difference in health status between the two for the present, As for the countryside were the results of the analysis the global him that he showed in 2006, there are five significant factors that control the thirteen variables involved in the search and in the year 2011, the results showed the presence of five moral factors controlling the variables and here we conclude that the lack of difference in the number of factors for the countryside between the two but there is an increase in the strong variables within the factors in the year 2006, which infer the existence of a very simple interest in rural health. the results also showed that the strongest variables influence the health aspect which vaccines variables making it one of the most important variables for the years 2006 and 2011 and we can call this component component health and that the strongest variables and rank second is the second component as included variables (diarrhea, coughing disease, the quality of the land housing, child's height, weight of the child, breastfeeding, the child's age, number of children under five years in the family) and we can call this vehicle as the (environment Child). It is the most important recommendations were are 1 - Give the subject of child health under five years of great interest by the state and the provision of supplies for all of it 2 - the need for attention and attendance routine vaccines to take the vaccines in a timely manner with the need to keep Bacart vaccines to know when the vaccine 3 - Increase health campaigns carried out by the Ministry of Health and for more than a vaccine as well as increased dropouts campaigns for all routine vaccines

واقع الخصوبة في العراق بالاعتماد على خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات لسنة 2013 : دراسة احصائية The Reality of Fertility In Iraq Based On Poverty And Maternal Mortality Map For 2013 Statistical Study

اسم المؤلف: بشرى نصيف جاسم

اسم المشرف: ابتسام كريم عبد الله

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: تعد الخصوبة احدى المكونات الرئيسة الثلاثة التي تقرر معدل النمو السكاني الى جانب الوفيات والهجرة. ومن ثم فهي تؤثر في مجمل البنية الديمغرافية والاقتصادية والاجتماعية للسكان وفي هجرتهم وتوزيعهم الجغرافي. وتعد الولادة عاملا بايولوجيا اكثر تعقيدا واصعب دراسة | Fertility is one of the three main components that determine the rate of population growth as well as mortality and migration. And thus it affects the overall demographic, economic and social structure of the population and in their migration and geographical distribution. Birth of biological factor is more complex and more difficult study of global deaths and migration due to the complexity and diversity of influences and volatility. fertility is calculated by the number of children born in a given year to the number of women in the age group (15 - 49) for the same year. And that the birth rate is controlled by several decisions about child - bearing or not.It has been estimated that fertility rates of direct and indirect ways by using the method (Brass and the way Cole - Trassel) In addition to identifying the most important factors that affect the total fertility rate by relying on survey data map of poverty and maternal mortality for the year 2013 for the purpose of calculating the total fertility rate for IraqI province (18 Province) direct method as well as the calculation of the independent variables, which is believed to have an impact on total fertility rates that have used one of the statistical packages which is Spss21 using multiple regression Stepwise factors method is a (family size, average per capita income, per capita spending on health, infant mortality rate, the proportion of poverty, the percentage of married - old (15 - 49), the percentage of illiterate women (15 - 49), the percentage of economically active women, the percentage of women in rural areas, the percentage of women with chronic diseases (15 - 49), change the place of residence (internal migration), the average age at marriage, percentage of the population under 15 years, the percentage of homes equipped with national electrolyte, the percentage of women (15 - 49) in addition to the use of the program (Spectrum) to estimate the total fertility and the preparation of the population and the rate of annual population growth and life expectancy of death as well as the median age for the period (2013 - 2050), according to fertility assumptions (high, medium and low level) for the purpose of population policy in the long run as well as the review of the most important demographic theories that are related to fertility and estimate a record number of fertility in Iraqi , and calculating the national fertility index for the year 2013 in Iraq, which amounted (14%) also were awarded a singles record (INP) of fertility on the basis of considering the 1997 base year

تقدير دالة الانتاج لبعض الصناعات التحويلية : دراسة تطبيقية Estimating The Production Function For Some Manufacturing Industries (Application Study)

اسم المؤلف: براء خليل ابراهيم

اسم المشرف: احلام احمد جمعة

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: تعد الصناعات التحويلية من الفروع الاساسية للقطاع الصناعي وهي احدى الانشطة الانتاجية التي ترتكز عليها الدول وتشغل موقعا مركزيا في اقتصاديات المجتمعات من حيث مساهمتها في دفع التنمية الاقتصادية, ومن المعروف ان زيادة الانتاج في اي منشاة صناعية يعتمد على مست | Transform manufacturing is one of the principle branches of the industrial sector which is one of the productive activities that countries emphasize and occupies a central position in the economies of the communities in terms of their contribution to economic development. It is well known that to increase production of any industrial facility depends on the level of productivity for each element of the production line. The goal of this research is; to find an estimate of the production function coefficients (Cobb - Douglas) for some manufacturing model, in a small industrial facilities in addition to the estimate of Multiple Linear Regression model to demonstrate the contribution of the factors of production to the number of employees and the value of input parameters (Independent Variables) on the value of production (Dependent Variables) by using the data that have been obtained from the annual reports issued by the Industrial Statistics Directorate of the Central Statistical Organization, for the period of (1990 - 2014) and thus address the research in theoretical side to a function (Cobb - Douglas) and their characteristics to the Multiple Linear Regression model. The results has shown that all the regression models were all true and statistically significant and satisfy the assumptions of the basic normals of the least squares. On the other hand the model for manufacturing of leather products suffered from the problem of Autocorrelation has been addressed, as (Cobb - Douglas) function estimates showed that industries with intensive use of labor as a reflection to a flexible working capital compared with the flexibility and facilities characterized by increasing returns to scale and characterized as labor intensive.

استخدام التحليل العنقودي في تصنيف القرى المنتجة للمحاصيل الشتوية في العراق للفترة من 2005 - 2014 The Use of Cluster Analysis To Classify Villages Producing Winter Crops In Iraq For The Period From 2005 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: ايمان احمد ياسين

اسم المشرف: لقاء علي محمد العلوي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: يعد القطاع الزراعي من القطاعات الاقتصادية المهمة والتي تسهم وبدور كبير في تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاكتفاء الذاتي في البلدان النامية والمتقدمة على حد سواء. كذلك تسهم في تكوين الناتج المحلي الاجمالي للبلدان النامية. لذا ولاهمية هذا القطاع الحيوي فقد تط | The agricultural sector of the important economic sectors that contribute to the large role in achieving economic development and self - sufficiency in developing and developed countries alike. As well as contribute to the formation of the gross domestic product of developing countries. So to the importance of this vital sector has dealt with the subject of classification producing provinces for wheat and barley crops, This research aims to study the problem of classification producing provinces for wheat and barley crops in Iraq except Kurdistan region for the year 2005 and 2014 and the statement of the most productive agricultural provinces of both crops winter The importance of this the problem is that to study the basic winter field crops in Iraq which are represented by wheat and barley, that occupy a prominent place for food security for both producers and consumers in Iraq I have been using cluster analysis and analysis of variance two way in data analysis and use as well as in the classification of producing provinces for wheat and barley crops based on clusters extracted from analysis and research found a number of results to reach a state of clustering between some provinces according to the homogeneity of winning them according to the average yields dunum of the total area and also depending on the style of the bilateral variation, which helps in the moral values and the test that caused this moral knowledge analysis for the period from 2005 - 2014. The software used is the statistical package SPSS program.

دراسة احصائية عن واقع البطالة بين محافظات العراق Statistical Paper “ Un Employment Reality Among Governorates In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: اثير محمد ناجي عزت

اسم المشرف: سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي

الدرجة: دبلوم عالي

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: ان دراسة ظاهرة البطالة وتحليل اهم العوامل ذات الاثر الاكبر باتجاه سلوكها من الامور المهمة للعراق والذي يهدف الى التقليل من حدتها في المجتمع. ويعد مفهوم البطالة من المفاهيم التي اخذت اهمية كبرى في المجتمعات المعاصرة من حيث البحث والاستقصاء، لذا انصب ال | The study of unemployment phenomenon and analysis for the most important factors which has the most affected towards its conduct , is from the significant matters for Iraq that is aimed to reduce its solitude in society. The unemployment theory has taken a great importance at modern societies concerning research and examination , therefore we focus our importance mainly on unemployment by political decision makers. Perhaps the worse and highlighted features of economic crisis which is faced by each of Arabic and developed countries is aggravation of unemployment problem which is the extrusive increasing of members who have an ability and willing for work and researchers for work without finding it. Therefore the researcher chose making use of Iraqi Household of Social & Economical Survey data which performed during two years (2007, 2012) and by using the Package of SPSS v.20 in order to receive to social and economical variables which affects in prevalence of unemployment phenomenon and its classification among governorates. Based on factorial analyses manner in extraction the most important factors that affects in describing unemployment phenomenon conduct during matrix analyses for correlation among studying variables, it has chosen a group of variables for two years which explained the interaction method of these variables and the importance of each variable also making use of clustering analysis to classify it among governorates, and defining the convergence & divergence extent among governorates according to the studied variables and analyses clusterization stages for two years. The paper contains four chapters, chapter one : concludes introduction, objective, methodology, data source, referential review for collection of studies and researches concerned to the subject and analysis manner, chapter two : concludes the theoretical side that involves statistical analysis by using factorial and clustered analysis manner, chapter three contains the applicative side for research by applying the analyses for indicators which is concluded and knowing the important factors which has the great affection by defining the phenomenon conduct and the method of classification among governorates, chapter four contains conclusions we reached and sources and recommendations.The result of factorial analysis explains that the most exaggerate importance variables on unemployment is the hardness for getting a work and has appeared this affected for both two years 2007 &2012, its significance at governorates (Missan , Al Muthana , and Sulymania ) for 2012, (Missan , Al Muthana , and Erbil) for 2007, also the results explains clustered analysis that there is clusteralization of bordering and non bordering south governorates for studied variables for 2012, as well as north and middle governorates while at 2007 the clusteralization was for bordering & non bordering south governorates but not clusteralization for north governorate with south governorate, there was intimacy for Baghdad for these two years by regarding the clusteralization at the last stage with remainder of governorates as it regards the capital and the biggest governorate by it’ s population