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استراتيجية تحول القوة وتاثيرها في النظام الدولي : الصين انموذجا

Author name: سامي ستار جوهر
Supervisor name: نور عبد الاله عجرش
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad

مستقبل الامن الدولي في ظل التحديات الراهنة == The Future Of International Security In The Shadow Of Current Challenges

Author name: طارق محمد ذنون الطائي
Supervisor name: قحطان كاظم محمد الخفاجي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad

دور المتغير الجيوبوليتيكي في مستقبل التوازنات الاقليمية الجديدة : دراسة حالة (العراق - ايران - السعودية) == The role of the geopolitical variable in the future of the new regional balances : Case study (Iraq - Iran - Saudi Arabia)

Author name: رفل اياد صالح عبد
Supervisor name: احسان عدنان عبد الله
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

توظيف القوة السيبرانية في الاداء الاستراتيجي الامريكي == Cyber power Employment in Americanstrategic performance

Author name: تغريد صفاء مهدي التميمي
Supervisor name: لبنى خميس مهدي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

العراق والمنظومة الامنية في الخليج العربي : دراسة مستقبلية == Iraq and the security system of the Arabic Gulf : prospective study

Author name: اسراء محمد عليوي العكيدي
Supervisor name: لبنى خميس مهدي الربيعي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

التنافس الامريكي الصيني في اقليم اسيا - الباسفيك == Chinese-American Competition in the Asia-Pacific region

Author name: علي فارس حميد الشمري
Supervisor name: قحطان الخفاجي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • 1- التنافس الامريكي الصيني
  • 2- اقليم اسيا الباسفيك
  • 3- مفهوم التنافس
  • 4- التنافس وتميزه عن المفاهيم الاخرى
  • 5- قضايا التنافس الامريكي الصيني
  • 6- تطور التنافس الامريكي الصيني
  • 7- المتغيرات المؤثرة في التنافس الامريكي الصيني
  • 8- التنافس في ظل المتغيرات المعاصرة
First pages:

مستقبل الاستراتيجية الامريكية في العراق == FUTURE OF AMERICAN STRATEGY IN IRAQ

Author name: باهر مردان مضخور الجليحاوي
Supervisor name: قحطان كاظم محمد الخفاجي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الاستراتيجية العسكرية الامريكية وانعكاساتها حيال منطقة الخليج العربي بعد انتهاء الحرب الباردة

Author name: احسان عدنان عبد الله العبيدي
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

التـــوازن الاستراتيجي العالمي في منطقة الشرق الاوسط : دراسة في مثلث القوة (الولايات المتحدة الامريكية - روسيا - الصين)

Author name: شيماء محمد ناصر
Supervisor name: احسان عدنان عبد الله العبيدي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • التوازن الاستراتيجي العالمي
  • الشرق الاوسط
  • الولايات المتحدة الامريكية
  • الصين
  • روسيا
  • المثلث الاستراتيجي
First pages:
Abstract: التوازن إلاستراتيجي هدف تسعى الدول من خلاله إلى كسب وتحقيق مكانة دولية، إن إدارة التوازن بنجاح تحدياً كبيراً لما يحتاجه من الاعداد وتحديد الدوافع والاهداف، والوسائل والادوات إلى الحد الذي يكفل لها الوصول إلى نقطة التوازن النسبي في القدرات.
وهو ما مثلَ مدخل داعماً للباحث لتبني موضوع الدراسة التـــوازن الإستراتيجي العالمي في منطقة الشرق الاوسط دراسة في مثلث القوة (الولايات المتحدة الامريكية- روسيا- الصين) ومحاولة الألمام في جوانبه المختلفة وفق منهجية علمية لمناقشة الفرضية، وتقديم معالجة لمشكلة الدراسة التي تتناول العلاقة بين متغيرات الدراسة.
وهي علاقة ذات مرجعية علمية نظرية وأبعاد واقعية تسند إلى ما افرزته البيئة الاستراتيجية ما بعد احداث 11 أيلول2001 من تغييرات كبيرة، والتي أدت بدورها إلى إحداث جملة من التحولات في موازين القوى والمصالح في العالم، فالمنافسة الاستراتيجية (الامريكية– الصينية– الروسية) أنسحبت من النظام الدولي إلى الانظمة الفرعية ومنها الشرق الاوسط والذي أصبح مرتعاً لتناغم أو تصادم المصالح الأقليمية والدولية، وتصاغ فيه وبه معظم التغيرات المؤثرة في مسار السياسة الدولية والنظام الدولي، فبعد ما ودعت دوله قرن سايكس بيكو، إذ دخلت قرن الفوضى الخلاقة، وبأت مركزاً لإحتضان كل أنماط التفاعلات بشكلها الصراعي أو التعاوني،
منطقة تجتمع فيها بواعث ودواعي المنافسة والصراع، إذ توزعت أهميتها في جوانب متعددة منها الجانب السياسي والجانب العسكري والجانب الاقتصادي فضلاً عن ترابط تلك الجوانب مع بعضها البعض حتى شكلت بذلك نقاط أنطلاق تدعم التوجهات الإستراتيجية لقوى المثلث فيه، أقدمها تاريخياً الولايات المتحدة الامريكية لاسيما أن اهدافها تتعلق بمنظومة المصالح الجيوسترايجية، ، إذ مثلت المنطقة المسرح الذي جرت عليه أغلب أحداث الحرب الباردة وما بعد الحرب الباردة، ويأتي العراق على رأس قائمة دول المنطقة التي لا تتواني من صنع وإبتكار الآليات والاستراتيجيات للتواجد فيه والهيمنة عليه، وكان لإعادة تقييم السياسات الامريكية للتدخل في بؤر الصراع، الذي افضى إلى الانسحاب من العراق، وبالتالي ولد فراغ جيوسياسي أسهم في خلق بيئة مفتوحة لتنظيم داعش الإرهابي والتيارات المتشددة على النمو والتوسع،
في حين منظومة المصالح الروسية جيوسياسية، فكان الشرق الاوسط الجوار الأقليمي لروسيا حديثاً وقديماً منطلقاً لأستعادة جزءاً كبيراً من مكانتها في الخريطة السياسية العالمية من بوابة الازمة السورية كقطب عالمي، ورغبتها فتح مجالاًحيوياً جديداً لتعظيم مصالحها منذ وصول فلاديمير بوتين إلى السلطة بحكم الوزن الجيوستراتجي للمنطقة، أما منظومة المصالح الصينية جيواقتصادية، فرغبتها التحكم بالمواقع الاستراتيجية التي تشكل بوابة النفاذ من خلال مبادرة الحزام والطريق.
لازال التوازن الاستراتيجي في منطقة الشرق الاوسط يشهد اختلالاً، وبالتالي انعكاسه على التوازن العالمي، وبالرغم من تمكن روسيا والصين في تعزيز قدراتهم الاستراتيجية في المنطقة لحماية مصالحهم سواء عبر الآلة الصلبة أو الناعمة، لكنهم غير مرشحين كقوة توازن أو بديل عن الولايات المتحدة كضامن أمني لدول المنطقة، لأسباب منها تتعلق بإستراتيجية الصين الشاملة، وأنّ ليس من مصلحتها التورط في أزمات المنطقة، كما أن روسيا لاتمتلك الحيز الكافي من أجل أن تكون مظلة أمنية ، فضلاً على أنّ الولايات المتحدة لازالت على قمة هرم ميزان القوى العالمية بما تمتلكه من مقومات قوة شاملة متفوقة على الصين وروسيا
وسيظل التوازن الاستراتيجي في منطقة الشرق الاوسط محوراً رئيساً لدى صناع القرار لقوى المثلث الاستراتيجي، لان محصلة التوازن الاستراتيجي الأقليمي يمثل المحور ألاساس في هيكل التوازن الإستراتيجي العالمي.
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السياسة الاقليمية الاسرائيلية وتاثيرها في استراتيجية الامن الوطني العراقي == Israeli regional policy and its effect on Iraqi national security strategy

Author name: اياد نوري جاسم
Supervisor name: حسين علاوي خليفة
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الاستراتيجيات الامنية لدول جوار العراق واثرها في الامن الوطني العراقي بعد عام 2014 : نماذج مختارة == The Security Strategies of the Neighboring Countries of Iraq and their Impact on the Iraqi National Security after 2014 : (Selected Models

Author name: حسنين جاسم محمد الخفاجي
Supervisor name: علي فارس حميد الشمري
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

توظيف العامل الجيوستراتيجي في استراتيجية الامن القومي الامريكي تجاه روسيا الاتحادية == Employing the geostrategic factor in the American national security strategy toward Russia

Author name: زينب غالب جعفر عباس
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الترتيبات الاقليمية والهيمنة الامريكية : جنوب شرق اسيا انموذجا == Regional Arrangements and American Hegemony Southeast Asia as a model

Author name: فينوس غالب كامل السعدي
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: This study has concentrated to search a phenomenon that has started to be emerged at the global level particularly since the end of World War II, namely the phenomenon of regional arrangements, which includes the contemporary history and containing the political literature many various experiments that aimed to establish regional arrangements, whether for security or political or economic one……etc. in various areas and are , all of them are suitable to extrapolate and take advantage with taking into account the differing circumstances and motives of power and interests of parties that were involved in.Amongst these experiments, the experience of regional arrangements is highlighted in the Southeast Asian region, which its importance is concentrated - among other related matters - as it is the first of its kind in the wake of the Second World War besides the emergence of the harbingers of a global system based on two poles,where the territory has witnessed many variables and associated with the great powers' struggles during the Cold War, extend their influence and spread serve the political, security and economic objectives using all methods to be achieved by growing arms race as well as by political instability that had happened in addition to the aspiration forces associated with great powers in political, security and economic to practice the role of regional powers on the South - East Asian countries, adding this to the internal divisions and problems that were experienced by countrieswhich led to the emergence of the experiences of economic integration, political and security integration so as to promote development and regional cooperation and expanding fields of cooperation and investment .These regional experiments were considered an index to the important steps that were taken by the countries of the region that the collective status at the International Labor has become the most influential of unilateral action which contributed effectively to the development of economic, political and security ties among countries of the region, and among the countries of the region and other international parties on the other hand.Focus of research in the Asian Regional Arrangements - particularly in South East Asia - in accordance to our point of views within the framework of the escalation of the importance of these arrangements in the face of challenges in international relations, especially economic challenge which imposed itself on the regional groups to re - examine many of the concerns and priorities toward cooperation and integration Under international situation that can no longer be dealt with in terms of small economic base represented by the State alone, despite the different area as evidenced by the efforts of even the first superpower - the United States - the creation of a set of regional arrangements revolve around, they set up a free trade zone for North America (( NAFTA)) and calls for the creation of a free trade area of the Americas, and the Pacific Ocean make it an extension of its regionally in order to enter into a conglomerate with Asian countries and Australia .The South - East Asia is considered an important region because of being one of the most areas and the fastest growing in the global economy, and with the direction to activate the role of the economic factor in international relations, that acquired by this region as an important dimension in international interactions in general and for the United States of America in particular.During the cold war era was the role the United States played in the South - East Asia of the most important roles in regional interactions affairs, it is true that this role has sought to contain communist expansion and influence the end of World War II , but to discharge the said planning and seeking to influence and domination, which United States to adopt many of the policies and alliances ways to make its role in the region is the most prominent through its involvement in all the alliances and agreements that occur in the region , on other hand , through affiliation of regional arrangements in the area, or through the twirl of bilateral and multilateral agreements with countries of the region or states surrounding the Kurdistan Region, which in turn is also trying to participate in the South - East Asia and the arrangements that is considered the importance of these arrangements for these forces .On the contemporary the Cold War period that witnessed patterns of bilateral cooperation between the countries of the region and the United States or the Soviet Union, and multilateral cooperation to build a multilateral regional arrangements , to ensure the security of the region, the period of post - Cold War saw the emergence of a new regional security environment has seen in some Business Continuity some aspects of the Cold War conditions, as well as the emergence of new arrangements for the countries of the region , that reflected the desire to find a suitable climate for dealing with data worsening regional situation and work to resolve those situations in which the Cold War left .This in turn led to the emergence of appearing and emerging voices from within the region demanding independence and away from the influence of this scalable American intervention in the region and arrangements of regional ready to conflict with the principles and rules ofAmerican hegemony, the United States of America as a single - polarization is keen to impose its views on the regional groupings around the globe.This is a fait accompli, but the gatherings and regional powers moving towards the development of their economic programs as well as the military, political and social, refers to the possibility of the emergence of a multipolar international system, then the United States realized the seriousness and sensitivity of the existence of regional groupings and arrangements to grow and develop in the geo - strategically and vibrant area surrounded by the electrodes Nuclear from each side that led to the desire to be a party to any regional alliance in the South East Asian region .So US strategy was keen to emphasize the need to prevent the emergence of any alliance in this region that can be directed against the United States and threatening to American interests through the formation of a security system to serve interests therewhere initiated maintains military alliances defense under the pretext of containing the threat of communism, and entered into a number of bilateral agreements with the countries of the region since 1951 and has entered into several agreements and security alliances within the region, which the United States made it possible to dominate for a long time on the Asian arena .Cosmic US strategy has remained during the Cold War period seeking to impose its hegemony on the Asian continent, to control and make it one of the fronts of confrontation with the Soviet Union, but in the wake of the Cold War , the United States began to rethink its security strategy in the region and to move towards a new strategy to be more compatible and closest with developments regional and international menu, where are the United States look at the South East Asian region as a source of security and economic challenges, where has made this area a greateconomic achievements broken which was by poverty and underdevelopment, which was characterized by the developing nations barrier, and have acquired certain features that have made them classified in the ranks of developed nations and became its own power and influence of an influence in the international arena.in addition to that , the economic growth has encouraged these countries to continue to update technological military operation and this portends a decline of US military prestige as a whole in the region and its role in the formulation of the balance of the region and its security, for these reasons, the United States was led to the thinking of the need to the creation of new security arrangements to be acceptable to the parties and regional president for the region and serve , as well , the interests of the United States and promote regional cooperation so as to achieve stability and security in the region .But what we observe today is so clear , that regional arrangements in the region now has a reaction towards the efforts of domination by the United States which is seeking to impose on them, and this is what was said the importance of the research topic being treated problematic relationship that was positive or inverse between American hegemony and American interests in the region and between regional arrangements in South - East Asia, additionally to that the topic is gaining great importance as well because of study of the nature of regional relations and annexed from economic and security as important as institutions (APEC) and (ASEAN) and (ASEAN Regional Forum) as well as the diverse relationships with the main parties , both in bilateral or multilateral within and outside the region alliances, and besides this is gaining study an important dimension in the study of the most important regional roles of major powers and efforts to rely on its regional way in supporting global roles basis in drawing policy world, which were emphasized by the ((China, Russia, Japan, India, the two Koreas, in addition to the United States of America)), and then it can be said that theregion attracts the attention of the most important international actors and efforts to monopolize hegemony over the region a path toward greater international role and more effectiveness .For the purpose of clarifying all of the above, the study is divided into four chapters as follows:Chapter I: The first chapter deals with the conceptual framework that is essential to any study in order to be the sound from the very beginning of the subject by clarifying the basic concepts in the subject Region, regional systems, and domination, in addition to the definition in South - East Asia in terms of geographical location and properties of the region.Chapter II: Chapter II specializes in addressing the most important challenges and problems that may be faced by the region, which resulted in the establishment of regional arrangements there, additionally to explain and brief explanation of the historical evolution that were experienced by these arrangements.Chapter III: Chapter III goes to show the selected models of regional arrangements in Southeast Asia, including the ASEAN, the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), and APEC.Chapter IV: Chapter IV, deals with introductions to American hegemony, as well as US interests in the Southeast Asian region, and clarify the roles allies and rivals of the United States of America in the regional arrangements for the South - East Asia, prevent clarify the most important future implications for American hegemony

الدور الدولي لحلف الناتو مكافحة الارهاب انموذج == International Role For NATO Anti - Terrorism as Model

Author name: تقى اياد خليل القيسي
Supervisor name: قحطان كاظم محمد الخفاجي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The Saudi foreign policy has got great important for who deals with international affairs, it deals with politics events directly or indirectly; then its roll in most of the Arabic cases has showed clearly effected. Naturally the Saudi foreign policy interested in Arabic especially. The follower of the way to the development of Saudi politics to the age after the cold war towards Arabia ; find that it does not get away to the period that proceeded the cold war but continued to it. So the changes that happened to foreign and internal environments in last years of the 1980s and the beginning years of 1990s impost on the kingdom more interesting to the Arabian case. So at the time and after the gulf war the kingdom increased in power the military threat that the radical Iraqi regime was weaken another think the alliance with USA and the western that assured it the security. The vision that Saudi resemble towards the Arab - Israel conflict it is the dependent in the Arabic area.Although these good factors but they have become threat resources, the protection that US gives to kingdom has it paid in the economics problems that the kingdom faced after the second Gulf war directly in (1993,1994,1995).In addition of failure every tries to put combination that leads the Arabian interactive in 90s.The accusation of terror and the events of eleventh of September 2001 made the kingdom acting politics roll more actively towards the Arabic area cases.The invitation of the prince Abdullah for peace 2002 and to Syria to get back from Lebanon 2005 for that roll the appearance of Iran not only in Gulf but in Arabic as a competition.For the studying is enable to cover the important of the subject that it divided to introduction also two chapters the first search in variable effective the operation of making Saudi Arabia foreign policy . the second chapter studies the foreign policy behavior towards Arabic area since the end of the cold war.(chosen Arabic issue).The studying get many productions towards that issues.In gulf side : The kingdom insist on the necessary of the American existence in the area as an equal element for Iranian threat with assurance to find guaranty for gulf safety beside of that it tried to reduce the nervous centers and unstable in area. This clearly showed in the solving all the problems about the geographical boundaries with neighboring countries and refusing that Iran have had the nuclear weapons.In Iraqi side : With the growing of the Iraqi - American crisis and what the year 2002 has witnessed by increasing American military side to Iraq.The kingdom refused the military powers against Iraq and declared that it wouldn't allow using its grounds for shooting Iraq after the fallen of the regime in April 2003 kingdom was the first to invite the Arab counties to meet at council for searching the Iraqi development with the increasing of murdering and emigration the kingdom in Iraq assured the dissatisfaction of what is happening in Iraq and invite the necessary of policy sharing and welcoming with the Mecca policy that aimed to stop the violence in Iraq.In the Palestinian side : The Palestinian case formed an essential side from the external Saudi politics interests and it one of its standard that called to find a peacefully solution for this case by the decision of the legal international it assured that each sides of struggle should take care of the decisions of Madrid council for Pease 1991. And what it has signed in Oslo agreement 1993, so it faced against the Israel by the Palestinian side by its government and its people and it showed great interest by the great roll in this case and the invitation of prince Abdullah for peace 2002 for reaching to quiet peace between Palestine and Israel. But when the struggle has increased between Fateh and Hamas the kingdom has called for conversation in Mecca to put down these bloody wars in Palestine.In Lebanon side : From the principle of respect of the country the kingdom asked to get its army back from Lebanon lands and after the ex - president al - Hariry has been killed the kingdom asked to make international investigation to solve the problem. With the Israeli an attack for Lebanon in 2006 the kingdom called for stopping shooting although the criticisms that the kingdom put on Hizb Allah and its responsibility on what happened.In Yemen side : The kingdom insist in it refused position for entering Yemen to the cooperation gulf council nevertheless that Yemen announced that it transmit all obstacles that stand against of getting the membering.

الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي

Author name: محمد ابراهيم المصبح
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر | مازن اسماعيل الرمضاني
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • لمحة تاريخية عن الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي
  • شخصية مصر الاقليمية
  • ظهور الدولة في مصر وتطورها
  • الوظيفة الاقليمية للاستراتيجية المصرية (اطار نظري تاريخي)
  • المتغيرات المؤثرة في الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي
  • المتغيرات الداخلية
  • المتغير
First pages:
Abstract: في العموم عند الحديث عن النظام الاقليمي يتبادر الى الذهن - دائما - ان ثمة انساقا من التفاعل تتخذ قدرا من الثبات والاستمرارية بين مجموعة من الدول التي تتوافر على اهداف ومنطلقات وطموحات ازاء ذلك المجال، وان ثمة توازنات للقوى داخل ذلك الاقليم يتم بموجبها تحديد الاطراف او الدول الاكثر فاعلية، وهذا الكلام ينطبق على الوطن العربي، فالاخير كان ولا يزال يشكل منطقة مليئة بالتحديات والتفاعلات التي ما انفكت القوى الخارجية - الدولية - تسعى للتاثير فيها، ومن ثم كان ولا يزال هذا المجال الحيوي ممثلا بهذا الاقليم يشكل عاملا مهما من عوامل تحريك السياسة الدولية. ان الوطن العربي مثله كمثل اي نظام اقليمي، شهد ولا زال يشهد تفاعلات من قبل دول تسعى من خلالها لضمان دور فاعل ومؤثر في تحديد موازين القوى فيه، وهذا التفاعل يدور في اطار حالة من التنافس المستمر بين القوى الفاعلة من اجل الحصول على موقع الريادة والقيادة للوطن العربي ، كما ان هذا التنافس في حالة من التحفيز المستمر بفعل ظاهرة الحراك الاقليمي، والدولي، فالى جانب طموحات القوى الاقليمية لنيل ذلك الموقع القيادي، يقف التنافس الدولي لضمان المصالح الكامنة في هذه المنطقة من العالم، وبالتالي فان عملية التنافس تنطوي على قدر من الاستمرارية. ومن بين ابرز واهم تلك القوى المتنافسة فيما بينها لاداء دور قيادي في الوطن العربي هي مصر، فالاخيرة صاحبة مشروع بهذا الخصوص، وهذا المشروع له جذوره المتاصلة في الفكر المصري، ليس في العصر الحديث فحسب، بل ان مقدماتها وملامحها الاولى تظهر بشكل جلي منذ ازمان بعيدة، وقد تصل الى مراحل التكوين الحضاري الاولى لمصر. ان تلك الطموحات مردها القدرات والامكانات التي تتوافر عليها مصر اولا، والسبق الحضاري الذي تميزت به عن الكثير من دول المنطقة ثانيا، ناهيك عن الكثير من المتغيرات ذات الصبغة الحديثة التي استجدت بفعل التطورات التي يشهدها العالم وتشهدها المنطقة، فعلى سبيل المثال، شكل العامل (الاسرائيلي) تحديا مهما امام مصر، بالشكل الذي حفز لديها طموحات القيام بدور اقليمي فاعل في منطقة لا زالت تعيش حالة صيرورة لنظام اقليمي مرتقب. كما ان وجود دول اخرى في المنطقة، تتوافر على امكانيات مهمة، وتمتلك طموحات كبيرة في الاتجاه نفسه حرك عامل التنافس على قيادة المنطقة، ومن ثم عزز هذا الطموح على انه ثابت من ثوابت الاستراتيجية المصرية. ان دراسة الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي، من خلال تحليل دورها الاقليمي، يعد امرا له جانب كبير من الاهمية، وتلك الاهمية تعود الى عدة اسباب، فعلى الصعيد الاقليمي يمكن القول ان الاهتمام بمثل هذا الموضوع يعد مدعاة لاثارة الفضول العلمي الاكاديمي، حيث ان الانتماء الى هذا الاقليم يجعل دراسة مثل هذه المواضيع ضمن اختصاصنا وضمن دائرة اهتمامنا، كما ان دراسة الاستراتيجية المصرية في اطار محيطها العربي ذو اهمية بالنسبة لنا لكوننا ننتمي الى المستوى نفسه من التصنيف كدولة، وكذلك لان دراسة هذه الاستراتيجية يمكن ان تكون مدخلا لدراسات اخرى في المستقبل تدور حول عقد المقارنة بينها وبين استراتيجيات دول اخرى في الاقليم نفسه. وكذلك من بين دواعي دراسة هذا الموضوع، ومن بين الامور التي تسبغ عليه قدرا من الاهمية، هو ان الشكل النهائي، او ذا الصفة الاكثر ثبوتا - ان جاز لنا التعبير - لموازين القوى في الوطن العربي لم تتحدد بعد، وانه لا زال يعيش حالة تفاعل مستمرة، تجعل من الضروري الشروع بمثل تلك الدراسات لتقييم المستقبل واعطاء صورة قد تكون ذات اهمية في صياغة وبناء رؤى مستقبلية للمنطقة وطبيعة التفاعلات القائمة فيها.2 - اشكالية الموضوع : قد تتفق او قد لا تتفق الرؤى حول وجود برامج عمل واضحة المعالم تتوافر عليها مصر وتتجسد من خلال استراتيجية عربية محددة، والاختلاف في الراي هو نتاج طبيعي ومنطقي لتنوع الخلفيات العلمية والاكاديمية وتباينها بين الباحثين ومن ثم فان ثمة اشكالية مؤداها ان هناك العديد من وجهات النظر التي تعالج هذا الموضوع، فعلى سبيل المثال قد يرى البعض ان دراسة السياسة الخارجية تفي بمتطلبات الموضوع دون الخوض بتفاصيل تنسب الى الاستراتيجية اكثر منها الى السياسة الخارجية، وقد يرى راي اخر بان طبيعة المتغيرات الراهنة افضت الى تحول ملموس في الاولويات بحيث ان كتل اقليمية جديدة قد حلت محل المجال الحيوي العربي السابق الذي كان يمثل جوهر اهتمام الاستراتيجية المصرية، وكثير غير ذلك من الاراء التي تعبر عن قدر من الاشكال العلمي الذي يتطلب ان نضعه في مقدمة الامور الواجب اعتبارها خلال مسيرة البحث في هذا الموضوع.3 - فرضية الاطروحة في مواجهة هذا النوع من تعدد الرؤى، وبحكم العمل على دراسة موضوعنا فلا بد من الانطلاق من فرضية واضحة لتكون الاساس العلمي الذي سوف يتم بناء النقاش والتحليل العلمي عليه. فرضية الدراسة هي : (ان هناك دورا اقليمي بارز وفعال تسعى مصر الى تحقيقه، وان ثمة علاقة طردية موجبة بين كل من متغيرات البيئة الداخلية والاقليمية والدولية لمصر، وبين ذلك الدور المتوخى). وفي تتبعنا لسير المناقشات الرامية لاثبات هذه الفرضية، يمكن ان نطرح مجموعة من التساؤلات تشكل الاجابة عليها عاملا هاما في تحديد مسارات التحليل العلمي للدراسة، هذه التساؤلات هي : • ما هي الجذور التاريخية للاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي وكيف كانت؟• ما هي العوامل او المتغيرات المؤثرة في تلك الاستراتيجية؟ ولماذا؟• كيف تستجيب القيادات المصرية للمتغيرات الداخلية والخارجية؟• ما هو واقع الاستراتيجية المصرية ازاء الوطن العربي في ظل تلك المتغيرات؟ ولماذا؟• كيف سيكون حال الاستراتيجية المصرية خلال المستقبل المنظور؟ ولماذا؟و سنتناول من خلال دراسة الاستراتيجية المصرية في هذه الاطروحة مجموعة من المفاهيم التي قد تثير بعض الاشكال المفاهيمي مثل ( الوطن العربي ) ، هذا المفهوم يشير الى مجموعة الدول التي تم رسم حدودها في اعقاب تفكك الدولة العثمانية والاحتلال البريطاني الفرنسي للوطن العربي من خلال اتفاقية سايكس بيكو في عام 1919 . ويضم الوطن العربي شعب واحد يتكلم لغة واحدة وذو اصول واحدة عاش منذ مراحل زمنية سحيقة على هذه الارض الممتدة من المحيط الاطلسي الى الخليج العربي . 4 - منهجية الاطروحة : ان المنهج الذي سيتم استخدامه يقوم على التوفيق والمزاوجة بين اكثر من منهج بحث علمي من مناهج البحث في العلوم الاجتماعية، وذلك لما يتطلبه الموضوع من تحقيق اكبر قدر من الدقة، ولكن المنهج العام الذي يهيمن على مجمل سير التحليل والنقاش في الدراسة هو منهج التحليل النظمي، حيث ان المدخل التاريخي والمتغيرات المؤثرة في الاستراتيجية المصرية ستكون المدخلات الاساسية للموضوع، اما علاقة صنع القرار بتخطيط الاستراتيجية المصرية فهي تلك العمليات التي ستقودنا الى الاستجابة المتمثلة بواقع الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي والتي تمثل مخرجات الدراسة، واخيرا تاتي دراسة المستقبل لتعبر عن التغذية العكسية او (الراجعة) والتي ستصب دون شك في متغيرات الموضوع الاساسية.5 - هيكلية الاطروحة : سوف يتم اعتماد الية التصنيف العشري للفرز وتحديد تسلسل مضمون الاطروحة وكالاتي : 1. لمحة تاريخية عن الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي.2. المتغيرات المؤثرة في الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي.3. واقع ومستقبل الاستراتيجية المصرية في الوطن العربي. | Through the long history stages, Egypt had an impressive role in its regional framework; this role had many types and pattern as it varied in each history stage, also due to the variation in goal and priorities and the changing in the missions from the one stage to another.In this thesis we began with analyzing the historical view for Egypt strategies in the Arab Nation as a start to analyze this role, we noticed that the regional role is the best that we can use to express this strategy.Notices and results of chapter one indicates that the idea of executing a leading regional role hasn’t gone from the Egyptian decision maker's mind, that all because Egypt had many capabilities that specialize it inside the region.To understand the necessary bases on building the Egyptian strategy at this framework, we had to research and analyze the variables that affect building such strategy, these variable are complicated, which makes it hard to distinguish each alone, and to avoid mixing these variables we had to separate it into basic levels during the study as follow : internal variables, regional variables and international variables.Next, we studied the decision making process in Egypt and how this operation might connect with another operation which is strategic planning and perception of interests and goals that should be done to support the regional role.In this framework we studied some of the theoretical issues concerning decision making and we applied these issues on the Egyptian political system to have a better idea about the channels that the decision made through.In the final subject we studied the present and the future of Egyptian strategies in the Arab Nation, which first discuss the reality of this strategy and the changing, that is related to the perception of the Egyptian leadership to the visual field, second analyzing predictions for the future of this strategy using assumed perspectives which are discussable and analyzable to give expected view to the Egyptian strategies, these perspectives might be in three fields : positive development in regional role or negative fallback or continuity in the same level.Results concerning this study could be summaries as follows : • Egypt had good capabilities in addition to its will and ambition to play important regional role.• With all these privileges there are disadvantages against the development of the regional role in the excellent way.• Balancing the previous two results, we might conclude that the best will be to continue this role relatively

التوازن الاستراتيجي في منطقة الشرق الاوسط بعد 11 ايلول 2001 == The Strategic Balance in the Middle East After The 11th September 2001

Author name: لبنى خميس مهدي طالب الربيعي
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The subject of this thesis acquires its importance from several aspects , the most important is the nature of view towards the middle east zone as it a zone of interests to the united states and the other major powers and as the middle east zone suffering from many tensions between its parts which that tensions put this zone in front of many big challenges and complexity, one of these Challenges and most important one is : - 1 - the connection between the united states with the energy sources in side the middle east . 2 - the perfect supporting from the united states to Israel .3 - the perfect relations between the oil and weapons .4 - the newly strategic of the united states which is aimed to be the middle east taking several things as reason to its military and political maintaining in the middle east . Also the importance of this subject comes from the changes which had been made after the 11th September 2001 which made the dramatic changes on the middle east in large which this dramatic changes concentrate in larger part of it which what called the united states to fight the terror and which comes with larger attentions by from the international area specially the presentations of nuclear weapons in which the united states call for it , about the ability of this kind from reach to the hands of terrorism or terrorism states against the united states interests in the middle east .The importance of this subject is also due to the American war against Iraq march 2003 which made big development spot in this zone , by the maintaining of the united states and gave itself to interfere inside this zone wherever it see that possible . This thesis also acquires its importance from taking the power part area in the middle east and the most important pressure which faced them concentrated on the united states role which had been the main entrance to dealing with the problems of weapons inside this zone , and may be the Iranian situation was the most importance of them . At last , this thesis acquires further importance as it involves a section dealing with the future position of the strategic balance in the middle east . The subject of this thesis necessitated dividing it in to an introduction , five sections and a conclusion : - The first section is entitled : The frame concept of the balance and strategic balance and middle east concept . It contains tow sub - sections dealing with the frame concert of balance and strategic balance and the most nearly concept from them such as the concept of power and the balance of terror , and also the concept of the middle east and all different views upon this concept taking by the united nations concept about the middle east , the united states , the Israel and .. ect . The second section is entitled : The strategic balance in the middle east zone ( Historical Generations ) .It contains three sub - sections starting with the strategic balance in the middle east zone during the cold war which takes the major international powers at that time the soviet union and the united states and the strategy of each of them inside these zone . and the second section take the strategic balance in the middle east after the old war , and the third one take the strategic balance in the middle east after the 11th September 2001 . The third section is entitled : The abilities and powerful for the main powers ( Unitarian and Arabian ) in the middle east .Which conclude tow sub - sections, first include the abilities of Unitarian powers inside the middle east zone which this thesis concerned ( Turkey , Iran and Israel ) and there influence power inside the zone . The second section taken the Arabs abilities which includes ( Egypt , k. of Saudi Arabia and Syria ) , as the influence Arabic power which had there influence inside the middle east . The four section is entitled : The influence of the international changes towards the strategic balance in the middle east which conclude three sub - sections taken the ( overwhelmed American power on the international regime , the American war against the terror and the role of the united nation ) all of these changes putted under the political changes , also the ( knowmalization and oil ) comes under the economic changes , while the ( American necessary military maintenance in the middle east , weapons trading and the mass destructions weapons ) comes under the military changes , and all of these changes had been the major changes influenced upon the strategic balance in the middle east .The five section is entitled : The future of the strategic balance in the middle east . tow future sub - sections ( futuristic aspects ) . The first one dealing with the strategic balance in the middle east based on the united states powerful in the middle east ( balanced basic on Israel power ) , and the second dealing with the strategic balance in the middle east based on three powers in area are nearly in same power and influence ( Turkey , Iran and Israel . In the conclusions of the thesis , the researcher gives a summery of the thesis along with the most important results and recommendations educed . The researcher maintains that thought emergence a power part inside the middle east zone which work to threat the strategic balance in the middle east and also which threats the united states and Israel interests inside this zone and it will be takes by both of them the personal enemy , and the researcher thought that Iran as it is see the power that in consideration , but in this case if there is any obstacles facing the Iranian nuclear program that means the middle east zone will face more dangerous steps which maintain the powerful and the strengthen to united states from one side and on the other side the only power inside the middle east will maintaining to the Israel . The dangerous situation which this zone have been faced before and in the future , requires without any delay a kind of cooperation between its parts aiming for achieve cooperation program between the Arabic /Islamic parts which stood against the danger programs inside the zone , and to crystallizing as this cooperation program to considerate the united states and Israel challenges must taken in consideration the trust between the powers inside the middle east which this trust works to put this program in real and the matter that this induce us to the saying that ( Israel ) and its sponsor the united states are going ahead in achieving there goals in dominating the destinies of the middle east particularly the historical experiments has proved the failure of the dealing with the Israel , which that matter requires a serious strategic planning for this powers against the united states and Israel . At last , we say that backing the powerful power inside the region and lending its power with all means of assistance and support to make this cooperative program in real is regarded of the paramount importance for strengthening the whole power to standing in confronting the united states and Israel planning against powers in the middle east .

الاستراتيجية الروسية حيال اقليم القوقاز : جورجيا انموذجا == Russian strategy towards the Caucasus region (Georgia model)

Author name: كرار عباس متعب فرج المسعودي
Supervisor name: لبنى خميس مهدي الربيعي
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Poses province Caucasus General Georgia Especially Focus Interesting (historic And the political, geographic, economic, military) Parties International And regional since long time ago Even Time Presently, the form Stations Attract Empires Great Empire Mogul The Persian The Ottoman And Romania And Historic stations (Russia Tsarist After that Empire Russian And from Then Soviet) was Station Interest And attracting From empire The other On Power All Empire, and also she was Focus Conquests Islamic On hand Rightly Adults (RIP), but Narrative Date Caucasian We find Mostly from him He Under Influence And domination Russian Starting From Russia Tsarist Empire Russian Soviet and, if We reviewed Date Russian We find it's a Replete To dominate The presence at province Caucasus Nor drifting away about him And so The importance of Territory Historically And politically Russia, as Form Focus Starting Caesars Russians And private Kaiser (Peter Older) and campaigns And expansions in it and since Collapse Empire Tsarist And the advent of Empire Russian Which she was Subject province Caucasus General Georgia Especially to her Which Collapsed On hand Revolution Bolshevism In 1917, which On Impact Began Empire Soviet Take shape The Its leader Vladimir Lenin And from Then Joseph Stalin Effect Of at formation the Union Soviet In 1921, as subject province Caucasus (Northern And south) under Domination Soviet despite Happening Tensions Here There From Yup Coup The escape about him But Domination Soviet she was more powerful From So, while Georgia heart that Region ( the focus The study) was heart Concerns And interventions From Before Empires Previous And private From Before Russia Tsarist Empire Russian And Soviet And so Its importance strategically And its location at heart Territory The Affected Conquests Islamic Georgia Also, consider the Union Soviet (former) to Georgia On It a key province Caucasus So Make it Spin at Its orbit Strategic Nor Deviate about him despite change The transfiguration Circumstances And leaders the Union Soviet (former) and even After Collapse the Union Soviet (former) and independence Republics Soviet Previous about him And private at province Caucasus And private Georgia Form Territory General Georgia Especially Focus interest Strategic Russian Most Threw down several Strategies On Different Stages Ago Collapse Even Time the present Which she was Changed at All Stage But Target Strategic for every Stage Imperishable and he make Georgia No Deviate About Astronomy Strategic Russian The remaining Under Look Strategic Russian. Either geographically in the form of the territory of the territory of the Caucasus mountain constitutes isthmus stretching from the Caspian Sea to the east and the Black Sea to the west and north of the Russian Federation and to the south, and is a link between the continents of Asia and Europe and offers his views most easy and less expensive to Europe and is a territory of the Caucasus depth Geographical Strategic Russia Across Date And Russia Federal at Time the present Because Wall Separation About Threats Foreign There Allow Any Case From Conditions From the approach Of which The threat, either Georgia heart that Territory The point And private it's a Poses Location passage most Pipe Transfer Fulcrum energy From Area Sea Caspian to me Europe So See Russia at that Security Economic And a threat Pipeline Transported Energy if What It was the control On Georgia and this is What No Accept It. As for What Posed province Caucasus General Georgia Especially From Importance Economic Van Territory He Focus For most Resources energy at the world And private at Azerbaijan And as well About What It was Mentioned From it's a Poses As well as About Signed Geographical And strategic It constitutes status Economic strategy For most Countries the world And private Russia Federal And his heart Georgia (State of Traffic) for most Pipeline Transfer Energy, as well as About Neighborhood Area Sea Caspian Region Rich Powered or What it's called ( Gulf Arabi II) in Signal Of the bay Arabi the first the rich Energy, and this What Earns Importance strategy For the region Georgia To Russia Federal Which No Accept Non Role Dominant it . As for Military Importance The territory Caucasus General Georgia Especially Stems From Subscriptions Military Russia Across Date To Russia Federal After Collapse the Union Soviet (former) as Form Territory Point Fulcrum Rules Military Russian And private at Georgia After Eviction Military Russian Its rules at Georgia Kept Russia Federal Troops at Regions Georgia Separate By (Ossetia South, Abkhazia) as well About Troop save Peace International Which most of it Russian, this Subscriptions Military Russian Due The importance of province Caucasus General Georgia Especially militarily Russia Federal And security National Even No Stay Free And fill From the West And private the states United Of America. Increase from Importance Subject The study (Georgia) Heart province Caucasus He Strategies Russian Ago Collapse the Union Soviet (former) 1991 Even Time the present Which despite They change From Stage to me Stage Except It Confirms That Georgia Should that Stay at Astronomy Strategic Russian Nor Deviate Him. Event essential The importance of province Caucasus General And Georgia ( the focus The study) private And they form Importance strategy Russia Federal And she Line red The equation Zero Calculated Favor Russia Federal He War of 2008, which Proved Russia Federal Georgia And from Support Georgia at this the war Ban Russia Federal No Can Play with her at Neighborhood near And private province Caucasus And his heart Georgia was replayed decisive response reflects restore power and glory again. So problematic Our study starts From what province Caucasus And heart Territory Georgia (the focus The study) form Across Date The limit Time the present Location compete between most Empires Previous International And regional Surrounding Region Georgia Especially, What constitutes From Importance strategy and on all levels (historical, political, geographic, economic, and military), which End Parties International And regional After that From Try Permanent To access For the region Georgia Especially, the head this the parties Russia Federal which she was Historically Focus Seen And influence Like Continuous Territory And private Georgia And trying to Always Pursuit And domination On Territory And private Georgia And not Allow Parties International Regional From Access For the region Georgia Which Prepared Neighborhood near And her garden the background And scope Vital, but After Collapse the Union Soviet In 1991 form Territory And Georgia (the focus The study) region Location More Competitive between the parties International And regional From Side And Russia Federal From Side Other Outs The loose this Regions Georgia about him Any Case From Case, which Trying to Russia Federal Across Its strategy Multiple that Dominate On Regions Georgia Private . So In brief Location province Caucasus General Georgia Especially Poses Importance strategy Seriously And Pursuit Russian Permanent To dominate On Territory General And Georgia (the focus The study) private Across Strategies Multiple With Existence the parties International And regional Seeking To access For the region Georgia Especially And domination They Also, here Focus Problematic Study. From Case, which Trying to Russia Federal Across Its strategy Multiple that Dominate On Regions Georgia Private . So in brief Location province Caucasus General Georgia Especially Poses Importance strategy Seriously And Pursuit Russian Permanent To dominate On Territory General And Georgia ( the focus The study) private Across Strategies Multiple With Existence the parties International And regional Seeking To access For the region Georgia Especially And domination They Also, here Focus Problematic Study. The hypothesis The study Kicks off From Follows (form province Caucasus General Georgia heart Territory Especially Importance strategy Seriously Russia Federal Ago Football Even Time the present and on all Levels (historic And political The geographical And economic And the military, and that the Strategies Followed After Collapse the Union Soviet (former) in 1991 to Time the present she was The On make Georgia Preoccupied Always And Stable in order to No Trying to that Ever - About Astronomy Strategic Russian Nor Deviate about him The remaining at Scope Bio And her garden the background And support Russia at that Environment Interior Stable Politically And economically And militarily And future Strategy Russian About Georgia He Domination Them. For the purpose of Proof hypothesis studying Requires It Answer On Questions The following, namely: 1-What he province Caucasus (historically politically, geographically, economically, militarily) and how It was interest Strategic Russian with it 2-What she Georgia (historically and politically, geographically, economically, militarily), and how It was interest Strategic Russian Out 3-What she Strategies Russian Followed Ago Collapse the Union Soviet (former) in 1991 to Time the present And how I worked On Containment Georgia 4-What she Variables Interior And external Affecting at Strategy Russian about Georgia 5-What He future Strategy Russian about Georgia As for Subject studying divided to me an introduction and four Chapters and a conclusion: The Entrance and address: the importance Strategy The territory Caucasus Georgia It includes Two topics he searches the first The importance of province Caucasus at Strategy Russian It includes Four Demands, demand the first Importance Historical Political, and demand The second Importance Geographic, and demand the third Importance Economic, and the fourth It Importance Military, The Section The second It Importance Georgia at Strategy Russian Guarantees the Four Demands, first Importance Historical And political, either demand The second It Importance Geographic, The demand the third It Importance Economic, and the fourth It Importance Military, as well as About summary Of the season. As for the season The first Is entitled: Evolution Strategy Russian About Georgia (1991- Even Our time Present) guarantees the Two topics the first Strategy Russian About Georgia Phase (1991- 2008) and included Two demands, demand the first Strategy Russian About Georgia Phase (1991- 1999) The demand The second Guarantees the Strategy Russian About Georgia Phase (1999- 2008), The Section The second Strategy Russian About Georgia Phase (2008- Even Our time Present) guarantees the Two demands, first Strategy Russian About Georgia Phase (2008-2012) The demand The second Strategy Russian About Georgia (2012- Even Our time Present), as well as About summary Of the season. As for the season the second Is entitled: variables Affecting at Strategy Russian About Georgia Guarantees the Two topics the first Variables Interior Affecting at Strategy Russian About Georgia Guarantees the three Demands, first variable Politician As for The second variable Economic As for the third It variable Military, either Section The second It Variables Foreign Affecting at Strategy Russian About Georgia Guarantees the Two demands, first Variables Regional (Iran - Turkey) and the second Variables International (US United US - Europe), as well as About summary Of the season. As for the season the third It is entitled: The Future Strategy Russian about Georgia guarantees the Two scenes: the first Scene continued dominance Russian about Georgia, The The second It Scene Retreat dominance Russian About Georgia, as well as About summary Of the season. Finally, the very fact researcher From that province Caucasus General And Georgia ( the focus Study) and the heart Province Especially Constitute the strategic importance Parties International And regional And private Russia 's historic all stations (Tsarist Russian Empire, Soviet) and Russia Federal Ago The collapse of the Union Soviet 1991 Until the present time and at all levels (historical, political, geographic, economic, and military), and that the Russian Federation since the collapse of the Soviet Union up to the present raised several strategies towards Georgia From strategy the support Continued And continuing To provinces Georgia Claim Secession to me strategy Intervention Military Direct to me strategy Cooperation And openness Limited Mutual between Parties Russian The Georgian And Which It was Goal He make Georgia Spin at Astronomy Strategic Russian To Athid about him gesticulate Support That Strategies He stability environment Interior Russia Federal (politically, economically Militarily), as well as what it has been said of the strategic importance of the region of the Caucasus and Georgia , the heart of that territory, either the findings of the researcher about the future of Russian strategic about Georgia researcher and threw down the first two scenes scene Russian continued dominance over Georgia put the chances And ballasts check This Scene, a What Agreed With him researcher And so to prove the hypothesis study, what a scene the second a sight decline of Russia 's strategic dominance over Georgia, a money consistent with the researcher

اثر دراسة قوى التغيير في استشراف مستقبل الدولة القومية : التنمية البشرية انموذجا

Author name: عماد مـؤيد جاسم
Supervisor name: منعم صاحي حسين العمار
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • الدراسات المستقبلية
  • اصل وانواع الدراسات المستقبلية
  • مناهج الدراسات المستقبلية
  • منهج ديناميكيا النظم
  • التنمية البشرية
  • التنمية البشرية في اليمن
First pages:

تحديات بناء الدولة العراقية بعد عام 2003 : دراسة جيوستراتيجية == The Challengs of Iraq's State Building After the Year 2003 (Geostrategic Study)

Author name: علي حسين احمد
Supervisor name: قاسم محمد عبيد الجنابي | عامر حسن فياض
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يتكامل مع المقومات الجيوبولتيكية للدولة مقوم معنوي هو فكرة الدولة التي يجسدها شعور افراد المجتمع بوحدة الاهداف والمصالح والانتماء للدولة التي تعبر عنهم، واقرارهم بنظامها السياسي واحترامه وامتثالهم لقواعده القانونية، والدولة في العالم المتقدم منظومة علاقات سياسية واجتماعية واقتصادية تتماهى الدولة من خلالها مع المجتمع وتتجذر فيه، ولم يتحقق ذلك الا بعد مسيرة تطور وعملية تنشئه اجتماعية سياسية ازاحت الثقافة التقليدية وروابطها واعادت تشكيل بنية المجتمع على مفهوم المواطنة وروابطه والهوية الوطنية الجامعة لمكونات المجتمع المختلفة. ولم تمر الدولة العراقية منذ ولادتها عام 1921 بمسيرة تطور تكاملية المراحل ولم تعبر الدولة الناشئة عن مجتمعها المتعدد الاعراق والديانات والمذاهب والثقافات، وسادت حالة من القطيعة بين الدولة ومجتمعها، وقد وضعتها ظروف نشاتها والطبيعة المضطربة غير المستقرة سواء في داخلها، او في اقليم الشرق الاوسط في مواجهة تحديات داخلية وخارجية عجزت عن التعامل معها بسبب ضعفها النابع من ضعف ارتباطها مع مجتمعها التعددي المتنافر غير المندمج الذي فشلت كل الحكومات المتعاقبة في ادارة تعدديته، وعجزت عن خلق المجتمع المنظم الذي توحده الهوية الوطنية العراقية. واندلعت الصراعات والانقسامات الاجتماعية التي اخذت طابعا سياسيا بعد الاحتلال الامريكي عام 2003 بسبب ترسيخ سلطات الاحتلال للانتماءات والولاءات الفرعية عبر تشكيلها لمجلس الحكم الانتقالي على اسس المحاصصة العرقية والطائفية التي خلقت الطائفية السياسية واججت الصراعات والعنف والفوضى، وشوهت بنية الاحزاب ووظائفها السياسية والاجتماعية، وجاءت بدستور يعاني من عدم الوضوح والثغرات التي خلقت المشاكل والتوترات وستيعد انتاجها مستقبلا ان لم يعدل الدستور، او تعاد كتابته، وكان من نتائج الاحتلال الامريكي تحول العراق الى ميدان للصراع والتنافس الدولي، لادراك القوى الدولية للابعاد الجيوستراتيجية المترتبة على هذا الاحتلال الذي اخل بالتوازنات بين هذه القوى لصالح الولايات المتحدة في الشرق الاوسط، وانعكست تداعيات الصراع على استقرار العراق وامنه واثرت سلبا على عملية بناء الدولة، كما دخلت منطقة الشرق الاوسط والخليج العربي مرحلة اعادة ترتيب لادوار القوى الاقليمية ومجالات نفوذها ومصالحها وتداخلت هذه المجالات في العراق الذي اصبح ميدان تنافس وصراع بين القوى الاقليمية لتصفية الحسابات والاضطلاع بدور اقليمي اكبر وترك هذا الصراع بصماته على اوضاع العراق السياسية والاجتماعية والامنية والاقتصادية وغذى الانقسامات الاجتماعية مما اثر بشكل كبير على وحدة المجتمع وعملية بناء الدولة، ويتطلب التعامل مع التحديات بشقيها الداخلي والخارجي، واستكمال عملية بناء الدولة تبني استراتيجية للتنشئة الاجتماعية السياسية لاعادة بناء الفرد والمجتمع كخيار استراتيجي، وتبني خيار مرحلي بالاعتماد على النخبة من التكنوقراط لايقاف التداعي والانهيار وبناء دولة المؤسسات وتعزيز التماسك الاجتماعي والوحدة الوطنية، اذ ان المجتمع الموحد يمثل عمق الدولة الاستراتيجي ومرتكزها للتعامل مع التحديات وادامة عملية البناء والتنمية الشاملة، وتتكامل مع استراتيجية بناء الداخل استراتيجية كفوءة للشؤون الخارجية لتحقيق اهداف السياسة الخارجية وفي مقدمتها استعادة مكانة العراق على الساحتين الاقليمية والدولية . | The notion of state as immaterial factor integrated with state's geopolitical components, embodied in societies individuals unified goals, interests, and feelings of affiliation to their state, and recognition of its political system, respecting and follow its regulations, because it indicates them as citizens. In developed world states these elements have become a system of political, social, and economic interrelations rooted in society after series of evolutions and sociopolitical socialization process displaced customary culture,re - forming society structure around national identity and citizenship bonds to integrate society's divers constituent. Iraqi state hasn't witnessed these developments since its existence in 1921, and it didn't speak out on its divers society descents, religious, creeds, and cultures, moreover a condition of reclusion prevailed between the state and its society. The circumstances encompass its origination, besides the destabilized context wether inside Iraq or in the Middle East region put it in facing with challenges it failed to deal with, because of the weakness stem from the delicacy relations between the existed state and its diverse discordant society which indicated the deficiency to create organized society unified by Iraqi national identity. Conflicts and societal partition flared up after the American invasion of Iraq in 2003 took political form due to occupation authorities decision to form the interim governing council on racial and sectarian quota which ignited violence, twisted political parties structures, affecting their political and societal functions, besides producing an improper constitution experience ambiguity and crevasses, creating turmoil's and problems and will reproduce them in future unless constitutional amendment or rewriting take place. Iraq turned into international confrontation and competition arena after the American occupation in 2003, because of international powers realization of geostrategic impacts that would disrupt the balance among them in favor of the United States in the Middle East.These impacts reflected upon Iraq's security and stability and negatively affect the state building process, as the Middle East and Arabian Gulf region fall under a phrase of rearranging roles of regional powers and their spheres of influence and interests overlapped in Iraq due to its geostrategic importance. Thus Iraq has become the field of struggle between these powers for liquidation and taking over main regional role, which directly destabilized Iraqs political, social, security, and economic status. The aftermath of these variables interactions greatly acted upon society's unity and state building process in Iraq. The dealing with internal and external challenges, and the perfection of state construction require a sociopolitical socialization to rebuild individuals and society on democratic values as strategic option, and count on technocracy elite to put an end for disorder and downfall to establish Iraqi state on basis of establishment and promoting societal solidarity and unity, because society represents state strategic depth and pivot to tackle Challenges and maintain development Persistenncy. This strategy must be integrated with active foreign affairs strategy to achieve foreign policy objectives, endeavor to retrieve Iraqs prestige at both regional and international levels is on top. The study comprises an introduction, four chapters and a conclusion. The first chapter delt with Iraqi state historicity in two sections. The first section studies internal and external challenges facing the process of construction Iraqi state during monarchist era 1921 - 1958. The second section examines the challenges during republican era 1958 - 2003. The second chapter investigates state building internal challenge after 2003 in three sections. The first section studies legislations and political challenges, the second section examines security challenges, while the third one devoted to study the socioeconomic challenges. The third chapter puts under scrutiny the state building external challenges, the first section studies international challenges, and the second section investigates the regional challenges. The fourth chapter reviews in its first section the strategy of dealing with internal challenges, the second section examines the foreign affairs strategy required to deal with external challenges, The conclusion of the thesis includes a summary of the results reached to through the present study.

دور وكالــة الاستخبارات المــركــزيــة الامــريكيــة (CIA) فــي صنــع القــرار الاستــراتيجــي الامــريكــي : حــرب العــراق عام 2003 انمــوذجا == The Role of the Central Intelligence Agency Of America (CIA) in the US strategic decision - making : the Iraq War in 2003 as a Model

Author name: صــلاح مهــدي هادي الشمـري
Supervisor name: منعم صاحي حسين العمار
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

ادراك التهديد واثره في ادارة الازمة الدولية : دراسة في العلاقات الامريكيةـ الايرانية == Threat perception and its Influence In International crisis’s Management Study In American - Iranian relations

Author name: شيماء معروف فرحان
Supervisor name: منعم صاحي حسين العمار
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
Key words:
  • ادراك التهديد
  • الازمة الدولية
  • ادارة الازمة الدولية
  • العلاقات الامريكية الايرانية
  • ازمة البرنامج النووي الايراني
First pages:
Abstract: Searching in threat perception is on of the most important variable in international crises and in its management, it’s the most difficult and sophistication factors with strategic perceptions, thus threat perception is related with international security, regional security and all forms of interests. It does not concern with special state but it includes all states, which represent support or threat so that threat phenomena takes a great interest rather than others, there’s no state can lives in this world with out the use of threat because this state represent support or threat. In order of all this factors, this study concerned with the analysis of threat as concepts and process by knew its shapes and its similarity and differences with other concepts and what it is includes of action and reaction, which differs in its degree because of the differences in the distribution of states power.This study tried to prepare the student by offering an overview of major International crises, which represent the crisis of Iranian nuclear programs.The study also dealt in the first part with the theory o threat as concepts and we try to realize it from another concepts such as security and challenges.Part two of the study focused on threat perception and its concerned with the concepts of perception and later we focused on threat perception and the most important factors, which influence this process such as ability and capability, armament, action. Etc.Third part of this study is concerned with historical background to the development of Americans - Iranian relations after the second world war and we tried to analyzed the nature or Iranian position in the united states of America strategy after this war and finally we focused on this relation between 1979 - 1988 and the period between 2000 - 2003.Part four of study goes to search on the development of Iranian nuclear program by studying the cases behind created this program and its aims and the situations of each Irain and the united states of America from this crisis.In part five of this study we deals with the international treads management of this crisis so they concerned with Iranian management to this crisis and European management and finally we focused on United States of America management to this crisis by dealing with different strategies such as the use of military forces or going to the negotiation and diplomacy solution and all this facts will depend upon the nature of the changes which happened in the united states of America strategy towards Iran specially .

البعــــد المســـتقـبلـي في التخطيــــط الاستراتيـــجـي الاسرائيـــلـي == The Prospective Vision In The Israeli Strategic Planning

Author name: دينا محمـــد جبـــر الربيعـــي
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر | فكرت نامق عبد الفتاح العاني
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The Israeli Strategic Planning Depend Upon Distant Duration Strategy, Able To Transport The Conflict From Its Dierct Dimenstoin Like War To Indierct One Such As Economical , Political , Sociological , Psychological , And Idealogical Field , To Achieved Its Goals In Fexibal Ways By Exploitation Weakness Points Inside Their Enemies,And Employment Power Points In Themselives . The Zionism Movement And Israel , Attempt To Concern In The Future And Its Elements . Hence, Submition These Elements To The Israeli Thinking ,And The Israeli Strategy Alwayes Drawing Margin Of Prospective Movement In Any Time. So , The Importance Of Study Including That Israel Depend On Strategy Which Is Prospective Goals,Flexibal Means,Variable Forms And Fixed Aims,try To Weak The Arab States , In Return For Protect Israeli Security By Creat A New Events In Its Environment Because Future Never Offering In Silver Dish. The Problem Of This Study Its Prospective Dimenstoin Of Israeli Planning, Attempt to Divided States In The First Level , Therfore The Relations Between Arabs And Israel Is Oppositev Relation Contain That , Every Weakness In The Arabian Body Corresponed Strength In The Israeli Actions , Through Exploitation Arabic Weakness Elements , And Depend Upon Forse , secret Planning , And The Role Of Super Powers Of States.Therefore The Aim Of This Study Is To Solve The Problem mentioned Above This Study Depend Upon Hypothesis Including that The Israeli Strategic Planning give a concern to the Prospective Vision , by clear , flexible strategic or tactical plans . To Prove Hypothesis Of The Study , The Following Questions Should Be Out Under Consideration : - what the meaning of strategic planning ,and how we can distinguish between him and other concepts such as future , or strategic thinking ? - how was the beginning of the Zionism planning before establish Israel , And How Its Become? - what is The Israeli Strategic Planning Institutions and how They Can effect on Israeli total strategy maker? - what is the total Israeli strategy Dimensions On The Internal Level? - what is the total Israeli strategy Dimensions On The External Level? Starting Out From Hypothesis And Problem Of The Study , Its Bodywork Study Will Be Divided Into Five Chapters In addition To The Introduction , Conclusion And The Aimes : - First Chapter studying the meaning of Strategic Planning and other concept like Future And Strategic Thinking . - Second Chapter Explaining The Basics of the Zionism Planning before establish Israel and after That - Third Chapter studying the Israeli Strategic Planning Process Which Is Effect On Israel strategy,and their Prospective plans . - Fourth Chapter explaining the Internal Dimensions of the total Israeli strategy,And Their Plans On This Level - Fifth Chapter studying the External Dimensions of the total Israeli strategy And Their Plans On The International And Rigonal Levels. Eventually , The Conclusion Summarized The Results Of The Study , Such As Using Distant Duration strategy By Israel To Achive Their Goals By Different Means, Forese , Diplomatic Pressures,And Secret Plans.

الحركات الاسلامية في المدرك الاستراتيجي الامريكي

Author name: احمد قاسم صالح علي التكريتي
Supervisor name: سرمد زكي الجادر | فكرت نامق عبد الفتاح العاني
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الاستراتيجية الامنية للولايات المتحدة الامريكية بعد 11ايلول 2001

Author name: تـميم حسين محمد كاظم التميمي
Supervisor name: نبيل محمد سليم
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

اثر استراتيجيات التحول نحو مجتمع المعرفة في الثقافة السياسية والسلوك السياسي == Influence of transformation strategies towards knowledge society In political culture and political Behavior

Author name: ايناس ضياء مهدي
Supervisor name: مها عبد اللطيف حسن الحديثي | منعم صاحي العمار
General topic: Political Science
Specific topic: Strategic Studies
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The states and institutions face increased and varied changes through transformation toward knowledge society. Therefore They must plan to formulate future strategies in order to transform towards knowledge society.Because of the importance of transformation strategies towards knowledge society, the researcher study them as independent variables influence in political culture and political behavior as dependent variable. The research depended on the open systems method and quantitive method in studying the variables.Accordingly, the objectives of the research are : 1 - Sure the successful using for the empirical methods in the political and strategic sciences.2 - Increasing the strategic and political knowledge of the research variables.3 - Building methodological base of the strategic and political researchers in the future.4 - Motivating the researchers in Iraq to study the Iraqi institutions.Also, the research aimed to solve its problem that represented in many questions are : 1 - What are the levels of transformation strategies towards knowledge society, political culture and political behavior in the Iraqi institutions?2 - What are the relationships among transformation strategies towards knowledge society, political culture and political behavior?3 - What are the influences of transformation strategies towards knowledge society in political culture and political behavior?4 - What is the influence of political culture in political behavior?5 - What are the differences among the Iraqi institutions in transformation strategies towards knowledge society, political culture and political behavior?In order to achieve the objectives above, the research has been carried out theoratically and practically. The theoratical part is devoted to explanation the research variables and the basic concepts and that related. The practical part included carrying out the research in the Ministry of Health, Ministry of Culture and Ministry of Financial in Iraq. The public managers in the ministries are considered as a sample of research. The questionnaire is used to collect the data from the research sample. In analyzing the data, the non - parametrical statistics are used. After analyzing and discussing the data, the model of the research generally is not proved true.
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