Show: 25 50 75 100 Results

Search results: 25 out of 163

دراسة تحليلية للعوامل البيئية المؤثرة على انتاج التمور في محافظة البصرة == An Analytical Study On The Effect of Environmental Elements On Dates Production In Basrah

Author name: سامر عادل عبد الله
Supervisor name: تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اصبح المناخ اليوم من الموضوعات الرئيسية المهمة التي تحتل مرتبة الصدارة لدى جميع دول العالم المتقدمة والنامية، لاسيما بعد ان تبين بوضوح مدى التغيرات التي شهدها في العقود الاخيرة. والتي تحدث اما لاسباب طبيعية نتيجة اختلال في توازن النظام البيئي او لاسباب بش | Climate has become a key topic that occupies the forefront of all developed and developing countries around the world, especially after the climate change witnessed in recent decades, These changes occur due to either natural causes as a result of an imbalance in the ecosystem, or human causes such as human economic activities, these changes affected many aspects of life, one of which is the agriculture, including palm cultivation and dates productionThe aim of this research was to study the effect or the relationship between climate and dates production, which is considered one of the most important crops that can be relied upon economically. This research uses the method of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis to find out the climatic elements effecting the productivity of two types of dates (Helawi and Zehdi). The independent variables (climatic side) were the average of the yearly rates for (Maximum temperatures, Sunshine duration, Relative humidity, Wind speed and Suspended dust) in Basra city for the period (2005 - 2014), and the dependent variable was the average of the palm tree productivity measured in (kg), which represents the (agricultural side). The results showed that there are three factors (variables) affecting dates production of (Helawi), which are (sunshine duration, suspended dust and wind speed) because they were statistically significant. As for the (Zehdi), there were two statistically significant variables, which are (Sunshine and Maximum temperatures). The conclusions and recommendations were founded by using the Stepwise regression in statistical package (SPSS v19)

استخدام التحليل الاحصائي في دراسة واقع البنى التحتية للاسرة العراقية لعام 2013 == The Use of Statistical Analysis In The Study of The Reality of The Infrastructure of The Iraqi Was Captured In 2013

Author name: زهراء علي هاشم
Supervisor name: ابتسام كريم عبد الله
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد دراسة واقع البنى التحتية وتحليل مؤشراته ومحدداته من القضايا المهمة بالنسبة للعراق الذي يهدف الى تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاجتماعية بصورة اكثر واقعية. لذلك اختير هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات مسح خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات في العراق الذي نفذ خلال ال | The study of the reality of infrastructure and the analysis of indicators and determinants are important issues for Iraq, which aims to achieve economic and social development more realistically. Therefore, this research was selected using the data of the survey of the poverty map and maternal mortality in Iraq carried out during the year 2013 by the Central Statistical Organization and using the SPSS to reach the variables that have a direct impact on the level of the infrastructure of the Iraqi family. The analysis was used to analyze the relationship between the twelve variables to reach the factors that actually affect the level of infrastructure, which included housing, electricity, water, sewage system, basic services. The cluster analysis method was adopted and the data of the twelve variables were converted to the standard formula. To eliminate the difference of units of measurement of these variables and thus ensure the validity of the implementation of the stage related to the process of data classification and determine the extent of the relationship between the Iraqi provinces in terms of similarity or difference and in the last stage to enter the methods of analysis and analysis. Two main methods of analysis were used : the main vehicle method and the main axis method. It was obtained through the results of the main vehicles method that there were two factors (the value of the underlying root is greater or equal to the correct one) namely housing, electricity, water and basic services factor with an explanatory capacity of 85.469 (847.82%) of the total variance, and the remaining 17.153% of the total variance, and the remaining 14.531% Due to other factors. Thus, the cluster analysis used two methods of hierarchical analysis, ie, the single link and the total linkage. The results were close to some minor differences among them. Most of the aggregates' tables were close to a small difference in transactions. This difference depends on the methodology of each method.

تحليل احصائي مقارن لواقع الصناعات الغذائية في العراق لسنة 2007 == Comparative Statistical Analysis of The Reality of The Food Industry In Iraq For The Year 2007

Author name: رعد عبد الرزاق علي
Supervisor name: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ‘تعد الصناعات الغذائية ركنا اساسيا من اركان الاقتصاد لما لها من قدرة وفاعلية على انعاش وتحريك مجمل العمليات الاقتصادية في البلاد. ولانجاز هذا البحث اعتمد الباحث على بيانات المسح الصناعي الزراعي الذي نفذ سنة 2007. استعمل الباحث اسلوب تحليل التباين ذي | Food industry is a cornerstone of the economy because of their ability and effectiveness in the rehabilitation and move the overall economic processes in the country. To accomplish this research the researcher depended on the agro - industrial survey data which was implemented in 2007. Researcher used the method of analysis of variance one - way, to make comparisons between the activities of different food. Was chosen for this purpose are five important variables : production, productivity, value added, fixed assets, number of employees. The results indicated the existence of significant differences between activities, in some provinces and the lack of significant differences in other provinces for these variables. As well as the researcher used the method of factor analysis, to study the problems faced by food establishments, to find out the problems that actually affect the performance level of the plant food. Has had problems related to exports the greatest weight in the composition of the Working President(I),namely : 1.Sellingpriceslow. 2.Externaldemand is not enough.3. Competitive exporters of the Middle East.4. Compete with Chinese products. 5. Compete with other exporters.6. The lack of information on foreign markets. 7. The existence of competition between the exporters and the Iraqis

تحليل الاهداف الانمائية للالفية في العراق == Study The Statistical Analysis of The Millennium Development Goals In Iraq

Author name: رسول هادي عبد المنعم
Supervisor name: تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The goal of the Millennium Development Goals is to promote development by improving social and economic conditions in the poorest countries in Amah at The United Nations Declaration on the Millennium adopted by all Member States in September - September - 2000 of the most important decisions of the General Assembly taken at the end of the last century, as is in a number of commitments aimed at improving the lot of man at the beginning of the third millennium, to conclude that these goals a commitment to development and security, peace and gender equality and the elimination of the multiple dimensions of poverty and achieve sustainable development. It should be noted that most of the goals set by the announcement of the Millennium is not new but derived from the recommendations of global conferences held in the nineties and which was adopted rules and international laws over the past Considered as indicators of the Millennium Development multifaceted, as it contributes in the monitoring of economic and social changes, in addition to the preparation of development plans to improve the status of activities that suffer from a lack of performance at the state level, either at the level of the world are through the provision of indicators for international comparisons, which helps in making decisions on economic, trade and deal with external debt... Etc., and come to the donor countries to take decisions on aspects of assistance, especially emergency assistance and direct form of assistance with time and according to the monitoring of changes in society. And that the goals are the results rather than inputs, where that eating the Millennium Development Goals focuses mostly on the eight goals and objectives of digital and the time frame for achieving them to be a reference to evaluate and monitor the development goals in countries Almokhtlfahomen this sense Akhtaralbages this research and using the system of statistical programs ready SPSS to get to the adoption of analytical methodology using my style factor analysis and cluster analysis in the analysis of these indicators at the level of the provinces where the state acquires Find in the Millennium Development Goals in Iraq is particularly important because of the national decline in the indicators of social and economic development and seek to adopt policies that are in achieving those goals.The research includes five chapters include the first chapter Mekdmaaama and the idea of the Millennium Development Goals, data sources and target research and methodology, and backgrounds of study submitted for analysis of global and cluster analysis and research topic also included Chapter II Showing the Millennium Development Goals, targets and indicators with a brief description on the indicators that have been taken under consideration and an outline of the efforts made in the Arab region in achieving the Millennium Development Goals and the statement of its progress and achievements and its attention to these goals, the third chapter has included explaining factor analysis and cluster analysis used in the statistical analysis included the fourth quarter the interpretation of the results obtained through the study (Urban and Rural Areas), and attended, and Rural Areas [The fifth chapter has included the conclusions and recommendations

استعمال نماذج بوكس وجينكنز للتنبؤ بكمية الانتاج لبعض المنتجات النباتية والحيوانية في محافظة بغداد == Using Box And Jenkins Models To Forecasting The Amount of Production of Some Plant And Animal Products In Baghdad Province

Author name: رباب علي عبد الرحمن السهيل
Supervisor name: ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد القطاع الزراعي المتمثل بالانتاج النباتي والحيواني في العراق من القطاعات الرئيسة في الاقتصاد العراقي اذ يساهم في تكوين الناتج القومي الاجمالي، ويعد اهمال القطاع الزراعي من المراحل الاولى لظهور بوادر الازمة الغذائية احد اهم العوامل الكامنة وراء تعميق ال | The agricultural sector of plant and animal production in Iraq is one of the key sectors of the Iraqi economy wich contributes to the formation GNP, the neglect of the agricultural sector from the early stages of the emergence of signs of food crisis. One of the main factors behind the deepening food shortages in addition to the lack of succes of agricultural policies in placet o reduce the dependency of food outside and achieve self - suffciency in the country and that any development strategy to achieve food security in the country must take a development in the agricultural sector. To be able to study the changes that happen in the economic phenomena in the future and determining the values of these changes has tob e set up to rely on time - series analysis and that the time series have some numerical values for a statistical index that reflects the change phenomenon for time, and there are some analysis for the series in time zone from the most important statistical methods that are used to predict the values of random phenomena in the future based on what happend in the past, wich helps in future plan for a peaceful economic development and the most important methods are the time series model developed by the Box - Jenkins methodology for a seasonal subseries plot or a spectral plot. The research aims to predict the amount of domestic production and import of all of the Tomato and Chicken, so using the best model of the Box - Jenkins models.And in the search data to quantity of domestic production and import of each tomato and chicken in Baghdad province - Iraq BI - monthly inputs for time zone between January 2012 until december 2014, at rate of 72, the data was obtained from the directorate of Agriculutral - Baghdad Al Reafa - Statistics department. It’s also has been updated into the gretl program. The study consisted of both the theoretical side of the identification of the theoretical foundations of the Box - Jenkins methodology of the time series and after that the applied to the side of the the best model to predict domestic production to quantity and import of each tomato and chicken, after all that the researcher have a some conclusions and recommendations that benefit the peaceful development and plans for the advancement of the agricultural sector and the most important thing is, that the imported Tomatoes and Chickens is more than the locally produced ones, which indicates that the country depends on the imported Tomatoes and Chickens more than the produced.

اثر عوامل الجذب والطرد لسكان المحافظات في العراق للفترة (1997م - 2011م) (عدا اقليم كوردستان) : دراسة احصائية == The Effect of Attraction And Expulsion Factors of Population In The Provinces of Iraq For Period (م 1997 - م2011) (Except Kurdistan) - Statistical Study

Author name: دري حميد جاسم السلامي
Supervisor name: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد نظرية عوامل الجذب والطرد من اكثر النظريات شيوعا في تحليل الاسباب التي تدفع بالافراد الى الهجرة، وتقوم النظرية ببساطة على ان الناس تهاجر لان هناك عوامل طاردة لهم من موطنهم الاصلي، او ان هناك عوامل جاذبة لهم في المنطقة المضيفة.لهذا السبب اهتم هذا الب | The theory of attractions and expulsion are the most common theories in the analysis of the causes that drive individuals to immigration, the theory is simply that people migrate because there are factors expelling them from their place of origin, or there are factors attractive to them in the host region.For this reason interested in this research study this phenomenon aided statistical analysis (using multiple linear regression method), to determine the factors of attraction and expulsion and to identify the size of the migration of the population in the provinces of Iraq (Excluding the Kurdistan region), the currents and trends and any areas more attractive to residents, which is more parcels of the population, as well as knowledge of migrations and coming out of each of the five governorates century on the level of Iraq, according to the results of the general census of the population in 1997, And projections up to 2008, data and the results of the inventory and punctuation for the year 2009 and projections up to the year 2011, and the data that has been obtained from the concerned ministries official (Health, education, agriculture, electricity), study of the impact of health factors, And education, agriculture and services (electricity and water) on this migration.The researcher found that there are some factors have an impact in some provinces attractant as the number of schools in the province of Nineveh, unlike others with influence reverse as the number of faculty members in Basra province, and

استعمال اساليب السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بالتضخم الشهري في العراق للسنوات 2017 - 2021 == Using Time Series Models To Forecasting The Monthly Inflation In Iraq For (2017 - 2021)

Author name: خوله جعفر احمد
Supervisor name: فارس طاھر حسن الكواز
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يشكل التضخم عائقا امام تنمية الدولة لما يقع عليه من اضرار اقتصادية واجتماعية لذا تحرص الدول على متابعة سلوكه احصائيا من اجل اخذ الحيطة والحذر والحيلولة دون ارتفاعه عن طريق اتخاذ القرارات السليمة ورسم السياسات الكفوءة.لذا يهدف البحث الى ايجاد افضل انموذ | Inflation forms an obstacle to the country's development because due to its influence on the economic and social damage, so the state is keen to follow up on its conduct statistically in order to take caution and prevent rising through sound decision - making and efficient fee policies.So research aims to forecast the inflation rates Through a series of inflation on the one hand and a series of indices on the other hand, for the period (Jan 2017 - Dec 2021) and reaching any strings best in the prediction by models (Box - Jenkins) and based on the indices data for the period (Jan 2009 - Dec 2015), through the modeling of the data in accordance with the methodology (Box - Jenkins) to build models starting from the diagnosis stage and the ending in the stage to predicting forecasting ,so several types of (ARIMA) models have been proposed, including choosing the most appropriate model specimen , according to the trade - off criteria (RMSE, MAPE , BIC, AIC, Schwarz, Hannan - Quinn), then used the possible greatest function in the estimation of the model specimen parameters, it has conducted tests (Ljung - Box, test my own confidence and Normal distribution of errors test) to determine the appropriateness of the model diagnosed, and then made a future forecasts according to the model, specimen It is better to get of the results based on the ready softwares (SPSS - 22) and the program (Gretl - 1.1) and the results that have been reached were, series of inflation rates stable in mean ,seires indices of consumer prices is'nt stable, where it has a general trend stabilized after taking the first difference and depending on the test (Augmented Dickey Fuller), and was reached that the best model for forecasting inflation of inflation series is a specimen ARIMA (0,0,2) (1,0,1)12 and using the indices series is a model ARIMA (0,1, 2) (1,0,0) 12 and if we make a comparison between the two models forecasting predictions concluded that the forecasting prediction by using a series of inflation gives better results than using the indices to predict a series where the average to smooth the predicted average inflation closer to the original series and therefore, the predictive values of rates inflation closer to the values of the original series viewing And that curve prediction of a series of inflation rates better than the curve predictions using the indces as he gave finer predictions and longer periods of time.

قياس الفقر متعدد الابعاد في العراق باستعمال مؤشرات اكسفورد OPHI == Measuring Multidimensional Poverty Using Oxford Indicators (OPHI)

Author name: حمدي محسن عليوي
Supervisor name: نبيلة عبد الهادي الشريف
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان الدراسات والبحوث التي تخص الفقر متعدد الابعاد لم تجد اهتماما الا في السنوات القليلة الماضية ولاسيما بعد ان اطلقت مبادرة اكسفورد التابعة لبرنامج الامم المتحده الانمائي تقرير التنمية البشرية لعام 2010، حينها اصبح الاتجاة بالتحول من نمط القياس الفردي الى | Studies and researches that concerned in multidimensional poverty did not find any attention, except for the last few years especially after the initiative of oxford - the report of human development of 2010, since then, the pattern changed from the single measurement to multi measurement, by describing poverty in many variables instead of one variable (income). According to the initiative of oxford - the report of human development, Multidimensional poverty on a national scale in Iraq contain five main dimensions dimension consists several indicators (education, basic services, level of living, feeding and health and employment), each dimension consists several indicators. This study came to measure multidimensional poverty and knowing the poor rate and the poverty severity, on a national scale in Iraq and its(18) governorates, and also on an Environmental Scale (rural, urban), and then using the analysis of multidimensional poverty (Principal component Method), to determine the variables causing in forming these elements which affect multidimensional poverty, on the other side, and the central statistical organization also can benefit from this study, because this method has been used in Iraq recently. The main conclusions of the research was that the multidimensional poverty has recorded differences in Poverty rates between the governorates, since that (Erbil) has recorded the lowest Poverty rate than other governorates, and when compared with (Wasit) which has recorded the highest Poverty rate, it will show that on each poor individual in (Erbil), on the other hand there is Five poor individuals in (Wasit), also the severity of poverty was high in all of the Governorates, even in governorates that has low poverty rates. On the Environmental scale (rural, urban), the multidimensional poverty in rural was four times bigger than urban. The results also shown that There are five main elements that affects multidimensional poverty on an Iraq scale, in another side, there were six elements effecting in (rural, urban) scale.

مقارنة احصائية للحالة الصحية لاطفال المحافظات الجنوبية دون الخمس سنوات بين عام 2006 و2011 == Statistical Comparison of The Health Status of Children Under Five Southern Provinces Between The Years 2006 And 2011

Author name: حسين عيسى مسلم القريشي
Supervisor name: اسماء نجم عبد الله
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: العراق هو احد الدول التي عانى اطفاله من ظروف صعبة جدا , فواقع العراق السياسي جعل اجيال عدة تعيش في ظروف انسانية غير طبيعية لعقود من الزمن ان هذا البحث يهدف الى اجراء مقارنة للحالة الصحية للاطفال دون سن الخمس سنوات في المحافظات الجنوبية بين2006 و2011 اعتم | Iraq is one of the states that children suffering from very difficult circumstances, the reality of Iraq's political make several generations living in abnormal humane conditions for decades that this research is aimed at a comparison of the health status of children under five years of age in the southern provinces between 2006 and 2011, a researcher in the study approved the cluster survey data multi - third variables in the 2006 survey cluster multi - fourth variables in 2011, which Ajerthm the Ministry of planning / Central Bureau of Statistics, was taking the most important influences on children's health, including malnutrition, disease, diarrhea, respiratory infections, vaccines, drinking water, sanitation health, quality of feeding, social, educational and axis through the use of style analysis world by using Principal Component analysis to derive the most explanation of the health status of the children of Iraq in two years, factors and through the use of some software statistical shelf SPSS to show results concluded the researcher as shown by the results of the analysis the World in 2006 for the provinces as a whole that there are five significant factors that control the thirteen variables involved in the search on the southern provincial level either in the year 2011 for the provinces, the results showed the presence of four significant factors that control the three variables ten We note that the number of factors decrease between two and it conclude that health status in advance, either for the environment. in the year 2006 showed the results of factor analysis of the present, there were five significant factors that control the variables as a whole Lama in 2011 Veugd also five influential moral factors in health status and conclude that there is no difference in health status between the two for the present, As for the countryside were the results of the analysis the global him that he showed in 2006, there are five significant factors that control the thirteen variables involved in the search and in the year 2011, the results showed the presence of five moral factors controlling the variables and here we conclude that the lack of difference in the number of factors for the countryside between the two but there is an increase in the strong variables within the factors in the year 2006, which infer the existence of a very simple interest in rural health. the results also showed that the strongest variables influence the health aspect which vaccines variables making it one of the most important variables for the years 2006 and 2011 and we can call this component component health and that the strongest variables and rank second is the second component as included variables (diarrhea, coughing disease, the quality of the land housing, child's height, weight of the child, breastfeeding, the child's age, number of children under five years in the family) and we can call this vehicle as the (environment Child). It is the most important recommendations were are 1 - Give the subject of child health under five years of great interest by the state and the provision of supplies for all of it 2 - the need for attention and attendance routine vaccines to take the vaccines in a timely manner with the need to keep Bacart vaccines to know when the vaccine 3 - Increase health campaigns carried out by the Ministry of Health and for more than a vaccine as well as increased dropouts campaigns for all routine vaccines

واقع الخصوبة في العراق بالاعتماد على خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات لسنة 2013 : دراسة احصائية == The Reality of Fertility In Iraq Based On Poverty And Maternal Mortality Map For 2013 Statistical Study

Author name: بشرى نصيف جاسم
Supervisor name: ابتسام كريم عبد الله
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الخصوبة احدى المكونات الرئيسة الثلاثة التي تقرر معدل النمو السكاني الى جانب الوفيات والهجرة. ومن ثم فهي تؤثر في مجمل البنية الديمغرافية والاقتصادية والاجتماعية للسكان وفي هجرتهم وتوزيعهم الجغرافي. وتعد الولادة عاملا بايولوجيا اكثر تعقيدا واصعب دراسة | Fertility is one of the three main components that determine the rate of population growth as well as mortality and migration. And thus it affects the overall demographic, economic and social structure of the population and in their migration and geographical distribution. Birth of biological factor is more complex and more difficult study of global deaths and migration due to the complexity and diversity of influences and volatility. fertility is calculated by the number of children born in a given year to the number of women in the age group (15 - 49) for the same year. And that the birth rate is controlled by several decisions about child - bearing or not.It has been estimated that fertility rates of direct and indirect ways by using the method (Brass and the way Cole - Trassel) In addition to identifying the most important factors that affect the total fertility rate by relying on survey data map of poverty and maternal mortality for the year 2013 for the purpose of calculating the total fertility rate for IraqI province (18 Province) direct method as well as the calculation of the independent variables, which is believed to have an impact on total fertility rates that have used one of the statistical packages which is Spss21 using multiple regression Stepwise factors method is a (family size, average per capita income, per capita spending on health, infant mortality rate, the proportion of poverty, the percentage of married - old (15 - 49), the percentage of illiterate women (15 - 49), the percentage of economically active women, the percentage of women in rural areas, the percentage of women with chronic diseases (15 - 49), change the place of residence (internal migration), the average age at marriage, percentage of the population under 15 years, the percentage of homes equipped with national electrolyte, the percentage of women (15 - 49) in addition to the use of the program (Spectrum) to estimate the total fertility and the preparation of the population and the rate of annual population growth and life expectancy of death as well as the median age for the period (2013 - 2050), according to fertility assumptions (high, medium and low level) for the purpose of population policy in the long run as well as the review of the most important demographic theories that are related to fertility and estimate a record number of fertility in Iraqi , and calculating the national fertility index for the year 2013 in Iraq, which amounted (14%) also were awarded a singles record (INP) of fertility on the basis of considering the 1997 base year

تقدير دالة الانتاج لبعض الصناعات التحويلية : دراسة تطبيقية == Estimating The Production Function For Some Manufacturing Industries (Application Study)

Author name: براء خليل ابراهيم
Supervisor name: احلام احمد جمعة
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الصناعات التحويلية من الفروع الاساسية للقطاع الصناعي وهي احدى الانشطة الانتاجية التي ترتكز عليها الدول وتشغل موقعا مركزيا في اقتصاديات المجتمعات من حيث مساهمتها في دفع التنمية الاقتصادية, ومن المعروف ان زيادة الانتاج في اي منشاة صناعية يعتمد على مست | Transform manufacturing is one of the principle branches of the industrial sector which is one of the productive activities that countries emphasize and occupies a central position in the economies of the communities in terms of their contribution to economic development. It is well known that to increase production of any industrial facility depends on the level of productivity for each element of the production line. The goal of this research is; to find an estimate of the production function coefficients (Cobb - Douglas) for some manufacturing model, in a small industrial facilities in addition to the estimate of Multiple Linear Regression model to demonstrate the contribution of the factors of production to the number of employees and the value of input parameters (Independent Variables) on the value of production (Dependent Variables) by using the data that have been obtained from the annual reports issued by the Industrial Statistics Directorate of the Central Statistical Organization, for the period of (1990 - 2014) and thus address the research in theoretical side to a function (Cobb - Douglas) and their characteristics to the Multiple Linear Regression model. The results has shown that all the regression models were all true and statistically significant and satisfy the assumptions of the basic normals of the least squares. On the other hand the model for manufacturing of leather products suffered from the problem of Autocorrelation has been addressed, as (Cobb - Douglas) function estimates showed that industries with intensive use of labor as a reflection to a flexible working capital compared with the flexibility and facilities characterized by increasing returns to scale and characterized as labor intensive.

استخدام التحليل العنقودي في تصنيف القرى المنتجة للمحاصيل الشتوية في العراق للفترة من 2005 - 2014 == The Use of Cluster Analysis To Classify Villages Producing Winter Crops In Iraq For The Period From 2005 - 2014

Author name: ايمان احمد ياسين
Supervisor name: لقاء علي محمد العلوي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد القطاع الزراعي من القطاعات الاقتصادية المهمة والتي تسهم وبدور كبير في تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية والاكتفاء الذاتي في البلدان النامية والمتقدمة على حد سواء. كذلك تسهم في تكوين الناتج المحلي الاجمالي للبلدان النامية. لذا ولاهمية هذا القطاع الحيوي فقد تط | The agricultural sector of the important economic sectors that contribute to the large role in achieving economic development and self - sufficiency in developing and developed countries alike. As well as contribute to the formation of the gross domestic product of developing countries. So to the importance of this vital sector has dealt with the subject of classification producing provinces for wheat and barley crops, This research aims to study the problem of classification producing provinces for wheat and barley crops in Iraq except Kurdistan region for the year 2005 and 2014 and the statement of the most productive agricultural provinces of both crops winter The importance of this the problem is that to study the basic winter field crops in Iraq which are represented by wheat and barley, that occupy a prominent place for food security for both producers and consumers in Iraq I have been using cluster analysis and analysis of variance two way in data analysis and use as well as in the classification of producing provinces for wheat and barley crops based on clusters extracted from analysis and research found a number of results to reach a state of clustering between some provinces according to the homogeneity of winning them according to the average yields dunum of the total area and also depending on the style of the bilateral variation, which helps in the moral values and the test that caused this moral knowledge analysis for the period from 2005 - 2014. The software used is the statistical package SPSS program.

استخدام التحليل العنقودي في تصنيف الاسر حسب مستويات المعيشة في العراق للمدة 2006 - 2007 == The Use of Cluster Analysis In The Classification of Households By Levels of Living In Iraq For The Period 2006 /2007

Author name: امجد سامي جوني
Supervisor name: فراس احمد محمد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعبر مستويات المعيشة عن حالة الاشباع والحرمان التي يعاني منها الفرد او الاسرة في مجال الخدمات الاساسية والحاجات الضرورية المقدمة من اجهزة الدولة كالمجال التعليمي والصحي والسكني والبنى التحتية والمجال الاقتصادي والمعيشي وغيرها من المجالات الخدمية الاساسية | Reflect the living standards on the state of satisfaction and deprivation suffered by the individual or household of basic services and necessities provided by the government concerning educational, health, housing, infrastructure and economic sphere, and livelihood and other areas of basic services that help households in their daily lives, governments therefore variables addressed through this research to view the reality of the living standards of households at the level of Iraq and the level of (18), which will be analyzed through the description and presentation, and then assembled on the basis of homogeneity or convergence located in the living standards of households among to get to the assembled in the cluster one at the level of Iraq, using cluster analysis and which you can reach to the description of levels of the rates of deprivation and lack of satisfaction experienced by these households in the level of services provided to them within these areas, helping to develop plans to ensure to address the vulnerability of existing and less time, effort and cost. For the purpose of the completion of this work has been divided this research into four chapters : In the first chapter touched on the importance and purpose of this study and previous studies, while the second chapter dealt with the theory and some basic concepts of clustering and the phenomenon of denial, while the third chapter dealt with the practical side of the data obtained, and in Chapter IV has been developed the most important conclusions and recommendations. In addition to that the study contains attachments to the development of the most important charts, tables, graphs and sources page

تقدير عجز الوحدات السكنية في العراق لعام 2010 == Estimated Deficit of Housing Units In Iraq For 2010

Author name: اسامة عبد العزيز كاظم القريشي
Supervisor name: محمد جاسم محمد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: المحور الاول : تقدير العجز السكني لعام 2010 للعراق ماعدا اقليم كردستان. المحور الثاني : التنبؤ بالحاجة السكنية لغاية عام 2016 للعراق ماعدا اقليم كردستان. يتضح ان مشكلة السكن في العراق مشكلة متفاقمة ومعقدة اذ تحتاج الى تضافر جهود مؤسسات الدولة باكملها | The study can be summarized as the following : First : Estimate housing deficit for the year 2010 in Iraq , except Kurdistan region. Second : Prediction of need for housing up to the year 2016 in Iraq except Kurdistan region. It is clear that the housing problem in Iraq is a growing problem and complex which require efforts of whole institutions , and the private sector as it specify the country,s housing deficit for the year 2010 , except Kurdistan Estimated by (2093048 ) housing unit the residential housing deficit Estimated for households , while the Estimated value of the magor hit (3460840) housing units that represent the Estimated housing deficit of nuclear families , while residential future needed unil 2016 , except Kurdistan region , identified the two values , while Estimated (2797840) housing units while residential future need of households , Estimated magor hit (4704699) housing unit.

تحليل احصائي لواقع العمالة وتياراتها واتجاهاتها في محافظات مختارة من العراق == A Statistical Analysis of The Realy of Emeeployment And Trends In Selected Provinces of Lraq

Author name: احمد هادي عبد العزيز الذهب
Supervisor name: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The working class is the slide in the broader community and is the main pillar upon which all countries of the world in all Economic sectors and development is the basis for progress and development in all fields. The difference in employment between the provinces as well as the disparity in services led to the disparity in the size of labor between provinces that's why I'm interested in this research study this phenomenon Mstaan statistical analysis (use of linear regression multi), to determine the factors that affect the size of the labor for the three provinces of Iraq and any provinces over the size of the labor on the level of Iraq, according to results of the survey of employment in 1987, to the year 2001, and the data that have been obtained from the concerned ministries official (health, education, agriculture, electricity), and study the impact of the factors of health, education, agriculture and services (electricity and water) on a volume of employment. The researcher found that there are some factors have an impact extrusive (positive) in some provinces as the number of schools in the province of Nineveh, unlike others with the opposite effect as the number of faculty members in the province of Basra, for the lack of Quotient in the number of schools in that province.

تحليل احصائي لمؤشرات الثروة الحيوانية في العراق للسنوات 2001 - 2008 == A Statistical Analysis of Indicators For Livestock In The Country For The Years 2001 - 2008

Author name: احمد كاظم حسن العصامي
Supervisor name: مهدي محمد البياع
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعيش الانسان بالاعتماد على الغذاء الذي وفر له من مختلف القنوات النباتية والحيوانية والمصنعة التي تساعده على انجاز متطلبات حياته وبذلك يعد الغذاء ثروة استراتيجية تقوم عليها البشرية ويتحقق من خلالها الامان والاستقرار. شهد في التاريخ القديم والحديث ا | Human lives, depending on the food provided to him from the various channels of plant, animal and manufactured to help him to accomplish the requirements of his life and so is the food wealth strategy underlying the human and through which security and stability. Seen in ancient and modern history many wars in which the main objective was to maintain food sources and increasing wealth in it. And the nation that meet the food security situation of up to a state of political and economic stability, financial and social well - being by increasing and reducing tensions. The food of animal forms and outputs (meat, milk and eggs... etc) of the most important sources of food and the highest in peace for the content of food materials according to the task of the human body. It is here specifically highlights the importance of livestock to the peoples and nations and try to increase it for the reasons contained in the above. And will take care of this thesis to study the reality of livestock in the country based on census data, which included indicators of animal production and conducted in a number of years where the trend in bringing about development in livestock production necessarily requires the provision of many of the requirements necessary to achieve this development The prediction of the most important influences statistical help his resolution to take the right decision and here the researcher using the regression models written multiple (Multiple Linear Regression) to identify the most important factors that help to increase the livestock in the country have also been using a number of important indicators in reading the reality of wealth animal with a growing population

اثر الاستثمار على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1970 - 2010) : دراسة تطبيقية باستخدام طريقة OLS وSURE والمقارنة بينهما == The Impact of Investment On Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (1970 - 2010) Empirical Study Using The Method of OLS And SURE And The Comparison Between Them

Author name: احمد جمال احمد
Supervisor name: فراس احمد محمد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى بناء انموذج اثر الاستثمار على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق من خلال استعمال طريقتي (OLS) الكلاسيكية وطريقة (SURE) لمعالجة مشكلة معادلات الانحدار غير المرتبطة ظاهريا بين الاخطاء والمقارنة بينهما.اذ تناول البحث في الفصل الاول المقدمة واهمية البح | The research aims to build a model of the impact of investment on economic growth in Iraq through the use of my way (OLS) and the classic way (SURE) to address the problem of regression equations between seemingly unrelated errors and the comparison between them.The discussion dealt with in the first chapter provided and the importance of research, and the aim of the research problem as well and then review the reference.RPR while the second chapter (theory) the relationship between investment and economic growth in economic theory, addressing the basic concepts and comprehensive definition of investment as well as the areas of investment and investment tools and then touched on the concept of economic growth and theories in economic growth.The third chapter (the theoretical economic) descriptive eat indicators of economic growth in Iraq and then touched on the spending of public investment (government) and then the investment budget and the efficiency of the implementation for the period (1990 - 2006) by virtue of the available data, as well as indicators of economic growth and we dealt with indicators study a GDP and gross capital formation has been divided into the length of time in order to decomposition economically and give a clearer picture of economic growth in Iraq's first period (1970 - 1990) and the second for the period (1990 - 2000) and the third for the period (2000 - 2010), then moved to the statistical methods Used in Chapter IV (the theoretical statistical) as we dealt with the topics following simple introduction about the time series, and we talked about the autocorrelation of the first class and scheduling data double all three, and the system of regression equations is associated with the ostensibly ", and the method of regression is associated with the surface (SURE), and measures of comparison, a competency , and the average absolute percentage error.The fifth chapter (the practical side) has dealt with an explanation of the analysis statistically for handling missing data and the method used in the analysis and assessment of the data by programs, statistical analysis (MATHLAB & SPSS) and interpret the results of the analysis as well as test the moral models both separately, then the conclusions and recommendations and finally "sources, tables and appendices.

دراسة احصائية عن واقع البطالة بين محافظات العراق == Statistical Paper “ Un Employment Reality Among Governorates In Iraq

Author name: اثير محمد ناجي عزت
Supervisor name: سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان دراسة ظاهرة البطالة وتحليل اهم العوامل ذات الاثر الاكبر باتجاه سلوكها من الامور المهمة للعراق والذي يهدف الى التقليل من حدتها في المجتمع. ويعد مفهوم البطالة من المفاهيم التي اخذت اهمية كبرى في المجتمعات المعاصرة من حيث البحث والاستقصاء، لذا انصب ال | The study of unemployment phenomenon and analysis for the most important factors which has the most affected towards its conduct , is from the significant matters for Iraq that is aimed to reduce its solitude in society. The unemployment theory has taken a great importance at modern societies concerning research and examination , therefore we focus our importance mainly on unemployment by political decision makers. Perhaps the worse and highlighted features of economic crisis which is faced by each of Arabic and developed countries is aggravation of unemployment problem which is the extrusive increasing of members who have an ability and willing for work and researchers for work without finding it. Therefore the researcher chose making use of Iraqi Household of Social & Economical Survey data which performed during two years (2007, 2012) and by using the Package of SPSS v.20 in order to receive to social and economical variables which affects in prevalence of unemployment phenomenon and its classification among governorates. Based on factorial analyses manner in extraction the most important factors that affects in describing unemployment phenomenon conduct during matrix analyses for correlation among studying variables, it has chosen a group of variables for two years which explained the interaction method of these variables and the importance of each variable also making use of clustering analysis to classify it among governorates, and defining the convergence & divergence extent among governorates according to the studied variables and analyses clusterization stages for two years. The paper contains four chapters, chapter one : concludes introduction, objective, methodology, data source, referential review for collection of studies and researches concerned to the subject and analysis manner, chapter two : concludes the theoretical side that involves statistical analysis by using factorial and clustered analysis manner, chapter three contains the applicative side for research by applying the analyses for indicators which is concluded and knowing the important factors which has the great affection by defining the phenomenon conduct and the method of classification among governorates, chapter four contains conclusions we reached and sources and recommendations.The result of factorial analysis explains that the most exaggerate importance variables on unemployment is the hardness for getting a work and has appeared this affected for both two years 2007 &2012, its significance at governorates (Missan , Al Muthana , and Sulymania ) for 2012, (Missan , Al Muthana , and Erbil) for 2007, also the results explains clustered analysis that there is clusteralization of bordering and non bordering south governorates for studied variables for 2012, as well as north and middle governorates while at 2007 the clusteralization was for bordering & non bordering south governorates but not clusteralization for north governorate with south governorate, there was intimacy for Baghdad for these two years by regarding the clusteralization at the last stage with remainder of governorates as it regards the capital and the biggest governorate by it’ s population

العوامل المؤثرة في تسرب طلبة مدارس مدينة بغداد : دراسة احصائية == Factors Affecting Schools In The City of Baghdad Leak Students : A Statistical Study

Author name: ياسر كاظم حميد
Supervisor name: لقاء علي محمد العلوي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد موضوع التسرب المدرسي من المواضيع المهمة والمشاكل الكبرى التي لا بد من الوقوف على اسبابها ونتائجها وطرق علاجها اذ ترتبط هذه المشكلة بمشاكل اجتماعية واقتصادية كبيرة لذلك سلطنا الضوء على هذه المشكلة وتداعياتها مستعينين بالبيانات المتوفرة في مؤسسات الدولة | is the subject of school dropout important topics of the major problems that must stand on its causes and consequences, and methods of treatment as the problem associated with significant social and economic problems so we highlighted this problem and its implications with the aid of data available in state institutions, especially in the Ministry of Education and were available to prepare students Registered in Baghdad and prepare dropouts students and also the Central Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data associated with this particular such as MICS 2006 Cluster Survey of socio - economic survey of the family 2007 survey unemployment 2008 survey see Iraq network 2011 and socio - economic survey of the family 2012 In order to reach the most important reasons that lead to school dropout has been the number of census form questionnaire and listed the reasons for the demographic, social and school drop - outs, where we then analyze the resulting data in a manner factor analysis to get to the inter results and interpretation, and also the use of contrast binary analysis to compare the effect of years and regions Baghdad to prepare students and dropouts also multiple comparison methods to determine the variables that caused the statistical differences, such as the moral differences between 2006 and 2007 for the preparation of students who drop out and moral differences between the departments Rusafa1 and Karkh3 And the programs that are used in the search Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) program and the program of geographic information systems (GIS) and software (Excel).

التنبؤ باعداد مرضى السكري في العراق مع دراسة لتحليل اهم اسبابه == Predict The Numbers Diabetics In Iraq With A Study To Analyze The Most Important Causes

Author name: حيدر حسن رحمة
Supervisor name: فاتن فاروق صالح البدري
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد التنبؤ بالسلوك المستقبلي للسلاسل الزمنية من الموضوعات الهامة في العلوم الاحصائية ولذلك فان التنبؤ بعدد حالات الاصابة بداء السكري في العراق يحتل مكانة هامة باعتباره احد الامراض المزمنة والذي يتعلق بحياة الانسان مهما يكن عمره. في هذا البحث تم اختيار طري | The prediction of future behavior of the time series of important topics in statistical science, therefore, predict the number of cases of diabetes in Iraq occupies an important position as one of the chronic diseases that respect for human life no matter

استعمال نماذج بوكس وجنكنز للتنبؤ بعدد المرضى المصابين بمرض التهاب الكبد الفايروسي في العراق == Box And Jenkins Use Models To Predict The Numbers of Patients With Hepatitis Alvairose In Iraq

Author name: جاسم محمد كاظم السلطاني
Supervisor name: ايمان محمد عبد الله المشهداني
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: التهاب الكبد الفايروسي هو احد الامراض المعدية التي تسببها الفيروسات وتسبب الضرر لخلايا الكبد، قد يكون الضرر الناتج مؤقتا وقد يكون دائما والالتهاب الكبدي الفيروسي يصيب الجسم باليرقان jaundice (صفرة الجلد)، هناك خمسة انواع من الالتهاب الكبدي هم(A، B، C، D، | Hepatitis Alvairose is one of infectious diseases caused by viruses, which cause damage to the liver cells, it may be damage resulting temporarily has always been and viral hepatitis infects the body jaundice jaundice (yellow skin), there are five types o

استعمال السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بغلة محصول الذرة الصفراء في محافظة واسط == Use Time Series To Predict The Yield of Maize Crop In Wasit Province

Author name: محمد حسنين عبد المنعم عبد الرضا الحكيم
Supervisor name: اسماء نجم عبد الله
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تطرقنا في هذا البحث عن دراسة غلة محصول الذرة الصفراء : الذرة الصفراء وتعتبر من المحاصيل الصيفية المهمة التي تستعمل على نطاق عالمي كعلف اخضر وحبوب كما تستعمل كغذاء للانسان ويستفاد منها في صناعة المنتجات الزراعية والصناعية ولاسيما الزيوت النباتية. ويزرع في | We discussed in this research study yields for maize crop : Popcorn is one of the important summer crops that are used on a global scale green fodder and grains are also used as food for humans and utilized in the agricultural and industrial products indu

التنبؤ بالتلوث البيئي باستعمال نماذج بوكس - جنكنز لمحطة الوزيرية == Environmental Pollution Prediction By Using Box - Jenkins Models For Al - Waziriya Station

Author name: منير شهاب احمد العكيدي
Supervisor name: سعد احمد عبد الرحمن النعیمي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد مشكلة التلوث البيئي من المشاكل المهمة والخطيرة التي تواجه الانسان في الوقت الراهن لما لها من اثر مباشر على صحة الانسان والكائنات الحية الاخرى، فقد لوحظ في السنوات الاخيرة حدوث زيادة بمعدلات التلوث البيئي، مما اثر بشكل كبير على صحة الانسان، وادى الى | The environmental pollution is considered one of the important and serious problems that facing the human in the current time, because of its direct impact on the human health and other organisms.It has been observed in recent years, there is an increasin

استعمال نظم المعلومات الجغرافية لتقييم توزيع مدارس مدينة بغداد : دراسة تحليلة == The Use of Geographic Information Systems To Evaluate The Distribution of The Baghdad City Schools : An Analytical Study

Author name: نور فارس عبود
Supervisor name: محمد جاسم محمد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الخدمات التعليمية من الخدمات الاساسية التي تقع على عاتق الحكومة، والتي يجب ان تقدمها للموطن بافضل ما يمكن، ومن اجل التخطيط الامثل لهذه الخدمة لابد من استعمال الوسائل الحديثة في التخطيط، لذلك تهتم هذه الدراسة في تحليل واقع الخدمات التعليمية في المدارس | The educational services of basic services is the responsibility of the government, and that must be provided to the home of the best they could, and for optimal planning for this service has to be the use of modern means in the planning, so this study is

دراسة تطبيقية لتقدير انموذج الانحدار اللوجستي على استمرار الحياة الزوجية في مدينة الكوت

Author name: احمد عبد الرضا كاظم السراي
Supervisor name: قاسم محمد علي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الدالة اللوجستية اكثر الدوال ملاءمة لوصف البيانات التي تكون الاستجابة فيها ثنائية ويكون فيها المتغير التوضيحي ذا مستويات متعددة الا ان تقدير المربعات الصغرى والامكان الاعظم لمعلمات هذه الدالة يصطدم بعقبتين رئيسيتين هما : لا خطية العلاقة بين (x ,y) وعد | Logistic function is considered as the most appropriate function to describe the data in which the binary response and variable illustration have multiple levels , but the estimate of (little squares) and (the maximum likelihood parameters)of this functio
1 ... 3 4 5 6 7