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تاثير جودة الابلاغ المالي في سياسات توزيع الارباح وانعكاسه على القيمة السوقية للشركات المدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية Effect of Financial Reporting Quality In The Dividend Policies And Its Reflection On The Market Value of Companies Listed On The Iraq Stock Exchange

المستخلص: تعد جودة الابلاغ المالي من المواضيع التي مزاالت قيد التطور في مفهومها وطريقة قياسها، وينعكس تاثيرها في قرارات المستفيدين من المعلومات المحاسبية، فضلا عن تاثيرها في متغيرات مهمة مثل توزيعات الارباح والقيمة السوقية، لذا تنشا الحاجة الى الخوض في غمارها من ا | Financial Reporting Quality (FRQ) as a topic of the present dissertation is considered as one of the most important topics in the contemporary financial accounting discipline, that the concept and the method of measurement is still under development, this dissertation has also covered the FRQ effect on the decisions of the beneficiaries of the accounting information. Furthermore, it shows the FRQ effect on important variables e.g. dividends and the market value. Therefore, the need to study this topic is important to clarify the ambiguity of its implications. This dissertation aims to provide a diameter of the FRQ level of the companies listed on the Iraqi Stock Exchange. Moreover to show the FRQ effects on the dividend policy and it is reflection on the market value. Finally, this study proposes a model in order to measure the FRQ. Many conclusions have been driven by the researcher, the most important of them are shown hereunder : 1. The proposed model is the best among all the models because, of its explanatory power which is the highest compared with other models. However the explanatory power of all the models was found to be low, the reason behind that is because of combining both the cash and stock dividends together that may be result because of the less cash dividends during the research period.2. The company’s market value has increased in the Iraqi Stock Exchange due to the effect of FRQ on the Dividends. The total effect on the market value confirms this point through combining both the direct and the indirect effect. Based on the conclusions of present dissertation the researcher has recommended many of points, the most important of them are shown below :
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: المحاسبة
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: عباس حميد يحيى التميمي
اسم المؤلف: سطم صالح حسين

تحليل مؤثرات الشراء الصناعي : دراسة حالة في مصنع الكونكريت الخفيف The Influences Analysis of Industrial Buying - Case Study In A Factory of The Light Concrete

المستخلص: اصبحت منظمات الاعمال الحاضرة تؤكد على مشترياتها من المواد والخدمات التي تحتاجها لانجاز عملياتها التشغيلية، وان ذلك التاكيد يتطلب منها ان تهتم بوظيفة الشراء التي تزايدت اهميتها بسبب نشاطاتها التي لها تاثيرات واضحة ومباشرة في ربحية المنظمة، وهكذا فان بامك | The business today has to focus on her competitive superior by her purchases from materials and services, which are operational processes needs to it. The purchasing function is of a great importance because its actions will impact directly on the organization’s profitability, so as organizations can be save money by its effective purchasing processes. This search tries to analysis environmental, organizational and individual influences in an industrial buying that have to facilitate achievement of organization’s objectives. Industrial buying is a process carried out by individuals, in interaction with other people, in the context of a formal organization. The organization, in turn, is influenced by a variety of forces in the environment. By using a methodology of case study at the Factory of Light Concrete in Iraq, this search concludes a great importance of organizational influences in industrial buying. And it refers to that organizations have to develop a purchasing department with permanent employees, and it have to establish for them a clear tasks to manage the efforts of industrial buying effectively.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
السنة: 2005
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ثامر ياسر البكري
اسم المؤلف: سرمد حمزة جاسم الشمري

بعض المقدرات الحصينة لقدرة الطيف وفق الانموذج المختلط ARMA مع تطبيق عملي Some Robust Estimators For Power Spectrum According To The Arma Models With Application

المستخلص: تهدف الاطروحة ايجاد افضل مقدر(التقدير الامثل) لدرجة ارتداد الانموذج المختلط ARMA ذي الدرجات المتدنية لقدرة الطيف Power Spectrum والحصول على امثلية التنبؤ، اذ ان مشكلة الاطروحة تكمن في خطا اعتماد اساليب تقدير درجة الارتداد قبل اطفاء اثر الشواذ التجميعية ( | The Aim of The thesis is finding the best estimator (optimal estimate) the degree of rebound mixed model ARMA with low scores to Power Spectrum and get optimizing forecasting, As the problem of the thesis lies the mistake of adopting methods of estimating rebound degree before extinguishing (AO) Outliers (additives Values) in an estimate operation based on data series without getting rid of the effect of the presence of Outliers. According to This thesis addressing the Existence of the Outliers, in particular, (AO) Outliers after addressing the existence of Outliers, then starting estimate the optimization for a rebound.When interest in Robust estimates we must identify the time series contaminated Outliers with a certain probability models is defined due to lack of stability in addition to the difficulty of knowing specimen probabilistic it appears at first paragraph leap suddenly are called stereotypes Bahawaz Innovation Outlier, late to be the behavior of independent gay behavior values the other called Bahawaz aggregate Additive Outliers.When interest in estimates fortified must identify the time series contaminated Outliers with a certain probability models Unlimited Parameters is defined due to lack of Stationarity in addition to the difficulty of knowing probabilistic model ,it appears at first paragraph sudden leap are called Innovation Outlier, or be an independent behavior of other values called Additive Outliers.Shows the experimental side of the Thiess through a standard MSE, MAPE preference of Robust method on the Unrobes for all sample sizes and for all primary parameters assumed values, as well as for all default frequencies values (Wi), have an adverse impact in terms of efficiency when models ARMA (0,1), ARMA ( 0.2), and very slight variation when the model ARMA (1,1) the impact of outliers and the supposed frequencies (w) = [1/4, 1 / 3.3, 1 / 2.5, ½] small.The nature of the electrical signal surveyed of heart (ECG - Electrocardiogram) a vital signal , unstable and the form of Signal spectrum reflects the Performance of the human heart muscle and its health.is random changes sharp and irregular in time series represents the work of the heart of a natural person (without straining) include what is known Outliers caused by its actual nature not the result of errors in the measurement or the register, which makes them do not follow a particular distribution, led to the difficulty of conducting Assessments for Power spectrum according to the traditional methods of estimation that assumes distributed statistically,In addition to that the data generation processes require the availability of basic assumptions is inconsistent with the nature of the Heart signal ECG, and to minimize or reduce these assumptions adopted by the simulation approach often leads to unrealistic and far from the real system results and establishes a breakthrough for good properties of these estimates that we have made it necessary to adopt the idea of Robust estimates (M - estimate) in accordance with the Robust functions (Huber, Hample, Tukey, Andrew) in addition to the method of maximum likelihood Mle according to restricted simulations in the practical side, which serves as a purification process or soften the Estimators resulting from follow of statistical estimation methods on real data to determine the best estimators of Power spectrum and the search for the best Model and section distribution , and then apply the result of a trade - offs in according to indicator the indirect transition of the speed of the signal (?/S2) between the Estimation functions and Distributions on eight of combinations of Mixed model ARMA (p, q) and estimating MSE, RMSE and selecting the optimum combination which is ARMA (2,2) with Extreem value distribution and with Hampel function at section 200, which amounted to (MSE = 0.000109).
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: عبد المجيد حمزة الناصر
اسم المؤلف: سحر طارق محمود الرحيم

مقارنة بعض الطرائق المعلمية واللامعلمية لبعض تصاميم القياسات المكررة A Comparisoin of Some Parametric And Nonparametric Methods For Some Repeated Measures Designs

المستخلص: في الكثيرمن الدراسات الطبية والتربوية والسيكولوجية (علم النفس)وعلم الاجتماع نشاهد بان المفردات (subjects) تتكرر تحت مختلف الشروط التجريبية((conditions والتي تسمى بالمعالجات (treatments) وان البيانات المتجمعة من مختلف الوحدات التجريبية تفترض لان تكون مستقل | In many medical , educational , psychology and sociology studies we find that the same subjects repeated under different experimental conditions which called treatments. The collected data from different experimental units suppose to be independent while the observation for the same experimental units will be dependent. The term repeated measures designs is called for this type of data in which the response for every experimental units or subjects is tested or measured under a number of different experimental conditions. Our attention will be on the case of a univariate response variable. There are many procedures for testing the null hypothesis that there is no treatments effects, depends on the number of treatments. either the same subjects are tested under two treatments or tested under three treatments or more. The aim of this study is comparing the tests for nonparametric and parametric methods of repeated measures designs for two treatments through applying the tests on true experiments data. and comparing the tests for nonparametric and parametric methods for three treatments or more, which included two designs which are the complete randomize block design when the ANOVA conditions are satisfied. And the One - way generalized repeated measures model when does not assume specified form of the variance - covariance matrix.Simulation procedures are used in order to compare probability of type one error and power of the test for all methods. In addition , the researcher presented the suggested methods and analyzing the results by comparing them with the other methods for the mentioned designs.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2005
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ظافر حسين رشيد النجار
اسم المؤلف: سجى محمد حسين علي الهاشمي

طرائـــق بيــز فــي تحليــل نمــوذج القياس الاقتصادي المكاني مع تطبيق عملي Bayes Methods In Analyzing Spatial Econometrics Model With Practical Application

المستخلص: ان الخاصية الاساسية لتمييز البيانات المكانية عن بيانات السلاسل الزمنية هي الترتيب المكاني للمشاهدات , وعينات البيانات المكانية تمثل مشاهدات ترتبط بنقاط او مواقع وتتميز هذه البيانات بان ارتباطها يضعف كلما بعدت المسافة وكذلك تتميز بتدرج المكان (( المناطقية | The main property to differentiate the spatial data from time series data is the spatial arrangement of observations and the samples of spatial data represent observations related to points or locations these data are distinguished with the weakness of their connection each time the distance getting far away and the place graduation (location)on the spatial relations of observations are represented in matrix named spatial weights matrix. The spatial econometrics is used in following up the spatial effects like the spatial dependence of observations in different points of place, and spatial heterogeneity arising from relations or parameters model that change with sample data in each time we move within the place , those two points have been neglected in traditional econometrics because of their sinconsistency of statistical assumptions and when taking those spatial effects into consideration ,the statistical influence will be of high efficiency. On the contrary, ignoring these effects will lead to loss the information and will not be as efficient as the dependant sample.Because of the difficulty of deriving the posterior function (on which the Bayesian inference depends) up on applying the Bayesian methods especially in cases that the number of probable models is very large as computing the posterior functions for all these samples requires integration for large dimensions functions which is very difficult Mathematically or inapplicable that requires proper methods can deal with such cases like Gibbs and Metropolis - Hastings sampling by analyzing the posterior distribution to number of conditional distributions for each parameter in the model and then the simplicity of inference for each parameter in the model.The matrix of spatial weights is built by registering the contiguity relations for each location with others in a matrix row (w?) and given (1) if there is a relation between two locations (wij=1) and zero, if it doesn’t (wij=0)as i and j refer to the rows and columns in sequence. For making the summation of each row in the matrix w? equal to 1 , the elements of matrix will be calculated according to the proportion : wij/ ?wij and i=1,2…,n j=1 Consequently, we will get the adjusted matrix W.The practical side was focused on the counting of spatial autoregressive model parameters, and these parameters is the vector ? and it is an ordinary regression parameters vector, and error variance parameter (?2) , and the most important of them is a countig of the parameter (?) which is represent spatial dependance parameter.In order to show the role of the spatial, the practical side included taking the real population for childrens between(1 - 19) year, that had iron deficiency anemia (due to from iron deficiency) that admitted to children’s hospitals in Kurkh district of Baghdad (which had been divided into five geographic regions) for 2010. We have suggested that computing the elements in the adjusted matrix to be on basis of the actual length proportion of the joint borders among different locations that lead to get the accurate estimated value of spatial dependence parameter، where value result of spatial dependence parameter (?) was (0.43) when use Metropolis - Hastings sampling method while value of this parameter when use spatial outoregressive function and by using the adjusted matrix was( 0.57) and value of this parameter when use the same regression function but by using the suggested matrix was (0.85).
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2011
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: خالد ضاري عباس الطائي
اسم المؤلف: سامي غني خضير عطره

مقدرات بيز لدالة المعولية الضبابية للتوزيع الاسي باستخدام المحاكاة مع تطبيقها على الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية The Fuzzy Reliability Function Bayes Estimators For Exponential Distribution Using The Simulation With It Is Application On The State Company For Elictrical Industeries

المستخلص: يدرس البحث الضبابية والتي مفهومها ان كل قيمة تقع ضمن فترة معينة،ونعتمد في تحديد حدود هذه الفترة على الخبرات السابقة حول موضوع الظاهرة المدروسة.وفي بعض الاحيان يصعب تحديد هذه الفترة ونتعامل مع القيمة الضبابية وما حولها من القيم القريبة دون الاعتماد على ا | This paper concerned with studying the fuzzy which means that each value is within specific period and to determinate the limits of this period depends on previous expertises about the studies phenomena subject.Some times it is difficult to determine this stage or period ,in this case we deal with the fuzzy values and other proximate ones without depending on previous expertises ,because they are not available or because of te differences in points of researches,view about the determination of minimum and maxmum restriction for there values.Through this research we will treat fuzzy lifetime data that each value does not have minimum and maximum limitation which enable us to appoint the sutable belonging degrees but all lifetime data have minimum restriction which represent the begininning life time , and maximum one that represents the end of lifetime And by using membership function of Ching to determing a membership function for those data , This paper discussed two procedures to estimate the fuzzy reliability ,Bayes procedure that includes the following : 1 - Sample data are fuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes an unfuzzy parameter.2 - Sample data are unfuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes an unfuzzy parameter. 3 - Sample data are fuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes a fuzzy parameter. 4 - Sample data are unfuzzy and the prior distribution for parameter includes an unfuzzy parameter And FRDP (Fuzzy Reliability Definition Procedure) that uses component trapezium method,to find numerical integration ,by using the Exponential distribution form for sample data,and Gama distribution for the prier distribution for the parameter of Exponential distribution ,and four value for sample size.And depending on the results that have been conducted in the experimental side ,it is shown that bayes is the best in estimating the fuzzy reliability when the fuzzy sample data have membership degree equal to 0.1for samples of small sizes. When the failure times average value is bigger than one ,so Bayes is the best in estimating the fuzzy reliability for small samples sizes,and FRDP is the best in estimating the fuzzy reliability for sizes of big samples The data which have been taken from the state company for electrical industries of foundation machine Toshiba are used as well after bayes method and FRDP method are applied to estimate the fuzzy reliability,it is noticed that results of both the applied and experimental side are th
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2009
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: عماد حازم عبودي
اسم المؤلف: زينة ياوز عبد القادر اوجي

تحليل مقومات ادارة المعرفة علاقتها بالابداع : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء عينة من منتسبي الشركتين العامة للصناعات البتروكيمياوية وصناعة الاسمدة

المستخلص: Knowledge management is a new organization concept, which recently has been commonly used ,and which is concerned with organizing and providing intellectual resources for a modern organizati0n through the adoption of management for applications andmechanisms that in courage innovation and , preference of competitive advantage , cost reduction , and quality improvement for the purpose of increasing the ability of organization to survive and grow in to days world.The study aims analyzing knowledge management , exploring its basic components & the relations among them , and reflection of this on the level innovation in the two sample companies.The study was conducted at tow companies : state companies for Petrochemical Industry , and Fertilizers Industry. A sample of ( 40 ) persons in each company were selected for the study purpose ,including ( top management , departments of R& D and trainingdepartments , in addition to distinct persons ( technicians and administrative personal ).For the purpose of data collection , a questionnaire of ( 12 ) ma in and minor variables was developed. The study was based on tow main hypotheses relating to correlation coefficient and variance.The study has arrived at a set of conclusions , the most important of which is the high interest and benefit by the subjects of study in knowledge management requisites , especially knowledge product , organizational culture leadership, human resources evelopment in enhancing innovation
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
السنة: 2005
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: مسلم علاوي شبلي السعد
اسم المؤلف: زين العابدين جاسم محمد السالم

اهمية ومتطلبات الاصلاح المصرفي في التنمية مع اشارة خاصة للعراق The Importance of Requirements of Banking Reform In Development With Special Indication To Iraq

المستخلص: This study shed a light on the relationship between reformation process and economic development and the consequences that affects the potential affects on economical development process through the main role of banking sector in providing the necessaryfinancial finance for investment operations in its different types whether production or service with special consideration to Iraq where this research titled (The importance of Requirements of Banking Reform in Development with special indication to Iraq)has emerged, so, the research deals with the study of the relationship of banking reforms and its potential affects on the development thorough the factor of Banking finance.The problem of the research represented by the fact that many countries including Iraq did not reach to the stability even to the organizational and framework levels in spite the fact that most of developing countries have early start of banking activitiesparticularly Iraq. The nature of Iraqi economy makes the banking activities can not keep up with the development of political and economical events and unable to meet the needs of economical development that we seek.The hypothesis of the research includes the activation of the role of banking system which depends on banking reforms which should overcome the forms and instruments of conventional works followed by Iraqi banking system, the we can reach the possibilityof promote the banking reality which can serve the economical development in this country in very best way.As for the methodology of the research, the research divided into three chapters, the first one deals with some economical relationships and concepts related to banking reform, and the second chapter deals with the role of some International economical andfinancial institutions in economical and banking reforms, and the third chapter dealt with Iraqi matter as for the economical and banking reforms and their role in transforming the economical developments.The result of the research comp up with the fact that the hypothesis of the research could not be achieved because the all banking reforms did not come up with positive results which can greatly affect the funding transformation and on the country accordingly.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2009
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: جليل شيعان ضمد البيضاني
اسم المؤلف: زياد جواد لفتة الفيصل

نموذج نضج ادارة المشروع : تصميم وحوسبة وتطبيق : دراسة حالة في عينة من شركات وزارة الاعمار والاسكان في العراق Project Management Maturity Model : Designing , Computerizing And Application Case Study On A Sample of The Ministry of Construction And Housing Companies In Iraq

المستخلص: ان ادارة المشروع الناجحة هي ميزة متواصلة في الصيغة الديناميكية لمنظمات اليوم في مختلف المجالات، حيث تتحول المنظمات والشركات الهادفة وغير الهادفة للربح الى ادارة المشروع لتحقيق الاهداف الاستراتيجية للمنظمة او الشركة. اذ تمثل ادارة المشروع الكفاءة التنظيمي | A successful project management is a constant distinctive mark in the dynamic formula of today’s organizations in different fields wherein objective and nonobjective organizations and companies from diverted profit to project management to achieve strategic goals for the organization or for the company. Project management represents a unique systematic proficiency which runs the changes and pushes the organizations and companies to a remarkable competition and consequently achieves results according to the company’s strategy. Because of the importance of the project management, several institutes and specialized entities in project management submitted number of project management maturity models which aim to determine the level of the project management maturity in organizations and companies. However, there is still a need to submit a perfect maturity model containing the characteristics which the other international models have; besides the characteristics the models have ignored in addition to some characteristics submitted by writers and researchers to be a guide that helps organizations and companies to assessment the level of the project management maturity and to continue improving it. The study aims at designing a project management maturity model and then to apply it to a sample company of the Ministry of Construction and Housing. The study also aims at designing a system for evaluating assessment the level of the project management maturity by using programming languages (Microsoft Visual Basic 6.0) and Data Base (Microsoft Access) to construct the data base system. in order to calculate the average level of the project management maturity and to count the two indicators of cost and scheduling performances, and in the light of them particular basics will be deterring the projects are classified according to excellent , success and challenge. as well as detraining the failing projects in some of the excellent , successful and challenged by the management of the project and high administration The system has been designed in a general form and it is not confined to handling the case related to the sample study.An example case is taken from the Ministry of Construction and Housing to fulfill the aims of the study, the method of studying was taken into account so as to obtain all the required data and information to apply a sample project management maturity in it.The researcher, together with teams of evaluation in the companies dealt with, performed the evaluation of the level of the project management maturity and using the project maturity level evaluation system afterwards to determine the level of project management maturity and to determine the indicators of cost performance and scheduling performance and classifying companies’ projects to several categories as well putting a plan to improve the level of the project management maturity in the companies dealt with.The study has reached several conclusions such as : The results of the study showed that the studied companies have achieved the level of project management maturity distributed between the two levels (1) and (2) of maturity which pointed out that the contracting companies in the Ministry of Construction and Housing are still in the beginning of maturity because they did not apply the concepts and philosophies related to the project management maturity and The results of the circumstances the constructional industry sector went through. The study recommends adopting the application of the Project Management Maturity Model (PM3) in the companies studied to see the truth of the project management maturity in them to be the starting point to improve the project management maturity which calls to adopt the guide of the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK) to realize activities which include plans, procedures, jobs, activities, rules and methods and ways related to each operation of the project management operations
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
السنة: 2007
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار
اسم المؤلف: زهرة عبد محمد الشمري

استعمال اسلوب بيز لتقدير منظومة المعادلات الانية في حالة المتغير الداخلي مصنف ثنائيا مع تطبيق عملي Using Bayesian Approach To Estimate The Simultaneous Equations System In Case The Endogenous Variable Is Classified Binary With Application

المستخلص: ان عملية التقدير لمعلمات انموذج المعادلات الانية بالطريقة التقليدية من المواضيع المهمة والتي كتب عنها الكثير من البحوث والدراسات وهذه البحوث تختلف باختلاف الاساليب المتبعة في عملية التقدير الا ان التقدير بالطرق البيزية لهذه المعادلات وخصوصا عندما يكون ال | The process of estimation of parameters of the following equations has been done by the traditional method and being considered as an important subject. Many researches and books have been written about the subject and these researchers are different from one to another depended on the methods followed up. But the estimation with Bayesian methods for these equations , especially when the internal variables (classified binary ) being considered one of the subjects that have not been researched greatly. Thus , the researcher has tried to shed light on some methods of Simultaneous equations in case of binary variable by using the classic method and Bayesian method , along with a suggested way that being applied on the samples of the relationship between blood pressure and psychological pressure. The researcher has used the classic method and considered it as raw information for using the method of Bayesian in estimating the Simultaneous equations system. It has been compared between the classic method and Bayesian method and also methods of Bayesian with the suggested method according to the measurement of ( Mse) for specifying the better method for estimation. Problems have been specified lying in non - functionalizing the former information about the parameters in the process of estimation by using the known traditional methods and that lead to the less efficiency if not using it. Thus , it should resort to other methods as method of tradition , The goal of the study is to know the mutual interaction between the blood pressure and psychological pressure and comparing the traditional and Bayesian method in the estimation of Simultaneous equations of internal variable , classified binary by using many methods for Bayesian estimation with the suggested method for getting to estimations that are more close to values of the real parameters. it has been reached to many results ,most of which is the Bayesian method and suggested method that have been better in estimation than the classic method, besides there are mutual effects between blood pressure and psychological pressure and the most losing functions in estimation which is the " Q losing function"
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: محمد صادق عبد الرزاق الدوري
اسم المؤلف: ريسان عبد الامام زعلان

دور السياسة النقدية في جذب الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر لدول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى اقليم كوردستان العراق

المستخلص: حاولت الدراسة قياس وتحليل اثر مؤشرات السياسة النقدية على الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر لدول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى اقليم كوردستان العراق وقد استخدمت الدراسة اساليب التحليل الوصفي والكمي في البحث لاجل تحديد مدى اثر السياسة النقدية على الاستثمار الاجنبي المبا | AbstractWitness the current international environment major shifts and unprecedented, which is the result of the phenomena of globalization and economic reform as well as the information and communications revolution that has made the world a small village where all barriers have been removed in front the transfer of money, labor, goods and services, capital, and in this framework intensified international competition to attract foreign funds and companies' capital Multinational through the removal of barriers and obstacles that hinder their way and give them incentives and guarantees that facilitate the arrival and entry to the local market in view of the role played by foreign direct investment in the provision of savings (funding) needed to establish productive projects and the transfer of technology and contribute to the improvement of skills, experience and drive economic growth.From here come the great importance of foreign investment in the economy of any state and is seen as a form Lease alternative to the indebtedness of foreign loans and is seeking states promoted and stimulated a climate conducive to creating his all its components, and if the foreign investment flows is endemic by 70% in the major industrialized countries, that what with its attractive in all aspects of the investment climate, and this was the duty of all especially the developing countries than you want to catch up with the evolution and development that is working hard to bring this type of investment to the best of effort and means, to the important role of foreign investments in development projects Economic host countries if these countries are well done and the choice of projects to choose its foreign partners.Monetary policy is one of the investment climate and one of the most important determinants of FDI aspects and is done through indicators included exchange rates, interest rates, inflation, and the question that arises here is what is the way to make monetary policy tools as a catalyst to attract foreign direct investment and this is what we will try to answer it In this study.It is the exchange rate one of the key policy variables in the economic openness while affect macroeconomic variables such as trade, capital flows, foreign direct investment, inflation, global reserves, and GDP as well as financial transfers, while the longer inflation indicator of the stability of the domestic economy in the host countries, Changes in rates of inflation in the domestic or foreign countries expect a change in net returns as well as investment decisions idealism and then is expected to have a negative impact on foreign direct investment, and the interest rate, the rise in the mother country would make it attractive to foreign capital and will cause the rate of the exchange rate rise and this will lead to increasing the supply of foreign currency, on the other hand, if interest rates were high in other countries, investments will leave and it produces diminishing supply of foreign currency rates, which is heading the exchange rate to decline.China, Egypt, was one of the most important countries that have worked to restore economic structure and enact legislation giving attractive incentives to the flow of foreign investments as well as monetary and fiscal economic policies that contribute to achieving this purpose, taking into account the difference between the above - mentioned two countries in terms of the degree of advancement and development and economic growth.With regard to Iraq, and because of the important role of expected foreign direct investment in Iraq, part of this study care diagnosis climate Iraqi investment environment and reality and identify obstacles to actively carry out an investment actor in the Iraqi economy and work hard to create an environment and conditions appropriate Iraqi investment environment that can help to motivate and attract domestic savings or foreign investment through various mechanisms, including monetary policy in Iraq and Kurdistan Iraq Study experience an attractive environment for investment to some extent for foreign direct investment.The study concluded that both exchange rate and inflation play significant, positive and negative role on consecutive in attract foreign capital flows, but the interest rate was non - significant perhaps this is due to the institutions finances and Banking in Iraq generally undeveloped.Also, this study prove that are multifactor (Security, Economy, Political, Managemental and Society) negatively effect on the investment environment in Iraq making it a rejecter environment.Also, the study found that the amount of foreign direct investment is small which is only about, (5.7) billion dollars from (2006 till 2014), as well as, the distribution of investments varied amongst the various sectors or on the levels of the three governorates in Kurdistan province.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ثريا عبد الرحيم علي الخزرجي
اسم المؤلف: ريسان حاتم كاطع العفلوكي

متطلبات النهوض بالصناعة التحويلية في ظل التحولات الاقتصادية تجارب دول مع اشارة خاصة للعراق Advancement Requirements of The Manufacture Industry Under Ecomenical Transitions : Iraq Is A Case Study

المستخلص: The conversional industry is the main driven engine for the large number of the developing countries it is the more effective tool for converting economy from low value activities to values generate fast development rate have the ability to provide more prospects for sustainable development, so that the support of the conversional industry sector be the main target for any Comprehensive developmental policy. The most important targets of our study are discovering the deviations imbalances may take place in Iraqi industry sector particularly the public industry sector searching for the level of the industry sector performance figure out the causes of the failures analyzing the future of the conversional industry under the economic transitions and the changes challenges which the surrounding conditions will excrete on it. This study aims to determine the effects economical and social expenses which are caused by the new economic trends which are represented by activating the free market mechanisms on the conversional industry sector as well as determining the general industries features which are best adapted to the economical transitions which are supposed to mitigate the pressure of the free market. Many international local conditions imposed core reforms on the conversional industries to be changed gradually from a economy driven by governmental decisions like governmental manufacturing to economy driven by market mechanism, so that this study tries to highlight the new international and local conditions are forced the economy to be market economy. Our example is the failure of the governmental manufacturing to achieve the economical objective is the sustainable growth.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2015
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: يحيى غني جاسم النجار
اسم المؤلف: رياض جواد كاظم حمد المعموري

اثر احلال النقد الاجنبي في فاعلية السياسة النقدية : دراسة لتجارب بلدان نامية مختارة للمدة (1991 - 2006) مصر، العراق Affect of Foreign Money - Substitution In Effectiveness of The Monetary Policy , Study of Selected Developing Countries For (1991 - 2006) Egypt And Iraq

المستخلص: تبنت عدد من البلدان الناميه والاقتصادات الانتقاليه في السنوات الاخيرة العمله الاجنبيه ( مثل الدولار الامريكي او غيره من العملات الاحتياطيه )، واصبحت تلك العملات في بلدان اخرى شبه رسميه او يسمح للعملات الاجنبيه بالتداول جنبا الى جنب العمله المحليه اي الا | Number of the developing and transitional countries have been adopted , in the recent years , the foreign currency to do the function of money in the domistic economy ( such as , us Dollar or other reserve currencies ).These currencies became semi - official unit of exchange in other countries , or it was allowed to such foreign currencies to circulate , side by side , with the local currency , i.e. ,to allowed the local use of foreign currency to make the transactions ( currency substitution).This phenomenon appeared due to unstable economic conditions , including these accompanied with hyper inflation.In the wake of financial liberalization , these economies have opened their financial markets to gain an enormous inflow of foreign capital giving the residents the opportunity to get the foreign assets instead of the local assets for the purpose of risk diversification or what is called ( assets substitution ) for wealth keeping.This phenomenon has posed some challenges against the economic polices , including monetary policy for it bargins on monetary independence.The main objectives of the study are to interpret why some economies use the foreign currency instead of the local currency to make transactions or to store values in the national economy , as well as analysize the full dollarization or part dollarization effect as a monetary system , in which US dollar or any foreign currency replaces the local currency to achieve the monetary policy effectiveness.The hypothesis of our study can be summarized as follows : 1. Dollarization is a result of the financial liberalization , it is a situation of deviation in the monetary equilibrium of macroeconomics , leading to the correlation financial liberalization and the recent trends of monetary policy based on the indirect means.2. Dollarization ,as a feature of the financial liberalization , poses challenges against monetary policy , which exposes it to currency crisis in countries suffering insufficient financial markets and weak local currency.To test this hypothesis and achieve the study's objectives , this study divided into four chapters.Chapter One deals with Dollarlization : The historical and theoretical roots.Chapter Two explains monetary policy effectiveness , and Factors influencing it under the financial liberalization.Chapter Three offers reflections of Dollarlization in monetary policy efficiency. While Chapter Four specialized with analysis and measurement the causal relation between the economic disequilibrium ( imbalance ) indicators and Dollarlization measurement indicator for both Egyptian and Iraqi economy for (1991 - 2006 ).The study ends with some conclusions and recommendations. The most important of conclusions are : 1. The causal relation trend from the economic imbalance indicators to Dollarlization measurement indicator for Egyptian economy , as well as the economic imbalance indicator for Iraqi economy.2. Under an environment of currency subistitution , the policy of making the exchange rate as a tool to fix the inflationary expectations , is efficient in De - Dollarlization , in spite of the cost of this policy in the field of lower Central Bank reserves and / or extra burden on public expenditures.While the most important recommendations are : 1. To reduce Dollarlization and its risks , it is necessary to have dual approach , i.e. , it discourages the use of foreign currency and promotes the attractiveness of local currency as a mean of intermediation.2. Economic stability is an important aim to remove Dollarlization , but it might not be enough to reverse it (De - Dollarlization ). So , it requires other procedures , such as liberalization of local interest rate , establishment of a competitive payments system using local currency , and development of local Financial tools , those are also steps that can help the De - Dollarlization phenomena
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2009
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ابراهيم موسى الورد مظهر محمد صالح
اسم المؤلف: رجاء عزيز بندر العقيدي

الازمة المالية العالمية 2008 وانعكاساتها عالميا وعربيا The Global Financial Crisis 2008 And Its Reflaxs On Selected Arab Countries (United Arab Emirates - Egypt - Iraq)

المستخلص: The study subject one of the most important economic issues, Is the global financial crisis 2008, the crisis marked by all the crises that preceded the crisis was the most influential on the global economy and worked to change the economic thought in most parts of the world.Crisis has hit the mortgage market in the United States of America and spread to the capital markets and has swept the financial sector both inside and outside the United States to the growing economic interdependence due to globalization and moved the crisis to the real sector of the prevailing state of economic recession all over the world and influenced many of the economic variables by the crisis. The study aimed to identify economic and financial aspects that have been affected by the Arab countries according to the correlation of Arab country to the outside world and the nature of the economy of Arab country was the choice of three models of the Arab countries have been selected UAE as a modelfor countries of Persian Gulf that have been affected in the financial aspect largely to its association abroad, was selected Egypt as a model for a country with open economy average The study of the impact on financial and economic sectors in Egypt by the crisis and the third model represents Iraq as a country with the openness of financial non - existent on the outside and the economy unilateral depends on the oil in a large study found not affected by the financial sector in Iraq and are influenced by aspects associated with the oil at the end of the study was designed Arab strategy to avoid crises
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2012
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: اسعد جواد كاظم الانصاري
اسم المؤلف: راضي عبيد نغيمش الشمري

المحاسبة عن التحوط في المشاريع الاستثمارية المشتركة بالتطبيق على عينة من المصارف السعودية Accounting of Hedge In Joint Investment Ventures Applied On A Sample of The Saudi Banks)

المستخلص: هدف البحث الى اجراء تحليل مقارن للقوائم المالية لغرض تسليط الضوء على محاسبة التحوط عن المخاطر التي تتعرض لها المشاريع الاستثمارية المشتركة على وفق الستراتيجيات والسياسات الصحيحة وعلى وفق المعايير الدولية التي قد تتعرض لها في السوق التي تعمل فيها مثل تلك ا | The goal of research is to conduct a comparative analysis of the financial statements for the purpose of shedding light on the hedge accounting for the risks to the investment ventures of common according to strategies and the right policies and according to international standards that may be exposed to the market in which they operate such ventures, to be useful for all financial institutions, was important to discuss the issue of accounting for hedging in the joint investment ventures the future in Iraq, particularly that of our dear country is witnessing the opening economically and major investment which requires willing the Iraqi market to receive the corporate and investment ventures, whether individually or jointly, and to the joint venture operations impact and influenced by reciprocal between the environment market and the Iraqi society and between those ventures and objectives and to be derived from implementing such a project for the future and result check on the existence of accounting environment Iraqi equipped to address those risks in the joint investment ventures that may reduce and limit the risks that may be exposed to such ventures in the Iraqi environment.To accomplish research has been to use the following hypothesis : that there is a relationship between the hedging instrument and risks of investments in joint ventures, and so by measuring the impact of the choice of hedging instrument for the type of risk as variables on the hedged item in a variable.To achieve the objective thesis research has been selected sample presentation and analysis of the risks faced by joint investment ventures and derivative financial instruments that are used to reduce these risks and are joint ventures the three Saudi Arabian banker - SABB Bank, Saudi Arabia - French Bank, Saudi Arabia - Dutch.The research has come to a set of conclusions including : - 1 - Contributing the joint investment ventures in an active role in the process of integration and the creation of close ties between the economies of the countries. 2 - A joint venture reflects the diversity in the environment and economic productivity in terms of resources, which promote the provision of enabling environment for the growth of such ventures.3 - The importance of joint investment ventures in the social policy by assisting in the development of human resources as well as the exchange of knowledge and new technologies and exchange of different cultures.4 - For hedge accounting is a comprehensive system of information on risks, which would identify the effects of
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: المحاسبة
السنة: 2011
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: عامر محمد سلمان الجنابي
اسم المؤلف: ذكرى جمعة سكر الواسطي

تشخيص وتقدير دالة الانحدار اللامعلمي للبيانات المزدوجة في حالة عدم تحقق بعض فرضياته The Diagnosis And The Estimation of The Nonparametric Regression Function of The Panal Data In Case Some of Its Hypotheses Are Not Verified

المستخلص: اكتسبت نماذج البيانات المزدوجة اهتماما بالغا وخاصة في الدراسات الاقتصادية والطبية والمالية لانها تاخذ في الاعتبار اثر التغير في الزمن وكذلك اثر التغير في المشاهدات المقطعية على حد سواء في بيانات عينة الدراسة، فضلا عن وصف البيانات من خلال تقدير الانموذج ا | Panel data models have gained a great importance especially in economic, medical, epidemic and financial studies. Because these models take into consideration the impact of the change in time, the impact of the change in sectional views alike inherent in data of a study sample, in addition to describing data through Estimation of the appropriate model. In this thesis, we address the use of method of nonparametric regression in diagnosing and Estimation a model of panel data , as there are specific assumptions related to vector of random errors are not verified. This is because we are going to talk about a nonparametric problem and existence of Heteroscedasiticity and Auto correlated errors which make the process of Estimation wrong, or sometimes not possible. A model has been diagnosed through disclosing all of the problem of Heteroscedasiticity through the use of test (1996) (Zheng) and the problem of Auto correlation by suing test (2013) (Su and Lu). It has been indicated through handling a Nonparametric Hausman Test that the final model adequate for research data is Nonparametric Panel Data Model with Random Effects. Thus, finding Nonparametric Estimator has been tackled through dealing with each problem individually alongside with addressing methods of choosing the smoothing Bandwidth of the model of Random Effects. In case of correlated errors for all techniques of Nonparametric Regression, there are methods to deal with this problem, however all of the said depends critically on addressing estimation methods reliant on finding the choice of an optimal smoothing Bandwidth using more accurate standard until the removal of error process to attain an edited smoothing Bandwidth , of any correlation, is achieved. Then, we could Estimation a model by using Estimation methods. In case of Heteroscedastisity, treatment could be achieved through determining weight by Kernel Estimator, then to be used for the exclusion of the effects of Heteroscedasticity in the study variables through using estimation methods and provision of proposals for classic Nonparametric methods. The formulation of simulated experiments of used models and verification of performance of traditional and proposed methods, for all sample sizes and three levels of standard deviation trough the use of (RAMSE) standard, have been carried out in this thesis. One of the most significant objectives of this study is the selection of the best Estimation method produced by simulation through applying it on a group of balanced Panel Data (longitudinal). This could be conducted through carrying out a practical application to state the effect of the role of gross domestic product on fixed market prices measured in a US Dollar (x) in the state budget measured in millions US Dollars (y) for the period (2003 - 2015). This could be approached through depending on genuine data related to general budget for the Arab States measured by millions US Dollars. The gross domestic product has been focused on since it is the most important economic variable that impacts the budget, as an explanatory variable according to the viewpoint of the competent people for the period (2003 - 2015). The main conclusion in the experimental side is a clear preference in absolute terms to the fortified proposal of Least Square Support Vector Machine for Regression by using an (MGCV) standard on other used Estimation methods. This is in case existence of Auto Correlation as well as provision of a verified proposal for Propose (LCNE), relying on a Span, a selection standard, on other used Estimation methods in case existence of Hetroscedasticity, of all sample sizes, all cases and three levels of three standard deviation. As to practical side, an appropriate model has been diagnosed. Also, compatibility of the best method has been proven in the experimental side alongside with practical one, and the most appropriate for a model by using (RAMSE) standard
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ظافر حسين رشيد النجار
اسم المؤلف: دريد حسين بدر

مناخ الاستثمار في العراق للمدة 1997 - 2007 Climate Investment In Iraq For The Period (1997 - 2007)

المستخلص: Iraq economy has experienced asignificant shifts in the second half of the last century, as a result of shifting in political level, which was highlighted by the revolution of July 17 to 30. Resulted in it has establishment of a political system characterized by centralized, which leading to control of the puplic sector for the whole economic activity in the country. Despite the improvement that occurred during the seventies,due to increase oil revenues after the nationalization , the situation has not invested optimally, beside,breakiugant the Iran - Iraq war. The subsequentes economic blockade, the followers of misguided policies and ill - considered, which caused several disruptions contributed, because of the huge change of times for Iraq economy. During the second half of the nineties previous Government tried hard to make some adjustments.It proceeded to establish the Commission on investment, Ministry of Planning, reflecting the trends and new U.S.investment,especially Arab and foreign investments. But these directions and policies have not been stable, because of the conditions that prevailed at that time.After the fall of the former regime in Iraq in 2003 the successive governments adopte new direction aimed to develop the Iraqi economy by stimulating investment, both domestic and foreign investment ,that had been established through the issused Investment code No.(13)for the year 2006.The process of attracting investment is based primarily on the availability of investment climate characterized by political and economic stability and provide the infrastructure as well as the availability of legal stability and other things contained in thenvironment or investment climate.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2010
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي
اسم المؤلف: خولة رشيج حسن

قياس وتحليل دالة الطلب على النقود في العراق في الامد الطويل والقصير في اطار التكامل المشترك Measuring And Analyzing The Demand Function For Money In Iraq For Long - Term And Short - Term Under The Co - Integration Framework

المستخلص: يعد الطلب على النقود احد طرفي التوازن النقدي الذي يشكل عرض النقود طرفه الاخر من المتغيرات النقدية الاساسية التي تم التركيز عليها في النظريات النقدية , وتكتسب دراسة وتحليل دالة الطلب على النقود اهمية خاصة سواء في الاقتصاديات المتقدمة ام النامية, وتساهم هذ | The demand for cash as one of the main variables in the cash theory is one of the two sides of money equilibrium which the supply for cash is the other side. The demand for cash model has special importance in the developed and developing countries equally. This dissertation aims to study and estimating the demand for cash and the effecting factors in Iraq for the period from 1990 - 2014. The cash for demand model was estimated by using (ARDL) and bound test to test the Cointegration and the long - run and short - run between the demand for cash in Iraq as a depended variable which is determined by bunch explanatory variables i.e. Gross Domestic Product in fixed prices(GDP), nominal interest rate, inflation rate and Iraqi Dinar rate of Exchange. The relationship among the variables was examined by Impulse Response Function (IRF) through which the internal variable shock impact will be measured in VAR model on the present and future values. The Johansen test results came out to confirm integrated direction relationship of one of the study variables whether using Trace Test or Maximum Eigenvalue test , as the estimated value was found to be greater than the critical value for both the cases at the significant level (p=0.007) for Trace Test and (p=0.018) for Maximum test, which indicates the long - run equilibrium relationship among the study variables and subsequently indicates integrated direction relationship between the real demand for money as a dependent variable and the other explanatory variables. The study is also confirms a short - run equilibrium among the study variables in direction of long - run equilibrium according to the error rectification model and the short - run relationship under ARDL model. The results of the long - run relationship between of the demand for money and its limitations came out to confirm the short - run relationship, and in other side the estimated value of ARDL test according to (SUSUMSQ) and (CUSUM) as it's within the critical area, therefore, the variables are stable for both the short - run and the long - run.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي
اسم المؤلف: خليل اسماعيل عزيز

مقارنة اساليب بيز مع طرائق اخرى لتقدير منحنى الانحدار اللامعلمي A Comparison of Bayesian Approaches With Other Methods For Estimating Nonparametric Regression Curve

المستخلص: لقد شهدت طرائق الانحدار اللامعلمي اهتماما ملحوظا في السنوات الاخيرة كان السبب في ذلك هو ان التفكير المعلمي الصرف المستخدم في تقدير منحنى الانحدار لا يتوافق مع المرونة في تحليل البيانات.ومع التطور المنجز في اجهزة الحواسيب من الناحية المادية وكذلك انجاز | In recent years, too many considerations have been given for the Nonparametric Regression methods. This is for the reason that the concept of pure parametric; used for the estimation of Regression curve, does not cope well with the flexibility needed for data analysis.With the progress made in computer machines, in terms of economy and running performance, it has become possible to develop many of Nonparametric Regression methods theoretically. Though many of these are still under perfection, and facing a number of problems.Hence we see the importance of focusing on methods related to smoothing of Nonparametric Regression functions. This is for the purpose of producing the best methods convenient for various models. And for the Distribution Random error, in its two cases; Normal and Contaminated. Thus, the most important purpose of the research, is to find what the studies so far, have offered in the field of Nonparametric Regression. Also to find alternative or modified methods; which are reliable for the treatment of conditions of failure regarding the methods in use, as well as to alleviate the complexity of some methods, especially those related to Bayesian procedures.One of the most outstanding aims of the research focuses on the study of Nonparametric Regression using Bayesian variable selection. This suggests a modified technique to be reliable and of less complexity than the original one.Amongst the other research intentions, when data are contaminated with outliers, is to explore the Robust Nonparametric Regression, using Bayesian variable selection method. Also to suggest a modified Bayesian method; resistant to outliers, and of less complexity than before transformation. As well as offering suggested methods for Robust Nonparametric Regression. This is of the feature of having less sensitivity towards outliers and reliable in comparison to very few techniques supplied with robustness, as the Bayesian approach.A simulation model has been performed with different distributions, for the random error and for a number of models.To verify the performance of such methods, many criteria have been carried out.To satisfy the purpose of this research, the study has been divided into five chapters. Chapter I consists of an introduction, the problem under research, its importance and purposes. It also covers a literature survey. Chapter II covers methods for smoothing Nonparametric Regression. While chapter III is devoted for Nonparametric Regression and Robust Nonparametric Regression using Bayesian variable selection method. Also in this chapter are details of the suggested methods. Then chapter IV implements the experimental part of the study. Finally chapter V comprises the conclusions and suggestions that the research has recommended. As well as the future studies, which have been proposed regarding this research.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2004
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ظافر حسين رشيد النجار
اسم المؤلف: خلود يوسف خمو يوسف

اعتماد تقنيات حديثة في نظام ادارة الكلفة لتطوير اعداد الموازنات التشغيلية : دراسة تطبيقية في الشركة العامة للصناعات الصوفية Depending New Technique For Cost Management To Development Preparation of Operating Balances Practical Study In General Company For Wool Industry

المستخلص: Many challenges have been surrounding the modern works environment such as competent characteristic، globalize، continuous improvement، information technology and others, which deserve reaction in order to stay within the competencecircle and achieve decisive success. Therefore we must focus the light on the computer future information in which the administrative computer in genera which save these information.As far as the operating balances as an instrument to observe the future , it should work and harmonize with environment situations changes , especially we are living in the technology revolutionary era.The integration of commercial & financial markets is the main motive which pushed towards open competition , that lead to review the technique of cost administration system.therefore a change is made from traditional costs to aimed at costs.The researcher has focused on some new used technology to prepare the employment balances (Activity Based accounting ‘ continuous improvement، aimed at costs، Kaizen costs، reengineering the operation ) , and how comply with in the IRAQI environment.Some believe that there is the ability to continue making the traditional employment balances, but globization of the environment, and abate the influence of local environment changes on the industry, will force us nowadays more than any other times to proceed forward using modern technique, because our relatively small company works today according to world system.There fore the researcher creates the proposed treatment for how develop the preparation of the employment balances according to the modern technique for costs administration system. In order to achieve this study , we divide it to five chapters to cover both sides , theoretical and practical.Chapter one is specialized for displaying of research program and the previous studies through two researches ; first one is dedicated with methodology of the research and the second is dedicated for previous studies.Chapter two is specialized for studying the system of costs administration and its technique , which is focused in both researches on : first is dedicated to study the system of costs administration ; the second is dedicated to study the technologies of the system of costs administration and its methods for achieving the strategy of economy unity. Chapter three; is dealing with the role of the costs administration system in preparing the employment balances through two researches ; first is dealing with the concept ofemployment balances and how prepare them , the second is dealing with the technique of system of the costs administration to prepare the employment balances.Chapter (four); is dedicated to study the actual performance of the wool industry company through two researches ; first research is dedicated to the presentation of the company and its production operations and organizational structure in general, and mechanical carpet victory particularly ; the second research is dedicated for studying the use of some technique of system of the costs administration to prepare employment balances.Chapter (five); is dedicated to display the conclusions and recommendations which were reached according to the practical and theoretical studies.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: المحاسبة
السنة: 2007
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: نصيف جاسم الجبوري
اسم المؤلف: خلود عاصم وناس

مقارنة طرائق تقدير دالة المعولية للتوزيع الاسي الخليط مع تطبيق عملي Comprastion Between Methots Estimator Reliability Function of Of A Mixture Exponential Distribution With A Practical Application

المستخلص: ان الاهتمام المتزايد في دراسة نماذج الفشل جاء نتيجة للدور الذي تضطلع به نظريه المعوليه ودالة الاخفاق بالتعامل مع الاعمار لدراسة ومعرفه سلوك اوقات الفشل في الزمن اللاحق, وتعتبر المعولية احد المقاييس للتعبيرعن اداء اي مفرد او نظام لفترة قادمة لذلك تعد المعو | Reliability theory and Hazard function have played a great role in the rapid interest in the study of failure models. These theories deal with the study of ages to investigate and study the behavior failure time at posterior time. Reliability theory is one of those standards that show the performances of any unite for an expected period of time. It is also considered an indicator for future planning.Accordingly, reliability theory is adopted to study and analyze behavior of failures and the factors behind such failures. To achieve this, the parameter estimators of failure models, with good prosperities and efficiency, are required to count the reliability estimation. Therefore, it is of keen significance to study the methods and techniques for getting the parameter estimators of failure including the parameter estimations of a mixture failure model. These estimations have a great role in reproducing complex cases of non - homogeneous populations. Like the importance of the normal distribution for biological studies, the exponential model is considered of a great significance for the study of failure models.The study aims to estimate the reliability function by employing various methods to estimate the model parameter exponential mixture. To achieve this objective, this study is divided into four chapters. Chapter I shows the introduction and the literature review. Chapter II defines some key concepts of the topic; it also presents the theoretical framework for the employed methods of estimation for a number of parameter estimator method’s complete sample of a mixture of two exponential distributions with different two parameter and percentage p. them of normal school such as Maximum likelihood method estimator and symbolizes her short (ML) and the method of moments and symbolized short (MO) and the least squares method and symbolizes her short(LS) and the least squares weighted and symbolized short (WL) and propose application Bayesian Method using (Lindley' s approximation) of this mixture distribution as not used in Iraq (by informed researcher) and study the behavior of a function failure rate for this distribution using expression w(t) which is also taught for the first time in Iraq, according to the informed researcher. Chapter III is divided into two sections. The first section includes the application of imitation style for generating data and performing a sample application based on the theoretical background. The second section reports about a field work on one of the public institutions for electrical industry. Chapter IV shows the results and conclusion of this study. It also suggests some recommendations for future research.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2012
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: عبد المجيد حمزة الناصر
اسم المؤلف: خضر نصيف جاسم البياتي

امكانية قيام الوحدة النقدية الخليجية في ضوء تجربة الوحدة النقدية الاوربية

الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2012
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ايمان عبد خضير الغريباوي
اسم المؤلف: خالد عبد الحميد عبد المجيد العبدلي

تقويم النظام المحاسبي الموحد في ضوء نظرية المحاسبة والمعايير المحاسبية العراقية الدولية The Evaluation of Unified Accounting System In The Light of Accounting Theory And International And Iraqi Accounting Standards

المستخلص: The accounting uniformity concept is not coming from nothing, but it emerges due to requirements resulted by certain conditions and justifications associated with human development movement in economical and social environment. In fact, several professionalorganizations, which have the right to develop accounting, have issued obligated accounting standards. Also, the Arab league and Arabic organization for administrative sciences have adopted trends put unified Arabic proofs for accounting administrative andeconomical systems, in addition, the issue of several of unified accounting systems in some of Arabic and foreign countries.Moreover, United Nations adopted schedules and indications of the national accounts for all countries in the world, {recommendationsand integrated patterns}.The accounting system is considered as a copy of accounting integration pictures because it is determining perfectly and typically all aspects of accounting applications, starting from accounts guide and finishing with preparation of final accounts lists.Iraq is considered one of the countries, which is followed the way of central planning of the economy. This is necessitated the adoption of unified accounting system in order to ensure that the economical unites are followed unified bases in methods of treatingthe presentation and classification of accounting data and ))b(( information. So they will provide a wide fundamental of data and information which serve various needs of the economical unites. Also they provide the economical planning establishments according to their need of data and information through joining the accounts of economical unites with national accounts.The international impacts into the accounting are becoming today direct international challenge to the accountants in most countries of the world. Therefore, a set of international accounting researches appeared which aimed to face the internationalenvironmental changes in all aspects. For this reason, the international accounting is found as accounting field that makes comparisons and classifications for the accounting systems and for the applications at international level. It is also issued a set ofresearches, which help to organize and control international businesses, beside its publication to a group of accounting standards which could be applied internationally as an aim to coordinate the accounting and then unified them internationally.The existence of international accounting rules and standards does not also neglect the importance and necessity of finding and doing national accounting standards, because of the accounting environment difference which is a result of differences ofeconomical, social, political and legislative systems in the different countries. The finding and presenting local accounting standards do not mean necessarily the interaction with international and regional accounting standards but the reality insisted to be both accounting ))c(( standards together into entire completed frame. Accordingly, it is essentially to spend more efforts to take the core transactions which are working to narrow the gaps between world’s countries, and to limit the variety and the differences in accounting standards, methods, and applications within those countries. For raising up the real situation of accounting practices have been used in Iraq as one of the developing countries, also at the same time it is aiming to achieve more progress and luxury. Thisstudy is done to make practical and scientific evaluation for the unified accounting system and to show to which extent this system has been participated in performing the needs of various parties utilized from the information. This evaluation will be done in light of accounting frames and international Iraqi accounting. Thus, to achieve this purpose, the study is divided into five chapters. The first one presents the based methodology and previous studies in two researches. The second chapter is the entry to main subject through its presentation of the accounting uniformity.it has three researches too, the first one is about the experiment of the accounting integration at international level. The second research is on the characteristics and principles of unified accounting system. The third one deals with the coordination of international accounting standards at international level.The third chapter is dealing with the study of the adjustment of the unified accounting system with theoretical frame of the accounting and with international and Iraqi accounting standards.This chapter has also three researches. The first one is about the adjustment of unified accounting system with the theoretical frame of the accounting. The second research is on the experiment of Iraq in making the accounting rules and standards and how these are adjusted with international accounting standards. The third research is on the adjustment of unified accounting system with international accounting standards.The fourth chapter discusses the practical side of evaluating the integrated accounting system in light of accounting theory and international and Iraqi accounting standards by practical study to the academic and professional application, and then analyzing theanswers of the questionnaires with output analysis. This chapter has three researches too. The first one is on the evaluation of adjustment of accounting system in light of the accounting theory.The second is dealing with the evaluation of the unified accounting system in light of Iraqi accounting rules and standards. The third research is discussing the adjustment of unified accounting system in light of the international accounting.The study is ended with the fifth chapter, which is concentrated on demonstrating the important conclusions that the study reached. Thereby the important recommendations and suggestions to which the study reached in order to participate in developing the accounting in Iraq so that it could be in its expected real role.
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: المحاسبة
السنة: 2005
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: ماهر موسى العبيدي
اسم المؤلف: حيدر عبد الحسين حميد المستوفي

تحليل وقياس ظاهرة العجز المزدوج في مصر وتونس والمغرب للمدة 1975 - 2000 Analysis And Measurement The Twin Deficiit Phenomenon Iin Egypt,, Tunisia And Moroco For The Period ((1975 - - 2000))

المستخلص: The main aim of this Thesis is to test the twin deficit phenomenon and the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis in Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco for the period (1975 - 2000). To satisfy the aim, a several number of Econometric tests are follow : 1 - Testing of independent of monetary policy from the Fiscal policy. The results show us that the monetary policy dependent on the Fiscal policy in Egypt, and the budget deficit have an inflationary effect, in contrary to Tunisia and Morocco.2 - Testing the effect of Fiscal variables on private consumption by using Feldstein and Modigliani approachs. The results refer to the negative effect of budget deficit on private consumption in Egypt according to Feldstein approach and which meet to Ricardianequivalence in Egypt, in contrary to, in Tunisia and Morocco.3 - Testing the effects of Fiscal variables on private investment by using stepwise regression model, the results tell us the Crowding - out effect for some Fiscal variables in these countries, and Crowding - in effect for Trade liberalization on private investment in Tunisia and Morocco.4 - Testing of causality relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit, using Augmented Dickey - Fuller (ADF) test, Cointegration test, Engel - Granger approach for error correction model, and Grager causality test, we find that non - Cointegration of time series of variables in Tunisia, and Cointegration of time series of variables in Egypt and Morocco. And satisfying the Ricardian equivalence in Egypt and Tunisia, and satisfying the twin deficit in Morocco according to the bidirectional causality relationship between budget deficit and current account
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: البصرة
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة البصرة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
السنة: 2004
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: عباس جبار الشرع
اسم المؤلف: حلمي ابراهيم منشد

تقدير الدالة اللامعلمية للبيانات العنقودية Nonparametric Regression Function Estimation of Clustered Data

المستخلص: البيانات العنقودية تظهر في الكثير من العلوم الاجتماعية والصحية والسلوكية. وتتميز هذا النوع من البيانات بوجود الارتباط بين مشاهداتها. وممكن التعبير عن العنقدة من حيث العلاقة بين القياسات على الوحدات ضمن نفس المجموعة فان النماذج الاحصائية تحتم على حساب الار | Cluster data appears in a lot of social, health and behavioral sciences. And featuring this type of data link between the presences of her observations. And possible expression of clustering in terms of the relationship between measurements on units within the same group, the statistical models makes it imperative for the link account at every level, because failure to do so leads to misleading results. Hence the importance inside the Observations link to the estimating of the function non parametric for cluster data where the use of parametric method for ICON is always desirable to estimate some functions Because of the shape of the data is unknown in advance the appropriate function or as a result of the existence of some obstacles so it is the use non parametric method to estimate (smoothing) Nonparametric function.. Research has shown developed in recent times on the use of non parametric regression when parametric the assumptions are unfulfilled. And non parametric regression allows greater flexibility of functions dependent variables resulting from the data. Previous research has touched on the case of cluster data estimating the ways non parametric and semi parametric methods and was adopted state of neglect of the link within the same cluster property data that distinguish cluster data is particularly. And local kernel estimator achieved more efficient negligently correlation within clusters (even if the correlation is in the interest the study). While some touched on the case taking correlation between Observations per cluster using the estimated equations. Others had created the kernel methods in the case of cluster data behave completely different from the behavior of the capabilities of the spline estimator as has achieved kernel methods results more efficient when the neglect of the link within the clusters, while spline methods results achieved less variance of smoothing fixed parameters at taking the link inside clusters into account in the estimation process.So in this thesis will be nonparametric function estimating for clustered data using the Seemingly Unrelated Kernel Estimators, and The Generalized Least Squares Smoothing Spline Estimators and propose Robust methods and comparison of the methods listed above to indicate the best estimate of the nonparametric function estimating for clustered data, taking into account the structure of the link within the clusters were cluster data, The adoption of cluster data, which has the same number of explanatory variables within each cluster. To achieve this, thesis was divided into five chapters, the first chapter included introduction and aim of the research and reference review, either Chapter II now include the theoretical side which discussed the methods used to calculate the non parametric function of cluster data in the presence of the link. While included Chapter III experimental side (simulation) and the application addressed method in the second chapter and the statement of the best way has less (MAE) or (MSE). and either the fourth chapter includes the applied side to the real data for the proportion of white blood cells and its impact on the proportion of blood per patient (cluster) and Chapter V which includes the most important conclusions and the recommendations.it is through simulation experiments have been finding the best way to estimate the non parametric function for cluster data and a way The robust Generalized Least Squares Smoothing Spline Estimators in the case of a correlation. It was the application of all methods of the practical side using real data about the proportion of white blood cells and their impact on the proportion of blood hemoglobin for patients with blood cancer (leukemia).
الصفحات الاولى:
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
اللغة: العربية
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
السنة: 2016
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
اسم المشرف: سجى محمد حسين الهاشمي
اسم المؤلف: حلا كاظم عبيد