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تنمية مقومات الجذب السياحي باستخدام نظم المعلومات الجغرافية : دراسة تطبيقية في بعض مناطق اهوار العراق للمدة من 2003 - 2013 The Development of Touist Attraction By Using Gis - An Applied Study In Some Areas of The Iraqi Marshlands For Period of 2003 - 2013

اسم المؤلف: زينب صادق مصطفى
اسم المشرف: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي
الموضوع العام: العلوم السياحية
السنة: 2015
الموضوع الدقيق: السياحة والفندقة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد نظم المعلومات الجغرافية وسيلة تعتمد اساسا" على استخدام الحاسب الالى فى تجميع ومعالجة وعرض وتحليل البيانات المرتبطة بمواقع جغرافية لاستنتاج معلومات ذات اهمية كبيرة فى اتخاذ قرارات مناسبة لقد تطورت الحاجة الى نظم المعلومات الجغرافية فى المجالات والتخصص | GIS is a way that fundamentally depends on the use of computers in the collection, processing, display and analysis of data related to geographical locations to infer information of great importance in making decisions. The GIS techniques include normal

ادارة التنوع والانفتاح التسويقي السياحي واثرهما في المرونة التنظيمية : دراسة ميدانية بالمنظمات الفندقية Management of Tourist Diversity And Marketing Openness And Their Impact on Organizational Flexibility

اسم المؤلف: لؤي لطيف بطرس شكر
اسم المشرف: فلاح تايه ذياب النعيمي
الموضوع العام: العلوم السياحية
السنة: 2013
الموضوع الدقيق: السياحة والفندقة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تناولت الدراسات والبحوث مواضيع متعددة للتنوع الثقافي والبيولوجي، ولكنها لم تتطرق عن ادارة التنوع للمنظمات الانتاجية وبالاخص الفندقية منها والتي تعتبر قطاعا مهما وبارزا من القطاعات الاخرى، فهي تضم المورد البشري المتنوع ثقافيا وعرقيا...الخ، وان | The studies and researches covered many subjects of the cultural and biological diversity, but they never dealt with management of diversity of productive organizations, the hotel ones in particular which are considered an important and distinctive sector

الذكاء الاجتماعي واستراتيجية ادارة العلاقات العامة واثرهما في ولاء الضيف : دراسة تطبيقية في فنادق القطاع المختلط في بغداد The Impact of Social Intelligence And Public Relation Management Strategy on Guest Loyalty Applied : Study In Mixed Sector Hotels In Baghdad

اسم المؤلف: محمد فاضل عباس النعيمي
اسم المشرف: دينا حامد جمال
الموضوع العام: العلوم السياحية
السنة: 2015
الموضوع الدقيق: السياحة والفندقة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تتحكم بعلاقة الضيف في الفندق منظومة من العوامل تمارس دور مباشر او غير مباشر في الحد من تلك العلاقة وتقويض ولائه لخدمات الفندق او تطوير تلك العلاقة وتنميتها بما يحقق حالة المودة والولاء لخدمات الفندق, فالوصول لنهاية سلم تلك العلاقة وجعل الضيف في اعلى درجا | The relationship between the guest and the hotel is governed by many factors that play a direct and indirect role to limit and demolish his loyalty to the hotel services or develop this relationship to achieve a sort of cordiality and loyalty to the hote

تحليل السياسات السعرية لشركاث الهاتف النقال في دول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق An Analysis of Mobile Companies Pricing Policies In Selected Countries - With Particular Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: راجي محيل هليل الخفاجي
اسم المشرف: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The mobile phone companies in all over the world are mostly distinguished by their limitid number, mutual relations, trading with rival companies in other countries, and while some of them working together in developed markets, others work in the emerging markets which are in the early stages of growth and spread.The pricing decisions and some other decisions, despite those differences mentioned above, are taken by those companies according to governments regulations related to organizing the olegopoly markets work.As a result, those decisions are usually characterized by being strategic in their behavior and in their direction to enhance the companies bargaining power against consumers, to control the prices, and market shares, especially when those companies agreed implicitly to control the prices and the market shares.This dissertation aimed to study pricing systems in the various countries, and analyzing the nature of the pricing prevailing strategies in the mobile markets in selected developed countries from (OECD), which both France, Switzerland, and some of the developing countries, which both Egypt, India, with particular reference to the case of Iraq, and compare its mobile services prices with some of the neighboring countries, based on Microeconomic, game theory application ,and Nash bargaining solution.Also, this dissertation was drafted a proposed model for the mobile services pricing, that can provide the minimum necessary calls minutes prices, which commensurate with the gross national income per capita, or with the poverty level line, that can be applied in practice, not only in Iraq, but in different developing countries.These services, which became a necessity basic for progress, prosperity, and an important pillar in the process of sustainable development, poverty fighting, and make it available had became a legitimate right, that guaranteed by the state, and it is an important basic need, of an individual or family requirements, especially, in the current situation in Iraq, which Wired telephone service significantly deteriorated, and there is no suitable efficient alternative, but only mobile services, which are private sector companies owned, and there is no competitor in the public sector.The government task is find a balance between allowing monopoly companies to cover its costs, with a profit margin, and not allow those companies to impose monopolistic price, which expands the size of the lost loss, and lower the level of welfare.In order to achieve the objectives of dissertation, it has been divided into three chapters, the first included theoretical economic framework, while the second chapter has included the trends of mobile services pricing in selected countries as described above, and third chapter included the recent economic directions of the mobile services pricing in Iraq.Finally, the dissertation has reached a number of conclusions, The most important one is, that the efficient, transparent government regulation for the mobile phone licenses rounds management, and the reduction of taxes, and fees that impose on mobile phone companies, will lead to increased spread, reduce prices, and increase the level of social welfare

اتجاهات السياسة المالية بين الفكر الاقتصادي الراسمالي والاسلامي Financial Policy Directions Between Two - Ideas : Capitalism And Islamic

اسم المؤلف: هاشم عبد مناف حسين زوين
اسم المشرف: قصي عبود فرج الجابري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

امكانية استخدام استراتيجيات التكنولوجيا في تحقيق الاسبقيات التنافسية باتجاه الانتاجية الخضراء : دراسة حالة في شركة مصافي الوسط / الدورة Possibility of The Use of Technology Strategies To Achieve Competitiveness of Priorities Toward The Green Productivity A Case Study In Middle Refinery Company\ Al - Dourah

اسم المؤلف: نهضة علي عباس التميمي
اسم المشرف: رفاء فرج سموعي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: وجبت التحديات وحالات اللاتاكد البيئي من منظمات الاعمال, ولاسيما الصناعية منها, ان تصبح دائمة البحث عن السبل التي تستطيع من خلالها تحقيق هدف البقاء والنمو والاستمرار, لذا ساهم هذا البحث في مواجه ذلك بمتغيراته الثلاثة المتمثلة بـ ( استراتيجية التكنولوجيا, و| The challenges and uncertainty in business organizations, especially industry, necessitated that they every way for the achieving the goal of survival, growth and continuity. Therefore, this research contributes with confronting the three variables of (technology strategy - green productivity, operational distinguishing). The investment of developed modern developed to cope up with the requirements of the age in the production process requires the creation of levels of productivity that exceeds the traditional levels of production, namely, the green productivity, which is a high level of production. This new level will achieve double goals; the first is to maintain the safety and security of the environment against pollution, and the second is suitability with the demand of the clients. Upon that fact, the research endeavor aimed at stating and diagnosing the importance of the secondary dimensions for the technology strategy in achieving the operational distinguishing with the average of achieving higher level of green productivity. The researcher depended on a group of methods in order to test the correlation relations and the effect of hypotheses that were formulated on the correction of the plan by the use of the method of research (descriptive checklist and case study). The Company of Middle Refinery \ Al - Durrah was chosen as the community of the study. The sample included (7) types of the production of the light oil derivatives - the Commission of Oil derivatives as a field of study in order to evaluate the three variables. The research comes up to a number of findings which are result of the intellectual and application aspects tackled by the researcher that diagnosed the reality of the company and the sample of the study. It is found that there is a gap that ranges from (%7 - %20). That means there is partial application of the study variables of the technology strategy and green productivity (independent variable - medium variable). In addition to conducting the quantitative aspect to document and measure the level of their realization quantitatively. The researcher recommends depending on the results of the evaluation of the checklists and the results of the quantitative aspect for both to achieve more work on the ideal use of the resources in a manner that helps to narrow the gap to reach to the ideal level (%100) to achieve better work environment which would be recorded on coming up with a various products that meet the satisfactions of the demanding parties. In addition to that the researcher makes relevant suggestions.

الطرائق التقليدية والطرائق البديلة لاختبار جذر الوحدة لاستقرارية السلسلة الزمنية : دراسة مقارنة Traditional Methods And Alternative Methods To Test The Unit Root For The Stationary of Time Series - A Comparative Study

اسم المؤلف: كوثر خضر ناصر الزيدي
اسم المشرف: نزيه عباس المشهداني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2015
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من الاساليب العلمية والاحصائية لتمثيل العلاقة لبيانات السلسلة الزمنية وتفسير سلوك الظاهرة من خلال دراسة تطورها التاريخي عبر مراحل زمنية، ويلاحظ في الحياة العملية والتطبيقية ان هناك العديد من السلاسل الزمنية لا تملك صفة الاستقرا | The time - series analysis of scientific methods and statistical representation of the relationship of the time series data and interpret the behavior of the phenomenon through the study of its historical development through the stages of time , and notes in the life process and applied that there are many time series do not have the recipe stability, So researchers began detects this problem and adopted for this purpose several methods of which are the subject of the unit root test , as this test of tests shows the task being equal to the number of roots per the correct number that corresponds to the necessary differences of the time series in order to turn out to be stability,. The condition of stability, of a specimen autoregressive is that all the roots of the equation distinctive located outside the unit circle , and the style of taking the differences necessary in order to transform the time series to the stability, style is not accurate to some extent to the fact that the probability of taking a number of differences more than required leads to inaccuracy of the work , so the test roots style is to know the number of differences required for the series studied the application of statistical methods for this test , and there are several ways to conduct this test , including traditional methods and modalities amended, has been comparisons between the methods used and the proposed method by the researcher through simulation through programs written by the researcher and the adoption of the application (Mat lab) where the comparison was between four models of testing unit root and through the results was reached similarities between the test (ADF, PP) and test(KPSS,LM) So was the adoption of a test (ADF, KPSS) and comparison with the proposed method, where the application has proved that there is a disparity between the test (ADF) and (KPSS) depending on the features and sizes of the samples, and that the proposed method was closer to a (KPSS) test , and have also been using data oil prices immediate (Spot Oil Price) for a time series of the month of January 1988 and up to the month of July 2013 and the application of unit root tests them through the use of application - ready (Eviwes).

تصميم انموذج محاسبي مقترح للتكامل بين سلسلتي القيمة والتجهيز لتعزيز القيمة لاصحاب المصلحة في الوحدة الاقتصادية Designing Proposed Accounting Pattern For Integration Between Value Chain And Supply Chain To Enhance The Value of Stakeholders In Economic Entity

اسم المؤلف: علاء محمد عبيد الزبيدي
اسم المشرف: عماد صبيح فرج الصفار
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2015
الموضوع الدقيق: المحاسبة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعرض البحث الى بعض الجوانب ذات الصلة بوضع مقترحات وحلول لمشكلات تعاني منها الوحدات الاقتصادية وذلك بتصميم انموذج محاسبي يعزز تحقيق القيم لمعظم الاطراف ذات المصلحة في الوحدة الاقتصادية. كما وتمثلت مشكلة البحث بتحليل التغيرات التي تشهدها البيئة الاقتصادية و| This study aims at researching all related methods to develop the proposal and find solution to the problems plaguing the economic unit by designing an integrated accounting model contributing to maximizing value for stakeholders relying on analysis and evaluation of the value and Cost management techniques of value chain in an effort to reduce the un profited cost and maximizing values for the profit of stakeholders in the economic unit. This study relies on primary premise to presentation the contribution of analysis of valuation and value chains within an integrated accounting framework to strength the capacity of unite to put the value for the profit of stockholders and two secondary suppositions present the role chains through integrated accounting strategic model to maximizing the profit for stakeholders with the economic unite.Conclusions as following : 1 - Enhance the existence of an integrated accounting model to maximizing values for stakeholders in economic unit by integration of processing and value chain.2 - The weakness of the company to interesting cost management of value chain resulting to rise in the cost of products.3 - The weakness of Baghdad company to interesting the activates of Research and developmentforChain analysisAs it affects the analysis of evaluation activities in order to identify the useless activities of values.Recommendations as following : 1 - Interesting the way of gradual adoption for an accounting model with strategic view based on integration of processing and value chain relying on techniques cost of management cost.2 - Establishment of a separate department for research and development which review the operation and activates of the company to enhance the ability to achieve its vision and mission for the purpose of knowledge new technology in the performance of activities and processes

قياس المحتوى الاقتصادي للامن الانساني في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2007) Measurment of Economic Content of Human Security In Iraq For The Years (1990 - 2007)

اسم المؤلف: سهيلة عبد الزهرة مستور جبار الحجيمي
اسم المشرف: نضال شاكر جودت الهاشمي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2011
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

دراسة مقارنة لبعض طرائق تقدير الانموذج الديناميكي المكاني الخاصة بـ (Panel Data) مع تطبيق عملي Compared Study To Some of The Methods of Estimating The Dynamic Spatial Model For (Panel Data) With Practical Application

اسم المؤلف: سهاد علي شهيد مجيد التميمي
اسم المشرف: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد انموذج القياس الاقتصادي المكاني (Spatial Econometrics Model) احد انواع النماذج القياسية اذ تهتم بدراسة تاثير التفاعلات المكانية مابين الوحدات الجغرافية على الظاهرة المدروسة، تلك الوحدات من الممكن ان تكون مدن، بلديات، مناطق، دول، محافظات،... الخ. وت | Spatial Econometrics models are part of the Econometrics models as concerned with the impact of spatial interactions between geographic units. These units could be cities, municipalities, regions, states, provinces, etc..... It can also be used such models to explain the behavior of economic factors, geographic units, such as individuals, companies, or governments, if they were linked with each other through a network, but this type of studies in spite of a lot of use but less common.Should be noted that the spatial modeling studies differs from the time - series modeling studies, as the time - series studies focuses on the dependency between observation when a period of time and used the symbol (t - 1) to refer to the Lagged variables in time. It must be emphasized here that the (Spatial Econometrics) is not a direct extension for (Time - Series Econometrics) for two reasons; The first is that any geographical units can effect each other mutually, while it cannot be if they were tow observation at a certain time. Another factor most complex wide variety of units of measurement, which qualifies them for modeling spatial dependency (convergence, distances, bonding, etc...) compared with the measurement time dependency (time).In this thesis was to review some of the parametric techniques to estimate (Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model (SDPD)), as there is dependent variable Lagged in time and extra (Endogenous Variables) in Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model (SDPD) invalidate the use of estimation methods known like (Ordinary Least Square (OLS)) and the method (Maximum Likelihood (ML(. To overcome these problems, there are many empirical studies that have been applied in a manner estimate (Generalized Moment Method (GMM)), which were developed by each of the (Arellano & Bover 1995) and (Blundell & Bond 1998). As the main reason behind the use of estimator (GMM) to estimate the (SDPD) model is its ability to correct the interference (Endogeneity), which came by spatial lag variable also reason is due to the internal variables. In addition, it is estimated (GMM) is robust to some econometric issues such as measurement errors and poor (Instrumental Variable (IV)), it can also control the problem (Heteroskedasticity) and the problem (Autocorrelation) in the random error term, add to that the flexibility in the implementation of the calculations. In addition to the method (GMM) can be used (Quasi - Maximum Likelihood Estimation (QMLE)) when (Random Error) is distributed (Independent and Identical Distribution (iid)) with Mean zero and variance (?_?^2(.Estimated which is obtained be biased and inconsistent so it was (Bias Correction) to estimator (QMLE), also called the method of estimation of these (The Direct Approach).It has also been used (The Transformation Approach) for the purpose of processing the Spatial before the estimate to reduce bias as much as possible.As one of the most important goals is to study the effect of( Spatial Dynamic Effect)) sense of how dependent variable coefficients change that represents the (financial allocations for the program of economic sectors of the regions development) Lagged in spatially and in time and represented by )W_n Y_(n,t - 1)(between the provinces as well as the impact study of by Lag spatial dependent variable )W_n Y_nt( for each province of the Iraqi provinces and at certain period of time. Add to describe the effects of explanatory variables (Exogenous Variables) any (of economic sectors of each province for a period of a certain time) represented (b agricultural sector, industrial sector, transport sector, buildings and services sector, education sector) level of each province for the period (2008 - 2015).In the case of the first model any presence influences the spatial fixed only the better way transfers the larger time periods (T), the estimators (? ?_nT) be consistent (Consistence) and possesses a good estimator convergent properties correct the bias is more effective and has a proximity naturally parameter characteristics (?). The second model in the case of any effects the presence of spatial and temporal fixed together, was also the best way transfers from the direct method the larger time periods (T).As in the case of the practical side show in the case of both models weakness autoregressive spatial coefficient of investment allocations it does not have any interaction between the provinces where positively affecting the distribution of assignments better and to meet the economic development of each province

اختيار المحفظة الاستثمارية المثلى - انموذج مقترح : دراسة تطبيقية

اسم المؤلف: سمير عبد الصاحب ياره
اسم المشرف: حيدر نعمة غالي الفريجي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

تاثير التيقظ القيادي في تحقيق الرافعة المعرفية من خلال التفوق الذكي : دراسة ميدانية في وزارة العلوم والتكنولوجيا The Effectof Leadership Vigilancein Achieving Knowledge Leveragethrough Intellectual Excellence Afield Study In Ministry of Science Technology

اسم المؤلف: سماح مؤيد محمود المولى
اسم المشرف: لمياء سلمان عبد علي الزبيدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2014
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ساهمت ثلاثة متغيرات لتشكيل الاطار الفكري والفلسفي لهذه الدراسة, والتي تمثلت بـــــ (التيقظ القيادي، التفوق الذكي، الرافعة المعرفية )، فاستثمار واستخدام المعرفة وبشكل متكرر من قبل القادة يسهم وبشكل فعال واساس في رفع قيمة المنظمة، والذي يتحقق بدوره من خلال | Three variables interact to form the conceptual and philosophical framework of this study; these were vigilance of leadership, intellectual excellence, and achieving knowledge leverage. The investment in knowledge and using it frequently by the leaders, actively contribute to increase the value of organization, which can be achieved by a combination of leaders awareness of (both internal and external environment variables), futuristic envision planning and availability of the necessary support to provide an environment that fosters their organization superiority; and it is not just any superiority we are talking about, it is an intelligent versatile superiority.The study targeted the problem that the leaders have a limited awareness of the effects of vigilance and availability of intelligent superiority support at the knowledge business level and at the projects and scientific research level on the organization scientific advantage. Moreover, there is a lack in promoting and advertising the organization achievements to the public and other organizations. This study target is to answer the above questions and to define the level of achievement by the study variables and how the knowledge was invested in addition to providing solutions to the problems facing that organization, especially how to achieve the scientific leverage and adopting ways to help maintaining leaders awareness and intelligent support, so to be able to better the organization. The organization under study comprises the seven divisions at the Ministry of Sciences and Technology. We identified two layers of samples. First, the administrative leaders (170 directors). Second layer, represented by the employee (128 employee). We have formulated 7 main frame hypotheses with 21 sub - hypotheses, we tested these by appropriate statistical methods. We used questionnaires as a tool for collecting data and information related to the study. Moreover, the researcher collect a lot of data through her evaluation of the actual work environment of the ministry. The researcher has found a group of theoretical and practical conclusions that described the work reality in the environment of study, one of the main findings is the ministry faired average in regard to collaboration between the leadership vigilance and scientific knowledge superiority to achieve knowledge leverage, so the main recommendation focused on a group of practical measures; some of these are related to governing law and regulations while the others are related to attending training seminars and workshops and removing all obstacles toward the best use of the gained knowledge and all available knowledge resources in the ministry. Moreover, we suggest establishing a formal relationship between ministry of science and technology and other institutions inside and outside Iraq. It is better to establish a special committee to supervise the coordination between these parties in terms of developing the scientific research and choosing the subjects, which benefit the other ministries. This committee must choose different research with different approaches to prevent duplication of researches, as the similarity of researches is the main reason behind underutilization of the scientific research; this committee should aid in applying for patent rights.

دور ادارة المواهب في تحقيق الاستدامة التنظيمية من خلال التجديد الاستراتيجي : دراسة تحليلية في بعض كليات الجامعة المستنصرية The Role of Talents In Achieving The Sustainability Organizational Through The Strategic Renewal Applied Study In Several Colleges of The Al - Mustansiriya University

اسم المؤلف: زياد طارق خليل
اسم المشرف: انتظار احمد جاسم الشمري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: اكدت الدراسة على اهميه الدور الذي تلعب المواهب في تحقيق الاستدامة التنظيمية والتجديد الاستراتيجي في قطاع التعليم العالي عامة وفي الجامعه المستنصرية خاصة.واستحصلت المشكلة النظرية اساسا من قلة الدراسات والبحوث التي تناولت بالدراسة والتحليل لذلك الدور والع | The study affirms the importance of talents' role in achieving the sustainability organizational and the strategic renewal in the sectors of the higher education in general and the al - Mustansiriya University in particular. The theoretical problem happens basically due to the dearth of the studies and researches dealing with studying and analyzing the role and the relationship that link the variables. While the scientific problem is from the real challenges that face the Iraqi organizations which are demanded to achieve the sustainability and how to preserve it through the renewal operations which should be carried out continually. This study has been carried out because of the relationship's importance among the three variables in the labour organizations in order to test and diagnose the relationship's level and the possibility of its implementation in the application's environment represented by the colleges of the Mustansriya University (College of Medicine, Engineering, Sciences, and Education). In order to achieve the goal of the study, seven major and minor hypotheses have been tested. The sample of the study contained (204) male and female persons from the teachers staff of the mentioned - above colleges. The data and information were compiled via a poll consists of (48) questions in which the amounts of data had been processed statistically through several statistical means such as ( the Percentage, the Probable Arithmetical Medium, the Standard Deviation, the Relative Importance, Spearman Ranks' Correlation Coefficient, the Test of F, T., the Track Analysis). The study has reached several conclusions in which the most prominent is represented by the existence of the direct correlated relationship and the impact of talents' dimensions and the organized persistence as well. The study has also concluded a group of recommendations such as the necessity of the transformation into the concept of employing the talents' management which depends on using cognition and information through forming an integral strategy of the labour of the Iraqi universities and colleges in addition to the labour of the university management to achieve the optimum usage of the human resources and to allow opportunities for the qualified people through providing them with a suitable labour in order to encourage them to achieve scientific inventions and prospective ambitions towards creating an organized persistence prototype. Finally, the university's colleges should employ the talented individuals according to their specializations in the proper administrative centers by depending on the results of the talents management performance assessment to upgrade the level of the colleges in addition to attract the competent staffs along with talented people of seldom specializations to fill the gaps in the colleges

الموازنة المستجيبة للنوع الاجتماعي والتنمية المستدامة تجارب مختارة مع امكانية التطبيق في العراق Gender Responsive Budget And Sustainable Development Selected Experiences With The Possibility of Application In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: رشا خالد شهيب
اسم المشرف: وفاء جعفر المهداوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تمثل الموازنة العامة اداة رئيسة لتنفيذ السياسات الاقتصادية العامة، وهي تجمع بين تنفيذ السياسات العامة الفعالة والموارد المالية المتوفرة. وعليه فهي اداة ضرورية لتعزيز المساواة بين الجنسين وتهيئة البرامج اللازمة لتحقيق هذا الهدف. وينبغي ان تعكس الموازنات ا | represent the Balance of the Chairperson of the tool for the implementation of the general economic policies, combine the implementation of policies and effective public financial resources available. Accordingly, it is a necessary tool for the promotion of equality between the sexes and the creation of the necessary programs to achieve this goal. It should reflect the Balance of the requirements and the needs of the individuals by type social security, so the development budgets of the gender - sensitive represented the best means to meet the aspirations and the needs of the majority of the men and women so the importance of the study of sensitive budget social type and that these budgets are not meant to put the budgets of separate women's, but rather are intended to prepare the general budget, in accordance with the requirements of social type with consideration of gender relations in society and the roles of access to and control over resources. Therefore, the main goal of this kind of budgets is to take account of the specific issues and to ensure their integration into all national policies, plans and programs, they represent the tools to provide the necessary financial support to meet the needs of women and men are attempts to dismantle or the separation of a pattern of general budgets commonly according to its impact on social type. The study came to light on all global experiences and Arabic, which claimed responsibility for the topic of integrating type social development contexts in order to understand the true reality of lessons learned, and ways to apply in Iraq serious attempts in the application of the sensitive budget social type.The problem that there were gaps between social type of roles and obligations and rights and duties and never from a bridge those gaps through the application of sensitive budget social type so came the hypothesis consistent with the problem and that the application of the sensitive budget social type that would bridge those gaps, according to the plans of the Court informed in advance the objectives of the search came to clarify the meaning of the sensitive budget type social objectives as well as the means to depend on in the direct impact on the needs of social type and then follow - up to the heavy impact researcher on the basis of the Indicative curriculum through the study of global experiences and Arabic Sensitive balance social type and then read results obtained from exhumations into his investigative through the use of applied to Iraq came the study limits the duration (2003 - 2015) through reliance on The available data within the reports of international organizations and magazines and adoption of scientific analysis and structural included search four main chapters each chapter contained three subsidiary investigation was divided into the demands and paragraphs in order to understand more than the subject of the study researcher to a set of conclusions, the most important is : - 1. Sensitive budget type social policy instrument for effective financial application of social justice and a clear understanding of the requirements and needs of the social type bridging the gaps quality. And benefit all global experiences and that there is a clear success in those tests on the one hand a bridge the gaps through the reorientation of public expenditure toward the expenditures that have a direct impact on the needs of social type.2. The application of sensitive budget social type the government adopted a comprehensive plan involving each of the government and individuals and civil society organizations with the cooperation of international organizations to build a joint plan to work to ensure the success of that experience.

الامن الغذائي في العراق وافاقه المستقبلية في ظل المتغيرات الاقتصادية المحلية والدولية Food Security In Iraq And Its Future Prospects In The Light of Economical Local And International Variables

اسم المؤلف: خالد قحطان عبود
اسم المشرف: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد تحقيق الامن الغذائي من المواضيع التي تحظى باولوية في مختلف الدول سواء كانت متقدمة ام نامية وكذلك فان المنظمات الدولية الزراعية المتخصصة قد اعطتها اهمية خاصة من خلال جعل اول اهداف الالفية الثالثة للامم المتحدة هو "القضاء على الفقر المدقع والجوع" وتسعى | Food Security is considered one of the significant subjects that has the priority in various countries whether these countries are advanced or developed one. It is worthy to say that the Specialized International and Agricultural States had supported Food Security great and private interests by making the first aims of the third thousand era for UNITED NATIONS is " Destruction the Poverty and Hunger".These Countries , including Iraq , look forward , within their economic resources to achieve that aim , but there are actually economic local variables that influence on the local agricultural production and to stop its achievement.On other hand , there are International Economic Variables that participate to impact in Economic Activity for its various and different sectors , including the Agricultural Sector , especially Iraq meets its Food Requirements for the main foods through import.This Thesis aims to study and deal with the concept of Food security in many Local and International aspects , as well as , to benefit from Advanced International States ' Experiences I this field (European Union as a Sample) , besides several Food and Social Protection Programs in some Developed Countries (Brazil as a Sample) and to recognize the reality of Agricultural and Food Abilities for Iraq and knowing the challenges ¬¬¬¬¬¬¬¬that may be faced , and to concentrate on the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables that influence on Food Security for Iraq and to plan forthcoming future horizons for Food Security by expecting the size of Food Gap for the most important strategic Food products , with concentrating on the most significant schedules during the period (2003 - 2014).Thesis has divided into four chapters , each Chapter is subdivided into three topics.Chapter One has dealt with , as a Conceptual Framework for Food Security , Food Security and the problem of Substitution , as well as , the most important and Effective Internal and International Economic Variables on Food Security.Chapter Two has concerned with Agricultural Policies and Social and Food Protection Programs in Advance and Developed Countries altogether (As Selected Samples) through studying Joint Agricultural Policy for European Union with concerning with the essence of Food and Social Security Schedules in Developed Countries and to mention to Food and Social Protection schedules in Brazil as a Sample.Chapter Three had dealt with the reality of Food and Agriculture in Iraq for the period (2003 - 2014) as well as the Agricultural Potentials in addition to the Food Situation in and the challenges that may be faced.Chapter Four has concerned with the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables in Food Security for Iraq and its forthcoming horizons.Last , many conclusions and recommendations were achieved. The most important conclusions are that food security levels in Iraq during the duration (2003 - 2014) are to fluctuate for various reasons, despite a slight improvement in agricultural production, especially total food grain, but he does not keep pace with domestic demand are to cover the food deficit through imports cover, and therefore the impact on the self - sufficiency ratios and the size of the gap nutrients, either the most important recommendations, it must rely on agricultural policies aimed to develop the agricultural sector based on the first two pillars reliance on the private sector, whether individuals or agricultural companies under the guidance of the state and the second increase in agricultural support and expansion of presenting the different kinds and forms of various started to talk a distortion in the economy, taking into consideration the suit in the case of Iraq,s accession to the World Trade Organization.

الدور التنموي لصناديق الثروة السيادية في بلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى صندوق تنمية العراق The Developmental Role of Sovereign Wealth Funds In A Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq Development Fund

اسم المؤلف: خالد شامي ناشور العطواني
اسم المشرف: فلاح حسن ثويني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) become, By Controlling a Huge Financial Assets and Increased Impact Within International Financial Markets, a Fundamental Pillar of Investment Through The World and One of The Most Important Indicators of Financialability of counties that owned themBecause They Can , BY(SWFs) , Converting The Financial Surpluses Coming From Natural Resources Into Productive Assets That Lead to Diversifying Income Sources , Achieving Fair Wealth Distribution Among Generations, Reducing Economic Shocks Effect, Stabilizing The Economy and Enhancing The Development. This Thesis Deals With The Problem of Countries That Depend on Revenues Coming From Natural Resources (Especially Iraq and other Developing Countries). As most of these Revenues are coming from Oil which its Prices and Revenues are Unstable, so those Countries are Exposed to Negative shocks and Structural imbalances that deepening because inefficient investment of oil revenues. Thus, the idea of establishing a (SWF) is a vital solution for the problems mentioned above and also to manage effectively the revenues coming from natural resources (non - renewable) in achieving economic stability and development. This study assumes that (SWFs) can be an important financial instrument for stabilizing the economy and for supporting the development. To Explain that, the study discusses experiments of U.A.E, Kuwait and Norway with (SWFs) and evaluates the performance of Development Fund of Iraq (DFI) in achieving different goals of the development with a perspective to adopt the idea of establishing a (SWF) consistent with the conditions of Iraq economy. The study concludes that an independent and qualified management with clear and transparent strategy are the main requirements for a (SWF) to be effective and productive in its role to achieve stability and development that can be seen by experiment of Norway. For Iraq, the study concludes that although (DFI) has successes in financing some economic sectors, but it suffers from major weaknesses like unclear strategy, inefficient management, unqualified control and unavailable data. Thus, (DFI) was unable to perform an effective role in supporting stability and sustainable development. The research suggest that Iraq needs to establish its own (SWF) with independent and qualified management to protect its natural resources, especially oil, and to direct financial surpluses coming from oil reasonably to assure sustainability for development and generations.

التاثيرات التنموية لمصادر التمويل في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 2004 - 2013 The Developmental Effects of Financing Sources In Iraqi Economy For The Period 2004 - 2013

اسم المؤلف: حافظ عبد الامير امين
اسم المشرف: فلاح حسن ثويني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The financing of Development plays an essential and important role in directing the internal sources of finance through the domestic credit, which includes the savings and how to improve and mobilize it for the credit purpose by multiple expansion in all the payments instruments which are used by deferent institutions dealing in both money and stock market. Besides the internal financing, there is the external finance which includes the direct foreign investment ,Loans, Grants, and Subsidies.The lack of developed money and stock markets, Limitations in marketing the bonds, Limitations of financial channels through which savings are collected and mobilized, Weak banking sector which lack the trust of Public, and the Accumulation of debt and it is service, All of these flaws are the characters of developing countries which produce negative consequences in these countries, and Iraq is not an exception.According to the economic logic, every developing country cannot achieve an accelerating development, unless making accumulation through some time horizon, and this Accumulation achieved through three connected stages. The first one the existence of savings, the second is the improving of these savings to assure the flow of investments without relying on foreign lending, and the latter represented by directing these savings to the productive investments, such as industrial and agricultural ones. That is to say, the possibility of achieving accumulation after making a coincidence between the supply and demand of savings through the intermediate financial institutions and financial markets, to develop the national economy, in condition that there is an economic visionAbstract coincide with the developmental abilities to achieve the targeted economic development.The study lies into three sectors, the first one deals with the intellectual and economic fundamentals of the finance sources, and this sector subdivided to three articles, which survey the fundamentals of internal and external finance, the relation between the developmental finance and the public expenditures, invention and poverty, and the nature of finance source and it is developmental consequences, respectively.The second chapter which is contains three articles, is about the finance in selected countries. The first one surveys the most important the world - wide developmental consequences of finance sources, while the two later chapters the developmental finance in south Korea and Algeria respectively. The third chapter consists of four articles, is dealing with the development finance in Iraq. The first article devoted to the development and conditions in Iraqi economy during the period 2004 - 2013. The second and third articles are about the internal and external finance in Iraq respectively, while the last one deals with how to correct the finance path and the available alternatives in Iraqi economy. Finally, the study contains some conclusions and recommendations.

استعمال نموذج قياسي للتنبؤ بالطلب العالمي للنفط الخام في ظل الازمات مع اشارة خاصة للعراق The Use of A Standard Model To Predict The Global Demand For Crude Oil In The Light of The Crisis (With Particular Reference To Iraq)

اسم المؤلف: حاتم كريم بلحاوي القريشي
اسم المشرف: جواد كاظم الموسوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد النفط الخام من السلع الاستراتيجية المهمة التي تتوقف عليها جميع نشاطات القطاعات الاقتصادية على المستوى العالمي لما تتمتع به من مزايا كثيرة بوصفها مصدرا مهما للطاقة , لذا ازدادت اهمية الطلب العالمي على النفط الخام ولهذا جاءت اهمية دراسة التنبؤ بالطلب | The crude oil from the strategic goods the task which depends upon all the activities of the economic sectors at the global level with the many advantages as an important source of energy so increased the importance of global demand for crude oil and this came the importance of forecasting the global demand for oil are the topics of interest of the many researchers and academics as well as international organizations and institutions of what the predictability of giving a clear picture of decision makers in the oil policies at the national and international level and applied side (standard) into the study through the use of several statistical models (the model of linear, model gray boot model sorrow, the model of the steep self - moving averages) and use a researcher of the statistical program EASBRIG(statgraph) was not limited to the study of the world oil market only But shed light on an important aspect of the reality of the Iraqi oil sector where based problem that there are multiple factors affect in determining the quantities required presented in global markets crude oil does not summarize the specific factors in accordance with the logic of economic theory that require a lot of other factors affecting the balance of the world oil market, the most important oil crises and international cuisine during the term (1970 - 2015) and to find an appropriate way to predict the global demand for crude oil until the year (2030) there were also many justifications in choosing the subject of the research, including with respect to the needs of many identifies the most important factors affecting the world demand for oil and the impact of the oil crises and international on world oil markets as well as confirms the assumption that studies of predictive would give a clear picture of the The owners of the economic decision for the future of the world oil market in order to take all necessary and appropriate measures adopted, a researcher of the SNF first research approach (descriptive using inductive reasoning) which explain the foundations of the logic of economic on both sides of the world oil market and focus on the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in global demand for crude oil with reliance on data, indicators and international organization of international energy and OPEC and other data and the second approach (quantifiable) which clarified the statistically the validity of economic theory through showing results and interpretation and analysis based on statistical curriculum adopted the methodology included research questions, including what are the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in defining the balance of international oil market? What is the impact of price fluctuations of crude oil on the economic growth rates of the exporting countries and the importer of crude oil? What is the impact of global crises in determining the balance of the world oil market? In terms of the limits of the study was on two sections of the border is temporal duration (1970 - 2015) the spatial border it includes the balance of the world oil market and balance of the world oil market and the reality of the oil market and the structure of the Iraqi search included four main chapters each chapter contained three detectives and requests the divided into the demands and to give a detailed picture of the subject of the study study concluded a set of conclusions and recommendations is the most important. 1 - There are several factors that determine the required amounts presented of crude oil which applies with the logic of economic including what was outside the logic of economic theory such as geopolitical oil crises and international cuisine. 2 - Forecasting is the global demand of crude oil from the important topics which gives a clear reference to decision makers and the resolution of the Economic Future action suitable for nappy the balance of both sides of the world oil market. 3 - The coordination of oil policies at the level of the OPEC countries and senior oil producers in the world for Diaper rash to export quotas and oil policies appropriate the stability of crude oil prices and thus the stability of the world oil market

سياسات التجارة الخارجية للعراق بعد 2003 وافاقها المستقبلية في ضوء تجارب مختارة Trade Policy In Iraq The Implications And Orientation After 2003 And Its Future Prospects In The Light of Selected Experiences

اسم المؤلف: بثينة حسيب سلمان الشريفي
اسم المشرف: مظفر حسني علي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد السياسة التجارية احد اركان ادارة الاقتصاد كونها تؤثر في متغيراته الكلية والجزئية وتتداخل عضويا مع السياسات المالية والنقدية، لذا فدراستها في واقعها وافاقها توفر سبيل للارتقاء بها ومن ثم ارتقاء الاقتصاد، لاسيما ان عالم اليوم هو عالم الاندماج في الاقت | Trade policy is one of the pillars of economic management because it affects to the macro and micro variables and interfere with the fiscal and monetary policy , therefore , studied in reality an prospects provide the means to bring them up and then improve economy to integrated with the global economy. The aime of this research is to provide perspectives on possible solutions to the challenges facing the trade of policy in Iraq by studing the experiences a number of Arab countries and analyzing the reality and evolution of trade policy adopted by these countries. In addition , the research studies the economic progress in the world and then provide future options or scenarios represent general frame work for trade policy which coordinates with Iraqi economy status and the trends of globle economy. The research concluded that the benefit from the enablers of trade policy will have a bigger role in the positive impact on economic activity in Iraq The research recommends activating bilateral trade agreements with all over the world especially with the European countries. in the framework of developing the capacity of the economy , especially agreement ( multiple ) comprehensive , economic ; scientific , and trade which will contributes in raising efficiency of economic sectors to create positive Integration and efficiency with the world. to decline the cost of co integration , especially since the Iraqi economy is in urgent need of guidance in the performance of economic action larger role for the possibility of the market mechanism In guidance during the current period

العلاقة بين اليقظة الاستراتيجية والثقافة التسويقية واثرها في توجهات ادارة التسويق The Relationship Between Strategic Vigilance And Marketing Culture And Its Impact On Marketing Management Orientations

اسم المؤلف: انتصار عزيز حسين
اسم المشرف: ظافر عبد محمد شبر
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2015
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يسعى البحث الى معرفة اهمية كل من اليقظة الاستراتيجة والثقافة التسويقية وتاثيرهما في توجهات ادارة التسويق، لذا تم بناء مخطط فرضي توضح فيه العلاقات بين المتغيرات واثر بعضها في البعض الاخر. وصيغت ستة فرضيات رئيسة اشتقت منها عدة فرضيات فرعية جرى اختبارها باد | The research tries to identify the importance of the strategic vigilance and marketing culture and their impact on the orientations of marketing management, so a virtual diagram has been established to show the relationship among the variables and the impact of each of them on the other. Six hypotheses are formulated , and derived from them branch hypotheses which were tested by using statistical instruments. The strategic vigilance and the marketing culture are considered as explanative variables and marketing management as responsive variable.The study aims at identifying the marketing philosophy adopted by the management and the extent which suits the company's financial and human capacities as well as its present environmental circumstances within the context of the strategic vigilance and the marketing culture common in the minds and thoughts of the concerned management.The Iraqi Airways Company has been chosen as the society of the research and a questionnaire form is used to collect the data , ( 160 ) forms are distributed out of which ( 150 ) are suitable for analysis. The subjects include personnel in decision - making centers ( such as members of the council of the company management , the department managers ,the heads of the sections and units ) in the company. To enhance the data collected by the questionnaire form , personal meetings ,field observations and annual reports of the company are conducted. The analysis of the data is done by using the ( spss - 22 ) computing programme.The study reached many conclusions the important of which are : 1 - There in an interaction and integration between the strategic vigilance and marketing culture that contributes in making the company management constantly ready to face the unstable environmental circumstances and the sudden events as a strategic vigilance , and the company's internal management based on values and traditions Integration that every individual in the company takes it as marketing culture.2 - The company management adopt in its marketing orientations the philosophy of Selling preferring it to the other marketing philosophies and orientation. From this We conclude that : A - The company management is interested in its internal environment more than the external one which means that producing and offering services are done before knowing the need and desires of the customers , that is from the company's perspective rather than the customers perspective.B - The company concentrates on developing its services offered now without thinking of Vitiating these services and their markets in accordance with the new need and desires of the customers and the necessity of enlarging and vitiating these markets as a strategic aims as long as the opportunity for the markting growth is available. The research is enclosed with many recommendations the important of which are : 1 - It is necessary that the company management invest the integrated and positive relationship and dynamic interaction between the strategic vigilance and marketing culture and marking use of them when applying the scientific method in adopting a marketing philosophy or orientation in accordance with environment and in order to assume a distinguished status among the world airlines companies and to recall its old reputation which it lost when it faced exceptional circumstances.2 - Despite the fact that the marketing orientation of the company towards selling is considered a successful one on the short term , the company management should think of a marketing philosophy that keeps pace with the development of the modern age and on long term strategies based on the outside - towards - inside perspective of the company with an understanding of the customers' actual needs and the way of keeping contact with them for a long time and the nature of the competition and the movement of the competitions in the market and balancing the interest of the customer and that of the company and the society ,and protecting the environment and its resources.

التقديرات الحصينة للانحدار الضبابي Robust Estimations For Fuzzy Regression

اسم المؤلف: محمد جاسم محمد
اسم المشرف: ظافر حسين رشيد النجار
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2007
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

استعمال بعض الطرائق اللامعلمية في تقدير نموذج الانحدار الذاتي اللاخطي بوجود متغير خارجي مع تطبيق عملي Using Some Nonparametric Methods For Estimation of Nonlinear Autoregressive Model With Exogenous Variables With Application

اسم المؤلف: علي سلمان حبیب
اسم المشرف: فراس احمد محمد
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The analysis of the nonlinear time series, namely the Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Variable (NARX) model, is considered one of the complex problems.Correct order determination is very important to identify the model. Two different methods are proposed to determine the order for (NARX) model. The researcher also uses three different nonparametric methods to estimate nonlinear regression function of the model.The first proposed method to determine the order for (NARX) model was the Additive Splines Estimation to determine the correct order of the model. This method is based on Additive Property to treat the augmented ( Curse Dimensionality ) problem.The second proposed method was Cross - Validation approach leave one out, based on the kernel estimate of regression function which is directly based on data. Three different methods are used for model estimation. The first method is Smoothing Splines. The second is Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) ,and the third is the BRUTO algorithm which is an adaptive backfitting and uses Generalized Cross - Validation.For comparison purposes between the various estimation nonparametric methods and to find out the best fitting for the data, two Criterion are used : Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Proportional Error (MAPE), and select the best method which gives the best fitting of the data ; then applying the best method on the Electrical Loads and Temperature in Basra Governorate for the months (from May to October) in 2015. The researcher concluded that Additive Splines method play an effective role in order determination for the used model and the results show that the identified order is close to the correct order; and that the ANN is the best estimation for (NARX) model

مقارنة مقدرات بيز لدالة المعولية لانموذج ويبل للفشل باستعمال دوال خسارة مختلفة مع تطبيق عملي A Comparison of Bayes Estimators For Reliability Function of Weibull Failure Model By Using Different Loss Functions With Practical Application

اسم المؤلف: صبا صباح احمد الجميلي
اسم المشرف: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2011
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: Weibull failure model considered being one of the well known failure models because of its different applications in addition to its importance in the reliability field and life tests.This thesis focused on a comparison of standard Bayes estimators for reliability function of the two parameters Weibull distribution by usingsix different loss functions, three of them have been suggested by the researcher.And for that, the methodology of this thesis depended on the following methodologies : - First : - Theoretical study, the standard Bayesian estimations has been derivatives elaborately to reach the Bayes estimators forms for the reliability function of Weibull distribution by using symmetric and asymmetric loss functions which been explained elaborately, and these are quadratic loss function, logarithm loss function and precautionary loss function to reach to the standard Bayes estimators which called quadratic Bayes estimator (QB), logarithmic Bayes estimator (LB) and precautionary Bayes estimator (PB)) respectively. And those loss functions have been Modified by suggested three modified loss functions counterpart to the functions above to reach proposed estimators which called (modified quadratic Bayes estimator (MQB), modified logarithmic Bayes estimator (MLB) and modified precautionary Bayes estimator (MPB)) respectively.Second : - Experimental study by designing number of simulation experiments using various values of parameters and sample sizes, and with repetition of (10000) times for the comparison among the estimators and by using the mean square error (MSE) to reach efficient estimators with minimum variance. And a collection of real negative and positive values have been tried for the constant which is used in proposed loss functions to reach the best value may used in the comparison, and then a comparison between the six preference estimators is done to show which estimator is the most accurate to be used for estimation the reliability function of Weibull failure model, and best results have been obtained from those simulation experiments.The results of these experiments showed that the modified precautionary Bayes estimator (MPB) is the best for the reliability function of Weibull failure model than the other estimators which have been used in this thesis, and the second best method is the modified logarithmic Bayes estimator (MLB), and after that the precautionary Bayes estimator (PB) and then the modified quadratic Bayes estimator (MQB), also all proposed estimators are better than the logarithmic Bayesestimator (LB) and the quadratic Bayes estimator (QB) which results not to be shown in preferences.Also the results of these experiments show that every proposed estimator is better than its known counterpart.Third : - Application study by taking the best Bayesian estimator in the simulation experiments which is the proposed modified precautionary Bayes estimator (MPB) and applied practically on two experimental real data from WeatherFord company for oil well digging in the Bazergan area of Misan governorate which are represented by the time to failure of the operation of the drilling fluid pumps.From all above, the most important conclusions and recommendations have been offered from the results of this thesis as a specific contribution in the reliability field.

اثر التحول نحو النشاط الخاص على الموازنة العامة في الاردن للمدة (1980 - 2001) Privatization Impact On Jordan Budget (1980 - 2001)

اسم المؤلف: وليد خلف علي الزعبي
اسم المشرف: فريد جواد كاظم الدليمي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2005
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: Most of developing countries suffered from economical crisis in 1980s of the last century which was caused by the external debts. In order to avoid this crisis and to rectify imperfections in economy, these countries tended to. Implement recitification programs that has led to change the economical policies that were implementel baler. Recenty, Jordan has tended to Privatization and the main reason for that are the economical crises from which Jordan has suffered. So, Jordan adapts rectification policies, the most important of which is Privatization policy as a result of unsatisfied Performance of the Public Sector, This study aims at : 1 - Evaluation privatization impacts on Jordan general budget.2 - Studying the of privatization on some general economical remarks in Jordan economy. This study involves four chapters : The first deals with the concept of privatization, its aims, techniques and the obstacles it was faced by. The second chapter deals with presenting and analyzing on Jordan general budget. The third chapter deals with the direct impacts of privatization on Jordan general budget, Finally, the third capter presents the indirect impacts of privatization on Jordan general budget. This study leads us to infer some conclusions, the most important of which : 1 - One of the most important reasons that makes the Public sector companies failing at performing its duty is the laws and instructions by which these companies are working since these laws and instruction limited the activity of public sector companies. 2 - Privatization process has led to decrease the general external debt of the national grass product from 223% in 1989 to 78. 4% in 2001 Also, this process has led to decrease the general internal debt of the national gross product form 41% in 1989 to 22% in 2001 which has positive impact on the general budget. This studs steers the researcher to the following recommendations. 1 - To motivate the private sector for investment, there is necessity, for a legal background that protects it and saves the capital. In addition to profits of the investment process. 2 - Gradual preenting of interests for the privatized companies in the stock market to get the best income. That is because presenting the whole interests may cause a decrease in their prices. Consequently, the price of buying the government companies lass than the compete price.

طرائق تقدير انموذج راش للبيانات المصنف متعددة القياسات مع تطبيق عملي Methods of Estimating The Rasch Model For Multiple Categorical Data Measurements With Practical Application

اسم المؤلف: وضاح صبري ابراهيم المناصير
اسم المشرف: دجلة ابراهيم مهدي العزاوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعتبر انموذج راش (The Rasch model)، من اهم نماذج نظرية السمة الكامنة (Latent Trait Theory) للنظرية المعاصرة لقياس سلوك الفرد، المبني على البيانات المصنفة، وهو احد نماذج الاستجابة للفقرة الاحادية البعد، بمعنى ان درجة الفرد في الاختبار لا يجب ان تكون دالة ( | Rasch Model is considered as one of the important models in Latent Trait Theory for the contemporary Theory to measuring human behavior that depends on categorized data. It is one of the response models for one dimension point i.e., the mark of an individual within test mustn’t be regarded as an evaluation for other individual’s samples that are used within Item Calibration.Therefore, the thesis aims at comparing some methods for Rasch Model’s parameters for Categorical Data Measurement by using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).The following methods are also used : The Joint function of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method (JML), The Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method (MLE), Cohen’s Approximation Estimation Method (CAE), and Bayesian Estimation Method ( BEM ) and the first adjusted Bayesian Estimation Method ( BEMFS ) and the second adjusted Bayesian Estimation Method ( BEMSS ). The thesis includes a suggestion for a method to find the initial values of Rasch model’s parameters that are used in the previous mentioned methods and simulation is also used for overgeneralizing the results for the methods within various sizes levels, in which n : (n=10 , n=25 , n=75 , n=150 , n=300 , n=500 ) and ( n ) represents the individuals and (m) represents the number of the items ( m= 10 , m= 25 , m=35 , m= 45 ) and four different distributions are used ( Binomial , Poisson , Normal , Beta ). It is found that the best method for estimating the parameter of item difficulty (?_j), is The Joint function of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method (JML) and the best method for estimating the parameter of individual’s ability (B_i), is the Bayesian Estimation Method of the Second Adjusted. Danial’s test for intelligence is used in AL - Mustansyria University, College of Administration and Economics, Fourth year, morning studies only and the number of students are (531). The main conclusions are : By comparing all the methods with the suggested ones to estimate Rasch model’s parameters , it is found that the best estimating for the parameter of individual’s ability (B_i), is the Bayesian Estimation Method of the Second Adjusted by depending on the smallest value for Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and all the distributions are concrete and constant. It is found by comparing the methods to estimate the parameter of item difficulty (?_j) that the Joint function of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method is the best for estimation , in which Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is appeared with the smallest value and for all the concrete and constant distributions. It is found from the average of the correct answers of the testes that the tests items are within a closed level for each item and this gives the opportunity to students to answer the items. It is found from the average of the correct answers of the testes that the average of response is very good and it is between ( 0.47 - 0. 26 ) for more than 500 students from the total 531. This shows the similarity between students to have Danial’s test for intelligence. It is found from standards statistics ( T ) for the test items after comparing them with the tabled value for the natural distribution of the moral connotation ( a = 0.05 ) and the value ( 1.6449 ) that all the values without moral connotation and this confirms the acceptance of the test’s items to apply it on students’ sample which has different levels of difficulty but still parallel.
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