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مقارنة مقدرات بيز الحصين مع مقدرات اخرى لتقدير دالة المعولية التقريبية لتوزيع ويبل == A Comparison of Robust Bayesian Estimators With Another Estimators To Estimate The Approximation of Reliability Function For Weibull Distribution

اسم المؤلف: تهاني مهدي عباس الياسري
اسم المشرف: مهدي محسن اسماعيل العلاق
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2007
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: من الملاحظ ان معظم البحوث والدراسات في مجال الاحصاء ولاسيما في حقل المعولية تهدف الى الحصول على مقدرات ذات مستوى عال من الكفاءة. لاسيما عندما تكون بيانات العينة قيد الدراسة ملوثة. او في حالة عدم التحديد الدقيق للمعلومات المسبقة او في حالة ظهور الحالتين م | It is noticed that most of the researches and studies in the field of statistics particularly in the field of reliability aiming to obtain estimators of very high standard of competency specially when the sample data under study is contaminated, or in the case of not determining accurately the previous information or in case both cases appear together. From here came the objective of the thesis to come to competent estimators of the approximate reliability of Weibull distribution which is considered one of the common failure models. Through studying the ordinary procedures represented in the maximum likelihood method and method of moments and white’s method as well as the ordinary robust methods represented by the method of M - estimate and bayes procedure as well. Therefore bayes procedure was suggested depending on natural conjugate prior function in addition to suggesting three methods according to robust bayes procedure where the first suggested procedure of robust bayes assumed that there is an extent of belief and to a certain percentage with the researcher (the percentage of the researcher falling into mistake in determining the primary information) where the accurate determination of the primary information has already been made which will be integrated with the sample prospects to obtain bayes estimater As to the second suggested procedure of the robust bayes it treated the problem of the sample prospects contamination or the primary information. Whereas the third robust bayes procedure suggestion had treated the problem of appearance of both problems together - that is inaccuracy in determining the primary information and the possibility of contamination to the sample views or the primary views as well, found a comparison between the studied evaluation methods by using the simulation procedure. It has been arrived to the success of the suggested methods in evaluating the approximate reliability of Weibull distribution depending on the two statistical scales (Integral Mean Square Error) (IMSE) and the (Integral Mean Absolute Percentage Error) (IMAPE).

استخدام الانموذج الفكري لتحسين وتطوير اداء العاملين في المنظمات الصحية العراقية : دراسة تطبيقية في دائرة صحة بغداد / الرصافة == The Use of The Conceptual Model To Improve And Develop Employees Performance In The Iraqi Health Organizations.

اسم المؤلف: بيان حسن توفيق خيوكة
اسم المشرف: عباس علي ظاهر العامري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2006
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة المستشفيات
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: استخدام الانموذج الفكري لتحسين اداء العاملين للجمعية الدولية لتحسين الاداء في المنظمات الصحية العراقية يعتبر اتجاه جديد لتحسين اداء العاملين بطريقة منهجية علمية منظمة تهدف الى تحديد وتشخيص فجوة الاداء وذلك بمقارنة الاداء الفعلي بالاداء المرغوب بالاعتماد | This dissertation aims to use the conceptual model of the international society for performance improvement to improve the employees performance it can be concedered as an effective view to improve the employee performance in asystemic , scientific and systematic manner that aims to detect and diagnose the performance gap and we can do this depending on certen measures and criteria and standards to measure employee performance and evaluate and it will help in providing the manager with informations needed in the continuity of the improvement process. The conceptual model consist of six steps which started by performance analysis , cause analysis , suggesting improvement strategies and interventions , impliment these interventions depending on scientific and systematic change management and appraise the whole improvement process to insure the continuity of the improvement process. The research scheme uses random sample of ( 24 ) respondents chosen from the general directory of health in Baghdad Al - Resafaa and some of its health organization and in adifferent managerial levels.The main conclusions attained ara : - 1. weekness in the capiblty of the respondents chosen in detecting the problems that interfear and effect the employee performance 2. weekness in the capiblty of the respondents in suggesting the strategies and interventions to improve employee performance.3. the management of the health organization seems to be a crisis management.4. the high capiblty of the respondents which have diploma - hospitals administration degree in detecting the problems and understanding , suggesting the interventions needed for improvement.the most important recommendations are : - 1. improve the managerial employee performance and other employees as a whole.2. inhance and develop the abilities and skills depending on training and continuous education.3. implementing some new organizational values like ( justice , transparency , communication ,…. Etc. ).4. improve and develop human resource management in Iraqi health organization.

تقدير دالة المعوليـة لتوزيع لوغارتيم الطبيعي مع تطبيق عملي == Estimate of Reliability Function For Lognormal Distribution With Practical Application

اسم المؤلف: بلسم مصطفى شفيق النائب
اسم المشرف: صباح هادي عبود الجاسم | فرحان اسماعيل العاني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2003
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: لقد كان الاهتمام الواسع والمتزايد في دراسة موضوع المعولية في السنوات الاخيرة يعود الى التطور التكنولوجـي والتقني السريـع واستخدام الانظمـة الالكترونية المعقـدة في مختلف المجالات. وعليه فان دراسة موضوع المعولية والربط بين الجانبين النظري والتطبيقي امر له | The studies of the subject - matter of Reliability with connecting between theoretical and application sides , it is an important matter now a days because the technology development with using electronic systems.In this study it is used the Lognormal Distribution as a failure models when the failure rate to these models initially increases over time and then decreases approaching Zero with increasing time , and find out the estimators of reliability function by different methods.The estimates are : 1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation.2. Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator.3. Bayes Estimation.And then comparing between the priorities of the estimates through using the Monte - Carlo method and conducting several experiments using Mean Square Error.Generally result show that Maximum Likelihood Estimation to estimate Reliability is better than the other methods , Regarding the practical aspect the data of life time for four machines from EIGC and found after using chi - Square test that the life time for test machines distribute Lognormal and the estimation of Reliability function for machines done using Maximum Likelihood Method

تحليل اثر تقلبات السوق المالية على اسعار الصرف في عدد من البلدان النامية مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == Effect of Financial Market Volatilities On The Exchange Rate In The Number of The Developing Countries Including Iraq

اسم المؤلف: بلال محمد اسعد محمود
اسم المشرف: عماد محمد علي عبد اللطيف العاني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2014
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يهدف البحث الى تحليل العلاقة بين بيانات مؤشر السوق المالية مع سعر الصرف الاجنبي في عدد من البلدان النامية، مع اثبات وجود اثر لتقلبات مؤشر السوق المالية على سعر الصرف الاجنبي لعملة البلد الذي يشهد تقلبات في سوقه الاساسي للاوراق المالية، مع التركيز على حالة | This study aim at analyzing the relationship between the financial market index data with the foreign exchange rate in the number of the developing countries, with certifying the existence of an effect to the volatilities of the financial market index on the foreign exchange rate of a country currency that witnesses volatilities in its basic financial market, with focus on a case of Iraq state, by using models of (GARCH) Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedascity with used recently in analyzing and discovering the volatilities in the financial markets particularly and the risks resulted in, and an extent of results accuracy of this model has been tested by using Granger causality test.The study includes the daily data of a sample for seven states (Iraq, Saudia Arabia, Qatar, Tunisia, Malaysia, Indonesia, UAE) for the period beginning in 2/1/2010 and till of 19/11/2013, because these are developing countries enjoying with active markets of the financial indexes besides the exchange rate, and their economies are nearly similar as depending on a basic resource the oil exports or tourism at large and similar to Iraq case.There are two methods to discuss and analyzing the relationship between the volatilities in the financial market and the volatilities in exchange rate : the traditional method and modern financial portfolio method. The study concluded that states (Indonesia, Saudia Arabia, UAE) has analysis results were identical to the classical method saying that the exchange rate effects on financial market index, while other states (Malaysia, Tunisia, Iraq) had analysis results were identical to the financial portfolio method which emphasizes that volatilities in the financial market index effect on currency exchange rate of these states.The bi - direction relationship between the financial market index and the exchange rate was appeared clearly in the case of (Qatar) state, since the analysis of data series of this state showed the existence of mutual effect to the volatilities of the two financial and exchange rate markets. Granger causality test has come to confirm an accuracy extent and the rightness to the estimated relationship and its identification to the Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedascity GARCH (1,1) for the financial time series of the states as sample under study.

قياس تاثير نافذة بيع العملة على التغيرات في سعر الصرف وعرض النقود في العراق == Measure The Impact of Currency Auction On The Variability of The Exchange Rate & Money Supply In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: بلال قاسم محمد حسن
اسم المشرف: محمود محمد محمود داغر
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان الحالة الانتقالية التي عاشها الاقتصاد العراقي بعد 2003، والتحول في اتجاهات السياسة النقدية حديثا اثر حصول البنك المركزي على استقلاليته استنادا الى قانون 56 لعام 2004، ادت الى استخدام السلطة النقدية ادوات حديثة وبما يتناسب مع متطلبات التوجه نحو نظام السوق من جهة، والخصوصية التي يتصف بها الاقتصاد العراقي في ظل الاختلال الهيكلي الذي يعاني منه فضلا عن تخلف النظام المالي والمصرفي من جهة اخرى.اتبعت السلطة النقدية سياسة استهداف التضخم من اجل الحفاظ على الاستقرار النقدي في البلد وعده حاضنة للنمو المستقبلي ، واستخدمت من اجل تحقيق هدفها سعر الصرف مثبتا اسميا Nominal Anchor ، بسبب ريعية الاقتصاد والهشاشة المالية Shallowness وانفصال القطاع الحقيقي عن النقدي مما يجعل القنوات التقليدية لانتقال اثر السياسة النقدية (معدل الفائدة) غير فاعلة بنسبة كبيرة . واستخدمت السلطة النقدية نافذة بيع العملة الية للسيطرة على سعر الصرف والتحكم به (في ظل نظام صرف معلن de Jure نظام تعويم مدار ، ونظام صرفي حقيقي de facto ينقسم لمرحلتين الاولى 2004 - 2009 نظام تعويم مدار والثانية 2009 - 2015 نظام سعر صرف ثابت)، وبما يحقق هدف استقرار الاسعار. نجحت السلطة النقدية من خلال استعمال نافذة بيع العملة في السيطرة على سعر الصرف وتقليص فجوة الصرف بين السعر الرسمي والسعر الموازي، ومن ثم الحفاظ على سعر صرف مستقر نسبيا للمدة 2004 - 2015 وبالتالي استقرار الاسعار والقوة الشرائية في الاقتصاد .الا ان نجاح هذه الاداة كان على حساب الضغط على الاحتياطيات الدولية لدى البنك المركزي في ظل الانفاق الاستهلاكي الكبير من قبل الحكومة، مقابل تناقص عائدات النفط التي تمثل المصدر الوحيد لعرض العملة الاجنبية . مما يجعل سعر الصرف مستقبلا هو الاخر غير قادر على الحفاظ على استقرار الاسعار وخفض التضخم، بالتالي تصبح العملة العراقية مهددة بالانهيار . ولكنها تبقى الاداة الفاعلة الوحيده لدى السلطة النقدية في ظل الظروف الخاصة التي يعيشها الاقتصاد العراقي. | The transition states that Iraq economy lived it after 2003. And the change in tools used by monetary policy based on C.B.I law 56 in 2004, under the especially situation for the economy (structural imbalances and the weakness of banking & financial sector).The monetary policy followed the inflation target policy to keep the monetary stability in the economy and considered it an incubator for future growth. It used the exchange rate as a nominal anchor to achieve the goal (because the rentier of economy, finance Shallowness & separation between real sector and finance sector, all this cause the normal channel to transfer the effect of monetary policy (interest rate) ineffective.For all that the monetary policy used the Auction as a mechanism to effect on exchange rate. And it’s succeed to controls the exchange rate and reduce the gap between the official price and real price to keep the exchange rate relatively stable for period 2004 - 2015 down to the stability of prices & purchasing power.But the succeed of Auction caused pressure on international Reserves in the C.B.I under the big government expenditure (especially the consumption expenditure) compared to a decrease of oil return, which represent the only source to supply the foreign currency. That makes exchange rate in the future inactive to keep the stability in the price and decrease the inflation.But the Auction still the only active tool used by the monetary policy under the especially situation the Iraqi economies lived.

انعكاسات التوازن الدينامكي على الاداء التسويقي من خلال ادارة علاقات الزبون : دراسة تحليلية لعينة من المصارف الخاصة في العراق == Reflections Equilibrium Dynamism On Marketing Performance Through Customer Relationship Management Empirical Study Applying of A Sample of Iraqi Private Bank Sector

اسم المؤلف: بلال جاسم القيسي
اسم المشرف: سعدون حمود جثير الربيعاوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2012
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الكلمات الدلالية:
  • المصارف
  • الاداء التسويقي
  • التوازن الديناميكي للتسويق
  • ادارة علاقات الزبون, التحالفات الاستراتيجية
  • المنافسة، التشريعات والقوانين
  • رضا الزبون
  • ولاء الزبون، قيمة الزبون
  • الاحتفاظ بالزبون
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: الغرض : تسعى هذه الدراسة الى تقديم وجهة النظر القائمة على الاداء التسويقي للمصارف في سياق التوازن الديناميكي للتسويق وادارة علاقات الزبون. فانه يهدف الى تطوير انموذج لقياس الاداء التسويقي في ظل الانموذج الديناميكي للتسويق المتمثل بالتحالف الستراتيجي والتن | Purpose : This study aims to offer a point of view stands on the marketing performance of the banks in the context of the dynamic equilibrium of marketing and customer relations management. It aims to develop the prototype of the marketing performance measurement under the dynamic prototype of the marketing embedded by the strategic alliance, competition, laws, and legislations by the customer mediate relationships management embedded by the dimensions (Retention the customer, customer satisfaction, customer loyalty, and the customer value), and exploring any of the variations and the dimension most influent in achieving the performance. This study aims to discuss the importance role of the dynamic equilibrium of marketing and its function in achieving the marketing performance under the customer relationships and its impact on the Iraqi banking sector.Study Problem : summarizes the research problem set of questions, and it was the most important : What is the role of CRM in achieving dynamic equilibrium of marketing in achieving performance marketing for banks operating in Iraq?, What are the strategic appropriate, or variable the basic adopted by management policy banks about Alliance,The competition, to reach optimal performance?.Design/Methodology/Approach : The Experimental methodology used has been used in the current study application , the questionnaire used to collect data for the sake of developing a correct trustworthy prototype measurement for the dynamic equilibrium of marketing and the customer relationships management variable in addition to the marketing dimension, a test for the hypothesis through using some statistical processes. The sample was selected from managers and department heads numbered (100) person, and hypotheses were tested through the use of some statistical treatments, was the most important path analysis. The most important hypotheses are (increasingly dynamic balancing effect of marketing in the performance marketing mediately customer relationship management indicators. Findings : The study reached an agreement sample that marketing performance is affected directly in the dynamics of the industry, the intensity of competition, and the uncertain environment that includes (degree of predictability in the business environment), a prototype has been develop measuring variables dynamic equilibrium of Marketing (Strategic alliances, competition, legislation, and laws) with variables of marketing performance (focus on the customer, focus on competitors), through mediation relationship management client (to keep the customer, customer satisfaction, customer loyalty, customer value), moreover, the results support the hypothesis of influence and correlation between variables surveyed.Conclusions and Recommendations : The study reached a number of conclusions, it is found that the most important contribution to the change in legislation and laws to bring about more positive changes performance marketing in the research sample banks, increases if the cross dimensions and customer loyalty more. Than it is through customer retention and customer satisfaction, while not appear legislation and laws in effect marketing performance through customer value. The study recommended that the need to invest progress of alliances and strategic competition, which was a high level of importance in strengthening the relationship with CRM customer Bmngarath (retain the customer, customer satisfaction, customer loyalty, customer value), and the need to tighten managers of banks surveyed to activate the legislation and laws that was a high level of importance in strengthening the relationship with the customer Bmngarath (strategic alliances, competition, legislation and laws), and that attention by winning directors came as a result of the application of personal professional skills by the sample.Practical implications : This study provides a useful measure of the equilibrium of marketing, and customer relationship management, it helps managers to use it to assess the current situation in the capabilities of the banks performance. Managers may improve their performance marketing programs more effectively and efficiently through their strategic orientation towards competition and alliance.Originality/Value : This study undertakes to help the service providers in the banking sector to address the challenge of increased marketing performance and achieve the dynamic balancing of marketing, and how to keep the equilibrium marketing in achieving performance marketing.

توظيف نظام دعم القرار الاستراتيجي على وفق مدخل اصحاب المصالح == Employing Strategic Decision Support System According To Stakeholder Approach

اسم المؤلف: بكر تركي عبد الامير خضير الحبيب
اسم المشرف: جاسم محمد الذهبي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2005
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة عامة
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تهدف هذه الدراسة الى توظيف تقانة نظم دعم القرار في عملية صنع القرار الاستراتيجي بالاستناد الى مدخل اصحاب المصالح الذي سيمثل القاعدة المعرفية للنظام المصمم. اما الاهداف التي يامل ان تحققها عملية التوظيف : فهي تحسين عملية صنع القرار الاستراتيجي من خلال توفي | This study aims essentially to Employ Decision Support System Technology in strategic decision making according to stakeholder approach which presents knowledge base of the system. Such a system can improve strategic decision making process through providing help to achieve better decisions in environmental conditions where multi - stakeholders play a great role to maintenance their different goals. The importance of study emerges from several aspects : Firstly it focuses on important and newer approach in strategic and organizational thought. Secondly the employed SDSS is truly rare in Arabic studies; furthermore employing process contain using the system in Ministry of Trade and Alrafdain College , This process can be considered an opportunity to investigate feasibility and adoption of Stakeholder Approach in public sector. Employing process depending on available knowledge embedded in Strategic Analysis Models; Support Systems and Information Technology Techniques.The study strives to construct all that in consistent integral synthesis, so the researcher has developed and adapted many tools for achieve an organic integrity of employed system. The process accomplished by using SDSS in analyzing two strategic problems : One of them is restructuring of configurations in Ministry of Trade (public organization ); and the problem of futuristic strategic threats in Alrafdein College(business organization). Study has found that strategic decision support system according to Stakeholder Approach can provide many facilities and advantages to strategic decision makers like : Using strategic analysis tools, adopt systematic logical thinking, and capitalize information technology abilities. Recommendations of study certify of : The importance of designing stakeholder's Information System, The necessity of Information Technology tools by establishment of special Center for DSS Research. Also mangers recognition must be directed towards stakeholders influence on organizational performance and work to integrate their goals in decision making.

واقع الخصوبة في العراق بالاعتماد على خارطة الفقر ووفيات الامهات لسنة 2013 : دراسة احصائية == The Reality of Fertility In Iraq Based On Poverty And Maternal Mortality Map For 2013 Statistical Study

اسم المؤلف: بشرى نصيف جاسم
اسم المشرف: ابتسام كريم عبد الله
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد الخصوبة احدى المكونات الرئيسة الثلاثة التي تقرر معدل النمو السكاني الى جانب الوفيات والهجرة. ومن ثم فهي تؤثر في مجمل البنية الديمغرافية والاقتصادية والاجتماعية للسكان وفي هجرتهم وتوزيعهم الجغرافي. وتعد الولادة عاملا بايولوجيا اكثر تعقيدا واصعب دراسة | Fertility is one of the three main components that determine the rate of population growth as well as mortality and migration. And thus it affects the overall demographic, economic and social structure of the population and in their migration and geographical distribution. Birth of biological factor is more complex and more difficult study of global deaths and migration due to the complexity and diversity of influences and volatility. fertility is calculated by the number of children born in a given year to the number of women in the age group (15 - 49) for the same year. And that the birth rate is controlled by several decisions about child - bearing or not.It has been estimated that fertility rates of direct and indirect ways by using the method (Brass and the way Cole - Trassel) In addition to identifying the most important factors that affect the total fertility rate by relying on survey data map of poverty and maternal mortality for the year 2013 for the purpose of calculating the total fertility rate for IraqI province (18 Province) direct method as well as the calculation of the independent variables, which is believed to have an impact on total fertility rates that have used one of the statistical packages which is Spss21 using multiple regression Stepwise factors method is a (family size, average per capita income, per capita spending on health, infant mortality rate, the proportion of poverty, the percentage of married - old (15 - 49), the percentage of illiterate women (15 - 49), the percentage of economically active women, the percentage of women in rural areas, the percentage of women with chronic diseases (15 - 49), change the place of residence (internal migration), the average age at marriage, percentage of the population under 15 years, the percentage of homes equipped with national electrolyte, the percentage of women (15 - 49) in addition to the use of the program (Spectrum) to estimate the total fertility and the preparation of the population and the rate of annual population growth and life expectancy of death as well as the median age for the period (2013 - 2050), according to fertility assumptions (high, medium and low level) for the purpose of population policy in the long run as well as the review of the most important demographic theories that are related to fertility and estimate a record number of fertility in Iraqi , and calculating the national fertility index for the year 2013 in Iraq, which amounted (14%) also were awarded a singles record (INP) of fertility on the basis of considering the 1997 base year

استخدام الصيانة الوقائية لتحقيق الميزة التنافسية : تصميم برنامج مقترح : دراسة حالة في الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية - معمل تموز للمكيفات == Using Preventive Maintenance To Achieve The Competitive Advantage : Designing Suggested Program A Case Study At General Company For Electric Industries/Tamouz Factory For Air Conditioners Manufacturing

اسم المؤلف: بشرى صبيح كاظم
اسم المشرف: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار | حيدر عبد حسن الجبوري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2006
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة صناعية
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان ازدياد حجم الاستثمارات في المنظمات الصناعية قد اعطى لوظيفة الصيانة اهمية بالغة بوصفها وسيلة تساهم في زيادة الانتاجية واطالة العمر الانتاجي للمكائن والمعدات كما انها تساعد في تحقيق المزايا التنافسية للشركة من خلال تخفيض الكلفة وتحسين الجودة والقدرة على

تقدير معلمات انموذج المعادلات الهيكلية المتضمن متغيرات الوساطة مع تطبيق عملي == Estimation of Structural Equations Model Parameters With Practical Application

اسم المؤلف: بشرى سعد جاسم
اسم المشرف: غفران اسماعيل كمال
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يستعمل تحليل الانحدار مع المتغيرات المصنفة الى صنفين صنف يمثل متغيرات مستقلة (Independent variables) واخر يمثل متغيرات تابعة (Dependent variables), فلذلك يقوم تحليل الانحدار بدراسة العلاقة بين المتغيرات المستقلة والمتغيرات التابعة, الا ان هذا التحليل يعمل | regression analysis use with classified variables into two class that represents the independent variables (Independent variables) and the other is a subsidiary variables (Dependent variables), for there the regression analysis study the relationship between independent and Dependent variables, but , this analysis works to know only the direct impact between the variables for this reason i use the structural equation Model (SEM) to identify and know the variables that are of indirect effects by estimating and testing parameters by set of methods (steps causal method, bootstrap method, method of multiplying the transaction ( parameters) product of coefficients, difference in coefficientsstructural equation model like other models are a matching variables tested with the phenomenon studied , test the compatibility of the variables that make up a structural equation model, and to achieve this condition, use Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) way to see match variables that compose it. After confirming the conformity of the model or suitability experimenting and having the effect of mediating variable in the model and mediation are two types : Single mediation where transmission of the influence of the independent variable to the dependent variable through the mediation of a single variable, and multiple mediation where is transition Effect independent variable x to the variable y through several mediation variables. the practical side of study include the effect of cultural stat of the man (X) in the use of violence against women (Y) through a series of mediation M_1variables represent (women's empowerment) and M_2represents (family planning) and the study data are taken from the integrated survey of social and health state for Iraqi women (I - WISH) for the year 2011 in the Ministry of planning - Central Statistics organazation, and this data applied conditions of adequate to structural equation model SEM and, and then estimate the parameters mediating variables and test their ability to move the indirect effect by the methods mentioned above using a program.AMOS V.23The researcher concluded that a moral mediation variables tested when using standard errors formulas for (Sobel and Goodman and Aroian) and compensated for in the test version of z all results be close itself in the other the researcher contrast were recommendations of the research is to use a single version of the standard errors formats (Sobel and Goodman and Aroian) to test the effect of mediating variables in the model, as the researcher found that the independent variable X (cultural condition of the man) affects the Y variable (violence against women) indirectly through mediation M_2variable (family) organization.

امكانية تطبيق متطلبات نظام الادارة البيئية واثرها في اداء العمليات : بحث تطبيقي في الشركة العامة لصناعة البطاريات == The Possibility of The Application of Environmental Management System Requirements And Their Impact On Operational Performance Applied Research In The General Company For The Manufacture of Batteries

اسم المؤلف: بشرى حسين عبد عباس العجيلي
اسم المشرف: سلوى هاني السامرائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة صناعية
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The research aims to test the effect of environmental management system (ISO 14001) in the performance of operations, effluents and pollutants that accompany operations of industrial organizations caused damage to various risks affect the environment and different levels depending on the nature of the industry. General Company for the manufacture of batteries with serious impact and damage to the environment and longer in order to move away Iraqi companies in general about the concept of the philosophy of environmental management system, which is a tool to improve environmental performance and thereby improve the performance of their production processes. On the basis of the problem that has been reflected a number of questions, most notably : 1. Does the officials and employees of the company under study envisions a clear concept of environmental management system and key paragraphs of Specification (ISO 14001).2. How can it be an effective environmental management system tool of Directors to improve the performance of the production processes.In light of this has been my thesis research two key link and influence of the environmental management system and operational performance mode, and designed a questionnaire to measure the variables of research and distributed to the 106 members of the staff of the General Company for the manufacture of batteries to form a research sample from diverse disciplines, in order to get the results used a number of means Statistical data processing such as the arithmetic mean and weighted percentage, standard deviation and analysis of simple linear regression, was reached a set of conclusions including : 1. The existence and effect link between the EMS relationship (ISO14001) and perform operations.2. emphasis on the application of paragraphs environmental management system in accordance with the standard (ISO 14001) larger, and that the environmental policy of the company to be declared and accessible to everyone.3. While recognizing the importance of the company's environmental management system and its impact on improving the performance of the operations, but they need to pay more attention to the requirements of the environmental management system.4. emphasis on the dissemination of the concept of environmental management system and its advantages in all the different levels of the company

تقييم واقع المختبرات المركزية في مستشفى الكاظمية التعليمي على وفق المواصفات الدولية ISO/IEC 17025 لسنة 2005

اسم المؤلف: بشرى حسن هاشم
اسم المشرف: سناء عبد الرحيم سعيد العبادي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2010
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة المستشفيات
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تسعى المختبرات الطبية في العالم الى تحقيق نتائج تحليلية صحيحة ودقيقة واثبات مستوى الدقة والصحة وزيادة الموثوقية التي تتميز بها نتائجها.ويتحقق ذلك من خلال تطبيق نظم ضمان الجودة وادخال اليات ضبط الجودة في العمليات التحليلية اليومية بشكل منهجي ومنظم.وتعد | Medical laboratories in the world want to achieve correct and accurate analytical results, To demonstrate the level of accuracy and correctness, and to increase the reliability that characterizes the results, Medical laboratories achieve this through the application of quality assurance systems and the introduction of mechanisms for quality control in daily analytical processes in a systematic and orderly manner. The global standard ISO 17025, which include general requirements to ensure the efficient performance of calibration laboratories, inspection and testing of the of international technical specifications is applied to operations and quality systems in laboratories, This study analyzes the reality of the total quality management for the central laboratories by comparing systems of work in the laboratories of Al - Kadhimiya Didactic Hospital with the requirements of ISO 17025 to determine the degree of compatibility and the willingness to adapt to the requirements of the above specification and to show the ability of building an applicable quality management system and to identify problems and their mitigations and prevention to increase.The study also aims increasing the accuracy of tests results through the development of administrative and technical systems for the laboratories. This study gains its importance from the importance of the labs which stems from the fact that the process of health is a set of interrelated activities, Medical examinations and tests constitute one of the fundamental pillars through correct diagnosis of the health situation and careful follow - up of patients as well as the importance of examining the problems encountered in the performance of medical laboratories, which are a constraint to the achievement of the main goals of the laboratories. Thus a Check list was prepared to derive from the requirements of the specification and the compatible tasks entrusted to the Kadhimiya hospital laboratories.The researcher arrived to the conclusions, that the achievement of the quality of the performance which is a dream of all organizations regardless of whether it belongs to the government sector, or to the private sector, means achieving existence, and consistent quality means the continuation of existence, and to strengthen quality means to strengthen presenceReliance is a means to achieve quality assurance as a process of continuous assessment and to obtain a certificate of reliability in the laboratory will be applied ISO 17025 with the methods and contexts for quality control.The study concludes with a set of recommendations ,One of the most important is building bridges of coordination with the Ministry of Health to adopt standards of quality and reliability to keep pace with progress in this area and to form a higher committee for quality and reliability in the health sector joining the Ministry of Health's authority and coordination with professional associations such as the Union of doctors, dentists , pharmacists, etc., in addition to the involvement of the Central Agency for Standardization and Quality Control as the representative of the Iraqi State in the International Organization for Standardization to strengthen the oversight role and application of the standards in the laboratory by developing a separate unit, trained and with specific tasks.

اليات بناء مؤشر السوق وانعكاساتها على المخاطرة النظامية : بحث تطبيقي في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية == The Market Index Mechanisms And Its Impact On The Systematic Risk - Applied Research In The Iraqi Market For Securities

اسم المؤلف: بشار هاشم رنكه
اسم المشرف: اياد طاهر محمد الجبوري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد مؤشر سوق الاوراق المالية احد المؤشرات الرئيسة للاستثمار في الاوراق المالية، اذ ترتبط المخاطرة النظامية باليات بناء مؤشر سوق الاوراق المالية، وتتجسد مشكلة الدراسة في جوانبها النظرية بوجود اليات لبناء المؤشر على اساس الترجيح بالقيمة السوقية او الترجيح | The stock market index is one of the main indicators of investment in securities, as linked to systematic risk build Securities Market index mechanisms, and the study embodied a problem in theoretical aspects the of mechanisms for the construction of the index on the basis of market value or weights equal or this individual share and price, on the other hand, the research problem is in systematic risk, which is one of the basics of investment securities, on the practical side, the construction of the index, according to these mechanisms reflect the systematic risk, and it has been chosen intentional sample (26 companies) of the shares listed on the Iraq stock Exchange companies Finance for a period of five years and a daily sessions (888 sessions).Along with the research issue, which discuss these point below : Do the market index mechanisms realistically measure systematic risk? Is that the mechanism used in the construction of Iraq Stock Exchange index accurately reflects the systematic risk? What are the most appropriate mechanisms in building Iraq Stock Exchange statistical notably {arithmetic mean, geometric mean and the correlation coefficient}. And of these questions aforementioned emerged hypotheses of the study, which centered on whether to reflect the different mechanisms of the market index and there were no significant differences in the risk of regulatory mechanism, and test three mechanisms for the construction of the index (stock price, market value, weights equal) in the Iraq Stock Exchange, and propose a fourth mechanism of a percentage of market value of shares traded to the market value of the company listed on the stock market within the index sample (as a future study). Notable among the findings of the study : in the financial market index values depending on the different mechanisms to build the index. And it does not mean convergence in the financial market index averages of the three mechanisms which previously discussed convergence of financial market returns. The direction of the stock market index up and down reflects a clear disparity in the financial market returns calculated on the basis of each indicator by mechanism built in isolation from each other, indicating the potential volatility of the index constituent stock returns and the attendant likelihood of systematic risk in the fluctuation.Of the key recommendations that emerged from the study : a study to choose another representative index sample through the historical information and activities of the company and traded volume in the financial market and the price of its shares and uninterrupted from the financial market and others funding sources (as a precaution to prevent money laundering within the financial market) during at least five years for companies included in the index is calculated, and then place the cursor to select the chosen sample.

التنبؤ باستعمال نماذج الانحدار الذاتي العامة المشروطة بعدم تجانس التباين (GARCH) الموسمية مع تطبيق عملي == Forecasting The Use of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Models (GARCH) Seasonality With Practical Application

اسم المؤلف: بريدة برهان كاظم
اسم المشرف: فارس طاھر حسن الكواز
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: مما لا شك فيه، تحظى نماذج GARCH) ) بالفاعلية والشعبية الكبيرة في نمذجة البيانات الاقتصادية والمالية، اذ تسمح للتباين المشروط بالتغير عبر الزمن، مما يجعلها اكثر واقعية في المجال الاقتصادي. وتتوفر ميزة اخرى مهمة في عالم الاقتصاد، ممثلة بالموسمية، الت | Un doubtedly , The GARCH model is very popular and effectiveness in economic and financial data , since it allows the conditional variance to vary over time , which makes them more realistic for the economic world. And there is another important characteristic in the economic world , Represented seasonality , that exist in high frequency data such as daily series , it can be seen in the real data of the exchange rate IQD/USD , Because there are seasonal conditional heteroscedasticity clearly shows in this data , Thereby are dealt with this type of data using Multiplicative seasonal generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic models , Because it is proven effective to express their seasonal phenomenon on the contrary GARCH models which do not contain seasonal vehicle. hence the aim of the research reaching a better model represents the seasonal data with proof of the effectiveness of the seasonal model in preference to the usual model. it has been used to detect seasonal presence in the data first , after that was diagnosed a problem of heteroscedasticity passing through the phase estimation using the conditional maximum likelihood and assuming normal distribution of errors , then determine the appropriate rank of the model using a number of special criterian Represented each of the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Schwartz Information Criterion (SIC) , Hannan Quinn Information Criterion (H - Q), down to the stage to predict , using two method to predict the first is the prediction in the sample , which objective was to infer the efficiency of the preferred model and the second way forecasting out of sample any prediction of future values.it is found through the application on the study data stages that the best model for predicting volatility is SGARCH (1,0)(1,0).

بناء انموذج محاكاة لايجاد معولية منظومة قدرة كهربائية == Building A Simulation Model To Find The Reliability of Electrical Power System

اسم المؤلف: بروين ايشا كيوركيس
اسم المشرف: خالد ضاري عباس الطائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2006
الموضوع الدقيق: بحوث العمليات
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: بعد التطور الكبير الذي حصل في مجال الحاسبات والاهتمام المتزايد باسلوب المحاكاة ومن خلال دراستنا وبحثنا في اساليب وطرائق بحوث العمليات كان الزاما علينا دراسة وتطبيق احدا اساليب بحوث العمليات المعروفة والتي نشعر بان لها فائدة عظيمة في خدمة قطاعات واسعة في ا | After the great development happened in computers field, the increasing interest in the simulation method, and through our study and research in methods and techniques of operations researches, it was necessary to study and apply one of the known operations researches methods, which we feel that it has a great benefit in serving many sectors in the society, and that is the simulation method.So we decided to merge between simulation and an other method which is not less important than it, which is Reliability.In the last years, the great and increasing interest in studying reliability method was due to the rapid technical development and using complex electronic systems, and relating between it and simulation method is an important thing, so we tried in this research to build a simulation model suitable for the system to measure its reliability and for two different study cases.The fist case is when it is possible to build a mathematical model (primary) for the system. Before starting with forming of reliability system, we must first specify the type of the system that we are going to work on. We chose surplus system to be our study system, because of its capability to provide many choices, in addition to that it permits increasing the reliability spite of external environmental pressures. Because of our many objectives that we wish to achieve in this stage of increasing the reliability, reducing the total cost and total weight of the designed system, we used multi - objective models. And for achieving desired objectives, we formed the model as a case of programming of nonlinear mixed integer numbers. After we had built the mathematical model for the system, we have now a model with three objective functions (reliability - cost - weight) and one condition of size. But when these objectives became unclear in their objective nature, it is possible to reform the case within the fuzzy theory, so we have in this case a reliability system with fuzzy objectives. To solve models like this, it had been made a computer program with Q - Basic language to find the results using FAGP and FNLP methods with the assistance of Monte - Carlo simulation method to find the perfect reliability for the surplus system.As for the second case when it is impossible to build a pre - model for the system, and this is what happens when we have a complex systems and nets, in which the normal methods becomes useless for the total reliability of the system, so we use the simulation method (flow method) and in a direct way to find the reliability.The flow method is applied to Al - Quds electric power distribution station, in which it had been made a computer program with Q - Basic language to find the total reliability for the station and lost power in the year, in addition to determine the number of breakdowns in the specified period, and we tried using simulation to improve the reliability of the station by adding a spare parts

الابتكارات الحديثة في انظمة المدفوعات وتاثيرها في استقرار السياسة النقدية مع اشارة الى تجربة الاتحاد الاوروبي

اسم المؤلف: برهان عثمان حسين البرزنجي
اسم المشرف: ثريا عبد الرحيم علي الخزرجي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2007
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

اثر تصميم الوظيفة في فاعلية فرق العمل : دراسة تطبيقية في دائرة مدينة الطب == The Affect of Job Design Team Work Effectiveness Empirical Study In Medicine City Organization

اسم المؤلف: براق طالب عبد الجبار الحيدر
اسم المشرف: صلاح محمود عبد الكريم الرحيم
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2007
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

معولية الانظمة الكبيرة القابلة للتصليح مع تطبيق عملي

اسم المؤلف: براق صبحي كامل
اسم المشرف: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2006
الموضوع الدقيق: بحوث العمليات
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: ان المعولية - كما هو معروف - موضوع واسع، بحيث لن يكون بالامكان تناول جميع طرائقه في رسالة واحدة. لذلك تم التركيز في هذه الرسالة على حساب المعولية للانظمة القابلة للتصليح باستخدام طريقتين، الطريقة الاولى هي اسلوب ماركوف بعد تحديد الحالات الانتقالية ومعدلا

المحفظة الاستثمارية الحديثة وامكانية تطبيقها : دراسة حالة سوق العراق للاوراق المالية == The Modern Portfolio Theory And Their Possible Application : Case Study of The Iraqi Market For Stock Exchange

اسم المؤلف: براء محي الدین ابراهیم الاعظمي
اسم المشرف: محمد صالح سلمان الكبيسي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2010
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: This study highlight the vital part of the economy but a portfolio investment, the fact that the portfolio selection process consists of two parts, one based on scientific facts is formed in front of investor The second part is the view of the individual Alchkssp direction of each molecule within the investment portfolio, which being, so the basic premise that the investor builds its conclusions on the extent of his faith in the future accomplishment earned him the financial market. The purpose of the selection problem of the thesis is not the absence of solutions, but the lack of a systematic economic address in full, and due to how the vision is most clearly as possible to both parts of the investment portfolio, namely, the return and risk, the problem is between what the investor wants achieved return for what is achieved already and what to accept the risk of confrontation and what is the risk of the portfolio in fact. It is this basis of this letter seeks to achieve several goals, the first access to the basic theory to solve the problem is the possibility of application of the theory of modern portfolio investment in the Iraqi market for securities and the suitability of the Iraqi economy, and the second the possibility of creating a wide application of policy Tnoieip efficient investment portfolio and third - term application of the method systematic scientific approach to portfolio investment in the Iraqi financial market and the fourth is the ability to build accurate conclusions for the future of racial and portfolio risk and return them by relying on historical data of each financial asset or several types of financial asset of one and the quality of the results achieved. Therefore, the premise upon which the study was the adoption of portfolio theory as a basis to draw a scientific and systematic way to access the maximum possible returns with the face of the lowest possible risk through the activation of efficient policy of diversification with the appropriate combination with the investment portfolio compared with similar work and act for the difference between methodological approach taken and the method of random non - systematic, the success of the hypothesis was tested by selecting a sample of joint stock companies operating in the Iraqi market for securities and depending on certain financial indicators to derive the most accurate results, which can show us the best possible vision for the future of the reality of the investment portfolio of the design was done investment vocabulary consists of the sample was selected based on efficiency in terms of return and low risk, and that led to the results proved the success of the user mode within the reality of the Iraqi economy. PDF created with pdfFactory Pro trial version www.pdffactory.com The letter contained five chapters discuss the first chapter in his upbringing and the concept of modern portfolio theory and overlap between them and the theory of economic benefit, while the Chapter II contains the components parts of the investment portfolio and how to build an investment portfolio modern theory of the basics, and Chapter III Regulations in the Iraqi market for securities and the fundamental basis of by the methodological approach taken in the test, the fourth chapter has also addressed the comparison between the portfolio working without scientific basis and the investment portfolio that has been adopted and built on scientific method and the theoretical foundation of the theory of portfolio investment, and that Chapter V contains the conclusions had been reached in the This study in addition to the recommendations it deems researcher within this message. The most important conclusions reached are : 1. Methods that must be followed to achieve the investment objectives selected in the squad for the wallet is pursuing a policy of investment Tnoieip efficient. 2. Indicated that follow such a systematic way has proved clear guidelines on the difference between him and the random - based Allaalmip, which showed no impact on the investment within the Iraqi financial market. 3. Find the way to determine the impact of mental outlook for the investor to both the size of the return that he wants to achieve in relation to the risk that possible to face in any combination selected by any policy Tnoieip followed. 4. Achieve scientific method used to infer two main points : A. Get on the prospects for more efficient to configure a variety of policy and the use of diversification that may be appropriate to the aspirations of the investor. B. The adoption of mobile style in his analysis of economic and financial indicators for companies selected for investment and thus takes into account the possible changes and jumps occur in each economy of any country in particular, periods of economic crisis being interested in measuring the indicators of historical formulas.

تقدير دالة الانتاج لبعض الصناعات التحويلية : دراسة تطبيقية == Estimating The Production Function For Some Manufacturing Industries (Application Study)

اسم المؤلف: براء خليل ابراهيم
اسم المشرف: احلام احمد جمعة
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء التطبيقي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد الصناعات التحويلية من الفروع الاساسية للقطاع الصناعي وهي احدى الانشطة الانتاجية التي ترتكز عليها الدول وتشغل موقعا مركزيا في اقتصاديات المجتمعات من حيث مساهمتها في دفع التنمية الاقتصادية, ومن المعروف ان زيادة الانتاج في اي منشاة صناعية يعتمد على مست | Transform manufacturing is one of the principle branches of the industrial sector which is one of the productive activities that countries emphasize and occupies a central position in the economies of the communities in terms of their contribution to economic development. It is well known that to increase production of any industrial facility depends on the level of productivity for each element of the production line. The goal of this research is; to find an estimate of the production function coefficients (Cobb - Douglas) for some manufacturing model, in a small industrial facilities in addition to the estimate of Multiple Linear Regression model to demonstrate the contribution of the factors of production to the number of employees and the value of input parameters (Independent Variables) on the value of production (Dependent Variables) by using the data that have been obtained from the annual reports issued by the Industrial Statistics Directorate of the Central Statistical Organization, for the period of (1990 - 2014) and thus address the research in theoretical side to a function (Cobb - Douglas) and their characteristics to the Multiple Linear Regression model. The results has shown that all the regression models were all true and statistically significant and satisfy the assumptions of the basic normals of the least squares. On the other hand the model for manufacturing of leather products suffered from the problem of Autocorrelation has been addressed, as (Cobb - Douglas) function estimates showed that industries with intensive use of labor as a reflection to a flexible working capital compared with the flexibility and facilities characterized by increasing returns to scale and characterized as labor intensive.

تطوير كفاءة الاداء المؤسسي للشركة العامة لخدمات الشبكة الدولية للمعلومات/ سيناريوهات مقترحة == Development of Organizational Performance Efficiency For SCIS : Suggestion Scenarios

اسم المؤلف: بان محمدعلي محمود
اسم المشرف: كامل كاظم بشير الكناني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: التخطيط الاستراتيجي
الدرجة: دبلوم عالي
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يهدف البحث الى تطوير كفاءة الاداء المؤسسي للشركة العامة لخدمات الشبكة الدولية للمعلومات، احدى الشركات التابعة لوزارة الاتصالات من خلال استخدام تقنية التخطيط بالسيناريو من خلال استشراف مستقبل هذه الشركة - التي تعد عينة البحث - وبما ينسجم مع بيئتها الخارجية | The research aims to development of the efficiency institutional performance of one of the Ministry of Communications companies, the State Company for Internet Services, through the use of planning by scenario for the purpose of exploring the future of this company, which is the research sample, and in line with the external environment and the research community of private companies and the public concerned with providing telecommunications services and information technology in Iraq, We have adopted in the formulation of scenarios on the descriptive way, we generate three scenarios that represent a scenario of optimism, and the scenario that demonstrates the possibility of continuation of the current situation with a bit of improvement, and the scenario of the worst case, This is done after initializing scenarios through environmental analysis and knowing the effecting powers and the uncertainty.The research gets results, and one of them is the need for institutions and companies to be flexible enough to adapt to changes in the work environment in Iraq for the citizen on the one hand, and the continuity of those institutions on the other hand in a way suit the current situation.

تحليل ازمة التخطيط في العراق في ظل التحول نحو اقتصاد السوق للمدة (2003 - 2013)م == Analysis of The Planning Crisis In Iraq Within The Transformation Toward Market Economy For The Period (2003 - 2013)

اسم المؤلف: بان خليل ابراهيم الموسوي
اسم المشرف: يحيى غني جاسم النجار
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يقدم هذا البحث عددا من التحليلات والشواهد النظرية والدلائل العلمية التي توضح مدى تاثير التغيرات والتحولات الاقتصادية العالمية على الاقتصاد العراقي الذي شهد التوجه نحوها منذ عام 2003م بعــــــد عقــــود من سيــــطرة الاقتصاد الموجه، مستعرضا ابرز مظاهر ال | This research presents many of theoretical analyzes and attestations, and scientific evidences showing the impact of global changes and economic transformations on the Iraqi economy, which is witnessing orientation towards it since 2003 after decades of domination - oriented economy, presenting the most prominent manifestations of economic transformation towards market economy (the advanced capitalist) of programs and policies strategy brought by global organizations of capitalism, which affected the planning trends and economic development objectives. We have been discussing many of the core issues such as advanced capitalism, market economy, liberalization and integration, privatization and direct foreign investment. In the midst of Iraq's transition towards market economy and to try to apply the trends mentioned above, the Iraqi economy bumped into crisis of tends applications. So it has become the achievement of development objectives necessarily requires a certain policies and procedures, which in turn requires the employment of means to achieve them within range of a specific time and through a scientific approach in the implementation of optimization in allocation of available resources, and this is what can not be automatically achieved. In other words, it is impossible to rely on the market mechanism in optimizing the best use of national resources, it has proven experiences of advanced capitalism itself that the market economy is unable to achieve the optimal allocation of resources without government intervention by means of formats and procedures include long - term economic plans. From this perspective highlights the role of meaningful economic planning as a scientific method is capable of running the economic development process safely, and that serve their goals in society as a whole service, along with the market economy form that makes their relationship become complementary, more precisely, to achieve coexistence between the private and public sector, with a greater role for the public sector. And within the activities of the public sector across the way planning levels is (preparation, implementation and follow - up implementation) many of the problems and obstacles that are crises appear, may be incurred and clarified a way that allows educate track and treatment to upgrade the Iraqi economy. Iraq remains important, like other developing countries is the (search for an economic system that takes advantages of the stylistic planning and the market mechanism, and excludes the negative impacts in line with global economic changes).

تاثير راس المال الاجتماعي في دعم العمل المنظمي لتحقيق الميزة التنافسية : دراسة ميدانية في الشركة العامة للصناعات الكهربائية == The Effect of Social Capital On Supporting Organizational Work To Achieve Competitive Advantage

اسم المؤلف: بان احمد عارف الخطاوي
اسم المشرف: سعد علي حمود عباس العنزي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2003
الموضوع الدقيق: ادارة اعمال
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: اهتمت هذه الدراسة بايجاد تاثير راس المال الاجتماعي عبر مكوناته (الزمالة، الثقة، التعاون، راس المال الفكري) في دعم العمل المنظمي عبر مكوناته (الالتزام التنظيمي، التطبيع الاجتماعي التنظيمي، الابداع الاجتماعي التنظيمي) لتحقيق الميزة التنافسية.تتلخص مشكلة ال | his study concerns with finding the effect of social capital including (Associability, trust, cooperation, and intellectual capital) on supporting organizational work that includes organizational commitment, socialization and social innovation. The essential problem of this study can be summarized that we lack an applied Iraqi or Arabian study concerns with the relationship of social capital with the supporting of organizational work to achieve competitive advantages. So, we attempt in this study to answer on such questions : what do we mean with social capital, its importance and components?. How is social capital built and invested?. , And what is the nature of social capital in the Iraqi organization that selected for the sample of our research. In order to handle the research problem and to achieve its aim, we suggested three main hypotheses, and of each one, some sub hypotheses are subdivided. The first one states “social capital has no effect on supporting organizational work”. Wherease the second one states “the supported organizational work has no effect on competitive advantage of organization”, and the third hypotheses states “there is no statistical relation of physical meaning between social capital and competitive advantage”.The three zero hypotheses are rejected, and other alternative hypotheses are accepted and tested with a number of statistical methods. Questionnaire is used to gather the data and information from study sample of (240) individuals, the workers in state establishment for electric industries.The study depended on ready measures for measuring the whole variables, and the all is tested according to validity and confirmation testing.This research come out with many conclusions, of which, the social capital with its four dimensions (Intellectual capital, trust, Associability and cooperation) led to the best division to knowledge ascribed to high levels of trust and proactive networks and to common objectives and frameworks in the company upon our research. In addition to that the lower turnover rates showed decreasing variability & training costs, the use of human resources, and the decisions characterized with stailty because they stem of common understanding in hand and development of social capital in other hand.The researcher recommends the following : the benefit of intelligent workers who are known of their accuracy in work, by distinguishing them and making them on the top of groups that make social capital. Those will give their ideas that present social and intellectual innovation to improve competitive advantage.

تحليل العوامل المحددة لسياسة الاقتراض العام : مصر حالة دراسية == The Analysis of Limited Factors For Policy of Public Credit , Egypt As Study Case

اسم المؤلف: باسم محمد تركي العواد
اسم المشرف: يسرى مهدي حسن السامرائي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2007
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: ماجستير
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The public credits are considered to be one of the most important source of the public - Revenues. In addition, they are considered to be modern tools for making and financing the public service which are brought into surface with the presence of the modern public financial concepts. moreover , they are distributing the financial - Burden among different section of the society. The public - credits ,also, affect the process of distributing the national income since they are recognized to be prominent tools for relating the fiscal - policy with monetary policy.The matter of increasing the public - credits economically , socially and politically is widely justified because of the government interfering in the economic and social fields.This interference leads also, to the increasing of the public payment which are used to save the other public revenues like taxes. This process of financing leads consequently to a deficit in the blanc of payments for a lot of countries that follow such policy. Addihoually, those countries make use of these credits to save the deficits. Therefore , these credits become like an active means to save the revenues which cannot be achieved by the taxes. Besides, the public credits are considered and recognized to be one of the most important means of the fiscal and economic policy to achieve the national intentions This study describes the problem of the public credits by tackling the main elements that affect this kind of policy.Besides, the study makes some application to the public credits policy in Egypt. The changes in Egyptian economics have been determined when the affective elem ents of the internal and external crediting policy are dealt with especially after the application of the reformation policy after 1990. The study is divided into three main chapters. The first are deals with the concept of the public credits.This chapter is divided into two sections.The first one tackles the development of this concept from the traditional thought till the modern one.While, the second section deals with the technical way of systemizing the public credits in the form of conditions and issues.The second chapter analyzes the economic and social elements which determine the main policy of crediting.This chapter is also divided into two sections.The first one deals with the economic elements whiles the second one tackles the political and social elements that determine and form the policy of crediting. The third chapter is dedicated to deal with the elements of crediting in Egypt. It is divided into three sections. The first one deals with the affective elements of the amount of the internal and external public crediting.The second section is dedicated to highlight the economic elements that form the policy of the public crediting in Egypt. The third section tackles the political and social elements that form the public crediting policy.Finally , the last chapter sums up the finding that the study come with

التحليل البيزي لنماذج الانحدار الخاصة بالبيانات المزدوجة (panel data) == Bayesian Analysis For Regression Panel Data Models

اسم المؤلف: باسم شليبه مسلم عباس القيسي
اسم المشرف: اموري هادي كاظم الحسناوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2009
الموضوع الدقيق: الاحصاء
الدرجة: دكتوراه
الجامعة: جامعة بغداد
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تعد البيانات الاحصائية ضرورية عند دراسة اغلب ظواهر المجتمع ومنها الظواهر الاقتصادية والاجتماعية والنفسية الخ كون تحليل تللك البيانات باستخدام الاساليب الاحصائية توفر للباحث او متخذ القرار حول الظاهرة المدروسة قاعدة من المعلومات الضرورية لتسهيل عملية اتخاذ | The statistic data is important to study most of phenomena as economical , social , psychological phenomena..etc. The analysis of this data via the statistical methods gives the researcher or the decision maker more information about the studied phenomenon to make the suitable decision. The data availability needs to limit a mathematic model which represents them by the researcher and to put in consideration the type of the available data. One of the these data is panel data which can be defined ( that they are repeated measurements to the studied phenomena for N from the cross section and for T from the time series ) which can be represented by one of the model ( fixed effect model or random effect model ).Most of the studies exposed estimation of the chosen model parameters by using the classical methods as GLS and FGLS methods , whereas this research touches on the Bayesian methods to estimate parameters , especial regressive model (panel data) ,depending on the priors distributions ( non informative prior dist. and conjunct prior dist. ) and to compare them with ML method to chose the best ones for estimation and choosing.After doing two practical applications in the research ,we obtained findings. ML method was the most significant for estimating the model parameters for the fixed effect model and pooling model. Bayes method which depends on non informative prior distribution , got the second grade.When using Bayes method depending on prior distribution used in the research to estimate the fixed model parameters when the cross sections number are little to get multivariate - t posterior distribution , and if it is used with random effect model we get multivariate normal after making asymptotic expansion with existing of a loss function of the weighed squired error.
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