البحث — المستودع الرقمي العراقي

نتائج البحث: 10 من أصل 35

قياس وتحليل دالة الطلب على النقود في العراق في الامد الطويل والقصير في اطار التكامل المشترك Measuring And Analyzing The Demand Function For Money In Iraq For Long - Term And Short - Term Under The Co - Integration Framework

اسم المؤلف: خليل اسماعيل عزيز

اسم المشرف: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: دكتوراه

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: يعد الطلب على النقود احد طرفي التوازن النقدي الذي يشكل عرض النقود طرفه الاخر من المتغيرات النقدية الاساسية التي تم التركيز عليها في النظريات النقدية , وتكتسب دراسة وتحليل دالة الطلب على النقود اهمية خاصة سواء في الاقتصاديات المتقدمة ام النامية, وتساهم هذ | The demand for cash as one of the main variables in the cash theory is one of the two sides of money equilibrium which the supply for cash is the other side. The demand for cash model has special importance in the developed and developing countries equally. This dissertation aims to study and estimating the demand for cash and the effecting factors in Iraq for the period from 1990 - 2014. The cash for demand model was estimated by using (ARDL) and bound test to test the Cointegration and the long - run and short - run between the demand for cash in Iraq as a depended variable which is determined by bunch explanatory variables i.e. Gross Domestic Product in fixed prices(GDP), nominal interest rate, inflation rate and Iraqi Dinar rate of Exchange. The relationship among the variables was examined by Impulse Response Function (IRF) through which the internal variable shock impact will be measured in VAR model on the present and future values. The Johansen test results came out to confirm integrated direction relationship of one of the study variables whether using Trace Test or Maximum Eigenvalue test , as the estimated value was found to be greater than the critical value for both the cases at the significant level (p=0.007) for Trace Test and (p=0.018) for Maximum test, which indicates the long - run equilibrium relationship among the study variables and subsequently indicates integrated direction relationship between the real demand for money as a dependent variable and the other explanatory variables. The study is also confirms a short - run equilibrium among the study variables in direction of long - run equilibrium according to the error rectification model and the short - run relationship under ARDL model. The results of the long - run relationship between of the demand for money and its limitations came out to confirm the short - run relationship, and in other side the estimated value of ARDL test according to (SUSUMSQ) and (CUSUM) as it's within the critical area, therefore, the variables are stable for both the short - run and the long - run.

بدائل الطاقة وانعكاساتها على التنمية المستدامة في دول نفطية مختارة اشارة للعراق Energy Alternatives And Impacts On Sustainable Development In Selected Oil Countries With Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: حيدر ظاهر محمد القره لوسي

اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: ماجستير

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: ان تحقيق التنمية المستدامة في الدول النفطية واجهها العديد من التحديات الدولية والمحلية التي انعكست على هذه الدول في مسيرة التنمية, من جهة تواجه الدول النفطية صعود بدائل الطاقة التي قد تحد وتؤثر سلبا على عوائدها النفطية في المستقبل, ولاسيما مع زيادة الاهت | The achievement of sustainable development in the oil - producing countries faced many international and domestic challenges that are reflected on these countries in the development process, from the point of oil - producing countries facing the rise of energy which may limit the negative impact on oil revenues in the future, especially with the increased attention to environmental problems and the need to dismiss sources of alternatives pollution and that of the most important sources of fossil fuels, which will contribute to reducing the importance of depleted resource in the future, on the other hand, the oil - producing countries to get rid of dependence on non - renewable resources in the financing sources of income and finding sources of income more sustainable for the future, so that follow sustainable development in the oil - producing countries in the exploit their own resources to finance the sustainable economic development of all dimensions (economic, social and environmental) and achieve a sustainable balanced development of all dimensions and areas, which will ensure dismiss rely on depleted supplier and find a variety of sources of income and more sustainable Pat things to be achieved in these countries, as well as to save the generations rights next in natural resources, so the oil - producing countries, especially Iraq, the optimal strategy to exploit the depleted supplier that achieve the highest possible return first, and to achieve sustainable development of economic sectors all Secondly, the development of human resources and convenient output mode to suit the sustainable economic development requirements Third, to achieve the three goals above in oil - producing countries to achieve sustainable economic returns to enable them to get rid of the one - sided economy and diversify sources of income, such as well as ensuring the rights of future generations in the future.

التاثيرات المتبادلة بين السياستين النقدية والمالية وامكانية التنسيق بينهما لتحقيق الاستقرار في الاسعار : العراق حالة دراسية Mutual Influences Between Monetary And Fiscal Policy And Possibility of Coordination Between Them To Achieve Stability In The Prices (Iraq Case Study)

اسم المؤلف: حسين خالد حسين الصميدعي

اسم المشرف: نهاد عبد الكريم احمد العبيدي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: ماجستير

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: The research assumes that the lack of coordination in the economy between monetary and fiscal policy will make the general level of prices in an unstable state.The research aims to clarify the objectives of coordination between monetary and fiscal policy, particularly since there are reciprocal influences between them this as well as the implications of the lack of coordination, In addition to the damages that may result in the economy, especially in developing countries such as Iraq as a case study.In order to briefing the subject of research, it has been divided into three chapters. Cares the first chapter of the theoretical framework for both monetary and fiscal policy and the interaction between them, and the second chapter dealt coordination and mutual influences for both policies, The third chapter addresses the coordination between monetary and fiscal policy in Iraq, Finally came the conclusions and recommendations reached by the researcher.The research concluded that the stability in the general level of prices, which is currently in Iraq was continuing because daily interventions of the Central Bank through currency auction. In addition Iraq has suffered since 2004 from weakness in the coordination process and until 2014, where a clear program is not available or formal framework for coordination in Iraq. But because of lower oil prices, the start of coordination between the central bank and the government to plug the budget deficit.Research has recommended that it should be both authorities agree on a common goal to achieve specific objectives for both the two policies and selecting the optimal mix that achieves this goal. Increase the credibility and transparency of the two policies through the increase in the effectiveness of the Central Bureau of Statistics, as well as the announcement of all important economic indicators. Continued the modern economy that every action taken by fiscal authority has implications on the monetary policy operations, And vice versa. Especially since the monetary and fiscal authorities have different targets led to the appearance of a conflict in the application of monetary and fiscal policy which would disappoint policies to achieve their objectives. So the modern economy cares very attention for coordination issues between monetary and fiscal policy where the need to effective coordination requires a sustainable and credible policies. So the modern economy cares very attention for coordination issues between monetary and fiscal policy where the need to effective coordination requires a sustainable and credible policies. In addition to the presence of another condition you must be met in coordination called the institutional and legal arrangements for coordination.Iraq needs to coordination between the monetary and fiscal authorities and institutional arrangements for this coordination more than other countries, especially after the modern trends pursued by the monetary and fiscal policy after 2003. Where both the two policies taken opposite directions, monetary policy has taken a deflationary policy but fiscal policy, it has taken an expansionary policy, which reduced the expansionary fiscal policy success rates and cost of monetary policy many financial costs. The importance of this research from the benefits to the economy of the coordination process, as it will make the two policies agree on common goals, which soften or eliminate current and future conflicts between the central bank and the government.In relation to the research problem is that the weakness in the coordination process creates a state of imbalance and economic instability, as both the two policies become incapable of achieving their objectives as required, in particular the stability in the general level of prices

العلاقة بين مكونات الطلب الكلي وتوزيع الدخل في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2014) The Relationship Between The Aggregate Demandcomponents And Income Distribution In Iraq For The Period (1990 - 2014)

اسم المؤلف: حسن خلف راضي

اسم المشرف: فارس كريم بريهي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: دكتوراه

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: تهدف هذه الدراسة الى اختبار العلاقة بين مكونات الطلب الكلي،وتوزيع الدخل في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2014) باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية بالاسعار الجارية وبالصيغة اللوغاريتمية، وامكانية الاجابة عن الاسئلة، هل انعكس توزيع الدخل في النمو الاقتصادي على واقع ا | This study aimed at testing the relationship between the components of aggregate demand and income distribution in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2014) using time series data at current prices and as logarithmic. It also aimed to answer the following questions : was the income distribution reflected on the reality of the rentier Iraqi economy? Were the aggregate demand components able to achieve the fair distribution of the income in the Iraqi economy? And was the growth achieved first or the distribution and the response exchange between them when tracking the time and quantitative path of the study variables? for the purpose of proving the study hypothesis which states that the relationship between the aggregate demand components and the income distribution in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2014) is weak. In addition, the study aimed at testing the relationship between the components of aggregate demand and economic growth in Iraq. The study also measures and analyzes the relationship between the expenditure and the economic growth and Gini index to measure the inequality in the distribution of income according to a family survey of the year 2012. Determining the reality of the of the aggregate demand components and the distribution of the growth benefits and their effect on the inequality in the incomes distribution in the Iraqi economy which is described as a rentier economy. The distribution of delay model (ARDL) was used. All the variables of the study were shown to be stable at first difference or at the level of some variables. The long and short - term equilibrium relationship (co - integration) between variables and test the causality of these variables was tested. Tests showed that governmental spending has positive impact in the short term and negative impact through long - term in the model that measures the relationship between aggregate demand components and economic growth. The individual spending was found to have a positive impact on the average income of the individuals for the short term because increasing spending leads to an increase in the economic growth. Negative impact in the average spending was found over the long term for economic growth. The Gini index for measuring the disparity in income distribution had no significant impact in the long term on the growth in the provinces of Iraq. The remaining variables included in the study were found to have no effect in the short - term economic growth, where the parameters of these variables were low and has no impact on the growth. The study recommended the diversification of income sources in Iraq

معوقات التنمية الاقتصادية في العراق بعد عام 2003 بحث تحليلي مقارن في ضوء معطيات التجربة الماليزية Impediments of Economic Development In Iraq After 2003, A Comparative Analysis of The Malaysian Experience

اسم المؤلف: حامد رحيم جناني

اسم المشرف: لورنس يحيى صالح

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: ماجستير

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: ان الاقتصاد يشكل حجر الاساس في بناء كيان الدولة، وعامل اساس في صناعة الاستقرار العام كونه يمثل بنية تحتية يساهم في صناعة القيم الاجتماعية السائدة وشكل الدولة السياسي،وبذات الوقت ان الاصلاح الاقتصادي وتحقيق التنمية هو نتيجة طبيعية للدولة المتماسكة الحديثة | Economy is the foundation stone of the state and an important factor in the stability of the state. It is an essential factor in the formation of the prevailing social values and the policy of the state At the same time, economic reform is the product of a cohesive modern state.That means that economy is a cause and an effect. Economy plays a major role in Iraq, which is suffering from a difficult and exceptional circumstances because of the lack of balance between the elements of economic development and its economy. The necessary condition to achieve development is the diagnosis of the obstacles that prevent the development and study of international experience in a country has achieved development. This requires a study of the concept of economic development and take advantage of intellectual development at the level of modernity. Then the Obstacles of the development are analyzed comprehensively. After that the ways to achieve the development of the Iraqi economy are showed because the Iraqi economy has important ingredients and opportunities that make it capable of achieving development. In order to achieve the above, we should follow the induction in Iraq and the elicitation to clarify the experience of Malaysia for achieving economic development The Malaysian circumstances before development were similar to the current Iraqi circumstances. Consensual democracy is the reason of the political struggles in Iraq as well as the reality of the situation explains there is an inverse relationship between oil's revenues and achieving development in Iraq because of the dominance of government on the economy and the emergence of Dutch disease The decision - makers' will and ability should be available at the level of development that coupled with the strategic economic planning

تحليل ازمة التخطيط في العراق في ظل التحول نحو اقتصاد السوق للمدة (2003 - 2013)م Analysis of The Planning Crisis In Iraq Within The Transformation Toward Market Economy For The Period (2003 - 2013)

اسم المؤلف: بان خليل ابراهيم الموسوي

اسم المشرف: يحيى غني جاسم النجار

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: ماجستير

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: يقدم هذا البحث عددا من التحليلات والشواهد النظرية والدلائل العلمية التي توضح مدى تاثير التغيرات والتحولات الاقتصادية العالمية على الاقتصاد العراقي الذي شهد التوجه نحوها منذ عام 2003م بعــــــد عقــــود من سيــــطرة الاقتصاد الموجه، مستعرضا ابرز مظاهر ال | This research presents many of theoretical analyzes and attestations, and scientific evidences showing the impact of global changes and economic transformations on the Iraqi economy, which is witnessing orientation towards it since 2003 after decades of domination - oriented economy, presenting the most prominent manifestations of economic transformation towards market economy (the advanced capitalist) of programs and policies strategy brought by global organizations of capitalism, which affected the planning trends and economic development objectives. We have been discussing many of the core issues such as advanced capitalism, market economy, liberalization and integration, privatization and direct foreign investment. In the midst of Iraq's transition towards market economy and to try to apply the trends mentioned above, the Iraqi economy bumped into crisis of tends applications. So it has become the achievement of development objectives necessarily requires a certain policies and procedures, which in turn requires the employment of means to achieve them within range of a specific time and through a scientific approach in the implementation of optimization in allocation of available resources, and this is what can not be automatically achieved. In other words, it is impossible to rely on the market mechanism in optimizing the best use of national resources, it has proven experiences of advanced capitalism itself that the market economy is unable to achieve the optimal allocation of resources without government intervention by means of formats and procedures include long - term economic plans. From this perspective highlights the role of meaningful economic planning as a scientific method is capable of running the economic development process safely, and that serve their goals in society as a whole service, along with the market economy form that makes their relationship become complementary, more precisely, to achieve coexistence between the private and public sector, with a greater role for the public sector. And within the activities of the public sector across the way planning levels is (preparation, implementation and follow - up implementation) many of the problems and obstacles that are crises appear, may be incurred and clarified a way that allows educate track and treatment to upgrade the Iraqi economy. Iraq remains important, like other developing countries is the (search for an economic system that takes advantages of the stylistic planning and the market mechanism, and excludes the negative impacts in line with global economic changes).

فاعلية سياسة التمويل الزراعي في تحفيز الاستثمار : المبادرة الزراعية في العراق عام 2008 انموذجا The Effectiveness of Agricultural Financing Policy In Stimulating Investment (In 2008 Model Agricultural Initiative In Iraq)

اسم المؤلف: اياد كاظم عيدان البولاني

اسم المشرف: سعد عبد نجم عبد الله العبدلي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: دكتوراه

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: تعد سياسة التمويل الزراعي احد اهم السياسات الزراعية والتي يتم من خلالها تحديد الاجراءات والقواعد الخاصة بالتمويل بعد ان تقوم الحكومة بتوفير رؤوس الاموال اللازمة لتحفيز الاستثمار والنهوض بالقطاع الزراعي وتنميته.نطلقت الدراسة من مشكلة مفادها (( ان عدم التز | The procedures and rules for funding after that the government will provide the necessary capital to stimulate investment and the promotion of the agricultural sector and development, centered research problem through the following (The lack of commitment to agricultural finance some of the bases for the right financing and rules Policy represented by (having hand specialist paint financing policy, the existence of a full credit plan depends accurate statistics for the agricultural sector, setting priorities and realistic targets, provide agricultural finance policy, one of the most important agricultural policies and by which to determine the guarantees...), as well as the lack of compatibility and coordination between them and the economic and agricultural policies It leads to weakening its effectiveness in stimulating agricultural investment and achieve its development goals. that seeks to achieve, has tested the hypothesis that there is a positive relationship between agricultural finance and stimulate investment, but conditional on the availability of rules and conditions for the proper funding the study, the study is aimed at several objectives the most important study of the effectiveness of the financing of the agricultural initiative launched by the Iraqi government, after which the policy in 2008 to stimulate agricultural investment, and that characterized previous funding policies as including not only agricultural loans, but they include the provision of additional funds in the budget to support infrastructure projects to the ministries of agriculture and water resources, and to support activities and projects chock agricultural sector through the Executive Office of the agricultural initiative, the descriptive approach to adopt in the theoretical side, and drop the study on the ground through the analysis and measurement of some economic indicators (local agricultural output, capital formation agricultural hard money, the total area under cultivation, production, productivity and space for crop strategic wheat), and some of the lending and finance indicators, where it was compared to the time that the agricultural initiative worked out a period of study (2008 - 2015) with the previous period of time (1995 - 2007), indicating the impact of disbursements on the agricultural sector on the economic indicators mentioned above. the researcher found to a number of the most important conclusions lack the initiative to plan credit when marque shares and clearly in the disparity in the size of loans and the number of beneficiaries from one province to another and from one year to another, and the funding of the initiative is directly dependent on the general budget, which is completely dependent on oil revenues affected and directly on the annual allocations which saw fluctuation and lower after falling oil prices after 2014, as the initiative has seen weakness in the follow - up and monitoring of loans and coincided with a deterioration of the security situation in some provinces, the study made several recommendations, the most important limitation of agricultural finance policy agricultural cooperative bank after the restructuring, and to link lending to savings, and the trend towards targeted loans that serve the agricultural sector, and activating the monitoring and follow - up of loans granted to a system that granted exclusively for those working in the agricultural sector who own agricultural land after confirmation of their qualifications, including their merit and credit reputations of literary and historical

تاثير التضخم المستهدف والناتج المحتمل في السياسة النقدية للعراق Impact of Inflation And Potential Output In The Monetary Policy In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: اسراء عبد فرحان

اسم المشرف: محمود محمد محمود داغر

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: دكتوراه

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: تهتم السياسة النقدية اهتماما كبيرا بتحقيق الاستقرار النقدي، من خلال رسم السياسة المؤثرة والمسيطرة على كمية النقود، والهادفة الى تحقيق الاستقرار في المستوى العام للاسعار وتحقيق التشغيل عند المستوى المحتمل للناتج وتحقيق النمو الاقتصادي، وصولا الى ادنى فج | Recent years monetary policy more focused on monetary stability goal , through the drawing influencing policy and controlling the quantity of money and aimed at achieving stability in the general level of prices and achievement of operating when the potential level of output and economic growth, reach the lowest output gap as well as with cross - target cash economy minimization of inflation gap.This study deals with the relationship between inflation and economic growth and estimating product gap of the Iraqi economy duration (1990 - 2014).Iraq's economy is suffering from an approximately complete separation between the monetary sector and the real sector, because of the absence of control mechanism after transmission of monetary policy to the real economy through controlling inflation at its target with a nominal anchor of monetary policy.Monetary policy is working in the Iraqi economy in the absence of the actual use of this potential output in the case that has been estimated, as well as attempting to estimate gap (inflation and output) and analysis of their direction and their impact on monetary policy. The researcher attempt to measure the relationship between the two gap and the nominal anchor.For checking which nominal anchor more accurate we used a model of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Estimate ARDL and test the Bound test to test the joint integration and the relationship of long and short - term between the variables under study, as well as induced response to test the relationship between the variables that measure the impact of the trauma suffered by the internal variable in the VAR model on the current and future values of other internal variables in the model function analysis conclusions reached the ineffectiveness of interest rate anchor nominal monetary policy to target inflation and the output of the Iraqi economy during the period of study, as well as the effectiveness of the exchange rate in effect at the gap (inflation and output).

قياس وتحليل تاثير صدمات السياسة المالية على بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية في العراق للمدة 1990 - 2014 Measure And Analyze The Impact of Fiscal Policy Shocks On Some Macroeconomic Variables In Iraq For The Period 1990 - 2014

اسم المؤلف: اسراء سعيد صالح العبيدي

اسم المشرف: محمد صالح سلمان الكبيسي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: دكتوراه

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

توجه البرنامج الحكومـي في العراق نحو القـطاع الصناعي الخاص في ظل التحديات الاقتصادية Government Program And Its Orientation Towards The Private Industrial Sector In Iraq Under The Economics Challenges

اسم المؤلف: اثير ناطق محمد نجيب

اسم المشرف: فارس كريم بريهي

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2016

الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد

الدرجة: دكتوراه

الجامعة: جامعة بغداد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: ان عملية تطور الاقتصاد الصناعي كانت مرتبطة مع النظرية الاقتصادية في ظل نشوء الدول القومية, حيث تمت عملية التحول من الصناعة الحرفية البسيطة الى المشاغل التي يديرها الافراد ضمن القطاع العائلى ضمن اطار القطاع الخاص في اطار اقتصاد السوق, ولم تبرز اهمية الصناع | The creation and development of the industrial sector related with economic theory along ages, and the transition from the domestic industries toward the man factors came under the market economy frame work, and the rule of this sector became obvious for a long time till the industrial mercantilism which the merchants ruled and managed the industries along the production phases, then by the government in order to serve the nation interest sector. the private industry sector has the importance rule in the planning of the economic political within its development degree. The industry developed in the advanced countries under the activities of the private industry sector which raised under the patronage of the state till the recent time while its raised down in most of the devolvement countries under the sovereignty of the public sector.but late wakens became after the faller rule of the industrial public sector makes these countries tried to re framed its politics under the dependency of their debts which put them under the a critical position. Never the less, many countries experiment success other was scrambled, but in Iraq the importance of the private sector increased in the recent time after the contraction of the internal variables also the needs of these variables which represented by the cosmic tools which leads by the international institutions.thus its became vitally to re analyze to maximize the success opportunity under the recent challenges and to focus on the most threats which face this sector.