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قياس وتحليل اتجاهات النمو الاقتصادي في دول عربية مختارة مع التركيز على العراق للمدة 2000 - 2013 Measurement And Analysis of The Trends of Economic Growth In Selected Arab Countries With A Focus On Iraq For The Period 2000 - 2013

اسم المؤلف: مينه عبد الحسين كريم الفتلاوي

الجامعة: جامعة بابل - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم العلوم المالية والنقدية

اسم المشرف: احمد خليل الحسيني

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

الموضوع الدقيق: العلوم المالية والمصرفية

الدرجة: ماجستير

اللغة: العربية

السنة: 2015

مكان الجامعة: بابل

المستخلص: تعد دراسة النمو الاقتصادي لاي بلد من المواضيع المهمة والصعبة لان اهميته تتاتى من ضرورة استمرار تاثر النمو الاقتصادي وتطوره واستدامته مع الزمن من اجل تحقيق هدف التطور وتعزيز الرفاه الاقتصادي لعدد السكان الحالي والمستقبلي. فان عملية النمو للبلدان العرب | The study of the economic growth of any country is an important topic and it is difficult at the same time its importance comes from the need to continue to be affected and the evolution of economic growth and sustainability over time in order to achieve the goal of developing and promoting the economic well - being of the number of current and future population.The growth process of the Arab countries selected in the study (United Arab Emirates, Egypt) may be an easy and understandable. There is no need to complicate it for the enjoyment of their economies, the kind of stability and diversity of resources, while in Iraq, the issue is complex and thorny for of several aspects, some dating back to previous eras and the other due to political and security events experienced by the country up to the present.Therefore, the study cited in the first chapter (theoretical framework for economic growth and economic development) are distributed in three sections are : - Section one : - Theoretical framework for economic growth.Section two : - Sources of economic growth.Section three : - Theoretical framework for economic development.Chapter two is divided (analysis of Economy variables for the sample countries and Iraq for the period (2000 - 2013)) into three sections : - Section one : - Analysis of the UAE economy variables.Section two : - Analysis of the Egyptian economy variables.Section three : - Analysis of the Iraqi economy variables.Chapter three (the measurement and analysis of the economic growth of the sample countries and Iraq for the period (2000 - 2013)) deals with two topics namely : - Section one : - Characterization and formulation of standard models.Section two : - Determination and analysis of standard forms elected.The third chapter is tests the Stability of growth indicators included in the standard models by testing unit root (Test Dickey Fuller expanded), where the results indicate that the growth indicators of the UAE and Egypt are stable at the second difference and the level of significance is of 5%. As in Iraq, the indicators of growth has stabilized in the first difference and the level of significance is of 5%. also tests the common integration (Johansen) to see if there is a long - run equilibrium relationship between economic variables? It has a test of causality (Granger) to see the mutual influence between the growth indicators Is it a one - way? Two - way? Or there is no effect ?these variables to help determine the knowledge of what has been achieved of this development of whether this development is purposefully directed through economic plans or was the will of fate ; and that this is what has already been achieved in accordance with the curriculum adopted since been reviewed economic growth indicators has been reviewed by Digital facts and at the macro level for the period (2000 - 2013) in addition to using economic methods of measurement through a production function model (Cobb - Douglus) and the model of (Kaldor) and methods of mathematical measurement through model (Harrod - Doumar) to know the level of economic growth in those countries as well as in support of the analysis which was based on Digital facts. Where it turns out that the best model for the Production Function (Cobb - Douglus) is in Egypt, where the flexibility of the labor (salaries and wages) 0.23 and flexibility of the total fixed capital formation 0.22, the best model for Kaldor is in the UAE productivity parameter which was larger than the one is 2.174 denoting a high production efficiency, and the best model of Harrod - Doumar was in Iraq as the Iraqi economy achieved a maximum rate of economic growth in 2004, reaching 35.13%.

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