Share
قياس اثر الارتداد الزمني في تفسير مسار دالة الاستهلاك في العراق : دراسة تطبيقية للمدة (1997 - 2012) == The Measuring of The Impact of Time Lag On Determining The Path of The Consumption Function In Iraq - An Application Study For The Period (1997 - 2012)
Author name:
اطياف عصام حسين الجبوري
Supervisor name:
حسين ديكان درويش الدليمي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Banking & Finance Science
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Babylon - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Financial And Banking Sciences
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Babylon
First pages:
07T3319 - p.pdf
Abstract:
يهدف البحث الى تحديد وقياس اثر نماذج الارتداد الزمني على سلوك ومسار دالة الاستهلاك في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (1997 - 2012)، فقد تم تقسيم البحث الى ثلاث فصول لغرض تحقيق فرضيته واهدافه ولغرض الوصول الى هذه المنهجية استخدمت الباحثة البرامج الاحصائية الجاهزة | The research aims to determine and measurement the effect of the Lag models on the behaviour and trend of the consumption function in Iraq economy for the period (1997 - 2012 ). also , the research was divided into three chapters in order to reach it's hypothesis and aims ,to reach this methodology the research use (ols ) Technique related with ( EView 7 , SPPS , Excel ) statistical packages to estimated more than (30) Econometrics models , besides The research reaches some important conclusions which refers to the vital effect of Lag models specially ( MBA ) to draw the path and trend of the consumption function in Iraq comparing with other Lag models such as (Koyck , Almon , Friedman , and Duesenberry) , moreover , the Lag models is also play a vital role in explain and determining the process and the mechanism of fiscal and monetary policies in Iraq for the same period. finally , the research recommends to formulate anew scope of the ( Wealth ) variable more than ,the meaning of monetary supply (M2) in order to use this through the Lag models related with , also , it is important to plan the marginal propensity to consume in the Iraq economy through the consumption function in order to raise the Investment activity and economic growth.
