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استعمال انموذجات بوكس جينكنز للتنبؤ بوفيات حوادث المرور في محافظة كربلاء المقدسة للمدة 2010 - 2015 == Using Box - Jenkins’s Models For Analysis Road Accident Fatalities In Holly Karbala For The Period (2010 - 2015)

Author name: صبا جسوم عكلة

Supervisor name: عدنان كريم نجم الدين

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

Full text from the source: https://uokerbala.edu.iq/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Rp-Using-Box-Jenkinss-models-for-analysis-Road-Accident-Fatalities-In-Holly-Karbala-for-the-period-2010-2015.pdf

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

دراسة مقارنة لبعض طرائق تقدير الانموذج الديناميكي المكاني الخاصة بـ (Panel Data) مع تطبيق عملي == Compared Study To Some of The Methods of Estimating The Dynamic Spatial Model For (Panel Data) With Practical Application

Author name: سهاد علي شهيد مجيد التميمي

Supervisor name: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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Abstract: يعد انموذج القياس الاقتصادي المكاني (Spatial Econometrics Model) احد انواع النماذج القياسية اذ تهتم بدراسة تاثير التفاعلات المكانية مابين الوحدات الجغرافية على الظاهرة المدروسة، تلك الوحدات من الممكن ان تكون مدن، بلديات، مناطق، دول، محافظات،... الخ. وت | Spatial Econometrics models are part of the Econometrics models as concerned with the impact of spatial interactions between geographic units. These units could be cities, municipalities, regions, states, provinces, etc..... It can also be used such models to explain the behavior of economic factors, geographic units, such as individuals, companies, or governments, if they were linked with each other through a network, but this type of studies in spite of a lot of use but less common.Should be noted that the spatial modeling studies differs from the time - series modeling studies, as the time - series studies focuses on the dependency between observation when a period of time and used the symbol (t - 1) to refer to the Lagged variables in time. It must be emphasized here that the (Spatial Econometrics) is not a direct extension for (Time - Series Econometrics) for two reasons; The first is that any geographical units can effect each other mutually, while it cannot be if they were tow observation at a certain time. Another factor most complex wide variety of units of measurement, which qualifies them for modeling spatial dependency (convergence, distances, bonding, etc...) compared with the measurement time dependency (time).In this thesis was to review some of the parametric techniques to estimate (Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model (SDPD)), as there is dependent variable Lagged in time and extra (Endogenous Variables) in Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model (SDPD) invalidate the use of estimation methods known like (Ordinary Least Square (OLS)) and the method (Maximum Likelihood (ML(. To overcome these problems, there are many empirical studies that have been applied in a manner estimate (Generalized Moment Method (GMM)), which were developed by each of the (Arellano & Bover 1995) and (Blundell & Bond 1998). As the main reason behind the use of estimator (GMM) to estimate the (SDPD) model is its ability to correct the interference (Endogeneity), which came by spatial lag variable also reason is due to the internal variables. In addition, it is estimated (GMM) is robust to some econometric issues such as measurement errors and poor (Instrumental Variable (IV)), it can also control the problem (Heteroskedasticity) and the problem (Autocorrelation) in the random error term, add to that the flexibility in the implementation of the calculations. In addition to the method (GMM) can be used (Quasi - Maximum Likelihood Estimation (QMLE)) when (Random Error) is distributed (Independent and Identical Distribution (iid)) with Mean zero and variance (?_?^2(.Estimated which is obtained be biased and inconsistent so it was (Bias Correction) to estimator (QMLE), also called the method of estimation of these (The Direct Approach).It has also been used (The Transformation Approach) for the purpose of processing the Spatial before the estimate to reduce bias as much as possible.As one of the most important goals is to study the effect of( Spatial Dynamic Effect)) sense of how dependent variable coefficients change that represents the (financial allocations for the program of economic sectors of the regions development) Lagged in spatially and in time and represented by )W_n Y_(n,t - 1)(between the provinces as well as the impact study of by Lag spatial dependent variable )W_n Y_nt( for each province of the Iraqi provinces and at certain period of time. Add to describe the effects of explanatory variables (Exogenous Variables) any (of economic sectors of each province for a period of a certain time) represented (b agricultural sector, industrial sector, transport sector, buildings and services sector, education sector) level of each province for the period (2008 - 2015).In the case of the first model any presence influences the spatial fixed only the better way transfers the larger time periods (T), the estimators (? ?_nT) be consistent (Consistence) and possesses a good estimator convergent properties correct the bias is more effective and has a proximity naturally parameter characteristics (?). The second model in the case of any effects the presence of spatial and temporal fixed together, was also the best way transfers from the direct method the larger time periods (T).As in the case of the practical side show in the case of both models weakness autoregressive spatial coefficient of investment allocations it does not have any interaction between the provinces where positively affecting the distribution of assignments better and to meet the economic development of each province

بناء انموذجي بقاء معلمي ولا معلمي لمرض التدرن في بغداد

Author name: حسنين جليل نعمة الساعدي

Supervisor name: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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دراسة مقارنة نماذج الاخطاء في المتغيرات المعلمية وشبه المعل == Comparative Study Parametric And Semi Parametric Errors In Variables Models

Author name: رجاء كامل مجيد

Supervisor name: رعد فاضل حسن التميمي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

اثر التوزيع غير الطبيعي لحدود الخطا العشوائي في تقدير معلمات بعض نماذج ARMA - GARCH مع تطبيق == Non - Gaussian Distribution Impact of Random Error Terms In Parameters Estimation of Some Arma - Garch Models With Application

Author name: علي ياسين غني البدراوي

Supervisor name: جواد كاظم خضير الموسوي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

استخدام نماذج تحليل التدخل في سلسلة انتاج النفط الخام في العراق == Using Intervention Analysis Models In Crude Oil Production Series In Iraq

Author name: فاطـمة عبد الرحمن حميد الركابـي

Supervisor name: بثينة عبد الجادر عبد العزيز

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

دراسة في مشاكل بواقي المربعات الصغرى والبدائل المتاحة في بعض اختبارات التشخيص لنماذج الانحدار الخطي == A Study In Problems of Least Square Residuals And Elternatives In Some Diagnostic Tests For Linear Regression Models

Author name: شهد عادل عبد الغفور

Supervisor name: سلمى ثابت ذاكر الالوسي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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استخدام مبدا القيمة العظمى لدالة الانتروبي في تقدير التوزيع الاحتمالي لمؤشرات بعض نماذج صفوف الانتظار == Using Principle Maximum Entropy For Estimate The Probability Distribution of Some Queuing Models

Author name: انتصار كاظم جاسم

Supervisor name: عبد الرحيم خلف راهي الحارثي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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استخدام انموذج الانحدار اللوجستك الترتيبي لتقدير احتمال الاصابه بالتشوهات الجنينيه في مدينة بغداد == Use of Ordinal Logistic Regression Model To Estimate The Risk of Embryonic Deformities In The City of Baghdad

Author name: حسين فاخر كاظم

Supervisor name: نزيه عباس المشهداني

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

المقدر اللبي في تصميم لوحة السيطرة (هوتلنكT2) للمشاهدات المنفردة مع تطبيق عملي == Kernel Estimator For Design Hotelling T2 Control Chart For Individual Observations With Practical Application

Author name: رسول هادي عبد المنعم

Supervisor name: حمزة اسماعيل شاهين

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

تمثيل فضاء الحالة لنماذج السلاسل الزمنية التركيبية ونماذج بوكس - جنكينز مع تطبيق في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية == State Space Representation for the Structural Time Series Models and Box - Jenkins Models with application in the iraq stocks exchange

Author name: هدى عدنان توفيق القره لوسي

Supervisor name: افتخار عبد الحميد النقاش

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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التنبؤ بمستوى التضخم في اسعار المستهلك الشهرية في العراق باستخدام السلاسل الزمنية ثنائية المتغيرات == Forecasting Level of Inflation in Monthly Prices for Consumer in Iraq by Using Bivariate Time Series

Author name: وليد دهان صليبي الجبوري

Supervisor name: نزيه عباس المشهداني

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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دراسة حول صحة معيار بارزن == STUDY ABOUT THE ROBUSTNESS OF THE PARZEN CRITERION

Author name: وفاء عدنان ساجد

Supervisor name: صلاح حمزة عبد البديري

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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تقدير المعدل الزمني للعمليات النقطية باستخدام عمليات بواسون غير المتجانسة == Estimation of The Rate of The Point Processes By Nonhomogeneous Poisson Processes

Author name: هناء سعد محمد شبيب

Supervisor name: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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استخدام تصميم التجارب في تحليل حساسية نماذج المحاكاة == EXPERIMENTAL DESIGNS FOR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF SIMULATION MODELS

Author name: هدى عبد الله رشيد

Supervisor name: عصام حسين خضر البياتي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

دراسة نظرية وتجريبية لنماذج السلاسل الزمنية المختلطة المتكاملة كسريا ARFIMA == Theoretical and Empirical Study of Fractional Integrated Mixed Time series Model

Author name: هبة فاضل حربي السوداني

Supervisor name: جواد كاظم خضير الموسوي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

استخدام النماذج المتزامنة الثنائية CARMA لوضع التنبؤات المستقبلية : دراسة تجريبية == Use of The Contemporaneous bivariate models for the development future forecasts (empirical study)

Author name: فرح فيصل شنيشل الكعبي

Supervisor name: يوسـف محمـد خلـف الحـديثي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

تقدير دالة المعولية لانموذج الاجهاد والمتانة لتوزيع ليندلي : دراسة مقارنة مع تطبيق عملي

Author name: فراس منذر جاسم البدران

Supervisor name: عبد الرحيم خلف راهي الحارثي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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نماذج الانحدار المعلمي وشبه المعلمي : دراسة مقارنة == Parametric and Semiparametric Regression Models (Comparative Study)

Author name: علاء جابر طراد

Supervisor name: رعد فاضل حسن التميمي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

استخدام سلاسل ماركوف وبرمجة الاهداف في تخطيط القوى العاملة مع التطبيق

Author name: صفاء كريم كاظم الزيادي

Supervisor name: حميد ناصر حميد الفتال

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

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استخدام نظرية المباراة المضببة لتحديد الاستراتيجيات المثلى لانتاج المشتقات النفطية في مصفى الدورة == Using the game theory

Author name: سهيلة نجم عبد الله السلطاني

Supervisor name: افتخار عبد الحميد النقاش

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

دراسة مقارنة لاسلوب الشبكات العصبية مع طرائق اخرى للتنبؤ بتصاريف المياه لبعض السدود في العراق == Study of comparison for Neural Networks method with another methods for forecasting in water inflection for some dams in Iraq

Author name: رؤى خلدون فائق

Supervisor name: رعد فاضل حسن التميمي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

الطرائق اللامعلمية والمعدلة في تقدير دالة المعولية للبيانات الكاملة مع تطبيق عملي == Nonparametric methods and modified in estimating the reliability function of the data complete with practical application

Author name: رواء صالح محمد الصفار

Supervisor name: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Doctorate

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

استخدام بعض طرائق التمييز الحصينة لتشخيص امراض سرطان الدم (اللوكيميا) == Robust Estimators Of Location and Scall Paramater in Discriminant Analysis

Author name: دريد حسين بدر الياسين

Supervisor name: حمزة اسماعيل شاهين

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages:

مقارنة مقدرات دالة معولية الانظمة الهجينة والمحسنة باستخدام بعض الطرائق البيزية == A Compared Estimates Reliability Function for hybrid and Improved Systems By using Some Bayesian Methods

Author name: حيدر كريم رحيم

Supervisor name: افتخار عبد الحميد النقاش

General topic: Administration and Economics

Specific topic: Statistics

Degree: Master

University: Mustansiriyah University

Language: Arabic

University location: Baghdad

First pages: