مشاركة
استعمال انموذجات بوكس جينكنز للتنبؤ بوفيات حوادث المرور في محافظة كربلاء المقدسة للمدة 2010 - 2015 == Using Box - Jenkins’s Models For Analysis Road Accident Fatalities In Holly Karbala For The Period (2010 - 2015)
اسم المؤلف:
صبا جسوم عكلة
اسم المشرف:
عدنان كريم نجم الدين
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2017
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاحصاء
الدرجة:
ماجستير
الجامعة:
الجامعة المستنصرية
اللغة:
العربية
النص الكامل من المصدر:
https://uokerbala.edu.iq/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Rp-Using-Box-Jenkinss-models-for-analysis-Road-Accident-Fatalities-In-Holly-Karbala-for-the-period-2010-2015.pdf
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
07T4259 - p.pdf
المستخلص:
Time series Aproach concidered of important topics that it deals with the behavior of phenomena and its interpretations through different periods of time. This thesis aims to analyse Road Accident Fatalities in Holly Kerbala for period (2010 - 2015 ) using time series technique ( Box&Jenkins ) method.The outcome of the series analysis showed that the appropriate model is ARIMA )0,1,1).According to this model 10 years forcasts in monthly base was obtained for the Road Accident Fatalities inHolly Karbala for the period (2016 - 2026 )One of the important findings of this thesis is the consistency of the forcasts with the observed one which refers to the efficiency of the model.
