Share
استعمال انموذجات بوكس جينكنز للتنبؤ بوفيات حوادث المرور في محافظة كربلاء المقدسة للمدة 2010 - 2015 == Using Box - Jenkins’s Models For Analysis Road Accident Fatalities In Holly Karbala For The Period (2010 - 2015)
Author name:
صبا جسوم عكلة
Supervisor name:
عدنان كريم نجم الدين
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Statistics
Degree:
Master
University:
Mustansiriyah University
Language:
Arabic
Full text from the source:
https://uokerbala.edu.iq/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Rp-Using-Box-Jenkinss-models-for-analysis-Road-Accident-Fatalities-In-Holly-Karbala-for-the-period-2010-2015.pdf
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T4259 - p.pdf
Abstract:
Time series Aproach concidered of important topics that it deals with the behavior of phenomena and its interpretations through different periods of time. This thesis aims to analyse Road Accident Fatalities in Holly Kerbala for period (2010 - 2015 ) using time series technique ( Box&Jenkins ) method.The outcome of the series analysis showed that the appropriate model is ARIMA )0,1,1).According to this model 10 years forcasts in monthly base was obtained for the Road Accident Fatalities inHolly Karbala for the period (2016 - 2026 )One of the important findings of this thesis is the consistency of the forcasts with the observed one which refers to the efficiency of the model.
