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قياس المحتوى الاقتصادي للامن الانساني في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2007) == Measurment of Economic Content of Human Security In Iraq For The Years (1990 - 2007)

Author name: سهيلة عبد الزهرة مستور جبار الحجيمي
Supervisor name: نضال شاكر جودت الهاشمي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

دراسة مقارنة لبعض طرائق تقدير الانموذج الديناميكي المكاني الخاصة بـ (Panel Data) مع تطبيق عملي == Compared Study To Some of The Methods of Estimating The Dynamic Spatial Model For (Panel Data) With Practical Application

Author name: سهاد علي شهيد مجيد التميمي
Supervisor name: حامد سعد نور الشمرتي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد انموذج القياس الاقتصادي المكاني (Spatial Econometrics Model) احد انواع النماذج القياسية اذ تهتم بدراسة تاثير التفاعلات المكانية مابين الوحدات الجغرافية على الظاهرة المدروسة، تلك الوحدات من الممكن ان تكون مدن، بلديات، مناطق، دول، محافظات،... الخ. وت | Spatial Econometrics models are part of the Econometrics models as concerned with the impact of spatial interactions between geographic units. These units could be cities, municipalities, regions, states, provinces, etc..... It can also be used such models to explain the behavior of economic factors, geographic units, such as individuals, companies, or governments, if they were linked with each other through a network, but this type of studies in spite of a lot of use but less common.Should be noted that the spatial modeling studies differs from the time - series modeling studies, as the time - series studies focuses on the dependency between observation when a period of time and used the symbol (t - 1) to refer to the Lagged variables in time. It must be emphasized here that the (Spatial Econometrics) is not a direct extension for (Time - Series Econometrics) for two reasons; The first is that any geographical units can effect each other mutually, while it cannot be if they were tow observation at a certain time. Another factor most complex wide variety of units of measurement, which qualifies them for modeling spatial dependency (convergence, distances, bonding, etc...) compared with the measurement time dependency (time).In this thesis was to review some of the parametric techniques to estimate (Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model (SDPD)), as there is dependent variable Lagged in time and extra (Endogenous Variables) in Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model (SDPD) invalidate the use of estimation methods known like (Ordinary Least Square (OLS)) and the method (Maximum Likelihood (ML(. To overcome these problems, there are many empirical studies that have been applied in a manner estimate (Generalized Moment Method (GMM)), which were developed by each of the (Arellano & Bover 1995) and (Blundell & Bond 1998). As the main reason behind the use of estimator (GMM) to estimate the (SDPD) model is its ability to correct the interference (Endogeneity), which came by spatial lag variable also reason is due to the internal variables. In addition, it is estimated (GMM) is robust to some econometric issues such as measurement errors and poor (Instrumental Variable (IV)), it can also control the problem (Heteroskedasticity) and the problem (Autocorrelation) in the random error term, add to that the flexibility in the implementation of the calculations. In addition to the method (GMM) can be used (Quasi - Maximum Likelihood Estimation (QMLE)) when (Random Error) is distributed (Independent and Identical Distribution (iid)) with Mean zero and variance (?_?^2(.Estimated which is obtained be biased and inconsistent so it was (Bias Correction) to estimator (QMLE), also called the method of estimation of these (The Direct Approach).It has also been used (The Transformation Approach) for the purpose of processing the Spatial before the estimate to reduce bias as much as possible.As one of the most important goals is to study the effect of( Spatial Dynamic Effect)) sense of how dependent variable coefficients change that represents the (financial allocations for the program of economic sectors of the regions development) Lagged in spatially and in time and represented by )W_n Y_(n,t - 1)(between the provinces as well as the impact study of by Lag spatial dependent variable )W_n Y_nt( for each province of the Iraqi provinces and at certain period of time. Add to describe the effects of explanatory variables (Exogenous Variables) any (of economic sectors of each province for a period of a certain time) represented (b agricultural sector, industrial sector, transport sector, buildings and services sector, education sector) level of each province for the period (2008 - 2015).In the case of the first model any presence influences the spatial fixed only the better way transfers the larger time periods (T), the estimators (? ?_nT) be consistent (Consistence) and possesses a good estimator convergent properties correct the bias is more effective and has a proximity naturally parameter characteristics (?). The second model in the case of any effects the presence of spatial and temporal fixed together, was also the best way transfers from the direct method the larger time periods (T).As in the case of the practical side show in the case of both models weakness autoregressive spatial coefficient of investment allocations it does not have any interaction between the provinces where positively affecting the distribution of assignments better and to meet the economic development of each province

اختيار المحفظة الاستثمارية المثلى - انموذج مقترح : دراسة تطبيقية

Author name: سمير عبد الصاحب ياره
Supervisor name: حيدر نعمة غالي الفريجي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

تاثير التيقظ القيادي في تحقيق الرافعة المعرفية من خلال التفوق الذكي : دراسة ميدانية في وزارة العلوم والتكنولوجيا == The Effectof Leadership Vigilancein Achieving Knowledge Leveragethrough Intellectual Excellence Afield Study In Ministry of Science Technology

Author name: سماح مؤيد محمود المولى
Supervisor name: لمياء سلمان عبد علي الزبيدي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ساهمت ثلاثة متغيرات لتشكيل الاطار الفكري والفلسفي لهذه الدراسة, والتي تمثلت بـــــ (التيقظ القيادي، التفوق الذكي، الرافعة المعرفية )، فاستثمار واستخدام المعرفة وبشكل متكرر من قبل القادة يسهم وبشكل فعال واساس في رفع قيمة المنظمة، والذي يتحقق بدوره من خلال | Three variables interact to form the conceptual and philosophical framework of this study; these were vigilance of leadership, intellectual excellence, and achieving knowledge leverage. The investment in knowledge and using it frequently by the leaders, actively contribute to increase the value of organization, which can be achieved by a combination of leaders awareness of (both internal and external environment variables), futuristic envision planning and availability of the necessary support to provide an environment that fosters their organization superiority; and it is not just any superiority we are talking about, it is an intelligent versatile superiority.The study targeted the problem that the leaders have a limited awareness of the effects of vigilance and availability of intelligent superiority support at the knowledge business level and at the projects and scientific research level on the organization scientific advantage. Moreover, there is a lack in promoting and advertising the organization achievements to the public and other organizations. This study target is to answer the above questions and to define the level of achievement by the study variables and how the knowledge was invested in addition to providing solutions to the problems facing that organization, especially how to achieve the scientific leverage and adopting ways to help maintaining leaders awareness and intelligent support, so to be able to better the organization. The organization under study comprises the seven divisions at the Ministry of Sciences and Technology. We identified two layers of samples. First, the administrative leaders (170 directors). Second layer, represented by the employee (128 employee). We have formulated 7 main frame hypotheses with 21 sub - hypotheses, we tested these by appropriate statistical methods. We used questionnaires as a tool for collecting data and information related to the study. Moreover, the researcher collect a lot of data through her evaluation of the actual work environment of the ministry. The researcher has found a group of theoretical and practical conclusions that described the work reality in the environment of study, one of the main findings is the ministry faired average in regard to collaboration between the leadership vigilance and scientific knowledge superiority to achieve knowledge leverage, so the main recommendation focused on a group of practical measures; some of these are related to governing law and regulations while the others are related to attending training seminars and workshops and removing all obstacles toward the best use of the gained knowledge and all available knowledge resources in the ministry. Moreover, we suggest establishing a formal relationship between ministry of science and technology and other institutions inside and outside Iraq. It is better to establish a special committee to supervise the coordination between these parties in terms of developing the scientific research and choosing the subjects, which benefit the other ministries. This committee must choose different research with different approaches to prevent duplication of researches, as the similarity of researches is the main reason behind underutilization of the scientific research; this committee should aid in applying for patent rights.

دور ادارة المواهب في تحقيق الاستدامة التنظيمية من خلال التجديد الاستراتيجي : دراسة تحليلية في بعض كليات الجامعة المستنصرية == The Role of Talents In Achieving The Sustainability Organizational Through The Strategic Renewal Applied Study In Several Colleges of The Al - Mustansiriya University

Author name: زياد طارق خليل
Supervisor name: انتظار احمد جاسم الشمري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اكدت الدراسة على اهميه الدور الذي تلعب المواهب في تحقيق الاستدامة التنظيمية والتجديد الاستراتيجي في قطاع التعليم العالي عامة وفي الجامعه المستنصرية خاصة.واستحصلت المشكلة النظرية اساسا من قلة الدراسات والبحوث التي تناولت بالدراسة والتحليل لذلك الدور والع | The study affirms the importance of talents' role in achieving the sustainability organizational and the strategic renewal in the sectors of the higher education in general and the al - Mustansiriya University in particular. The theoretical problem happens basically due to the dearth of the studies and researches dealing with studying and analyzing the role and the relationship that link the variables. While the scientific problem is from the real challenges that face the Iraqi organizations which are demanded to achieve the sustainability and how to preserve it through the renewal operations which should be carried out continually. This study has been carried out because of the relationship's importance among the three variables in the labour organizations in order to test and diagnose the relationship's level and the possibility of its implementation in the application's environment represented by the colleges of the Mustansriya University (College of Medicine, Engineering, Sciences, and Education). In order to achieve the goal of the study, seven major and minor hypotheses have been tested. The sample of the study contained (204) male and female persons from the teachers staff of the mentioned - above colleges. The data and information were compiled via a poll consists of (48) questions in which the amounts of data had been processed statistically through several statistical means such as ( the Percentage, the Probable Arithmetical Medium, the Standard Deviation, the Relative Importance, Spearman Ranks' Correlation Coefficient, the Test of F, T., the Track Analysis). The study has reached several conclusions in which the most prominent is represented by the existence of the direct correlated relationship and the impact of talents' dimensions and the organized persistence as well. The study has also concluded a group of recommendations such as the necessity of the transformation into the concept of employing the talents' management which depends on using cognition and information through forming an integral strategy of the labour of the Iraqi universities and colleges in addition to the labour of the university management to achieve the optimum usage of the human resources and to allow opportunities for the qualified people through providing them with a suitable labour in order to encourage them to achieve scientific inventions and prospective ambitions towards creating an organized persistence prototype. Finally, the university's colleges should employ the talented individuals according to their specializations in the proper administrative centers by depending on the results of the talents management performance assessment to upgrade the level of the colleges in addition to attract the competent staffs along with talented people of seldom specializations to fill the gaps in the colleges

الموازنة المستجيبة للنوع الاجتماعي والتنمية المستدامة تجارب مختارة مع امكانية التطبيق في العراق == Gender Responsive Budget And Sustainable Development Selected Experiences With The Possibility of Application In Iraq

Author name: رشا خالد شهيب
Supervisor name: وفاء جعفر المهداوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تمثل الموازنة العامة اداة رئيسة لتنفيذ السياسات الاقتصادية العامة، وهي تجمع بين تنفيذ السياسات العامة الفعالة والموارد المالية المتوفرة. وعليه فهي اداة ضرورية لتعزيز المساواة بين الجنسين وتهيئة البرامج اللازمة لتحقيق هذا الهدف. وينبغي ان تعكس الموازنات ا | represent the Balance of the Chairperson of the tool for the implementation of the general economic policies, combine the implementation of policies and effective public financial resources available. Accordingly, it is a necessary tool for the promotion of equality between the sexes and the creation of the necessary programs to achieve this goal. It should reflect the Balance of the requirements and the needs of the individuals by type social security, so the development budgets of the gender - sensitive represented the best means to meet the aspirations and the needs of the majority of the men and women so the importance of the study of sensitive budget social type and that these budgets are not meant to put the budgets of separate women's, but rather are intended to prepare the general budget, in accordance with the requirements of social type with consideration of gender relations in society and the roles of access to and control over resources. Therefore, the main goal of this kind of budgets is to take account of the specific issues and to ensure their integration into all national policies, plans and programs, they represent the tools to provide the necessary financial support to meet the needs of women and men are attempts to dismantle or the separation of a pattern of general budgets commonly according to its impact on social type. The study came to light on all global experiences and Arabic, which claimed responsibility for the topic of integrating type social development contexts in order to understand the true reality of lessons learned, and ways to apply in Iraq serious attempts in the application of the sensitive budget social type.The problem that there were gaps between social type of roles and obligations and rights and duties and never from a bridge those gaps through the application of sensitive budget social type so came the hypothesis consistent with the problem and that the application of the sensitive budget social type that would bridge those gaps, according to the plans of the Court informed in advance the objectives of the search came to clarify the meaning of the sensitive budget type social objectives as well as the means to depend on in the direct impact on the needs of social type and then follow - up to the heavy impact researcher on the basis of the Indicative curriculum through the study of global experiences and Arabic Sensitive balance social type and then read results obtained from exhumations into his investigative through the use of applied to Iraq came the study limits the duration (2003 - 2015) through reliance on The available data within the reports of international organizations and magazines and adoption of scientific analysis and structural included search four main chapters each chapter contained three subsidiary investigation was divided into the demands and paragraphs in order to understand more than the subject of the study researcher to a set of conclusions, the most important is : - 1. Sensitive budget type social policy instrument for effective financial application of social justice and a clear understanding of the requirements and needs of the social type bridging the gaps quality. And benefit all global experiences and that there is a clear success in those tests on the one hand a bridge the gaps through the reorientation of public expenditure toward the expenditures that have a direct impact on the needs of social type.2. The application of sensitive budget social type the government adopted a comprehensive plan involving each of the government and individuals and civil society organizations with the cooperation of international organizations to build a joint plan to work to ensure the success of that experience.

الامن الغذائي في العراق وافاقه المستقبلية في ظل المتغيرات الاقتصادية المحلية والدولية == Food Security In Iraq And Its Future Prospects In The Light of Economical Local And International Variables

Author name: خالد قحطان عبود
Supervisor name: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد تحقيق الامن الغذائي من المواضيع التي تحظى باولوية في مختلف الدول سواء كانت متقدمة ام نامية وكذلك فان المنظمات الدولية الزراعية المتخصصة قد اعطتها اهمية خاصة من خلال جعل اول اهداف الالفية الثالثة للامم المتحدة هو "القضاء على الفقر المدقع والجوع" وتسعى | Food Security is considered one of the significant subjects that has the priority in various countries whether these countries are advanced or developed one. It is worthy to say that the Specialized International and Agricultural States had supported Food Security great and private interests by making the first aims of the third thousand era for UNITED NATIONS is " Destruction the Poverty and Hunger".These Countries , including Iraq , look forward , within their economic resources to achieve that aim , but there are actually economic local variables that influence on the local agricultural production and to stop its achievement.On other hand , there are International Economic Variables that participate to impact in Economic Activity for its various and different sectors , including the Agricultural Sector , especially Iraq meets its Food Requirements for the main foods through import.This Thesis aims to study and deal with the concept of Food security in many Local and International aspects , as well as , to benefit from Advanced International States ' Experiences I this field (European Union as a Sample) , besides several Food and Social Protection Programs in some Developed Countries (Brazil as a Sample) and to recognize the reality of Agricultural and Food Abilities for Iraq and knowing the challenges ¬¬¬¬¬¬¬¬that may be faced , and to concentrate on the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables that influence on Food Security for Iraq and to plan forthcoming future horizons for Food Security by expecting the size of Food Gap for the most important strategic Food products , with concentrating on the most significant schedules during the period (2003 - 2014).Thesis has divided into four chapters , each Chapter is subdivided into three topics.Chapter One has dealt with , as a Conceptual Framework for Food Security , Food Security and the problem of Substitution , as well as , the most important and Effective Internal and International Economic Variables on Food Security.Chapter Two has concerned with Agricultural Policies and Social and Food Protection Programs in Advance and Developed Countries altogether (As Selected Samples) through studying Joint Agricultural Policy for European Union with concerning with the essence of Food and Social Security Schedules in Developed Countries and to mention to Food and Social Protection schedules in Brazil as a Sample.Chapter Three had dealt with the reality of Food and Agriculture in Iraq for the period (2003 - 2014) as well as the Agricultural Potentials in addition to the Food Situation in and the challenges that may be faced.Chapter Four has concerned with the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables in Food Security for Iraq and its forthcoming horizons.Last , many conclusions and recommendations were achieved. The most important conclusions are that food security levels in Iraq during the duration (2003 - 2014) are to fluctuate for various reasons, despite a slight improvement in agricultural production, especially total food grain, but he does not keep pace with domestic demand are to cover the food deficit through imports cover, and therefore the impact on the self - sufficiency ratios and the size of the gap nutrients, either the most important recommendations, it must rely on agricultural policies aimed to develop the agricultural sector based on the first two pillars reliance on the private sector, whether individuals or agricultural companies under the guidance of the state and the second increase in agricultural support and expansion of presenting the different kinds and forms of various started to talk a distortion in the economy, taking into consideration the suit in the case of Iraq,s accession to the World Trade Organization.

الدور التنموي لصناديق الثروة السيادية في بلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى صندوق تنمية العراق == The Developmental Role of Sovereign Wealth Funds In A Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq Development Fund

Author name: خالد شامي ناشور العطواني
Supervisor name: فلاح حسن ثويني
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) become, By Controlling a Huge Financial Assets and Increased Impact Within International Financial Markets, a Fundamental Pillar of Investment Through The World and One of The Most Important Indicators of Financialability of counties that owned themBecause They Can , BY(SWFs) , Converting The Financial Surpluses Coming From Natural Resources Into Productive Assets That Lead to Diversifying Income Sources , Achieving Fair Wealth Distribution Among Generations, Reducing Economic Shocks Effect, Stabilizing The Economy and Enhancing The Development. This Thesis Deals With The Problem of Countries That Depend on Revenues Coming From Natural Resources (Especially Iraq and other Developing Countries). As most of these Revenues are coming from Oil which its Prices and Revenues are Unstable, so those Countries are Exposed to Negative shocks and Structural imbalances that deepening because inefficient investment of oil revenues. Thus, the idea of establishing a (SWF) is a vital solution for the problems mentioned above and also to manage effectively the revenues coming from natural resources (non - renewable) in achieving economic stability and development. This study assumes that (SWFs) can be an important financial instrument for stabilizing the economy and for supporting the development. To Explain that, the study discusses experiments of U.A.E, Kuwait and Norway with (SWFs) and evaluates the performance of Development Fund of Iraq (DFI) in achieving different goals of the development with a perspective to adopt the idea of establishing a (SWF) consistent with the conditions of Iraq economy. The study concludes that an independent and qualified management with clear and transparent strategy are the main requirements for a (SWF) to be effective and productive in its role to achieve stability and development that can be seen by experiment of Norway. For Iraq, the study concludes that although (DFI) has successes in financing some economic sectors, but it suffers from major weaknesses like unclear strategy, inefficient management, unqualified control and unavailable data. Thus, (DFI) was unable to perform an effective role in supporting stability and sustainable development. The research suggest that Iraq needs to establish its own (SWF) with independent and qualified management to protect its natural resources, especially oil, and to direct financial surpluses coming from oil reasonably to assure sustainability for development and generations.

التاثيرات التنموية لمصادر التمويل في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 2004 - 2013 == The Developmental Effects of Financing Sources In Iraqi Economy For The Period 2004 - 2013

Author name: حافظ عبد الامير امين
Supervisor name: فلاح حسن ثويني
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The financing of Development plays an essential and important role in directing the internal sources of finance through the domestic credit, which includes the savings and how to improve and mobilize it for the credit purpose by multiple expansion in all the payments instruments which are used by deferent institutions dealing in both money and stock market. Besides the internal financing, there is the external finance which includes the direct foreign investment ,Loans, Grants, and Subsidies.The lack of developed money and stock markets, Limitations in marketing the bonds, Limitations of financial channels through which savings are collected and mobilized, Weak banking sector which lack the trust of Public, and the Accumulation of debt and it is service, All of these flaws are the characters of developing countries which produce negative consequences in these countries, and Iraq is not an exception.According to the economic logic, every developing country cannot achieve an accelerating development, unless making accumulation through some time horizon, and this Accumulation achieved through three connected stages. The first one the existence of savings, the second is the improving of these savings to assure the flow of investments without relying on foreign lending, and the latter represented by directing these savings to the productive investments, such as industrial and agricultural ones. That is to say, the possibility of achieving accumulation after making a coincidence between the supply and demand of savings through the intermediate financial institutions and financial markets, to develop the national economy, in condition that there is an economic visionAbstract coincide with the developmental abilities to achieve the targeted economic development.The study lies into three sectors, the first one deals with the intellectual and economic fundamentals of the finance sources, and this sector subdivided to three articles, which survey the fundamentals of internal and external finance, the relation between the developmental finance and the public expenditures, invention and poverty, and the nature of finance source and it is developmental consequences, respectively.The second chapter which is contains three articles, is about the finance in selected countries. The first one surveys the most important the world - wide developmental consequences of finance sources, while the two later chapters the developmental finance in south Korea and Algeria respectively. The third chapter consists of four articles, is dealing with the development finance in Iraq. The first article devoted to the development and conditions in Iraqi economy during the period 2004 - 2013. The second and third articles are about the internal and external finance in Iraq respectively, while the last one deals with how to correct the finance path and the available alternatives in Iraqi economy. Finally, the study contains some conclusions and recommendations.

استعمال نموذج قياسي للتنبؤ بالطلب العالمي للنفط الخام في ظل الازمات مع اشارة خاصة للعراق == The Use of A Standard Model To Predict The Global Demand For Crude Oil In The Light of The Crisis (With Particular Reference To Iraq)

Author name: حاتم كريم بلحاوي القريشي
Supervisor name: جواد كاظم الموسوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: Mustansiriyah University
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد النفط الخام من السلع الاستراتيجية المهمة التي تتوقف عليها جميع نشاطات القطاعات الاقتصادية على المستوى العالمي لما تتمتع به من مزايا كثيرة بوصفها مصدرا مهما للطاقة , لذا ازدادت اهمية الطلب العالمي على النفط الخام ولهذا جاءت اهمية دراسة التنبؤ بالطلب | The crude oil from the strategic goods the task which depends upon all the activities of the economic sectors at the global level with the many advantages as an important source of energy so increased the importance of global demand for crude oil and this came the importance of forecasting the global demand for oil are the topics of interest of the many researchers and academics as well as international organizations and institutions of what the predictability of giving a clear picture of decision makers in the oil policies at the national and international level and applied side (standard) into the study through the use of several statistical models (the model of linear, model gray boot model sorrow, the model of the steep self - moving averages) and use a researcher of the statistical program EASBRIG(statgraph) was not limited to the study of the world oil market only But shed light on an important aspect of the reality of the Iraqi oil sector where based problem that there are multiple factors affect in determining the quantities required presented in global markets crude oil does not summarize the specific factors in accordance with the logic of economic theory that require a lot of other factors affecting the balance of the world oil market, the most important oil crises and international cuisine during the term (1970 - 2015) and to find an appropriate way to predict the global demand for crude oil until the year (2030) there were also many justifications in choosing the subject of the research, including with respect to the needs of many identifies the most important factors affecting the world demand for oil and the impact of the oil crises and international on world oil markets as well as confirms the assumption that studies of predictive would give a clear picture of the The owners of the economic decision for the future of the world oil market in order to take all necessary and appropriate measures adopted, a researcher of the SNF first research approach (descriptive using inductive reasoning) which explain the foundations of the logic of economic on both sides of the world oil market and focus on the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in global demand for crude oil with reliance on data, indicators and international organization of international energy and OPEC and other data and the second approach (quantifiable) which clarified the statistically the validity of economic theory through showing results and interpretation and analysis based on statistical curriculum adopted the methodology included research questions, including what are the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in defining the balance of international oil market? What is the impact of price fluctuations of crude oil on the economic growth rates of the exporting countries and the importer of crude oil? What is the impact of global crises in determining the balance of the world oil market? In terms of the limits of the study was on two sections of the border is temporal duration (1970 - 2015) the spatial border it includes the balance of the world oil market and balance of the world oil market and the reality of the oil market and the structure of the Iraqi search included four main chapters each chapter contained three detectives and requests the divided into the demands and to give a detailed picture of the subject of the study study concluded a set of conclusions and recommendations is the most important. 1 - There are several factors that determine the required amounts presented of crude oil which applies with the logic of economic including what was outside the logic of economic theory such as geopolitical oil crises and international cuisine. 2 - Forecasting is the global demand of crude oil from the important topics which gives a clear reference to decision makers and the resolution of the Economic Future action suitable for nappy the balance of both sides of the world oil market. 3 - The coordination of oil policies at the level of the OPEC countries and senior oil producers in the world for Diaper rash to export quotas and oil policies appropriate the stability of crude oil prices and thus the stability of the world oil market

سياسات التجارة الخارجية للعراق بعد 2003 وافاقها المستقبلية في ضوء تجارب مختارة == Trade Policy In Iraq The Implications And Orientation After 2003 And Its Future Prospects In The Light of Selected Experiences

Author name: بثينة حسيب سلمان الشريفي
Supervisor name: مظفر حسني علي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد السياسة التجارية احد اركان ادارة الاقتصاد كونها تؤثر في متغيراته الكلية والجزئية وتتداخل عضويا مع السياسات المالية والنقدية، لذا فدراستها في واقعها وافاقها توفر سبيل للارتقاء بها ومن ثم ارتقاء الاقتصاد، لاسيما ان عالم اليوم هو عالم الاندماج في الاقت | Trade policy is one of the pillars of economic management because it affects to the macro and micro variables and interfere with the fiscal and monetary policy , therefore , studied in reality an prospects provide the means to bring them up and then improve economy to integrated with the global economy. The aime of this research is to provide perspectives on possible solutions to the challenges facing the trade of policy in Iraq by studing the experiences a number of Arab countries and analyzing the reality and evolution of trade policy adopted by these countries. In addition , the research studies the economic progress in the world and then provide future options or scenarios represent general frame work for trade policy which coordinates with Iraqi economy status and the trends of globle economy. The research concluded that the benefit from the enablers of trade policy will have a bigger role in the positive impact on economic activity in Iraq The research recommends activating bilateral trade agreements with all over the world especially with the European countries. in the framework of developing the capacity of the economy , especially agreement ( multiple ) comprehensive , economic ; scientific , and trade which will contributes in raising efficiency of economic sectors to create positive Integration and efficiency with the world. to decline the cost of co integration , especially since the Iraqi economy is in urgent need of guidance in the performance of economic action larger role for the possibility of the market mechanism In guidance during the current period

العلاقة بين اليقظة الاستراتيجية والثقافة التسويقية واثرها في توجهات ادارة التسويق == The Relationship Between Strategic Vigilance And Marketing Culture And Its Impact On Marketing Management Orientations

Author name: انتصار عزيز حسين
Supervisor name: ظافر عبد محمد شبر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يسعى البحث الى معرفة اهمية كل من اليقظة الاستراتيجة والثقافة التسويقية وتاثيرهما في توجهات ادارة التسويق، لذا تم بناء مخطط فرضي توضح فيه العلاقات بين المتغيرات واثر بعضها في البعض الاخر. وصيغت ستة فرضيات رئيسة اشتقت منها عدة فرضيات فرعية جرى اختبارها باد | The research tries to identify the importance of the strategic vigilance and marketing culture and their impact on the orientations of marketing management, so a virtual diagram has been established to show the relationship among the variables and the impact of each of them on the other. Six hypotheses are formulated , and derived from them branch hypotheses which were tested by using statistical instruments. The strategic vigilance and the marketing culture are considered as explanative variables and marketing management as responsive variable.The study aims at identifying the marketing philosophy adopted by the management and the extent which suits the company's financial and human capacities as well as its present environmental circumstances within the context of the strategic vigilance and the marketing culture common in the minds and thoughts of the concerned management.The Iraqi Airways Company has been chosen as the society of the research and a questionnaire form is used to collect the data , ( 160 ) forms are distributed out of which ( 150 ) are suitable for analysis. The subjects include personnel in decision - making centers ( such as members of the council of the company management , the department managers ,the heads of the sections and units ) in the company. To enhance the data collected by the questionnaire form , personal meetings ,field observations and annual reports of the company are conducted. The analysis of the data is done by using the ( spss - 22 ) computing programme.The study reached many conclusions the important of which are : 1 - There in an interaction and integration between the strategic vigilance and marketing culture that contributes in making the company management constantly ready to face the unstable environmental circumstances and the sudden events as a strategic vigilance , and the company's internal management based on values and traditions Integration that every individual in the company takes it as marketing culture.2 - The company management adopt in its marketing orientations the philosophy of Selling preferring it to the other marketing philosophies and orientation. From this We conclude that : A - The company management is interested in its internal environment more than the external one which means that producing and offering services are done before knowing the need and desires of the customers , that is from the company's perspective rather than the customers perspective.B - The company concentrates on developing its services offered now without thinking of Vitiating these services and their markets in accordance with the new need and desires of the customers and the necessity of enlarging and vitiating these markets as a strategic aims as long as the opportunity for the markting growth is available. The research is enclosed with many recommendations the important of which are : 1 - It is necessary that the company management invest the integrated and positive relationship and dynamic interaction between the strategic vigilance and marketing culture and marking use of them when applying the scientific method in adopting a marketing philosophy or orientation in accordance with environment and in order to assume a distinguished status among the world airlines companies and to recall its old reputation which it lost when it faced exceptional circumstances.2 - Despite the fact that the marketing orientation of the company towards selling is considered a successful one on the short term , the company management should think of a marketing philosophy that keeps pace with the development of the modern age and on long term strategies based on the outside - towards - inside perspective of the company with an understanding of the customers' actual needs and the way of keeping contact with them for a long time and the nature of the competition and the movement of the competitions in the market and balancing the interest of the customer and that of the company and the society ,and protecting the environment and its resources.

التقديرات الحصينة للانحدار الضبابي == Robust Estimations For Fuzzy Regression

Author name: محمد جاسم محمد
Supervisor name: ظافر حسين رشيد النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

استعمال بعض الطرائق اللامعلمية في تقدير نموذج الانحدار الذاتي اللاخطي بوجود متغير خارجي مع تطبيق عملي == Using Some Nonparametric Methods For Estimation of Nonlinear Autoregressive Model With Exogenous Variables With Application

Author name: علي سلمان حبیب
Supervisor name: فراس احمد محمد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The analysis of the nonlinear time series, namely the Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Variable (NARX) model, is considered one of the complex problems.Correct order determination is very important to identify the model. Two different methods are proposed to determine the order for (NARX) model. The researcher also uses three different nonparametric methods to estimate nonlinear regression function of the model.The first proposed method to determine the order for (NARX) model was the Additive Splines Estimation to determine the correct order of the model. This method is based on Additive Property to treat the augmented ( Curse Dimensionality ) problem.The second proposed method was Cross - Validation approach leave one out, based on the kernel estimate of regression function which is directly based on data. Three different methods are used for model estimation. The first method is Smoothing Splines. The second is Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) ,and the third is the BRUTO algorithm which is an adaptive backfitting and uses Generalized Cross - Validation.For comparison purposes between the various estimation nonparametric methods and to find out the best fitting for the data, two Criterion are used : Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Proportional Error (MAPE), and select the best method which gives the best fitting of the data ; then applying the best method on the Electrical Loads and Temperature in Basra Governorate for the months (from May to October) in 2015. The researcher concluded that Additive Splines method play an effective role in order determination for the used model and the results show that the identified order is close to the correct order; and that the ANN is the best estimation for (NARX) model

مقارنة مقدرات بيز لدالة المعولية لانموذج ويبل للفشل باستعمال دوال خسارة مختلفة مع تطبيق عملي == A Comparison of Bayes Estimators For Reliability Function of Weibull Failure Model By Using Different Loss Functions With Practical Application

Author name: صبا صباح احمد الجميلي
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Weibull failure model considered being one of the well known failure models because of its different applications in addition to its importance in the reliability field and life tests.This thesis focused on a comparison of standard Bayes estimators for reliability function of the two parameters Weibull distribution by usingsix different loss functions, three of them have been suggested by the researcher.And for that, the methodology of this thesis depended on the following methodologies : - First : - Theoretical study, the standard Bayesian estimations has been derivatives elaborately to reach the Bayes estimators forms for the reliability function of Weibull distribution by using symmetric and asymmetric loss functions which been explained elaborately, and these are quadratic loss function, logarithm loss function and precautionary loss function to reach to the standard Bayes estimators which called quadratic Bayes estimator (QB), logarithmic Bayes estimator (LB) and precautionary Bayes estimator (PB)) respectively. And those loss functions have been Modified by suggested three modified loss functions counterpart to the functions above to reach proposed estimators which called (modified quadratic Bayes estimator (MQB), modified logarithmic Bayes estimator (MLB) and modified precautionary Bayes estimator (MPB)) respectively.Second : - Experimental study by designing number of simulation experiments using various values of parameters and sample sizes, and with repetition of (10000) times for the comparison among the estimators and by using the mean square error (MSE) to reach efficient estimators with minimum variance. And a collection of real negative and positive values have been tried for the constant which is used in proposed loss functions to reach the best value may used in the comparison, and then a comparison between the six preference estimators is done to show which estimator is the most accurate to be used for estimation the reliability function of Weibull failure model, and best results have been obtained from those simulation experiments.The results of these experiments showed that the modified precautionary Bayes estimator (MPB) is the best for the reliability function of Weibull failure model than the other estimators which have been used in this thesis, and the second best method is the modified logarithmic Bayes estimator (MLB), and after that the precautionary Bayes estimator (PB) and then the modified quadratic Bayes estimator (MQB), also all proposed estimators are better than the logarithmic Bayesestimator (LB) and the quadratic Bayes estimator (QB) which results not to be shown in preferences.Also the results of these experiments show that every proposed estimator is better than its known counterpart.Third : - Application study by taking the best Bayesian estimator in the simulation experiments which is the proposed modified precautionary Bayes estimator (MPB) and applied practically on two experimental real data from WeatherFord company for oil well digging in the Bazergan area of Misan governorate which are represented by the time to failure of the operation of the drilling fluid pumps.From all above, the most important conclusions and recommendations have been offered from the results of this thesis as a specific contribution in the reliability field.

اثر التحول نحو النشاط الخاص على الموازنة العامة في الاردن للمدة (1980 - 2001) == Privatization Impact On Jordan Budget (1980 - 2001)

Author name: وليد خلف علي الزعبي
Supervisor name: فريد جواد كاظم الدليمي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: Most of developing countries suffered from economical crisis in 1980s of the last century which was caused by the external debts. In order to avoid this crisis and to rectify imperfections in economy, these countries tended to. Implement recitification programs that has led to change the economical policies that were implementel baler. Recenty, Jordan has tended to Privatization and the main reason for that are the economical crises from which Jordan has suffered. So, Jordan adapts rectification policies, the most important of which is Privatization policy as a result of unsatisfied Performance of the Public Sector, This study aims at : 1 - Evaluation privatization impacts on Jordan general budget.2 - Studying the of privatization on some general economical remarks in Jordan economy. This study involves four chapters : The first deals with the concept of privatization, its aims, techniques and the obstacles it was faced by. The second chapter deals with presenting and analyzing on Jordan general budget. The third chapter deals with the direct impacts of privatization on Jordan general budget, Finally, the third capter presents the indirect impacts of privatization on Jordan general budget. This study leads us to infer some conclusions, the most important of which : 1 - One of the most important reasons that makes the Public sector companies failing at performing its duty is the laws and instructions by which these companies are working since these laws and instruction limited the activity of public sector companies. 2 - Privatization process has led to decrease the general external debt of the national grass product from 223% in 1989 to 78. 4% in 2001 Also, this process has led to decrease the general internal debt of the national gross product form 41% in 1989 to 22% in 2001 which has positive impact on the general budget. This studs steers the researcher to the following recommendations. 1 - To motivate the private sector for investment, there is necessity, for a legal background that protects it and saves the capital. In addition to profits of the investment process. 2 - Gradual preenting of interests for the privatized companies in the stock market to get the best income. That is because presenting the whole interests may cause a decrease in their prices. Consequently, the price of buying the government companies lass than the compete price.

طرائق تقدير انموذج راش للبيانات المصنف متعددة القياسات مع تطبيق عملي == Methods of Estimating The Rasch Model For Multiple Categorical Data Measurements With Practical Application

Author name: وضاح صبري ابراهيم المناصير
Supervisor name: دجلة ابراهيم مهدي العزاوي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعتبر انموذج راش (The Rasch model)، من اهم نماذج نظرية السمة الكامنة (Latent Trait Theory) للنظرية المعاصرة لقياس سلوك الفرد، المبني على البيانات المصنفة، وهو احد نماذج الاستجابة للفقرة الاحادية البعد، بمعنى ان درجة الفرد في الاختبار لا يجب ان تكون دالة ( | Rasch Model is considered as one of the important models in Latent Trait Theory for the contemporary Theory to measuring human behavior that depends on categorized data. It is one of the response models for one dimension point i.e., the mark of an individual within test mustn’t be regarded as an evaluation for other individual’s samples that are used within Item Calibration.Therefore, the thesis aims at comparing some methods for Rasch Model’s parameters for Categorical Data Measurement by using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).The following methods are also used : The Joint function of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method (JML), The Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method (MLE), Cohen’s Approximation Estimation Method (CAE), and Bayesian Estimation Method ( BEM ) and the first adjusted Bayesian Estimation Method ( BEMFS ) and the second adjusted Bayesian Estimation Method ( BEMSS ). The thesis includes a suggestion for a method to find the initial values of Rasch model’s parameters that are used in the previous mentioned methods and simulation is also used for overgeneralizing the results for the methods within various sizes levels, in which n : (n=10 , n=25 , n=75 , n=150 , n=300 , n=500 ) and ( n ) represents the individuals and (m) represents the number of the items ( m= 10 , m= 25 , m=35 , m= 45 ) and four different distributions are used ( Binomial , Poisson , Normal , Beta ). It is found that the best method for estimating the parameter of item difficulty (?_j), is The Joint function of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method (JML) and the best method for estimating the parameter of individual’s ability (B_i), is the Bayesian Estimation Method of the Second Adjusted. Danial’s test for intelligence is used in AL - Mustansyria University, College of Administration and Economics, Fourth year, morning studies only and the number of students are (531). The main conclusions are : By comparing all the methods with the suggested ones to estimate Rasch model’s parameters , it is found that the best estimating for the parameter of individual’s ability (B_i), is the Bayesian Estimation Method of the Second Adjusted by depending on the smallest value for Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and all the distributions are concrete and constant. It is found by comparing the methods to estimate the parameter of item difficulty (?_j) that the Joint function of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method is the best for estimation , in which Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is appeared with the smallest value and for all the concrete and constant distributions. It is found from the average of the correct answers of the testes that the tests items are within a closed level for each item and this gives the opportunity to students to answer the items. It is found from the average of the correct answers of the testes that the average of response is very good and it is between ( 0.47 - 0. 26 ) for more than 500 students from the total 531. This shows the similarity between students to have Danial’s test for intelligence. It is found from standards statistics ( T ) for the test items after comparing them with the tabled value for the natural distribution of the moral connotation ( a = 0.05 ) and the value ( 1.6449 ) that all the values without moral connotation and this confirms the acceptance of the test’s items to apply it on students’ sample which has different levels of difficulty but still parallel.

المعايير المحاسبية في ظل المدخل الوضعي ودورها في الابلاغ عن نتائج الازمات المالية في القطاع المصرفي العراقي == Accounting Standards In Light of Positive Approach And Its Role In Reporting The Results of The Financial Crises In The Iraqi Banking Sector

Author name: وسن يحيى احمد الساكني
Supervisor name: سعد سلمان عواد المعيني
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Accounting
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Accounting
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The researchers interested in studying the situation of accounting theory assumptions about (compensation administration, the premise of religion and political costs) and its relation to the positions and behavior of the administration towards the selection of specific accounting policy without the other on the grounds that these policies provided by accounting standards as substitutes for measurement and disclosure. But most of those studies and research have taken place in the stable economic conditions or implicitly assumed it as well. But this research is trying to test the ability of accounting standards on the production of lists (accounting numbers) have the ability to interpret the economic conditions of economic units under the conditions of the financial crisis and the behavior towards those standards departments under the same circumstances. Thus, the problem of the research revolves around the appropriateness of the current financial reporting (measurement and disclosure) in the Iraqi banking sector in the presentation and interpretation of the real results of economic conditions of the units in the shadow of the financial crisis, and included the importance of the study to understand the relationship between the stomach accounting standards in accordance with the statutory entrance and behavior of departments in reporting activity results and financial position in light of the financial crisis and considering that this behavior and their reactions and the impact on the basis of financial reporting in the development of standardsin the local environment, also aims to study the criteria ability (local rules and international accounting) in interpreting the results of economic units and predict their situation under conditions financial crises. The researchfound a set of conclusions and perhaps the most important : 1. The theoretical situation close to reality compared to the theory of the standard, the former concerned the interpretation to know the reasons for the preference management of this practice without the other, and by the assumptions that explain the administrative behavior and predict the results of the accounting practice on the financial position of economic unity second Contrary to that put forward plans for what ought to be practice.2. Despite the emergence of the entrances for various construction accounting theories, but that all the entrances are focused on the first two approaches and modes based on the empirical basis using a realistic analysis of accounting practice, and the second standard is based on the trends and keep accounting theory to reach the ideal goals and believes the need for taking into account the fact when building a practical standard theory in order to be viable.3. that the financial reporting of the results do not reflect the real results of the unit in the shadow of the financial crisis, and for several reasons, including the administration's desire to retain administrative positions or to avoid losing their customers from existing and potential investors, especially in light of the low value of the assets and the recognition of the changes associated with crises He also recommended that the search : 1. The need for accounting and regulatory standards of the Iraqi Council in response to update issued by the accounting standards, particularly with regard to the acute financial crisis times.2. trend towards the application of international accounting standards in order to unify the financial statements with the countries of the world for the purpose of comparison and the expansion of foreign investment in the local environment.3. the necessity of activating the role of regulatory bodies for the application of professional and ethical standards and the application of corporate governance to curb the exploitation of accounting practices in conditions of crisis.

واقع الاستثمار الزراعي في العراق في ضوء تطور هيكل الطلب المحلي على المحاصيل الزراعية == The Reality of Agricultural Investment In Iraq In Light of The Development of Domestic Demand Structure For Agricultural Crops

Author name: وداد علي زغير المنشداوي
Supervisor name: مناهل مصطفى عبد الحميد العمري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: انطلقت الدراسة من مشكله مفادها تنامي الطلب المحلي على المحاصيل الزراعية(النباتي،والحيواني) نتيجة زيادة معدل النمو السكاني في العراق، يقابلها تدهور في الانتاج الزراعي الفعلي الناجم عن ضعف التخصيصات المالية الموجهة للاستثمار الزراعي،ولكون البيئة الاستثمارية | The study has started with the problem indicating that the growing domestic demand for the strategy in both its food products (vegetable and animal) as a result of increasing population growth rate in Iraq encountered with degradation in the actual agricultural production resulted from the lack of financial allocations concerning agriculture investment.Because the investment environment is expeller of agriculture investment in Iraq due to financial and administration corruption despite the Existence of main element that Iraq gets in agriculture sector represented by natural , human and financial resources that lead to create a food gap and deficit state which cannot match with the domestic demands for these agriculture corps which must be imported from abroad from foreign markets because they represent the main food for the population. The study aimed at identify the invested allocations directed to the agricultural sector and the actual spending, has been shown that the level of growth of the production rate these crops (wheat, rice, white meat and eggs) was very low during the period (1990 - 2014).So Iraq resorted to rely on imports to secure the consumption needs of wheat , rice, red meat and eggs entirely. In the same time Iraq enjoys a high level of self - sufficiency crops such as ( barley and maize ). Through the study the researcher reached to conclusion that the size of the food gap for these crops , determine the proportions of self - sufficiency and the percentage of reliance on overseas by highlighting and determining the annual need of the population of these crops and analysis of the actual volume of production in Iraq ratios. Finally it was made future prospects for increasing agriculture allocations investments and encourage agricultural investment and create attracted investment environment in order to reduce the gap between demand of this sector and the actual agriculture production , then get rid of imports by reaching self - sufficiency in Iraq. The study adopted the style of the descriptive and statistical analysis, and the style of comparative analysis by identifying the Egypt experience in the field of agricultural investment, and a comparison of the change in the agricultural, both production quantities (plant and animal) for some strategic agricultural products before and after the start of the agricultural initiative for 2008

اقتصاديات الطاقة المتجددة في دول مختارة == The Economic of Renewable Energy In Selected Countries

Author name: هيثم عبد الله سلمان
Supervisor name: علي حسين علي المشهداني
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: No doubt that the production of renewable energy is considered to be the major indicators to make the status of the sustainable development goes up. Therefore this study depends on "hypothesis saying" Despite of increasing the production costs offossil energy and the difficulties of extension of using it, it is considered to be very energy necessity to attain the sustainable development indicators. That is due to its positive role to prevent the environment pollution end differing the resources of energy production. Therefore this study comes into three chapters to deal with how to get use of the renewable energy by depending on the experience of Germany and Egypt.Finally the study got to some conclusions most of them that the hypothesis applied with, the state of economy and environmental of Germany end Egypt. Also the study got to some suggestion and finding.

طرائق تقدير معلمات الانموذج المختلط الخطي الطبيعي الملتوي في حالة القياسات المكررة مع تطبيق عملي == Method of Estimating Parameters of The Skew - Normal Linear Mixed Model In The Case of Repeated Measures With Practical Application

Author name: هند وليد عبد الرحمن الجبوري
Supervisor name: محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تم في هذا البحث دراسة احد اهم النماذج الواسعة الاستعمال والتطبيق في تحليل البيانات التي تتصف بكون المشاهدات فيها تاخذ شكل قياسات مكررة Repeated Measures والذي يعد تعميم للانموذج المختلط الخطي (LMM) في حالة عدم تحقق الطبيعية Normality، وهو الانموذج المختل | In this research, the one of the most important widely used and application model was studied in analysis the data which are described by the observations take repeated measures form, which regarded as generalization of Linear Mixed Model (LMM) in the case of the lack normality, it is the Skew - Normal Linear Mixed Model (SN - LMM), which widely used to analysis the longitudinal data that characterized by the observations take repeated measures form and correlated among of them, this model express of these correlations by the random effect, it also achieved normality through the assumption that the data are distributed multivariate skew normal distribution.Also the research is concerned with the multivariate skew distribution generally and multivariate skew normal distribution specially with addressing the importance and used of these distributions, then dealing with the Skew - Normal Linear Mixed Model (SN - LMM) from its importance, used, properties, modeling, and parameters estimation methods Three important method are used for estimation the fixed effect parameters, random effect parameters and skewness parameters, in addition a proposed method by researcher, these methods are : 1) Maximum likelihood (ML) Method.2) Restricted Maximum Likelihood (RML) Method.3) Bayes Method.4) Proposed Method.A comparison among the best of these methods is made in the application aspect which contained the practical application on two clinical experiment including two samples of diabetic patients data, Who were given a new drug, the data of two samples are represent the repeated monthly measures for the level of sugar and some other variables which are taken for patient from the beginning of the experiment, after three months , and after six months from start to give them the new drug, in aim to study the effect of age and sex, which represented the fixed effect, also the visits times, that the repeated monthly measures are taken in these visits for the sugar level and other variables which represented the random effect, the comparison among the best method are held by using statistical standard the Mean Square Error (MSE), it was found in general that the proposed method is the best to estimate the fixed effects because of its lower mean square error compared to other methods, and the Bayes method is the best among these method to estimate the random effect and random errors because of its lower mean square error compared to other methods.

تاثير النظام القيمي للعاملين في الفساد الاداري بالعراق : دراسة اختبارية في وزارات عراقية مختارة

Author name: هديل كاظم سعيد
Supervisor name: صلاح محمود عبد الكريم الرحيم | منقذ محمد داغر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: General Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: لم يعد خافيا على احد ما تسببه ظاهرة الفساد الاداري من اثار سلبية على الادارة، والاقتصاد والمجتمع بشكل عام، مما يستوجب تناول هذه الظاهرة بالمزيد من الدراسة والتحليل، بهدف الوصول الى الاسباب الحقيقة وراء هذه الظاهرة، والمساعدة في وضع اجراءات مكافحة اكثر فا | The influence of the workers values system in the administrative corruption in Iraq Empiricism study in selected Iraqis ministriesNo longer a secret to anyone what caused the phenomenon of administrative corruption of negative effects on the administration, the economy and the society in general, This requires covering this phenomenon with further study and analysis, aiming to reach to the truth reasons that are behind this phenomenon, and assisting in the development of (to help of developing) more effectively striving procedures suited with reality and the local environment.Therefore, the present study centralizes on the study of the influence of the workers values system in the administrative corruption in Iraq through empiricism study in selected Iraqis ministriesFor the purpose of application of this field study and test its tasks collected data from (144), individuals occupying positions (general manager, the Director of the Department, and the official Division), distributors stratified between three ministries of the Iraqi ministries lead three diverse activities (engineering, educational and service). And that are The Ministry of Housing and Construction and the Ministry of Higher Education and the Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works, respectively. And to achieve results has been adopted means descriptive statistics (percentage, and center computational, and the standard deviation, and the weight percentile). As well as means (ratiocinative) indicative Statistics (correlation coefficient, gradient, and moral tests, and variance analysis for the Kruskal Wales).The statistical results produced a number of results, perhaps the most notable is the recognition at the official level that there is the problem of administrative corruption and diagnosis (recognize) of the problem half of the solution, What have government support of the official and popular any future plan to fight corruption. Also found there is a difference (difference) between ministries sample attitudes towards the diagnosis of administrative corruption and this indicates that the specificity of each ministry consists of the nature of the work and the nature of the institutional culture prevailing in each of these ministries.The study concluded with group of recommendations and proposals to deepen the awareness of the values and work ethic, or public office In thought and behavior among workers in the administrative body (apparatus), to be embodied firstly practice the mentioned ethics on leaders such devices, and sensitized to the dangers of the scourge of corruption, its symptoms, risks and consequences.

موازنة خط التجميع المتعدد باستخدام خوارزميتي الاوزان الموقعية المرجحة وكومسوال : دراسة حالة لخط الخياطة في معمل (7) - الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية - بغداد == Balancing The Multi Assembly Line By Using Ranked Positional Weight And Comsoal Algorithms Case Study At The Sewing Line Factory (7) /The General Company For Leather Industries (Gcli/ Baghdad

Author name: هالة حمد ماجود
Supervisor name: صباح مجيد سعيد النجار
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: قدم المهتمون في حقل ادارة الانتاج والعمليات الكثير من الدراسات والبحوث العلمية التي سعت الى تطوير اساليب وطرائق معالجة مشكلات عدم توازن خطوط التجميع بانواعها. وصنفت تلك الاساليب والطرائق ما بين الخوارزميات الاجتهادية وما فوق الاجتهادية والاجراءات الدقيقة | Experts in the field of output Production and Operation Management have presented many research studies to develop new techniques to tackle problems related to the imbalance of all types of assembly lines. These techniques, however, have been categorized as discretionary algorithms, over discretionary and precise and developed procedures. The ever increasing interest in the problems of assembly lines imbalance underscores the key role of this type of problems and its marked impact on the reality of assembly processes and line output. In this respect, the imbalance problems of the multi assembly type become one of the most complicated due to the nature and characteristics of these lines. The question this research tackles is how to choose the appropriate procedure that includes the nature of the processes of the multi assembly type represented in this research by the sewing line of factory no. 7. The balance of this output line does not pursue any scientific rules to be followed, rather, it is subject to the individual’s discretion which consequently created idle times at the work stations and led to low output of the line and this does not meet the company plans of output levels, in addition to creating time fluctuations and stochastic duty timings task times of the research subjects of 7 models produced at the sewing line during 2009. In the light of these indications, the author has devised a flexible simulation model that helps to include these changes and to deal with the imbalance problems of the sewing output line utilizing the probable systematic uniform distribution to create duty task times for each model. Working on the simulation model depends on the results of specifying the duties on the work stations in accordance with algorithms of the discretionary methods (Ranked Positional Weight and COMSOAL). Based on the outcome, the results were obtained by employing a number of applicable performance measures and standards to assembly lines among which are (output cycle time, average output per hour, rate of the line efficiency, rate of line idle time, and duration of line idle and lost times). Next, all the results obtained from the real work situation were analyzed and compared with the simulation model results for each algorithm and the 3 hypotheses of the research were tested put to test. The research has reached a number of conclusions that have proved the validity of the simulation model to address the problem and to achieve the sewing line balance through introducing possible alternatives with regard to the duty stochastic task times. It is quite clear that the applied algorithms have effective impact on achieving better results to enhance and to improve the lines line's efficiency and maximize its output in comparison with the real condition of the line. This research recommends that the application of the model simulation model technique be applied, as an appropriate procedure to address the balance problems of the multi assembly lines, and be combined with an applicable algorithm as this model is able to efficiently deal with the changeability and stochasticity of the line through applying a scientific procedure to specify and distribute the duties tasks on the work stations.

تحليل بعض عناصر اسلوب اعادة هندسة عمليات الاعمال لتحسين الاداء : دراسة حالة في الشركة العامة للحديد والصلب

Author name: هاشم نايف هاشم الحاجم
Supervisor name: محمد عبود طاهر
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر في ظل نظريات الاعمال الدولية : دراسة تطبيقية على بلدان العالم العربي مع الاشارة الى امكانية استضافته في العراق == Foreign Direct Investment Under The Theories of International Business An Applied Study On Arab World Countries With Referring To Feasibility of Hosting Fdi In Iraq

Author name: نغم حسين نعمة عبيد
Supervisor name: محمد علي ابراهيم العامري
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Business Administration
Degree: Doctorate
University: University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Business Administration
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اضحت ظاهرة الاستثمارات الاجنبية ولاسيما المباشرة منها الموضوع الاكثر جدلا ومعاصرة في حقل الادارة المالية، فقد شهد التعامل بها نموا انفجاريا خلال الربع الاخير من القرن العشرين نتيجة التطورات الاقتصادية التي عمت العالم وفتح الاسواق العالمية وزيادة حدة المن | The phenomena of foreign direct investment (FDI) has become the most controversial and updated subject in the field of financial management. The transact in FDI witnessed an explosive growth in the last two decades of the 20 - century owing to the economical developments which pervaded the world as well as the openness of the world markets and the increase of competition, the concern in Transnational Corporations (TNCs) increased. The FDI made the TNC go beyond the borders and served as a toll to implement its operations abroad. These Companies had great role in the hinges of the world economy which reflects its financial, advertising, technological and marketing abilities. This growing role took place after a wave of mergering and strategic alliances among the companies that led to the increase of its effectiveness in the world economy, even some of the companies possessed abilities exceeded the available abilities of some countries. Consequently FDIS have become the main players that formulate and guide world events. The collapse of communism and the widespread adoption of free market economy attributed more flexibility to these investments coupled with the termination of the constraints imposed by the national regimes before the economic liberation. Thus they were able to impose their criteria because they became the main source of financial funding and acquiring the progressive technology. Numerous developing countries definitely competed to implement radical changes in their systems and Laws in order to prepare an attractive environment for FDIS. The Arab states, especially Iraq, have to interact with the new developments in the technological field because it is impossible to be away from the world developments and closed. It is necessary to interact positively with these variables and economical developments. According to the points mentioned the study provides a know - how applicable frame for the nature of the FDIS and how to attract them i.e. to provide the suitable investing climate. As Iraq is one of the Arab states the study focused on the Arab region to be the areas where the application can be analyzed through analyzing these inflows, trends. Distribution and features as well as measuring cost and the benefits realized in the host country. Moreover the paper examines the possibility of hosting FDI in Iraq through analyzing the reality of Iraq economy and its prospectus.The study reached the following important conclusions.1 - The trends of the FDI inflows are often on regional levels, they target a region and a not a designated state. The investor tooks for territories enjoy economical, predictable and political environments with effective jurisdical systems that facilitate to enter the markets. Regionalism represents dimension for overall strategy for these companies and that explains the small size or FDI inflows in the Arab world, which count for (2%) in the last two decades 2 - The evolution of commercial frames of regional configuration participated in displaying the efforts of host countries attraction to FDIS to enhance their abilities to compete and mergering in world economy by expanding their share in the market and relaxation of constraints on FDI in flows. The investors often use territory of free trade as a platform to access other markets. Egypt, for example, occupied the first location in the Arab world in attracting FDI inflows (17%) of the overall Arab inflows followed by Morocco (16%) while the other Arab states did not realize much (1%) like Iraq, Gyboty, Palestine, Kuwait, Mauritania and Somalia, and Libya has realized negative rate.3 - The attraction of FDI depends on the government philosophy, political stability, and privatization Law supremacy, the exchange of currency and taxation system. The important factor, which all these issues depend on, is the availability of real investing opportunities. The private sector plays the biggest role in this respect because it looks for these opportunities according to the requirements of the host economies and translates them in to projects and promotion to be incubators for these inflows. This clarifies the in congruency in the increase of inflows from FDL in the Arab world compared with the rapid increase in the world and in the developing countries. The rate does not exceed (5%) of the overall inflows of FDI in the developing countries while Africa realized (7%) Latin America 25%, Asia and pacific (59%)4 - The MNCS in their geographical distribution of their investments centered in the countries that always provide the congruent climate and not neglecting the importance of natural resources and the geographical location of the host countries. Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Morocco and Tunisia have the big share of the cumulative value of FDI in the Arab world which mounted (60%) in limited actors in these states because of the investor reluctance to enter specified sectors owing to the changes in political and economical situations and fear of foreign control on the nation capital. As a result the industrial sector gained the highest rate of inflows (36%) while the mining industry received (5.5%).The inflows of FDI in the Arab world were distributed in relation to the political risk of the sectors. 5 - The FDI inflows bear the positive effect that pushes the economic development forward when two conditions are available : - • The size of the inflows from FDI. The bigger size of the inflows will lead to a greater share in the economic growth process and vice verra.• The host country should adopt an effective role in conducting these inflows and directing them to the vital hinges. This explains the simple role of the FDI inflows to the Arabic region because it only realized a small rate (10%) of the gross fixed capital forming during the last two decades, while they realized higher rate in the developing countries. In Singapore, for example, the participation rate of FDI in forming the gross fixed capital was (63%) for the same period.6 - One of the justifications of FDIS in the Iraqi economy is to enhance development and economic evaluation in a country that suffers from deep and serious spoilage in economic structures and a collapse of the infrastructure. Here we can not ignore the transact with FDI has many benefits national companies (TNCS) based on the depth and degree of the relations built with centers of research and development (RD) in the host country. As well as the degree of recruiting the national staff in these companies and to run training and development courses
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