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الفقر في اليمن المشكلة واستراتيجية المواجهة

اسم المؤلف: علي حسن محمد اليدومي
اسم المشرف: سجيع هاني العفير
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2004
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

العلاقات الاقتصادية العراقية التركية المصالح المشتركة وسبل التطوير : دراسة تحليلية مستقبلية

اسم المؤلف: طيب عثمان عبد الرزاق الدوري
اسم المشرف: تقي عبد سالم العاني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2002
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

دراسة للنشاط المصرفي الحكومي في العراق خلال المدة 1974 ـ 1993

اسم المؤلف: هدى هادي سليمان العزاوي
اسم المشرف: وداد يونس يحيى
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 1997
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

كفاءة الانفاق العام مع التطبيق على قطاع التعليم في اليمن

اسم المؤلف: عبد الكريم احمد محمد يحيى شجاع
اسم المشرف: طاهر موسى الجنابي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 1997
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

ابعاد التنمية في الاقتصاد الاسلامي

اسم المؤلف: سعيد علي محمد العبيدي
اسم المشرف: جمال داود سلمان
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 1995
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

التجارة الخارجية ودورها في تنمية الاقتصاد الاردني للفترة 1980 - 1995

اسم المؤلف: ابراهيم محمد احمد البطاينة
اسم المشرف: جمال داود سلمان
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 1997
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

قياس اثـر السياسة المالية في متغيرات مربع كالدور : العراق حالة دراسية Measurement of the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Kaldor's Square Variables : A case Study of Iraq

اسم المؤلف: محمد غازي نصيف
اسم المشرف: عبد الكريم عبد الله محمد
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2019
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

القيمة والاسعار والنقود في الفكر الاقتصادي الاسلامي

اسم المؤلف: قاسم محمد حمود
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2002
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
مكان الجامعة: بغداد

دراسة تحليلية لتغيرات اسعار النفط الخام في السوق الدولية للفترة 1970 - 1998 An Analytical Study of Crude Oil Price Fluctuations In The International Market For The Period 1970-1998

اسم المؤلف: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى جعفر
اسم المشرف: محمـد صالح القريشي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2001
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تركز هذه الاطروحة على المشكلة التي تواجه البلدان المصدرة للنفط الخام والتي هي عدم كفاءة اسواق النفط الخام الدولية، واسعار النفط الخام التي هي دون مستوياتها المثلى على وفق النظرية الاقتصادية والتي تسببت في خسائر مالية كبيرة للبلدان المنتجة للنفط.
لقد انطلق الباحث من فرضية ان اسعار النفط الخام في الاسواق الدولية خلال المدة 1970-1998 كانت دون المستويات المثلى على وفق معطيات النظرية الاقتصادية وذلك بسبب وجود فائض في العرض وبشكل مستمر ومن الممكن دراسة كفاءة اسواق النفط الخام الدولية والخسائر المالية التي تكبدتها البلدان المنتجة من جراء انحراف الاسعار المتحققة عن الاسعار المثلى وذلك من خلال بناء نموذج رياضي حركي يستند الى النظرية الاقتصادية.
يهدف البحث الى :-
1.تحليل واقع اسعار النفط الخام في السوق الدولية للمدة 1970-1998.
2. تحديد متوسط السعر الامثل للنفط الخام في السوق الدولية للمدة 1970-1998 من خلال بناء نموذج رياضي حركي اعتمادا على معطيات النظرية الاقتصادية.
3.تقييم كفاءة الاسواق النفطية الدولية للمدة 1970-1998.
4. تحديد الخسائر المالية التي تكبدتها البلدان المنتجة للنفط الخام للمدة 1970-1998.
لقد تضمن البحث اربعة فصول، شمل الفصل الاول الاساس النظري لاسعار الموارد الناضبة وسوق احتكار القلة كنموذج نظري لواقع السوق النفطية شمل ايضا العوامل المؤثرة في تحديد اسعار النفط الخام في السوق الدولية على ضوء النظرية الاقتصادية، اما الفصل الثاني فتناول تحليلا لواقع السوق النفطية الدولية للمدة 1970- 1998، ولقد تناول الفصل الثالث بناء نموذج رياضي حركي لتحديد امثلية العرض والسعر للنفط الخام في السوق الدولية للمدة 1970-1998 وكذلك تحليلا قياسيا للطلب الدولي الكلي على النفط الخام للفترة المذكورة اعلاه، اما الفصل الاخير فتناول تقييم كفاءة الاسواق النفطية الدولية والخسائر المالية للدول المنتجة الناجمة عن انحراف الاسعار الثابتة المتحققة عن الاسعار المثلى للمدة 1970-1998.
ولقد استطاع الباحث تحقيق اهداف البحث واخيرا توصل الى عدد من الاستنتاجات والتوصيات.
الملخص:
المصادر:

اثار السياسة الضريبية على كفاءة النشاط المصرفي الاردني خلال المدة من (1980 - 1997)

اسم المؤلف: اياد محمد احمد ملكاوي
اسم المشرف: جمال داود سلمان
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 1999
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

فاعلية السياسة النقدية في ظل داخلية عرض النقود : تجارب مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى العراق The effectiveness of monetary policy under the Endogenity of money supply : Experiences of selected countries with reference to Iraq

اسم المؤلف: عبد الله محسن جايد الساعدي
اسم المشرف: فلاح حسن ثويني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

التنمية المحلية في ظل تحديات ومتطلبات الاستدامة والتمكين والانصاف : العراق حالة دراسية The Local Development under Challenges and Requirements of Sustainability, Empowerment , and Equity - Iraq as a case Study

اسم المؤلف: سليمة هاشم جارالله العبودي
اسم المشرف: وفاء جعفر المهداوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

الاصلاح الضريبي وانعكاساته على فاعلية التجارة الخارجية في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2016) Tax Reform and its Impact on the Effectiveness of Foreign Trade in Iraq for the Period (2003 - 2016

اسم المؤلف: حيدر عبد الامير نعمة الغريباوي
اسم المشرف: صبحي حسون السعدي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2018
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

تحليل السياسات السعرية لشركاث الهاتف النقال في دول مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق An Analysis of Mobile Companies Pricing Policies In Selected Countries - With Particular Reference To Iraq

اسم المؤلف: راجي محيل هليل الخفاجي
اسم المشرف: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The mobile phone companies in all over the world are mostly distinguished by their limitid number, mutual relations, trading with rival companies in other countries, and while some of them working together in developed markets, others work in the emerging markets which are in the early stages of growth and spread.The pricing decisions and some other decisions, despite those differences mentioned above, are taken by those companies according to governments regulations related to organizing the olegopoly markets work.As a result, those decisions are usually characterized by being strategic in their behavior and in their direction to enhance the companies bargaining power against consumers, to control the prices, and market shares, especially when those companies agreed implicitly to control the prices and the market shares.This dissertation aimed to study pricing systems in the various countries, and analyzing the nature of the pricing prevailing strategies in the mobile markets in selected developed countries from (OECD), which both France, Switzerland, and some of the developing countries, which both Egypt, India, with particular reference to the case of Iraq, and compare its mobile services prices with some of the neighboring countries, based on Microeconomic, game theory application ,and Nash bargaining solution.Also, this dissertation was drafted a proposed model for the mobile services pricing, that can provide the minimum necessary calls minutes prices, which commensurate with the gross national income per capita, or with the poverty level line, that can be applied in practice, not only in Iraq, but in different developing countries.These services, which became a necessity basic for progress, prosperity, and an important pillar in the process of sustainable development, poverty fighting, and make it available had became a legitimate right, that guaranteed by the state, and it is an important basic need, of an individual or family requirements, especially, in the current situation in Iraq, which Wired telephone service significantly deteriorated, and there is no suitable efficient alternative, but only mobile services, which are private sector companies owned, and there is no competitor in the public sector.The government task is find a balance between allowing monopoly companies to cover its costs, with a profit margin, and not allow those companies to impose monopolistic price, which expands the size of the lost loss, and lower the level of welfare.In order to achieve the objectives of dissertation, it has been divided into three chapters, the first included theoretical economic framework, while the second chapter has included the trends of mobile services pricing in selected countries as described above, and third chapter included the recent economic directions of the mobile services pricing in Iraq.Finally, the dissertation has reached a number of conclusions, The most important one is, that the efficient, transparent government regulation for the mobile phone licenses rounds management, and the reduction of taxes, and fees that impose on mobile phone companies, will lead to increased spread, reduce prices, and increase the level of social welfare

اتجاهات السياسة المالية بين الفكر الاقتصادي الراسمالي والاسلامي Financial Policy Directions Between Two - Ideas : Capitalism And Islamic

اسم المؤلف: هاشم عبد مناف حسين زوين
اسم المشرف: قصي عبود فرج الجابري
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

قياس المحتوى الاقتصادي للامن الانساني في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2007) Measurment of Economic Content of Human Security In Iraq For The Years (1990 - 2007)

اسم المؤلف: سهيلة عبد الزهرة مستور جبار الحجيمي
اسم المشرف: نضال شاكر جودت الهاشمي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2011
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:

الموازنة المستجيبة للنوع الاجتماعي والتنمية المستدامة تجارب مختارة مع امكانية التطبيق في العراق Gender Responsive Budget And Sustainable Development Selected Experiences With The Possibility of Application In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: رشا خالد شهيب
اسم المشرف: وفاء جعفر المهداوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: تمثل الموازنة العامة اداة رئيسة لتنفيذ السياسات الاقتصادية العامة، وهي تجمع بين تنفيذ السياسات العامة الفعالة والموارد المالية المتوفرة. وعليه فهي اداة ضرورية لتعزيز المساواة بين الجنسين وتهيئة البرامج اللازمة لتحقيق هذا الهدف. وينبغي ان تعكس الموازنات ا | represent the Balance of the Chairperson of the tool for the implementation of the general economic policies, combine the implementation of policies and effective public financial resources available. Accordingly, it is a necessary tool for the promotion of equality between the sexes and the creation of the necessary programs to achieve this goal. It should reflect the Balance of the requirements and the needs of the individuals by type social security, so the development budgets of the gender - sensitive represented the best means to meet the aspirations and the needs of the majority of the men and women so the importance of the study of sensitive budget social type and that these budgets are not meant to put the budgets of separate women's, but rather are intended to prepare the general budget, in accordance with the requirements of social type with consideration of gender relations in society and the roles of access to and control over resources. Therefore, the main goal of this kind of budgets is to take account of the specific issues and to ensure their integration into all national policies, plans and programs, they represent the tools to provide the necessary financial support to meet the needs of women and men are attempts to dismantle or the separation of a pattern of general budgets commonly according to its impact on social type. The study came to light on all global experiences and Arabic, which claimed responsibility for the topic of integrating type social development contexts in order to understand the true reality of lessons learned, and ways to apply in Iraq serious attempts in the application of the sensitive budget social type.The problem that there were gaps between social type of roles and obligations and rights and duties and never from a bridge those gaps through the application of sensitive budget social type so came the hypothesis consistent with the problem and that the application of the sensitive budget social type that would bridge those gaps, according to the plans of the Court informed in advance the objectives of the search came to clarify the meaning of the sensitive budget type social objectives as well as the means to depend on in the direct impact on the needs of social type and then follow - up to the heavy impact researcher on the basis of the Indicative curriculum through the study of global experiences and Arabic Sensitive balance social type and then read results obtained from exhumations into his investigative through the use of applied to Iraq came the study limits the duration (2003 - 2015) through reliance on The available data within the reports of international organizations and magazines and adoption of scientific analysis and structural included search four main chapters each chapter contained three subsidiary investigation was divided into the demands and paragraphs in order to understand more than the subject of the study researcher to a set of conclusions, the most important is : - 1. Sensitive budget type social policy instrument for effective financial application of social justice and a clear understanding of the requirements and needs of the social type bridging the gaps quality. And benefit all global experiences and that there is a clear success in those tests on the one hand a bridge the gaps through the reorientation of public expenditure toward the expenditures that have a direct impact on the needs of social type.2. The application of sensitive budget social type the government adopted a comprehensive plan involving each of the government and individuals and civil society organizations with the cooperation of international organizations to build a joint plan to work to ensure the success of that experience.

الامن الغذائي في العراق وافاقه المستقبلية في ظل المتغيرات الاقتصادية المحلية والدولية Food Security In Iraq And Its Future Prospects In The Light of Economical Local And International Variables

اسم المؤلف: خالد قحطان عبود
اسم المشرف: عبد الستار عبد الجبار موسى
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد تحقيق الامن الغذائي من المواضيع التي تحظى باولوية في مختلف الدول سواء كانت متقدمة ام نامية وكذلك فان المنظمات الدولية الزراعية المتخصصة قد اعطتها اهمية خاصة من خلال جعل اول اهداف الالفية الثالثة للامم المتحدة هو "القضاء على الفقر المدقع والجوع" وتسعى | Food Security is considered one of the significant subjects that has the priority in various countries whether these countries are advanced or developed one. It is worthy to say that the Specialized International and Agricultural States had supported Food Security great and private interests by making the first aims of the third thousand era for UNITED NATIONS is " Destruction the Poverty and Hunger".These Countries , including Iraq , look forward , within their economic resources to achieve that aim , but there are actually economic local variables that influence on the local agricultural production and to stop its achievement.On other hand , there are International Economic Variables that participate to impact in Economic Activity for its various and different sectors , including the Agricultural Sector , especially Iraq meets its Food Requirements for the main foods through import.This Thesis aims to study and deal with the concept of Food security in many Local and International aspects , as well as , to benefit from Advanced International States ' Experiences I this field (European Union as a Sample) , besides several Food and Social Protection Programs in some Developed Countries (Brazil as a Sample) and to recognize the reality of Agricultural and Food Abilities for Iraq and knowing the challenges ¬¬¬¬¬¬¬¬that may be faced , and to concentrate on the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables that influence on Food Security for Iraq and to plan forthcoming future horizons for Food Security by expecting the size of Food Gap for the most important strategic Food products , with concentrating on the most significant schedules during the period (2003 - 2014).Thesis has divided into four chapters , each Chapter is subdivided into three topics.Chapter One has dealt with , as a Conceptual Framework for Food Security , Food Security and the problem of Substitution , as well as , the most important and Effective Internal and International Economic Variables on Food Security.Chapter Two has concerned with Agricultural Policies and Social and Food Protection Programs in Advance and Developed Countries altogether (As Selected Samples) through studying Joint Agricultural Policy for European Union with concerning with the essence of Food and Social Security Schedules in Developed Countries and to mention to Food and Social Protection schedules in Brazil as a Sample.Chapter Three had dealt with the reality of Food and Agriculture in Iraq for the period (2003 - 2014) as well as the Agricultural Potentials in addition to the Food Situation in and the challenges that may be faced.Chapter Four has concerned with the effects of Internal and International Economic Variables in Food Security for Iraq and its forthcoming horizons.Last , many conclusions and recommendations were achieved. The most important conclusions are that food security levels in Iraq during the duration (2003 - 2014) are to fluctuate for various reasons, despite a slight improvement in agricultural production, especially total food grain, but he does not keep pace with domestic demand are to cover the food deficit through imports cover, and therefore the impact on the self - sufficiency ratios and the size of the gap nutrients, either the most important recommendations, it must rely on agricultural policies aimed to develop the agricultural sector based on the first two pillars reliance on the private sector, whether individuals or agricultural companies under the guidance of the state and the second increase in agricultural support and expansion of presenting the different kinds and forms of various started to talk a distortion in the economy, taking into consideration the suit in the case of Iraq,s accession to the World Trade Organization.

الدور التنموي لصناديق الثروة السيادية في بلدان مختارة مع اشارة خاصة الى صندوق تنمية العراق The Developmental Role of Sovereign Wealth Funds In A Selected Countries With Special Reference To Iraq Development Fund

اسم المؤلف: خالد شامي ناشور العطواني
اسم المشرف: فلاح حسن ثويني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2016
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) become, By Controlling a Huge Financial Assets and Increased Impact Within International Financial Markets, a Fundamental Pillar of Investment Through The World and One of The Most Important Indicators of Financialability of counties that owned themBecause They Can , BY(SWFs) , Converting The Financial Surpluses Coming From Natural Resources Into Productive Assets That Lead to Diversifying Income Sources , Achieving Fair Wealth Distribution Among Generations, Reducing Economic Shocks Effect, Stabilizing The Economy and Enhancing The Development. This Thesis Deals With The Problem of Countries That Depend on Revenues Coming From Natural Resources (Especially Iraq and other Developing Countries). As most of these Revenues are coming from Oil which its Prices and Revenues are Unstable, so those Countries are Exposed to Negative shocks and Structural imbalances that deepening because inefficient investment of oil revenues. Thus, the idea of establishing a (SWF) is a vital solution for the problems mentioned above and also to manage effectively the revenues coming from natural resources (non - renewable) in achieving economic stability and development. This study assumes that (SWFs) can be an important financial instrument for stabilizing the economy and for supporting the development. To Explain that, the study discusses experiments of U.A.E, Kuwait and Norway with (SWFs) and evaluates the performance of Development Fund of Iraq (DFI) in achieving different goals of the development with a perspective to adopt the idea of establishing a (SWF) consistent with the conditions of Iraq economy. The study concludes that an independent and qualified management with clear and transparent strategy are the main requirements for a (SWF) to be effective and productive in its role to achieve stability and development that can be seen by experiment of Norway. For Iraq, the study concludes that although (DFI) has successes in financing some economic sectors, but it suffers from major weaknesses like unclear strategy, inefficient management, unqualified control and unavailable data. Thus, (DFI) was unable to perform an effective role in supporting stability and sustainable development. The research suggest that Iraq needs to establish its own (SWF) with independent and qualified management to protect its natural resources, especially oil, and to direct financial surpluses coming from oil reasonably to assure sustainability for development and generations.

التاثيرات التنموية لمصادر التمويل في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 2004 - 2013 The Developmental Effects of Financing Sources In Iraqi Economy For The Period 2004 - 2013

اسم المؤلف: حافظ عبد الامير امين
اسم المشرف: فلاح حسن ثويني
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: The financing of Development plays an essential and important role in directing the internal sources of finance through the domestic credit, which includes the savings and how to improve and mobilize it for the credit purpose by multiple expansion in all the payments instruments which are used by deferent institutions dealing in both money and stock market. Besides the internal financing, there is the external finance which includes the direct foreign investment ,Loans, Grants, and Subsidies.The lack of developed money and stock markets, Limitations in marketing the bonds, Limitations of financial channels through which savings are collected and mobilized, Weak banking sector which lack the trust of Public, and the Accumulation of debt and it is service, All of these flaws are the characters of developing countries which produce negative consequences in these countries, and Iraq is not an exception.According to the economic logic, every developing country cannot achieve an accelerating development, unless making accumulation through some time horizon, and this Accumulation achieved through three connected stages. The first one the existence of savings, the second is the improving of these savings to assure the flow of investments without relying on foreign lending, and the latter represented by directing these savings to the productive investments, such as industrial and agricultural ones. That is to say, the possibility of achieving accumulation after making a coincidence between the supply and demand of savings through the intermediate financial institutions and financial markets, to develop the national economy, in condition that there is an economic visionAbstract coincide with the developmental abilities to achieve the targeted economic development.The study lies into three sectors, the first one deals with the intellectual and economic fundamentals of the finance sources, and this sector subdivided to three articles, which survey the fundamentals of internal and external finance, the relation between the developmental finance and the public expenditures, invention and poverty, and the nature of finance source and it is developmental consequences, respectively.The second chapter which is contains three articles, is about the finance in selected countries. The first one surveys the most important the world - wide developmental consequences of finance sources, while the two later chapters the developmental finance in south Korea and Algeria respectively. The third chapter consists of four articles, is dealing with the development finance in Iraq. The first article devoted to the development and conditions in Iraqi economy during the period 2004 - 2013. The second and third articles are about the internal and external finance in Iraq respectively, while the last one deals with how to correct the finance path and the available alternatives in Iraqi economy. Finally, the study contains some conclusions and recommendations.

استعمال نموذج قياسي للتنبؤ بالطلب العالمي للنفط الخام في ظل الازمات مع اشارة خاصة للعراق The Use of A Standard Model To Predict The Global Demand For Crude Oil In The Light of The Crisis (With Particular Reference To Iraq)

اسم المؤلف: حاتم كريم بلحاوي القريشي
اسم المشرف: جواد كاظم الموسوي
الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة: 2017
الموضوع الدقيق: الاقتصاد
الدرجة: دكتوراه
اللغة: العربية
مكان الجامعة: بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص: يعد النفط الخام من السلع الاستراتيجية المهمة التي تتوقف عليها جميع نشاطات القطاعات الاقتصادية على المستوى العالمي لما تتمتع به من مزايا كثيرة بوصفها مصدرا مهما للطاقة , لذا ازدادت اهمية الطلب العالمي على النفط الخام ولهذا جاءت اهمية دراسة التنبؤ بالطلب | The crude oil from the strategic goods the task which depends upon all the activities of the economic sectors at the global level with the many advantages as an important source of energy so increased the importance of global demand for crude oil and this came the importance of forecasting the global demand for oil are the topics of interest of the many researchers and academics as well as international organizations and institutions of what the predictability of giving a clear picture of decision makers in the oil policies at the national and international level and applied side (standard) into the study through the use of several statistical models (the model of linear, model gray boot model sorrow, the model of the steep self - moving averages) and use a researcher of the statistical program EASBRIG(statgraph) was not limited to the study of the world oil market only But shed light on an important aspect of the reality of the Iraqi oil sector where based problem that there are multiple factors affect in determining the quantities required presented in global markets crude oil does not summarize the specific factors in accordance with the logic of economic theory that require a lot of other factors affecting the balance of the world oil market, the most important oil crises and international cuisine during the term (1970 - 2015) and to find an appropriate way to predict the global demand for crude oil until the year (2030) there were also many justifications in choosing the subject of the research, including with respect to the needs of many identifies the most important factors affecting the world demand for oil and the impact of the oil crises and international on world oil markets as well as confirms the assumption that studies of predictive would give a clear picture of the The owners of the economic decision for the future of the world oil market in order to take all necessary and appropriate measures adopted, a researcher of the SNF first research approach (descriptive using inductive reasoning) which explain the foundations of the logic of economic on both sides of the world oil market and focus on the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in global demand for crude oil with reliance on data, indicators and international organization of international energy and OPEC and other data and the second approach (quantifiable) which clarified the statistically the validity of economic theory through showing results and interpretation and analysis based on statistical curriculum adopted the methodology included research questions, including what are the most important factors for the main and secondary stakeholders in defining the balance of international oil market? What is the impact of price fluctuations of crude oil on the economic growth rates of the exporting countries and the importer of crude oil? What is the impact of global crises in determining the balance of the world oil market? In terms of the limits of the study was on two sections of the border is temporal duration (1970 - 2015) the spatial border it includes the balance of the world oil market and balance of the world oil market and the reality of the oil market and the structure of the Iraqi search included four main chapters each chapter contained three detectives and requests the divided into the demands and to give a detailed picture of the subject of the study study concluded a set of conclusions and recommendations is the most important. 1 - There are several factors that determine the required amounts presented of crude oil which applies with the logic of economic including what was outside the logic of economic theory such as geopolitical oil crises and international cuisine. 2 - Forecasting is the global demand of crude oil from the important topics which gives a clear reference to decision makers and the resolution of the Economic Future action suitable for nappy the balance of both sides of the world oil market. 3 - The coordination of oil policies at the level of the OPEC countries and senior oil producers in the world for Diaper rash to export quotas and oil policies appropriate the stability of crude oil prices and thus the stability of the world oil market