البحث — المستودع الرقمي العراقي

المستخلص: تعد دراسة التنبؤ بالطلب السياحي واحدة من اهم موضوعات النشاط السياحي لما له من دور في معرفة حجم الايرادات السياحية المتحققة التي بدورها تعمل على صياغة القرارات المناسبة لتحقيق التنمية السياحية، ولذلك تضمن الاطار المنهجي للدراسة مجموعة من التساؤلات والافتر | The study of Prediction of the Tourist Demand is one of the most important subjects of Tourist Activity because of their Role in Tourist Revenue generated knowledge which in turn serve to formulate appropriate Decisions for Tourism Development, and thus ensure the methodological Framework for study group questions and assumptions have been formulated according to the specific questions of the nature of the problem and its importance and its spotlight section to two aspects of the theory and the Philosophical subject of study was designed to elucidate the theoretical Philosophy and Intellectual goals because it represents a new twist in the studies Tourism in Iraq despite that the Amerindians ' faces theoretical ideas and away from duplication and complexity and followed the best and easiest methods to address the folds until the theoretical and Philosophical Frameworks have to mimic the applied side of chime and conclusion, and this led to the results to be an honest expression of what the researcher wants to. Thus addressed, among other problems, most notably, the Tourism sector in Iraq suffers from a lack of appropriate Statistical Standards for measuring Tourism Demand actual and expected future, adding that the agencies responsible for tourism with weak random flop and in all areas of the Tourism Industry, and the lack of accurate data on arrivals into Iraqi territory. So the importance of the research developed through solving problems mentioned and try to manipulate Mathematical methods. Accordingly, the research aims to find out the most important statistical Models for measuring Tourism Demand and Income variables is preparing internal and external Tourists in Iraq, and also learn the strengths and weaknesses of Tourism Development Programms and monitor the movement of Travel and Tourism, the Interior and Foreign Affairs and trying to provide data for Decision Makers. Then , the limits of the temporal research starts with a period in 2009 - 2012, when the limits of spatial research has specialized in land and sea ports of entry and air. The research approach adopted the statistical analysis and the use of Mathematical Models are consistent with the nature of the subject research , the more Scientific Methods of interpretation capacity and precision : the Exponential Smoothing model in Time Series and Box - Jenkins Model (ARMA) and Grey Systems Model. As a researcher of some hypotheses to arrive by slow Development of Tourism in Iraq and Religious Tourism and Tourism was affected by the political and security situation in the country, with some Tourist Revenue represented by Tourism in Iraq Demands Arab Tourists more than meet the Demands of foreign Tourists, and the Tourism Revenue increases over time in proportion to the increasing number of Tourists. this hypothesis also relates to the quality of Tourism and Tourist Services, especially the Religious Tourism is a strong attraction for Tourism in Iraq and the interest of the Tourists coming to Iraq on commercial markets and exhibitions. The study has produced a range of theoretical and practical conclusions, in theory show that Tourism Demand into Iraq is significantly represented by the Religious Tourism and Tourist Demand during the previous three decades had suffered great fluctuation and instability of the first Gulf war (war of eight years) and the second Gulf war and the subsequent economic blockade and international isolation, most recently the third Gulf war, and that the Tourism Sector in Iraq lacks upper and middle management persons with specialization in Tourism Sector and this has led to poor decisions taken, in addition to the lack of Tourist Policy and its strategic vision for the sector as the Economy and the country as a flop, random is the characteristic inherent to this sector. In the applied side, indicating that the appropriate Model for the Prediction of Demand Tourism Series and is the first order of Grey Model GM(1,1), while showing that the appropriate Model for prediction of Tourism revenue is the Autoregressive model of first order ARMA (1, 0 ).

الصفحات الاولى:

مستقبل الشوارع التراثية في مركز مدينة بغداد ودورها في تنشيط السياحة الثقافية : منطقة الدراسة شارع الرشيد The Future Of Heritage Streets In Baghdad City Center And Their Role In Stimulating Cultural Tourism Study Zone - Rashid Street

اسم المؤلف: هناء حسن كاظم

الجامعة: الجامعة المستنصرية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم السياحة وادارة الفنادق

اسم المشرف: دينا حامد جمال

الموضوع العام: العلوم السياحية

الموضوع الدقيق: السياحة والفندقة

الدرجة: ماجستير

اللغة: العربية

السنة: 2014

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

المستخلص: Tourism has various dimensions in all sectors especially Rashid street for having many heritage buildings that have positive role in polarizing tourists. Besides, it is part of the components of the nation's identity, history and civilization and one of the most important national treasures. Defining society and citizen to it helps to document and reveal the rootage of the nation through the events it passed through. Furthermore, it is the symbol of Baghdad as a place, heritage and history for millions of human beings and one factor of tourist attracting factors. In it contents it holds the tourist, social and cultural dimensions which gives it direct link for the emerging ofthe country civilization and its upgrade across ages. The current study based on two changes interact among them to form its mental and philosophical frame represented by ( Rashid street and cultural tourism). Study problem set off through standing onthe reasons led not to invest the street for tourist purposes and the question here is there a concerning by the in charge sides for this historical street?Besides, standing on the reasons for lacking services and ignoring till now, for that, study community is composed of in charges in a status of ( general manager, manager, department in charge, deputy department head) in Ministry of Tourism, Baghdad Municipality and board of Monument and Legacy. Then it has to prepare questionnaire form informative static method which are used in processing and analyzing questionnaire datum depending on ready statically programs band ( spss ver 20, mintab,mectlad) which represented by measured mathematical midst, normative drifting, difference factor, simple drifting and multiple drifting to determine changes effect on study phenomenon (cultural tourism) to show the level of study changes and Spearman Brown link factor. Also using serial sloping test ( stepwise) which use to show the most effective changes on the cultural tourism among all study changes ( future changes), then it will build new street sample for Rashid street. The study reached to many deductions about this street. Rashid street has the feature of having the most important cultural and heritage street in the middle of Baghdad capital beside its correlation in most important commercial and cultural Baghdad centers especially those who extend on the banks of Tigris river. Besides, it is the first historical heritage street in Baghdad for having many heritage places and buildings reflect the civilization and history of the country.Researcher presented group of recommendations include making continuous maintaining and restoration processes for religious cultural heritage buildings in a way contribute in preserving the architectural ruminants due to specific program in coordinating with Ministry of Tourism and Monume

الصفحات الاولى:

اساليب مقترحة لتفعيل دور الحكومة في تنشيط حركة الاستثمار السياحي في العراق Suggested Styles To Activate The Government Role In Activating Tourism Investment Movement In Iraq

اسم المؤلف: مهند جميل كاظم العامري

الجامعة: الجامعة المستنصرية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم السياحة وادارة الفنادق

اسم المشرف: اسماعيل محمد علي الدباغ

الموضوع العام: العلوم السياحية

الموضوع الدقيق: السياحة والفندقة

الدرجة: ماجستير

اللغة: العربية

السنة: 2014

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

المستخلص: يمثل الاستثمار السياحي محور التنمية السياحية والاساس الذي تقوم عليه هذه التنمية، ولاهمية هذا الموضوع فقد تمت دراسة الاستثمار السياحي في العراق (باستثناء محافظات اقليم كردستان) للتعرف على المشاكل التي يعاني منها هذا القطاع وكيفية معالجتها، واستخدم في البحث | Tourism investment represents the axis of tourism development and the foundation on which his development is based. Due to the importance of this topic, the tourism investment was studied in Iraq (except the governorates of Kurdistan Region) to identify the problems this sector suffers from and how to treat them. The research used the descriptive method because the study topic (the tourism investment) is an existent real phenomenon, hence the study refers that the tourism investment in Iraq has witnessed several stages since 1970s and till now, yet it was one active and effective and the other has no effect. As the tourism development relies on it greatly, thus the study problem stemmed from the problems faced by the investor in the tourism sector, especially that the tourism investment currently is limited and centers greatly around the tourism sector and there is no State participation in it as well as it is confined to a defined pattern of tourism, i.e. (religious tourism). The research arrived at a collection of conclusions the most prominent of which is the State's weak role in tourism investment which led to the concentration of tourism investments in limited governorates and the deprivation of other governorates from it. To activate the government role in tourism investment, the researcher presented a group of procedures like the completion of tourism legislations and laws that support the tourism investment, and their virtual contribution in this investment, as well as allocating a part of the federal budget to finance tourism investments and also activating the role of mixed tourism sector in investment

الصفحات الاولى:

الوعي الثقافي للمجتمع واثره في حركة التدفق السياحي : دراسة ميدانية لمجتمع مدينة بغداد Cultural Awareness Of The Community And Its Impact On The Flow Of Tourists Movement

اسم المؤلف: علي محمد كاطع السوداني

الجامعة: الجامعة المستنصرية - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد - قسم السياحة وادارة الفنادق

اسم المشرف: خليل ابراهيم احمد المشهداني

الموضوع العام: العلوم السياحية

الموضوع الدقيق: السياحة والفندقة

الدرجة: ماجستير

اللغة: العربية

السنة: 2014

مكان الجامعة: بغداد

المستخلص: يسهم الوعي الثقافي في ادراك الفرد والمجتمع لواقعه الخاص ومحيطه الاجتماعي, الذي يسهل عليه عملية الاندماج والتفاعل مع هذا المحيط , مما ينعكس على اندماج السائح مع المجتمع المضيف , والذي له الاثر في حركة التدفق السياحي التي تعد السبيل الامثل لتطوير البلدان ال | Contribute to cultural awareness in the perception of the individual and society and the private to reality in and social surroundings, which facilitates the process of integration and interaction with the ocean, which is reflected in the merger of the tourist with the host community, which has impact on the tourist flow movement, which is the best way for the development of receiving countries for tourists in several areas, including cultural, social, political and economic process. The study aimed to determine the role of cultural awareness society through it factors (Social, technological and urban, religious, political and economic) to increase the flow of tourists movement on the one hand, and on the other hand, emphasize the importance of the variables that affect the increase the cultural awareness of the individual and society and their role in tourism. To achieve this, the researcher conducted a field study on the city of Baghdad as a community comprising all shades of the Iraqi society.. Selection visitors tourist sites was signed in the city of Baghdad in the sidearm Karkh and Rusafa as a model for the study. Was selected the simple random sample consisting of (400) Researched and Researched, by 20% the total number of visitors to tourist location The researcher used several key platforms, including descriptive method for data and information through the style and method of statistical and analytical survey, and the comparative method, as well as the style of observation and interviews conducted by a researcherat these locations. The study found that the most important results, including cultural awareness contributes to the empowerment of communities of understanding and peaceful coexistence and harmony, through what has composed understand enough about other cultures, which helps to increase the flow of tourists movement. It also contributes to cultural awareness through communication and interaction with other cultures in the third off the culture as a result of this interaction aimed at cultural convergence and social integration between the tourist and the host society, which leads to the development of travel and tourism

الصفحات الاولى: