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تحليل العلاقة بين النفقات العامة والنمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2013) باستعمال دالة الاستجابة المستحثة
Analyzing The Relationship Between Public Expenditures And Economic Growth In Iraq For The Period (1990 - 2013) By Using Impulse Response Function
اسم المؤلف:
قيس انيس جحيل العقابي
اسم المشرف:
عبد الكريم عبد الله محمد المشهداني
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاقتصاد
الدرجة:
ماجستير
الجامعة:
الجامعة المستنصرية
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
تعد موضوعة العلاقة بين النفقات العامة الحقيقية والنمو الاقتصادي من المواضيع المهمة والتي كثر بها الجدل والتحليل والنقاش بين علماء الاقتصاد على مدى عقود من الزمن.وفي الجانب النظري ورد هناك منهجين مختلفين في الادبيات الاقتصادية المتعلقة بالعلاقة بين هذين | The relationship between public expenditure and economic growth has been an important subject of analysis and debate among economists for decades. There are mainly two different approaches in the literature concerning the relationship between these economic magnitudes. These two well - known approaches are “Wagner’s law “ and “Keynesian hypothesis. Therefore, Wagnerian and Keynesian approaches represent two alternative viewpoints in explaining the causality between government expenditure and economic growth. While Wagnerian approach states that, the causality runs from economic growth to public expenditure, according to the Keynesian approach, the direction of causality runs in the opposite side. The purpose of this study is to analyses the causality relationship between government expenditure and economic growth in Iraq over the period (1990 - 2013) using time series data , and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Impulse responses trace out the responsiveness of the dependent variables in the VAR to shocks to the error term. The impulse responses of economic growth and public expenditure are normalized to have a contemporaneous impact of one - percent by dividing each shock by the standard deviation of the respective fiscal shock. These impulse responses are then divided by the ratio of the shocked fiscal variable and the responding variable, where the ratio is evaluated at the sample mean. Therefore, the rescaled impulses for the responses of economic growth to the public expenditure shocks can be interpreted as giving the reaction of the responding variable, in percent of economic growth, to a fiscal shock of size 1% percent of economic growth. This study differs from the other studies aiming to test these relation in Iraq in some ways. First this study attempts to analysis the relationship between economic growth and total public expenditures and Public expenditures for health and education in order to search for evidence supporting relation between them , Second, this study investigates the two sub - time series ( 1990 - 2002 ) and (2003 - 2013). Data analysis revealed that a Double causal relationship (two way) from a real public expenditure to economic growth and economic growth to the real public expenditure for period(1990 - 2013), which supports (Turan Yay, Huseyin T., 2009), and that the relationship with the economic growth of public expenditure on Health and education are related to one - way from economic growth to public expenditure on health and education which supports the Wagner law. Economic growth response to unexpected shocks incident in real public expenditure reflects the negative impact (Exp) response to the economic growth have a positive impact on most of the ten periods from the study but had negative levels for the second period. The expenditure on health and education in response to shocks in the rate of economic growth have the opposite effect in the ten periods, but had the lowest levels of negative periods (fifth, sixth, seventh, and eighth) Economic growth rate in response to the shock in the total health and education expenses are non - existent, and negative at the beginning of the first period of the year, but it takes continuous decline to reach the lowest value in the second quarter and the negative trend continues to the end of the last period The real public expenditure in response to a positive shock in real GDP are non - existent at the beginning with a bullish trend to end up in the second period. Then begin to fluctuate, starting from the third period to reach the lowest level in this period. GDP in response to a positive shock in real public expenditure be positive and influential impact on the error of the variable interpretation (GDP) in the first period and then begin to decline and negatively in the second period and then take swings between positive and negative for the rest of the study periods. The study concluded with a number of recommendations
👁 مشاهدة
المناطق الحرة وتاثيراتها الممكنة في الاقتصاد العراقي في ضوء تجارب بلدان مختارة
اسم المؤلف:
دينا طلال صبيح شوقي
اسم المشرف:
مظفر حسني علي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاقتصاد
الدرجة:
ماجستير
الجامعة:
الجامعة المستنصرية
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
👁 مشاهدة
فاعلية الادوار الوظيفية للضرائب في الاقتصادات الريعية : العراق حالة دراسية للمدة 2003 - 2012
The Effectiveness of The Functional Roles of The Taxes In Rentier Economies (Case Study of Iraq For The Period 2003 - 2012)
اسم المؤلف:
زيد حبيب حسين المحياوي
اسم المشرف:
وفاء جعفر المهداوي
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاقتصاد
الدرجة:
ماجستير
الجامعة:
الجامعة المستنصرية
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
The target of taxes is no longer ( in light of intervening State ) to obtain the fiscal revenue only (as they were under the Guardian State ), but became other important roles and targets for tax used by the state to intervene in economic activity and make through which changes intended at the macroeconomic level, and these roles ( in addition to financial role as abasic objective for the tax ), refer to the economic role, social role and the of environmental role and other roles (political, religious and cultural role... ).Developed countries were able to do these roles on the ground successfully, while the developing countries have not been able, or that the effectiveness of these roles is very limited. Iraq is resemble in its circumstances with rentier developing countries, (the case of Iraq may be the worst among these countries, because it suffered from the past which is no secret to anyone, and sad present which will affect the future ).Its oil wealth impacted negatively on other its revenues , and Iraqi economy has become the hostage to the foreign factors and conditions which is not about them nor force. The protective role of the protective tax has not gone in the minds of the Iraqi legislature , however, that the high degree of economic exposure and rising marginal propensity to consume , which resulted in a high marginal propensity to import to meet the growing consumer demand - under the conditions of the bad local production - and other factors was able to put together that negatively affected this role, and the state was not able to do the social role of taxes, for the same reasons about the limited this role in developing countries, and adopted the public expenditures.The environmental taxes did not apply at all in the Iraqi economy , and there were fines imposed on the polluting activities, and this issimple fine, so its revenue (proceeds) does not fit with the size of pollution from such activities , and this proves the inverse relationship between the size of the state and the proceeds of its revenue from environmental taxes.
👁 مشاهدة
المبررات الاقتصادية لاعادة هيكلة مصرفي الرافدين والرشيد
Economic Justification For The Restructuring of Rafidain And Rasheed Banks
اسم المؤلف:
ندى علي صالح الفريجي
اسم المشرف:
وحيدة جبر خلف المنشد
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاقتصاد
الدرجة:
ماجستير
الجامعة:
الجامعة المستنصرية
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
The banking system in Iraq is facing significant challenges, including internal challenges associated with the elements of the environment surrounding the banking business, and external challenges that were produced and will produce elements and requireme
👁 مشاهدة
اثر المناخ الاستثماري في نشاط القطاع الخاص المحلي في العراق بعد عام 2003 : محافظة بغداد انموذجا
Impact of The Investment Climate In The Activity of The Local Private Sector In Iraq After 2003 Baghdad Governorate A Model
اسم المؤلف:
احمد زكي محمد
اسم المشرف:
قصي عبود فرج الجابري
الموضوع العام:
الادارة والاقتصاد
السنة:
2014
الموضوع الدقيق:
الاقتصاد
الدرجة:
ماجستير
الجامعة:
الجامعة المستنصرية
اللغة:
العربية
مكان الجامعة:
بغداد
الصفحات الاولى:
المستخلص:
This study focused on showing impact of the investment climate in the Iraqi private sector and was province of Baghdad a model, also focused on trying to detect the channels of transmission of impact of the investment climate in order to locate the defect
👁 مشاهدة
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