التقييم الفني والاقتصادي لتقنيات الرفع الاصطناعي == Technical and Economic Evaluation for the Artificial Lift Techniques
مبادرة الشفافية للصناعات الاستخراجية في العراق دراسة تحليلية للمدة (2002 - 2014) == Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative in Iraq analytical study
صناعة تكرير النفط في الامارات والسعودية للمدة 2000 - 2012مع امكانية افادة العراق منها == Oil Refinery Industry In UAE and Saudi Arabia For Period (2000 - 2012) and the Potential of its Utilization in Iraq
تقييم اداء سوق العراق للاوراق المالية : دراسة تحليليه مقارنه مع بعض اسواق الدول العربية للمدة 2003 - 2013 == Evaluating the performance of Iraq Stock Exchange ( A comparative study between the Iraqi market and markets of some Arab countries for the period 2013 - 2003
تجربة دولة الامارات العربية المتحدة ف مجال الطاقة المتجددة == The Experience Of the United Arab Emirates in the Field Of Renewable Energy
اثر التدريب التكاملي وانعكاسه على الاداء الاستراتيجي : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء عينة من الموظفين في شركة نفط ميسان == The impact of Integrated Training Strategic Performance ( Survey study of a sample of managers and supervisors opinions in Maysan Oil Company )
تحديد مستوى اداء نظام العمليات بالاعتماد على العلاقة التفاعلية بين استراتيجية ادارة مخاطر التجهيز ومتطلبات استمرارية تدفق عملية الانتاج : دراسة ميدانية في شركة الفيحاء لصناعة البناء الجاهز المحدودة == Identifying the Performance Level of Operations Systems relying on the interactive relationship between the strategy of supply risk management and the requirements of production process flow continuation (a Field Study in Al - Faihaa Ready Construction Co
امكانات وعوائق بناء اقتصاد المعرفة في العراق للمدة (2003 - 2013) == Potentials And Obstacles Of Building A Knowledge Economy In Iraq For The Period (2003 - 2013)
اثار المشاريع المائية التركية في العراق == The effects of Turkish water projects in Iraq
تقويم دراسة الجدوى المالية لعينة من المشروعات الاستثمارية في هيات الاستثمار في العراق للمدة 2008 - 2015 == Evaluation the financial feasibility study for a sample of investment projects in the inve stment commissions in Iraq for the period 2008 - 2015
اثر التخطيط الاستراتيجي في جودة الاداء الجامعي : دراسة ميدانية في جامعة البصرة == THE IMPACT OF STRATEGIC PLANNING ON THE QUALITY OF THE UNIVERSITY PERFORMANCE A SURVEY STUDY IN UNIVERSITY OF BASRAH
قياس تاثير التداؤب في تحسين اداء فرق العمل المدارة ذاتيا (التسكع الاجتماعي متغيرا تفاعليا باعتماد لوحة عدادات الكترونية) : دراسة تطبيقية في شركة الحفر العراقية == measure the synergy effect on improving the performance of self managed team work : Social loafing moderating variable " The adoption of Dashboard " An Applied Study in the Iraqi drilling company
تكامل اسلوبي تحليل مظروف البيانات وعمليات التحليل الهرمي المضبب لقياس وتقويم كفاءة اداء كليات جامعة البصرة
تكاليف انتاج النفط في العراق قبل عقود التراخيص وبعدها للمدة 2003 - 2015 : دراسة حالة شركة نفط الجنوب == Oil production costs in Iraq before and after the licensing rounds for the period(2003 - 2015) south oil company case study
واقع الاستثمار في البنية التحتية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2013 == The reality of investment in infrastructure in Iraq For the period (2003 - 2013)
تحليل الاداء الاقتصادي لشركة غاز البصرة للمدة 2013 - 2016 == Economic Performance Analysis of Basra Gas Company For period (2013 - 2016)
الدور التفاعلي لانموذج العوائد الاعلى من المعدل في العلاقة بين ابعاد المنطق الاستراتيجي وقيمة الاسهم : دراسة تطبيقية لقطاعي التامين والصناعة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية == The moderating Role of the above - level return model in the relationship between strategic logic dimensions and stocks value Practical study on Insurence and industry sectors in Iraqi stock exchange
دور التخطيط الاستراتيجي في تحسين جودة الخدمات الصحية : دراسة استطلاعية لاراء عينة من العاملين في القطاع الصحي في محافظة بابل
استراتيجية الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء في الزام الوزارات والجهات غير المرتبطة بوزارة بتنفيذ القرارات الحكومية : بحث استطلاعي في بعض دوائر الامانة العامة لمجلس الوزراء == Strategy of the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers to oblige ministries and entities not affiliated with the Ministry to implement government decisions (Exploratory research in some departments of the Secretariat of the Council of Ministers)
قياس وتحليل محددات الانفاق العام في العراق وعمان للمدة (1990 - 2015) == The Determinants of Public Expenditure in Iraq and Oman for The Period (1990 - 2015).
اثر الصدمة النفطية في بعض مؤشرات الاقتصاد الكلي في العراق (1990 - 2015) == Impact of Oil shock in some macroeconomic variables in Iraq (1990 - 2015)
Author name:
هديل محمد سلمان الفتلاوي
Supervisor name:
جواد كاظم البكري
Abstract:
Since the discovery of oil in commercial quantities early in the fourth decade of the last century, and its plays a key role in the global arena, whether on the economic, political or social side, as the role of traditional energy sources, such as coal, began to decline in favor of mineral fuels (oil and gas). Industrial countries gradually began to rely on oil to run their industrial machine to increase the growth rates of their economies. On the other hand, by the oil exporting countries, the picture was not different, They also relied on oil revenues to increase the growth rates of their economies. However, what distinguishes the oil market is its instability. It is exposed from time to time to shocks, whether positive or negative, as a strategic commodity for both exporting and consuming countries. The instability in this market involves economic reasons related to the demand for oil And its supply, with geopolitical and security reasons in the nature of those shocks in many times. In a careful look at the world oil prices during the period (1990 - 2015), the duration of the study, we find that the prices ranged between (14 - 99) dollars per barrel, which confirms the depth of shocks to the global oil market in two and a half decades, Not to mention the price shocks that preceded this period, which began since the shock of 1973 and will not end with the shock of 2014. Since the oil is one of the lowest cost of energy resources, the reliability of the economies of the exporting countries remains large. These countries rely heavily on oil to finance their budgets, as well as their high contribution to the gross domestic product of these countries. The rate of contribution of oil revenues to GDP has not decreased in the best natural years, except for the years of the economic sanctions, it was (40%), while the Iraqi budgets were adopted In normal years (90%) at best. Of course that led to impact of fluctuations in oil prices on some of the macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy, including (GDP, inflation, unemployment and government expenditure), so this thesis was to analyze and measure the impact of oil price shocks on those macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy for the period (1990 - 2015) using quantitative methods (econometrics models) to support hypotheses that have been constructed. The importance of the research stems from the fact that it deals with the impact of oil price shocks on some of the macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy.The research aims to achieve the following objectives : - Trying to develop a theoretical and conceptual framework for shocks in the various economic schools starting with the classical and ending with rational expectations. - Explain the importance of oil in the Iraqi economy and the reliability of this economy on oil revenues. - Attempt to link between oil revenues and (GDP, unemployment, inflation and government spending) variables in the Iraqi economy. - Measuring the impact of oil price shocks, quantitatively, in some of macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy.research Hypothesis : Based on the importance of oil in the Iraqi economy, and the dependence of this economy on oil as a resource of great importance in its revenues, and due to the significant role in economic growth, we can offer the hypothesis of our research as follows : The negative shocks have affected the variables (GDP, unemployment, inflation, government expenditure) according to the logic of economic theory, that it leads to a decline in GDP and government spending, increase unemployment rates and reduce inflation rates . While positive shocks apply to the logic of economic theory for the variables of unemployment and inflation, but do not apply with the logic of economic theory for the variables of GDP and government spending
دور المصارف المتخصصة في تمويل تنمية قطاعاتها الاقتصادية في محافظ بابل للمدة من 2003 - 2015 == The role of specialized banks in financing the development of their economic sectors in the province of Babylon for the period(2003 - 2015)
سياسة الانفاق العام واثرها في بعض مؤشرات سوق العراق للاوراق المالية للمدة 2003 - 2015 == Impact of Government Spending Policy on some Iraq Stock Market Indicators for the Period (2003 - 2015)
تحليل كفاءة النشاط الاستثماري في العتبة العباسية المقدسة : شركة الكفيل للاستثمارات العامة (حالة دراسية) == Analyzing the efficiency of Investing Activity of Holy Abbasy Ataba Al - kafeel Co. for Investment as a sample