قياس وتحليل محددات الانفاق العام في العراق وعمان للمدة (1990 - 2015) == The Determinants of Public Expenditure in Iraq and Oman for The Period (1990 - 2015).
اثر الصدمة النفطية في بعض مؤشرات الاقتصاد الكلي في العراق (1990 - 2015) == Impact of Oil shock in some macroeconomic variables in Iraq (1990 - 2015)
Author name:
هديل محمد سلمان الفتلاوي
Supervisor name:
جواد كاظم البكري
Abstract:
Since the discovery of oil in commercial quantities early in the fourth decade of the last century, and its plays a key role in the global arena, whether on the economic, political or social side, as the role of traditional energy sources, such as coal, began to decline in favor of mineral fuels (oil and gas). Industrial countries gradually began to rely on oil to run their industrial machine to increase the growth rates of their economies. On the other hand, by the oil exporting countries, the picture was not different, They also relied on oil revenues to increase the growth rates of their economies. However, what distinguishes the oil market is its instability. It is exposed from time to time to shocks, whether positive or negative, as a strategic commodity for both exporting and consuming countries. The instability in this market involves economic reasons related to the demand for oil And its supply, with geopolitical and security reasons in the nature of those shocks in many times. In a careful look at the world oil prices during the period (1990 - 2015), the duration of the study, we find that the prices ranged between (14 - 99) dollars per barrel, which confirms the depth of shocks to the global oil market in two and a half decades, Not to mention the price shocks that preceded this period, which began since the shock of 1973 and will not end with the shock of 2014. Since the oil is one of the lowest cost of energy resources, the reliability of the economies of the exporting countries remains large. These countries rely heavily on oil to finance their budgets, as well as their high contribution to the gross domestic product of these countries. The rate of contribution of oil revenues to GDP has not decreased in the best natural years, except for the years of the economic sanctions, it was (40%), while the Iraqi budgets were adopted In normal years (90%) at best. Of course that led to impact of fluctuations in oil prices on some of the macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy, including (GDP, inflation, unemployment and government expenditure), so this thesis was to analyze and measure the impact of oil price shocks on those macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy for the period (1990 - 2015) using quantitative methods (econometrics models) to support hypotheses that have been constructed. The importance of the research stems from the fact that it deals with the impact of oil price shocks on some of the macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy.The research aims to achieve the following objectives : - Trying to develop a theoretical and conceptual framework for shocks in the various economic schools starting with the classical and ending with rational expectations. - Explain the importance of oil in the Iraqi economy and the reliability of this economy on oil revenues. - Attempt to link between oil revenues and (GDP, unemployment, inflation and government spending) variables in the Iraqi economy. - Measuring the impact of oil price shocks, quantitatively, in some of macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy.research Hypothesis : Based on the importance of oil in the Iraqi economy, and the dependence of this economy on oil as a resource of great importance in its revenues, and due to the significant role in economic growth, we can offer the hypothesis of our research as follows : The negative shocks have affected the variables (GDP, unemployment, inflation, government expenditure) according to the logic of economic theory, that it leads to a decline in GDP and government spending, increase unemployment rates and reduce inflation rates . While positive shocks apply to the logic of economic theory for the variables of unemployment and inflation, but do not apply with the logic of economic theory for the variables of GDP and government spending
دور المصارف المتخصصة في تمويل تنمية قطاعاتها الاقتصادية في محافظ بابل للمدة من 2003 - 2015 == The role of specialized banks in financing the development of their economic sectors in the province of Babylon for the period(2003 - 2015)
سياسة الانفاق العام واثرها في بعض مؤشرات سوق العراق للاوراق المالية للمدة 2003 - 2015 == Impact of Government Spending Policy on some Iraq Stock Market Indicators for the Period (2003 - 2015)
تحليل كفاءة النشاط الاستثماري في العتبة العباسية المقدسة : شركة الكفيل للاستثمارات العامة (حالة دراسية) == Analyzing the efficiency of Investing Activity of Holy Abbasy Ataba Al - kafeel Co. for Investment as a sample
تاثير لوجستك التوزيع في تحقيق رضا الزبون : دراسة تحليلية لاراء عينة من الزبائن والعاملين في شركة توزيع المنتجات النفطية - هياة توزيع الفرات الاوسط فرع بابل == The Impact of Logistics Distribution in achieving customer satisfaction Analytical Study in Oil Products Distribution State Company Babylon Branch
اثر تقلبات سعر الصرف في الاستخدام في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (1990ـ2015) == Effect of Exchange Rate fluctuations on Employment on The Iraqi Economy for the period (1990 - 2015
قياس اثر صدمة الايرادات النفطية في متغيرات السياسة النقدية في العراق للمدة 1999 - 2015 == The Measurement of The Impact Of The Shock Of Oil Revenues In The Variables Of Monetary Policy In Iraq For The Period (1999 - 2015)
استقصاء قلف شجرة الكالبتوس كمانع تاكل للفولاذ الكربوني X52 في الاوساط المختلفة للانابيب الناقلة للنفط الخام == Investigation The Bark Of Eucalyptus Tree As Corrosion Inhibitor For Carbon Steel X52 In Different Media Of Crude Oil Pipelines
استقصاء الخواص الفيزيائية والميكانيكية لنحاس الومينا متدرج وظيفيا == Investigation Of Physical And Mechanical Properties Of Cu/Al2O3 Functionally Graded Materials
امثلية عمليات اللحام باستخدام مصفوفة التضارب == Optimization Of Welding Processes Using Confusion Matrix
تاثير معدل التبريد على خواص سبيكة Ag - Cu - Sn == Effects Of Cooling Rate On Roperties Of (Ag - Cu Sn) Ternary Alloy
معالجة مياه الصرف الصناعي لمصافي النفط بالاكسدة الانودية المباشرة == Treatment Of Petroleum Refinery Wastewater By Direct Anodic Oxidation
تحسين الاداء الحراري للمائع النانوي في المبادلات الحرارية == Enhancement Of Thermal Performance Of Nanofluids In Heat Exchangers
تصميم تقسيم مساحة نظام الارسال الضوئي لنظم الاتصالات == Design And Implementation Of Optical Space Division Multiplexer For Tera (B/S) Communication Systems
تصميم مضاعف تناظري خطي محسن بنطاق واسع يعمل باربعة ارباع == Design Of Improved Wideband Linear Four Quadrant Analog Multiplier
بناء معيد ترميز تكراري شبه مثالي للاشارات المرمزة المعتمدة على مخطط تانر == Implementation Of Modified Suboptimal Iterative Decoding For Tanner - Graph Based Coded Signals
مراقبة انذار المرضى عن بعد الزمن الحقيقي اعتمادا على الصحة الالكترونية الصحة العنكبوتية الصحة الخلوية وشبكات التحسس اللاسلكية حالات الدراسة موضع منام المريض سكر الدم استجابة الجلد الكلفانية والتخطيط العضلي == Remote Patients Monitoring / Alarming In Real Time Based On E - Health / I - Health / GSM - Health And WSN, (Case Study : PP, BG, GSR And EMG
تقييم اداء نظام تحويل المويجات المنفصلة - مازج تقسيمات التردد المتعامد المشفر للتطبيقات ذات السرعة العالية == Performance Evaluation of DWT - COFDM System For High Speed Applications
اكتشاف العطل الارضي المنفرد واخماده ذاتيا باستخدام السيطرة على ملف بترسون في شبكة التوزيع == Detection of Earth Fault And Self - Extinguishing By Controlling Petersen - Coil In Distribution Grid
تقييم صخور الحجر الجيري لمنطقة عيون الشجيج محافـظة النجف (وسط العراق) كمواد انشائية == Evaluation of The Limestone of Eione Al - Shujage Area In Al - Najaf (Middle of Iraq) As Construction Materials
