استعمال اسلوب ARDL في تقدير اثر سياسات الاقتصاد الكلي على بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية في العراق == Using the ARDL method to estimate the impact of macroeconomic policies on some economic variables in Iraq
تقويم كفاءة الاداء الاقتصادي لمعمل اسمنت كبيسة للمدة (2009 - 1996) == Evaluation of Economic Performance Efficiency of Kubaisa Cement Plant For The Period (1996 - 2009)
Author name:
شاكر حمود صلال جبر العبيدي
Supervisor name:
فايق جزاع ياسين الفهداوي
University location:
Anbar
Abstract:
تعد الصناعات التحويلية بشكل عام وصناعة الاسمنت بشكل خاص من الصناعات الحيوية والمهمة في الاقتصاد الوطني، بوصفها صناعة استراتيجية ترتبط بالتنمية الاقتصادية وتكوين الدخل القومي للبلد. ونظرا لاهمية قطاع صناعة الاسمنت لما يقوم به من انتاج سلعة ضرورية تلبي ال | They are the manufacturing industries in general and the cement industry in particular of industries vital and important in the national economy, as a strategic industry, related to economic development and the formation of the national income of the country. Given the importance of cement industry for its production of goods necessary to meet the rising demand for cement in the local markets, to improve conditions pension for citizens and the growing construction activity in the country as well as adopted a policy of investment and reconstruction, the domestic cement product not only covers ( 12%) of the local need, and the remainder to be offset by imports from neighboring countries that have been allocated to this research to shed light on the reality and development trends in the manufacture of cement in the cement plant is a leap for the period (2009 - 1996) and evaluate the efficiency of the plant in order to identify the nature of that development problems and difficulties faced by the industry and how to address the future and the ability of the plant on the exploitation of material resources, human and production capacity of the existing optimized in addition to the economic feasibility study for the expansion and rehabilitation of the plant. Of the most important results reached in this study are : 1 - They suffered from a cement plant is a leap of difficulties and many problems were the scarcity of capital funds for the rehabilitation process and non - optimal utilization of productive capacities and resources available that was caused by exceptional circumstances experienced by the country and its impacts on the performance of the plant was the unjust embargo and the shortage of spare parts, machinery and equipment followed the occupation of unjust and bad security situation and concluded the rupture continued in power that led to the closure of the plant for production.2 - They occupied the General Company of Iraqi Cement first round and a leading position in the cement industry in terms of quantity and quality, foot and had a cement plant leap prominent role in leading this company, where the percentage contribution of the plant to the State Company for the Iraqi Cement during the study period, according to some economic indicators.Through the index number of labor force, where contribution rates ranged between (20.7%) and (27.6%). Index for wages and salaries amounted to between the percentage of contribution (10.6%) and (32.9%). For indicator value of production ranged between the percentage of contribution (9.0%) and (60.3%). Through the index value of sales have ranged between the rates of contribution (14.0%) and (57.4%). For the indicator value of production requirements ranged between contributors (8.2%) and (43.0%), and all these indications, the economic importance of the plant compared to the company in general. 3 - They made the lab a major development in the cement industry which can be illustrated by him through some economic indicators, where it notes that the lab had made real progress and significant during the first seven years of years of schooling of any pre - occupation where it is noted that the quantity of production increased from (331 300) tons in 1996 to (824 827) tons in 2002 as well as the value of production at current prices which increased from (1,196,576) thousand dinars (13.7 million) thousand dinars in 2002. With regard to sales volumes have increased from (324 218 tons) to (801 614) tons in 2002 as well as the value of sales increased. As well as by index worker productivity where it notes that productivity continued to increase even during the second half of the study, the increase in the second half of the study is not true because of high prices and not to increase production and this is noticed through a standard worker productivity at constant prices. The productivity pay has continued to decline throughout the years of the study because of the continuing increase in salaries, wages and a greater proportion of the increased value of production. This is also true measure of the productivity of capital invested in productivity which continues to increase in the first half of the years of study except in 2000 decreased by simple. As regards the second half of the study, after the occupation, the indicators are all in decline and even indicators that achieved an increase are due to increase prices any increase is real, due to poor security situation and the shortage of electric power in addition to increasing the number of employees who impact on productivity Working wage and productivity through increased salaries and wages.4 - Despite the continuing rise in the total costs and the decline in real output but that the lab made a profit throughout the years of the study (1996 - 2009) due to increased sales in addition to increasing prices of cement.5 - With regard to production capacities noted that the design capacity continued stability throughout the school years and that there is a change going on in energy planned, including inconsistent with the available energy, which clearly affected by the decline in rates of implementation and use, operation and this is a sign of weakness in the performance of the lab, and a rise in the proportion of idle capacity, which dates back to the obsolescence caused by the plant and the lack of spare parts and poor security situation and the special circumstances faced by the country in addition to the significant shortage of electric power, which is the main reason not to use the productive capacities in the second half of the study.6 - With regard to the criteria for evaluating the efficiency of the plant for the period (1996 - 2009) has been shown how the performance of the plant with the economic criteria (financial gain, and rate of return on invested capital, the rate of return on dinar per gross value added and net, the ratio of net profit to the value added, the proportion of wages and salaries to value added, the ratio of value added to total revenue, total economic surplus and net costs of the unit produced, the share of unit sales of the profits, and finally the degree of industrialization). 7 - The future plan showed positive results in terms of internal rate of return for the first case as the original data (44.85%) and the second case when a sensitivity (36.1%), which are rates high. In the third case, it was clear from the results that the lab can work and make money even if the total costs increased by (73%), the rate of increase in costs that are equal then the internal rate of return with the cost of the opportunity with the stability of the rest of the variables. For the fourth case despite the assumption of a cost increase of high and low production and sales, it is acceptable ratio, especially as the plant continued the public sector and aims to provide the cement needed for development.
فاعلية تنمية الموارد البشرية ضمن اطار التفاعل بين التنمية المستدامة والتنمية البيئية مع الاشارة الى تجربة الاردن == The Effectiveness of Human Development In The Interaction Between The Continuous Development And Environmental Development With Reference To Experiment of Jordan
اتجاهات تصميم المحافظ الاستثمارية المثلى والبديلة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية == Trends In Alternative Optimal Investment Portfolios Design In Iraq Stock Exchange
الدولة والتنمية في الوطن العربي محاولة لاستباق التغير العالمي في ظل منهجية التحليل المستقبلي == A State And Development In The Arab Homeland An Attempt To Forestall The Global Change By Prospective Analysis Methodology
العولمة المالية وانعكاساتها على النمو الاقتصادي في دول مجلس التعاون الخليجي : دراسة تحليلية للمدة 1985 - 2007 == The Financial Globalization And Its Effect On The Economic Growth In The States of The Gulf Cooperation Council "An Analytic Study For 1985 - 2007"
الاصلاح الاقتصادي : التجربة المصرية وامكانية التطبيق في الاقتصاد العراقي == Economic Reform Egyptian Experience And The Possibility of Application In The Iraqi Economy
