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اثر العولمة في الاداء الزراعي في بلدان نامية مختارةEffect of Globalization in Agricultural Performance in Selected Developing Countries == Effect of Globalization in Agricultural Performance in Selected Developing Countries

Author name: قيس ناظم غزال
Supervisor name: سالم توفيق محمد احمد النجفي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Mosul
First pages:

التنمية الاقتصادية والبيئة بين فشل السوق والسياسة الاقتصادية : دراسة في اقتصاد البيئة == The Economic Development and Environment Between The Market Failure and Economic Policy

Author name: اياد بشير عبد القادر الجلبي
Supervisor name: سالم توفيق محمد احمد النجفي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Mosul
First pages:

دور وكالة الطاقة الدولية في سوق النفط العالمية للمدة 1995 - 2015 == The rule of the International Energy Agency In the world oil market for the period from (1995 - 2015

Author name: مريم علاء هاشم
Supervisor name: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Basrah
First pages:
Abstract: The energy is very assential way to fulfill man various need. It is the main nerve for economical and industrial development. Since the beginning of the world and most war that man made through history is to invade the new energy and develop it. Coal is the oldest source of energy and was exploit in economic way during industrial evolution since the beginning of eighteenth century in Britain. The share of coal was dominanted the total world consumption of energy so nineteenth century was called coal century.However, the second half of nineteenth century witnessed emerge a new source of energy was called oil. Which that mean begin a new age of capitalism conflect of obsession on oil field that concentrated in the middle east especially Arab Gulf countries. Each of it want to secure their need of crude oil and fighting with each other to control oil sources.Great capitalism countries especially Britain, United States of America, and France managed to dominate international oil industry by utilize oil and getting their oil companies enormous income. Since the beginning of second half of twentieth century large company oil was emerged especially (sevensister) in the international oil market and middle East region as the largest monopolistic organization on international level.These companies and its governments has achieved it mainly purpose is to dominate the international oil market and also make huge profits. But later those companies began lose its control on international oil market due to nationalisation process in the middle east and the lack of capitalist integration in the oil industry, emerged of OPEC organization which become to control with large range in the market oil through its control of offered oil through its control with large range in the market oil through its control of offered oil and price , as well as Israel Arabic war (October 1973 war) , cutout oil support industrial countries for this war and cause rising of price, and subsequently transform theAbstractBpower of balance in oil industry beside crude oil producer after it was with the crude oil consumer.These factors pushed USA to establish International Energy Agency in November 1974 to form a front to face the crude oil producer countries in the middle east and re control on oil market. International Energy Agency include the most consumers countries and it is 29 countries. These countries began to support renewable energy policies, develop policies of unconventional fossil fuels, lower oil consumption by impose carbon taxes and rationalisation consumption and strategic and commercial stock also support other energy sources.

قياس اثر الانفاق العام في التشغيل للمدة (2003 - 2014) العراق : حالة دراسية == Measuring Impact of public expenditure on Employment in Iraq for the period (2003 - 2014).

Author name: علي هادي حميد الدلفي
Supervisor name: عبد الكريم عبد الله محمد المشهداني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد سياسة الانفاق العام ركنا اساسيا من اركان السياسة المالية, ذلك لما لها من اهمية في التاثير على الاقتصاد الكلي, لذلك تعد من ابرز الادوات الفاعلة التي تستعملها السياسة المالية في التاثير على الطلب الكلي فضلا عن انها تعد احد وسائل السياسة المالية التي تعتمدها الحكومة لتوليد فرص عمل, والحد من ظاهرة البطالة, ومن ثم تحفيز النمو للاقتصاد الكلي للبلد.ومن هذا المنطلق يهدف البحث الى بيان اثر الانفاق العام في التشغيل في العراق اثناء مدة البحث, ومن ثم قياس وتحليل الانفاق الجاري والانفاق الاستثماري في التشغيل في العراق, باستعمال الاساليب القياسية المتقدمة بالاعتماد على انموذج (ARDL), وعلى وفق البرنامج الاحصائي (Eviews9) المتطور, والتحقق من مدى فاعلية السياسة المالية التوسعية في توليد فرص عمل مضافة في الاقتصاد العراقي. ان دراستنا تفترق عن الدراسات السابقة كونها لجات الى بيان اثر الانفاق العام (الجاري والاستثماري) في التشغيل اثناء السنوات السابقة التي مرت على العراق للمدة (2003 - 2014) اي من حيث المدة والمكان, كما ان الباحث تطرق الى ابرز السياسات المولدة للتشغيل .وتوصل البحث الى ان المتغيرات ساكنة عند الفرق الاول, وذلك على وفق اختبار جذر الوحدة, مما يعني رفض فرضية العدم, بسبب عدم وجود اتجاه في تحليل البيانات, كما ان النموذج لا يعاني من مشكلة الارتباط الذاتي ومشكلة اختلاف التباين, كما ان البواقي موزعة توزيعا طبيعيا وان النموذج ساكن هيكليا, ووجود علاقة طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات, اذ ان الانفاق الجاري(LX2) اكثر تاثيرا في التشغيل في الاجل الطويل والتي بلغت (0.33%) عند تغيره((1%, بينما نجد ان الانفاق الاستثماري(LX3) عند تغيره ((1% يؤدي الى تغير التشغيل بمقدار (0.0011%) اي انه (الانفاق الاستثماري) لم يكن تاثير في التشغيل في الاجل الطويل, مما يعني وجود ضعف في العلاقة(المرونة) في هذا الانفاق الاستثماري, كما ان سببية كرانجر(Granger) اوضحت وجود علاقة سببية بين الانفاق (الجاري) وتشغيل القوة العاملة وباتجاه واحد. | Publie expenditure policy is a corneston of fisical policy because of it,s importance in influencing the macroeconomic, So it considers one of the most effective tools used by financial policy to Influence aggregate demand, and therefore regards as a means of fisical policy which is adopted py state to creat jobs and reducing unemployment and thus stimulate growth in the country. The aim of this paper is to Show the impact of the public expenditure on employmentin Iraq during the period undercosideration and there fore, measuring and analyzing the influerce of operational and Investment expenditure upon employment in Iraq py using ARDL model . In addition, the paper odentified the log ran relation ship between employment and operational pinvestment expenditure. The reseache shows that if we increase investment expenditure by 1% this will lead to in creas employment by 0.33%, ceteris paribus, while if we increase investment expenditure by 1%, this will Lead to decreate employment - by(0.0011%),Ceterisparibus. . This result means that there is a Leakage in this expenditure. The paoer, alos, reveal,s that there is a causal relation ship between operational investment and employment,According Granger - Causaility.

الصيرفة الاسلامية ودورها في زيادة العمق المالي : تجارب مختارة مع اشارة للعراق == Islamic Banking and Its Role in Increasing Financial Depth - Selected Experiments With Reference to Iraq

Author name: عقيل محمد رشيد
Supervisor name: عمار حمد خلف
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: This study aims to explain the importance of financial depth, and to clarify the reasons for the adoption Islamic banking in various countries, It also seeks to exam the role of in Islamic banks increasing financial depth Since many studies emphasized, that the adoption of the Islamic banking leads to increase in financial depth. The study relied on the secondary data for the selected countries, in order to determine the extent of the contribution of Islamic banks in increasing financial depth, The countries such as Sudan and Kuwait has been selected on the basis of the success experiences in Islamic banking, Sudan is chosen because it follow the fully Islamic banking system, while Kuwait chosen because it has many Islamic banks working efficiently in competition from traditional banks, As well as experience of Iraq with Islamic banking since 1993. The study used (ARDL) model in the econometric analysis, which is one of the best econometric models, which is The main findings of the study are there is no relationship between Islamic banks in Sudan and the size of financial depth is natural result because in to the problems in to the Sudanese economy, as well as the lack of a relationship between the Islamic banks of Kuwait and the size of financial depth and considered this result is misleading because the GDP volume growth was much greater than the growth of deposits or credit with these banks and, finally, the results showed no relationship between the Iraqi Islamic banks and the size of financial depth is a natural result because of the of the problems that the Iraqi economy has suffered, However the most important results that have been reached by this study is the success of the work of Islamic banks need to, economic. security and stable political certainity, and then follow the Islamic system.

اثر الاستقرار الاقتصادي بالتنمية البشرية في العراق للمدة 2003 - 2013 == The Impact of Economic Stability on Human Development in Iraq For the period (2003 - 2013)

Author name: شذى خالد عباس
Supervisor name: احمد جاسم محمد العباس
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Basrah
First pages:
Abstract: The study seeks to analyze each of the economic stability and its indicators and human development with its indicators to demonstrate the impact of economic stability on human development in Iraq for the the period (2003 - 2013) . The study has analyzed the problem of unemployment , inflation , the general budget, economic growth , the exchange rate and how to know the mutual effect with human development indicators that Include the income, education and ealth. The achievement of economic stability indicators is an important necessity to achieve human development indicators which are important for achieving economic stability indicators because stability has become an important factor to achieve an advanced continuous training and learning in order to build a qualified capital for human development because the development is an important goal to ensure a better life for man .Through this study, it is observed that Iraqi economy was and still suffering from neglect and deterioration as a result of the wars that have led to increased looting , vandalism , large damage in many of the infrastructures and the lack of security and stability in all operations which have been reflected negatively "on a lot of indicators and led to the volatility and instability of these indicators as an indicator of inflation, unemployment, economic growth and exchange rate which reflected the impossibility to provide the basic needs of people .After (3002 ) the imbalances have became and clear the source of the Iraqi economy in spite of Iraq's possession of a lot of natural and human wealth but these haven’t utilized in a way that qualifies individuals under the main dependence and the heavily on oil revenues in the activation of human development indicators where the oil revenues remains representing the greatest part of the Iraqi budget to meet the expenses. Despite the improvement in the yields of oil production , there are many consequences of poverty in Iraqi society, so the diversity of the Iraqi economy is necessary , which made it a productive economy of wealth, including interest in the agricultural, industrial and tourism sectors which are an important factors for economic growth, that is an important way to develop the Iraqi economy as well as "the development of the oil sector as an important source to build the country.

تاثير قواعد السياسة المالية على فاعلية السياسة النقدية في العراق == The impact of fiscal policy rules on the effectiveness of monetary policy in Iraq

Author name: شاكر حمود صلال العبيدي
Supervisor name: محمود محمد محمود داغر
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: The study aims to find a relationship between fiscal discipline expressed in Fiscal Policy Rules and the effectiveness of monetary policy expressed by the supply of money and the exchange rate in Iraq for the period 1990 - 2015.The study starts from the supposition that the fiscal policy disorder has a significant impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy in Iraq, and through the adoption of fiscal rules can eliminate or reduce the impact of the financial turmoil, especially that Iraq depends on oil revenues to cover general budget expenses, making its economy vulnerably to shocks and its impacts on the reduction of general revenues of the state and thus increase the budget deficit and the accumulation of public debt, which have a reciprocal effect on the variables of monetary policy.The structure of the study was divided into four chapters to verify the hypothesis of the study , the first chapter discussed the entrance of the conceptual to the rules of fiscal policy and its relationship to monetary policy, the second dealt with the turmoil of the fiscal policy in the Iraqi economy and the possibility of achieving financial sustainability, the third chapter dealt with the prospects for the application of fiscal policy rules in the Iraqi economy, while the fourth chapter dealt with explaining of the methodology used in the standard analysis and display the results of the study, as used the test of (ARDL) and (VECM) to analyze the relationship between fiscal policy rules, which represent fiscal discipline and variables effectiveness of monetary policy (money supply, the exchange rate), and these models are the latest models in econometric , which depends on the stationary of the time series, and then test the joint integration whether there is a long - term of relationship between the variables or not and test the causal relationship of those variables.We reached the result of accepting the hypothesis that the absence of any fiscal discipline under the financial policy rules in Iraq which mainly affected on the effectiveness of monetary policy (money supply, exchange rate) for the period (1990 - 2015). Through a review of the evolution of the monetary policy variables (money supply, exchange rate) during the study period (1990 - 2015), we observed that the money supply and the exchange rate are linked with positive and proportional relationship with government spending, so we marked that the first half time of our sturdy’s time period that the rise of deficit, was covered by the new cash release, which in turn led to an increase in money supply and exchange rate (decrease in the value of the Iraqi dinar), while thebsecond half period of the study, it was marked by a higher government revenues associated with oil revenue which in turn stimulated the government to increase its spending, which in turn led to an increased in money supply without the exchange rate because of the ability of the Central bank to maintain the level of the exchange rate by using foreign currency auction and this has been confirmed by the results of the econometric study. The study recommended the adoption of fiscal rules benchmarks which contributed to determine the maximum acceptable level of government spending by GDP growth as a fiscal rule, because of the prominent role of the spending during the years of study on the money supply and inflation. As well as addressing the structural imbalance in public spending items and items of general revenue and reduce dependence on oil revenues to cover the current expenditure, and work to establish a sovereign fund for accumulating the realized financial surpluses in the years of abundance and investing them to develop the financing sources of the public budget .

دور الاحتياطيات الدولية في تحقيق الاستقرار الاقتصادي للاقتصادات الريعية تجارب دول مختارة == The Role of International Reserves In Fulfillment the Economic Stability to Rentier Economies The Experiments of Selected Countries

Author name: سلام كاظم شاني الفتلاوي
Supervisor name: عدنان حسين يونس الخياط | صفاء عبد الجبار علي الموسوي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Karbala
First pages:
Abstract: مع تزايد الازمات المالية (المحلية والعالمية) وتاثيراتها السلبية في اغلب الاقتصادات وخاصة الريعية، اصبح من الضروري الاحتفاظ بحجم مناسب من الاحتياطيات الدولية لمواجهة هذه الازمات، اذ ان الاحتفاظ بمستو كاف من الاحتياطيات لا يقلل من تاثير الازمات فحسب، بل يجعلها اقل احتمالا. وهذا يمكن النظر اليه بوصفه محور التعديل الوقائي مما يعكس الرغبة في التامين الذاتي ومواجهة التوقفات غير المتوقعة في المستقبل. يتم ادارة الاحتياطيات الدولية بالشكل الذي يضمن كفاية هذه الاصول، التي يجب ان تكون تحت تصرف السلطة النقدية وتسيطر عليها من اجل تحقيق مجموعة محددة من الاهداف، ووفقا لذلك ان كيان ادارة الاحتياطي عادة يكون مسؤولا عن ادارة المخاطر المرتبطة بها. وعادة ما يتم حيازة الاحتياطيات لدعم مجموعة محددة من الاهداف التي تسعى السلطة النقدية الى تحقيقها. ووفقا لذلك، سارعت اغلب البلدان للاحتفاظ بحجم كاف من الاحتياطيات الدولية وان اختلفت وجهات النظر في تحديد هذا الحجم وفقا لمؤشرات محددة الا ان كل منها يعتمد على طبيعة النظام الاقتصادي في البلد ومستوى التطور الاقتصادي الذي وصل اليه. وتتباين الاقتصادات من حيث مصادر تكوين الاحتياطيات الدولية، اعتمادا على تطور بنية الناتج المحلي ومدى مساهمة مكوناته في الصادرات، فضلا عن مدى مساهمة الحساب الراسمالي والمالي. اذ تتنوع مصادر الاحتياطيات الدولية في الاقتصادات ذات الهيكل الانتاجي المتعدد. بينما ياخذ القطاع النفطي النسبة الاكبر من مصادر تكوين الاحتياطي في الاقتصادات الاحادية الجانب. اما من حيث الحساب الراسمالي والمالي فهذا يعتمد على مدى مساهمة الاستثمارات الاجنبية المباشرة وتدفق رؤوس الاموال قصيرة الاجل. ينطلق البحث من فرضية مفادها، بامكان الاقتصادات الريعية وفي ظل الادارة السليمة والكفوءة للاحتياطيات الدولية من تحقيق الاستقرار الاقتصادي عبر الموازنة بين المنافع والتكاليف، ويتباين هذا الامر بحسب كفاءة هذه الادارة وطبيعة ودرجة التطور الاقتصادي والذي يضمن الاستخدام الامثل للاحتياطيات والاكثر فعالية. وقد جاءت اهمية البحث لبيان دور الاحتياطيات الدولية في اقتصادات دول العينة وخاصة العراق. ومن اجل التحقق من فرضية البحث تم تقسيم الاطروحة الى ثلاثة فصول. اذ تناول الفصل الاول التاصيل النظري للاحتياطيات الدولية ودورها في الاستقرار الاقتصادي للاقتصادات الريعية. وتناول الفصل الثاني تطور الاحتياطيات الدولية وانعكاساتها في الاستقرار الاقتصادي لدول العينة. اما الفصل الثالث فقد تضمن قياس دور الاحتياطيات الدولية في تحقيق الاستقرار الاقتصادي لدول العينة. اذ استخدم اختبار (VAR) في قياس هذا الدور. وتعد هذه الطريقة من الطرق الحديثة في القياس الاقتصادي التي تعتمد على استقرار السلاسل الزمنية. ثم اختبار التكامل المشترك اي فيما اذا كانت توجد علاقة طويلة الامد بين المتغيرات ام لا واختبار السببية ثم تقدير متجه الانحدار الذاتي (VAR) لمتغيرات البحث. ومن اهم الاستنتاجات التي تم التوصل اليها، هي ان الادارة الكفوءة للاحتياطيات الدولية تضمن الاستخدام الامثل وبالشكل الذي يحقق الموازنة بين المنافع الناجمة عنها والتكاليف المترتبة عليها مما ينعكس دورها في تحقيق الاستقرار الاقتصادي. كما ان استغلال الفائض منها (في حالة تجاوزها الحجم الكاف) في مجالات الاستثمار وخاصة الداخلي سينعكس تاثيرها كذلك بشكل ايجابي في الاستقرار الاقتصادي. | The Financial Crises (Domestic And International) are increased and its' negative effects in most economies especially in the developing countries, It is became necessary to retain in appropriate size from International Reserves in order to confront these crises. The retaining in an adequate size form reserves doesn't abate effect of the crises solely but it also makes it lessees likely. We can consider it as a preventive which is included the amendment. It is reflected the desire for self - insurance and which is faced the unexpected interruptions in the future. The International Reserves are managed in form which is contained the sufficiency of these assets. It has to be available to the monetary authority and it is controlled to vibrate for a specific set of goals. In this context the entity managing of the reserve is usually responsible to manage the riskiness which are connected to it. It usually contains the reserves in order to support a specific set of goals which are the monetary authority seeks to achieve it. According to that most of countries are retained in an adequate size from International Reserves. even there are different views in determining this size according to specific indicators But each one is depended on the nature of economic system in the country and the level of economic development, which is reached to. Economies are disparity in the sources which is formed International Reserves. It is depended on the development in domestic product structure and the extent of the contribution of its components in exports, as well as the contribution of the capital and financial account. So the International Reserves sources are varied in the multi - productive structure of economies. While the oil sector is occupied the largest percentage from the sources which are composition the reserve the single side of economies. In the terms of capital and financial account this is depended on the extent of contribution of direct foreign investment and the flow of short - term capital. The thesis is started with supposition, The International Reserves are comprised a very big part from accesses in rentier economic so the International precincts are fulfilled main purpose in fulucing on the instable Macroeconomic in order to achieve a economic stability by limiting its' size or the efficacy use. In order to achieve the supposition of the research, it is divided to three chapters. The first chapter is dealt with the conceptual framework of International Reserves and economic stability and economic rent - seeking. The second chapter is represented the development of the Role of international reserves and its' reflection in economic stability of the sample counties. The third chapter is included the measurement the role of International Reserves in the economic stability of the sample countries. It is used test (VAR) in measurement of this role and this way is considered as one the modern methods of economic measurement which is depended on the stability of the series of time. Then it is tested the common integration whether there is a relationship between the variables for a long time or not then it is Valuated Vector Autoregressive Regression (VAR) to the variables of this research. The most important results in this research are the efficient management for international reserves included the efficient use and it achieved the counterbalance between perks which are resulted from it and the cartages which are reflected its' role in achieving the economic stability. As the utilization of the surplus in development fields especially inner one reflected its' affect in economic stability.

قياس العلاقة بين التغيرات السكانية وبعض مؤشراث النمو الاقتصادي العراق : دراسة حالة للمدة 1990 - 2013 == Measuring the relationship between demographic changes and some growth indicators the economy (Iraq case study)for the period(1990 - 2013)

Author name: ايمان مظفر يوسف الشمري
Supervisor name: احمد عبد الله سلمان الوائلي | باسم شليبة مسلم
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: The study of the phenomena of demographic changes and economic growth are important both at international conferences level or at the level of academic research, especially at the present time after he became world population growth is increasing significantly, and the owner of the increase of the conditions may be in many cases conditions are unsatisfactory, particularly for developing countries, which taken it upon themselves to the issue of economic development high paces and exposed their development programs and plans to stumble at times and failures at other times, population growth may be a pressure factor to the implementation of its development programs and plans and related it to the availability of material and human resources available that invest to translate these development programs and plans into reality on land, population growth may be a positive variable in the deltoid relationship between population and economic growth when the material and human resources are available and in stocks is an investor has the ability to contribute effectively to the development plan and in all economic and social sectors, then it will increase the size of the population is a positive factor in the growth process economic. And it reflected the importance of research to clarify the relationship between the variables fall within the science and economics of population demographics and economic growth indicators, which gives a real expression of the different factors in the overall effect between each other on the relationship between population change and economic growth thread impression. The research problem suffer developing countries continues to increase in the rates of population growth and what is not commensurate with the growth rates of economic growth, which creates a real problem for those economies to provide the requirements of life and economic development of those countries, and this may make the demographic changes, particularly with the increasing growth rates with effect mixed between state and whether other offers or delays in those countries factor, so that the problem liesIIin how to direct demographic changes to give a positive impetus to economic growth, not negative. While stressful search is assumed that the demographic changes exert a driving force for economic growth toward the rise times, and Guo downward at other times, according to the type of offering economic system and degree, and how to deal with these demographic changes and demographics him. The research aims to measure the relationship between demographic changes on some of the indicators of economic growth using standard relations clarify the relationship and interdependence of values and how to deal with these demographic changes. In order to achieve the premise of research and achieve its objective researcher adopted the technique of using the analytical description of economic relations, according to data and indicators for the variables and the statement of the relationship between a digital manner record for achieving the goal of the research, and based on the Arabic and English sources and a range of research to complete the search, in addition to official data published by the Chambers and institutions with regional and international relationship. He concluded research show that the impact of demographic changes become more efficient and clearly, and in a positive way in the same production setups flexible advanced economies when it is in the developing countries with setups productivity is flexible, including Iraq, where the negative impact of population growth and the inability to be exploited in a positive way, because of the weakness preparation and training, efficiency, and it is compatible with the requirements of development, the numbers are good and interest in investing in human capital gives greater efficiency and impact on economic growth, especially with the economically active category. Standard study showed there were no significant relationship between population dynamics, with economic growth indicators the subject of study and different rates and in proportion to the theoretical analysis of this relationship but because of abnormal conditions of the Iraqi economy and the large number of variables in it and the instability has been the impact ofIIIdemographic variables is less than some places appeared that it was a The moral effect. It recommends Find more attention to research and development and the studies that are population estimates, and the statement of its impact on the overall economy, in order to determine a clear relationship between population and economic and political policy, and the development of programs and policies for coordinating away the negative effects of changes in the population and to activate the positive effects of it, and increased government spending on education health and tackling unemployment, and to provide safe conditions for the community to keep the birthrate and reduce mortality and reduce immigration to preserve the society and the exploitation of technical and scientific energies and available in which to make them the foundation element in achieving economic growth and development, as the investment in the human element is the basis for the process of progress and growth.

ميناء الفاو الكبير وتاثيراته الاقتصادية المحتملة == The Grand port of faw and the potential economic impact

Author name: حسين حيدر محمد الجزائري
Supervisor name: نبيل جعفر عبد الرضا المرسومي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Basrah
First pages:
Abstract: Due to the increase of foreign trade and globalization effect, the international seaports generally have witnessed a dynamic progress resulting from sea transportation development that assists in enhancing level of productivity, efficiency and then reducing transport cost. In spite of that, the Iraqi seaports are still facing a low level of efficiency, in which it became unable to perform its functions as the first - generation ports .However, these ports represent a strategic significance to Iraq, where developing the existed ports or constructing new ports will be a crucial factor to the economy. Accordingly, Iraq has sought to establish the grand port of Faw as a giant strategic project, which is a part of the dry canal project that links the Arab gulf - via Basra ports, Syria and Turkey - with Mediterranean Sea and Europe. This port will have a big impact on the Iraqi economy; therefore, this study tackles the strategic importance of the Iraqi ports and the grand port of Faw in particular, and its potential role for developing the Iraqi economy. However, the study has made a vision for the expected economic influence of the grand port of Faw, such as the increase of economic growth, investments and size of foreign trade, as well as, the economic openness and creation of the employment opportunities, and then, mitigation of level of unemployment in Iraq .Furthermore, the study addressed the potential impacts of the grand port of Faw on the infrastructure of transport sector, which includes land and railway transport, organization of thecurrent Iraqi ports, in addition to the increase of level of ports capacity. Finally, the study analyzed the internal and external challenges that impede the process of construction of this project. It set a number of important conclusions and recommendations that could be used for addressing the problem of study.

اثر الصدمات النقدية في الاستقرار الاقتصادي تجارب دول مختارة == The Impact of Monetary Shocks in the Economic Stability of the Experiences of Select Countries

Author name: ايمان عبد الرحيم كاظم
Supervisor name: هاشم مرزوك علي الشمري | مناضل عباس الجواري
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Doctorate
Language: Arabic
University location: Karbala
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الصدمات النقدية مؤشرا مهما لتقييم اداء السياسة النقدية(monetary policy) في اي دولة فكلما قل تعرض الاقتصاد الوطني للدولة الى صدمات نقدية , كلما دل ذلك على وضوح الرؤى المستقبلية لصناع السياسة النقدية ودراسة ومعرفة حالة الاقتصاد , ويستطيع متخذو القرار النقدي التدخل من خلال التحكم بالعديد من المتغيرات النقدية وتحقيق الاستقرار النقدي , الا ان الاخفاق في الاستقرار النقدي يتسبب في حدوث الصدمات النقدية ومالذلك من اثارعلى الناتج والاسعار والاستخدام , وتشمل الصدمات النقدية على انواع عدة منها صدمات عرض نقد وصدمات الطلب على النقود وصدمات اسعار فائدة وصدمات اسعار صرف , وينعكس تاثير الصدمات النقدية في الاسواق فقد يقوم بعض المشاركين بتعديل ارصدتهم النقدية من خلال اسواق السلع والخدمات , في حين يعدل اخرون ارصدتهم من خـلال الاسـهم والسنـدات في سوق الاوراق المالية , ويتباين تاثير تلك الصدمات على الناتج والاسعار والاستخدام لكون هذه المتغيرات تتاثر بشكل غير متكافيء بالصدمة النقدية وحسب الوقت الذي تحدث فيه الصدمة النقدية من العام وكذلك عـلى مـدى استقلالية السياسة النقدية . وقد تعرضت الدراسة الى ابرز المشاكل النقدية في اقتصادات دول العينة ( اليابان , كوريا , العراق ) الاوهي الصدمات النقدية واثرها على الناتج المحلي الاجمالي وقد توصلت الدراسة الى ان صدمات عرض النقد وسعر الفائدة وسعر الصرف تحدث تقلبات في الناتج المحلي الاجمالي في اليابان , واما في كوريا , فقد اتضح ان صدمات سعر الصرف تحدث تقلبات في التضخم , وصدمات سعر الفائدة تحدث تقلبات في البطالة , وصدمات عرض النقد تحدث تقلبات في النمو الاقتصادي . بينما اتضح في العراق بان صدمات الطلب على النقود تحدث تقلبات في النمو الاقتصادي والناتج المحلي الاجمالي , وصدمات اسعار الفائدة تحدث تقلبات في النمو الاقتصادي | The monetary shocks is an important indicator of the quality of performance of monetary policy in any country, the smaller the exposure of the national economy of the state to shocks cash whenever indicates that the clarity of future visions for the makers of monetary policy and to study and know the state of the economy, and can decision - makers monetary intervention by many monetary variables and achieve control monetary stability, but the failure to monetary stability cause monetary shocks and therefore the effects on output and prices and use. It includes monetary shocks on several types of shocks, including shocks offer cash and demand shocks cash and interest and exchange rates of price shocks. This reflects the impact of monetary shocks on the market has some of the participants to amend the cash their funds through the markets of goods and services, while others amended their assets through stocks and bonds in the stock market. The contrasting impact of these shocks on output and prices and use of the fact that these variables are affected disproportionately by monetary shock and a time when the monetary shock from the public speaking as well as on the independence of monetary policy. The study came to the main monetary problems in the economies of the sample countries (Japan, Korea, Iraq) is a monetary shock and its impact on GDP The study concluded that shocks the money supply and interest rate and exchange rate occurring fluctuations in GDP in Japan. But in Korea, it was clear that the exchange rate shocks occur fluctuations in inflation, interest rate shocks occur fluctuations in unemployment, money supply shocks occur fluctuations in economic growth. While in Iraq turned out that the demand shocks occur Monetary fluctuations in economic and GDP growth, shocks and interest rates occur fluctuations in economic growth

عقود البيوع البحرية الدولية وتاثيرها في تطوير قطاع النقل البحري في العراق للمدة 2015 - 2003 == Contracts of International Maritime Sales and their Impact on the Development of the Maritime Transport Sector in Iraq for the Period 2003 - 2015

Author name: عدنان حبيب عروج الحميدي
Supervisor name: شعبان صدام منشد الامارة
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Basrah
First pages:
Abstract: The international maritime contracts (CIF and FOB) are commercial contracts concluded between exporters and importers of countries separated from each other by sea and differentiate in their wealth and production. These maritime contracts are concerned with goods that are transported through sea and by ships exclusively. The commercial facilitations presented by the maritime contracts to international commercial life are sufficient in themselves to explain their importance in the world of international trade.Objective of The study relies on one of scientific research methods through studying the effects of international maritime sales in the maritime transport sector and services trade in Iraq by using the method of description and analysis of Iraq's foreign trade data for the period 2003 - 2015, highlighting the importance of the study through the consequent economic commitments and effects of the parties involved in the process of concluding and executing these contracts, which affects the proceeds of Iraq's exports and imports from the trade in services and the consequent receipts and payments in foreign currency, especially in the field of maritime transport, port services, insurance companies and banking institutions. For that the study attempts investigate the hypothesis of using the FOB base in Iraq's exports and the CIF base in its imports, which leads to an increase in the deficit of the account of unforeseen services in the Iraqi balance of payments due to the increase in the value of foreign payments in foreign currency, under the achieved growth in Iraqi foreign trade resulted from the increase in volume of crude oil Exports and consumer goods imports. Therefore , the importance of international maritime contracts CIF and FOB is emerged from the transfer of the bulk of Iraq's foreign trade through sea ports by ships which is reflected in the increase of theAbstractnumber of marine units arriving and departing the various Iraqi ports and this leads to an increase in the volumes of cargo and unloading operations and other services provided by ports as well as increasing the activities of the maritime transport fleet, insurance companies and national banking institutions. Therefore, a greater role should be given to the maritime transport sector, since revenues in this sector are no less important than oil revenues. This is clear from the recent development in the maritime transport sector through the development of shipping fleets , international insurance companies and the port activities, which led to the use of the CIF contract basis in shipping and transporting of exported goods and the use of the FOB basis on the side of imported goods.In the light of the current and actual design capacities for the Iraqi maritime transport fleet and commercial ports that do not correspond to the expected increase in Iraq's foreign trade according to maritime contracts, so the establishment of Faw port is so important to reduce the pressure and absorb the expected increase of Iraq's foreign trade in the future , as well as increasing the competitiveness of Iraq's ports with Ports of neighboring countries and its important role in the international transit trade and then the role of public and private shipping companies comes in the operation and development of the performance and work of the maritime transport fleet and existing commercial ports at the present time according to International maritime contracts.The impact of international maritime sales contracts in the maritime transport sector in Iraq is illustrated by the large share of goods exported and imported by sea ports and by 89.3% of Iraq's foreign trade . This affects the proceeds of services trade in this important sector . Therefore it is important to pursue with serious steps to give a great role to the maritime transport sector both fixed and moving because the revenue achieved in this area is no less important than the revenues from the export of crude oil .

دور المصارف الاسلامية في تحقيق الاستقرار المالي == The role of Islamic banks in achieving Financial Stability

Author name: اسراء نظام الدين حسين الطائي
Supervisor name: فاضل موسى حسن المالكي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Karbala
First pages:

تحليل اثار الاقتصاد الرقمي على التنمية : بلدان عربية مختارة حالة دراسية == Analysis of the Effects of the Digital Economy on Development )case Selected Arab Countries study

Author name: محمد حسين محمد العتابي
Supervisor name: صالح مهدي البرهان
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: The Arab countries are looking forward to include information and communication technology initiatives as part of national development strategies with the broad perspective of sustainable development and the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals through the effectiveness of the instruments of the digital economy environment.Research relies on a composite approach based on theoretical reasoning in its analysis of economic dimensions to empirical extrapolation based on statistical data, structured research on the conceptual dimensions and economic perspectives of the digital economy and analysis of development indicators and their statistical applications, focusing on the interaction between technological dimensions and development with their economic, human and sustainable patterns research through digital economy indicators has concluded that there is a digital divide between Arab countries and developed countries are information and communication technology infrastructure and there is a positive impact of the spread of internet and mobile services on the rate of economic growth, this large spread in broadband services and because of growing demand for it created an environment for markets competitive in most countries of the Arab region, which have contributed somewhat to the reduction of tariffs and prices and the increase in the diffusion of technological services has led to a high rate of economic growth and this growth has been reflected in the level of positive impact of infrastructure technology on Arab countries, as the research has confirmed that e - commerce in GCC countries is the fastest growing market in the digital economy environment, according to estimates UNCTAD's e - commerce index, there is a significant weakening in the Arab countries of spending on ICT, which has made these countries an importer of non - exporters of technology, and the outcome is a major role digital economy in changing the pattern of production and growth factors in this regard, the Arab countries, particularly the GCC countries, are trying to develop digital economy indices in order to approach the digital divide between them and the developed countries.

دور الجهاز المصرفي في تفعيل نشاط سوق الاوراق المالية - العراق حالة دراسية للمدة من 2004 - 2014 == The role of the banking system in activating the activity of the stock market Iraq case study for the Period (2004 - 2014)

Author name: رام طالب راضي الصافي
Supervisor name: احمد صبيح عطية العطواني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: The Arab countries witnessed many changes in economic, political and social fields, and the money takes essential place not only in economic field but also political and social sphere, and basically it is focusing in the banks. The banking sector plays important role in mobilization of savings and direct towards investment and consumer channels which are supporting economic growth. On the other hand, the financial markets, they may become more important in societies that are distinguished by free economics which has attracted attention of researchers in all of developing and advanced countries. Importance of markets role is increasing through support economic development, particularly investment side. The stock market is assembling national savings and direct it towards an investment, establishing database through it the investor can looking for high - return projects that reflects all of social and economic sides of the country, and also increasing investment helps to create new jobs and reducing rate of jobless which is giving positive effect on gross domestic product (GDP) and per capita.The banking system clarifies importance of stock market activation through direct investment, employment of funds and direct it towards an investment that achieve an acceptable return at an appropriate risk level, as well as it is basic source of cash which is helping the banks to participate in management of business companies and control it.

امكانات اصلاح الموازنة العراقية في ظل التنويع الاقتصادي استراتيجية مستقبلية == Potential reform of the Iraqi budget in light of the economic diversification (Future strategy)

Author name: مصطفى حسين عبد العالي
Supervisor name: احمد عبد الله سلمان الوائلي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: تعاني الموازنة العراقية من مشكلات عديدة في جانبيها التنظيمي والهيكلي، اهمها التاخر في اعداد واقرار وتنفيذ الموازنة, وتراجع القطاعات الاقتصادية غير النفطية ادى في ايرادتها وتدني مساهمة تلك القطاعات في الناتج المحلي الاجمالي, مما جعل الاقتصاد العراقي اقتصادا ريعيا، معتمدا على مصدر وحيد للدخل مع غياب واضح للدور الفعال للقطاع الخاص في جميع الانشطة الاقتصادية ،كما ان العراق لم يحقق الاستغلال الامثل للامكانات التي يتمتع بها الاقتصاد العراقي في تحقيق التنوع اقتصادي . استهدفت هذه الرسالة تحليل واقع هيكل الموازنة العراقية ودراسة واقع اهم القطاعات الاقتصادية غير النفطية ومعرفة درجة التنوع في الاقتصاد العراقي، فضلا عن معرفة اثر الايرادات النفطية على قطاعيين الصناعي الزراعي والاقتصاد ككل، وضع استراتيجية مستقبلية للاصلاح الموازنة من خلال التنويع الاقتصادي واصلاح هيكلها ولتحقيق اهداف الرسالة، تكونت الرسالة من ثلاثة فصول : ركز الفصل الاول على دراسة مفهوم الموازنة العامة وانوعها وهيكلها، فضلا عن التطرق الى مفهوم التنويع الاقتصادي ومبرراته ومعاييره، اما الفصل الثاني فتناول تحليلا لهيكل الموازنة العامة في جانبيها الايرادات والنفقات ، وواقع اهم القطاعات الاقتصادية الغير النفطية وبيان مشاكلها وامكاناتها ، وتطبيق معايير التنويع الاقتصادي على الاقتصاد العراقي ومعرفة درجة التنوع خلال فترة البحث، في حين اهتم الفصل الثالث في وضع استراتيجية مستقبلية للاصلاح الموازنة من خلال التنويع الاقتصادي واصلاح هيكلها, وقد توصل البحث الى مجموعة من الاستنتاجات اهما، ان الموازنة العامة في تعاني من اختلالات في جانبيها التنظيمي والهيكلي والمتمثلة بالاعتماد على اسلوب التقليدي في اعدادها والتاخر في اقرارها وتنفيذها، فضلا عن الاعتماد بشكل مفرط على الايرادات النفطية في تمويل الموازنة، وارتفاع النفقات التشغيلية على حساب النفقات الاستثمارية. وقد وضع الباحث عدة توصيات اهمها، هو محاولة تبني استراتيجية لاصلاح الموازنة العامة من الناحية التنظيمية والهيكلية، منها اعتماد احد الاساليب الحديثة في اعدادها فضلا عن الالتزام التام بتوقيتات مراحل اعداد الموازنة العامة، اما الجانب الهيكلي والذي يتضمن اعادة اعداد جداول النفقات وتحديدها بدقة وتقليص النفقات الغير ضرورية واعطاء اهمية اكبر للانفاق الاستثماري، فضلا عن تحقيق تنوع في مصادر الايرادات من خلال تطوير القطاعات الانتاجية وتفعيل اجراءات الضرائب الكمركية والضرائب العامة وتفعيل اجراءات الجباية وتفعيل الرسوم والغرامات واجور التراخيص | The research aims to achieve two pillars, namely, the analysis of the structure of the income and expenditures of the public budget in Iraq and a strategic vision for the reform of the Iraqi budget, through clarifying the organizational and structural yet fully understood in the side.The search results showed Iraq's dependence on traditional budget in the organizational side, which focuses on the size of the tunnels is intended, as the focus on the balance sheet and omits the achievement in work, in relation to the structural aspect of the budget of expenditures and income, oil revenues during the period of study (95.9%) of total income, and on the other hand, there is a great disparity between the two sides of the investment expenditure and consumption.The most important recommendations made by the research, the need to focus on the diversification of the sources of funding for the general budget through the support of the productive sectors, especially agriculture and industry, as well as DISTRIBUTIONAL Sector Service Sector through the contribution of the private sector, and create a favorable environment for foreign investment and diversify the budget revenues

دور الصناديق السيادية في التنمية المستدامة : رؤية استشرافية لانشاء صندوق سيادي في العراق == The Role of Sovereign Funds in Sustainable Development ,, Forward - Looking Vision For Installation of Sovereign Funds in Iraq

Author name: عقيل حميد سلمان الجعيفري
Supervisor name: جعفر طالب احمد الجنديل
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: Sovereign funds have become the tools of economic policy and the most important means of financing through investments and loans granted to many countries. In order to reach the research objectives, sovereign funds were studied and their types and objectives were identified for them. Sovereign funds and some economic variables as well as reviewing the experiences of some countries that have sovereign funds and know their contribution to economic development and economic diversification in the long term .The study found that the sovereign funds have a great impact on many economic variables, foremost of which is gross domestic product through the investments made by these funds in the various economic sectors, as well as the possibility of using them to achieve financial stability and financing the budget deficit when the revenues of the state, And in the achievement of economic and social development through the establishment of financial institutions affiliated to it oversee and provide financial support for many programs and objectives that concern the issues of society as in the experience of the Singapore Fund (Temasek Fund), and Based on this importance of the sovereign funds, the study recommends the need to establish a sovereign fund for Iraq to allocate a certain percentage of revenues from the sale of oil and gas, as well as the transfer of the fiscal surplus achieved in the general budget at the end of the fiscal year and deposited in the Fund, the proposed Iraqi sovereign fund can have an impact Is significant in achieving financial stability through the funds provided by the Fund to finance public expenditure and cover the deficit achieved in the public budget, and in the long term can be the Iraqi sovereign fund to promote the path of sustainable development in the economy through investments that In addition to its importance in maintaining investment allocations for projects in the general budget and work on their development and accumulation as a fixed annual capital instead of turning it into current expenditure .

اثر التخصيصات الاستثمارية للموازنة العامة في تطوير القطاع الزراعي في العراق للمدة 1990 - 2014 == The impact of investment allocation of the general budget in the development of the agricultural sector in Iraq for aperiod of (2014 - 1990)

Author name: ريام مهدي حسن العقابي
Supervisor name: رحمن حسن علي الموسوي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: Longer investment spending an important means to increase the capabilities of productive community one of the economic actors that lead to the revitalization of the national economy by taking investment expenditure for the agricultural sector many forms, whether in the form of investment allocations or loans or government support would lead to an increase in national income, the development of the economy needs capital to implement them is the necessary precondition for production requirements and will overcome the difficulties that would lead to the lifting of productivity, Iraq has great potential to increase agricultural production but not exploited economically efficient, whether in terms of the arable land as well as financial resources and water resources and human resources.The study aims to the statement of the role of the investment allocations in the public budget in the development of the agricultural sector as well as the identification of the proposed precondition to invest financial allocations optimally to develop the agricultural sector in Iraq.The study included three chapters as well as submitted conclusions and recommendations, dealt with in chapter I the conceptual framework of the public budget and agricultural development through three detectives focused first grade and the conceptual framework of the public budget, heeding the second grade and the general budget to the face of the intellectual schools, and addressed the third grade and theoretical framework for agricultural development. Chapter II dealt with the reality of the agricultural sector in Iraq through three detectives : Ensure the first grade of analysis of the structure of the General Budget in Iraq, and the second grade investment allocations and investment spending of the agricultural sector in Iraq, has been allocated to the third grade and the reality of agricultural production in Iraq. Chapter III , dealing with the impact of investment allocations in the development of the agricultural sector in Iraq and distributed to the three detectives : Ensure the first grade of the agricultural sector in Iraq causes ofbhalting the initiatives developed, reviewed the second grade and an analysis and assessment of the impact of investment spending in the development of the agricultural sector in Iraq, singled out the third grade and strategic outlook for the development of the agricultural sector in Iraq.Finally, the study found a group of conclusions from the most important : .1. The agricultural sector in Iraq did not play its role in economic development due to the weakness and its ability to meet the food requirements of the population adequately, which increased the country's importation of these articles, despite the increase in investment allocations directed toward the agricultural sector in the trend, the proportion of actual expenditure was not consistent with these mappings which indicates a deficit in the efficiency of the agencies supervising the implementation of these programs.2. The presence of a number of constraints and problems that the case of the development of the agricultural sector as it led to the weakness of the impact of the agricultural sector and its contribution to the gross domestic product (GDP).

دور الاستثمار في تكنولوجيا المعلومات على الاقتصاد المعرفي تجارب دول مختارة وامكانية تطبيقها على العراق == The Role of the investment in information Technology and The Knowledge economy and The experiences of selected countries and Its applicability To Iraq

Author name: جاسم هادي فرج
Supervisor name: محمود حسين علي المرسومي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: Prevailing in the world today considerable interest in information technology has become a feature of the times, the world has become a small village can rights to exchange knowledge and information with the natives and foreigners in the world, we believe that information technology and knowledge have become parallel with the sophistication, States which possess the means of technology are the States which possess the future, despite the existence of some developing countries which have recently realized the need to engage in a world of the knowledge economy started the formulation of plans and policies to achieve this goal by the States of Asia especially (Malaysia and South Korea). Egypt has to reform its economy through the provision of a climate conducive to investment in the information and communication technology sector through the strategies and plans and national initiatives rely on the different patterns of partnership between the public and private sectors. But we find Iraq lacks the plan of a clear strategy in the field of information technology and communications, the lack of adequate attention to some of the legislative and executive institutions to establish systems of modern techniques and the development of a strategic plan for fast to address the building of ICT infrastructure for further development.The study recommends that the Iraqi government should take measures, and the promotion of national and foreign investments in the ICT sector through the establishment of the sovereign funding, and the reduction of taxs in order to support the establishment of emerging companies and small and medium - sized enterprises in cooperation with stakeholders in the construction of the information society.Abstract

سياسات التسعير العالمية للنفط وتاثيرها على التنمية الاقتصادية في العراق للمدة 1980 - 2014 == Global oil pricing policies and their impact on economic development in Iraq for the period 1980 - 2014

Author name: علياء عبد الحسين عبودي الاسدي
Supervisor name: جعفر طالب احمد الجنديل
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: لقد سعت هذه الدراسة الى النظر في واقع اسعار قطاع النفط ومستقبلها في ظل العديد من العوامل الفاعلة الداخلية والخارجية للدول المنتجة والمستهلكة للنفط، فضلا عن معرفة اثار ذلك على مستقبل التنمية في الاقتصاد العراقي. لاسيما مع وصول اسعار النفط الخام الى مستويات اقل من الحدود المثلى وفق النظرية الاقتصادية والتي تتسبب بخسائر مالية كبيرة للبلدان المنتجة للنفط.لذا فقد انطلقت الباحثة من فرضية مفادها ان مراقبة التغيرات في سياسة التسعير العالمية وتاثيرها على اقتصاديات البلدان المنتجة للنفط في الحاضر والمستقبل امرا مهما لمعرفة التوجهات المرسومة للنشاطات الاقتصادية.ومدى تاثيرها على معدلات التنمية في الدول الريعية ومنها العراق، ويعود السبب في ذلك الى التذبذب الحاد في اسعار النفط ارتفاعا وانخفاضا الى ان وصل الامر الى تحقيق فائض في المعروض النفطي, وانخفاض الطلب عليه, اذ اثبتت الدراسة استمرار التذبذب في اسعار النفط في الاسواق العالمية, مما ترتب عليه تكبد البلدان المنتجة للنفط خسائر كبيرة بسبب الانخفاض الحاد والمفاجئ في اسعار النفط والذي من خلاله اصبح الخاسر الوحيد هو الدول المنتجة للنفط والمستفيد من هذا الانهيار هي الدول المستهلكة له ،وتاتي في مقدمتها الولايات المتحدة الامريكية بوصفها اكبر مستهلك للنفط في العالم هذا على وجه العموم ،اما بالنسبة للعراق على وجه الخصوص فان اقتصاده اصبح مدمرا بسبب الانهيار في اسعار النفط ووصوله الى ادنى المستويات ،اذ ان الاقتصاد العراقي في مواجهة تحديات كبيرة مرتبطة بضعف القطاعات الاقتصادية غير النفطية, مما يتطلب العمل على تنميتها وتطويرها كشرط مسبق لتحقيق النهوض الاقتصادي، اما بالنسبة للقطاع النفطي والذي يعد القطاع المعول عليه في بناء المستقبل فانه يعاني من مشاكل خلفتها السياسات الخاطئة ،وهو ايضا يحتاج الى تطوير وتنمية قبل ان ياخذ دوره في خدمة الاقتصاد وتوفير الموارد اللازمة لعمليات البناء والاعمار، اذن الصورة تزداد ظلاما ولايمكن اطلاق نورها الا من خلال تحمل المسؤولية من قبل الشعب العراقي المتمثلة بالقدرة والتصميم والعزم على تجاوز المحنة وصناعة نموذج في البناء والتطور. | This study aims to consider the reality and future of the prices of Oil sector under many influential Factors the Internal and External for the Oil - producing and Consuming countries ,as well as knowing the effects of all that on the future of growing in Iraq's economy. Specially, when the prices of Crude Oil reached to less of the optimal levels according to the Economic theory that resulted in great Financial losses for the Oil - producing Countries. So, the researcher has started from the theory that observed the changes in the policies of Global pricing ,and its reflections on Oil Markets in the present time and future less than its optimal levels according to the data of Economic theory.The reason behind that is the great fluctuation in oil prices up and down till it came to a surplus in oil supply and reducing demand for oil.The study has proved the fluctuation in oil prices in the Global Market, which results in great culmination for Oil - producing countries due to the great and sudden decrease in oil prices,and thought that,the only loser is the oil - producing countries ,and the beneficiary of this collapse is the consuming countries at the forefront is United States of America ,because it is considered the biggest consumer in the world generally. Particularly ,the economy of Iraq is destroyed now because of the oil prices collapse and reaching lowest levels.The economy of Iraq is facing now a great challenges related to the weakness of non - oil economy sectors,all that should be developed as a precondition to achieve the Economic Recovery.Oil sector is considered the main sector to build the future.This sector is suffering now from many problems created by wrong policies,and needs to be developed and renewed before taking part to serve the economy and providing necessary materials for the construction processes.So, the picture is getting dark and cannot be remedied Just by Iraqi people represented by determination and insistence and strong well to overcome the crisis and create a model in construction and development.

قياس النمو والانتاجية الكلية لعوامل الانتاج في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 1980 - 2014 == MEASURING TOTAL GROWTH & PRODUTIVITY OF The TOTAI FACTORS IN THE IRAQI ECONOMY ((1980 - 2014))

Author name: حسين كلف عزيز
Supervisor name: جعفر باقر محمود علوش الوائلي
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: هدف البحث الى استخدام نموذج سولو المطور المعتمد على تقدير دالة الانتاج لـ(Cobb - Douglas) في قياس النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (1980 - 2014)، ومعرفة العلاقة بين راس المال المادي والبشري، والانتاجية الكلية لعوامل الانتاج، وكذلك توزيع مساهمة عوامل الانتاج على النمو الاقتصادي.اظهرت نتائج الدراسة ان مرونة كل من العاملين راس المال البشري، وراس المال المادي، بنسبة (0.80 - 0.20) على التوالي، ويسهم هذان العاملان في تفسير ما نسبته (83.0%) من التغيرات في معدل نمو الناتج المحلي الاجمالي، وهذا يشير الى ان نسبة مساهمة العوامل الكلية لعوامل الانتاج في النمو بلغت (17%). وبلغت مساهمة راس المال البشري (75.31%)، ومساهمة راس المال المادي (13.23%) من نمو الناتج المحلي الاجمالي خلال المدة (1980 - 2014)، في حين بلغ معدل نمو الانتاجية الكلية لعوامل الانتاج (0.55%) خلال المدة نفسها على مستوى الاقتصاد ككل. واظهرت مرونة انتاج راس المال المادي والبشري نحو (0.76 - 0.23) على التوالي في القطاع الزراعي، ويسهم هذان العاملان في تفسير ما نسبته (4%) من التغيرات في معدل نمو الناتج المحلي الاجمالي، وهذا يشير الى ان نسبة مساهمة العوامل الكلية لعوامل الانتاج في النمو بلغت (96%). وبلغت مساهمة راس المال البشري (56.62%)، ومساهمة راس المال المادي (13.51 - %) من نمو الناتج المحلي الاجمالي خلال المدة (1980 - 2014)، في حين بلغ معدل نمو الانتاجية الكلية لعوامل الانتاج (1.38%) في القطاع الزراعي للمدة نفسها، كما اظهرت مرونة انتاج راس المال المادي والبشري نحو (0.31 - ) (1.31) على التوالي في القطاع الصناعي، وبلغت مساهمة راس المال البشري (69.88 - %)، ومساهمة راس المال المادي (49.27%) من نمو الناتج المحلي الاجمالي خلال المدة (1980 - 2014)، في حين بلغ معدل نمو الانتاجية الكلية لعوامل الانتاج (1.43 - %) في القطاع الصناعي للمدة نفسها، واظهرت مرونة انتاج راس المال المادي والبشري نحو (0.91 - ) (1.91) على التوالي في قطاع الخدمات، وبلغت مساهمة راس المال البشري (246.80%)، ومساهمة راس المال المادي (69.04 - %) من نمو الناتج المحلي الاجمالي خلال المدة (1980 - 2014)، في حين بلغ معدل نمو الانتاجية الكلية لعوامل الانتاج (3.75 - %) في قطاع الخدمات للمدة نفسها. واهم التوصيات التي قدمتها الدراسة هي ضرورة التركيز على فاعلية الاستثمار في راس المال البشري، من خلال الاستثمار في التعليم والصحة والبحث والتطوير؛ لما له من اثر هام وبارز في زيادة النمو الاقتصادي. | estimate the production function for(Cobb - Douglas) in the measurement of economic growth in Iraq for the period (1980 - 2014), and the relationship between the head of the physical and human capital, the overall productivity of factors of production, as well as the distribution of the contribution of the factors of production and economic growth.The results of the study that the flexibility of all workers in human capital, physical capital, by (0.80 - 0.20), respectively, and contributes to these two factors in the interpretation of what rate (%83.0) of the changes in the rate of growth of gross domestic product GDP, this indicates that the rate of contribution of the macro - factors of factors of production in the growth of (%17). The contribution of human capital (%75.31), and the contribution of physical capital (%13.23) from GDP growth during the period (1980 - 2014), while the growth rate of the overall productivity of factors of production (%0.55) during the same period at the level of the economy as a whole. The flexibility of showed the production of physical and human capital toward (0.76 - 0.23) respectively in the agricultural sector, and contributes to these two factors in the interpretation of what rate (%4) of the changes in the rate of growth of gross domestic product (GDP), this indicates that the rate of contribution of the macro - factors of factors of production in the growth of (%96). The contribution of human capital (%56.62), and the contribution of physical capital (% - 13.51) from GDP growth during the period (1980 - 2014), while the growth rate of the overall productivity of factors of production (%1.38) in the agricultural sector for the same period, it also showed the flexibility of the production of physical and human capital toward ( - 0.31) (1.31) respectively in the industrial sector, contribution amounted to human capital (%69.88), and the contribution of physical capital (%49.27) from GDP growth during the period (1980 - 2014), while the growth rate of the overall productivity of factors of production (% - 1.43) in the industrial sector for the same period, and showed flexibility of the production of physical and human capital toward( - 0.91)(1.91)respectively in the services sector, contribution amounted to human capital (%246.80), and the contribution of physical capital (% - 69.04) from GDP growth during the period (1980 - 2014), while the growth rate of the overall productivity of factors of production (% - 3.75) in the services sector for the same period. Most of the recommendations made by the study is the need to focus on the effectiveness of investment in human capital, through investment in education and health research and development; and to have an important impact in the increasing economic growth.

تحليل بعض تحديات القطاع الزراعي واثرها على الامن الغذائي في العراق للمدة 1990 - 2013 == Analysis of some of the agricultural sector and its impact on food security challenges in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2013)

Author name: ميس محمد حسين
Supervisor name: جليل كامل غيدان الجبوري
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: The challenges in the agricultural sector of desertification, climate change and the water crisis of dangerous phenomena pose an environmental challenge, economically and socially healthy and Iraq is one of the world's countries that exposure to these challenges and try this study were to identify these challenges and analyze their causes and their economic consequences Because Iraq is exposed to the problem of desertification and the resulting salinization of the soil and decaying vegetation, sand dunes and the occurrence of dust storms all this is due to climate change and the nature of Iraq's dry climate and dry alum and the lack of rain and high temperatures as well as factors related to man and mismanagement of natural resources available Him as well as the growing problem of river water scarcity in Iraq after Iraq's neighboring countries proceeded to the implementation of plans for large irrigation work and projects include the storage and exploitation of large amounts of water from the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, which led it to reduce Iraq's share of water tributaries that became a reality threatens food security significantly during the low productivity of agricultural land that played an active part in the deterioration of the country's food security

توجهات السياسة النقدية لتحقيق الاستقرار الاقتصادي وتحسين سعر الصرف في العراق للمدة 1980 - 2013

Author name: رباب ناظم خزام العكيلي
Supervisor name: احمد صبيح عطية العطواني
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Wasit
First pages:
Abstract: Monetary policy is one of the most important economic policies that play active role which effects on economic activity through what have indirect and direct tools that rise from the economic philosophy of the state.Importance of monetary policy differs from the economic system to another and one country to another in the same economic system, this difference is based on a set of factors according to the surrounding environment that exercise it work, as well as what have validities to exercise its basic functions to achieve specific level of stability in local currency and price levels of the exchange rate in order to achieve economic stability.Monetary policy in Iraq is affected by the conditions and unstable political events which passed on the country such as Iran - Iraq war and the Gulf War and what followed by imposition of severe economic sanctions have led to the adoption of emergency economic policies to treat imbalances that accompanied the economic blockade, which fiscal policy has expanded during this time, and its impose hegemony heavily on monetary policy that too much was made in the new monetary issuance, at the time Iraqi dinar exchange rate which has fallen and waves of inflation has emerged that led to a decline in the standard of living of the society.After changing the political system in 2003 it began appearance of new economic policy features that was one of most important is central bank getting to independence that led to positive monetary policy which is reflected in the improvement of the Iraqi dinar exchange rate and adjust the monetary policy to appropriate with Iraqi economic conditions

قياس وتحليل محددات الطاقة الضريبية في العراق للمدة (1990 - 2015) == Measure and analyze the determinants of Taxable Capacity in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2015

Author name: جنان جاسم عباس الجبوري
Supervisor name: عياد محمد علي باش
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Babylon
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الضرائب احدى ادوات السياسة المالية المهمة التي تستخدمها السياسة الاقتصادية الكلية لاحداث التغيرات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية المنشودة ، ومن هذا المنطلق لابد لنا من التعرف على العوامل التي تؤثر في الطاقة الضريبية في العراق للمدة من (1990 - 2015) ، اذ تتجلى اهمية البحث بضرورة تنويع مصادر الدخل القومي في الاقتصاد العراقي ذو الطبيعة الريعية بوساطة تفعيل الدور التمويلي للضرائب من خلال العمل على رفع الطاقة الضريبية الى حدها الاقصى ، حيث تكمن مشكلة البحث في محدودية دور الضرائب في تمويل الانفاق العام والعمل على تفعيل هذا الدور. واما هدف البحث فهو التعرف على اهم العوامل المؤثرة في الطاقة الضريبة في العراق خلال الفترة المذكورة ، وعليه استخدمت الباحثة البرامج الاحصائية الجاهزة (E views 7,Spss ) لغرض تقدير الانموذج القياسي . فكانت اهم الاستنتاجات التي تم التوصل اليها ان اكثر العوامل تاثير في الطاقة الضريبية هي( نسبة مساهمة قطاع التعدين في GDP، معدل النمو الاقتصادي، نسبة التجارة الخارجية فيGDP، ودرجة المركزية في الادارة الحكومية). | The taxes considered one of the important tools of the financial policy and the macroeconomic policy use it to make the changes in economic and social objectives and, from this perspective we must to identify the factors affecting the tax energy in Iraq for the duration from (1990 - - 2015 ), and the Manifested of the research importance is how to diversify sources of national income in the Iraqi economy which has the rentier natural resources Through activating the funding role of taxes . by raising the tax energy to maximum,the research problem being in The limited role of taxes to finance public expendiures. And the work to activate this role, The objective of this research is to identify the most important factors affecting the tax energy in Iraq for the period mentioned. The researcher used the available statistical software to estimate the standard model. The most important conclusions reached is the moral(motivation) and the more effective factors in the tax energy are ( The proportion contribution of the mining sector in GDP, and Economic growth rate, Foreign trade ratio in GDP, and Central's degree in the government administration).

العلاقة بين عرض النقد والتضخم في الاقتصاد العراقي : دراسة قياسية للمدة 1990 - 2014 == The relationship between Money Supply and Inflation in the Iraqi Economy Econometric Study During 1990 - 2014

Author name: بشار سعدي عبد اسود
Supervisor name: جواد كاظم البكري
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
Language: Arabic
University location: Babylon
First pages:
Abstract: كان اتجاه البحث نحو استيعاب اغلب المتغيرات التي تحيط بالعلاقة ما بين متغير عرض النقد وظاهرة التضخم، الى جانب معرفة الحركات التبادلية بين طرفي البحث(عرض النقد, التضخم), ومعرفة من من هذين المتغيرين يؤثر في الاخر ومدى قوة هذا التاثير وطبيعته. اضافة الى اكتشاف الاتجاه الداخلي في التضخم الذي يرفع الاسعار بشكل مستمر من خلال التعرف على الراجع او التغذية العكسية(Feedback) من التضخم الى عرض النقد.كما وتعد ظاهرة التضخم احدى اقدم المشاكل الاقتصادية التي واجهت البشرية على مدى العصور, ولهذه الظاهرة اثارها السلبية على مختلف جوانب الحياة السياسية والاقتصادية والاجتماعية اذا كانت بمستويات عالية وشديدة، لذلك فقد كانت دائما محور الاهتمام والدراسة من قبل علماء الاقتصاد، مما ادى الى ظهور نظريات وافكار واراء مختلفة عن اسباب حدوثها وسبل معالجتها اذ تباينت المدارس الاقتصادية في افكارها وتوجهاتها للسيطرة على التضخم.الى جانب يعد الاقتصاد العراقي اقتصاد ريعي احادي الجانب يعتمد على تصديره للنفط كذلك مر العراق بحروب مدمرة كانت لها نتائج كارثية خلال فترة البحث(1990 - 2014) بدئا من حرب الكويت سنة(1990) ومن ثم العقوبات الدولية التي منعته من تصدير نفطة الذي يعتمد عليه في تمويل الانفاق العام واستيراد ابسط مقومات الحياة مما لجا العراق الى سياسة التمويل بالعجز وبعدها الحرب الامريكية علية سنة(2003) فتدمير البنية التحتية بشكل شبة كامل وصولا الى عدم اقرار الموازنة الاتحادية واجتياح المنظمة الارهابية المسمات بـ(بداعش) ارض الوطن سنة(2014) الى جانب حالة العوق الهيكلي التي يعاني منها الاقتصاد العراقي. وقد توصل البحث الى نتائج اهمها عدم وجود تاثير متبادل بين عرض النقد(M1) والرقم القياسي العام لاسعار المستهلك(CPI) الذي يمثل التضخم في العراق للفترة(1990 - 2014) وقد يرجع التضخم الى التشوهات الهيكلية التي يعاني منها الاقتصاد وكذلك لارتباط(M1) بالانفاق الحكومي, وايضا توصل البحث الى وجود تاثير متبادل وعلاقة لولبية دائرية وتغذية عكسية بين عرض لنقد(M1) والطلب على النقود(MD) مما يدفع كلاهما الاخر نحو الارتفاع.اضافة ان الزيادات الحاصة عرض النقد ان دلت على شيء فهيه تدل على عدم قدرة البنك المركزي على السيطرة على عرض النقد وذلك لارتباطه بمسارات الانفاق العام التي تحدده الحكومة المركزية, مما ذهب البنك المركزي الى استهداف التضخم بوساطة سعر الصرف بعد عام 2003 مما ادى الى الاضرار في القدرة التنافسية الدولية للعراق. | The search trend towards included most of the variables that surround the relationship between money supply and the phenomenon of inflation, along with discover the mutual movements between two parties of research (money supply, inflation), and find out what variable affects the other and how powerful this effect and nature. In addition to the discovery of internal trend in inflation, which raises prices on an ongoing basis through the identification of recurrent or (Feedback) from inflation to the money supply. Inflation phenomenon also is one of the oldest economic problems faced by mankind throughout the ages, but this phenomenon is negative on the various aspects of political, economic and social life of their effects if the high and severe levels, so it has always been the focus of attention and study by economists, leading to the emergence of theories and ideas and different views about the causes of occurrence and ways to address them as economic schools in its ideas and beliefs varied to control inflation. As well as the Iraqi economy is a one - sided prosaic economy depends on the export of oil as well as over the Iraq devastating wars have had disastrous results during the research period (1990 - 2014) starting from Kuwait War (1990) and then international sanctions that prevented it from exporting oil, which depends on it to finance public spending and import the most basic necessities of life which Iraq resorted to the financing policy of helplessness and after the US - led war in (2003), the destruction of infrastructure is almost entirely down to the lack of adoption of the federal budget and the invasion of the terrorist organization (ISIS) homeland in (2014) besides the case of structural handicap suffered by the Iraqi economy. The hypothesis of search is, that in spite of a major expansion of the money supply by inject the local currency in the Iraqi market after (2003) as increased budgets dramatically, increased government spending and increased salaries and wages, the inflation rate began to decline significantly since ( 2003) and to the present time. The research has come to the results such as lack of mutual effect between the money supply (M1) and general index of consumer prices (CPI), which represents inflation in Iraq for the period (1990 - 2014) the inflation Perhaps due to structural distortions that Iraq economy suffered by the economy as well as to link (M1) with government spending, as well as research found that there are reciprocal effect relationship spiral and circular feed counterproductive between the (M1) and demand for money (MD), forcing both of them upward. Adding that alopecia increases the money supply that has shown nothing Vhia demonstrates the lack of the central bank's ability to control money supply and it is linked to tracks public spending that determined by the central government, which the central bank went to the inflation targeting mediated by the exchange rate after 2003, resulting in damage to the international competitive ability of Iraq
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