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السيناريو الاستراتيجي لاستدامة الموارد المائية في القطاع الزراعي : حالة دراسية == The Strategic Scenario For Water Resources Sustainability In The Agriculture Sector A Study Submitted To The Council of The College of Administration And Economics / University of Baghdad

Author name: عمار صلاح احمد
Supervisor name: لورنس يحيى صالح
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان جسر الفجوة الاخذة بالتوسع ما بين احتياجات العراق من المياه اللازمة لتحقيق التلبية الكاملة لكافة متطلبات القطاعات (المستخدمة للمياه) وما بين التراجع المخيف في توافر المياه العذبة قد اصبحت مسالة بالغة التحدي لهذا البلد, ذلك بان الوضع المائي فيه اخذ | Bridging the ever - expanding gap between Iraq`s water needs to fully meet the requirements of all water - user sectors, and the fearsome decline of freshwater availability, has become a very challenging issue to this country. That is because its water situation is deteriorating faster than anticipated, and that the water flowing into it, is going to be reduced significantly within the next few years mainly due to the ambitious developing plans of the riparian countries in Tigris & Euphrates basins namely (Turkey, Syria, Iran), Specially with the absence of comprehensive permanent watersharing agreements, in addition to climate change and other causes. What imposes an urgent necessity to leave the traditional water resources management towards The Integrated Water Resources Management, in order to achieve the sustainable development, and not to have the water shortage issue as an imminent threat in the years ahead. Since the agricultural sector is the greatest consumer & waster of water in Iraq, then any attempt targeting water resources sustainability should start from this very sector, through the implementation of a gradual & systematic comprehensive reforms & certain technical procedures that aim (as a whole) to the optimal efficient use of water resources in the agricultural sector, which represents a prerequisite for achieving the sustainable development (economically, environmentally, socially), and forms a safety factors that repels the anticipated consequences of difficult water conditions in the years ahead. This research is not only identifies an unsolved problem that is often neglected, but it also makes (through a strategic orientation) a detailed four - priorities - strategy that describes a plan of actions need to be taken soon and how to deal with each priority effectively, in terms of moving towards the sustainability of water resources in the agriculture sector. The research gets conclusions, and recommendations in which one of them is the need of conducting an affiliated studies, practical researches, and implementing series of programs aim to rationalize fresh water use in the agriculture sector, raise irrigation efficiency on filed scale, and raise water& crop production. Key words : Sustainable Development - Water Resources - Agriculture Sector - SWOT Analysis - Water Pricing - Water Users Association - Legal & Institutional Reform - Raise Irrigation Efficiency - Rehabilitation.

تخطيط الدعم الحكومي للقطاع الزراعي في محافظة الانبار : رؤية استراتيجية == Planning of Governmental Support To The Agriculture Sector In Al - Anbar Governorate

Author name: عمار صالح مخلف الفهداوي
Supervisor name: بلاسم جميل خلف الدليمي
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يسهم القطاع الزراعي في الاقتصاد بدور كبير في تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية الشاملة، وذلك من خلال ما يوفره هذا القطاع الحيوي من محاصيل زراعية تدخل كمواد اولية ووسيطة في معظم القطاعات الاقتصادية الاخرى , فضلا عن دوره في توفير المنتجات الغذائية الضرورية لتلبية حا | The agriculture sector participates with a vital role in achieving the overarching economical development through what it offers as agriculture crops that can be used as raw materials in most economic sectors, in addition to food products that meet the domestic needs role in providing, and its vital participation in the Gross Domestic Product (regardless the oil and energy sector in Iraq).Nevertheless, Iraq still suffer from a shortage in the agriculture product, and a shortage in meeting the domestic food needs due to the hard circumstances that Iraq faced in the past decades which reflected its negative impacts on the agriculture sector in Iraq.Despite of the availability of arable lands, water, and labor in the agriculture sector, in addition to the need of the local and global market to the strategic crops for its good quality, which are all success factors to the investing projects that are able to meet the market need, in addition to population augmentation which pushed to more demand on food product.The importance of search about the importance of governmental supply to the agriculture sector and analyzing the governmental supporting of the agriculture sector and focusing on the importance of strategic planning in orienting the governmental support in ways that fortify the increase of production and decrease the production costs through a strategic plan, and get the advantage from this oriented support and implement the plan for improving the situation of the agriculture sector in Iraq.In order to achieve the study goals, it was divided into five chapters : chapter one, explains the study approach. Chapter two, explains the theoretical frame of strategic planning and governmental support, and was divided into two sections; the first explains the idea of the concept, importance and stages of strategic planning. The second section explains the concept, importance, causes, and problems of governmental support.Chapter three explains the practical part in terms of situation and kinds of support to the agriculture sector in Al - Anbar governorate, with two sections : the first one explains the situation of the agriculture sector in Al0Anbar governorate (botanic and animal), while chapter two explains the kinds of governmental support including the agriculture initiative.Chapter four consists of the strategic vision in order to activate the governmental support to the agriculture sector in Al - Anbar governorate , and also consisted of the most conspicuous challenges that face the strategic support and vision to the governmental support the agriculture sector in Al - Anbar governorate.And finally, chapter five that explains the conclusions and recommendations

تقويم الاداء الصحي وفق منظور استراتيجي باستعمال بطاقة الاداء الموزونة : دراسة حالة مركز صحي العامرية في بغداد

Author name: عمار شهاب احمد الشايع
Supervisor name: سناء عبد الرحيم سعيد العبادي
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: من المعروف ان المؤسسات الصحية تعمل في بيئة ديناميكية تهدف الى البقاء والاستمرار لبلوغ ما خطط لها من اهداف, فان تعاملها مع الزبائن وبمختلف شرائحه وفئاته ومناطق وجوده يمثل الركن الرئيسي في بلوغ مبتغاها, ولاشك ان تحقيق هذا المبتغى والهدف لا يتم من دون | It is well known that health institutions work in a dynamic environment aim to survive and continue to achieve the planned objectives, the deal with customers with various classes, categories and regions represents a main corner of its achievement and no doubt that achieving this target will not be possible without a planned and programmed reaction and according to scientific bases compatible with the accuracy and sensitivity of the performed work and the great responsibility entrusted to workers in this field, through provide health services to customers across different departments and various specializes in the health field, research problem was defined in both theoretical and applicable areas, the contribution of the theoretical on measurement and total assessment for the strategic performance to the Health Centers was not big, in addition to the need in the Iraqi library and the Arabic library to a research related to the health centers and its assessments, initial survey in the field showed that health centers rely on a simple system and its standards, results and comprehensiveness, this research aims to evaluate the performance of health according to a strategic perspective to the Centers for Primary Health Care according to a new technology for the health centers which balanced scorecard by a system designed to evaluate the performance of the centers of primary health care, address the problems of the evaluation system that currently has been used in the health centers, and formed the importance of this research from the importance of the individual and its part in the society, as the success and the development for the community depend on it, the health center for primary health care is considered as a very important institution for its diagnostic, therapeutic and preventive services to the community, the researcher had depended on the method of case study through meetings in the work field, to get the required results by proposing a model of performance based on the technology of the balanced scorecard to evaluate the performance of health centers in Iraq and applied that in Al Ameria Primary Health Care Center "our research subject," this requested make interviews with "the research sample" a number of health center officials, experts of 10 members, five of them are the officials of the units in the health center, an expert who is in charge of the process of assessing the performance in Al Ameria Primary Health Care Center, three doctors (one is specialist and two are jurisdiction practitioners, in addition to the director of the center who had an important part to achieve these health results.The most important theoretical and practical conclusions that have been concluded by the researcher are : - 1. The performance measures strategic based on the balanced scorecard to provide the full picture of the causal relationships that lead to achieve strategic goals. 2. The balanced scorecard in the evaluation of the healthy performance shows where health center is excelled? why? where is his weaknesses? how is it managed?.3. It is not possible to manage the performance without measurable. The research concluded to some of the following recommendations : 1 - Put the Incentives system linked to the evaluation system. 2 - Supplies provision and the necessary requirements for the success of the application of the evaluation system. 3 - Adopt the principle of public the evaluation system. 4 - The best investment of human resources working in the health center.

بناء سلوكيات المواطنة التنظيمية ودورها في تحسين الخدمة الطبية : بحث تطبيقي في مستشفيات دائرة صحة بغداد - الكرخ == Building of Organizational Citizenship Behaviors And Its Role In Improvement of Medical Service Case Study Al Karkh Hospitals

Author name: عمار جليل سباهي العابدي
Supervisor name: سعد علي حمود عباس العنزي
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: سعى البحث الى عدة اهداف للتعرف على المفاهيم الحقيقية لكل من المتغيرين الاساسيين في البحث وهما : تحديد العلاقة بين سلوكيات المواطنة التنظيمية , والخدمة الطبية في المستشفيات وتحسينها, التي تحتاج الى دقة في رعاية المرضى على نحو ينسجم وتطوير صياغة البناء ا | The research seeks to several targets to get to know the real concepts for each of the two variables regulars in the research, namely : defining the relationship between the behavior of organizational citizenship, and medical services in hospitals and improve that require accuracy in patient care in line and the development of the formulation of social construction and economic sound, and determine 'What is the relationship between personality traits of medical Angels (gender, age, marital status, educational attainment, number of years of service, the medical title (career) with all of the behavior of organizational citizenship and the role of improving the medical services within the hospital, in order to make sure the differences in Find answers sample, and also provide helpful suggestions in Iraqi hospitals to build a distinct organizational citizenship behaviors and improve the quality of medical service.It was identified field problem before embarking on research through the distribution of a questionnaire to measure (1) (Appendix 1), the sample selected randomly, and after treatment clauses and spilling it statistically, it was concluded that there is a very weak by hospitals and physicians in the management of hospitals interesting the field of research, as well as that there is a very weak interest from hospitals and medical management of the service provided to patients, and there is an effort to improve hospitals in the area of research, and this current research as a starting point.I've been eating a gateway theoretically integrated with respect to the behavior of organizational citizenship in hospitals, as well as has been the concept of medical service, while the practical side has been adopted on the descriptive and analytical through a questionnaire (1) (Appendix 1) and identification (2) (Annex 2 ), which have been prepared and presented to the arbitrators, and focused research problem and is the behavior of organizational citizenship and the extent of adoption of Doctors Hospital research it, and its role in improving the quality of medical service in Iraqi hospitals, it is a broad subject aspects and important Botarh and fields, in terms of being affect the process of work and its development and growth of the medical staff in the fields of competence.In order to achieve the effect on the search hypothesis it has been distributing a questionnaire (2) number (106) on a sample of medical staff in the surveyed hospitals, was the questionnaire design as a tool for President in access to data and information, have included research sample various medical staffs, which included (Doctors competence Doctors consultants, two senior resident doctors, resident doctors periodic), have been addressed through a programmatic (SPSS.V22 - AMOS.V22) statisticians. And through which concluded that there is little effect of the behavior of organizational citizenship to the improvement of medical service in the surveyed hospitals, in addition to the lack of variations in answers doctors study sample attributed to personal variables that include (age, marital status, and educational attainment, and the number of years of service, Medical and address).Words key (key) : organizational citizenship behaviors, personality traits to physicians, physicians attention, care for the sick and improve medical service, Iraqi hospitals.And united conclusions, that he was not there the attention of doctors, whatever the personal traits of hand (age, marital status, educational attainment, and the number of years of service, medical and address), which led to poor practice behaviors organizational citizenship, and so for the improvement of medical service in terms of lack of interest departments to patients by a doctor of view, leading to weakness provided medical service to them, while he found that there is a positive impact and moral relationship to the behavior of organizational citizenship five dimensions (altruism, conscience conscious, and the spirit of tolerance, civility and kindness, and voluntary participation) to improve medical service, But it was the level of little effect, as a result of the low level of organizational citizenship behaviors in the hospitals of the Department of Health Baghdad / Karkh area of research.

تحليل واقع استخدام تكنولوجيا المعلومات في العراق (عدا اقليم كردستان) للعام 2008 == Analysis of The Reality of The Use of Information Technology In Iraq (Except For The Kurdistan Region) In 2008

Author name: علياء اسماعيل عبيد
Supervisor name: عبد المنعم كاظم حمادي الشكري
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد تكنولوجيا المعلومات من الجوانب المهمة في قياس تطور الدول في جانب التنمية البشرية.لذلك تم اختيار هذا البحث وبالاستعانة ببيانات مسح تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات الذي نفذ خلال عام 2008 من قبل الجهاز المركزي للاحصاء وتكنولوجيا المعلومات واعتماد بيانات | Information technology is an important aspect in measuring the development of states in the human development.Therefore this research were selected supporting by data and survey formation and communication technology which was implemented in2008 by the Central Bureau of Statistics and Information Technology and e adoption of this survey data by using of statistical programs bag ad}` (SPSS 19)To get to the variables of direct impact on information technology and communications to all governorates of (except Kurdistan region) using factor analysis and then ease cluster analysis to determine the extent f convergence among the provinces on this side... In first chapter of the research presented introduction human development and then the goal of research and a brief history of research and thesis of master and doctorate which dealt with one aspects of human development and then some important information about the survey information and communication technology.The second chapter is the theoretical aspect of the research has included four axes, the first axis referred to the measures of human development (education, health, income, a measure development related to gender , human poverty, the enabling of women) and how to calculate each scale...The second axis was included along with information technology and its importance in policy development, education and some applications of information technology, its importance in policy development and education, some technology information, at

استعمال انموذج الانحدار اللوجستي لدراسة ظاهرة البطالة عند الشباب في محافظة بغداد == Using The Logistic Regression For Study of The Phenomenon of Unemployment Among Young People In Baghdad Province - Study Analytic Statistical

Author name: علي يحيى عبد الرضا
Supervisor name: رباب عبد الرضا صالح البكري
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد مشكلة البطاله من اخطرالمشكلات التي يواجهها مجتمعنا في الوقت الحاضر لكونها تشكل هدرا لعنصر العامل البشري ولاسيما فئه الشباب القادرة على العمل والعطاء ممايترتب على ذلك اثار سلبية تنبىء بمخاطر اقتصادية واجتماعية,فقد اصبحت ظاهرة البطالة قضية عامه يعاني م | The problem of unemployment of the most serious problems faced by our society at the present time because it constitutes a waste component of the human factor, especially young people capable of work and tender Mmaatertb on that negative effects lay hidden economic and social risks, the unemployment phenomenon has become a cause of public suffering from a lot of members of the community and especially the youth in various scientific levels, age and sex, which led to the high dependency burden in the community, which is reflected on the fabric of social life.The research aims to highlight the most important issue facing the community in time Alhazer a phenomenon of unemployment among young people as research aims to conduct a statistical study of the phenomenon of youth unemployment in the province of Baghdad and to consider the causes or identify the factors that affect them by building a model of logistic regression and find Category cases of the unemployed.The research sample included socio - economic survey of the family to the province of Baghdad and the results of a youth age group (15 - 29 years), according to the Ministry of Planning indicators - Central Bureau of Statistics.Has been used researcher statistical programs ready - made bag (SPSS20) in data and extracting results analysis, it has been the use of multivariate statistical analysis (model logistic regression binary response) to analyze the relationship between variables and access to the variables that actually affect the phenomenon of unemployment among young people in the province of Baghdad.As the researcher through the practical side to the results the following conclusions : - The moral variables included in the model are (sex, Higher Certificate completed by your father does not have a type, the type of environment and age) using the Wald test and the rest of the independent variables is a moral as well as showing that the percentage of correct classification for the views adopted variable after the entry of the independent variables (illustrations) of the model rose about the percentage of correct classification for the views of the model adopted containing the hard limit just as variable ratio increased from (82.5) to the percentag (88.3).

الية تحقيق العدالة الاجتماعية في توزيع التخصيصات الاستثمارية في ظل اللامركزية الادارية : بحث تطبيقي في محافظة واسط == Mechanism of Achieving Social Justice In Distributing Investment Allocations Under The Decentralization, Applied Research At Wassit Governorate

Author name: علي محسن داود
Supervisor name: فضيلة سلمان داوود
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يشهد العراق تحولا سياسيا مهما وتاريخيا من نظام الحكم المركزي الشمولي الى نظام الحكم اللامركزي الذي يقضي بتفويض صلاحيات واسعة للحكومات المحلية في المحافظات والمدن العراقية ويهدف هذا التحول الى تطوير وتحسين مستوى الخدمات المقدمة للسكان وبصورة عادلة.لذلك ف | Iraq has been faced a political and historical transformation from central ruling system to decentralized ruling system ,that lead to authorize many wide interests for local governments in provinces and local cities.This transformation aims to develop and improve the level of services that presented to people fairly So the aim of this research is to identify the range of achieving the social justice by distributing the investment shares for region development program under the shade of decentralized ruling presented by local authorities in wasit province ,and what are the effective factors in that reconnaissance of the opinions of these executive sides. The study discussed the meaning and the aim of social justice and decentralized ruling, and the importance of population criteria due to the importance of that criteria to achieve the justice by considering human as the one who is managing the development and the goal of development at the same time ,but that criteria is not enough to achieve justice. So it had been discussed groups of other criteria that should be considered to achieve that. The descriptive analytical methodology ,and the reconnaissance style have been used, and preparing for questioning air as a tool by the research to measure justice by distributing investment shares for region development program, and also the effective factors. It includes a community and study sample from the members of local legislative and executive authority(municipality counsels in districts and sub - districts in wasit province, and head departments that concern to execute projects ,and concern of University instructors as an important sample. The results of the research showed up a mess in the effective factors of distributing the investment shares, and weakness in the available resources and in the administrative operation representing by organizing, leadership and observing working sides to execute the project without active information system for decision makers. The results of the research showed up that the level of justice in distributing the shares was medium. Although there is a difference in distributing the shares in the districts and sub - districts of wasit province. The research includes many recommendations may help to raise the projects and mechanism to achieve justice

مستوى تعليم المراة في العراق وتاثيره في امراض الاطفال == The Level of Women'S Education In Iraq And Its Effect On Children'S Diseases

Author name: علي صبيح فرحان الطائي
Supervisor name: اسماء نجم عبد الله
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان الظاهرة الطبيعية لتعليم الام نجدها تسلك سلوكا غير خطي، ولتحليل تلك الظاهرة نستعمل النماذج اللاخطية لوصفها وتحليلها وانموذج الانحدار اللوجستي يعد واحد من اهم هذه النماذج الاحصائية التي تستعمل لوصف وتحليل تلك الظاهرة وتطبق هذه النماذج عندما تكون المتغي | The natural phenomenon for the education of the mother is found behave in a non - linear, and to analyze this phenomenon, we use non - linear models to describe, analyze and model logistic regression is one of the most important of these statistical models used to describe and analyze this phenomenon and apply these models when they are dependent variables (response) and descriptive and specific variables (Qualitative and limited dependent variables) that is, those that are expressed in a specific set of qualities or facts characteristic((The education of the parents, particularly the mother contributes to the development of public health, especially for children under the age of five and is working to raise the educational level of parents to improve the health and living level and contribute to the dissemination of health education that are part of the general cultureThe research sample included socio - economic survey of households in Iraq results (IHSES - 2012) and carried out by the Central Bureau of Statistics and the body count of the Kurdistan region and for the age group of five years or less.The research aims to use binary logistic regression method to determine the effect of mother's education on children's exposure to disease in Iraq as a whole, according to the environment (urban, rural) and by region (Baghdad, North, South and Central(Depending on the test (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test) show that the chosen model approved variable (Y exposure to the disease) for the whole of Iraq, as well as by region (Baghdad, North, Central and South) and the environment (urban, rural) significantly, meaning that there the effect of mother's education on disease susceptibility especially levels of education (mom, read only) it has been shown that the level of education (my mother (x1 (1) contribute to the increased susceptibility to disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y) at the level of (Iraq as a whole and the environment (urban), the northern region ), while (read only x1 (2)) contributes to reduce exposure to the disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y) at the level of (the environment (the countryside), Baghdad, Central) area, either at the level of the southern region, the (mom x1 (1)) contributes to reduce exposure to the disease has been ranked first in influencing the approved variable (Y).

استخدام تحليل سلسلة ماركوف في توزيع قوة العمل : دراسة حالة في وزارة المالية == Use Analysis of Markov Chains In The Distribuation of Labor Force Case Study In Ministry of Finance

Author name: علي صباح هادي
Supervisor name: محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: نظرا لوجود مشكلة في الموارد البشرية في اغلب الموسسات الحكومية نتيجة ضعف التخطيط في العهود السابقة مما ادى الى وجود اختلال في قوة العمل (فائض , عجز ,او فائض في جانب وعجز في جانب اخر في ان واحد) فقد حاول الباحث الاجابة عن تساؤل حول امكانية استخدام طريقة تحل | There is a problem in human resources in most of the Government Institutions as a result of poor planning in previous eras, which led to an imbalance in the labor force (surplus, deficit or surplus on one side and deficit on the other side at the same time) researcher has tried to answer the question about the possibility of using the method of Markov chain analysis to identify needs in the workforce for a future for the purpose of facilitating human resource planning process to be integrated with the strategic planning process for government organizationsThe research also aims to clarify the link between the stages of human resources planning and the process of strategic planning through the situation in the Iraqi Finance Ministry study also provides a description of the analysis of Markov chain and used to predict the numbers of staff who remain in functional scores as well as to prepare those who will move to a higher level or leave the job in a period of time OBTAINED future based on data from the Ministry of Manpower in the center where the researcher took a sample of data for employees who obtained a BA and who starts career list them, when appointed in seventh grade and a certain competence for the years 2013 - 2014 databaseWas built matrix Markov prospects for transitions between grades and using Japman equation - Kolmugerov to predict matrix transition probabilities for two more years, as well as for the four years to come, and by knowing the initial distribution for each degree of functional (ie, the proportion of the number of each class to the total number of samples) were predicted to prepare staff the end of 2016 and the year 2018 for each degree of functional from seventh grade to first grade The paper also presents the idea of the skills that are summarized in the transfer of skills Bank (which dispense them NGOs) to him until they make use of them in other organizations for the purpose of reducing the social impact of the restructuring of companies and government organizations have been taking data for the case of a virtual hold Markov chain analysis, and then predict the numbers of staff for this the default state for a period of four years to come and perform calculations equations to determine the numbers of staff that will stop then the likelihood of transitions between the different grades down to the (equilibrium) of the number of employees that may help in achieving service role of government organizations in the community, The researcher came to several conclusions and recommendations of the most important recommendation using Markov chain analysis to predict the numbers of staff who move between grades for two years and four years to come and for different categories and grades, as well as between the sections that can move the employee among them

تطوير السياحة الدينية في كربلاء المقدسة من منظور ستراتيجي : دراسة حالة == Developing The Religious Tourism In The Holy City of Karbala From A Strategic Perspective

Author name: علي زاير كاظم
Supervisor name: لورنس يحيى صالح
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: هدف هذا البحث الى التعرف على دور المنظور الاستراتيجي في تطوير السياحة الدينية في كربلاء المقدسة وذلك باعتماد التخطيط الاستراتيجي كاسلوب عمل مع تنامي التحديات التي تواجه قطاع السياحة بشكل عام والسياحة الدينية بشكل خاص,اذ تعد السياحة نشاطا ضروريا للشعوب للع | This research aimed to identify the strategic perspective role in developing the religious tourism in the holy city of karbala by adopting Strategic Planning as an approach to confront the growing challenges that face the whole tourism sector generally, and the religious tourism specially. Since that Tourism has long been considered a necessary activity for all nations for many reasons like its direct impact in the economic, social and cultural sectors in addition to its impact in the international relations. The researcher has strived to study the tourism state of Karbala, and to study what this holy city have from features for the religious tourism which are represented by the holy shrines, with a survey for the most important obstacles that tries to overcome the religious tourism in karbala, those very obstacle that can be said that can be said that no strategy can develop the religious tourism without overcoming them first, by concerted efforts of all parties (the country ministries& entities with direct and indirect relation). The research also makes a simple comparison with the tourism state in Saudi Arabia, especially in the holy cities of Mecca and Al - Madina in order to take as much advantage from this experiment through number of variations. The industry of tourism is an industry of front &back correlations that does not succeed but with coordination and integration of all parties involved, and it is based on the foundations that can be represented by the services of (security, lodgings, transportation, high - competence human resources, etc.), and for this reason it is needed to set a strategy that draws the image of the religious tourism (what is should be, the way it can be accomplished, and its future) which was articulated in chapter three of this research. For that, the research has came up with an attempt to put the religious tourism in the right path through a strategy that develops it, and by following the art of strategic planning as an integrated approach for tourism, starting with the strategic analysis of the external and internal environment and then formulation the organization vision and mission, and the inspiring the strategic goals from the organization mission, them putting the goals into action according to the agreed priorities. and by determining of the alternatives, the selection was made to take one of the growth strategies which is the strategic vertical integration for the interrelated activities as a main strategy, and selecting the alliances strategy as a strategic alternative, and then working by the empowerment strategy simultaneously in order to develop the human resources that is considered as the basis of religious tourism development, then moving to the process of formulation and implementation and strategic control, then passing to the process of feedback that is indispensable in all the stages of the strategy, that enables the higher administration to update the vision as well updating all the strategy stages according to the variables. The research finally reached clear and important results and facts that prove the study hypothesis is correct.

توقعات الطلب المستقبلي للسياحة الدينية فـي محافظتي النجف الاشرف وكربلاء المقدسة == Expectations of Future Demand For Religious Tourism In The Provinces of Najaf And Karbla

Author name: علي حمد الله احمد
Supervisor name: محمد جاسم محمد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: من الواضح ان من اهم عمليات تطور الدول هي عملية التخطيط ووضع الخطط المستقبلية وهذا يتطلب اعتماد الاساليب الاحصائية المتقدمة , ومن اهم هذه الاساليب هي طرائق تحليل السلاسل الزمنية والتي تاخذ بالحسبان التغيرات الزمنية في دراسة الظواهر وعليه تم استعمال الانوا | It's acknowledged that planning and setting of foreseen & detailed plans are from the important operations to countries development which requires advanced statistical methods adoption. One of the important methods are the way of time series analysis which depends on time changes in studying phenomena. According to that different types of time series patterns & it`s analysis undertaken , recognizing the most important specifications in build up suitable patterns for studied phenomenon where basic phases adopted in building up patterns related to time series and beginning with identification ,setting of suitable pattern & studied phenomenon forecasting. The true data used for four types of Variables of a number of hotels, number of rooms, number of guests the Iraqis, the number of guests for each of the Iraqi province of Najaf and Karbala province respectively and take the data to time series form 1981 - 2010، was diagnosed using a model AR (1) in the prediction for the years 2011 - 2015

نحو تعزيز دور التعليم المهني في العراق == Towards Strengthening The Role of Vocational Education In Iraq

Author name: علاء صباح كاظم
Supervisor name: محمد احمد حمد
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:

دراسة اسباب عزوف المواطنين من اجراء العمليات في المستشفيات الحكومية والتوجه الى القطاع الخاص == A Study On The Reluctance of Citizens To Conduct Operations In Governmental Hospitals And Conducting Them In The Private Sector

Author name: علاء حبيب عبد الرحمن
Supervisor name: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يهدف البحث الى دراسة اسباب عزوف المواطنين من اجراء العمليات جراحية في المستشفيات الحكومية والتوجه الى المستشفيات في القطاع الخاص ولغرض معرفة الاسباب وتشخيصها وتحليلها فقد تم اختيار عدد من المستشفيات الخاصة العاملة في بغداد وبجانبي الكرخ والرصافة وبالشكل ا | This research aims to study the reasons for the reluctance of citizens from having surgical operations in governmental hospitals and their desire to go to hospitals in the private sector. To know the causes and their analysis, a number of private hospitals operating in Baghdad in both Karkh and Rusafa has been selected as follows : • Rusafa : Jarrah Hospital, Hayat Al Rahibat Hospital, Mostanserya Hospital. Bunuk Hospital, Rahibat Hospital, Dijlah Hospital, Firdos Rahibat Hospital, Baghdad Hospital.• Karkh : Meserra Hospital, Dhergham Hospital, Kadhumya Hospital. Patients who had various surgeries were interviewed, and their views and opinions were taken via a checklist which has been prepared for this purpose. 65 patients were reached, statistical data were processed through calculation frequencies, means, and percentages to know the answers of the sample of patients about the reasons of their reluctance. A set of conclusions were reached, among which : The citizens felt weakness in the performance and responsiveness of staffs in governmental hospitals, the surgeons behavior in private hospitals was more appropriate, respectful, and humane than that in governmental hospitals, the private hospital staff can better handle the patients' emotions.

دراسة احصائية عن العوامل المؤثرة على التضخم في العراق == A Statistical Study On The Factors Affecting Inflation In Iraq

Author name: عطا كريم محمود العامري
Supervisor name: محمود مهدي حسن البياتي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: ان هذا البحث يهدف الى اظهار اهم العوامل والمتغيرات المؤثرة على التضخم في العراق من خلال دراسة عدد من المتغيرات وتحليلها احصائيا باستعمال اسلوبين من التحليل حيث تم استعمال اسلوب التحليل العاملي من خلال استعمال (15) متغير اذ يعتبر هذا الاسلوب من اساليب الت | This research aims to show the most important factors and variables affecting inflation in Iraq through the study of a number of variables and analyzed statistically using the two methods of analysis where the use of the style factor analysis through the use of (15) variable, as is the technique of analysis methods of modern, in addition to using multiple regression approach for the purpose of formulating a model statistically appropriate to predict inflation rates and determine the most important variables affecting it. As it ensures Find four seasons, has included the first chapter the research methodology and previous studies, while the second chapter included the theoretical side of research and was Bembgesan, Section I T_khassalganb theoretical your style factor analysis and its importance and methods of factor analysis with a focus on how the major components, while the second section has included the theoretical regression to the style of its details. It included the third quarter the practical side was Bembgesan, specialty section first application of the style factor analysis and analysis of the structure of the links, either second section has included the use of style gradient to reach the best model regression expresses the relationship between the most important variables illustrations (Independent) and variable adopted, which represents inflation, in addition to the possibility of the use of the model in futureforecasts. .The fourth quarter has included the most important conclusions that have been reached, as well as ensure that the recommendations. Has been the most important conclusions that the average daily exports of crude oil is the most influential on the rates of inflation and this is what led to be one of the important recommendations in the research is to increase exports of crude oil at the present time for the purpose of reducing inflation as the inverse relationship between inflation and average daily crude oil exports, in addition to that it was important recommendations is the diversity of sources of revenue without relying on crude oil imports note that it requires a long period of time.

تطوير العلاقة الستراتيجية بين الجهات المختصة في مكافحة الفساد

Author name: عصام صادق عبود
Supervisor name: سناء عبد الرحيم سعيد العبادي
Specific topic: Strategic Planning
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: اتجهت العديد من الدول في العالم العصري الى بناء وانشاء اجهزة متخصصة في مكافحة الفساد الى جانب دورها الذي لا يقل اهمية وهو تنفيذ حملات توعية عامة ليتمكن من تثقيف المجتمع ويجنبه الوقوع في الفساد وكذلك في الابلاغ عن الفاسدين الذين يسعون دائما الى تطوير امكان

تقييم نشاط العلاقات العامة في المجالس المحلية : دراسة ميدانية في مجلس محافظة بغداد == Assess The Activity of Public Relations In Local Councils A Field Study In The Baghdad Provincial Council

Author name: عذراء كامل ولي
Supervisor name: علي حسون فندي الطائي
Specific topic: Local Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: عرضت هذه الدراسة (( تقييم نشاط العلاقات العامة في المجالس المحلية )) وظيفة حيوية وظاهرة ادارية معاصرة وهي العلاقات العامة، والتي لها دور كبير في تحسين الخدمات المقدمة للجمهور المحلي، واعتمدت على المنهج الاستطلاعي والبيانات المالية في مجلس محافظة بغداد و| Offered this study ((assess the activity of public relations in local councils)) function vital administrative and the phenomenon of contemporary, a public relations, which have a significant role in improving the services provided to local audiences, and adopted the curriculum exploratory financial statements in the Baghdad provincial council and the most important administrative decisions in the field of activity public relations for the years 2012, 2013.2014, because of the importance in creating an atmosphere of communication between senior management and internal audience (employees) and external (the beneficiaries of its services within the geographical area), where there are weak and limited in public relations activities in the local councils and Activity public relations at the Baghdad Provincial Council as a study environment need to be evaluated and audited because of the importance in creating an atmosphere of communication and contact between the administration and the public, and derive the importance of research through the role played by the local councils in Iraq in general and Baghdad Provincial Council, in particular, because of its of the life of the community impact in addition to the importance of the study by providing scientific breakthrough for senior management in Baghdad Provincial Council, the problems of the management of public relations and the prospects for development.The research has come to a set of recommendations including : 1. There are no specialized department takes on the responsibility for the basic functions of public relations and the preparation of plans and its impact negatively on the ongoing efforts of the Council in this area.2. There are no pre - action plans prepared by the Division of Public Relations take upon themselves the responsibility to identify aspects of the work towards achieving the objectives of this vital and important activity in the Baghdad Provincial Council in the light of available resources.3. financial allocations granted to the public relations work in the Council's budget distributed is not commensurate with what the Council of the vital role of multiple activities, one of the difficulties facing the work of the Committee on Relations and Media in the Council.Was reached a set of recommendations including the establishment of the Department of Public Relations Specialist actively takes upon himself all the administrative, scientific and information functions and the allocation of the necessary funds consists of people covering all public relations activities have been integrated organizational structure proposal to him

استعمال بعض نماذج السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بمحصول الرز في بعض مناطق الوسط والجنوب في العراق == Use Some Time - Series Models To Predict Rice Production In Some Middle And South Areas In Iraq For The Period (1969 - 2014

Author name: عدويه حسن يوسف الطائي
Supervisor name: غفران اسماعيل كمال
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: في هذا البحث تم ايجاد الانموذج الافضل لانتاجية محصول الرز للمحافظات ( ذي قار - النجف - القادسية - المثنى - ميسان ) خلال المدة ( 1969 - 2014 ) باستعمال نماذج بوكس جنكنز(Box - Jenkins) ومن ثم التنبؤ بانتاجية الرز, حيث تم فحص وتشخيص بيانات السلسلة الزمنية من | The research aims to find the best model the agricultural production of crop for some Iraqi governorates ( Najaf - Qadisiya - Maysan - DhiQar - Muthanna ) during the period ( 1969 - 2014 ) applying Statistical methods used in forecasting time series models as Box - Jenkins method, of tests to identify the existence of stationary,estimation has been studied and included the using of maximum likelihood estimation method, as well as studying the Diagnostic checking using a number of tests to define the scope of models relevancy that has been estimated for the data examined by depend on confidence interval test and Ljung and Box ,then forecasting for the production of rice crop for the years ( 2015 - 2025 ) , chosen for the province of Najaf and Qadisiya is ARIMA ( 1 , 1 , 1 ) , while the model chosen for the provinces ( DhiQar, Muthanna , Maysan ) is the AR ( 1 ) , by depend on Akaike information criterion (AIC), Hannan Quinn information criterion (H - Q),The significance of the estimated parameters of the model.

استعمال بعض الاساليب الاحصائية للتنبؤ بانتاج محصول الشلب في العراق للمدة (2025 - 2016) == Some Use Statistical Methods To Predict The Yield of Rice Production In Iraq (2016 - 2025)

Author name: عبير محمود جاسم
Supervisor name: احمد ذياب احمد العزاوي
Specific topic: Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد القطاع الزراعي من القطاعات المهمة في عملية البناء الاقتصادي والاجتماعي في بلدان العالم المختلفة وان على الزراعة ان تسد حاجة السكان من الغذاء حتى يتحقق الامن الغذائي.ويعد محصول الشلب من المحاصيل الصيفية المهمة التي تزرع في المناطق المروية من وسط وجنوب | The agricultural sector of the important sectors in the process of economic and social reconstruction in the different countries of the world and on agriculture to meet the needs of the population of food so food security is achieved. The rice crop of the important summer crops grown in irrigated areas of central and southern Iraq, one of the important crops in food intake in Iraq depends upon the Iraqi individual in the food and meals. This research aims to predict the production of rice crop in Iraq for the period (from 2016 to 2025) through the time - series models using the Box and Jenkins models, which requires diagnosing the appropriate model and appropriate grade for this model to represent the phenomenon studied and based on annual data for the period analyzed (from 1975 to 2015), which was obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. After analyzing the data using statistical software gretl and address some of the problems that could have exposed the data and obtain the appropriate models to represent the production of rice, and in the model of the time series were tested stability of the chain in terms of both the contrast and the Mediterranean have shown results of the analysis after the trade - offs between Box and Jenkins models for series production of rice the adoption of standard Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the standard Schwartz Bayesian Criterion (SBC) and standard Hannan - Quinn (H - Q) to be after that model representative for the production of rice crop in Iraq is ARIMA (2,1,2) and test the independence of the wrong paradigm and then predict for the years (2016 - 2025).

استعمال التحليل العنقودي لبيان تغير نمط الانفاق في العراق للسنوات (1971 - 2010)

Author name: عبير عباس ناصر
Supervisor name: لميعة باقر جواد الجواد
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: يعد الانفاق احد اهم المتغيرات الاقتصادية الاساسية وذلك لارتباطه بمتغيرات اقتصادية اخرى كالانتاج والادخار والدخل والاستثمار حسب مفهوم النظرية الاقتصادية اذ ان ارتفاع مستوى الانفاق يؤدي الى انخفاض مستوى الادخار ومعدلات الاستثمار والانتاجية والدخل، وبحثنا | The spending one of the most important variables and that is related to other economic variables such as production, income, saving and investment rates, productivity and incomes , we discussed this chang shows the spending pattern of families on key goods and services during the period (1971 - 2010) in the years where date are available ,so touched on the reality of living standards for families in Iraq by offering stylish rates on good and services(nine variable according to the system of national accounts) and on the levels(both urban and rural, urban only, rural only)during the period for the purpose of knowing how spending patterns change up or down, have been analyzed on the basis of thes ratios homogeneity or convergence in spending between years using cluster analysis hierarchy in three different wayse (the way the middle, the way the closest ,how far)and clarification of thes percentages in the graph at the level of years each service key once (to see the change in the pattern of spending on the services each during the time period) and at the level of basic services per year again(to see the change in the spending on different services per year)which may help to develop future plans for the advancement of thes families to decent life for these families.

متطلبات الشراكة بين القطاعين العام والخاص لانجاح نظام الاحالة الطبية في العراق : دراسة حالة لواقع وافاق التطوير == The Requirement of The Partnership Between The Public And Private Sectors In The Success of The Medical Referral System In Iraq

Author name: عبد الكريم صادق كريم
Supervisor name: ناظم جواد عبد سلمان الزيدي
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تهدف الدراسة الى معرفة قبول الشراكة بين القطاعين العام والخاص لنظام الاحالة الطبية لانجاحه في العراق. والشراكة في بحثنا هذا هي الالية اللازمة لتدعيم ركائز كلا القطاعين بهدف تامين المجتمع بالخدمات الصحية التي تتسم بالكلفة المنخفضة والجودة والكفاءة العالية | The study aims to learn to accept partnership between the public and private sectors of the medical referral system to make it successful in Iraq and partnership in our present mechanism is needed to strengthen the pillars of both sectors in order to secure community health service that are low cost, quality and high efficiency and a competitive incentive for the public health sector in the light of natural increase of the population, hence the idea of studying the partnership between the public and private sectors in the success of the medical referral system in Iraq in order to change the traditional methods used in the system of assignment and no longer able to meet the needs of patients , as the system is the assignment of the basic elements of health care in the provision of equal opportunities for all segments of society, which need a global scale, and identified the problem of search to identify the most important reasons that lead to a system of partnership between public and private sectors to address the failure to medical referrals and the low level of quality a laip health relied on a collection of information theory and organized according to the method of analysis practical in field data collection using a questionnaire exploratory court has been applied in government and private hospitals, the most important conclusions reached in that the system services of the assignment is suffering from a lack of promotional activities and outreach to the general community and the existence of a shortage of professional staff in the necessary and potential administrative and regulatory and non - use of the means of modern technology and advance communications in the transfer of data and information , and also that the partnership have a positive effect to improve the medical service and reduce the momentum happening in hospitals and specialized centers and reduce the financial burden on the state and strengthen the competition between the private and the sharing of risks between them, while the most important recommendation is the need to strengthen primary health centers workers specialized sufficient equipment and modern equipment will help to achieve provision of quality and efficient for patients and the need for an electronic database form for the assignment and go to encourage the private sector to participate with the public sector, which serves to reduce the costs for the state and the transfer of modern technology and raise the level of quality in health care, and issue a binding law by the state in partnership with the private sector and government facilities to the success of the partnership between the two sectors

دور الرقابة والتدقيق الداخلي للحد من ظاهـرة الفساد الاداري في مستشفيات دائرة صحة بغداد - الرصافة : دراسة استطلاعية

Author name: عبد الزهرة خضر حيدر الساعدي
Supervisor name: صبيحة قاسم هاشم الموسوي
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: مشكلة البحث تتجسد الى افتقار قسم الرقابة والتدقيق الداخلي الى نظام لتقويم اداءها ليعكس جوانب الاداء فيها، وافتقارها الى امكانية الحد من المخالفات والتجاوزات في المؤسسات الصحيــــة لضعف كوادر القسم من حيث المؤهلات العلمية والعملية وبالتالي هذا يؤدي الى الح

اهمية الرقابة على مشروعية العقود الحكومية في محافظة ميسان == The Importance of Control On Government Contracts Legality In Maissan Province

Author name: عبد الزهره حسين نجم العطواني
Supervisor name: فضيلة سلمان داوود
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد الرقابة على مشروعية العقود الحكومية احدى الوظائف التي تمارسها الادارة والتي ترتبط ارتباطا وثيق الصلة بالعملية الادارية وتعد في الوقت نفسه الاداة الفعالة لتحقيق الاهداف التي تسعى المؤسسات الحكومية لتحقيقها والمتمثلة في اشباع الحاجات العامة، كما ان نظ | Control system on government contracts is considered as one of the most important functions conducted by the management, which is tightly linked to supervising on the management processes in away helps the government corporate achieve its strategic objectives. Control system on the management processes is considered as well as a reflective mirror to the quality of the work done by the management.The control system on the government contracts points out any defected or legally breached actions which helps the management to modify it through uncovering the deviations happening away from the path of the corporate strategic or operational plans and sheds light on the causes and proposes solutions to deal with them. The control system helps in making sure that the financial actions match the valid authorities, regulations and instructions and ensures that the authorities granted to the management are not used negatively or unfairly. It makes sure are as well that that management is not overriding the individuals rights and freedoms because the main purpose of these authorities is helping the management conducts its tasks and functions smoothly. Based on the above, the researcher chose - through the practical side of the research sample - to study everything related to the government contracting activity administratively, technically and legally in order to : • Determine the supervisory role on the legality of the government contracts. • Identify control system's ability to cease the administrative and financial corruption phenomenon. • The direct impact of the control system in guiding the management decisions to be within the framework drawn to it by the law and the constitutionThe researcher relied on a set of reports and resources that helped him to a bunch of important conclusions and recommendations, such as : • The poor performance of the internal control devices of the government corporate may cause in a lot of financial mistakes. • The poor performance of the internal control devices of the government corporate may result in the emergence of corruption, which leads to a lack of accountability means which is related to the financial irregularities.• Inaccuracy in preparing projects' cost estimation which leads to the public money waste. • Accuracy should be considered as much as possible in order to achieve the targeted objectives. • The justice in distributing the financial allocations among the administrative units enhances trust in the control system devices.

ستراتيجية تطوير الموارد البشرية وانعكاسها على جودة الخدمات البلدية : دراسة حالة في مديرية بلدية كربلاء المقدسة == Strategic Human Resource Development And Its Reflecting On Quality Municipality Service Case Study In Directorate of Municipalities In Holy Karbala

Author name: عباس مزهر عاكول الشبلاوي
Supervisor name: صبيحة قاسم هاشم الموسوي
Specific topic: Municipal Administration
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تناولت الدراسة " ستراتيجية تطوير الموارد البشرية وانعكاسها على جودة الخدمات البلدية" حيث يحظى هذان المتغيران باهتمام الباحثين بشكل متزايد كونهما مفهومان حديثان نسبيا ولكونهما من المواضيع المهمة والتي لها تاثير كبير على مستقبل المنظمات. تهدف الدراسة الى | The study aims at expounding the correlation and effect between the Human resource development strategy and Quality Municipality Service within a theoretical framework and a practical framework conducted at Directorate of Municipalities in holy Karbala. The researcher found during a pilot study that there isn’t enough care paid by the Directorate of Municipalities in developing its human resources using one strategy or a number of strategies and their effect on the Quality Municipality Service. Thus a number of research questions were set concerning the existence of clear perception in the Directorates of Municipalities concerning the strategies of developing both the human resource an Quality Municipality Service and the correlation and effect between them.A number of hypotheses were set within a hypothetical model in order to investigate the correlation and effect between the explanatory variable (human resource development strategy) and the reactive variable (Quality Municipality Service) in the study form to collect the data from Directorates of Municipalities and later analyzing the data using the statistical software (SPSS). The study concluded a number of conclusions that indicated a significant correlation between the study variables based. The results also showed a significant effect of human resource development strategy on the Quality Municipality Service. Based on the results, the study recommended a number of recommendations

التنبؤ بحركة الطرود البريدية الصادرة والواردة باستعمال نماذج بوكس وجينكنز == Forecasting The Movement of Incoming And Outcoming Postal Parcels Using Box - Jenkins Models

Author name: عباس دوين عنكوش
Supervisor name: اسماء غالب جابر الراوي
Specific topic: Applied Statistics
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: مما لاشك فيه ان للتنبؤ دورا مهما وبارزا في عملية اتخاذ القرارات التي ترسم مسار الادارات والهيئات لما له من نتائج ذات فاعلية لاحتوائه على مجموعة من الطرائق والاساليب الاحصائية ومنها طرائق تحليل السلاسل الزمنية واسلوب بوكس وجينكز احدها والذي يعتمد على ت | There is no doubt that prediction has an important and prominent role in the decision - making process, which charts the course departments and agencies, because of its effective results, which has it contains a set of methods and techniques (statistical and Mathematical), and one of this techniques is (Box - Jenkins) modes Postal parcels are stacked goods, its weight might be bigger than small packages. Postal parcels are specified in kilograms, and it doesn’t weight more than twenty - kilogram, and wrapped securely, its also doesn’t contain personal documents. This research aims to predict the movement of incoming and outcoming postal parcels through the modeling of the data used by using (Box - Jenkins) models, and for the time period from January (2009) to December (2014). This research, made a time - series analysis to the Weights and the numbers of sent and received postal parcels, therefore, the best model have been chosen depending on the appropriate trade - offs used standards, and the test results showed that the best model of the four series is ARIMA (0,1,1), depending on the trade - offs standards (MDL), (SBC), (HQ), and upon these results, the conclusions and recommendations were made

اثر الانماط القيادية في ادوار الصحة والسلامة المهنية : دراسة استطلاعية في مستشفيات دائرة صحة بغداد الرصافة == The Effect of Leadership Styles On The Role of Occupational Health And Safety

Author name: عباس حسين جميل
Supervisor name: عباس علي ظاهر العامري
Specific topic: Hospital Management
Degree: Higher Diploma
Language: Arabic
University location: Baghdad
First pages:
Abstract: تعد القيادة جوهر العملية الادارية وهي المعيار الذي يتحدد في ضوءه نجاح او فشل اي منظمة او تنظيم، والقائد يحتاج الى المام واسع وتفهم عميق للبيئة والظروف المحيطة وتاثيرها على المنظمة التي يقودها، ولابد ان يكون اثر القيادة واضحا بعد بيان وتحديد مكونات ادوار | Leadership is the fundamental manageal operation and criterion by which the success or failure of any organization or system is determined. The leader needs a wide inspiration and a deep understanding of the effect of work environmental and conditions on the organization that he leads.The effect of leadership should be clear while the leader recognizes and determines the constitutes and dimensions of the roles of the occupational health and safety , so that the leader might be able to create and prepare a safe and stable work environment which would give positive social and economic results to the organization.The problem of the study can be summarized in the effect of different leadership styles is not clear concerning the roles of leadership , and in the most common leadership styles in the health organization. The impertinence of this study arises from the rarity of the previous studies which were done about the same subject.The samples of this study were x - ray unit managers at Baghdad health office - Al - Rusafa which involved 24 (twenty four) hospital including a wide geographical area so that to obtain more precise and accurate information to enrich the study.This study depended upon the hypothesis which says that (the leadership style has an influence on the roles of occupational health and safety ).The Conclusions and recommendations obtained from the study were based on theoretical field. The most important conclusion was the poor effect of leadership styles of the research sample in general, on the roles of occupational health
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