البحث — المستودع الرقمي العراقي

المستخلص: لقد عانى اقتصاد العراق من اختلالات عدة هيكلية مترابطة، تسببت بان يقع البلد فيازمة اقتصادية تفاعلت مع ازمات عدة مترابطة، سياسية واجتماعية، لتنتهي الى وضعهفي مرحلة الخطر، سبق لاكثر من دراسة ان نبهت اليها، والى وجوب ان يتجه صناعالسياسات الاقتصادية الى التعامل معها . ان ما يميز الاختلالات الهيكلية في الاقتصاد العراقي انها اخذت طابع الاستمرارية منذعقود، على نحو صارت تدفع الى نتائج متباينة، اصبحت بحد ذاتها مشكلاتمزمنة في الاقتصاد من قبيل النمو المتذبذب وغير المستقر في الناتج المحلي الاجمالي ومشكلة التضخم والبطالة، وضعف مؤشرات التنمية البشرية. ان المسبب الرئيس في حصول الاختلالات الهيكلية، هو عدم وجود سياسات اقتصادية، واحيانا اخرى وجود سياسات اقتصادية خاطئة، لم تسهم بتحقيق تنمية اقتصادية متوازنة ودائمة. ان الاقتصاد العراقي يمتلك الكثير من الموارد والمقومات والمزايا، التي تتيح له النمو،الا ان تلك الموارد قد اسيء استغلالها وتعرضت للهدر، ولم يسعفها تغير النظام السياسي عام 2003 وظهور نظام جديد، اتيحت له موارد غير مسبوقة، ودعم دولي واضح، تمثل بالدعم الغربي، والمنظمات الدولية ، فضلا عن خفض الديون الخارجية، الا ان واقع ذلك الاقتصاد لم يتجه الى النمو، الامر الذي تعمقت معه الاختلالات الهيكلية في الاقتصاد، في ظرف عانى فيه هذا الاقتصاد من تدمير البنى التحتية والانتاجية ؛ بسبب ظروف الحرب والعمليات العسكرية والارهابية بعد عام 2003، وفي هذه البحث سيتم تناول اثر توجيه الانفاق الحكومي في الاصلاح الاقتصادي على بعض متغيراته الكلية، وهي (الناتج المحلي الاجمالي ومعدلات التضخم والبطالة والتجارة الخارجية ). | Iraq's economy has suffered from several interrelated structural imbalances, which have caused the country to fall in An economic crisis has interacted with several interrelated political and social crises to end At the risk stage, most of the study has been alerted to, and must be directed to makers Economic policies to deal with What distinguishes the structural imbalances in the Iraqi economy is that it has taken on the character of continuity since Several decades, which have led to divergent results, have in themselves become problems Such as volatile and unstable growth in GDP, inflation and unemployment, and weak human development indicators The main reason for structural imbalances is the lack of economic policies and sometimes the existence of wrong economic policies, which did not contribute to the achievement of balanced economic development and durable that the Iraqi economy has a lot of resources and the elements and benefits that allow it to grow However, these resources have either been abused or wasted, and have not been able to do so The political system changed in 2003 and a new system emerged, with unprecedented resources And clear international support, represented by Western support, international organizations, and debt reduction The economic situation has not deepened, which has deepened the structural imbalances in the economy, in a time when the economy suffered from the destruction of infrastructure and productivity due to the circumstances of war and military and terrorist operations after 2003. In this research, (GDP, inflation, unemployment and foreign trade / exports and imports

دور صناديق الثروة السيادية في دعم الموازنة العامة لبلدان مختارة مع امكانية تطبيقها في العراق == The Role of Sovereign Wealth Funds in Supporting the Budget of Selected Countries with the Possibility of Applying them in Iraq

اسم المؤلف: زينب شاكر جبير الظالمي

اسم المشرف: عكيل حميد جابر الحلو

الموضوع العام: الادارة والاقتصاد

السنة: 2018

الموضوع الدقيق: العلوم المالية والمصرفية

الدرجة: ماجستير

الجامعة: جامعة المثنى - كلية الادارة والاقتصاد

اللغة: العربية

مكان الجامعة: المثنى

الصفحات الاولى:

المستخلص: This study try to analysis "the role of sovereign wealth funds in supporting the budget of selected countries with the possibility of applying them in Iraq", The study was based on the hypothesis that "sovereign wealth funds contribute to achieving the economic balance of the public budget of the country through absorption of oil surpluses at high prices and prevent the state of expansion of public spending, It also works to support the public budget in the event of oil shocks and low prices, especially in rent countries through mutual influence. The study sample includes the two countries (Norway and Algeria) highlighting the role of the Norwegian Global Government Pension Fund and the role of the Algerian Resources Fund Their support for the public budget of the two countries that they sample of study and try to benefit from the positive policies used by them in the management of oil surpluses to achieve stability of the Iraqi economy, which is considered the federal budget mirror him through the establishment of an Iraqi sovereign fund to achieve those goals, The study was based on an analysis of the financial ratios related to the analysis of the budgets of both countries and the role of the sovereign fund in supporting them, as well as analysis of the data of the reality of the general budget in Iraq, The most important finding of the study is the existence of a mutual financial relationship between the sovereign funds, especially the stabilization funds in the oil countries and the general budget of the country, based on Friedman's permanent income theory and its content if the result of subtracting estimated expenditures from actual public revenues is positive, The Fund will be financed by the realized surplus. The result of the proposal between the variables mentioned negative result in a deficit in the general budget of the country is covered by withdrawal from the Fund, As well as the possession of the Iraqi economy several justifications necessitated by the need to accelerate the establishment of funds for sovereign wealth, including the Iraqi economy and its dependence on the large oil sector in the financing of gross domestic product and annual budgets make it hostage to price fluctuations of oil wealth, as well as the imbalance of the sectoral structure of GDP and its impact on the budget deficit Of the country, as well as the viability and success of the experiences of establishing sovereign funds in various developing and developed countries.While recommending study the need to expedite the legislation of the proposed law of Mesopotamia’s fund, which should define the powers and responsibilities of the various authorities responsible for funding, management and implementation of the Fund's investment strategies by converting the financial surpluses achieved from the difference between the estimated price inthe law of the public budget and the actual price to the Fund account, To ensure the continued funding of public budget expenditures in case of falling oil prices even in the short term. Two types of investments should be followed for the oil surpluses in the Financial Stability Fund to ensure the necessary funding for the general budget and not to succumb to the phenomenon of fiscal deficit in times of decline in oil pricesThe first pattern is based on the strategy of low - return investment and risk to cover operating expenses in the short term, A high - yielding and risky investment strategy to counter the effects of global oil price collapse over the long term.

دور السياسة النقدية في تحقيق الاستقرار النقدي في العراق للمدة 1999 - 2015 == The role of Monetary policy in chieving the Monetary stability in Iraq for the period (1999 - 2015)

اسم المؤلف: اروى حاجم سلطان الدلیمي

اسم المشرف: افتخار محمد مناحي الرفیعي