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الصدمات المالية واثرها في بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية في مصر والعراق للمدة 1990 - 2014 == Fiscal Shocks and their Effects on some of the Macroeconomic Variables in Egypt and Iraq for The period (1990 - 2014

Author name: زينة شاكر عبد الكاظم
Supervisor name: عبد الحسين جليل عبد الحسن الغالبي
General topic: Administration and Economics
Specific topic: Economy
Degree: Master
University: University of Kufa - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language: Arabic
University location: Najaf
First pages: 07T4685 - p.pdf
Abstract: Fiscal Shocks can be considered as one of the methods used to make economic changes . Throughout this study we recognize how to make these shocks, how to measure them and what are their effects as one of the problematic economic subjects so that the researcher concentrated on all its details . In addition these shocks can affect the economic activity in most of world countries that they got a great deal of the researcher and of economists attention. The study shows that the economy of Iraq and Egypt faced series of internal and external shocks throughout the latest decades and that was widely reflected on the level of the economic performance level as well as the economic sectors.This study aims to estimate the fiscal shocks and the relation with the economic changes of the studied countries (Iraq and Egypt) to show the types of the relation between the fiscal shocks and these variables : significance or nonsignificance.During our study we reached set of results indicate that Iraqi economy represent a model of developing economy based on oil basically to get the total income so it is a profitable economy where the state followed the central planning systemand unbalances that attack the general Iraqi economy are ascribed to the unusual circumstances that Iraq faces . The fiscal shocks are characterized by their sharpness and passive direction in most of study years .Finally, the study proved the effect of fiscal shocks ( expenditure and taxes shocks) on the GDP after two years of the shock with an effect for the public expenditure on unemployment. There is no effect the fiscal shock between expenditure shock and the variables represented by GDP, prices and inflation. Also there is no effects for shocks represented by public expenditure and taxes shocks on the studied variables in Egypt as GDP, current prices, inflation an
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