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تاثير العمليات الارهابية في مؤشرات تداول قطاع المصارف المدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية : دراسة تطبيقية == The Impact of Terrorist Attacks on the Banking Sector Indicators listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange.An Applied Research submitted to the
Author name:
وجدان حسين عبيد
Supervisor name:
نغم حسين نعمة
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Banking Sciences
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Baghdad - Higher Institute Of Accounting And Financial Studies - Department Of Financial Studies
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T4809 - p.pdf
Abstract:
تناول البحث تاثير العمليات الارهابية على مؤشرات التداول في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية والتي تتضمن (عدد الجلسات ,وعدد الصفقات ,عدد الشركات المتداولة ,حجم التداول , والقيمة المتداولة ) . والهدف من البحث هو : 1 - دراسة وتحليل مؤشرات تداول السوق التي تتضمن (عدد الجلسات، عدد الصفقات، عدد الشركات المتداولة , حجم التداول، القيمة المتداولة) من خلال مدة الدراسة(2014 - 2015) ومدى تاثرها بالعمليات الارهابية التي يمر بها العراق. 2 - امكانية الاستدلال من خلال التحليل اي من مؤشرات تداول الاكثر تاثرا بالعمليات الارهابية .وتوصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات : 1 - مساهمة القطاع المصرفي كانت بالمركز الاولى من نشاط السوق من خلال مدة الدراسة ((2015 - 2010 واضمحلال دور القطاعات الاخرى وضعف مساهمة بعض القطاعات مثل قطاع التامين وقطاع الاستثمار اذ كانت المصارف الاكثر تضرر بعد عام 2014 نتيجة توقف العديد من فروع المصارف .2 - زيادة العمليات الارهابية ادت الى انخفاض مؤشرات التداول في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية (عدد الجلسات ,عدد الصفقات ,حجم التداول , القيمة المتداولة ) والعكس صحيح. وكان المؤشر الاكثر تاثر بالعمليات الارهابية هو مؤشر القيمة المتداولة ثم حجم التداول ثم عدد الصفقات ويليها عدد الجلسات بعد عام 2014. | The study dealt with the impact of terrorist operations on the indicators of trading in the Iraqi Stock Exchange, which includes (number of meetings, number of transactions, number of traded companies, volume traded, value traded). Technical analysis was used to analyze these indicators.The aim of the research is : The aim of the research is : 1. Study and analysis of market trading indicators that include (number of sessions, number of transactions, number of traded companies, volume of traded, value traded) through the period of study (2014 - 2015) and the extent of their impact on the terrorist operations that Iraq is going through.2 - The possibility of inference through technical analysis, which is one of the most influential trading indicators of terrorist operations.The research reached a number of conclusions : 1 - The contribution of the banking sector was in the first degree in the market activity through the period of study (2010 - 2015) and the decay of the role of other sectors , the weak contribution of some sectors such as insurance sector and investment sector as the banks were most affected after 2014 due to the suspension of many branches of banks.2 - Increase in terrorist operations led to a rise in trading indicators in the Iraqi market for securities (number of sessions, number of transactions, volume traded, value traded) and vice versa. The most influential indicator of terrorist operations was the value traded index, the volume of trading, the number of transactions followed by the number of meetings after 2014.The research concluded with several proposals : 1 - The Iraqi market for securities is very small and the market is not mature, just like a number of stock markets. It is very volatile in the case of a bad security situation. Therefore, it is necessary to develop policies and mechanisms that improve the current situation and encourage investors to continue their investments. especially with the existence of a sense of confidence in investors because of the security fluctuations in the country.2. The market will recover when political instability and terrorist attacks are overcome ,the introduction of further plans and improvements in the functioning of the market will reduce the gap between market activity and security conditions.
