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قياس استقرارية دالة الانفاق الاستهلاك العائل في الاقتصاد السعودي للمدة 1970 - 2009 == The Stability Measurement of Function Expenditure For Household Consumption In Saudi Economy For The Period (1970 - 2009)
Author name:
طالب هاشم جبار
Supervisor name:
مصطفى مهدي حسين
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Doctorate
University:
University Of Basrah - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Economics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Basrah
First pages:
07T1190 - p.pdf
Abstract:
Total consumption is considered one of the main determinants in the composition of national in come. It represents the largest share of total expenditure in many countries of the world, consumption also play major vole in the economic and its growth it is, also, one of the main components of total demand, which gives it special importance, marking it a lively area for research aiming to reach scientific facts that would help the decision market to realize a vision and to set future planning of economic policies in countries of the world in, eneral and is Saudi Arabian particular. This study aims to estimate a model for household consumption in Saudi Arabia spanning the period from 1970 to 2009, through determining the variables that influence household consumption expenditure according to economic theory. The model was built using partial adjustment method and building a dynamic short term (co - integration) that takes in to account error correction in the time path towards along term equilibrium. And to avoid falling in to imprecise results , a test was conducted for the stability variable entering the model of household consumption the Saudi Arabia, using the adjusted Diekey - Fuller test and Pilliphs Pearn test, A co - integration test was also performed between the variables of the model through estimating the long run equilibrium relationship equation , and performing the second random error test using( ADF) and (PP) tests, Then dynamic short term model was built that was based on error correction (ECM).
