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الاسقاطات السكانية لمحافظـــة البصـــرة للفتـــرة (1997 - 2022) باستخدام نتائج التعداد العام لسنة 1997 في العراق == The Populational Projections of Basrah Governorate For The Period 1997 - 2022
Author name:
نادية علي عايد الحميداوي
Supervisor name:
بشرى علي يعقوب الجعفري | زهرة حسن عباس التميمي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Statistics
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T4102 - p.pdf
Abstract:
ان الاسقاطات السكانية من الطرائق الاساسية التي تستند عليها اغلب الدراسات والبحوث في مجالات متعدده، اذ ان معرفة اعداد السكان والتغيرات الحاصلة له بصورة مستمرة تعد الركيزة الاساسية التي تعتمد عليها خطط التنمية ولان التعدادات السكانية تجري كل خمس او عشر سن | Populational projections are considered to be the basic methods , which most studies and researches depend upon. By these methods it could be knowing the demographical , social , and economic features of the society , which these are considered to be the bases of most development plans. As the population census is carried out in every five or ten years , so the importance of following the populational projections has been apperied as a good way to be used.The aim of this study is to show the populational projections of Basrah governorate for the peried 1997 - 2022. According to the census of the year 1997 and by using the component method, which requires projections and estimations for the fertility , mortality and migration separatily therefore , we study the level and the direction of fertility for the period before year 1997 , taking into consideration the impacts of the current and future circumstances in the governorate. Besides , we analyse the death data to get the suitable level for these projections. After satisfying all the requirement of population projections , and using components method , the results are got and population of Basrah governorate from the year 1997 to 2022 is evaluated
