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مشكلة المديونية الخارجية لبلدان عربية مختارة مع اشارة خاصة للعراق للمدة (1985 - 2004) == Problem of External Indebtedness For A Selected Arab Countries With A Reference To Iraq Period 1985 - 2004
Author name:
اياد كاظم حسون
Supervisor name:
هناء عبد الحسين محيميد الطائي
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Economy
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T3450 - p.pdf
Abstract:
It is well known that the subject - matter of external indebtedness has been representing a huge problem for most of Arab countries, including oil producing ones, save Arab gulf Countries.amongst the countries studied here we will focus on Egypt and Algeria who both have experienced unfavourable circumstances and went too far in borrowing to have the highest rank in the list of the indebted Arab countries. And they both still suffer the growing consequences of the problem. As for Iraq, although its indebtedness reached high levels, It is still considered new.The research goes from hypothesis which implies that there are interior and external factors that made the problem grow, tremendously. And these factors are having great influence over some macroeconomic variables in the countries indebted, which resulted in a disability of repayment and a status of having no options to refuse the severe terms of rescheduling.To verify the correctness of the hypothesis the study is trying to 1 - Analyzes the size of the developing countries external debts and to compare it to the external debt of the Arab countries for the period 1985 - 2004.2 - Using path analysis model to measure and analyzes the relationship between the growing burdens of exterior indebtedness and some economic variables3 - To explain the mechanisms that are used to reduce the severity of the problem in the countries studied including Iraq.The study included three major chapters that form the framework and the subjective context for the research requirements.the first chapter was dedicated to the conceptual aspect of the external indebtedness, while the second one devoted to analyze the evolution of the developing and Arab countries indebtedness.The third chapter dedicated to use path analysis style to measure the influence of the problem over some economic variables.Eventually, the study reached at some conclusions.the most important of which con be put as the following, the indebted countries are lacking, A clear strategy to handle their debts. In another word, borrowing is not a sin if the money borrowed are to be directed to productive sectors that may contribute to repayment.as for recommendations, the thesis stresses on the indebted states to constitute an independent institutions assigned To manage loan efficiently.such institutions must be in charge of every thing relates to rescheduling, repayments and to relieve the burden of the problem