تقديرات الهجرة الداخلية في العراق باستخدام النماذج السكانية == Internal Migration Estimates In Iraq By Using Population Models
Author name:
هالة وليد حمدي الزبيدي
Supervisor name:
بشرى علي يعقوب الجعفري | خالد زهدي مصطفى خواجه
General topic:
Administration and Economics
Specific topic:
Statistics
Degree:
Master
University:
University of Baghdad - Faculty Of Administration And Economics - Department Of Statistics
Language:
Arabic
University location:
Baghdad
First pages:
07T4138 - p.pdf
Abstract:
ادى تزايد حركة السكان في العراق الى حصول هجرة داخلية.و لاهمية هذه المشكلة وما ترتب عليها من نتائج، لذا فقد حاولت الباحثة من خلال هذه الدراسة تحليل البيانات التي لها علاقة في نماذج حركة الهجرة الداخلية.وتهدف الى استنباط تيارات الهجرة الداخلية في القطر،وذ | Population Increasing movements in Iraq cause an internal migration. In spite of danger of this problem and what effects of it, so the researcher has tried through this study analysis the data, which relation in internal migration on models. Aiming at internal migration streams in country by using special population models of internal migration by direct and indirect methods. First chapter including general entrance displays general concepts and determines the problem and the purpose of the research and its importance and the background. The second chapter is measuring internal migration in Iraq and discusses the methods of the measure, the principal data references for migration, population distribution, the internal migration data in Iraqi census, the problem and difficulty of migration, the method of measuring internal migration from the census data is discussed by direct methods like Birth place, Duration of residence, The last residence and The reason of changing the residence place. The indirect methods like Vital statistics, The Survival ratio and National growth rate. The third chapter discusses the study of migration rates and ratios in Iraq and the demographic trace and divided into direct method like migration stream rates and in - migration, out - migration, net - migration rates and Birth - residence index, Gross intercensal interchange of population and Basic model. Indirect method like migration rates by using Survival ratio rates method, Vital statistics rates method, National growth rates method, and discuss the mathematical model and its relationship to internal migration, migration economic, demographic traces and migration effect on population growth. And the impetuses to internal migrations movement. The forth chapter discuss some important conclusions and recommendations.
